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Chapter 11:
Field Observation
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
2
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Learning Objectives
• Understand that descriptive statistics are used to
summarize data under study
• Describe a frequency distribution in terms of cases,
attributes, and variables
• Recognize that measures of central tendency summarize
data, but they do not convey the detail of the original
data
• Understand that measures of dispersion give a summary
indication of the distribution of cases around an average
value
• Provide examples of rates as descriptive statistics that
standardize some measure for comparative purposes
3
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Learning Objectives, cont.
• Describe how bivariate analysis and subgroup comparisons
examine relationships between two variables
• Compute and interpret percentages in contingency tables
• Understand that multivariate analysis examines the
relationships among several variables
• Explain the logic underlying the proportionate reduction of
error (PRE) model
• Describe the use of lambda (λ) and gamma (γ), and
Pearson’s product-moment correlation (r) as PRE-based
measures of association for nominal, ordinal, and
interval/ration variables, respectively
• Summarize how regression equations and regression lines
are used in data analysis
4
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Learning Objectives, slide 3
• Understand how inferential statistics are used to
estimate the generalizability of findings arrived at in the
analysis of a sample to a larger population
• Describe the meaning of confidence intervals and
confidence levels in inferential statistics
• Explain what tests of statistical significance indicate, and
how to interpret them
• Recognize the difference between statistical significance
and substantive significance
• Understand that tests of statistical significance make
assumptions about data and methods that are rarely
satisfied completely in social science research
5
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Introduction
• Empirical research usually uses some type of
statistical analysis
• Mathematics: Language for accomplishing
logical operations inherent in good data
analysis
• Statistics: Branch of math appropriate to
research
• Descriptive statistics: Method for describing data in manageable
forms
• Inferential statistics: Assist in forming conclusions from our
observations
• About a population, based on studying the sample
6
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Univariate Description
• Univariate Analysis: Only one variable at a
time
• Bivariate Analysis: Two variables
• Multivariate Analysis: Three or more variables
• Distributions: Reporting all individual cases
• Marginals: Frequency distributions of grouped data (age of
students)
• Frequency Distribution: (2, 7, 11, 14, 16)
7
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Measures of Central Tendency
• “Summary Averages”
• Mode: Most frequent attribute
• Mean: Sum of all values divided by # of total
values
• Median: Middle attribute of ranked data
8
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Measures of Dispersion & Computing Rates
• Range: Distance separating the highest value from
the lowest value
• Standard Deviation: The average amount of
variation about the mean
• Variance: Sum of squared standard deviations from
mean divided by total number of cases
• Percentile: What percentage of cases fall at or
below some value; can be grouped into quartiles
• Rates: Used to standardize some measure for
comparative purposes
9
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Discussion Question 1
Which variables would you prefer to use in
your research: continuous, discreet, or both?
10
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Discussion Question 2
What if you had to read a large number of
studies as a part of your research? Do you
think you would be more concerned about
having enough detail or being able to
manage the data easily?
11
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Bivariate Analysis
• We are interested how variables are related
(explanation)
• Contingency table: Used to compare
subgroups; “percentage down” column, read
across row
• Values of the dependent variable are
contingent on values of the independent
variable
12
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Multivariate Analysis
• Instead of explaining the dependent
variable on the basis of a single
independent variable, seek an explanation
through the use of more than one
independent variable
13
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Measures of Association
• Indicates strength of relationship (0≥1)
• Based on Proportionate Reduction of Error
(PRE):
• How much variation in y can be predicted by x; how much you
can reduce your error in predicting y by knowing x
• The greater the relationship between two variables, the greater
the reduction of error
14
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Levels of Measurement
• Nominal Variables: Gender, marital status, or
race
• Lambda (λ): Based on your ability to guess values on one
of the variables
• Ordinal Variables: Occupational status,
education
• Gamma (γ): Same as lambda, except based on the ordinal
arrangement of values
• Interval or Ratio Variables: Age, income
• Pearson’s product-moment correlation (r)
15
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Regression Analysis
• Variables are linearly related:
• The mean of Y increases linearly with X
• Check scatterplot for general linear trend
• Watch out for nonlinear relationships
• Y is normally distributed for every outcome of X in
the population; “conditional normality”
• Ex: Income = X, Happiness = Y
• Is a histogram of income approximately normal?
For those with X = $25K? $50K? $100K?
• If all are roughly normal, the assumption is met
16
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Regression Analysis, cont.
• Association between two variables: Y = f (x)
• Regression Line: All four points lie on a straight
line; we can superimpose that line over the
points; Y' = a + b(x)
• “Unexplained Variation”: The sum of squared
differences between actual and estimated
values of Y
• Represents errors that exist even when estimates are based on
known values of X
• “Explained Variation”: The difference between
the total variation and the unexplained variation
17
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Inferential Statistics
• When we generalize from samples to larger
populations, we use inferential statistics to test
the significance of an observed relationship
• Data analysis & sampling
• Most research projects involve samples
• Ultimate purpose is to make inferences about that larger (target)
population
• Both univariate and multivariate findings can be interpreted as a
basis for inference
18
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Univariate Inferences
• Univariate Measures: Percentages &
Means
• Any statement of sampling error must
contain two essential components:
• Confidence Level
• Confidence Interval
• Inferential statistics apply to sampling error
only; they do not take account of
nonsampling errors
19
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Tests of Statistical Significance
• So, two variables are related? Is the
relationship a significant one?
• Parametric tests of significance can tell us
• We report probability that a parameter falls within a
certain range (confidence interval) and that degree of
uncertainty is due to normal sampling error
20
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Tests of Statistical Significance, cont.
• Statistical significance is expressed with
probabilities
• What does the p-value mean?
• Significance at .05 level means that
probability of achieving result by chance
alone is 5 out of 100 (or 1 at the .01 level)
• If it’s not by chance, it represents a real
finding between the variables!
21
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Discussion Question 3
What if someone insisted that they
were 100 percent certain about their
survey results? Could you challenge
that statement? How?
22
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Chi Square
• Based on the Null Hypothesis: the assumption
that there is no relationship between two
variables in a population
• Compares what you get (empirical) with what
you expect given a null hypothesis of no
relationship
• Computing: For each cell in the tables, we
• Subtract the expected frequency for that cell from the
observed frequency
• Square this quantity, and
• Divide the squared difference by the expected frequency
23
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Interpreting Statistical Significance
• Significance tests are guideline, not
ultimate standard
• Dangers due to sampling error, sample
size, etc.
• Check and compare to other tests
• "Empirical research is, first and foremost,
a logical rather than a mathematical
operation."
24
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Visualizing Discernible Differences
• What is a statistically discernible
difference?
• Results from tests on a nonrandom sample
would be considered statistically significant if
found in a random sample
• Findings should be viewed as important but
not statistically significant

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Field Observations FDFDAFDSA FDAFDSAFD 🍴

  • 1. 1 Chapter 11: Field Observation © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
  • 2. 2 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Learning Objectives • Understand that descriptive statistics are used to summarize data under study • Describe a frequency distribution in terms of cases, attributes, and variables • Recognize that measures of central tendency summarize data, but they do not convey the detail of the original data • Understand that measures of dispersion give a summary indication of the distribution of cases around an average value • Provide examples of rates as descriptive statistics that standardize some measure for comparative purposes
  • 3. 3 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Learning Objectives, cont. • Describe how bivariate analysis and subgroup comparisons examine relationships between two variables • Compute and interpret percentages in contingency tables • Understand that multivariate analysis examines the relationships among several variables • Explain the logic underlying the proportionate reduction of error (PRE) model • Describe the use of lambda (λ) and gamma (γ), and Pearson’s product-moment correlation (r) as PRE-based measures of association for nominal, ordinal, and interval/ration variables, respectively • Summarize how regression equations and regression lines are used in data analysis
  • 4. 4 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Learning Objectives, slide 3 • Understand how inferential statistics are used to estimate the generalizability of findings arrived at in the analysis of a sample to a larger population • Describe the meaning of confidence intervals and confidence levels in inferential statistics • Explain what tests of statistical significance indicate, and how to interpret them • Recognize the difference between statistical significance and substantive significance • Understand that tests of statistical significance make assumptions about data and methods that are rarely satisfied completely in social science research
  • 5. 5 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Introduction • Empirical research usually uses some type of statistical analysis • Mathematics: Language for accomplishing logical operations inherent in good data analysis • Statistics: Branch of math appropriate to research • Descriptive statistics: Method for describing data in manageable forms • Inferential statistics: Assist in forming conclusions from our observations • About a population, based on studying the sample
  • 6. 6 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Univariate Description • Univariate Analysis: Only one variable at a time • Bivariate Analysis: Two variables • Multivariate Analysis: Three or more variables • Distributions: Reporting all individual cases • Marginals: Frequency distributions of grouped data (age of students) • Frequency Distribution: (2, 7, 11, 14, 16)
  • 7. 7 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Measures of Central Tendency • “Summary Averages” • Mode: Most frequent attribute • Mean: Sum of all values divided by # of total values • Median: Middle attribute of ranked data
  • 8. 8 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Measures of Dispersion & Computing Rates • Range: Distance separating the highest value from the lowest value • Standard Deviation: The average amount of variation about the mean • Variance: Sum of squared standard deviations from mean divided by total number of cases • Percentile: What percentage of cases fall at or below some value; can be grouped into quartiles • Rates: Used to standardize some measure for comparative purposes
  • 9. 9 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Discussion Question 1 Which variables would you prefer to use in your research: continuous, discreet, or both?
  • 10. 10 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Discussion Question 2 What if you had to read a large number of studies as a part of your research? Do you think you would be more concerned about having enough detail or being able to manage the data easily?
  • 11. 11 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Bivariate Analysis • We are interested how variables are related (explanation) • Contingency table: Used to compare subgroups; “percentage down” column, read across row • Values of the dependent variable are contingent on values of the independent variable
  • 12. 12 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Multivariate Analysis • Instead of explaining the dependent variable on the basis of a single independent variable, seek an explanation through the use of more than one independent variable
  • 13. 13 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Measures of Association • Indicates strength of relationship (0≥1) • Based on Proportionate Reduction of Error (PRE): • How much variation in y can be predicted by x; how much you can reduce your error in predicting y by knowing x • The greater the relationship between two variables, the greater the reduction of error
  • 14. 14 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Levels of Measurement • Nominal Variables: Gender, marital status, or race • Lambda (λ): Based on your ability to guess values on one of the variables • Ordinal Variables: Occupational status, education • Gamma (γ): Same as lambda, except based on the ordinal arrangement of values • Interval or Ratio Variables: Age, income • Pearson’s product-moment correlation (r)
  • 15. 15 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Regression Analysis • Variables are linearly related: • The mean of Y increases linearly with X • Check scatterplot for general linear trend • Watch out for nonlinear relationships • Y is normally distributed for every outcome of X in the population; “conditional normality” • Ex: Income = X, Happiness = Y • Is a histogram of income approximately normal? For those with X = $25K? $50K? $100K? • If all are roughly normal, the assumption is met
  • 16. 16 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Regression Analysis, cont. • Association between two variables: Y = f (x) • Regression Line: All four points lie on a straight line; we can superimpose that line over the points; Y' = a + b(x) • “Unexplained Variation”: The sum of squared differences between actual and estimated values of Y • Represents errors that exist even when estimates are based on known values of X • “Explained Variation”: The difference between the total variation and the unexplained variation
  • 17. 17 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Inferential Statistics • When we generalize from samples to larger populations, we use inferential statistics to test the significance of an observed relationship • Data analysis & sampling • Most research projects involve samples • Ultimate purpose is to make inferences about that larger (target) population • Both univariate and multivariate findings can be interpreted as a basis for inference
  • 18. 18 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Univariate Inferences • Univariate Measures: Percentages & Means • Any statement of sampling error must contain two essential components: • Confidence Level • Confidence Interval • Inferential statistics apply to sampling error only; they do not take account of nonsampling errors
  • 19. 19 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Tests of Statistical Significance • So, two variables are related? Is the relationship a significant one? • Parametric tests of significance can tell us • We report probability that a parameter falls within a certain range (confidence interval) and that degree of uncertainty is due to normal sampling error
  • 20. 20 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Tests of Statistical Significance, cont. • Statistical significance is expressed with probabilities • What does the p-value mean? • Significance at .05 level means that probability of achieving result by chance alone is 5 out of 100 (or 1 at the .01 level) • If it’s not by chance, it represents a real finding between the variables!
  • 21. 21 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Discussion Question 3 What if someone insisted that they were 100 percent certain about their survey results? Could you challenge that statement? How?
  • 22. 22 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Chi Square • Based on the Null Hypothesis: the assumption that there is no relationship between two variables in a population • Compares what you get (empirical) with what you expect given a null hypothesis of no relationship • Computing: For each cell in the tables, we • Subtract the expected frequency for that cell from the observed frequency • Square this quantity, and • Divide the squared difference by the expected frequency
  • 23. 23 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Interpreting Statistical Significance • Significance tests are guideline, not ultimate standard • Dangers due to sampling error, sample size, etc. • Check and compare to other tests • "Empirical research is, first and foremost, a logical rather than a mathematical operation."
  • 24. 24 © 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Visualizing Discernible Differences • What is a statistically discernible difference? • Results from tests on a nonrandom sample would be considered statistically significant if found in a random sample • Findings should be viewed as important but not statistically significant