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Exceeding Expectations?
   Beating the odds?
This is designed for internal PdC
      Public School use only
All data is available at DPI WINNS
Research has shown that generally
 schools with lower poverty rates
  outperform those with higher
          poverty levels.
Therefore, if we take the WKCE
   data in math by grade level and
rank CESA 3 schools - in theory, the
  schools with lower free/reduced
 counts should have higher scores.
1. Rank CESA 3 schools on the
WKCE Advanced percentages in
math by grade level (reading will
be done later if we find this to be
of value)

2. Rank CESA 3 schools on the
free/ reduced counts by grade
If we subtract the WKCE advanced
rank from the free/reduced rank;
this should roughly give us a
numerical ranking of how well the
schools do according to
expectations and approximate
which schools may be beating the
odds
This is not designed to be an overly
scientific statistical analysis, but it
is information that may be useful
for planning or comparison with
other programs.
30

                           Grade 3 Math
                    F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank
20
                                                                                                                                               17



                                                                                                                                          11
                                                                                                                                  10 10
10                                                                                                                        9   9
                                                                                                                  8   8
                                                                                                          7   7
                                                                                                      6
                                                                                                  5
                                                                                              4
                                                                                  3   3   3
                                                                              2
                                                                  1   1   1
 0
                                                             -1

                                                        -4
                                                   -5
                                              -6
                                         -8
-10                                 -9

                              -12

                        -15

                  -18
-20
                                                                                      PdC beat the odds
      -24
            -23                                                                       Rank 29 in F/R count
                                                                                      Rank 20 in % Advanced
-30
30

                      Grade 4 Math
               F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank                                                                                                              21

20
                                                                                                                                                 17


                                                                                                                                       13   13
                                                                                                                             11   11
                                                                                                                        10
10
                                                                                                                7   7
                                                                                                            6
                                                                                                        4
                                                                                                    3
                                                                                            2   2
                                                                                        1

 0
                                                                              -1   -1
                                                                         -2
                                                          -3   -3   -3
                                                     -4
                                                -5
                                           -6
                                      -7
-10

                                -12

                          -15
            -16 -16 -16
      -18
-20
                                                                                        PdC beat the odds
                                                                                        Rank 27 in F/R count
-30
                                                                                        Rank 20 in % Advanced
30

                         Grade 5 Math                                                                                                             25


                  F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank                                                                                             19
                                                                                                                                             21
20


                                                                                                                                14 14
                                                                                                                           12
                                                                                                                      11
10
                                                                                                                  7
                                                                                                              6
                                                                                                  4   4   4
                                                                                      3   3   3
                                                                                 2
                                                                             1
 0


                                                                        -3
                                                              -4   -4
                                                         -5
                                                    -6
                                               -7
                                          -8
-10
                            -10 -10 -10




                  -18 -18
-20
                                                                                     PdC beat the odds
            -22
                                                                                     Rank 28 in F/R count
-30
      -28                                                                            Rank 14 in % Advanced
25                                                                                                                                                      23
                         Grade 6 Math
20
                  F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank
15                                                                                                                                       13   13   13
                                                                                                                                    11
                                                                                                                               10
10                                                                                                                     9   9
                                                                                                           8   8   8
                                                                                                   7   7

 5                                                                                        4    4
                                                                                      3

                                                                                  0
 0
                                                                        -1   -1
                                                                   -2
 -5                                                           -4
                                                         -6
                                                    -7
-10
                                              -10
                                    -11 -11
                              -13
-15


                        -18
-20               -19
            -21                                                                               PdC beat the odds
-25                                                                                           Rank 29 in F/R count
      -26

-30
                                                                                              Rank 16 in % Advanced
15                                                                                                                                           14 14

                   Grade 7 Math                                                                                                         11

10          F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank                                                                           8
                                                                                                                    9   9   9
                                                                                                                                10 10


                                                                                                        7   7
                                                                                                    6

 5                                                                                              4
                                                                                            3
                                                                                        2

                                                                                    0
 0

                                                                               -1

                                                                -3   -3   -3
 -5                                                        -4


                                  -7   -7   -7   -7   -7
                             -8
-10                     -9
                  -10



-15




-20
                                                                                        PdC beat the odds
            -22
                                                                                        Rank 29 in F/R count
-25
                                                                                        Rank 15 in % Advanced
      -25
30

                     Grade 8 Math                                                                                                             27 27


25
              F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank
20


                                                                                                                                         15
15
                                                                                                                                    12
                                                                                                                         10 10 10
10                                                                                                               9   9
                                                                                                             8
                                                                                                         6

 5
                                                                                                     3
                                                                                                 2
                                                                                 0   0   0   0
 0
                                                                       -1   -1
                                                                  -2
 -5
                                                        -6   -6

-10
                                                  -10
                                            -11
                                                                                         PdC beat the odds
-15
                      -16
                            -15
                                  -14 -14
                                                                                         Rank 30 in F/R count
-20
      -18
            -17 -17
                                                                                         Rank 21 in % Advanced
25
                                                                                                                                                    23
                               Grade 10 Math                                                                                                   20
20
                        F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank
                                                                                                                                          15
15
                                                                                                                                     12
                                                                                                                                10
10
                                                                                                                            8
                                                                                                                        7
                                                                                                                    6
                                                                                                            5   5
 5                                                                                                      4
                                                                                                    3
                                                                                            2   2
                                                                                    1   1
                                                                            0   0
 0
                                                                  -1   -1

 -5
                                                        -5   -5
                                                   -6
                                         -7   -7
                                    -8
-10
                              -10
                        -12
-15
                  -16
                                                                                        PdC beat the odds
-20
            -21
                                                                                        Rank 19 in F/R count
-25
                                                                                        Rank 7 in % Advanced
      -25
100

                              School-wide Math
                        F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank
 50
                                                                                                                                                                85
                                                                                                                                                           78
                                                                                                                                                 70   70
                                                                                                                                       59   60
                                                                                                                                  50
                                                                                                                             43
                                                                                                                   33   36
                                                                                                              29
                                                                                                    18   21
                                                                                      9   14   14
  0                                                                -2   -1   -1   3
                                                         -6   -3

                                                   -29
                                         -50 -49

                               -74 -71
                     -89 -85
 -50          -100


       -132




-100

                                                                                      PdC beat the odds
                                                                                      Rank second overall in CESA 3
                                                                                      in overall F/R rank – Adv. rank
-150
As noted in the beginning, we need
to be careful as to what conclusions
    can be gained from this data.

However, when analyzing programs
or materials, it might be prudent to
look toward those who are beating
              the odds

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Exceeding expectations ppt

  • 1. Exceeding Expectations? Beating the odds? This is designed for internal PdC Public School use only All data is available at DPI WINNS
  • 2. Research has shown that generally schools with lower poverty rates outperform those with higher poverty levels.
  • 3. Therefore, if we take the WKCE data in math by grade level and rank CESA 3 schools - in theory, the schools with lower free/reduced counts should have higher scores.
  • 4. 1. Rank CESA 3 schools on the WKCE Advanced percentages in math by grade level (reading will be done later if we find this to be of value) 2. Rank CESA 3 schools on the free/ reduced counts by grade
  • 5. If we subtract the WKCE advanced rank from the free/reduced rank; this should roughly give us a numerical ranking of how well the schools do according to expectations and approximate which schools may be beating the odds
  • 6. This is not designed to be an overly scientific statistical analysis, but it is information that may be useful for planning or comparison with other programs.
  • 7. 30 Grade 3 Math F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 20 17 11 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 -1 -4 -5 -6 -8 -10 -9 -12 -15 -18 -20 PdC beat the odds -24 -23 Rank 29 in F/R count Rank 20 in % Advanced -30
  • 8. 30 Grade 4 Math F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 21 20 17 13 13 11 11 10 10 7 7 6 4 3 2 2 1 0 -1 -1 -2 -3 -3 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -10 -12 -15 -16 -16 -16 -18 -20 PdC beat the odds Rank 27 in F/R count -30 Rank 20 in % Advanced
  • 9. 30 Grade 5 Math 25 F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 19 21 20 14 14 12 11 10 7 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 1 0 -3 -4 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -10 -10 -10 -10 -18 -18 -20 PdC beat the odds -22 Rank 28 in F/R count -30 -28 Rank 14 in % Advanced
  • 10. 25 23 Grade 6 Math 20 F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 15 13 13 13 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 5 4 4 3 0 0 -1 -1 -2 -5 -4 -6 -7 -10 -10 -11 -11 -13 -15 -18 -20 -19 -21 PdC beat the odds -25 Rank 29 in F/R count -26 -30 Rank 16 in % Advanced
  • 11. 15 14 14 Grade 7 Math 11 10 F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 8 9 9 9 10 10 7 7 6 5 4 3 2 0 0 -1 -3 -3 -3 -5 -4 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -8 -10 -9 -10 -15 -20 PdC beat the odds -22 Rank 29 in F/R count -25 Rank 15 in % Advanced -25
  • 12. 30 Grade 8 Math 27 27 25 F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 20 15 15 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 6 5 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -2 -5 -6 -6 -10 -10 -11 PdC beat the odds -15 -16 -15 -14 -14 Rank 30 in F/R count -20 -18 -17 -17 Rank 21 in % Advanced
  • 13. 25 23 Grade 10 Math 20 20 F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 15 15 12 10 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -1 -5 -5 -5 -6 -7 -7 -8 -10 -10 -12 -15 -16 PdC beat the odds -20 -21 Rank 19 in F/R count -25 Rank 7 in % Advanced -25
  • 14. 100 School-wide Math F/R rank – WKCE Adv. rank 50 85 78 70 70 59 60 50 43 33 36 29 18 21 9 14 14 0 -2 -1 -1 3 -6 -3 -29 -50 -49 -74 -71 -89 -85 -50 -100 -132 -100 PdC beat the odds Rank second overall in CESA 3 in overall F/R rank – Adv. rank -150
  • 15. As noted in the beginning, we need to be careful as to what conclusions can be gained from this data. However, when analyzing programs or materials, it might be prudent to look toward those who are beating the odds