The document outlines the Los Cabos Growth and Jobs Action Plan agreed upon by G20 members. The plan aims to strengthen global demand, growth, confidence and employment in response to increased risks and uncertainty in the global economy. Key elements of the plan include: 1) Addressing sovereign debt and financial stability issues in the Eurozone, 2) Pursuing appropriate fiscal policies focused on sustainability and credibility, 3) Maintaining accommodative monetary policies, 4) Cooperating on financial regulation and stability, 5) Committing to additional stimulus if conditions worsen significantly. The plan also calls for emerging markets to support domestic demand while ensuring price stability.
International Monetary Fund on Zimbabwe Dollar and Article IV - Please read the entire document and don't just preview it. It's important to not just skim this document, but to read the whole thing.
Fiscal Responsibility and Budget ManagementParas Savla
The Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act, 2003 (FRBMA) was enacted by the Parliament of India to institutionalise financial discipline, reduce India’s fiscal deficit, improve macroeconomic management and the overall management of the public funds by moving towards a balanced budget. The main purpose was to eliminate revenue deficit. In this presentation Indian international history behind introducing FRBM Act in India and western countries and some of provisions of Indian FRBM Act has been analysed.
The Organisation of Public Financial Management Architecture by Amal Lahrlid OECD Governance
Presentation by Amal Lahrlid at the 7th annual meeting of the MENA Senior Budget Officials held on 10-11 December 2014. Find more information at http://www.oecd.org/gov/budgeting
Mr Speaker Sir, I move that leave be granted to present a
Statement of the Estimated Revenues and Expenditures of
the Republic of Zimbabwe for the 2019 Financial Year and
to make Provisions for matters ancillary and incidental to this
purpose.
International Monetary Fund on Zimbabwe Dollar and Article IV - Please read the entire document and don't just preview it. It's important to not just skim this document, but to read the whole thing.
Fiscal Responsibility and Budget ManagementParas Savla
The Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act, 2003 (FRBMA) was enacted by the Parliament of India to institutionalise financial discipline, reduce India’s fiscal deficit, improve macroeconomic management and the overall management of the public funds by moving towards a balanced budget. The main purpose was to eliminate revenue deficit. In this presentation Indian international history behind introducing FRBM Act in India and western countries and some of provisions of Indian FRBM Act has been analysed.
The Organisation of Public Financial Management Architecture by Amal Lahrlid OECD Governance
Presentation by Amal Lahrlid at the 7th annual meeting of the MENA Senior Budget Officials held on 10-11 December 2014. Find more information at http://www.oecd.org/gov/budgeting
Mr Speaker Sir, I move that leave be granted to present a
Statement of the Estimated Revenues and Expenditures of
the Republic of Zimbabwe for the 2019 Financial Year and
to make Provisions for matters ancillary and incidental to this
purpose.
Participación del IFAI en la Mesa 3 en el Foro de la Celebración del 8vo. Aniversario de la Ley de Acceso a la Información Pública del Estado de Sinaloa, organizado por CEAIPES. De la transparencia reactiva a la sistémica.
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Technological innovations, including those underlying crypto-assets, can deliver significant benefits to the financial system and the broader economy - G20 Finance Minister abd cebtrak Vabj Governor Meeting Fukuoka Japan June 8-9 2019
A Shared European Policy Strategy for Growth, Jobs, and StabilityLucio Ghioldi
Un documento di nove pagine del Governo Italiano diviso in tre punti e una conclusione.
Il primo punto è intitolato: "A Fragile Recovery: Challenges and Opportunities "
Il secondo punto è intitolato: "A Comprehensive Policy Mix". Dove si descrive un complesso di misure che realizzino una politica espansiva al posto di quella di austerità e rigore fin qui imposta dalla Commissione (e dalla Germania). Bisogna aumentare le capacità di crescita, sostenere la politica monetaria della Bce, varare una politica fiscale europea che tenda a riequilibrare le politiche nazionali aiutando la loro flessibilità in modo da ristabilire tra loro un equilibrio attualmente molto alterato. Completare l'Unione Bancaria ed estendere le garanzie in favore dei depositi bancari dei singoli Paesi. Fare intervenire l'Europa anche nelle politiche sociali e sindacali dei singoli Paesi, sempre al fine di rafforzare l'integrazione europea ed una politica di crescita e di equità. Rafforzare i confini europei verso il resto del mondo e smantellare al più presto possibile i confini interni ripristinati in molti Paesi violando il patto di Schengen. Dunque una politica comune dell'immigrazione più volte chiesta dall'Italia ma finora inesistente.
Il punto tre del documento rappresenta, con un titolo altamente significativo, lo sbocco istituzionale della politica europeista delineata nelle pagine precedenti: "From the Short-term to the Long-term View"
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Abstract
The U.S. financial and economic crisis has had severe global repercussions. The run-up to the crisis involved a substantial and widespread underestimation of risks—especially in housing—and growing leverage and liquidity mismatches, in particular through off-balance-sheet vehicles and non-bank entities in less-regulated areas. Against a backdrop of easy global financial conditions, this dynamic fed an unsustainable buildup of financial imbalances, above all in housing markets. The sharp decline in housing prices that started in 2007 weakened several systemically important financial institutions, culminating in the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and revealing major weaknesses in the U.S. regulatory and resolution frameworks. This was followed by the worst global financial panic since the Great Depression, with extreme strains in a broad range of markets, volatility in capital flows and exchange rates, and a cascade of systemic events. Economic activity collapsed globally, with trade contracting sharply and advanced economies as a group registering the steepest decline in production in the postwar period. Emerging markets economies also experienced intense pressure, amid retrenching trade and tighter international financing conditions.
I. Overview ; Outlook and Risks
1. Recent data suggest that the sharp fall in output may now be ending, although economic activity remains weak. Economic indicators point to a decelerating rate of deterioration, particularly in labor and housing markets, both of which are key to economic recovery and financial stability. In tandem, financial conditions have noticeably improved, with narrowing interest-rate spreads and growing confidence in financial stability in the wake of measures deployed by the Administration, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and the Federal Reserve. That said, both financial and economic indicators remain at stressed or weak levels by historical standards.
2. 4. The staff's outlook remains for a gradual recovery, consistent with past international experience of financial and housing market crises. The combination of financial strains and ongoing adjustments in the housing and labor markets is expected to restrain growth for some time, with a solid recovery projected to emerge only in mid-2010. Against this background, GDP is expected to contract by 2½ percent in 2009, followed by a modest ¾ percent expansion in 2010 on a year-average basis (on a Q4-over-Q4 basis, -1 ½ percent in 2009 and 1 ¾ percent in 2010). Meanwhile, growing economic slack—with unemployment peaking at close to 10 percent in 2010—would push core inflation to very low levels, with the headline CPI expected to decrease by ½ percent in 2009 and increase by 1 percent in 2010. rates, on concerns about fiscal sustainability; and rising corporate distress. Much will also depend on developments abroad, including progress made in strengthening financial institutions and markets.
II. Near-term stabilization
1. Macroeconomic policies are providing welcome support to demand. The fiscal stimulus—well targeted, timely, diversified, and sizeable—is projected to boost annual GDP growth by 1 percent in 2009 and ¼ percent in 2010. This is being appropriately complemented by a highly expansionary monetary stance and “credit easing” measures that are also relieving financial strains. Continued clear communication on the near-term outlook will be essential to anchor inflation expectations, given the prevailing uncertainty. If activity proves weaker than expected, the Fed could undertake additional credit easing, and further strengthen its commitment to maintain a highly accommodative stance. If necessary, additional fiscal stimulus could also be considered, focused on fast-acting measures, although this would need to be complemented by a concomitantly stronger medium-term adjustment.
2. Steps to s
La pandemia di coronavirus (COVID-19) pone sfide di stabilità sanitaria, economica e finanziaria senza precedenti. A seguito dell'epidemia di COVID-19, i prezzi delle attività a rischio sono crollati e la volatilità del mercato è aumentata vertiginosamente, mentre le aspettative di inadempienze diffuse hanno portato a un aumento dei costi di indebitamento. Le decisive azioni di politica monetaria, finanziaria e fiscale volte a contenere le ricadute della pandemia e sono riuscite a stabilizzare gli investitori tra la fine di marzo e l'inizio di aprile. I mercati hanno recuperato alcune delle loro perdite.
Portugal: Carta de Intenções, Memorando de Económico e Financeiro Políticas ...Cláudio Carneiro
A seguir é uma Carta de Intenções do Governo de Portugal, que
descreve as políticas que Portugal pretende implementar no contexto da sua
pedido de apoio financeiro do FMI. O documento, que é propriedade
de Portugal, está sendo disponibilizado no site do FMI, com o
membro como um serviço para os usuários do site do FMI.
28 de marco de 2014
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1. GLOBAL IMBALANCES1.1 Cheap But Flighty How Global Imbalanc.docxSONU61709
1. GLOBAL IMBALANCES
1.1 Cheap But Flighty: How Global Imbalances Create Financial Fragility
by Toni Ahnert and Enrico Perotti
Bank of Canada Working Paper 2015-33
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/wp2015-33.pdf
August 2015
How a wealth shift to emerging countries may lead to instability in developed countries. Investors exposed to expropriation risk are willing to pay a safety premium to invest in countries with good property rights. Domestic intermediaries compete for such cheap funding by carving out safe claims, which requires demandable debt. While foreign inflows allow countries to expand their domestic credit, risk-intolerant foreign investors withdraw even under minimal uncertainty. We show that more foreign funding causes larger and more frequent runs. Beyond some scale, even risk-tolerant domestic investors are induced to withdraw to avoid dilution. As excess liquidation causes social losses, a domestic planner may seek prudential measures on the scale of foreign inflows.
Topics to study:
· Investment / risk - relationship
· Global Imbalances
· Factors to attract foreign investment
· Safety-seeking foreign funding
1. An increasing scale of foreign funding may induce runs even by risk-tolerant investors since they seek to avoid dilution.
2. Result supports a mandate for introducing a macroprudential regulator to oversee the nature of foreign inflows because the socially preferred funding structure would involve less credit volume and more stability than the private choice.
3. Global imbalances shaped the credit boom and, ultimately, the financial crisis
4. The accumulation of wealth in countries with a weak protection of property rights creates a demand for absolute safety provided by intermediaries in developed countries.
5. The safety-seeking nature of foreign flows creates risk.
1.2 Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis: Products of Common Causes
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley, and Harvard University.
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/rogoff/files/global_imbalances_and_financial_crisis_0.pdf
November 2009
This paper makes a case that the global imbalances of the 2000s and the recent global financial crisis are intimately connected. Both have their origins in economic policies followed in a number of countries in the 2000s and in distortions that influenced the transmission of these policies through U.S. and ultimately through global financial markets. In the U.S., the interaction among the Fed’s monetary stance, global real interest rates, credit market distortions, and financial innovation created the toxic mix of conditions making the U.S. the epicenter of the global financial crisis. Outside the U.S., exchange rate and other economic policies followed by emerging markets such as China contributed to the United States’ ability to borrow cheaply abroad and thereby finance its unsustainable housing bubble.
Topics to st ...
EL MERCADO LABORAL EN EL SEMESTRE EUROPEO. COMPARATIVA.ManfredNolte
Hoy repasaremos a uña de caballo otro reciente documento de la Comisión (SWD-2024) que lleva por título ‘Análisis de países sobre la convergencia social en línea con las características del Marco de Convergencia Social (SCF)’.
PIB,OKUN Y PARO ESTRUCTURAL: RELACIONES DIRECTAS E INVERSASManfredNolte
Me refiero a las ‘Previsiones económicas de primavera’ de la Comisión europea, que se han constituido la semana pasada en panegírico de nuestras bondades y que, como es natural, han sido aprovechadas por el Gobierno para el autobombo.
LOS MIMBRES HACEN EL CESTO: AGEING REPORT.ManfredNolte
El Informe sobre el envejecimiento concentra un ejercicio único en el sentido de que proporciona proyecciones para los Estados miembros de la UE y Noruega hasta 2070 basadas en datos supuestos y metodologías comunes. El informe suministra un amplio conjunto de datos comparables e internos para 28 países. Dan una idea del momento en que se produce el envejecimiento de la población, sus implicaciones económicas y los desafíos presupuestarios asociados.
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La reciente notificación de la Sociedad Estatal de Participaciones Industriales (SEPI), acerca de la toma de un porcentaje relevante en el Capital de Telefónica, ha reabierto la recurrente polémica sobre la figura del Estado como Empresario público, su conveniencia, su oportunidad y su eficiencia
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La economía del cuidado entiende del reconocimiento y valoración de todas las actividades que contribuyen a la atención de las personas, incluido el trabajo no remunerado realizado en los hogares, así como el trabajo remunerado que involucra el cuidado de niños, personas mayores, personas con discapacidades y aquellas que necesitan cualquier tipo de atención especial.
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En su conjunto y en rasgos generales, el progreso de la economía, es decir el de su PIB, depende de dos fuentes básicas de alimentación: el aumento de sus factores productivos y el incremento de su productividad.
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La reciente explosión de los agricultores -una más de una larga cadena histórica- es un suceso emocional y espontaneo y como tal no responde a un enunciado claro de reivindicaciones como podrían constar en un documento unificado de propuestas del sector.
TAMAÑO DEL ESTADO Y BIENESTAR EN LA OCDE.ManfredNolte
Hay un valor entendido, un tópico que circula en amplias capas de la opinión económica, incluso de la habitualmente informada, acerca de la existencia de un antagonismo de raíz entre los conceptos de libre mercado e intervención gubernamental.
MAS ALLA DE LA INCERTIDUMBRE:DESAFIOS DE LA ECONOMIA ESPAÑOLA.ManfredNolte
Un reciente informe de la OCDE (Economic Policy Papers, No. 33), avanza que la economía española retrocederá diez posiciones en la clasificación mundial de países por PIB per cápita, pasando desde la posición 23 en la actualidad a la posición 33 en 2060 .
DAVOS: EL PESO Y EL CONSEJO DE UN PODER SOCIALIZADOR.ManfredNolte
Al pie de la montaña mágica de Tomas Mann, enero en la elite es ya sinónimo de esta especial convención, entendiendo por especial no solo el ‘espíritu de Davos’, sino también la naturaleza de sus invitados. Durante cinco días la apacible estación de esquí invernal se transforma en la más selecta y cosmopolita feria del planeta.
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Plan de acción de crecimiento y empleo (los Cabos)
1. THE LOS CABOS GROWTH AND JOBS ACTION PLAN
Risks and uncertainty in the global economy have increased substantially. Our collective focus now is to
strengthen demand, growth, confidence and financial stability in order to improve employment
prospects for all of our citizens. We have agreed today on a globally coordinated economic plan to
achieve those goals through our Framework for Strong, Sustainable and Balanced Growth. This plan,
which incorporates and extends the Cannes Action Plan, significantly intensifies our efforts to achieve a
stronger, more durable recovery. The Los Cabos Growth and Jobs Action Plan starts from the premise
that cooperation and coordination will result in better economic outcomes. We are united in our
commitment to take strong and decisive action to deliver on the commitments set out below.
We have agreed that, in light of what are perceived to be the most significant risks, our policy actions
should focus on:
Addressing decisively the sovereign debt and banking crisis in the Euro Area. The Euro Area
authorities have taken a number of relevant and critical actions that have helped to stabilise the
situation, however, significant risks remain and further action is required.
Ensuring financial stability, including dealing with the potential impacts of deleveraging.
Boosting demand and economic growth, and reducing persistently high and rising
unemployment in many advanced economies, especially among young people.
Ensuring the pace of fiscal consolidation in advanced economies is appropriate to support the
recovery, taking country-specific circumstances into account and, in line with the Toronto
Commitments, addressing concerns about medium-term fiscal sustainability.
Dealing with the possibility that geopolitical risks might lead to a supply-induced sustained spike
in oil prices, in an environment of limited spare capacity and modest inventories.
Ensuring emerging markets maintain a strong and sustainable growth path that contributes to
the global recovery and quality job creation.
Resisting protectionism and keeping markets open.
Our ability to successfully address these risks is influenced by our ability to take stronger actions to
promote stability and growth, and reduce ongoing imbalances, including by encouraging the rotation of
demand from the public to the private sector in countries with fiscal deficits and from the external to
the domestic sector in countries with current account surpluses. We are in full agreement that we need
to intensify our efforts to reduce both internal and external imbalances.
As we agreed in Cannes, we have established the Los Cabos Accountability Assessment Framework
(Annex A) to assess progress in meeting commitments toward our shared goal of strong, sustainable and
balanced growth. This Framework is based on three pillars. First, guiding principles to ensure the
assessments are: country-owned; based on a comply or explain approach; concrete; consistent across
members; fair; open and transparent. Second, a peer review process that includes review and discussion
of members’ policies and in-depth assessments from the international organisations. Finally, annual
reports to Leaders summarising the outcomes of the assessments.
2. We have conducted our first assessment under this framework (Annex B). We have agreed that the
commitments set out in the Cannes Action Plan to promote recovery and lay the foundation for robust
growth and job creation remain broadly appropriate. The recent intensification of risks, however, has
increased the importance of implementing and building upon the Cannes commitments. Progress has
been good in meeting some elements of the Cannes Action Plan, but in several areas more progress is
needed. We will undertake ongoing accountability assessments and improve our tracking of measures to
assess progress as set out in the Los Cabos Accountability Framework.
The Los Cabos Action Plan, as set out below, includes a combination of policy measures, with short- and
medium-term impacts, in order to ensure that policy credibility is enhanced and to reflect the different
capacities of countries to respond in particular areas.
Addressing Near-term Risks, Restoring Confidence, and Promoting Growth
Central to this plan is a common agreement that the strongest actions to minimize risks and spur growth
are those that promote the stability and proper functioning of our financial systems, supported by fiscal
and monetary policy actions.
To address near-term risks, promote confidence, ensure economic and financial stability, and bolster the
economic recovery, we have agreed on the following actions.
1. The Euro Area members of the G20 will take all necessary measures to safeguard the integrity
and stability of the area, improve the functioning of financial markets and break the feedback
loop between sovereigns and banks.
We welcome the significant actions taken since the last summit by the Euro Area to support
growth, ensure financial stability and promote fiscal responsibility. In this context, we
welcome Spain’s plan to recapitalize its banking system and the Eurogroup’s announcement
of support for Spain’s financial restructuring authority. The adoption of the Fiscal Compact
and its ongoing implementation, together with growth-enhancing policies and structural
reform, are important steps towards greater fiscal and economic integration. The imminent
establishment of the European Stability Mechanism is a substantial strengthening of the
European firewalls.
We fully support the actions of the Euro Area in moving forward with the completion of the
Economic and Monetary Union. Towards that end, we support the intention to consider
concrete steps towards a more integrated financial architecture, encompassing banking
supervision, resolution and recapitalization, and deposit insurance.
Euro area members will foster intra Euro Area adjustment through structural reforms to
strengthen competitiveness in deficit countries and to promote demand and growth in
surplus countries.
The European Union members of the G20 are determined to move forward expeditiously on
measures to support growth including through completing the European Single Market and
making better use of European financial means, such as the EIB, pilot project bonds, and
structural and cohesion funds, for more targeted investment, employment, growth and
competitiveness, while maintaining the firm commitment to implement fiscal consolidation
to be assessed on a structural basis.
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3. 2. Fiscal policies in all of our economies will focus on strengthening and sustaining the recovery in a
manner which promotes fiscal sustainability and enhances policy credibility.
Advanced economies are generally on track to meet their near term commitment to halve
deficits between 2010 and 2013. Advanced economies are committed to meeting the
medium term Toronto commitments by implementing credible medium-term fiscal
consolidation plans.
Recognizing the need to pursue growth-oriented policies that support demand and
recovery, the United States will calibrate the pace of its fiscal consolidation by ensuring that
its public finances are placed on a sustainable long-run path so that a sharp fiscal
contraction in 2013 is avoided.
Japan will implement reconstruction spending as expeditiously as possible.
Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, Indonesia, Korea, the UK and the US are allowing
automatic fiscal stabilisers to operate, taking into account national circumstances and
current demand conditions.
Italy will deliver on its agenda of frontloaded fiscal consolidation accompanied by growth-
enhancing measures.
Fiscal policy in Spain will remain focussed on consolidation.
3. Monetary policies will remain focused on maintaining price stability and sustaining the global
economic recovery. In this context, the actions taken by central banks in advanced economies have
played an important role in promoting global economic growth and stability. Central banks will
remain vigilant and take action as appropriate to achieve their objectives.
4. Our central banks, financial market supervisors and treasuries will remain in close dialogue and will
cooperate through the FSB to maintain financial stability during this period of heightened
uncertainty. We will maintain momentum on the financial sector institutional reforms needed to
safeguard our financial systems over the medium term while taking appropriate actions to protect
credit channels and the integrity of global payment and settlement systems.
5. Should economic conditions deteriorate significantly further, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada,
China, Germany, Korea, Russia and the US stand ready to coordinate and implement additional
measures to support demand, taking into account national circumstances and commitments.
6. Emerging markets will adjust their macroeconomic policies to support domestic demand, while
ensuring price stability. When and where appropriate, macro-prudential measures will also be used
to help manage domestic credit growth and liquidity.
7. Recognizing that geopolitical risks might lead to a supply-side induced spike in oil prices, in an
environment of limited spare capacity and modest inventories, members stand ready to take additional
actions as needed. We welcome the commitments by producing countries to ensure adequate
supply. In particular, we welcome Saudi Arabia’s readiness to mobilize, as necessary, more than 2.5
million barrels per day of existing spare capacity.
8. In all policy areas, we commit to minimize the negative spillovers on other countries of policies
implemented for domestic purposes. We reaffirm our shared interest in a strong and stable
international financial system and our support for market-determined exchange rates. We reiterate
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4. that excess volatility and disorderly movements in exchange rates have adverse implications for
economic and financial stability.
Strengthening the Medium-term Foundations for Growth
All members agree to build on the 6-point plan developed in Cannes to boost confidence, raise global
output and create jobs, focussing on priority areas.
1. Advanced economies will ensure their fiscal finances are on a sustainable track.
Recognizing the importance of strengthening and implementing their medium-term fiscal
consolidation plans, the US and Japan commit to actions that will lead to steady reduction in
their public debt-to-GDP ratios:
The US commits to placing its federal debt-to-GDP ratio on a firm downward path by 2016
through a balanced approach.
Japan reaffirms its commitment to meet its primary balances targets for FY2015 and
FY2020, and to reduce its debt-to-GDP ratio from FY2021 onwards.
By our next Summit, members agree to identify credible and ambitious country-specific
targets for the debt-to-GDP ratio beyond 2016, where these do not currently exist,
accompanied by clear strategies and timetables to achieve them. These strategies will
consider tax and expenditure reforms, including modifications to entitlements.
2. We will intensify our efforts to rebalance global demand, through increasing domestic demand in
countries with current account surpluses, rotating demand from the public to private sector in
countries with fiscal deficits and increasing national savings in countries with current account
deficits.
The reduction of structural fiscal deficits and actions to promote private savings in advanced
economies with current account deficits will contribute to a lasting reduction in global
imbalances (US).
We reaffirm our commitment to move more rapidly toward market-determined exchange
rate systems and enhance exchange rate flexibility to reflect underlying fundamentals, avoid
persistent exchange rate misalignments, and refrain from competitive devaluation of
currencies. We recognize the important decisions to increase the fluctuation bands for the
exchange rates in China and Russia. China is building on its commitment to gradually reduce
the pace of reserve accumulation, and to allow market forces to play a larger role in
determining movements of the RMB and to increase the transparency of its exchange rate
policy. We welcome China’s commitment to continue exchange rate regime reform.
Emerging markets will take further actions to rebalance demand, including by: continuing to
promote the liberalization of interest rates (China); and, increasing investment (Brazil) and
savings rates (Turkey).
Advanced surplus economies or those with relatively weak private demand will help
promote domestic demand through the further liberalization of service sectors ( Korea,
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5. Germany, Japan); encouraging investment through eliminating inefficiencies (Germany);
and, creating new industries and new markets through innovation in areas such as
environment and healthcare (Japan). The recent developments in private households’ real
income in Germany will help strengthen domestic demand and accelerate internal
rebalancing within the Euro Area.
Oil-exporting countries will continue to pursue productive public investment and encourage
private investment, which will have positive regional and global spillover effects, while
ensuring fiscal sustainability given the volatile nature of revenues.
3. In Cannes, countries put forward structural reform commitments to boost and sustain global
demand, foster job creation, contribute to global rebalancing and increase the growth potential in
all G-20 countries. These remain core priorities going forward and are reflected in additional reforms
and commitments made since Cannes. These reforms include:
Labour market reforms to increase employment and increase labour force participation,
such as: retraining long-term unemployed (US); skills development (Spain); increasing wage
flexibility, such as decentralizing wage setting (Italy); reducing labour tax wedges (Brazil,
Italy); reforms to employment insurance to make it more effective and efficient in
supporting job creation (Canada); enhancing education, training and skills development
(Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Turkey, South Africa); encouraging the
participation of females in the labour force by, for example, reforming benefit systems and
providing affordable child care services (Australia, Germany, Japan, Korea); improving
employment opportunities for targeted groups such as youth and persons with disabilities
(Canada, Korea, UK); encouraging the participation of younger workers through
apprenticeships (UK); and, encouraging formal sector employment through better education
or skill development (Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa).
Product market reforms to promote competition and enhance productivity in key sectors
(Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Mexico);
Actions to promote the stabilisation of the housing sector (US).
Providing targeted support for the poor or strengthening social safety nets (India, Indonesia,
China, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, South Africa).
Phasing out distortive subsidies in the medium-term where they exist in both advanced and
emerging economies.
Tax and benefit reforms to enhance productivity and improve incentives to work (Australia,
Germany, Italy, UK);
Planning regulation reforms to better support economic growth by reducing the burdens
facing businesses wishing to expand (UK);
Encourage further trade liberalization through unilateral tariff elimination in key sectors
(Canada);
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6. Promote investments in infrastructure to increase productivity and living standards in the
medium term by addressing bottlenecks (Argentina, Australia, Brazil, India, Indonesia,
Mexico, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, UK); and,
Commitments to promote green and sustainable growth (Australia, Korea, Germany,
Mexico).
4. We have made substantial progress in strengthening financial sector regulation and supervision.
Current global economic challenges underscore the need to reaffirm our commitment to the
effective implementation of the agreed financial reforms in order to make the financial sector more
resilient, stable and able to support economic growth. We welcome the FSB’s work, in conjunction
with the IMF and the World Bank, identifying the extent to which agreed regulatory reforms may
have unintended consequences for EMDEs. G-20 members continue to look to the FSB, in
cooperation with standard setters, to monitor progress, reporting back on a regular basis. This will
be complemented by efforts to increase financial inclusion.
5. We reaffirm our commitment to resist protectionism in all forms and promote open trade, and will
take active measures to reduce the number of WTO inconsistent trade restrictive measures and
resist financial protectionism.
6. Members reiterate the commitment on actions to maximize growth potential and economic
resilience in developing countries, as well as the importance of fulfilling aid commitments by
advanced countries, and mobilizing domestic, external, and new innovative sources of finance to
meet development needs. These actions will complement the efforts of multilateral and bilateral
donors, public and private partners to assist developing countries in achieving the Millennium
Development Goals. Emerging market members will also promote a range of reforms to promote
development, including improving the investment climate and enhancing infrastructure investment.
Details on country-specific reform commitments are posted on the Mexican Presidency’s website. We
will continue to coordinate policy in the future as economic conditions evolve. We ask our Finance
Ministers to work closely together in the coming months to address vulnerabilities and sustain the
recovery. We will review progress against all of our commitments at the St. Petersburg Summit in 2013.
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7. ANNEX A:
THE LOS CABOS ACCOUNTABILITY ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK
G-20 members have developed an Accountability Assessment Framework based on three pillars. This
Framework will be used to prepare reports on progress in meeting past commitments, which will inform
the development of future action plans and domestic policies.
Guiding Principles
To make sure that the Framework meets the needs of the membership, members have agreed that it
be:
Country-owned and country-led, based on the members’ assessment and with the input of
independent third-party evaluations (by the IMF and other international organizations).
Based on a rigorous comply or explain approach, which recognizes that policy actions take time
and policy priorities may need to change.
Concrete, using quantitative measures where possible to help focus the discussion and assess
progress.
Consistent across members, to ensure comparability of treatment, while at the same time
allowing for country-specific circumstances where relevant.
Fair, by encouraging an open dialogue between members through self-assessments and by
providing objective, third-party analysis.
Open and transparent, with the overall outcomes communicated to the public after agreement
by the G-20.
1. A Peer-Review Process informed by Third-Party Assessments
At the core of our accountability assessment is a peer review process, in which members will assess
progress made in meeting past G-20 fiscal, financial, structural, monetary and exchange rate, trade and
development policy commitments. To enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of the discussions, the
process focuses on those commitments across all policy areas where the coordination of policies has the
most impact in reducing near term risks, and promoting strong, sustainable and balanced growth.
The peer review discussions will include the following elements:
A review and discussion of policy actions members have undertaken to meet their
commitments.
A discussion of the global economic outlook to assess the progress being made in moving
towards our objectives of strong, sustainable and balanced growth.
An assessment of members (approximately every 2 years) against the ‘Indicative Guidelines’ that
we endorsed in Cannes in order to identify large and persistent imbalances. As well, discussions
of the new (or updated) External Sustainability Reports prepared by the IMF for countries where
the guidelines suggest imbalances require further analysis.
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8. A review of reports from the international organisations (from the IMF, OECD, FSB, World Bank,
ILO UNCTAD and the WTO) to enhance the objectiveness of the assessment process.
To ensure the Framework’s credibility and integrity, we task our officials with further enhancing the
Accountability Assessment Framework, by looking at ways to promote peer review discussions based on
a shared understanding of issues. We are committed to agreeing on a common approach to measure
progress against previous commitments in the areas of fiscal, monetary, exchange rate, and other
policies. As well we agree that commitments need to be specific, measurable and relevant to achieving
strong, sustainable and balanced growth. We task our Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors to
review progress by their meeting in Mexico City in November 2012.
2. Regular Reports to Ministers/Governors/Leaders
The culmination of the peer review discussions will be short progress reports prepared for Ministerial
meetings and regular Annual Accountability Assessments for Ministers, Governors and Leaders. These
assessments would also provide critical input to inform the range of concrete policy commitments that
should be included in the G-20 Action Plans.
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9. ANNEX B:
The Los Cabos Accountability Assessment
The G-20 launched the Framework for Strong, Sustainable and Balanced Growth in Pittsburgh in 2009 to
promote the range of policy actions required to overcome the legacy of the 2007-08 financial crisis and
put the global economy back on the path of strong, sustainable and balanced economic growth and
robust job creation. The bold policy actions undertaken by G-20 countries in response to the crisis
limited the loss of output and jobs, and launched the global recovery.
While significant policy actions have been implemented since then, our common goal of achieving
strong, sustainable and balanced growth as agreed in Pittsburgh has remained elusive. It is clear that the
rebuilding of public and private sector balance sheets across advanced economies will continue to
constrain global growth for some time. Further, a number of risks continue to weigh heavily on global
growth as outlined above. The recovery in private demand in most advanced economies remains muted.
Although growth in emerging market economies has remained relatively strong, there are indications
that it too is slowing. Reflecting the differential growth profiles, unemployment rates in emerging
market economies have generally fallen below pre-crisis levels, while unemployment rates in advanced
economies generally remain stubbornly high.
External imbalances have generally narrowed compared to the very large imbalances in the pre-crisis
period. Structural policy adjustments have played a role in some countries, but the improvement also
reflects cyclical effects, in particular the relatively weak cyclical position of many advanced economies
and movements in terms of trade. Oil-exporting countries continue to run large and mounting current
account surpluses.
On balance, developments since Pittsburgh suggest that a continued and more determined effort across
all policy areas is required to meet the objectives set out when we established the Framework.
Fiscal Policy
Good progress has been achieved in meeting the Toronto fiscal commitments, although the weaker-
than-expected economic outcomes has affected the fiscal adjustment paths of some countries. In some
countries the credibility of fiscal policy needs to be bolstered through actions to place public finances on
a sustainable medium-term path:
Most members (Australia, Canada, France, Germany and Italy) are projected by the IMF to
achieve the Toronto target to halve their deficits from their 2010 levels.1 In some cases, strong
policy actions actually reduced the 2010 deficits below expected levels. Recognizing the need to
pursue growth-oriented policies that support demand and recovery, the United States will
calibrate the pace of its fiscal consolidation by ensuring that its public finances are placed on a
sustainable long-run path so that a sharp fiscal contraction in 2013 is avoided. In the UK, the
1
For consistency across members, this assessment of the Toronto commitments is based on general government
deficit, using the actual deficit in 2010 and comparing to the IMF’s projections for 2013, allowing a 0.5 percentage
point confidence band around the projections.
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10. actual 2013 deficit projection meets the Toronto objective when cyclically-adjusted measure is
used. Spain may miss its 2013 target, reflecting the significant weakness in the economy and the
restructuring of its banking sector. Thus, a very significant structural effort and deficit reduction
plan is being implemented.
Most advanced economies are also on track to achieve the Toronto commitment to stabilise or
reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio by 2016.2 The US is expected to meet this commitment in 2016 at
the federal government level, but the federal government debt is expected to increase
thereafter according to the IMF. Spain is expected to require additional actions to meet its
target. Japan is on track to meet its own medium-term target of halving the primary deficit by
FY2015 from its FY2010 level, but more action is needed to reach its long-term target to reduce
its debt-to-GDP ratio from FY2021 onwards. Finally, while advanced economies had agreed to
promote sustainable fiscal finances over the medium term, debt levels are expected to remain
high in many countries in 2016. Further policy efforts are required to achieve sustainable public
finances in the medium term, particularly in the context of population ageing.
Member countries have made progress on their commitments to implement structural fiscal reforms.
The Euro Area has strengthened its fiscal frameworks with the adoption of the Fiscal Compact. Some
members have delivered on their commitment to reform the pension system (Italy) and others are
making progress on pension reforms (France, the UK). Brazil has approved a reform of the civil servants’
pension system. Spain has implemented a major labour market reform. Further progress is required on a
range of fiscal actions across G-20 members that would both promote sustainable public finances and
facilitate global rebalancing: the Euro Area needs to complete reforms to fiscal governance; and, the US
and Japan need to fully implement ambitious medium-term fiscal plans. India, Indonesia and Mexico
need to continue their reforms of major subsidies. Further progress on tax reform is required in many
emerging and advanced economies to reduce distortions.
Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies
In advanced economies, monetary policies have played an integral role in supporting the recovery while
maintaining price stability. In emerging market economies, inflationary pressures have generally eased,
largely as a result of slower growth.
Since the Pittsburgh Summit, emerging market economies with relatively inflexible exchange rate
regimes, under the IMF’s de facto classification system, implemented a number of important reforms. In
particular, both China and Russia have widened their exchange rate floating bands. China’s exchange
rate has appreciated substantially since 2005, but progress towards greater exchange rate flexibility has
been less clear since the Cannes Summit, particularly given the short time that China’s most recent
reforms have been in place. Reserves fell in China during the last quarter of 2011 partly owing to the
narrowing in its current account surplus. Reserve accumulation resumed in the first quarter of 2012.
Emerging market countries expressed concerns that the easing in monetary policies in advanced
economies is contributing to an increase in both the level and variability of capital flowing to their
2
Using the IMF’s forecast for the general government debt-to-GDP ratio over 2015 and 2016.
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11. economies and volatility in other financial variables, complicating macroeconomic policy management.
Members generally recognised that domestic monetary policies of advanced economies are
appropriately targeted to achieve domestic objectives while at the same time recognising the need to
remain vigilant against possible negative spillovers of their policies.
Structural Policies
The implementation of key structural reforms is critical to strengthening growth and creating jobs, and
promoting global rebalancing, such as policies that affect social safety nets and investment patterns.
However, members agreed that structural reform commitments are particularly difficult to assess, in
part due to the length of time it takes to implement them and witness their effects. That said, members
remain committed to pursuing structural reforms as not only are some reforms able to provide
employment gains in the short-term, they also boost jobs and growth domestically and have positive
spillovers via trade and other linkages to help rebalance the global economy.
The OECD estimates that implementation is underway for over three quarters of all structural reform
commitments, with full implementation of about one-third of all commitments. Progress in
implementing reforms is broadly similar for advanced and emerging economies. However, progress
across the different categories of structural reforms has been uneven and greater ambition is needed to
implement the reforms that will have the greatest impact on rebalancing, job creation, and promoting
stronger growth.
Several advanced economies need to make more progress on product market reforms (Euro Area,
Japan). Emerging markets, in general, need to further improve the business and investment
environment, which will facilitate investment in infrastructure and enhance potential growth, and foster
financial inclusion. To facilitate global rebalancing: the US needs to do more to encourage private
savings; Germany should implement measures to promote domestic demand; and, some emerging
markets need to increase domestic consumption and improve the efficiency of investment.
Trade, Financial Sector and Development Policies
The WTO, UNCTAD, World Bank and OECD continue to monitor progress countries have made in
reducing tariffs and liberalizing trading systems, including reducing entry barriers in key sectors. Most
members have maintained their commitment to resist protectionism, including by addressing unfair
trade practices through WTO-consistent trade remedy measures rather than ad-hoc policy responses.
However, the political climate in some regions appears to be more accepting of new forms of
protectionist measures, which should be resisted.
The FSB is responsible for coordinating and promoting the rigorous monitoring of the implementation of
the agreed G-20/FSB financial reforms and its reporting to the G-20 under the FSB’s Coordination
Framework for Implementation Monitoring (CFIM) that was established last year. This process involves
intensive monitoring and detailed reporting, in collaboration with the standard setting bodies, on
national implementation progress in six priority reform areas (Basel III, policy measures for G-SIFIs,
resolution frameworks, OTC derivatives, compensation practices, shadow banking) as set out in the
FSB’s report to G-20 Leaders. The FSB, in coordination with relevant standard setting bodies, also
reports on the implementation of other agreed regulatory reforms and publishes information on the
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12. steps taken by FSB members to implement them. The IMF reviews progress realized by its members via
its Article IV surveillance and FSAP assessments. The FSB, in coordination with the staff of the IMF and
World Bank, has prepared a study identifying the extent to which agreed regulatory reforms may have
unintended consequences on emerging market and developing economies.
The World Bank, in conjunction with other international organizations, will continue to assess the
growth and development agenda in developing countries, including the impact of the Framework
policies and the external environment on promoting development and reducing the development gap.
In addition, they continue to monitor the progress towards fulfilling commitments in this area.
Conclusion
Overall, progress has been made in moving ahead on the Cannes and previous summit reform
commitments, but more progress and new actions are required in several important areas. In order to
facilitate future assessments, members also recognised that policy commitments need to be as specific
and concrete as possible, and need to substantively contribute towards the overall objective of strong,
sustainable and balanced growth. We also agree on the need for a common approach to measure
progress against previous commitments in all policy areas.
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