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The Climatological and Geographical
Factors that Influenced the Formation
of Severe Tropical Cyclone George
By: Alannah Irwin
http://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/18000/
18088/george_amo_2007068.jpg
Australian vs. North Atlantic Tropical
Cyclone Intensity Scale
http://rollingharbour.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/saffir-
simpson-sm1.gif
http://blog.metservice.com/wp-
content/uploads/2011/01/categories.jpg
Australian Tropical Cyclone Basin
• Range from 140°E to 90°E
and 5°S to 40°S
• Broken into 4 regions:
Eastern, Northern,
Northwestern, Western
• Tropical Cyclone Warning
Center (TCWC) in Brisbane,
Darwin, and Perth
• Average of 7 storms; more
come from other basins
• Only 5 reach Category 5
status (Australian scale) http://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-
S0967064507000598-gr1.jpg
Main Causes of TC Formation in
Southeast Indian Ocean
• Shift of ITCZ
• El Nino Southern Oscillation Cool Phase (La
Nina)
• Surface low pressure in SW Pacific
• Standard favorable conditions
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/cycl
one-kills-
two/2007/03/09/1173166935560.html
http://expeditionusf.files.wordpress.com/2
010/03/itcz_january-july.jpg?w=300&h=149
www.meted.ucar.edu
El Niño vs. La Niña
http://www.blueplanet.
nsw.edu.au/
Severe Tropical Cyclone George
• Began formation on 02 MAR
2007
• Moved inland to Kimberley, W.
Australia
• Intensified to Cat 1 in Joseph
Bonaparte Gulf
• Eventually became Cat 5 in Indian
Ocean before landfall in Port
Hedland, W. Australia
• Lowest pressure 902 mb
• Strongest 1-min max. sustained
winds 125mph (110kt) w/ gusts
of 180mph (155kt)
Projected
Path vs.
Actual Storm
Track
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/history/george.s
html
http://www.bom.gov.au/aust
ralia/charts/archive/
The Top End
• Northern Territory
geography aids TC
formation
• Flat land with river
floodplains and
grasslands
• Low yearly T
fluctuation
http://www.perthnow.com.au/fmg-
investigates-deaths/story-e6frg4iu-
1111113124778
Circulation Over Land
• George maintained low level circulation for
over 24 hrs in W. Australia
• Landfall pressure 933mb; winds 110kt (1232Z)
• After landfall:
– 08MAR2007 2203Z – Pressure 944mb; winds
100kt
– 08MAR2007 2345Z –Pressure 976mb; winds 65kt
– 09MAR2007 1215Z – Pressure 997mb; winds 35kt
– 09MAR2007 2330Z –Pressure 997 mb; winds 35kt
Why?
• High mid-level relative humidity
around storm allowed for it to
maintain itself
• Non-mountainous terrain
prevented strong shear from
inhibiting circulation, despite
elevation
• Most importantly, differences in
terrain are important, but the
elevation itself is not as crucial
(Demaria et al. 2005).
http://www.map.net.au/3d-map-
of-australia/
http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_6p_r1.sh
http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_6p_r1.sh
Conclusion
• ITCZ has an influence on storm track and
intensity
• ENSO Cool Phase conditions were prevalent in
March 2007
• Australia’s topography of Top End promotes TC
formation
• Severe TC George sustained circulation over
W. Australia for 24 hrs
http://www.lakeeriewx.com/Mete
o241/ResearchTopicTwo/ProjectT
wo.html
Sources
• http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov - Visible Imagery
• Australian Bureau of Meteorology -
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
• Wikipedia – Cyclone George:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_George
• Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) Tropical Cyclone Page -
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/archive/
• Tropical Weather and Climate; University of St. Andrews -
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~dib2/climate/tropics.html
• NOAA Climate Prediction Center -
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso
stuff/ensoyears.shtml
• NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis - http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-
bin/pdisp_6rotp_r2.sh

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Final Presentation

  • 1. The Climatological and Geographical Factors that Influenced the Formation of Severe Tropical Cyclone George By: Alannah Irwin http://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/18000/ 18088/george_amo_2007068.jpg
  • 2. Australian vs. North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensity Scale http://rollingharbour.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/saffir- simpson-sm1.gif http://blog.metservice.com/wp- content/uploads/2011/01/categories.jpg
  • 3. Australian Tropical Cyclone Basin • Range from 140°E to 90°E and 5°S to 40°S • Broken into 4 regions: Eastern, Northern, Northwestern, Western • Tropical Cyclone Warning Center (TCWC) in Brisbane, Darwin, and Perth • Average of 7 storms; more come from other basins • Only 5 reach Category 5 status (Australian scale) http://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0- S0967064507000598-gr1.jpg
  • 4. Main Causes of TC Formation in Southeast Indian Ocean • Shift of ITCZ • El Nino Southern Oscillation Cool Phase (La Nina) • Surface low pressure in SW Pacific • Standard favorable conditions http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/cycl one-kills- two/2007/03/09/1173166935560.html
  • 6. El Niño vs. La Niña http://www.blueplanet. nsw.edu.au/
  • 7. Severe Tropical Cyclone George • Began formation on 02 MAR 2007 • Moved inland to Kimberley, W. Australia • Intensified to Cat 1 in Joseph Bonaparte Gulf • Eventually became Cat 5 in Indian Ocean before landfall in Port Hedland, W. Australia • Lowest pressure 902 mb • Strongest 1-min max. sustained winds 125mph (110kt) w/ gusts of 180mph (155kt)
  • 10. The Top End • Northern Territory geography aids TC formation • Flat land with river floodplains and grasslands • Low yearly T fluctuation
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 14. Circulation Over Land • George maintained low level circulation for over 24 hrs in W. Australia • Landfall pressure 933mb; winds 110kt (1232Z) • After landfall: – 08MAR2007 2203Z – Pressure 944mb; winds 100kt – 08MAR2007 2345Z –Pressure 976mb; winds 65kt – 09MAR2007 1215Z – Pressure 997mb; winds 35kt – 09MAR2007 2330Z –Pressure 997 mb; winds 35kt
  • 15.
  • 16. Why? • High mid-level relative humidity around storm allowed for it to maintain itself • Non-mountainous terrain prevented strong shear from inhibiting circulation, despite elevation • Most importantly, differences in terrain are important, but the elevation itself is not as crucial (Demaria et al. 2005). http://www.map.net.au/3d-map- of-australia/
  • 19. Conclusion • ITCZ has an influence on storm track and intensity • ENSO Cool Phase conditions were prevalent in March 2007 • Australia’s topography of Top End promotes TC formation • Severe TC George sustained circulation over W. Australia for 24 hrs http://www.lakeeriewx.com/Mete o241/ResearchTopicTwo/ProjectT wo.html
  • 20. Sources • http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov - Visible Imagery • Australian Bureau of Meteorology - http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/ • Wikipedia – Cyclone George: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_George • Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) Tropical Cyclone Page - http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/archive/ • Tropical Weather and Climate; University of St. Andrews - http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~dib2/climate/tropics.html • NOAA Climate Prediction Center - http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso stuff/ensoyears.shtml • NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis - http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi- bin/pdisp_6rotp_r2.sh