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EU Balance of Payments for Latvia:
    Foundations of Success


              Andris Vilks
           Minister for Finance
         Brussels, March 1, 2012
                                     1
From Crisis to Recovery

                                           Impact of the Crisis
Access to financial   Fall in     21% contraction    Correction of    Adjustment     Internal
markets closed        external    of GDP,            domestic         of the labor   devaluation
                      demand      frontloaded        imbalances       market
                                  adjustment
                                  17% of GDP
       2008                                                                                            2011
 Agreement on the                                                                              Completion of the
 International Loan
                                          Euro target - crisis exit strategy                   International Loan
    Programme                                                                                     Programme
                      Return of   Fiscal             Target           Support from Credit
                      economic    consolidation      consolidation    domestic and rating
                      growth in   and structural     improve fiscal   international upgrade
                      2010        reforms underpin   position         community                            Return to
                                  competitiveness                                                  financial markets

                                           Outcome of the Crisis

                                                                                                                    2
Fiscal Targets and Results

                   Latvia achieved great progress on the
                   way to budget stabilization.

                   If macroeconomic scenario is in line with
                   forecasts, further budgetary consolidation
                   won’t be necessary and the medium-term
                   fiscal policy targets will be achieved.




                                                                3
Lessons Learned




                  4
On the Way to Euro

                           Key priorities and remaining steps
                     Adaption of the     Structural    Compliance Sustainable
                     Fiscal Discipline   reforms and   with the   Economic
                     Law and prudent     maintaining   Maastricht Growth
                     fiscal policy       the SMOU      criteria
                                         conditions
     2011
Completion of the                                                                    2014
International Loan          Euro accession strategy                             Joining Eurozone
   Programme




                     Eurozone crisis = the crisis of trust



                                                                                                   5
Challenges in Future




                       6

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EU Balance of Payments for Latvia: Foundations of Success

  • 1. EU Balance of Payments for Latvia: Foundations of Success Andris Vilks Minister for Finance Brussels, March 1, 2012 1
  • 2. From Crisis to Recovery Impact of the Crisis Access to financial Fall in 21% contraction Correction of Adjustment Internal markets closed external of GDP, domestic of the labor devaluation demand frontloaded imbalances market adjustment 17% of GDP 2008 2011 Agreement on the Completion of the International Loan Euro target - crisis exit strategy International Loan Programme Programme Return of Fiscal Target Support from Credit economic consolidation consolidation domestic and rating growth in and structural improve fiscal international upgrade 2010 reforms underpin position community Return to competitiveness financial markets Outcome of the Crisis 2
  • 3. Fiscal Targets and Results Latvia achieved great progress on the way to budget stabilization. If macroeconomic scenario is in line with forecasts, further budgetary consolidation won’t be necessary and the medium-term fiscal policy targets will be achieved. 3
  • 5. On the Way to Euro Key priorities and remaining steps Adaption of the Structural Compliance Sustainable Fiscal Discipline reforms and with the Economic Law and prudent maintaining Maastricht Growth fiscal policy the SMOU criteria conditions 2011 Completion of the 2014 International Loan Euro accession strategy Joining Eurozone Programme Eurozone crisis = the crisis of trust 5