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Eni 9M 2020 Results
October 28, 2020Eni biorefinery in Venice
2
9M HIGHLIGHTS
NATURAL
RESOURCES
ENERGY
EVOLUTION
FINANCIALS
• Production: 1.74 Mboed. Main start ups in Algeria and Congo
• Exploration: success in Egypt, Angola, Mexico, Vietnam, UAE
• Global Gas & LNG: € 0.6 Bln FCF, despite a challenging scenario
• CCS: Carbon Storage Licence for Liverpool Bay Fields (potential 195 mt CO2)
• Business Group EBIT adj: € 323 mln (25% of Eni Group)
• Retail G&P: resilient contribution with over €200 mln Ebit adj
• Bio-refineries: positive contribution thanks to Gela ramp-up
• Renewables: 0.3 GW capacity installed
• Adj CFFO @ RC pre WC: € 5.1 Bln, in line with guidance
• Capex: € 3.8 Bln, in line with guidance
• FCF: positive in a challenging scenario
• Hybrid Bonds: €3bn successful emission (7 times the original offer)
• Leverage: significantly strengthened to 0.29 post hybrid bonds
RATINGS CONFIRM ENI’S LEADERSHIP IN ESG
3
Top Level 4 Star Strategic Assessment for Management Quality
Eni confirmed leadership position in 2019 for the 3rd consecutive year with A- rating;
CDP 2020 questionnaire submitted and under evaluation
Eni inserted in the highest “advanced” band
"A" ESG rating, leader in Carbon Emissions and Health and Safety amongst peers
Eni has achieved a ESG Risk Rating in the top 3% amongst peers
Bloomberg ES
Eni 1st for Environmental Score amongst peers
2019
Aug 20
Oct 20
Aug 20
Eni 1st amongst peers for competitiveness of unsanctioned portfolio economics,
emission reduction targets and medium-long term price scenario
Aug 20
Aug 20
4
64.7
175
1.124
40.8
97
1.125
Brent($/bbl)
PSV(€/kmc)
FX
NATURAL RESOURCES
2020 PRODUCTION CONFIRMED 1.72 – 1.74 Mboed
UPSTREAM | EBIT Adj € BLN GLOBAL GAS & LNG PORTFOLIO | EBIT Adj € BLN
146
29
5.4
TTF (€/kcm)
SpreadPSV-TTF (€/kcm)
JKM($/Mbtu)
81
16
3.1
5
CCS – CARBON CAPTURE & STORAGE
2022
DEMO STARTUP
ADRIATIC BLUE UK PROJECTS
RAVENNA, ITALY LIVERPOOL BAY TEESSIDE
2026
STARTUP
OCT ‘20: LICENCE AWARDED
2025: EXPECTED STARTUP
FIRST CCS PROJECT IN THE MEDITERRANEAN
DECARBONISING HARD-TO-ABATE INDUSTRIAL EMISSIONS
+ GENERATING NEW BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES
THIRD PARTY EMISSIONS
OGCI FIRST CCUS HUB
2025: EXPECTED STARTUP
6
EXPLORATION – CONTINUES TO BUILD OPTIONALITY DESPITE COVID-19
Discovery: Oil
Results:
• Upgraded field
potential to 1 Bbbl
2020 TARGET
EXPLORATION DISCOVERY
EGYPT | Nile Delta & Western Desert
VIETNAM | (w.i. 55%) Ken Bau
> 300 MBOE EQUITY
UEC ̴̴ 2 $/bbl
Discovery: Gas & Oil
Results:
• «Great Nooros Area»
upgraded at 4 Tcf
• South West Melehia
12’000 boe/d
PLAY OPENER
MEXICO | Block 10 (w.i. 65%) Saasken
PROVEN BASIN
UAE SHARJAH | (w.i. 50%) Mahani ANGOLA | (w.i. 37%) Agogo 3
PROVEN BASIN &
INCREMENTAL
EXPLORATION
BLOCK 10
SAASKEN
BLOCK 114
BLOCK 116
KEN BAU
AREA B
MAHANI
AGOGO
WESTERN
DESERT
NILE DELTA
SOUTH WEST
MELEHIA
NIDOCO NW
BASHRUSH NEAR FIELD
Discovery: Oil
Results:
• 200-300 Mbbl
• Large Nearby Potential
Way Forward:
• To be appraised
Discovery:
Gas & Condensate
Results:
• 7-9 Tcf
• 400-500 Mbbl
Way forward:
• Upside to be appraised
Discovery:
Gas & Condensate
Results:
• Significant discovery with
short time-to-market
Way forward:
• Upside to be appraised
PROVEN BASIN
7
ENERGY EVOLUTION
2020 GUIDANCE: > € 0.3 bln
R&M includes pro-forma ADNOC Refining & Trading
ENI GAS E LUCE, POWER & REN | EBIT Adj €Mln
($/bbl)
SERM
SpreadUral-Brent
R&M AND CHEMICALS | EBIT Adj € Mln
4.4
0.1
2.2
-0.4
8
REFINING – FOCUS ON BIO
BIO REFINERIES CAPACITY | Mton
2020 end 2023
15%
INTERNAL
RATE OF RETURN
€ 60 MLN
9M EBIT ADJ
1.1
MTPA
FEEDSTOCK:
20%
2nd & 3rd GEN
1.3
MTPA
FEEDSTOCK:
80%
2nd & 3rd GEN
9
CASH RESULTS
9M CASHFLOW| € bln
CFFO & FCF are adjusted and pre working capital at replacement cost
CONFIRMED
2020 CFFO
€ 6.5 bln
@ $ 40/BBL
10
HYBRID BOND: DIVERSIFYING AND STRENGTHENING FINANCIAL POSITION
2 PERPETUAL HYBRID BONDS FOR A TOTAL OF €3BN
LARGEST EVER HYBRID ISSUANCE IN ITALY & 7X DEMAND VS ORIGINAL OFFER
• Significantly strengthened balance sheet
• Further diversified our capital structure
• Supports our strong investment grade rating
• Further enhanced our strong liquidity position
Leverage: Net debt / shareholders’ equity (exc IFRS 16 Lease Liabilities)
LEVERAGE
11
PORTFOLIO OPTIMISATION: LEVER TO ENHANCE FLEXIBILITY
2020 GROSS DISPOSALS : ~ €1 bln
Non core Upstream assets
Optimisation of non-upstream assets
Asset mergers to optimise portfolio
RATIONALE
~ € 6.5 blnCFFO @ 40 $/bl
~ € 5.2 blnCAPEX
1.72 - 1.74 mboedProduction
> 300 mln boeExploration discoveries
€ 0.2 blnGGP Adj EBIT
> € 0.3 blnEnergy Evolution Adj EBIT
2020 GUIDANCE
12
~ € 1 blnGross Disposals
< 0.3Leverage (pre IFRS 16 lease liabilities)
ANNEX October 28, 2020
14
MARKET SCENARIO
BRENT| $/bbl EXCHANGE RATE| €/$
EUROPEAN GAS PRICES| €/kcm STANDARD ENI REFINING MARGIN| $/bbl
64.7
40.8
9M 2019 9M 2020
4.4
2.2
9M 2019 9M 2020
1.124 1.125
9M 2019 9M 2020
PSV
TTF
PSV
TTF
175
97
146
81
9M 2019 9M 2020
Sensitivity 2020 EBIT adj (€ bln) Net adj (€ bln) FCF (€ bln)
Brent (+1 $/bbl) 0.23 0.16 0.17
Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 $/bbl) 0.13 0.09 0.13
Exchange rate $/€ (-0.05 $/€) 0.09 0.02 0.1
4YP Scenario 2020 2021 2022 2023
Brent dated ($/bbl) 42 48 55 60
FX avg ($/€) 1.143 1.130 1.150 1.180
Ural MED c.i.f. - Med Dated Strip ($/bbl) -0.4 -1.3 -1.4 -1.5
Std. Eni Refining Margin ($/bbl) 2.4 4.3 4.5 4.6
NBP ($/mmbtu) 2.8 4.1 4.8 5.1
PSV (€/kcm) 104 147 163 167
Brent sensitivity assumes oil and gas prices move proportionally.
It is applicable for $5-$10/bbl moves in Brent.
ASSUMPTIONS AND SENSITIVITY
15

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2020 Q3

  • 1. Eni 9M 2020 Results October 28, 2020Eni biorefinery in Venice
  • 2. 2 9M HIGHLIGHTS NATURAL RESOURCES ENERGY EVOLUTION FINANCIALS • Production: 1.74 Mboed. Main start ups in Algeria and Congo • Exploration: success in Egypt, Angola, Mexico, Vietnam, UAE • Global Gas & LNG: € 0.6 Bln FCF, despite a challenging scenario • CCS: Carbon Storage Licence for Liverpool Bay Fields (potential 195 mt CO2) • Business Group EBIT adj: € 323 mln (25% of Eni Group) • Retail G&P: resilient contribution with over €200 mln Ebit adj • Bio-refineries: positive contribution thanks to Gela ramp-up • Renewables: 0.3 GW capacity installed • Adj CFFO @ RC pre WC: € 5.1 Bln, in line with guidance • Capex: € 3.8 Bln, in line with guidance • FCF: positive in a challenging scenario • Hybrid Bonds: €3bn successful emission (7 times the original offer) • Leverage: significantly strengthened to 0.29 post hybrid bonds
  • 3. RATINGS CONFIRM ENI’S LEADERSHIP IN ESG 3 Top Level 4 Star Strategic Assessment for Management Quality Eni confirmed leadership position in 2019 for the 3rd consecutive year with A- rating; CDP 2020 questionnaire submitted and under evaluation Eni inserted in the highest “advanced” band "A" ESG rating, leader in Carbon Emissions and Health and Safety amongst peers Eni has achieved a ESG Risk Rating in the top 3% amongst peers Bloomberg ES Eni 1st for Environmental Score amongst peers 2019 Aug 20 Oct 20 Aug 20 Eni 1st amongst peers for competitiveness of unsanctioned portfolio economics, emission reduction targets and medium-long term price scenario Aug 20 Aug 20
  • 4. 4 64.7 175 1.124 40.8 97 1.125 Brent($/bbl) PSV(€/kmc) FX NATURAL RESOURCES 2020 PRODUCTION CONFIRMED 1.72 – 1.74 Mboed UPSTREAM | EBIT Adj € BLN GLOBAL GAS & LNG PORTFOLIO | EBIT Adj € BLN 146 29 5.4 TTF (€/kcm) SpreadPSV-TTF (€/kcm) JKM($/Mbtu) 81 16 3.1
  • 5. 5 CCS – CARBON CAPTURE & STORAGE 2022 DEMO STARTUP ADRIATIC BLUE UK PROJECTS RAVENNA, ITALY LIVERPOOL BAY TEESSIDE 2026 STARTUP OCT ‘20: LICENCE AWARDED 2025: EXPECTED STARTUP FIRST CCS PROJECT IN THE MEDITERRANEAN DECARBONISING HARD-TO-ABATE INDUSTRIAL EMISSIONS + GENERATING NEW BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES THIRD PARTY EMISSIONS OGCI FIRST CCUS HUB 2025: EXPECTED STARTUP
  • 6. 6 EXPLORATION – CONTINUES TO BUILD OPTIONALITY DESPITE COVID-19 Discovery: Oil Results: • Upgraded field potential to 1 Bbbl 2020 TARGET EXPLORATION DISCOVERY EGYPT | Nile Delta & Western Desert VIETNAM | (w.i. 55%) Ken Bau > 300 MBOE EQUITY UEC ̴̴ 2 $/bbl Discovery: Gas & Oil Results: • «Great Nooros Area» upgraded at 4 Tcf • South West Melehia 12’000 boe/d PLAY OPENER MEXICO | Block 10 (w.i. 65%) Saasken PROVEN BASIN UAE SHARJAH | (w.i. 50%) Mahani ANGOLA | (w.i. 37%) Agogo 3 PROVEN BASIN & INCREMENTAL EXPLORATION BLOCK 10 SAASKEN BLOCK 114 BLOCK 116 KEN BAU AREA B MAHANI AGOGO WESTERN DESERT NILE DELTA SOUTH WEST MELEHIA NIDOCO NW BASHRUSH NEAR FIELD Discovery: Oil Results: • 200-300 Mbbl • Large Nearby Potential Way Forward: • To be appraised Discovery: Gas & Condensate Results: • 7-9 Tcf • 400-500 Mbbl Way forward: • Upside to be appraised Discovery: Gas & Condensate Results: • Significant discovery with short time-to-market Way forward: • Upside to be appraised PROVEN BASIN
  • 7. 7 ENERGY EVOLUTION 2020 GUIDANCE: > € 0.3 bln R&M includes pro-forma ADNOC Refining & Trading ENI GAS E LUCE, POWER & REN | EBIT Adj €Mln ($/bbl) SERM SpreadUral-Brent R&M AND CHEMICALS | EBIT Adj € Mln 4.4 0.1 2.2 -0.4
  • 8. 8 REFINING – FOCUS ON BIO BIO REFINERIES CAPACITY | Mton 2020 end 2023 15% INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN € 60 MLN 9M EBIT ADJ 1.1 MTPA FEEDSTOCK: 20% 2nd & 3rd GEN 1.3 MTPA FEEDSTOCK: 80% 2nd & 3rd GEN
  • 9. 9 CASH RESULTS 9M CASHFLOW| € bln CFFO & FCF are adjusted and pre working capital at replacement cost CONFIRMED 2020 CFFO € 6.5 bln @ $ 40/BBL
  • 10. 10 HYBRID BOND: DIVERSIFYING AND STRENGTHENING FINANCIAL POSITION 2 PERPETUAL HYBRID BONDS FOR A TOTAL OF €3BN LARGEST EVER HYBRID ISSUANCE IN ITALY & 7X DEMAND VS ORIGINAL OFFER • Significantly strengthened balance sheet • Further diversified our capital structure • Supports our strong investment grade rating • Further enhanced our strong liquidity position Leverage: Net debt / shareholders’ equity (exc IFRS 16 Lease Liabilities) LEVERAGE
  • 11. 11 PORTFOLIO OPTIMISATION: LEVER TO ENHANCE FLEXIBILITY 2020 GROSS DISPOSALS : ~ €1 bln Non core Upstream assets Optimisation of non-upstream assets Asset mergers to optimise portfolio RATIONALE
  • 12. ~ € 6.5 blnCFFO @ 40 $/bl ~ € 5.2 blnCAPEX 1.72 - 1.74 mboedProduction > 300 mln boeExploration discoveries € 0.2 blnGGP Adj EBIT > € 0.3 blnEnergy Evolution Adj EBIT 2020 GUIDANCE 12 ~ € 1 blnGross Disposals < 0.3Leverage (pre IFRS 16 lease liabilities)
  • 14. 14 MARKET SCENARIO BRENT| $/bbl EXCHANGE RATE| €/$ EUROPEAN GAS PRICES| €/kcm STANDARD ENI REFINING MARGIN| $/bbl 64.7 40.8 9M 2019 9M 2020 4.4 2.2 9M 2019 9M 2020 1.124 1.125 9M 2019 9M 2020 PSV TTF PSV TTF 175 97 146 81 9M 2019 9M 2020
  • 15. Sensitivity 2020 EBIT adj (€ bln) Net adj (€ bln) FCF (€ bln) Brent (+1 $/bbl) 0.23 0.16 0.17 Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 $/bbl) 0.13 0.09 0.13 Exchange rate $/€ (-0.05 $/€) 0.09 0.02 0.1 4YP Scenario 2020 2021 2022 2023 Brent dated ($/bbl) 42 48 55 60 FX avg ($/€) 1.143 1.130 1.150 1.180 Ural MED c.i.f. - Med Dated Strip ($/bbl) -0.4 -1.3 -1.4 -1.5 Std. Eni Refining Margin ($/bbl) 2.4 4.3 4.5 4.6 NBP ($/mmbtu) 2.8 4.1 4.8 5.1 PSV (€/kcm) 104 147 163 167 Brent sensitivity assumes oil and gas prices move proportionally. It is applicable for $5-$10/bbl moves in Brent. ASSUMPTIONS AND SENSITIVITY 15