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This document contains forward‐looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about
the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni’s management may make forward‐looking statements orally to analysts,
investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations,
margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘targets’, ‘goals’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’,
‘believes’, ‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward‐looking statements. These forward‐looking statements are not
guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will
occur in the future. Therefore, Eni’s actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward‐looking statements. Factors that might cause or
contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni’s Annual Reports on Form 20‐F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) under
the section entitled “Risk factors” and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:
• Fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals;
• Strong competition worldwide to supply energy to the industrial, commercial and residential energy markets;
• Safety, security, environmental and other operational risks, and the costs and risks associated with the requirement to comply with related regulation, including regulation on GHG
emissions;
• Risks associated with the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, including the risk that exploration efforts may be unsuccessful and the operational risks associated with
development projects;
• Uncertainties in the estimates of natural gas reserves;
• The time and expense required to develop reserves;
• Material disruptions arising from political, social and economic instability, particularly in light of the areas in which Eni operates;
• Risks associated with the trading environment, competition, and demand and supply dynamics in the natural gas market, including the impact under Eni take‐or‐pay long‐term gas supply
contracts;
• Laws and regulations related to climate change;
• Risks related to legal proceedings and compliance with anti‐corruption legislation;
• Risks arising from potential future acquisitions; and
• Exposure to exchange rate, interest rate and credit risks.
Any forward‐looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward‐looking statements to reflect any changes in
Eni’s expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further
disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.
DISCLAIMER
2
BOOSTING OUR TRANSFORMATION
3
LEADING ENERGY TRANSITION
CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050
LEVERAGING INTEGRATION
COMBINING RENEWABLES & CLIENTS
FINANCIAL ROBUSTNESS
2024 CASH NEUTRALITY < $ 40/BBL
STAKEHOLDER VALUE CREATION
ENHANCED REMUNERATION
2020: FAST REACTION TO COVID CRISIS
>35% CAPEX REDUCTION
vs original 2020 guidance
‐€ 1.9 BLN COST SAVINGS
vs pre‐covid level
FID RESCHEDULING ON
LARGE UPSTREAM PROJECTS
INCREASED CAPEX ON
GREEN PROJECTS
COSTS PORTFOLIO FINANCIALS
PEOPLE HEALTH AND BUSINESS CONTINUITY
5
LEVERAGE* MAINTAINED
AT 30%
*Pre IFRS
NEW COMPANY ORGANIZATION
LONG TERM DECARBONISATION PLAN
FIRST ISSUANCE OF HYBRID
BONDS OF € 3 BLN
ENERGY EVOLUTION
2020 MAIN RESULTS
NATURAL RESOURCES
 PRODUCTION: 1,733 KBOE/D
 DISCOVERED RESOURCES: 400 MBOE
 GAS & LNG: EBIT € 330 MLN (+70%)
 FORESTRY REDD+: OFFSET 1.5 MTON CO2EQ.; CCUS UK LICENSE AWARDED
 RENEWABLES: 1 GW CAPACITY INSTALLED AND SANCTIONED
 ENTERED WORLD’S LARGEST OFFSHORE WIND PROJECT IN UK
 RETAIL G&P: EBIT € 330 MLN (+ 17%)
 BIO REFINING & MARKETING: EBIT € 550 MLN (+27%)
6
OIL, GAS, LNG CCS/CCUS AND FORESTRY
TRADITIONAL TO BIO, BLUE, GREEN PRODUCTS
CASHFLOW | € Bln
2020 FINANCIALS
CFFO and FCF @ Replacement Cost before Working Capital Adj
LEVERAGE PRE IFRS ~30%
1.7
6.7
5.0
CFFO CAPEX FCF
2020 CFFO GUIDANCE
ACHIEVED
7
AN INTEGRATED, ZERO CARBON, ENERGY COMPANY
9
DIVERSIFICATION
IN BIO, RETAIL & RENEWABLES
FLEXIBILITY & RESILIENCE
DECARBONISATION
SCOPE 1,2 AND 3
DEPLOYMENT OF TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION
STAKEHOLDER
VALUE CREATION
FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
10
10
SUPPORTING BUSINESS…
SUPERCOMPUTING
CAPACITY
HSE
MODELING
ALGORITHMS
…SHAPING THE FUTURE
CIRCULAR ECONOMY &
CHEMICALS FROM
RENEWABLES
CCU
TECHNOLOGIES
SUSTAINABLE
MOBILITY
RENEWABLES &
BREAKTHROUGH
TECHNOLOGIES
ENHANCING VALUE
THROUGH DIGITALIZATION & NEW TECHNOLOGIES
CO2
ASSET
INTEGRITY
€ 1 BLN 4YP
INNOVATION EXPENDITURE
€ 4 BLN 4YP
GREEN ORGANIC CAPEX
Green capex: Decarbonisation, Circular and Renewables
ENI NET ZERO EMISSIONS BY 2050
ABSOLUTE NET SCOPE 1+2+3 GHG EMISSIONS
 CARBON FREE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES
 INCREASED SHARE OF GAS ON TOTAL
PRODUCTION
 BIO‐METHANE FOR DOMESTIC USE AND
MOBILITY
 BIOREFINERIES AND CIRCULAR ECONOMY
 BLUE AND GREEN HYDROGEN
 CCS AND REDD+ PROJECTS
LEVERS
2018 2030 2040 2050
‐25%
‐65%
NET
ZERO
11
11
NET CARBON
INTENSITY
Scope 1+2+3
‐15% ‐40% ‐100%
FULLY COMPREHENSIVE METHODOLOGY
CONSIDERING ALL OUR ACTIVITIES AND ALL PRODUCTS WE TRADE
UPSTREAM FLEXIBILITY AND RESILIENCE
RESILIENCE
FLEXIBILITY
2021‐2024
CAPEX
€ 4.5 BLN
AVERAGE PER YEAR
UPSTREAM CAPEX COVERAGE| $/Bbl
>55% UNCOMMITTED IN 2023‐24
2021 2024
‐24%
37
28
13
Upstream capex coverage = Brent price at which upstream capex are covered by upstream CFFO
Oil Gas O&G Mboe Equity < 100 100‐200 > 200
14
44%
44%
12%
NEAR FIELD
PROVEN
BASINS
FRONTIER
2021‐2024 WELLS
2021‐2024
Target
2 Bln boe equity
UEC $ 1.6/boe
LOW RISK PORTFOLIO
Western Desert
Nile Delta
Levantine
EXPLORATION LED BY GAS, TIME TO MARKET & EFFICIENCY
Barents
Norwegian Sea
North Sea
Berkine
Arabic Gulf
Oman
Sureste
Transform Margin
Lower Congo
Lamu
Angoche
Andamane
Song Hong
Kutei
MAIN BASINS & DISCOVERY EXPECTATIONS IN 4Y PLAN
CASH FLOW GROWTH
4 % CAGR 2020‐2024
2024 PROVEN RESERVES: 55% GAS
2021 after OPEC cut
CFFO after Working Capital
50
Brent ($/bbl) 55 61.2
New production
UPSTREAM CFFO | € Bln
PRODUCTION | Kboe/d
15
6.5
9
10.4
8
8.7
2021 2022 2024
Eni 4YP Scenario Flat $50/bbl
AVG CAPEX
2021‐2024
~€ 4.5 BLN
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2021 2022 2024
2,000
1,600
1,200
GAS & LNG ENHANCING EQUITY MONETIZATION
LNG GROWTH:
14 MTPA in 2024
CONTRACTED VOLUMES
16
Egypt
Nigeria
Angola
Mozambique
Indonesia
Australia
Equity Projects
Europe
Far and
Middle East
Third Parties
2021‐2024 CUMULATIVE FCF: € 0.8 BLN
BUILDING THE LNG PORTFOLIO
Qatar
EQUITY SHARE:
>70% in 2024
Core Markets
FCF after Working Capital
REDUCING OUR CARBON FOOTPRINT
TOWARDS NET ZERO EMISSIONS
AFRICA:
Angola, DR Congo, Ghana,
Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia
FORESTRY INITIATIVES
REDD+ FORESTRY OFFSET @ 2024: > 6 MTON CO2
MAIN CCS PROJECTS
LATIN AMERICA:
Colombia, Mexico
ASIA:
Vietnam, Malaysia
UK ‐ LIVERPOOL BAY
NORWAY ‐ SLEIPNER
17
UK ‐ TEESSIDE ITALY ‐ RAVENNA
UAE ‐ GHASHA
LIBYA ‐ BES
PLANNED
IN OPERATION
REFINING & MARKETING
A PROGRESSIVE CONVERSION TO BIO‐PRODUCTS
Adj. EBIT* | € Bln BIO‐REFINERIES CAPACITY
19
PALM‐OIL FREE IN 2023
2020 2024
1.1
MTPA
2
MTPA
0.6
1.1
1.4
Bio‐Refining and Marketing
Oil Refining (incl. Adnoc)
2021 2024
Scenario
Eni
Flat Scenario
2021
*Pro‐forma with Adnoc
DOUBLING RESULTS BY 2024
Scenario
Eni
20
20
RETAIL + RENEWABLE
INCREASING INTEGRATION ALONG THE GREEN POWER VALUE CHAIN
VALUE ADDED PROPOSITION LEVERAGING OUR RETAIL BASE
INSTALLED RENEWABLE
CAPACITY| GW
RETAIL BASE| MLN CLIENTS
GEOGRAPHICAL FOOTPRINT
0.7
4
15
>10
>11
15
2021 2024 2030
21
RENEWABLE
RETAIL
Adj. EBITDA | € Bln
MAXIMISING
VALUE GENERATION
2021 2024
0.6
1
RETAIL + RENEWABLE
INCREASING INTEGRATION ALONG THE GREEN POWER VALUE CHAIN
NEW BUSINESS COMBINATIONS
TO FOCUS AND MAXIMIZE GROWTH
M&A
TO SPEED UP PORTFOLIO TRANSFORMATION
NEW FINANCIAL TOOLS LINKED TO
SUSTAINABILITY KPIs
FLEXIBILITY AND SELECTIVITY
IN THE CAPEX PLAN
FINANCIAL STRATEGY
23
A PROGRESSIVE AND COMPETITIVE
DISTRIBUTION POLICY
STRONG
BALANCE
SHEET
SELECTIVE CAPEX AND HIGH VALUE PORTFOLIO
AVG CAPEX ~ € 7 BLN
UPSTREAM OTHERS
GREEN+RETAIL
FOCUS ON GREEN & RETAIL AND SHORT CYCLE PROJECTS
IRR – RENEWABLES
65%
20% 15%
16%
18%
20%
‐20% Eni Scenario +20%
IRR – UPSTREAM
Projects in execution
2%
6%
10%
14%
Unlevered Levered
Green: Decarbonisation, Circular and Renewables
24
PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION STRATEGY
NEW BUSINESS COMBINATIONS
(REPLICATE VÅR ENERGI SUCCESS)
UPSTREAM
RATIONALIZATION OF
NON CORE ASSETS
OTHER BUSINESSES
ASSETS OPTIMIZATION
2021 ‐ 2024
DISPOSAL
PLAN
€ >2 BLN
GROSS
25
CFFO and FCF @ Replacement Cost before Working Capital Adj. Eni Scenario 2021: Brent $50/bl, PSV €147/kcm & €/$ 1.19
RESILIENT CASH GENERATION AND FLEXIBILITY
26
2024 CASH NEUTRALITY @ FLOOR DIVIDEND < $40/BBL
CFFO| € Bln
4YP FCF
@Eni Scenario
€ 17 BLN
4YP FCF
@$50/bbl
€ 12 BLN
AVG CAPEX
2021‐2024
~ € 7 BLN
0
5
10
15
2022 2024
Eni Scenario @50$/bbl
2021
27
ADDITIONAL
VARIABLE DIVIDEND
€0.36 dividend when Brent Scenario is $43 / bbl or above
Floor is evaluated every year considering the execution of the strategic plan
PROGRESSIVE
FLOOR DIVIDEND
Equal to 30 – 45% of additional FCF generated between $43 – 65 / bbl Brent
0.36
0.41
0.45
0.56
0.7
0.36 0.39
0.45
0.49
0.61
0.75
$43 Brent $45 Brent $48 Brent $50 Brent $55 Brent $60 Brent
DIVIDEND BASED UPON ENI’S ANNUAL BRENT SCENARIO* | €/share
TOTAL
DIVIDEND
OLD DIVIDEND
NEW DIVIDEND
ANNUAL
BUYBACK
€300 mln for Brent between $56 – 60 /bbl
€400 mln for Brent between $61 ‐ 65 / bbl
€800 mln for Brent above $65 / bbl
* To be announced in July
REMUNERATION POLICY
CONCLUSIONS
28
DECARBONISATION CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050
FLEXIBILITY & RESILIENCE CASH NEUTRALITY < $ 40/bbl @2024
DIVERSIFICATION RETAIL + RENEWABLES EBITDA > € 1 Bln @2024
ENHANCED REMUNERATION
DIVIDEND INCREASE AND
ACCELERATED BUYBACK
SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS
30
4YP Scenario 2021 2022 2023 2024
Brent dated ($/bbl) 50 55 60 61.2
FX avg ($/€) 1.190 1.190 1.200 1.230
Ural MED c.i.f. ‐ Med Dated Strip ($/bbl) ‐1.0 ‐1.4 ‐1.5 ‐1.7
Std. Eni Refining Margin ($/bbl) 3.8 4.5 4.6 4.6
NBP ($/mmbtu) 4.3 4.9 5.2 5.7
PSV (€/kcm) 147 163 167 181
Sensitivity 2021 EBIT adj (€ bln) net adj (€ bln) FCF (€ bln)
Brent (+1 $/bbl) 0.21 0.14 0.15
Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 $/bbl) 0.16 0.11 0.16
Exchange rate $/€ (‐0.05 $/€) 0.18 0.08 0.14
0.36
0.38 0.39
0.41
0.43
0.45
0.47
0.49
0.51
0.53
0.56
0.58
0.61
0.63
0.66
0.69
0.72
0.75
0.77
0.79
0.81
0.84
0.86 0.86
$43 $44 $45 $46 $47 $48 $49 $50 $51 $52 $53 $54 $55 $56 $57 $58 $59 $60 $61 $62 $63 $64 $65 $66
31
300 300 300 300 300 400 400400400400 800
BUYBACK (€ Mln) 300 300 300 300 300 800
400
400
400
400
400
TOTAL DIVIDEND | €/share
Floor
dividend
REMUNERATION POLICY
MAIN PLAN TARGETS
32
ALL TARGETS REFER TO 2024
BIO REFINING: 2 MTPA
+70% vs 2020
RENEWABLES: 4 GW installed
4X vs 2020 installed + sanctioned
RETAIL: >11 MLN CLIENTS
+15% vs 2020
2024 CASH NEUTRALITY @ FLOOR DIVIDEND: < $40/BBL
UPSTREAM CAPEX COVERAGE
$28/BBL
2024 GROUP CFFO:
€ 13 BLN
FLEXIBILITY & RESILIENCE
DIVERSIFICATION
UPSTREAM
NET EMISSIONS
SCOPE 1+2
‐50% vs 2018
DECARBONISATION
4YP
CAPEX
4YP
FCF
2021
FCF
33
NATURAL RESOURCES
UPSTREAM + GLOBAL GAS&LNG TARGETS
LOWER BREAK‐EVEN AND CARBON FOOTPRINT
2021
CAPEX
€ 4 Bln
€ 2 Bln
€ 18 Bln
€ 19 Bln
33
FCF after Working Capital
2021
ADJ. EBIT
2024
ADJ. EBIT
A SELF‐FINANCED SUSTAINABLE TRANSFORMATION
ENERGY EVOLUTION
G&P RETAIL, RENEWABLES, POWER, R&M AND CHEMICALS
34
€ 0.9 Bln € 2.1 Bln
34
2021
CAPEX
4YP
CAPEX
€ 1.6 Bln € 7.9 Bln
BOUNDARY OF ENI GHG ACCOUNTING
35
3RD
PARTIES
PRODUCTION TRANSPORTATION TRANSFORMATION DISTRIBUTION END USE
ENI UPSTREAM VOLUMES ‐ INCLUDED IN THE BOUNDARY
THIRD PARTIES VOLUMES – NOT INCLUDED IN THE BOUNDARY
ENI MID‐DOWNSTREAM VOLUMES PURCHASED FROM THIRD PARTIES ‐ INCLUDED IN THE BOUNDARY
COMPREHENSIVE OF
ALL ENERGY
PRODUCTS IN THE
VALUE CHAIN
SCIENTIFIC ADVISOR
AND THIRD‐PARTY
REVIEW
NEW LIFECYCLE APPROACH
NEW LIFECYCLE APPROACH
NEW ONGOING INITIATIVES
NEW ONGOING INITIATIVES
ACTIVE ENGAGEMENT
WITH KEY STAKEHOLDERS
AND INDUSTRY ENERGY TRANSITION PRINCIPLES*
*bp, Eni, Equinor, Galp, Occidental,
Repsol, Royal Dutch Shell, Total
ENI’S DIRECT VS. INDIRECT EMISSIONS
ENI’S DIRECT VS. INDIRECT EMISSIONS
OIL&GAS
Scope 1 + 2 Scope 3
15% 85%
36
505
360
167
0
2018 2030 2040 2050
MtonCO2eq
gCO2eq/MJ
68
57
38
0
2018 2030 2040 2050
NET GHG ABSOLUTE EMISSIONS Scope 1+2+3
NET CARBON INTENSITY Scope 1+2+3
2050
2030 2040
ENI
NET ZERO
Scope 1+2+3
‐100% vs 2018
‐15% vs 2018 ‐40% vs 2018 ‐100% vs 2018
UPSTREAM
NET ZERO
Scope 1+2
ENI
NET ZERO
Scope 1+2
‐25% vs 2018 ‐65% vs 2018
2050
2030 2040
ENI’S ROADMAP TO 2050
MAIN DECARBONISATION TARGET
37
grafico
GHG
EMISSIONS
CCS
FORESTRY
2021 2035 2040 2050
NET ZERO CARBON FOOTPRINT SCOPE 1+2
2030
2025
2021 2035 2040
2030
2025
NET LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS SCOPE 1+2+3 VS 2018
NET CARBON INTENSITY SCOPE 1+2+3 VS 2018
PROCESS FLARING | msM3
UPSTREAM GHG EMISSION INTENSITY VS 2014
FUGITIVE METHANE EMISSIONS UPS VS 2014
CARBON EFFICIENCY INDEX (2014‐2021)
ENI NET ZERO
UPS NET ZERO
UPS ‐50%
@2024
‐25% NET ZERO
‐65%
NET ZERO
0
‐43%
‐80%
reached @2019
‐2% YoY
~ 7 50
>6 MTPA
@ 2024
CARBON CAPTURE & STORAGE CO2
(Mton CO2/y)
POTENTIAL ABSORPTION FORESTRY
(Mton CO2/y)
~ 40
20

‐15% ‐40%
2024
2024
MAIN BUSINESSES TARGETS
38
RETAIL
2021 2035 2040 2050
CUSTOMER BASE | MLN POD
2030
2025
2021 2035 2040
2030
2025
PALM OIL FREE
INSTALLED CAPACITY | GW
NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION |
% ON PORTFOLIO
BIO
REFINING
RENEWABLES
OIL & GAS
BIO REFINING | MLN TON/Y
>11 15
5‐6
>20
>90
60
60
15
2
4
1.1
5
BY 2023
>25
39
KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 2021‐24 [1/2]
Start up: 2022 (Early Prod.: June ’19)
2021 Equity: 19 kboed
FF Progress: 53%
Production (kboed):
92 (100%) @ 2025 ‐ 60 (eq.) @2022
Area 1 Full Field 100% WI
MEXICO
LIQ
LIBYA
LIBYA
ANGOLA Nené ph. 2B Full Field 65% WI
Start up: 2022 (Early Prod.: March ’20)
2021 Equity: 1 kboed
Production (kboed):
15 (100%) – 10 (equity) @2024
CONGO
LIQ
Merakes 65% WI
Start up: Q2 2021
2021 Equity: 34 kboed
Progress: 88%
Production (kboed):
84 (100%) – 50 (equity) @2022
GAS
INDONESIA
Mahani 50% WI
Start up: January 2021
2021 Equity: 2 kboed
Production (kboed):
18 (100%) – 9 (equity ) @2023
GAS
UAE
Cabaça North 37% WI
Start up: H2 2021
2021 Equity: 1 kboed
Production (kboed):
10 (100%) – 4 (equity) @2023
ANGOLA
LIQ
NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau
Coral FLNG
Start up: 2022
Progress: 81%
Production (kboed):
107 (100%) – 28 (equity) @2023
25% WI
MOZAMBIQUE
GAS
INDONESIA
Balder X 63% WI
Start up: 2022
Progress: 26%
Production (kboed):
78 (100%) – 49 (equity) @2023
LIQ
NORWAY
Fenja 31% WI
Start up: 2022
Progress: 74%
Production (kboed):
31 (100%) – 10 (equity) @2024
LIQ
NORWAY
LIQ
40
KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 2021‐24 [2/2]
Dalma Gas 25% WI
Start up: 2023
Production (kboed):
54 (100%) – 13 (equity) @2024
UAE
GAS
LIQ
NORWAY
Breidablikk 29% WI
Start up: 2024
Progress: < 5%
Production (kboed):
57 (100%) – 17 (equity) @2026
NORWAY
LIQ
Johan Castberg 21% WI
NORWAY
Start up: 2023
Progress: 55%
Production (kboed):
190 (100%) – 40 (equity) @2025
LIQ
KEP 1A 29% WI
Start up: 2024
Production (kboed):
26 (100%) – 3 (equity) @2026
LIQ
KAZAKHSTAN
Northern Gas Complex 26% WI
Start up: 2024
Production (kboed):
130 (100%) – 33 (equity) @2025
GAS
ANGOLA
Agogo EP ph.2 37% WI
Start up: 2023 (Ph.1: Dec ‘19)
2021 Equity: 6 kboed
Production (kboed):
30 (100%) – 10 (equity) @2023
ANGOLA
LIQ
GAS
RENEWABLE
FUTURE GROWTH
41
2020 2030
2024
NORTH EUROPE WIND OFFSHORE
ITALY (ENI ‐ CDP) SOLAR / WIND ONSHORE
USA (ENI ‐ FALCK REN) SOLAR / WIND ONSHORE
SOUTH EUROPE (ENI – X‐elio) SOLAR / WIND ONSHORE
INSTALLED CAPACITY | GW
60%
40%
INSTALLED &
SANCTIONED
ACCESSED/
UNDER STUDY
ACREAGE
POTENTIAL
2 GW
3 GW
1 GW
0.3 4 15
SANCTIONED, ACCESSED, UNDER STUDY
SANCTIONED, ACCESSED, UNDER STUDY
2024 RENEWABLE
POWER GENERATION
TECHNOLOGICAL SPLIT

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ENI strategy-2021-2024.pdf

  • 1.
  • 2. This document contains forward‐looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni’s management may make forward‐looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘targets’, ‘goals’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’, ‘believes’, ‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward‐looking statements. These forward‐looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni’s actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward‐looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni’s Annual Reports on Form 20‐F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) under the section entitled “Risk factors” and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to: • Fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals; • Strong competition worldwide to supply energy to the industrial, commercial and residential energy markets; • Safety, security, environmental and other operational risks, and the costs and risks associated with the requirement to comply with related regulation, including regulation on GHG emissions; • Risks associated with the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, including the risk that exploration efforts may be unsuccessful and the operational risks associated with development projects; • Uncertainties in the estimates of natural gas reserves; • The time and expense required to develop reserves; • Material disruptions arising from political, social and economic instability, particularly in light of the areas in which Eni operates; • Risks associated with the trading environment, competition, and demand and supply dynamics in the natural gas market, including the impact under Eni take‐or‐pay long‐term gas supply contracts; • Laws and regulations related to climate change; • Risks related to legal proceedings and compliance with anti‐corruption legislation; • Risks arising from potential future acquisitions; and • Exposure to exchange rate, interest rate and credit risks. Any forward‐looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward‐looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni’s expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob. DISCLAIMER 2
  • 3. BOOSTING OUR TRANSFORMATION 3 LEADING ENERGY TRANSITION CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050 LEVERAGING INTEGRATION COMBINING RENEWABLES & CLIENTS FINANCIAL ROBUSTNESS 2024 CASH NEUTRALITY < $ 40/BBL STAKEHOLDER VALUE CREATION ENHANCED REMUNERATION
  • 4.
  • 5. 2020: FAST REACTION TO COVID CRISIS >35% CAPEX REDUCTION vs original 2020 guidance ‐€ 1.9 BLN COST SAVINGS vs pre‐covid level FID RESCHEDULING ON LARGE UPSTREAM PROJECTS INCREASED CAPEX ON GREEN PROJECTS COSTS PORTFOLIO FINANCIALS PEOPLE HEALTH AND BUSINESS CONTINUITY 5 LEVERAGE* MAINTAINED AT 30% *Pre IFRS NEW COMPANY ORGANIZATION LONG TERM DECARBONISATION PLAN FIRST ISSUANCE OF HYBRID BONDS OF € 3 BLN
  • 6. ENERGY EVOLUTION 2020 MAIN RESULTS NATURAL RESOURCES  PRODUCTION: 1,733 KBOE/D  DISCOVERED RESOURCES: 400 MBOE  GAS & LNG: EBIT € 330 MLN (+70%)  FORESTRY REDD+: OFFSET 1.5 MTON CO2EQ.; CCUS UK LICENSE AWARDED  RENEWABLES: 1 GW CAPACITY INSTALLED AND SANCTIONED  ENTERED WORLD’S LARGEST OFFSHORE WIND PROJECT IN UK  RETAIL G&P: EBIT € 330 MLN (+ 17%)  BIO REFINING & MARKETING: EBIT € 550 MLN (+27%) 6 OIL, GAS, LNG CCS/CCUS AND FORESTRY TRADITIONAL TO BIO, BLUE, GREEN PRODUCTS
  • 7. CASHFLOW | € Bln 2020 FINANCIALS CFFO and FCF @ Replacement Cost before Working Capital Adj LEVERAGE PRE IFRS ~30% 1.7 6.7 5.0 CFFO CAPEX FCF 2020 CFFO GUIDANCE ACHIEVED 7
  • 8.
  • 9. AN INTEGRATED, ZERO CARBON, ENERGY COMPANY 9 DIVERSIFICATION IN BIO, RETAIL & RENEWABLES FLEXIBILITY & RESILIENCE DECARBONISATION SCOPE 1,2 AND 3 DEPLOYMENT OF TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION STAKEHOLDER VALUE CREATION FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
  • 10. 10 10 SUPPORTING BUSINESS… SUPERCOMPUTING CAPACITY HSE MODELING ALGORITHMS …SHAPING THE FUTURE CIRCULAR ECONOMY & CHEMICALS FROM RENEWABLES CCU TECHNOLOGIES SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY RENEWABLES & BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES ENHANCING VALUE THROUGH DIGITALIZATION & NEW TECHNOLOGIES CO2 ASSET INTEGRITY € 1 BLN 4YP INNOVATION EXPENDITURE € 4 BLN 4YP GREEN ORGANIC CAPEX Green capex: Decarbonisation, Circular and Renewables
  • 11. ENI NET ZERO EMISSIONS BY 2050 ABSOLUTE NET SCOPE 1+2+3 GHG EMISSIONS  CARBON FREE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES  INCREASED SHARE OF GAS ON TOTAL PRODUCTION  BIO‐METHANE FOR DOMESTIC USE AND MOBILITY  BIOREFINERIES AND CIRCULAR ECONOMY  BLUE AND GREEN HYDROGEN  CCS AND REDD+ PROJECTS LEVERS 2018 2030 2040 2050 ‐25% ‐65% NET ZERO 11 11 NET CARBON INTENSITY Scope 1+2+3 ‐15% ‐40% ‐100% FULLY COMPREHENSIVE METHODOLOGY CONSIDERING ALL OUR ACTIVITIES AND ALL PRODUCTS WE TRADE
  • 12.
  • 13. UPSTREAM FLEXIBILITY AND RESILIENCE RESILIENCE FLEXIBILITY 2021‐2024 CAPEX € 4.5 BLN AVERAGE PER YEAR UPSTREAM CAPEX COVERAGE| $/Bbl >55% UNCOMMITTED IN 2023‐24 2021 2024 ‐24% 37 28 13 Upstream capex coverage = Brent price at which upstream capex are covered by upstream CFFO
  • 14. Oil Gas O&G Mboe Equity < 100 100‐200 > 200 14 44% 44% 12% NEAR FIELD PROVEN BASINS FRONTIER 2021‐2024 WELLS 2021‐2024 Target 2 Bln boe equity UEC $ 1.6/boe LOW RISK PORTFOLIO Western Desert Nile Delta Levantine EXPLORATION LED BY GAS, TIME TO MARKET & EFFICIENCY Barents Norwegian Sea North Sea Berkine Arabic Gulf Oman Sureste Transform Margin Lower Congo Lamu Angoche Andamane Song Hong Kutei MAIN BASINS & DISCOVERY EXPECTATIONS IN 4Y PLAN
  • 15. CASH FLOW GROWTH 4 % CAGR 2020‐2024 2024 PROVEN RESERVES: 55% GAS 2021 after OPEC cut CFFO after Working Capital 50 Brent ($/bbl) 55 61.2 New production UPSTREAM CFFO | € Bln PRODUCTION | Kboe/d 15 6.5 9 10.4 8 8.7 2021 2022 2024 Eni 4YP Scenario Flat $50/bbl AVG CAPEX 2021‐2024 ~€ 4.5 BLN 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2021 2022 2024 2,000 1,600 1,200
  • 16. GAS & LNG ENHANCING EQUITY MONETIZATION LNG GROWTH: 14 MTPA in 2024 CONTRACTED VOLUMES 16 Egypt Nigeria Angola Mozambique Indonesia Australia Equity Projects Europe Far and Middle East Third Parties 2021‐2024 CUMULATIVE FCF: € 0.8 BLN BUILDING THE LNG PORTFOLIO Qatar EQUITY SHARE: >70% in 2024 Core Markets FCF after Working Capital
  • 17. REDUCING OUR CARBON FOOTPRINT TOWARDS NET ZERO EMISSIONS AFRICA: Angola, DR Congo, Ghana, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia FORESTRY INITIATIVES REDD+ FORESTRY OFFSET @ 2024: > 6 MTON CO2 MAIN CCS PROJECTS LATIN AMERICA: Colombia, Mexico ASIA: Vietnam, Malaysia UK ‐ LIVERPOOL BAY NORWAY ‐ SLEIPNER 17 UK ‐ TEESSIDE ITALY ‐ RAVENNA UAE ‐ GHASHA LIBYA ‐ BES PLANNED IN OPERATION
  • 18.
  • 19. REFINING & MARKETING A PROGRESSIVE CONVERSION TO BIO‐PRODUCTS Adj. EBIT* | € Bln BIO‐REFINERIES CAPACITY 19 PALM‐OIL FREE IN 2023 2020 2024 1.1 MTPA 2 MTPA 0.6 1.1 1.4 Bio‐Refining and Marketing Oil Refining (incl. Adnoc) 2021 2024 Scenario Eni Flat Scenario 2021 *Pro‐forma with Adnoc DOUBLING RESULTS BY 2024 Scenario Eni
  • 20. 20 20 RETAIL + RENEWABLE INCREASING INTEGRATION ALONG THE GREEN POWER VALUE CHAIN VALUE ADDED PROPOSITION LEVERAGING OUR RETAIL BASE INSTALLED RENEWABLE CAPACITY| GW RETAIL BASE| MLN CLIENTS GEOGRAPHICAL FOOTPRINT 0.7 4 15 >10 >11 15 2021 2024 2030
  • 21. 21 RENEWABLE RETAIL Adj. EBITDA | € Bln MAXIMISING VALUE GENERATION 2021 2024 0.6 1 RETAIL + RENEWABLE INCREASING INTEGRATION ALONG THE GREEN POWER VALUE CHAIN
  • 22.
  • 23. NEW BUSINESS COMBINATIONS TO FOCUS AND MAXIMIZE GROWTH M&A TO SPEED UP PORTFOLIO TRANSFORMATION NEW FINANCIAL TOOLS LINKED TO SUSTAINABILITY KPIs FLEXIBILITY AND SELECTIVITY IN THE CAPEX PLAN FINANCIAL STRATEGY 23 A PROGRESSIVE AND COMPETITIVE DISTRIBUTION POLICY STRONG BALANCE SHEET
  • 24. SELECTIVE CAPEX AND HIGH VALUE PORTFOLIO AVG CAPEX ~ € 7 BLN UPSTREAM OTHERS GREEN+RETAIL FOCUS ON GREEN & RETAIL AND SHORT CYCLE PROJECTS IRR – RENEWABLES 65% 20% 15% 16% 18% 20% ‐20% Eni Scenario +20% IRR – UPSTREAM Projects in execution 2% 6% 10% 14% Unlevered Levered Green: Decarbonisation, Circular and Renewables 24
  • 25. PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION STRATEGY NEW BUSINESS COMBINATIONS (REPLICATE VÅR ENERGI SUCCESS) UPSTREAM RATIONALIZATION OF NON CORE ASSETS OTHER BUSINESSES ASSETS OPTIMIZATION 2021 ‐ 2024 DISPOSAL PLAN € >2 BLN GROSS 25
  • 26. CFFO and FCF @ Replacement Cost before Working Capital Adj. Eni Scenario 2021: Brent $50/bl, PSV €147/kcm & €/$ 1.19 RESILIENT CASH GENERATION AND FLEXIBILITY 26 2024 CASH NEUTRALITY @ FLOOR DIVIDEND < $40/BBL CFFO| € Bln 4YP FCF @Eni Scenario € 17 BLN 4YP FCF @$50/bbl € 12 BLN AVG CAPEX 2021‐2024 ~ € 7 BLN 0 5 10 15 2022 2024 Eni Scenario @50$/bbl 2021
  • 27. 27 ADDITIONAL VARIABLE DIVIDEND €0.36 dividend when Brent Scenario is $43 / bbl or above Floor is evaluated every year considering the execution of the strategic plan PROGRESSIVE FLOOR DIVIDEND Equal to 30 – 45% of additional FCF generated between $43 – 65 / bbl Brent 0.36 0.41 0.45 0.56 0.7 0.36 0.39 0.45 0.49 0.61 0.75 $43 Brent $45 Brent $48 Brent $50 Brent $55 Brent $60 Brent DIVIDEND BASED UPON ENI’S ANNUAL BRENT SCENARIO* | €/share TOTAL DIVIDEND OLD DIVIDEND NEW DIVIDEND ANNUAL BUYBACK €300 mln for Brent between $56 – 60 /bbl €400 mln for Brent between $61 ‐ 65 / bbl €800 mln for Brent above $65 / bbl * To be announced in July REMUNERATION POLICY
  • 28. CONCLUSIONS 28 DECARBONISATION CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050 FLEXIBILITY & RESILIENCE CASH NEUTRALITY < $ 40/bbl @2024 DIVERSIFICATION RETAIL + RENEWABLES EBITDA > € 1 Bln @2024 ENHANCED REMUNERATION DIVIDEND INCREASE AND ACCELERATED BUYBACK
  • 29.
  • 30. SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS 30 4YP Scenario 2021 2022 2023 2024 Brent dated ($/bbl) 50 55 60 61.2 FX avg ($/€) 1.190 1.190 1.200 1.230 Ural MED c.i.f. ‐ Med Dated Strip ($/bbl) ‐1.0 ‐1.4 ‐1.5 ‐1.7 Std. Eni Refining Margin ($/bbl) 3.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 NBP ($/mmbtu) 4.3 4.9 5.2 5.7 PSV (€/kcm) 147 163 167 181 Sensitivity 2021 EBIT adj (€ bln) net adj (€ bln) FCF (€ bln) Brent (+1 $/bbl) 0.21 0.14 0.15 Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 $/bbl) 0.16 0.11 0.16 Exchange rate $/€ (‐0.05 $/€) 0.18 0.08 0.14
  • 31. 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.58 0.61 0.63 0.66 0.69 0.72 0.75 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.84 0.86 0.86 $43 $44 $45 $46 $47 $48 $49 $50 $51 $52 $53 $54 $55 $56 $57 $58 $59 $60 $61 $62 $63 $64 $65 $66 31 300 300 300 300 300 400 400400400400 800 BUYBACK (€ Mln) 300 300 300 300 300 800 400 400 400 400 400 TOTAL DIVIDEND | €/share Floor dividend REMUNERATION POLICY
  • 32. MAIN PLAN TARGETS 32 ALL TARGETS REFER TO 2024 BIO REFINING: 2 MTPA +70% vs 2020 RENEWABLES: 4 GW installed 4X vs 2020 installed + sanctioned RETAIL: >11 MLN CLIENTS +15% vs 2020 2024 CASH NEUTRALITY @ FLOOR DIVIDEND: < $40/BBL UPSTREAM CAPEX COVERAGE $28/BBL 2024 GROUP CFFO: € 13 BLN FLEXIBILITY & RESILIENCE DIVERSIFICATION UPSTREAM NET EMISSIONS SCOPE 1+2 ‐50% vs 2018 DECARBONISATION
  • 33. 4YP CAPEX 4YP FCF 2021 FCF 33 NATURAL RESOURCES UPSTREAM + GLOBAL GAS&LNG TARGETS LOWER BREAK‐EVEN AND CARBON FOOTPRINT 2021 CAPEX € 4 Bln € 2 Bln € 18 Bln € 19 Bln 33 FCF after Working Capital
  • 34. 2021 ADJ. EBIT 2024 ADJ. EBIT A SELF‐FINANCED SUSTAINABLE TRANSFORMATION ENERGY EVOLUTION G&P RETAIL, RENEWABLES, POWER, R&M AND CHEMICALS 34 € 0.9 Bln € 2.1 Bln 34 2021 CAPEX 4YP CAPEX € 1.6 Bln € 7.9 Bln
  • 35. BOUNDARY OF ENI GHG ACCOUNTING 35 3RD PARTIES PRODUCTION TRANSPORTATION TRANSFORMATION DISTRIBUTION END USE ENI UPSTREAM VOLUMES ‐ INCLUDED IN THE BOUNDARY THIRD PARTIES VOLUMES – NOT INCLUDED IN THE BOUNDARY ENI MID‐DOWNSTREAM VOLUMES PURCHASED FROM THIRD PARTIES ‐ INCLUDED IN THE BOUNDARY COMPREHENSIVE OF ALL ENERGY PRODUCTS IN THE VALUE CHAIN SCIENTIFIC ADVISOR AND THIRD‐PARTY REVIEW NEW LIFECYCLE APPROACH NEW LIFECYCLE APPROACH NEW ONGOING INITIATIVES NEW ONGOING INITIATIVES ACTIVE ENGAGEMENT WITH KEY STAKEHOLDERS AND INDUSTRY ENERGY TRANSITION PRINCIPLES* *bp, Eni, Equinor, Galp, Occidental, Repsol, Royal Dutch Shell, Total ENI’S DIRECT VS. INDIRECT EMISSIONS ENI’S DIRECT VS. INDIRECT EMISSIONS OIL&GAS Scope 1 + 2 Scope 3 15% 85%
  • 36. 36 505 360 167 0 2018 2030 2040 2050 MtonCO2eq gCO2eq/MJ 68 57 38 0 2018 2030 2040 2050 NET GHG ABSOLUTE EMISSIONS Scope 1+2+3 NET CARBON INTENSITY Scope 1+2+3 2050 2030 2040 ENI NET ZERO Scope 1+2+3 ‐100% vs 2018 ‐15% vs 2018 ‐40% vs 2018 ‐100% vs 2018 UPSTREAM NET ZERO Scope 1+2 ENI NET ZERO Scope 1+2 ‐25% vs 2018 ‐65% vs 2018 2050 2030 2040 ENI’S ROADMAP TO 2050
  • 37. MAIN DECARBONISATION TARGET 37 grafico GHG EMISSIONS CCS FORESTRY 2021 2035 2040 2050 NET ZERO CARBON FOOTPRINT SCOPE 1+2 2030 2025 2021 2035 2040 2030 2025 NET LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS SCOPE 1+2+3 VS 2018 NET CARBON INTENSITY SCOPE 1+2+3 VS 2018 PROCESS FLARING | msM3 UPSTREAM GHG EMISSION INTENSITY VS 2014 FUGITIVE METHANE EMISSIONS UPS VS 2014 CARBON EFFICIENCY INDEX (2014‐2021) ENI NET ZERO UPS NET ZERO UPS ‐50% @2024 ‐25% NET ZERO ‐65% NET ZERO 0 ‐43% ‐80% reached @2019 ‐2% YoY ~ 7 50 >6 MTPA @ 2024 CARBON CAPTURE & STORAGE CO2 (Mton CO2/y) POTENTIAL ABSORPTION FORESTRY (Mton CO2/y) ~ 40 20  ‐15% ‐40% 2024
  • 38. 2024 MAIN BUSINESSES TARGETS 38 RETAIL 2021 2035 2040 2050 CUSTOMER BASE | MLN POD 2030 2025 2021 2035 2040 2030 2025 PALM OIL FREE INSTALLED CAPACITY | GW NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION | % ON PORTFOLIO BIO REFINING RENEWABLES OIL & GAS BIO REFINING | MLN TON/Y >11 15 5‐6 >20 >90 60 60 15 2 4 1.1 5 BY 2023 >25
  • 39. 39 KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 2021‐24 [1/2] Start up: 2022 (Early Prod.: June ’19) 2021 Equity: 19 kboed FF Progress: 53% Production (kboed): 92 (100%) @ 2025 ‐ 60 (eq.) @2022 Area 1 Full Field 100% WI MEXICO LIQ LIBYA LIBYA ANGOLA Nené ph. 2B Full Field 65% WI Start up: 2022 (Early Prod.: March ’20) 2021 Equity: 1 kboed Production (kboed): 15 (100%) – 10 (equity) @2024 CONGO LIQ Merakes 65% WI Start up: Q2 2021 2021 Equity: 34 kboed Progress: 88% Production (kboed): 84 (100%) – 50 (equity) @2022 GAS INDONESIA Mahani 50% WI Start up: January 2021 2021 Equity: 2 kboed Production (kboed): 18 (100%) – 9 (equity ) @2023 GAS UAE Cabaça North 37% WI Start up: H2 2021 2021 Equity: 1 kboed Production (kboed): 10 (100%) – 4 (equity) @2023 ANGOLA LIQ NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau Coral FLNG Start up: 2022 Progress: 81% Production (kboed): 107 (100%) – 28 (equity) @2023 25% WI MOZAMBIQUE GAS INDONESIA Balder X 63% WI Start up: 2022 Progress: 26% Production (kboed): 78 (100%) – 49 (equity) @2023 LIQ NORWAY Fenja 31% WI Start up: 2022 Progress: 74% Production (kboed): 31 (100%) – 10 (equity) @2024 LIQ NORWAY LIQ
  • 40. 40 KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 2021‐24 [2/2] Dalma Gas 25% WI Start up: 2023 Production (kboed): 54 (100%) – 13 (equity) @2024 UAE GAS LIQ NORWAY Breidablikk 29% WI Start up: 2024 Progress: < 5% Production (kboed): 57 (100%) – 17 (equity) @2026 NORWAY LIQ Johan Castberg 21% WI NORWAY Start up: 2023 Progress: 55% Production (kboed): 190 (100%) – 40 (equity) @2025 LIQ KEP 1A 29% WI Start up: 2024 Production (kboed): 26 (100%) – 3 (equity) @2026 LIQ KAZAKHSTAN Northern Gas Complex 26% WI Start up: 2024 Production (kboed): 130 (100%) – 33 (equity) @2025 GAS ANGOLA Agogo EP ph.2 37% WI Start up: 2023 (Ph.1: Dec ‘19) 2021 Equity: 6 kboed Production (kboed): 30 (100%) – 10 (equity) @2023 ANGOLA LIQ GAS
  • 41. RENEWABLE FUTURE GROWTH 41 2020 2030 2024 NORTH EUROPE WIND OFFSHORE ITALY (ENI ‐ CDP) SOLAR / WIND ONSHORE USA (ENI ‐ FALCK REN) SOLAR / WIND ONSHORE SOUTH EUROPE (ENI – X‐elio) SOLAR / WIND ONSHORE INSTALLED CAPACITY | GW 60% 40% INSTALLED & SANCTIONED ACCESSED/ UNDER STUDY ACREAGE POTENTIAL 2 GW 3 GW 1 GW 0.3 4 15 SANCTIONED, ACCESSED, UNDER STUDY SANCTIONED, ACCESSED, UNDER STUDY 2024 RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION TECHNOLOGICAL SPLIT