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Part II
Reasons for Unsustainability
1
What Causes Environmental Impact?
• Underlying reasons for conflict between human and
environmental well-being?
• A simple but insightful way of understanding the
causes underlying the environmental impact of
human activities; IPAT equation
• Highlights relationship of impact with population,
consumption (affluence), and technology
l = P * A * T
• I: total environmental impact
• P: population
• A: affluence measured as consumption per capita
• T: technology in terms of environmental impact per
unit of consumption.
2
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
What Causes Environmental Impact?
• Relevance of diverse cross-disciplinary factors in
determining environmental impact
• Relevance of engineering; T term
• A and P terms are influenced by other disciplines
such as economics, business, and social sciences
• Next few chapters; how various disciplines have
contributed to unsustainability
• Essential for devising meaningful solutions toward
sustainable engineering.
3
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Impact = Population x Consumption x Pollution
Capita Consumption
Reasons for Unsustainability
• Role of
– Economics
– Business
– Science and Engineering
– Societal and Human Behavior
• Need to understand the problems to identify
possible solutions
4
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
4. Economics and the
Environment
5
Nature did not appear much in twentieth century economics, and it
doesn’t do so in current economic modeling. When asked,
economists acknowledge nature’s existence, but most deny that she
is worth much.
- Partha Dasgupta
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Economics and the Environment
• Important component of human well-being;
economic well-being
• Usually measured in monetary terms
• Economic activities mostly determined by markets
• Markets play an important role in determining
production and consumption of economic goods
and services
• Economic activity relies on goods and services from
nature
• It can strongly influence their availability and
status
6
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
How can Economics Hurt the Environment?
• Economic activities, methods, and policies can
contribute to increasing ecological degradation and
unsustainability of human activities
• Reason 1
– External social cost of economic activity is not included in the
price; ignoring the role of ecosystems in supporting economic
activities by keeping nature outside the economic system or
market
• Reason 2
– Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to
justify decisions with long-term benefits; valuing the present
more than the future, which makes it difficult to justify
decisions that have long-term environmental benefits
7
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
How can Economics Hurt the Environment?
• Reason 3
– Assumption of perfect substitutabiliy between natural /
ecological and economic capital / resources
• Reason 4
– Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature for
granted; not accounting fully for the physical basis of the
economy
8
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
9
Components
• Ideally; competitive market consists of buyers and
sellers interacting with each other according to the
prices of goods and services
• In general, if price increases, demand for that
product decreases; iron ore demand curve in Fig-
4.1
• Other line; marginal cost or supply curve
• Represents the effect of producing and selling
goods in the marketplace
• Cost of each additional ton of iron ore that is
extracted
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Figure 4.1 Elements of a free market
11
• First few tons extracted by suppliers; least
expensive to extract
• As more ore is extracted, cost of each additional
ton increases
• New ore may be more difficult to extract,
transport, or process into products
• Marginal cost curve represents this additional cost
• First derivative of total cost of ore extraction
versus number of tons extracted
• Competitive industry would always increase
production so that marginal cost and price are
equal
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Figure 4.1 Elements of a free market
13
– Competitive market
– Interaction between demand and supply (marginal
cost) curves
– Tends to reach equilibrium at intersection of both
– Equilibrium; point A in Fig 4.1 (a)
– Even if there is a perturbation from this point due
to changes in price or production; market brings
the system back to equilibrium
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
14
– Consider a situation to the left of equilibrium
– Point B; buyers are willing to pay $30 per ton
– Point C; extracting an additional ton of ore will cost
about $10
– Opportunity for profit will encourage extraction of
additional ore
– More ore will be extracted and sold in the market;
causing points B and C to move toward each other;
until equilibrium (point A) is reached.
– If current situation is to the right of point A
– Cost of extracting each additional ton of ore exceeds
what people are willing to pay
– Extractors will reduce production because they would
incur a loss for the additional tons extracted
– System will move toward Point A
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
15
Characteristics
– Most attractive feature of competitive markets
– Ability to find solutions that balance trade-offs
– Fig 4.1 b; triangle APQ represents benefit of market to
consumers
– Market price of ore of $16 per ton is much less than
what many consumers are willing to pay for it
– There are people willing to pay a range of values
between $16 and $56 per ton
– Area of triangle APQ represents “consumer surplus"
(monetary benefit to society due to free market
equilibrium)
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Figure 4.1 Elements of a free market
17
– Similarly, free market is beneficial for producers as well
– Producers spend an amount less than or equal to
market price for extracting a ton of ore
– Marginal cost curve; all tons of ore until the 22nd cost
the producers less than the market price of $16 per
ton; profit
– Total profit to all producers; triangle APR in Fig 4.lb;
"producer surplus"
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
18
Competitive Markets - Illustration
• Suppose production
at 10 million tpy
– Price would be $40,
which is $33
greater than cost
of more output
– Producers would
increase production
• Suppose production
at 25 million tpy
– Marginal cost of $18 is above price of $10
– Industry would decrease production
• This competitive equilibrium gives maximum
benefit to producers and consumers
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 3
$70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Demand Curve, P
Marginal Cost
million tons per year
Dollars
per
ton
22
16
33
-8
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
19
Assumptions
– For free market to result in optimally efficient solution,
following conditions need to be satisfied
1. All industries are competitive
2. Consumers and producers have economic knowledge
about the costs and benefits of their actions
3. Everyone in the market is driven by the desire for
maximum financial gain
4. There is no benefit of increasing the scale of an activity
(no economies of scale)
5. There are no external or ignored social costs such as
damage to society, employees, or environment
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
20
– These assumptions of free markets are commonly violated
– The system then does not maximize benefits to
consumers and producers
– Some violations may encourage human actions that
cause excessive ecological degradation; unsustainable
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
21
Macroeconomy
– Above discussion; market for a single product
– Macroeconomic system involves multiple markets
interacting with each other
– Mainstream or “neoclassical” economics; Fig 4.2
– Overall economy consists of firms and households
– Firms supply goods and services to households, for
which households pay firms
– Households supply factors of production (land, labor,
capital) to firms, for which firms pay households
– Lower loop; goods market
– Prices are determined by interaction between producers
and consumers; previous section
– Upper loop; factors market
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
22
• Factors market; term used by economists for all
resources that businesses use to purchase, rent, or hire
what they need in order to produce goods or services
• These needs are the factors of production; include raw
materials, land, labor, and capital
• Factors market; also called the input market
• All markets are either factor markets (where businesses
obtain the resources they need), or goods and services
markets (where consumers make their purchases)
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Macroeconomy – Neoclassical View
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Figure 4.2 Typical view of the economy in most neoclassical economics
texts
24
– Tis worldview; goal of economy is to maximize GDP
– GDP is an indicator of economic activity in a given
period
– GDP may be calculated as total income or total
expenditure in the economy
– Outer loop of Fig 4.2
– Total income or total expenditure are equal under
assumption of a steady state in that time period
– Reasonable assumption; expenditure from one activity
must be another's income
– Greater circulation of money is good since it increases
GDP
– This should translate into greater prosperity and economic
well-being
– Historical trend of GDP; Ch-1; dramatic increase in per
capita GDP over the centuries
Basics of Free Markets
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
How Can Economics Hurt the
Environment?
• Reason 1
– External social cost of economic activity is not
included in the price
• Reason 2
– Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to
justify decisions with long-term benefits
• Reason 3
– Assumption of perfect substitutabiliy between natural and
economic capital causes loss of NC
• Reason 4
– Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature
for granted
25
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Environmental Externalities
• Reason-1: External social cost of economic activity is not
included in the price
• Price of an economic activity does not include its impact
on all relevant resources
• Then market will be blind to the impact of this activity
on ignored resources
• For such resources, marginal cost curve (Fig 4.1) does
not change as the ignored resources are affected and
altered
• Such resources or services (not included in the market);
called externalities
• Market is unable to balance trade-offs between
economic activities and externalities, and
• Fails to find the economically efficient win-win solution
26
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Environmental Externalities
• An externality occurs in economics when a decision
causes costs or benefits to individuals or groups
other than the person making the decision
• Decision-maker does not bear all the costs or reap
all the gains from his action
• Result; in a competitive market, too much or too
little of the good will be consumed
• Examples
– Impact of automotive use on human health due to air
pollution
– Impact of nice garden on neighbor's house price
27
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• Example; if transportation is available at no cost
• Role of this activity is not included in the price of ore
• Marginal cost of ore is not affected by changes in the
transportation network
• Deterioration of transportation system will not affect
the price of ore
• No feedback that maintains feasibility of transportation
system or prefers mines that are easier to access
• Importance of transportation may be felt only after a
significant disruption; severe repercussions for the
mining industry
28
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Environmental Externalities
Positive Externalities
• Example; benefits of a nice garden to neighbors
• Neighbors do not pay for the garden but benefit from
it
• Garden adds value to the neighborhood and may even
increase home prices
• Example; use of natural wetlands to treat industrial or
municipal wastewater
• Cost of maintaining the wetland is borne by the
company or municipality
• Benefits such as increase in biodiversity, aesthetic
value, carbon sequestration, and maintenance of the
water table are available to society, which does not
pay for the benefits
29
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Negative Externalities
• Example; community in which each residence pays for
water in proportion to quantity of water used
• Costs incurred by each residence cover resources used
• To withdraw the water: electricity and pumps
• To treat the water: chemicals
• To transport the water: pipes and electricity
• To clean the water at sewage treatment facility
• These costs do not include cost of the water itself
• Example; market price of oil usually excludes costs such
as
• Impact of CO2 emissions
• Ground-level ozone pollution
• Contribution of national defense to ensuring safety of
oil-carrying ships
30
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• Situation in terms of demand and supply curves; Fig 4.3;
water
• Inclusion of cost of externalities (external social cost) in
marginal cost
• Curve shifts upward; dashed line
• For given demand curve, market equilibrium with true
marginal cost will be at point A’
• Keeping full cost of water outside the market
• Equilibrium at point A; encourages overconsumption,
since point A is to the right of point A'
• This overconsumption often results in ecological
degradation and unsustainable economic growth
31
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Negative Externalities
Figure 4.3 Effect of negative externalities in a free market; water use
Tragedy of the Commons
• One way in which economics has contributed to
degradation of ecosystems
• Conventional markets have ignored the role of
nature
• Have made ecosystem goods and services
negative externalities
• Result; overconsumption and ecological
deterioration
• Such a situation; also referred to as a "tragedy of
the commons”
• Term popularized by Hardin [5]
33
Hardin, G., Science, 1968
www.dfd.dlr.de/app/land/aralsee/
Tragedy of the Commons
• “Commons" refers to common property or public
goods
• Goods such as air, public land, oceans, rivers,
biogeochemical cycles, etc
• Belong to everyone and are usually outside the
market
• Each user of such goods benefits from access to
them
• Benefit is to the user, but impact is spread across
a larger area or population, including other users
and non-users.
34
Hardin, G., Science, 1968
www.dfd.dlr.de/app/land/aralsee/
Tragedy of the Commons
• Another example. Benefit of commuting by car is to
the driver, but
• Impact of tailpipe emissions is borne not just by
the driver but by a much larger population
• Including those who do not commute by car
• Benefit is privatized, while impact is socialized
• More individuals choose to commute by car
• Common property of clean air gets polluted
• Some specific examples; Box 4.1
• Many environmental problems are such tragedies
– Aral sea (1960-1994) (http://vimeo.com/6912220)
– Lake Erie
– Plastics in the Ocean
35
www.dfd.dlr.de/app/land/aralsee/
• Potential solutions include regulations, taxes, emissions
trading, etc
• Implementation faces challenges due to social, political,
and cultural factors
• Chapter 21
36
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Environmental Externalities; Solutions
How Can Economics Hurt the
Environment?
• Reason 1
– External social cost of economic activity is not included in
the price
• Reason 2
– Discounting gives less importance to the future -
difficult to justify decisions with long-term benefits
• Reason 3
– Assumption of perfect substitutability between natural and
economic capital causes loss of NC
• Reason 4
– Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature
for granted
37
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
38
Benefit-Cost Analysis and Discounting
• Economists make decisions via benefit-cost (BC)
analysis
• Example; capital cost of setting up a manufacturing
process incurred at beginning of project
• While benefits are obtained every year over life of the
facility
• Value of money changes over time
• Should be considered when comparing monetary flows at
different times
• Concept of discounting; used for dealing with changing
value of money over time.
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
39
Benefit-Cost Analysis and Discounting
• Basic equation used for BC calculations
• P: present value
• F: future value
• r: interest or discount rate
• n: number of years
• Discounting gives more value the present than the
future; higher the discount rate, greater the value
of the present versus the future
– Okay for buying cars, houses
– Not okay for basic amenities – water, food, natural capital
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
40
Benefit-Cost Analysis and Discounting
– A higher discount rate prefers the present over the
future
– Would give less importance to expenses that have a
benefit far into the future
– Most environmental challenges
– Requires expenses today for benefits in the future.
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 4.1
A significant catastrophe of $500 billion is predicted
50 years from now as a result of greenhouse gas
emissions. This could be avoided by spending $10
billion today. Does it make sense to spend the money
today? Consider discount rates of 10% and 3%.
Solution
• Discount rate, r=10%
– Future value is F = $5 x 1011
– Present value at 10% interest is
P = 5x1011/(1.1)50 = $4.3 x 109
– Expense today is not justified (4.3x109 < 1x1010)
41
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• Discount rate, r = 3%
– Present value at 10% interest is $114 billion
– Spending $10 billion today to prevent a catastrophe that
will result in a future loss of $114 billion in today's dollars
is justified.
42
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Present Value; Annual Expenses
• If expenses are incurred annually, present value
changes over time
• A is annual cost
• More details about this equation and its use in
engineering design; Ch-17.
43
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example: Visibility in the Grand Canyon
• Clear day
• Moderately hazy day
• Hazy day
• Loss of visibility due to
power plant SO2 emissions
44
http://www.aqd.nps.gov/ard/parks/grca/grcaimp.htm
Example 4.2
American National Parks attract thousands of visitors
from all over the world for their views and recreation
opportunities. However, visibility in many parks is
often poor, as shown in earlier Figure. One reason for
the loss of visibility is identified to be the presence of
a local coal-burning power plant. For the Grand
Canyon, the US National Park Service analyzed the
cost of reducing visibility-impairing pollution from the
power plant and the benefit of improved visibility in
the park [6].
45
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 4.2; contd
• Costs of pollution control (SO2 emission) at power
plant
– Capital cost of sulfur removal equipment: $330 million at
beginning of project
– Operation and maintenance cost of equipment: $75 million
per year
• Benefits of better visibility
– Visitors' willingness to pay for better visibility: $210 million
per year
Does it make economic sense to implement this
project?
46
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
47
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Discounting and Interest Rates
• What is the appropriate interest rate if cost is
incurred now, but benefits are far into the future?
• Present value of a dollar worth of benefit after 20
years is [F = P(1+r)n]
– 15 cents with 10% interest
– 55 cents with 3% interest
• Higher interest rate implies that the future is worth
less than the present
• Is this how you think?
• BOX 4.2 Stern-Nordhaus Debate about Discounting
Climate Change
48
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Illustration: Fire Suppression (Self Study)
• Present value of annual amount
PV = 1 - (1+r)-n * Annual Amount
r
• Consider cost versus benefit of fire suppression at
different discount rates
49
Case I: Discount Case II: Discount
Rate is 10%/yr Rate is 3%/yr
A. Assumed benefit, 50 years $ 50 million/yr $50 million/yr
B. Cost of fire suppression $750 million now $750 million now
C. Levelized cost factor (lcf)
for 50 years 0.101 0.039
D. Levelized annual cost $76 million/yr $29 million/yr
E. Net benefits -$26 million/yr +$21 million/yr
F. Benefit-cost ratio 0.66 1.72
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
What is the Correct Discount Rate?
• Environmental benefits in the future are not worth
much today!
• Is discounting of natural capital appropriate?
• Is poor health for your children not worth much to
you today?
• Economists suggest a 3% social discount rate -
smaller than private discount rate
• Benefit-Cost analysis is becoming more popular for
policy making
• Alternate methods that are based on scientific
principles are also being developed
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
How Can Economics Hurt the
Environment?
• Reason 1
– External social cost of economic activity is not included in
the price
• Reason 2
– Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to
justify decisions with long-term benefits
• Reason 3
– Assumption of perfect substitutability between
natural and economic capital causes loss of NC
• Reason 4
– Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature
for granted
51
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Substitutability
• Economics represents all activities and goods in
terms of monetary value
• Accounts for a large number of factors
• Human preference
• Supply of raw materials
• Cost of labor
• Environmental impact, etc
• Implicit assumption in using a common unit
• Substitutability between diverse flows
52
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Substitutability
• This assumption of substitutability make sense for
many economic flows
• Substitutable sources of energy include coal,
natural gas, crude oil, sunlight, wind, etc.
• For building houses, substitutable materials
include stone, wood, and cement.
• Modes of transportation are substitutable
53
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Substitutability
• Going beyond products, economists also usually
assume substitutability between factors required for
economic activity such as labor and capital.
• Equation called the production function [7]:
Y = F(K,L)
K: capital; L: labor
• Many combinations of K and L can result in the same
value of Y
• Capital and labor are assumed to be substitutable
54
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Substitutability
• Capital in the form of machinery and automation
often replaces human and animal labor
• Tractors have replaced animals for ploughing fields
• Automated checkout counters at supermarkets are
replacing human cashiers
• Assumption of substitutability seems quite
reasonable for many products
• However, there are limitations, particularly when
dealing with ecosystem goods and services.
Nevertheless, economic theory
55
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Substitutability
• Is economic capital a substitute for natural capital?
– Plastic for wood
– Water purification plant for wetlands
– Artificial fertilizers for organic manures
– Machines for animal power
• Is there perfect substitutability?
– Water?
– Carbon sequestration?
– Wetlands?
– Fish in ocean?
• Perfect substitutability can violate the laws of mass
and energy conservation
• Can also violate second law, which says that
resources can move spontaneously in only one
direction 56
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Substitutability
• In reality, substitutability is limited
• Developing substitutes for the following is not
possible with current technology and may never be
possible
• Climate regulation
• Biogeochemical cycles of carbon and nitrogen
• Water cycle, etc
• Exhausting many natural resources could indeed be
a catastrophe, not just an event!
57
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
How Can Economics Hurt the
Environment?
• Reason 1
– External social cost of economic activity is not included in
the price
• Reason 2
– Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to
justify decisions with long-term benefits
• Reason 3
– Assumption of perfect substitutability between natural and
economic capital causes loss of NC
• Reason 4
– Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes
nature for granted
58
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• Fig 4.2; conventional view of economy; next page
• Inner loop flows
• Physical goods
• Including items produced by firms and
consumed by households
• Such as cars, food, fuel, etc
• Outer loop
• Money flowing in the opposite direction
59
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Economy – Scientific View
Macroeconomy – Neoclassical View
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Figure 4.2 Typical view of the economy in most neoclassical economics
texts
• Look at this diagram from a physical point of view;
as for a manufacturing process.
• Diagram looks strange
• Goods are flowing in the system and enabling
economic activity without any external inputs or
outputs
• In economy, order is desired in economic goods and
services
• Similarity in thermodynamics; need for any system
to maintain itself in a state of low entropy
• External inputs are required
• Fig 4.2; without any external inputs; perpetual
motion machine, which is impossible!
61
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Economy – Scientific View
• In reality, economy involves many flows in addition
to those that are considered in neoclassical
economics
• A more complete diagram; Fig 4.7 [10]
• This system includes the environment
• Source of resources to firms
• Absorbs the wastes produced by economic
activities
• This view; economy is nested within environment; is
dependent on it and is governed by all the laws of
nature
• Economy is not a perpetual motion
62
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Economy – Scientific View
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Figure 4.7 Interaction
between biosphere
and economy
• Any discipline that takes nature for granted is likely
to contribute to ecological degradation and
encourage unsustainable activities
• New developments in economics are addressing
these issues [2, 3]
• Environmental economics
• Ecological economics,
• Ch-21; how these developments can contribute to
sustainable development.
64
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Economy – Scientific View
Key Ideas and Concepts
65
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Part IV
Solutions for Sustainability
How do we develop sustainable systems?
Solutions for Sustainability
• Virtually all disciplines contribute to the
unsustainability of human activities
• Solutions also stem from multiple disciplines
• Focus here; solutions that may be designed by
engineers
• However, “design” in a broad sense
• Design of technological solutions, ecosystems,
policies, and human behavior
• Also; solutions that are based in economics and
societal transformation
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
17. Designing Sustainable Processes and
Products
The last word in ignorance is the man who says of an animal or
plant: “What good is it?” If the land mechanism as a whole is
good, then every part is good, whether we understand it or not.
If the biota, in the course of eons, has built something we like
but do not understand, then who but a fool would discard
seemingly useless parts? To keep every cog and wheel is the first
precaution of intelligent tinkering.
-- Aldo Leopold
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Introduction
• Sustainability assessment; for choosing among
alternatives, their footprint or life cycle
environmental impact is usually one among
multiple objectives.
• Rare to select an option just because it has
smallest environmental impact
• Other factors also important
• Economic feasibility
• Societal preference; etc
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Introduction
• This chapter; approaches that utilize environmental
sustainability assessment methods, along with
• Methods for assessing economic feasibility
• Incorporation of sustainability considerations in
tasks such as
• Engineering design
• Corporate strategy
• Government policy
• Consumer choices.
• Emphasis on design of manufacturing processes
and products.
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Introduction
• Sustainability assessment methods are being used
to guide engineering decisions
– Product design
– Process design
– Supply chain management
– Corporate strategy
• These approaches go beyond traditional methods for
enhancing profit or efficiency of a single process
• Life cycle aspects are usually included
• Covered here; techno-economic analysis, eco-
efficiency, process and product design
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Techno-Economic Analysis
• Techno-economic analysis (TEA)
• Estimates economic feasibility of technological
alternatives
• Popular and practical approach
• Focus here; common methods for engineering
economic or cost analysis
• Essential for quantifying the economic bottom line
• Essential component of sustainability
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Techno-Economic Analysis
• Methods for techno-economic analysis (TEA)
• Goal; assess and choose between technological
options
• Use of conventional economic analysis
• Later; methods that combine such economic
analysis with environmental sustainability
assessment’
• Eco-efficiency; metrics combine the quantification
of environmental impact with measures of
economic feasibility
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Techno-Economic Analysis
• How has engineering design evolved over the
decades toward its current focus on sustainable
development
• Formulating sustainable product and process
design problems as multi-objective optimization
• Trade-off between these objectives
• Heuristic principles (rules of thumb) also suggested
for environmentally friendlier decisions in chemistry
and engineering
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Techno-Economic Analysis
• Total Cost (C) = Capital cost + Operating cost
• Capital cost: buildings, materials, land, etc.
• Operating cost: raw materials, labor, utilities,
depreciation, etc.
• Revenue (R): Earnings from selling products,
byproducts, carbon credits, etc.
• Gross profit (Pg) and Net profit (Pg)
Phi; tax rate; D: depreciation allowance
• Components of total capital investment; Table 17.1
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Table 17.1 Components of total capital investment [3]
Techno-Economic Analysis
• Operating costs
• Raw materials, utilities, labor, depreciation,
maintenance, taxes, etc
• Take place throughout life of manufacturing
process
• Depreciation (D)
• Straight-line method
• Divide capital cost of depreciating asset by life
• Typical components of total production cost (C);
Table 17.2
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Table 17 .2 Constituents of
total production cost and
gross profit [4]
Costs and Earnings
• Revenue (R); earned from selling products in the
marketplace
• Additional revenue (may be); credits such as those
due to carbon trading or selling waste heat or
byproducts; Ch-19 and 21
• End of life; equipment, buildings, and other capital
may have some salvage value
• Various stages of engineering design
• Early stages; approximate cost estimation
methods
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.1
The total capital investment needed for a new process is
$20 million. Out of this, $8 million depreciates at the rate of
2 percent per year. The expected revenue per year is $1
million and the total cost before depreciation is $800,000.
Calculate the gross and net profit for this process. The tax
rate is 20%.
Solution
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Time Value of Money
• Simple interest:
• Compound interest:
• If interest is compounded at rate other than annual
(m number of periods per year)
• Present value of operating cost incurred every year
• If payments are made in m periods per year
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.3
A particular car costs $20,000. Fuel, insurance, and
maintenance cost $1800 per year. Assuming that the
operating costs are paid at the beginning of each year, what
is the total cost of the car over a five-year period in terms
of present dollars, at an annual interest rate of 8%?
Solution
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Profitability Metrics
• Determining and comparing the economic feasibility
of alternatives requires metrics that utilize
information about costs and revenue streams
• First two metrics: do not take into account time
value of money
• Next two metrics: take into account time value of
money
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Profitability Metrics
Return on investment (ROI)
• Ratio of profit to capital cost
• Annual rate of monetary return that may be
obtained from investing capital in the design
• If profit or investment vary over time
• Average values used to calculate ROI
• Eng corporations; minimum annual ROI required for
a project to be considered monetarily feasible
• Similarities between this monetary ROI and energy
ROI defined in Eq 12.4
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Profitability Metrics
Payback period (PBP)
• Time required for investment to pay off; ratio of
• Direct capital investment Δ (item-1 of total
capital investment in Table 17.1) to
• Annual cash flow, which consists of net
earnings and depreciation (Pn + D)
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Profitability Metrics
Net Present Value (NPV)
• Present value of all cash flows
• Initial investment Co
• Recurring earning Ci every year
• Feasibility requires a positive NPV
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Profitability Metrics
Discounted cashflow rate of return (DCFR)
• Interest rate i that results in a zero NPV
• This equation usually needs to be solved by trial and
error
• For project to be feasible
• DCFR should be greater than minimum rate of
return acceptable to the investor
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.5
A capital investment of a million dollars yields a steady
earnings stream of $50,000 every year as net profit.
Calculate the return on investment and net present
value. You may use an interest rate of 8%, and
assume depreciation to be 10% per year.
Solution
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.5 (contd)
Example 17.5 (contd)
Note
• Previous section; methods to analyze and design
engineering systems based on their economic
feasibility
• However, sustainability requires consideration of
environmental and societal aspects
• Outside the market
• Not captured by monetary values
• Remaining chapter
• Addressing these multiple goals of sustainable
engineering
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Eco-Efficiency
• Eco-efficiency; approach popularized by World
Business Council for Sustainable Development
(WBCSD)
• Reducing environmental impact while increasing
economic value to a company [3]
• Creating more value with less impact
• WBCSD definition of eco-eff1ciency
• “Eco-efficiency is achieved by the delivery of
competitively-priced goods and services that satisfy
human needs and bring quality of life, while progressively
reducing ecological impacts and resource intensity
throughout the life-cycle to a level at least in line with the
earth’s carrying capacity.”
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Eco-Efficiency
• Three main objectives
– Reduce consumption of resources. Could be achieved by
enhancing recyclability and closing of material loops
– Reduce environmental impact. This involves reducing
emissions of pollutants and their impact
– Increase product or service value. Provide more benefits to
consumers through increasing product functionality,
flexibility and modularity
• 7 elements have been identified for businesses to
improve their ecoeff1ciency; Table 17.3
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Changes from Eco-Efficiency
• Efforts to become eco-efficient are meant to
encourage companies toward four types of changes
1. Re-engineer their processes by decreasing
their resource intensity, and pollution intensity
2. Re-valorize their byproducts by efforts toward
zero-waste or 100% product
3. Re-design their products to use more
renewables, enhance recyclability, improve
durability, etc.
4. Re-think their markets; to improve their eco-
efficiency, companies will rethink their supply
and demand
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Traditional Engineering vs Eco-Efficiency
• Box 17.1; Eco-Efficiency in Industry [3];
• Volkswagen introduced the Lupo 3L in 1999 …
• Traditional engineering approach: Enhance efficiency
of individual processes
– Process integration to enhance energy, water, solvent
efficiency
– Improve efficiency of solar photovoltaic panels
– Design more efficient buildings – high efficiency appliances,
low flow faucets, tankless water heaters, etc.
• Eco-efficiency approach: Enhance efficiency at life
cycle scale
– Increasingly popular in industry
– Choose product components that minimize carbon and other
footprints
– Example: Unilever Co; Planet & Society
– http://www.unilever.com/sustainable-living/ourapproach/eco-
efficiencyinmanufacturing/performance/
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Measuring Eco-Efficiency
• Eco-efficiency; reduction of intensity of various kinds
of resources
• Intensity; ratio of a flow to or from environment to
production from the manufacturing process,
represented in physical or monetary units
• Interaction between system and environment
• May be indicated by mass of resources consumed,
or pollutants emitted
• Common measures of economic value
• Quantity produced, in physical or monetary units
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• Table 17.4; typical example of eco-efficiency metrics
reported by industry
• Results demonstrate increasing eco-efficiency over
time
• Reported intensities are decreasing
• Multitude of companies; annual sustainability
reports and other outlets
• Efforts to modify existing designs to enhance their
eco-efficiency.
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Measuring Eco-Efficiency
Examples of Eco-Efficiency
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.6
A factory emits 200 t/yr of C02 and uses 10,000 L/yr
of water to produce 50,000 units/yr of a bearing, with
an annual profit of $10,000. Determine its eco-
eff1ciency. By using a more efficient furnace, C02
emissions can be decreased by 15% for a 5%
decrease in profit. Water use and production rate
remain unchanged. What will be the eco-efficiency if
this furnace is installed?
Solution
• Eco-efficiency of factory; Equation
• Either production or profit as denominator
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• With production as denominator
• With higher-efficiency furnace
• C02 emissions become 0.85 x 200 = 170 t/yr
• Profit becomes 0.95 x 10, 000 = $9500
• Eco-efficiency values, for both denominators,
without (current) and with new furnace installed
(future); Table 17.5
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.6
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• Techno-economic analysis (section 17.1)
• Focuses on economic feasibility
• Primary goal of engineering design and decisions
• Sustainability requires consideration of other criteria
in addition to economic feasibility
• Various approaches for assessing sustainability
• Accounting for direct and indirect environmental
impacts of human activities
• This section; evaluating economic and
environmental aspects of engineering activities for
making decisions toward sustainability
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Process and Product Design
• Figure 17.1; evolution of engineering design over the last
several decades
• Before 1980s; industry did not consider environment in
its decisions: primary focus was to maximize
profitProtecting the environment was considered to be a
liability or a necessary evil
• Increasing environmental impact; environmental
regulation and laws
• New industrial practice; accounting for environmental
impact in design as a constraint
• Drawback; resulting design is not likely to improve
environmental performance beyond the imposed
constraint
• This approach; not possible to get innovative solutions
that can improve both economic and environmental
performance
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Process and Product Design
Evolution of Engineering Design
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Evolution of Engineering Design
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
• “Win-win” approach; view environmental protection as an
opportunity
• Design methods including reduction of local
environmental impact as an objective along with
profit maximization
• Need for decisions based on understanding and
addressing the trade-off that often exists between
economic and environmental goals
• Last 20+ years; evolution of environmental objective
• Consider environmental impact beyond direct
emissions from the process
• Include impact of emissions from entire life cycle of
engineering activity
• Approach evolving further toward working with nature
and respecting its limits; Ch-20.
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Process and Product Design
Sustainable Process Design
• Traditional design problem maximizes profit
• Incorporate sustainability considerations along with
maximizing profit
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Sustainable Process Design
• Sustainability requirements could be a constraint
• Better to consider sustainability as an objective
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Multicriteria Decision Making; Pareto Curve
• Design for sustainability involves multiple objectives
– Profit (maximize)
– Life cycle impact (minimize)
– Societal benefits (maximize)
• Need to find solutions that balance the trade-offs
• Pareto Curve
– Represents trade-off between objectives
– All solutions on Pareto curve are optimal
– Choosing a solution involves valuation
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Figure 17.2 Pareto curve showing trade-off between multiple objectives
• Fig 17.2; Design goal; minimize cost and minimize carbon
footprint
• Each point represents a feasible design, except D
• Design B is better than A for both objectives; “win-win“ design;
design B is said to dominate design A
• Similarly, design C dominates designs A and B
• Design D would dominate designs, A, B, and C
• However; not possible to develop design D owing to
physical, safety, and other constraints
• All the "win-lose" solutions lie on the curve.
• Pareto or trade-off curve
• One extreme; design with minimum carbon footprint
• Other extreme; design with minimum cost
• Designs above the Pareto curve; feasible
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Multicriteria Decision Making; Pareto Curve
Example 17.7
Your friend would like to buy a compact car from the list in
Table 17.6. Excluding hybrid cars, find the cars on the
Pareto curve and suggest a car for her to buy. Now include
hybrid models and answer the same questions.
Solution
• Goals are price and fuel economy
• Price and fuel economy of cars; Table 17.6
• Plotted in Fig 17.3
• Pareto curve that excludes hybrid cars
• Cars on this curve are Nissan Versa, Scion iQ, and
Honda Fit
• Your friend should choose between these cars
depending on relative importance of fuel economy
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Table 17.6 Price and fuel
economy data for 2015
compact cars.
Pareto Curve for Cars
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.7; contd
• Pareto curve that excludes hybrid cars
• Cars on this curve are Nissan Versa, Scion iQ, and
Honda Fit
• Your friend should choose between these cars
depending on relative importance of fuel economy
versus price
• If she is highly price-conscious; choose Nissan Versa
• If she is highly conscious about fuel use; Honda Fit
may be a good choice
• Toyota Yaris may be a good compromise between price
and fuel economy.
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Example 17.7; contd
• Approximate Pareto curve after including hybrid cars;
also shown in Fig 17.3
• Small number of hybrid models in this table; not possible
to obtain a more accurate curve
• Toyota Prius lies on this curve; may be a good choice
• Notice that with inclusion of hybrid cars
• Pareto curve for conventional cars shifts to a region
that is infeasible with conventional technology
• Example of innovation resulting in expansion of design
space and finding win-win solutions
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
54
Heuristic Design
• With experience, engineers usually identify
heuristics or rules of thumb to guide the design
process
• No guarantee of an optimal design
• Solution may even be incorrect in some situations
• However, in most design situations, heuristics
help by eliminating many alternatives and
expediting the design process
• For example, some heuristics used by chemical
engineers; BOX 17.2
• 12 Principles of Green Chemistry [5]
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
55
BOX 17.2: 12 Principles of Green Engineering [6]
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
1. Inherent rather than circumstantial - Designers need to strive
to ensure that all material and energy inputs and outputs are
as inherently nonhazardous as possible.
2. Prevention instead of treatment - It is better to prevent waste
than to treat or clean up waste after it is formed.
3. Design for separation - Separation and purification operations
should be designed to minimize energy consumption and
materials use.
4. Maximize mass, energy, space, and time efficiency - Products,
processes, and systems should be designed to maximize mass,
energy, space, and time efficiency.
5. Output-pulled versus input-pushed - Products, processes, and
systems should be “output pulled” rather than “input pushed”
through the use of energy and materials.
6. Conserve complexity - Embedded entropy and complexity must
be viewed as an investment when making design choices on
recycle, reuse, or beneficial disposition.
56
BOX 17.2: 12 Principles of Green Engineering [6]
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
7. Durability rather than immortality - Targeted durability, not
immortality, should be a design goal.
8. Meet need, minimize excess - Design for unnecessary capacity
or capability (e.g., “one size fits all”) solutions should be
considered a design flaw.
9. Minimize material diversity - Material diversity in
multicomponent products should be minimized to promote
disassembly and value retention.
10.Integrate local material and energy flows - Design of products,
processes, and systems must include integration and
interconnectivity with available energy and materials flows
11.Design for commercial “afterlife” - Products, processes, and
systems should be designed for performance in a commercial
“afterlife”.
12.Renewable rather than depleting - Material and energy inputs
should be renewable rather than depleting
57
Shortcomings of Life Cycle Design
• Normalized metrics can be misleading
– Improvement in metrics is possible without reducing
environmental impact, just by economic growth
• Focus is on continuous improvement
– Maintains status quo by continuing to use inherently
unsustainable products – focus on doing “less bad”
– Current methods need not encourage a shift away from
such products or breakthrough innovation
• Economic aspects could lead to rebound effect
• Most methods ignore ecological capacity to absorb
emissions and resource extraction
• Wicked nature of sustainability
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
Summary
• Techno-economic analysis considers economic
sustainability
• Eco-efficiency combines aspects of environmental
and economic sustainability
• Engineering design has evolved from ignoring the
environment to considering life cycle impacts
• Sustainable design problems involve multiple
objectives and constraints
Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice

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Fundamentals of sustainable engineeringg

  • 1. Part II Reasons for Unsustainability 1
  • 2. What Causes Environmental Impact? • Underlying reasons for conflict between human and environmental well-being? • A simple but insightful way of understanding the causes underlying the environmental impact of human activities; IPAT equation • Highlights relationship of impact with population, consumption (affluence), and technology l = P * A * T • I: total environmental impact • P: population • A: affluence measured as consumption per capita • T: technology in terms of environmental impact per unit of consumption. 2 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 3. What Causes Environmental Impact? • Relevance of diverse cross-disciplinary factors in determining environmental impact • Relevance of engineering; T term • A and P terms are influenced by other disciplines such as economics, business, and social sciences • Next few chapters; how various disciplines have contributed to unsustainability • Essential for devising meaningful solutions toward sustainable engineering. 3 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Impact = Population x Consumption x Pollution Capita Consumption
  • 4. Reasons for Unsustainability • Role of – Economics – Business – Science and Engineering – Societal and Human Behavior • Need to understand the problems to identify possible solutions 4 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 5. 4. Economics and the Environment 5 Nature did not appear much in twentieth century economics, and it doesn’t do so in current economic modeling. When asked, economists acknowledge nature’s existence, but most deny that she is worth much. - Partha Dasgupta Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 6. Economics and the Environment • Important component of human well-being; economic well-being • Usually measured in monetary terms • Economic activities mostly determined by markets • Markets play an important role in determining production and consumption of economic goods and services • Economic activity relies on goods and services from nature • It can strongly influence their availability and status 6 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 7. How can Economics Hurt the Environment? • Economic activities, methods, and policies can contribute to increasing ecological degradation and unsustainability of human activities • Reason 1 – External social cost of economic activity is not included in the price; ignoring the role of ecosystems in supporting economic activities by keeping nature outside the economic system or market • Reason 2 – Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to justify decisions with long-term benefits; valuing the present more than the future, which makes it difficult to justify decisions that have long-term environmental benefits 7 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 8. How can Economics Hurt the Environment? • Reason 3 – Assumption of perfect substitutabiliy between natural / ecological and economic capital / resources • Reason 4 – Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature for granted; not accounting fully for the physical basis of the economy 8 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 9. 9 Components • Ideally; competitive market consists of buyers and sellers interacting with each other according to the prices of goods and services • In general, if price increases, demand for that product decreases; iron ore demand curve in Fig- 4.1 • Other line; marginal cost or supply curve • Represents the effect of producing and selling goods in the marketplace • Cost of each additional ton of iron ore that is extracted Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 10. Figure 4.1 Elements of a free market
  • 11. 11 • First few tons extracted by suppliers; least expensive to extract • As more ore is extracted, cost of each additional ton increases • New ore may be more difficult to extract, transport, or process into products • Marginal cost curve represents this additional cost • First derivative of total cost of ore extraction versus number of tons extracted • Competitive industry would always increase production so that marginal cost and price are equal Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 12. Figure 4.1 Elements of a free market
  • 13. 13 – Competitive market – Interaction between demand and supply (marginal cost) curves – Tends to reach equilibrium at intersection of both – Equilibrium; point A in Fig 4.1 (a) – Even if there is a perturbation from this point due to changes in price or production; market brings the system back to equilibrium Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 14. 14 – Consider a situation to the left of equilibrium – Point B; buyers are willing to pay $30 per ton – Point C; extracting an additional ton of ore will cost about $10 – Opportunity for profit will encourage extraction of additional ore – More ore will be extracted and sold in the market; causing points B and C to move toward each other; until equilibrium (point A) is reached. – If current situation is to the right of point A – Cost of extracting each additional ton of ore exceeds what people are willing to pay – Extractors will reduce production because they would incur a loss for the additional tons extracted – System will move toward Point A Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 15. 15 Characteristics – Most attractive feature of competitive markets – Ability to find solutions that balance trade-offs – Fig 4.1 b; triangle APQ represents benefit of market to consumers – Market price of ore of $16 per ton is much less than what many consumers are willing to pay for it – There are people willing to pay a range of values between $16 and $56 per ton – Area of triangle APQ represents “consumer surplus" (monetary benefit to society due to free market equilibrium) Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 16. Figure 4.1 Elements of a free market
  • 17. 17 – Similarly, free market is beneficial for producers as well – Producers spend an amount less than or equal to market price for extracting a ton of ore – Marginal cost curve; all tons of ore until the 22nd cost the producers less than the market price of $16 per ton; profit – Total profit to all producers; triangle APR in Fig 4.lb; "producer surplus" Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 18. 18 Competitive Markets - Illustration • Suppose production at 10 million tpy – Price would be $40, which is $33 greater than cost of more output – Producers would increase production • Suppose production at 25 million tpy – Marginal cost of $18 is above price of $10 – Industry would decrease production • This competitive equilibrium gives maximum benefit to producers and consumers 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 3 $70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Demand Curve, P Marginal Cost million tons per year Dollars per ton 22 16 33 -8 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 19. 19 Assumptions – For free market to result in optimally efficient solution, following conditions need to be satisfied 1. All industries are competitive 2. Consumers and producers have economic knowledge about the costs and benefits of their actions 3. Everyone in the market is driven by the desire for maximum financial gain 4. There is no benefit of increasing the scale of an activity (no economies of scale) 5. There are no external or ignored social costs such as damage to society, employees, or environment Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 20. 20 – These assumptions of free markets are commonly violated – The system then does not maximize benefits to consumers and producers – Some violations may encourage human actions that cause excessive ecological degradation; unsustainable Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 21. 21 Macroeconomy – Above discussion; market for a single product – Macroeconomic system involves multiple markets interacting with each other – Mainstream or “neoclassical” economics; Fig 4.2 – Overall economy consists of firms and households – Firms supply goods and services to households, for which households pay firms – Households supply factors of production (land, labor, capital) to firms, for which firms pay households – Lower loop; goods market – Prices are determined by interaction between producers and consumers; previous section – Upper loop; factors market Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 22. 22 • Factors market; term used by economists for all resources that businesses use to purchase, rent, or hire what they need in order to produce goods or services • These needs are the factors of production; include raw materials, land, labor, and capital • Factors market; also called the input market • All markets are either factor markets (where businesses obtain the resources they need), or goods and services markets (where consumers make their purchases) Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 23. Macroeconomy – Neoclassical View Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Figure 4.2 Typical view of the economy in most neoclassical economics texts
  • 24. 24 – Tis worldview; goal of economy is to maximize GDP – GDP is an indicator of economic activity in a given period – GDP may be calculated as total income or total expenditure in the economy – Outer loop of Fig 4.2 – Total income or total expenditure are equal under assumption of a steady state in that time period – Reasonable assumption; expenditure from one activity must be another's income – Greater circulation of money is good since it increases GDP – This should translate into greater prosperity and economic well-being – Historical trend of GDP; Ch-1; dramatic increase in per capita GDP over the centuries Basics of Free Markets Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 25. How Can Economics Hurt the Environment? • Reason 1 – External social cost of economic activity is not included in the price • Reason 2 – Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to justify decisions with long-term benefits • Reason 3 – Assumption of perfect substitutabiliy between natural and economic capital causes loss of NC • Reason 4 – Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature for granted 25 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 26. Environmental Externalities • Reason-1: External social cost of economic activity is not included in the price • Price of an economic activity does not include its impact on all relevant resources • Then market will be blind to the impact of this activity on ignored resources • For such resources, marginal cost curve (Fig 4.1) does not change as the ignored resources are affected and altered • Such resources or services (not included in the market); called externalities • Market is unable to balance trade-offs between economic activities and externalities, and • Fails to find the economically efficient win-win solution 26 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 27. Environmental Externalities • An externality occurs in economics when a decision causes costs or benefits to individuals or groups other than the person making the decision • Decision-maker does not bear all the costs or reap all the gains from his action • Result; in a competitive market, too much or too little of the good will be consumed • Examples – Impact of automotive use on human health due to air pollution – Impact of nice garden on neighbor's house price 27 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 28. • Example; if transportation is available at no cost • Role of this activity is not included in the price of ore • Marginal cost of ore is not affected by changes in the transportation network • Deterioration of transportation system will not affect the price of ore • No feedback that maintains feasibility of transportation system or prefers mines that are easier to access • Importance of transportation may be felt only after a significant disruption; severe repercussions for the mining industry 28 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Environmental Externalities
  • 29. Positive Externalities • Example; benefits of a nice garden to neighbors • Neighbors do not pay for the garden but benefit from it • Garden adds value to the neighborhood and may even increase home prices • Example; use of natural wetlands to treat industrial or municipal wastewater • Cost of maintaining the wetland is borne by the company or municipality • Benefits such as increase in biodiversity, aesthetic value, carbon sequestration, and maintenance of the water table are available to society, which does not pay for the benefits 29 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 30. Negative Externalities • Example; community in which each residence pays for water in proportion to quantity of water used • Costs incurred by each residence cover resources used • To withdraw the water: electricity and pumps • To treat the water: chemicals • To transport the water: pipes and electricity • To clean the water at sewage treatment facility • These costs do not include cost of the water itself • Example; market price of oil usually excludes costs such as • Impact of CO2 emissions • Ground-level ozone pollution • Contribution of national defense to ensuring safety of oil-carrying ships 30 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 31. • Situation in terms of demand and supply curves; Fig 4.3; water • Inclusion of cost of externalities (external social cost) in marginal cost • Curve shifts upward; dashed line • For given demand curve, market equilibrium with true marginal cost will be at point A’ • Keeping full cost of water outside the market • Equilibrium at point A; encourages overconsumption, since point A is to the right of point A' • This overconsumption often results in ecological degradation and unsustainable economic growth 31 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Negative Externalities
  • 32. Figure 4.3 Effect of negative externalities in a free market; water use
  • 33. Tragedy of the Commons • One way in which economics has contributed to degradation of ecosystems • Conventional markets have ignored the role of nature • Have made ecosystem goods and services negative externalities • Result; overconsumption and ecological deterioration • Such a situation; also referred to as a "tragedy of the commons” • Term popularized by Hardin [5] 33 Hardin, G., Science, 1968 www.dfd.dlr.de/app/land/aralsee/
  • 34. Tragedy of the Commons • “Commons" refers to common property or public goods • Goods such as air, public land, oceans, rivers, biogeochemical cycles, etc • Belong to everyone and are usually outside the market • Each user of such goods benefits from access to them • Benefit is to the user, but impact is spread across a larger area or population, including other users and non-users. 34 Hardin, G., Science, 1968 www.dfd.dlr.de/app/land/aralsee/
  • 35. Tragedy of the Commons • Another example. Benefit of commuting by car is to the driver, but • Impact of tailpipe emissions is borne not just by the driver but by a much larger population • Including those who do not commute by car • Benefit is privatized, while impact is socialized • More individuals choose to commute by car • Common property of clean air gets polluted • Some specific examples; Box 4.1 • Many environmental problems are such tragedies – Aral sea (1960-1994) (http://vimeo.com/6912220) – Lake Erie – Plastics in the Ocean 35 www.dfd.dlr.de/app/land/aralsee/
  • 36. • Potential solutions include regulations, taxes, emissions trading, etc • Implementation faces challenges due to social, political, and cultural factors • Chapter 21 36 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Environmental Externalities; Solutions
  • 37. How Can Economics Hurt the Environment? • Reason 1 – External social cost of economic activity is not included in the price • Reason 2 – Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to justify decisions with long-term benefits • Reason 3 – Assumption of perfect substitutability between natural and economic capital causes loss of NC • Reason 4 – Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature for granted 37 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 38. 38 Benefit-Cost Analysis and Discounting • Economists make decisions via benefit-cost (BC) analysis • Example; capital cost of setting up a manufacturing process incurred at beginning of project • While benefits are obtained every year over life of the facility • Value of money changes over time • Should be considered when comparing monetary flows at different times • Concept of discounting; used for dealing with changing value of money over time. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 39. 39 Benefit-Cost Analysis and Discounting • Basic equation used for BC calculations • P: present value • F: future value • r: interest or discount rate • n: number of years • Discounting gives more value the present than the future; higher the discount rate, greater the value of the present versus the future – Okay for buying cars, houses – Not okay for basic amenities – water, food, natural capital Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 40. 40 Benefit-Cost Analysis and Discounting – A higher discount rate prefers the present over the future – Would give less importance to expenses that have a benefit far into the future – Most environmental challenges – Requires expenses today for benefits in the future. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 41. Example 4.1 A significant catastrophe of $500 billion is predicted 50 years from now as a result of greenhouse gas emissions. This could be avoided by spending $10 billion today. Does it make sense to spend the money today? Consider discount rates of 10% and 3%. Solution • Discount rate, r=10% – Future value is F = $5 x 1011 – Present value at 10% interest is P = 5x1011/(1.1)50 = $4.3 x 109 – Expense today is not justified (4.3x109 < 1x1010) 41 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 42. • Discount rate, r = 3% – Present value at 10% interest is $114 billion – Spending $10 billion today to prevent a catastrophe that will result in a future loss of $114 billion in today's dollars is justified. 42 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 43. Present Value; Annual Expenses • If expenses are incurred annually, present value changes over time • A is annual cost • More details about this equation and its use in engineering design; Ch-17. 43 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 44. Example: Visibility in the Grand Canyon • Clear day • Moderately hazy day • Hazy day • Loss of visibility due to power plant SO2 emissions 44 http://www.aqd.nps.gov/ard/parks/grca/grcaimp.htm
  • 45. Example 4.2 American National Parks attract thousands of visitors from all over the world for their views and recreation opportunities. However, visibility in many parks is often poor, as shown in earlier Figure. One reason for the loss of visibility is identified to be the presence of a local coal-burning power plant. For the Grand Canyon, the US National Park Service analyzed the cost of reducing visibility-impairing pollution from the power plant and the benefit of improved visibility in the park [6]. 45 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 46. Example 4.2; contd • Costs of pollution control (SO2 emission) at power plant – Capital cost of sulfur removal equipment: $330 million at beginning of project – Operation and maintenance cost of equipment: $75 million per year • Benefits of better visibility – Visitors' willingness to pay for better visibility: $210 million per year Does it make economic sense to implement this project? 46 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 48. Discounting and Interest Rates • What is the appropriate interest rate if cost is incurred now, but benefits are far into the future? • Present value of a dollar worth of benefit after 20 years is [F = P(1+r)n] – 15 cents with 10% interest – 55 cents with 3% interest • Higher interest rate implies that the future is worth less than the present • Is this how you think? • BOX 4.2 Stern-Nordhaus Debate about Discounting Climate Change 48 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 49. Illustration: Fire Suppression (Self Study) • Present value of annual amount PV = 1 - (1+r)-n * Annual Amount r • Consider cost versus benefit of fire suppression at different discount rates 49 Case I: Discount Case II: Discount Rate is 10%/yr Rate is 3%/yr A. Assumed benefit, 50 years $ 50 million/yr $50 million/yr B. Cost of fire suppression $750 million now $750 million now C. Levelized cost factor (lcf) for 50 years 0.101 0.039 D. Levelized annual cost $76 million/yr $29 million/yr E. Net benefits -$26 million/yr +$21 million/yr F. Benefit-cost ratio 0.66 1.72 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 50. What is the Correct Discount Rate? • Environmental benefits in the future are not worth much today! • Is discounting of natural capital appropriate? • Is poor health for your children not worth much to you today? • Economists suggest a 3% social discount rate - smaller than private discount rate • Benefit-Cost analysis is becoming more popular for policy making • Alternate methods that are based on scientific principles are also being developed Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 51. How Can Economics Hurt the Environment? • Reason 1 – External social cost of economic activity is not included in the price • Reason 2 – Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to justify decisions with long-term benefits • Reason 3 – Assumption of perfect substitutability between natural and economic capital causes loss of NC • Reason 4 – Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature for granted 51 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 52. Substitutability • Economics represents all activities and goods in terms of monetary value • Accounts for a large number of factors • Human preference • Supply of raw materials • Cost of labor • Environmental impact, etc • Implicit assumption in using a common unit • Substitutability between diverse flows 52 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 53. Substitutability • This assumption of substitutability make sense for many economic flows • Substitutable sources of energy include coal, natural gas, crude oil, sunlight, wind, etc. • For building houses, substitutable materials include stone, wood, and cement. • Modes of transportation are substitutable 53 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 54. Substitutability • Going beyond products, economists also usually assume substitutability between factors required for economic activity such as labor and capital. • Equation called the production function [7]: Y = F(K,L) K: capital; L: labor • Many combinations of K and L can result in the same value of Y • Capital and labor are assumed to be substitutable 54 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 55. Substitutability • Capital in the form of machinery and automation often replaces human and animal labor • Tractors have replaced animals for ploughing fields • Automated checkout counters at supermarkets are replacing human cashiers • Assumption of substitutability seems quite reasonable for many products • However, there are limitations, particularly when dealing with ecosystem goods and services. Nevertheless, economic theory 55 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 56. Substitutability • Is economic capital a substitute for natural capital? – Plastic for wood – Water purification plant for wetlands – Artificial fertilizers for organic manures – Machines for animal power • Is there perfect substitutability? – Water? – Carbon sequestration? – Wetlands? – Fish in ocean? • Perfect substitutability can violate the laws of mass and energy conservation • Can also violate second law, which says that resources can move spontaneously in only one direction 56 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 57. Substitutability • In reality, substitutability is limited • Developing substitutes for the following is not possible with current technology and may never be possible • Climate regulation • Biogeochemical cycles of carbon and nitrogen • Water cycle, etc • Exhausting many natural resources could indeed be a catastrophe, not just an event! 57 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 58. How Can Economics Hurt the Environment? • Reason 1 – External social cost of economic activity is not included in the price • Reason 2 – Discounting gives less importance to the future - difficult to justify decisions with long-term benefits • Reason 3 – Assumption of perfect substitutability between natural and economic capital causes loss of NC • Reason 4 – Ignoring the physical basis of the economy takes nature for granted 58 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 59. • Fig 4.2; conventional view of economy; next page • Inner loop flows • Physical goods • Including items produced by firms and consumed by households • Such as cars, food, fuel, etc • Outer loop • Money flowing in the opposite direction 59 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Economy – Scientific View
  • 60. Macroeconomy – Neoclassical View Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Figure 4.2 Typical view of the economy in most neoclassical economics texts
  • 61. • Look at this diagram from a physical point of view; as for a manufacturing process. • Diagram looks strange • Goods are flowing in the system and enabling economic activity without any external inputs or outputs • In economy, order is desired in economic goods and services • Similarity in thermodynamics; need for any system to maintain itself in a state of low entropy • External inputs are required • Fig 4.2; without any external inputs; perpetual motion machine, which is impossible! 61 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Economy – Scientific View
  • 62. • In reality, economy involves many flows in addition to those that are considered in neoclassical economics • A more complete diagram; Fig 4.7 [10] • This system includes the environment • Source of resources to firms • Absorbs the wastes produced by economic activities • This view; economy is nested within environment; is dependent on it and is governed by all the laws of nature • Economy is not a perpetual motion 62 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Economy – Scientific View
  • 63. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Figure 4.7 Interaction between biosphere and economy
  • 64. • Any discipline that takes nature for granted is likely to contribute to ecological degradation and encourage unsustainable activities • New developments in economics are addressing these issues [2, 3] • Environmental economics • Ecological economics, • Ch-21; how these developments can contribute to sustainable development. 64 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Economy – Scientific View
  • 65. Key Ideas and Concepts 65 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 66. Part IV Solutions for Sustainability How do we develop sustainable systems?
  • 67. Solutions for Sustainability • Virtually all disciplines contribute to the unsustainability of human activities • Solutions also stem from multiple disciplines • Focus here; solutions that may be designed by engineers • However, “design” in a broad sense • Design of technological solutions, ecosystems, policies, and human behavior • Also; solutions that are based in economics and societal transformation Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 68. 17. Designing Sustainable Processes and Products The last word in ignorance is the man who says of an animal or plant: “What good is it?” If the land mechanism as a whole is good, then every part is good, whether we understand it or not. If the biota, in the course of eons, has built something we like but do not understand, then who but a fool would discard seemingly useless parts? To keep every cog and wheel is the first precaution of intelligent tinkering. -- Aldo Leopold Am er i can w r i t er ,phi l osopher ,nat ur al i st ,sci ent i st ,ecol ogi st ,f or est er , conser vat i oni st ,and envi r onm ent al i st . A Sand Count yAl m anac:And Sket ches Her e and Ther e i s a 1949 non- f i ct i on book byAm er i can ecol ogi st ,f or est er ,and envi r onm ent al i stAl do Leopol d.Descr i bi ng t he l and ar ound t he aut hor ' s hom e i n Sauk Count y,W i sconsi n,t he col l ect i on ofessays advocat e Leopol d' s i dea ofa " l and et hi c" ,ora r esponsi bl e r el at i onshi p exi st i ng bet w een peopl e and t he l and t heyi nhabi t .
  • 69. Introduction • Sustainability assessment; for choosing among alternatives, their footprint or life cycle environmental impact is usually one among multiple objectives. • Rare to select an option just because it has smallest environmental impact • Other factors also important • Economic feasibility • Societal preference; etc Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 70. Introduction • This chapter; approaches that utilize environmental sustainability assessment methods, along with • Methods for assessing economic feasibility • Incorporation of sustainability considerations in tasks such as • Engineering design • Corporate strategy • Government policy • Consumer choices. • Emphasis on design of manufacturing processes and products. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 71. Introduction • Sustainability assessment methods are being used to guide engineering decisions – Product design – Process design – Supply chain management – Corporate strategy • These approaches go beyond traditional methods for enhancing profit or efficiency of a single process • Life cycle aspects are usually included • Covered here; techno-economic analysis, eco- efficiency, process and product design Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 72. Techno-Economic Analysis • Techno-economic analysis (TEA) • Estimates economic feasibility of technological alternatives • Popular and practical approach • Focus here; common methods for engineering economic or cost analysis • Essential for quantifying the economic bottom line • Essential component of sustainability Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 73. Techno-Economic Analysis • Methods for techno-economic analysis (TEA) • Goal; assess and choose between technological options • Use of conventional economic analysis • Later; methods that combine such economic analysis with environmental sustainability assessment’ • Eco-efficiency; metrics combine the quantification of environmental impact with measures of economic feasibility Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 74. Techno-Economic Analysis • How has engineering design evolved over the decades toward its current focus on sustainable development • Formulating sustainable product and process design problems as multi-objective optimization • Trade-off between these objectives • Heuristic principles (rules of thumb) also suggested for environmentally friendlier decisions in chemistry and engineering Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 75. Techno-Economic Analysis • Total Cost (C) = Capital cost + Operating cost • Capital cost: buildings, materials, land, etc. • Operating cost: raw materials, labor, utilities, depreciation, etc. • Revenue (R): Earnings from selling products, byproducts, carbon credits, etc. • Gross profit (Pg) and Net profit (Pg) Phi; tax rate; D: depreciation allowance • Components of total capital investment; Table 17.1 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 76. Table 17.1 Components of total capital investment [3]
  • 77. Techno-Economic Analysis • Operating costs • Raw materials, utilities, labor, depreciation, maintenance, taxes, etc • Take place throughout life of manufacturing process • Depreciation (D) • Straight-line method • Divide capital cost of depreciating asset by life • Typical components of total production cost (C); Table 17.2 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 78. Table 17 .2 Constituents of total production cost and gross profit [4]
  • 79. Costs and Earnings • Revenue (R); earned from selling products in the marketplace • Additional revenue (may be); credits such as those due to carbon trading or selling waste heat or byproducts; Ch-19 and 21 • End of life; equipment, buildings, and other capital may have some salvage value • Various stages of engineering design • Early stages; approximate cost estimation methods Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 80. Example 17.1 The total capital investment needed for a new process is $20 million. Out of this, $8 million depreciates at the rate of 2 percent per year. The expected revenue per year is $1 million and the total cost before depreciation is $800,000. Calculate the gross and net profit for this process. The tax rate is 20%. Solution Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 81. Time Value of Money • Simple interest: • Compound interest: • If interest is compounded at rate other than annual (m number of periods per year) • Present value of operating cost incurred every year • If payments are made in m periods per year Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 82. Example 17.3 A particular car costs $20,000. Fuel, insurance, and maintenance cost $1800 per year. Assuming that the operating costs are paid at the beginning of each year, what is the total cost of the car over a five-year period in terms of present dollars, at an annual interest rate of 8%? Solution Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 83.
  • 84. Profitability Metrics • Determining and comparing the economic feasibility of alternatives requires metrics that utilize information about costs and revenue streams • First two metrics: do not take into account time value of money • Next two metrics: take into account time value of money Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 85. Profitability Metrics Return on investment (ROI) • Ratio of profit to capital cost • Annual rate of monetary return that may be obtained from investing capital in the design • If profit or investment vary over time • Average values used to calculate ROI • Eng corporations; minimum annual ROI required for a project to be considered monetarily feasible • Similarities between this monetary ROI and energy ROI defined in Eq 12.4 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 86. Profitability Metrics Payback period (PBP) • Time required for investment to pay off; ratio of • Direct capital investment Δ (item-1 of total capital investment in Table 17.1) to • Annual cash flow, which consists of net earnings and depreciation (Pn + D) Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 87. Profitability Metrics Net Present Value (NPV) • Present value of all cash flows • Initial investment Co • Recurring earning Ci every year • Feasibility requires a positive NPV Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 88. Profitability Metrics Discounted cashflow rate of return (DCFR) • Interest rate i that results in a zero NPV • This equation usually needs to be solved by trial and error • For project to be feasible • DCFR should be greater than minimum rate of return acceptable to the investor Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 89. Example 17.5 A capital investment of a million dollars yields a steady earnings stream of $50,000 every year as net profit. Calculate the return on investment and net present value. You may use an interest rate of 8%, and assume depreciation to be 10% per year. Solution Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 92. Note • Previous section; methods to analyze and design engineering systems based on their economic feasibility • However, sustainability requires consideration of environmental and societal aspects • Outside the market • Not captured by monetary values • Remaining chapter • Addressing these multiple goals of sustainable engineering Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 93. Eco-Efficiency • Eco-efficiency; approach popularized by World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) • Reducing environmental impact while increasing economic value to a company [3] • Creating more value with less impact • WBCSD definition of eco-eff1ciency • “Eco-efficiency is achieved by the delivery of competitively-priced goods and services that satisfy human needs and bring quality of life, while progressively reducing ecological impacts and resource intensity throughout the life-cycle to a level at least in line with the earth’s carrying capacity.” Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 94. Eco-Efficiency • Three main objectives – Reduce consumption of resources. Could be achieved by enhancing recyclability and closing of material loops – Reduce environmental impact. This involves reducing emissions of pollutants and their impact – Increase product or service value. Provide more benefits to consumers through increasing product functionality, flexibility and modularity • 7 elements have been identified for businesses to improve their ecoeff1ciency; Table 17.3 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 95.
  • 96. Changes from Eco-Efficiency • Efforts to become eco-efficient are meant to encourage companies toward four types of changes 1. Re-engineer their processes by decreasing their resource intensity, and pollution intensity 2. Re-valorize their byproducts by efforts toward zero-waste or 100% product 3. Re-design their products to use more renewables, enhance recyclability, improve durability, etc. 4. Re-think their markets; to improve their eco- efficiency, companies will rethink their supply and demand Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 97. Traditional Engineering vs Eco-Efficiency • Box 17.1; Eco-Efficiency in Industry [3]; • Volkswagen introduced the Lupo 3L in 1999 … • Traditional engineering approach: Enhance efficiency of individual processes – Process integration to enhance energy, water, solvent efficiency – Improve efficiency of solar photovoltaic panels – Design more efficient buildings – high efficiency appliances, low flow faucets, tankless water heaters, etc. • Eco-efficiency approach: Enhance efficiency at life cycle scale – Increasingly popular in industry – Choose product components that minimize carbon and other footprints – Example: Unilever Co; Planet & Society – http://www.unilever.com/sustainable-living/ourapproach/eco- efficiencyinmanufacturing/performance/ Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 98. Measuring Eco-Efficiency • Eco-efficiency; reduction of intensity of various kinds of resources • Intensity; ratio of a flow to or from environment to production from the manufacturing process, represented in physical or monetary units • Interaction between system and environment • May be indicated by mass of resources consumed, or pollutants emitted • Common measures of economic value • Quantity produced, in physical or monetary units Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 99. • Table 17.4; typical example of eco-efficiency metrics reported by industry • Results demonstrate increasing eco-efficiency over time • Reported intensities are decreasing • Multitude of companies; annual sustainability reports and other outlets • Efforts to modify existing designs to enhance their eco-efficiency. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Measuring Eco-Efficiency
  • 100. Examples of Eco-Efficiency Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 101. Example 17.6 A factory emits 200 t/yr of C02 and uses 10,000 L/yr of water to produce 50,000 units/yr of a bearing, with an annual profit of $10,000. Determine its eco- eff1ciency. By using a more efficient furnace, C02 emissions can be decreased by 15% for a 5% decrease in profit. Water use and production rate remain unchanged. What will be the eco-efficiency if this furnace is installed? Solution • Eco-efficiency of factory; Equation • Either production or profit as denominator Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 102. • With production as denominator • With higher-efficiency furnace • C02 emissions become 0.85 x 200 = 170 t/yr • Profit becomes 0.95 x 10, 000 = $9500 • Eco-efficiency values, for both denominators, without (current) and with new furnace installed (future); Table 17.5 Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Example 17.6
  • 104. • Techno-economic analysis (section 17.1) • Focuses on economic feasibility • Primary goal of engineering design and decisions • Sustainability requires consideration of other criteria in addition to economic feasibility • Various approaches for assessing sustainability • Accounting for direct and indirect environmental impacts of human activities • This section; evaluating economic and environmental aspects of engineering activities for making decisions toward sustainability Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Process and Product Design
  • 105. • Figure 17.1; evolution of engineering design over the last several decades • Before 1980s; industry did not consider environment in its decisions: primary focus was to maximize profitProtecting the environment was considered to be a liability or a necessary evil • Increasing environmental impact; environmental regulation and laws • New industrial practice; accounting for environmental impact in design as a constraint • Drawback; resulting design is not likely to improve environmental performance beyond the imposed constraint • This approach; not possible to get innovative solutions that can improve both economic and environmental performance Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Process and Product Design
  • 106. Evolution of Engineering Design Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 107. Evolution of Engineering Design Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 108. • “Win-win” approach; view environmental protection as an opportunity • Design methods including reduction of local environmental impact as an objective along with profit maximization • Need for decisions based on understanding and addressing the trade-off that often exists between economic and environmental goals • Last 20+ years; evolution of environmental objective • Consider environmental impact beyond direct emissions from the process • Include impact of emissions from entire life cycle of engineering activity • Approach evolving further toward working with nature and respecting its limits; Ch-20. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Process and Product Design
  • 109. Sustainable Process Design • Traditional design problem maximizes profit • Incorporate sustainability considerations along with maximizing profit Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 110. Sustainable Process Design • Sustainability requirements could be a constraint • Better to consider sustainability as an objective Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 111. Multicriteria Decision Making; Pareto Curve • Design for sustainability involves multiple objectives – Profit (maximize) – Life cycle impact (minimize) – Societal benefits (maximize) • Need to find solutions that balance the trade-offs • Pareto Curve – Represents trade-off between objectives – All solutions on Pareto curve are optimal – Choosing a solution involves valuation Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 112. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Figure 17.2 Pareto curve showing trade-off between multiple objectives
  • 113. • Fig 17.2; Design goal; minimize cost and minimize carbon footprint • Each point represents a feasible design, except D • Design B is better than A for both objectives; “win-win“ design; design B is said to dominate design A • Similarly, design C dominates designs A and B • Design D would dominate designs, A, B, and C • However; not possible to develop design D owing to physical, safety, and other constraints • All the "win-lose" solutions lie on the curve. • Pareto or trade-off curve • One extreme; design with minimum carbon footprint • Other extreme; design with minimum cost • Designs above the Pareto curve; feasible Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice Multicriteria Decision Making; Pareto Curve
  • 114. Example 17.7 Your friend would like to buy a compact car from the list in Table 17.6. Excluding hybrid cars, find the cars on the Pareto curve and suggest a car for her to buy. Now include hybrid models and answer the same questions. Solution • Goals are price and fuel economy • Price and fuel economy of cars; Table 17.6 • Plotted in Fig 17.3 • Pareto curve that excludes hybrid cars • Cars on this curve are Nissan Versa, Scion iQ, and Honda Fit • Your friend should choose between these cars depending on relative importance of fuel economy Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 115. Table 17.6 Price and fuel economy data for 2015 compact cars.
  • 116. Pareto Curve for Cars Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 117. Example 17.7; contd • Pareto curve that excludes hybrid cars • Cars on this curve are Nissan Versa, Scion iQ, and Honda Fit • Your friend should choose between these cars depending on relative importance of fuel economy versus price • If she is highly price-conscious; choose Nissan Versa • If she is highly conscious about fuel use; Honda Fit may be a good choice • Toyota Yaris may be a good compromise between price and fuel economy. Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 118. Example 17.7; contd • Approximate Pareto curve after including hybrid cars; also shown in Fig 17.3 • Small number of hybrid models in this table; not possible to obtain a more accurate curve • Toyota Prius lies on this curve; may be a good choice • Notice that with inclusion of hybrid cars • Pareto curve for conventional cars shifts to a region that is infeasible with conventional technology • Example of innovation resulting in expansion of design space and finding win-win solutions Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 119. 54 Heuristic Design • With experience, engineers usually identify heuristics or rules of thumb to guide the design process • No guarantee of an optimal design • Solution may even be incorrect in some situations • However, in most design situations, heuristics help by eliminating many alternatives and expediting the design process • For example, some heuristics used by chemical engineers; BOX 17.2 • 12 Principles of Green Chemistry [5] Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 120. 55 BOX 17.2: 12 Principles of Green Engineering [6] Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice 1. Inherent rather than circumstantial - Designers need to strive to ensure that all material and energy inputs and outputs are as inherently nonhazardous as possible. 2. Prevention instead of treatment - It is better to prevent waste than to treat or clean up waste after it is formed. 3. Design for separation - Separation and purification operations should be designed to minimize energy consumption and materials use. 4. Maximize mass, energy, space, and time efficiency - Products, processes, and systems should be designed to maximize mass, energy, space, and time efficiency. 5. Output-pulled versus input-pushed - Products, processes, and systems should be “output pulled” rather than “input pushed” through the use of energy and materials. 6. Conserve complexity - Embedded entropy and complexity must be viewed as an investment when making design choices on recycle, reuse, or beneficial disposition.
  • 121. 56 BOX 17.2: 12 Principles of Green Engineering [6] Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice 7. Durability rather than immortality - Targeted durability, not immortality, should be a design goal. 8. Meet need, minimize excess - Design for unnecessary capacity or capability (e.g., “one size fits all”) solutions should be considered a design flaw. 9. Minimize material diversity - Material diversity in multicomponent products should be minimized to promote disassembly and value retention. 10.Integrate local material and energy flows - Design of products, processes, and systems must include integration and interconnectivity with available energy and materials flows 11.Design for commercial “afterlife” - Products, processes, and systems should be designed for performance in a commercial “afterlife”. 12.Renewable rather than depleting - Material and energy inputs should be renewable rather than depleting
  • 122. 57 Shortcomings of Life Cycle Design • Normalized metrics can be misleading – Improvement in metrics is possible without reducing environmental impact, just by economic growth • Focus is on continuous improvement – Maintains status quo by continuing to use inherently unsustainable products – focus on doing “less bad” – Current methods need not encourage a shift away from such products or breakthrough innovation • Economic aspects could lead to rebound effect • Most methods ignore ecological capacity to absorb emissions and resource extraction • Wicked nature of sustainability Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice
  • 123. Summary • Techno-economic analysis considers economic sustainability • Eco-efficiency combines aspects of environmental and economic sustainability • Engineering design has evolved from ignoring the environment to considering life cycle impacts • Sustainable design problems involve multiple objectives and constraints Sustainable Engineering: Principles and Practice