NAVSEA PEO USC - Unmanned & Small Combatants 26Oct23.pdf
Energy Analysis Report
1. ANALYSING ENERGY
to fulfill demands in future
August 2019
By:
Group-2
Shashank Saurav 18/CE/51
Sanskar 18/CE/60
Shashikant Kumar 18/CE/50
Shashank Raj 18/CE/52
Sunny Kumar 18/CE/37
Vivek Kumar Tiwari 18/CE/25
Suman Kumar Suman 18/CE/39
2. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
We would like to express my special thanks of gratitude to
my teacher DR. SHREYASI SANTRA MITRA who gave me a
golden opportunity to do this wonderful report on energy
analysis from a given data. During the research for this
report I came to know about so many new things and I am
really thankful to her for this.
Secondly, I would also like to thank my friends who helped
me a lot in finalizing this project within the limited time
frame.
The guidance and support received from all the members
who contributed to this report, was vital. I am grateful for
their constant support and help.
3. ABSTRACT
Human demand for energy has only quite recently exceeded the relatively modest
amounts available locally: wind and water power, wood or dung for heat. Since the
mid-19th century, expansion in the large-scale exploitation of cheap, plentiful,
concentrated energy sources — the fossil fuels — has outstripped global
population growth. When you consider that the global annual consumption of
primary energy increased more than ten-fold during the 20th century, the
importance of planning future energy supply becomes clear.
This report generally represents production, trade, consumption of various energy
resources like coal, crude oil and natural gas at global scale and how it is causing
carbon and other greenhouse gases emission of various rates. We also discuss about
the unsustainability of fossil fuels and about the emergence of alternative new
sources of energy from which we are able to meet our global climate targets and
avoid dangerous climate change.
In this report we also attempt to cover energy scenario of India, where we stand in
the world in energy production, consumption and in emission of GHG (mainly CO2
we covered here).
Main objectives:
Energy
Production
Consumption
Electricity
Production
Share of Renewables
Share of Wind and Solar
Consumption
Emission of CO2
Energy
Production
Consumption
Electricity
Production
Share of Renewables
Share of Wind and Solar
Consumption
Emission of CO2
4. World energy production continued growing in 2018 (2.8%), above its
historical trend
The United States and China were the main contributors to the increase in global energy
production, together contributing 54% of growth in 2018.
Key data for 2018 energy production by fuel are as follows:
Crude oil: +2% driven by explosive growth of shale in the United States (+16.5%)
Gas: +5.2% propelled by the United States and Russia, the two main producers
Coal: +1.9%, led by China, the world’s largest producer
Electricity: +3.5% with China and the United States accounting for three quarters of
the rise in 2018.
Energy production continued to decline in the European Union, owing to the slight
decline of electricity production from nuclear, the depletion of oil and gas resources and
the climate policy that eventually implies the exit of coal. This decline comes despite
increased hydro production after a dry year and a moderate increase in energy
consumption.
Total Energy Production
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
India Total Energy Production
(Mtoe)
5. Consumption across the rest of the world has been increasing, most dramatically in the
Asia Pacific where the total consumption increased more than 12-fold over this period.
Global energy consumption grew significantly in 2018, spurred by the sustained
economic growth and rising demand in China, the world’s largest energy consumer
since 2009. Chinese energy consumption posted its highest growth since 2012, mainly
driven by power generation, strong industrial demand and increasing transport fuel
consumption encouraged by a growing vehicle fleet.
China
54%
India
16%
Japan
7%
Indonesia
4%
Other
19%
ASIA ENERGY
PRODUCTION
China India Japan Indonesia Other
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
India Production v/s Consumption
Production Consumption
Total Energy Consumption
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
World OECD BRICS United States China India
Consumption Growth 2017-18
(%)
Acceleration in
Global
consumption
continues.
China lead the
way with 3.7%.
With 3.6% and
3.5% surge
India and US
are next two.
6. Total energy consumption in the United States reached a record high of 2.3 Gtoe in
2018, up 3.5% from 2017, partially driven by weather conditions (hot summer, cold
winter).
On the contrary, energy consumption decreased in the European Union (-1%) and
in particular in Germany (-3.5%) partly due to decreasing consumption in the
power sector, a milder winter, reducing consumption, and energy efficiency
improvements.
Global energy intensity (total energy consumption per unit of GDP) declined by
1.3% in 2018, slightly below its historical trend (-1.6%/year on average between
2000 and 2017).
Energy intensity levels and trends differ widely across world regions, reflecting
differences in economic structure and energy efficiency achievements.
China’s energy intensity improved by almost 40% between 2000 and 2018, and
2.7% in the last year, driven by energy efficiency policies focused on energy-
intensive industries.
Over time, China has developed and applied energy intensity reduction targets in
response to significantly high energy-intense industries, bringing with it a strong
demand for energy efficiency services.
Energy intensity in the United States increased in 2018 (+0.6%) compared to a
decreasing trend (-1.9%/year) over the years 1990-2017.
Energy efficiency improvements continued in the European Union, the region with
the lowest energy intensity in the world, with a higher rate (-3.1% in 2018)
compared to the annual rate of reduction -1.8%/year measured over the 2000-
2017 period. Contributing to this result, however, were the weather conditions (mild
winter)
The energy intensity in the CIS region has decreased continuously since 2000 (-
2.7%/year) but remains the highest in the world (75% above the worldwide
average).
Energy Intensity
-1.3
-1.2
-2.8
0.6
-2.3
-2.7
-3.4
-1.7
World OECD Europe United
States
Asia China India Australia
Energy Intensity 2017-18
(%) -2.8%
Energy Efficiency
Improvement in
Europe in 2018.
-3.4% and -
2.7%
in India and China
respectively.
7. The high energy intensity in the CIS, the Middle East, China and other Asian
developing countries is explained by the dominance of energy-intensive industries,
commodity exporting-based economies and low energy prices that do not
encourage energy efficiency.
Most of the growth in global power generation in 2018 occurred in Asia (+6.1%): China
accounted for nearly 60% of global growth due to high demand coupled with the fast
development of generation capacity, followed by India, Japan, South Korea, and
Indonesia.
Power generation also rose in the United States (+3.6%), as weather conditions and
economic growth spurred electricity consumption, whereas it slightly declined in
Canada. Power generation continued to increase in Russia (economic recovery), in the
Middle East, and in Africa. It remained stable in Latin America, as the growth in Brazil
and Mexico was offset by a strong fall in Venezuela caused by political tensions.
In Europe, power generation remained stable despite growth in France and Turkey
thanks to a higher hydropower and renewable power production (plus an improved
nuclear availability in France). On the contrary, power generation declined in Belgium
(significant nuclear unavailability), Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom (mild
winter).
Electricity
Production
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
Electricity Production change
(%)
7.7%
China power
generation
continues to grow
steadily.
-0.3%
Decrement in trend
over 0.7%/year in
last 10 years in
Europe.
8. Renewable sources in electricity production
India is one of the countries with the largest production of energy
from renewable sources. In the electricity sector, renewable energy account for 34.6%
of the total installed power capacity. Large hydro installed capacity was 45.399 GW as
of 30 June 2019, contributing to 13% of the total power capacity.
However, when we compare India’s electricity production to that of one of the worlds
leading producers we still are lacking in the current scenario.
Lets take China’s example for consideration , as given in the following data.
China
27%
United States
17%
India
6%
Russia
4%
Japan
4%
Canada
3%
Germany
3%
Brazil
2%
South Korea
2%
France
2%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Others
29%
Chart Title
China and the
United States
accounted for
40% of the
global electricity
production in
2018.
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Share of renewables in electricity production (%)
INDIA vs CHINA
China India
9. In the 90s India’s production was way more than that of China’s since then there has
been decline in percentage except between 2002-2007 there were times when india
again beat china currently the difference between india and china is 7.74 as of 2018.
Japan holds the among one of the highest percentage of wind and solar used in
electricity production followed by America, China and India respectively.
There has been continuous progress in the rate of electricity production by solar
and wind around the world.
India has also seen continuous growth in these numbers.
However, China used to lack behind india till 2014 but after 2015 china
surpassed India.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
%
Share of wind and solar in electricity
production (%)
America China India Japan
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00
European Union
Russia
America
China
India
Japan
Australia
Share of renewables in electricity production (%)
2018 2017
10. Whilst access to electricity is an important metric to monitor (especially within a
development context) it is insufficient in itself as a true measure of energy equity.
Besides the fact that electricity is only one dimension of energy consumption (the
others being transport and heating fuel), electricity access metrics provide no measure
of levels of consumption. As discussed later, electricity is typically more dependent on
national infrastructure development; the development of effective and inclusive grid or
decentralised delivery networks. In some cases, this does not provide an accurate
indication of electricity or energy affordability at the individual or household level.
Indeed, many households may only consume the minimum threshold of electricity
usage necessary to be considered 'electrified' as a result of personal finance
constraints.7 If a household consumes only small quantities of electricity (despite
having access), it is unlikely to gain the range of social and economic benefits that
come with it.
Global power consumption accelerated again in
2018 (+3.5%)
Electricity
Consumption
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
Electricity Consumption chnange trends
(%)
World United States China India Japan Australia
11. Most of the growth in global electricity consumption occurred in Asia (almost 80%, with
China accounting for nearly 60%). Electricity demand in China accelerated against
steady economic growth and industrial demand. Demand also increased in India, South
Korea, Japan and Indonesia.
Electricity consumption in the United States, which dipped by 1% in 2017, recovered in
2018 (+2.2%). Most of this increase came from the residential sector (+6.2%), mainly
due to an increased electricity consumption for appliances (representing around half of
the electricity consumption) and air-conditioning (nearly 90% of US homes use
centralized or house individual air conditioners). Economic growth and industrial
demand also raised power consumption in Canada, Brazil and in Russia. It also
increased in Africa, especially in Egypt, and in the Middle East, spurred by Iran.
As in 2017, electricity consumption remained stable in Europe in 2018: it declined in
France and Germany, stagnated in other large countries (UK, Italy, Spain) and it
increased in the Netherlands, Poland and Turkey.
12. India has abundant domestic reserves of coal. Most of these are in the states of
Jharkhand, Odisha, West Bengal, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Madhya Pradesh.
Coal production has seen a growth at the world level being 1.9%
in 2018.
India is one of the largest producer of coal in India with 5.3%
production in the year 2017-18.
For the second year in a row, global coal production increased (+1.9%),
led by China
China strengthened its position as the world’s largest producer of coal and lignite (45%
of the world production). In 2018 the country approved more than CNY 45bn
(US$6.7bn) of new coal mining projects. Recent domestic gas shortages weakened
government motivations to switch from coal to gas used for space heating and
maintained an appetite for coal. China coal and lignite production accounted for 70% of
the global rise.
Increased coal imports in China (up 4% on 2018, the highest growth in four years)
supported a strong international coal market enabling production growth in Australia,
Indonesia and Russia, three of its main coal suppliers.
India saw a large increase in production (+5.3% in 2018), driven by domestic demand
and government ambitions to lessen the reliance on imports. Coal production fell in the
United States on 39-year low domestic coal consumption, despite increased exports,
and continued to decline in the European Union as member states increasingly commit
to rid coal from the economy.
COAL
PRODUCTION & CONSUMPTION
-4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0%
World
North America
India
Europe
China
Australia
Asia
Africa
Coal production Growth Rate
2018
13. 49%
11%
10%
7%
7%
6%
3%
2% 2% 2% 1%
Coal and Lignite produiction (Mt)
2018
China
India
United States
Australia
Indonesia
Russia
South Africa
Germany
Poland
Kazakhstan
Turkey
6.0%
1.4%
0.9%
-0.5%
-2.7%
-5.4%
2.8%
1.9%
Annual Global change in Coal Production
2011-18
2010 - 11 (%) 2011-12 (%) 2012-13 (%) 2013 - 14 (%) 2014-15 (%) 2015-16 (%) 2016-17 (%) 2017-18 (%)
14. Continued rise in global coal consumption (+0.9%) driven primarily
by Asia (+1.8%)
The 2018 rise in coal consumption was driven by India and China, the two largest
coal-consuming economies, with Turkey and Russia also contributing to the rising
demand.
China, responsible for nearly half of global coal consumption, has seen its second
consecutive annual increase, driven mainly by power generation and some
industrial sectors such as steel, chemicals and cement. Coal consumption increased
again in 2018, against a slowdown in economic growth and gas supply worries
lowering emphasis on a shift from coal to gas space heating. This goes against
previous efforts to “green” the economy whilst maintaining prosperity.
Consistent increases in economic growth and thus domestic demand for coal in
India, primarily from industry and power generation, are outstripping the build out
of renewables and cleaner, more efficient technologies.
The largest decrease in coal consumption comes from the United States (-4%),
reaching its lowest level in 40 years as a result of the retirement of coal-fired power
plants (15 GW of capacity closed in 2018), stronger emissions standards and the
availability of cheaper natural gas for electricity generation.
Coal consumption fell for the sixth year in a row in Europe, due to climate policies,
increased competition from renewables and gas, and higher CO2 emissions costs
(three-fold increase in 2018) in the European Union; on the contrary, coal demand
rose by 11% in Turkey.
0.9
11.3
4.1
-4.0
1.8
1.0
4.8
-2.0
2.3
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2017 - 2018 (%)
Coal consumption growth from 2017 to 2018
(%)
World Turkey Russia United States Asia China India Australia Africa
15. Climate scientists have observed that carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations in the
atmosphere have been increasing significantly over the past century, compared to the
pre-industrial era level of about 280 parts per million (ppm). In 2016, the average
concentration of CO2 (403 ppm)1 was about 40% higher than in the mid-1800s, with
an average growth of 2 ppm/year in the last ten years.
The above data shows the emission of carbon dioxide gas due to combustion from fuels
this data consist of the last two years emission in order to compare the emission of
carbon dioxide. We have taken 7 countries for this reference namely Australia, japan,
India, china, America and Russia. We have also taken the data of Asia so as to get an
idea of these emissions in our continent and of course we have also taken the data of
the whole world to actually visualize that where actually the world is heading and how
alarming the situation is.
In Australia the emission of CO2 was 399.14 in the year 2017 which got increased to
403.11 in 2018. Similarly, in china it rose from 9178.94 to 9466.50 and in India it was
2184.89 which became 2276.95 in 2018. In short each of these countries are
witnessing a spike in the amount of emission of carbon dioxide over time. Each
countries emission of co2 has somewhat increased on the recent years despite making
promises of efforts being taken in order to reduce them. With exceptions like japan and
EU however the amount of co2 released has decreased a bit especially in japan where
we have seen a promising reduce in these harmful emissions however, the overall
effect remains the same or to be more precise have become more worse than ever by
that we meant on the world level the emissions of these gases have increased and that
too at an alarming way. In 2017 the emission the emissi0n of carbon dioxide of the
world altogether was 32298.9 which became 32925.9. Despite making efforts to
normalise these emissions most of them have failed.
CO2 Emission from fule combustion
0.0 5000.0 10000.0 15000.0 20000.0 25000.0 30000.0 35000.0
World
European Union
Russia
America
Asia
China
India
Japan
Australia
CO2 emmission from fule combustion
2018 2017
16. If we compare india’s data about rate of emission of co2 with that of the world’s we will
be able to see how behind we are in this race and how alarming it is.
In the year 2000-2001 india’s emission rate of carbon dioxide and that of worlds was
almost same or at least they were same at an comparable level but since then it has
always been way more higher than it has to be except in the year 2002-2003 however
india saw a decline in co2 emission but beside that there hasn’t been much change in
the outcome.
There has always been a growth in amount of co2 released.
Since 1990 co2 emission reached from 522.39 to 2276.95 in 2018.
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
CO2 EMISSION RATE(%)
World India
522.39
561.61
592.94
623.96
664.30
722.85
757.83
790.54
806.76
870.78
908.48
921.36
951.41
975.41
1032.04
1079.86
1151.24
1247.60
1324.97
1489.35
1575.07
1663.21
1797.48
1840.75
2001.67
2013.13
2056.93
2184.89
2276.95
0.00
500.00
1000.00
1500.00
2000.00
2500.00
India
CO2 emissions from fuel combustion (MtCO2)
INDIA
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
17. Managing energy use in the future
The final years of the 20th century brought increasing concerns over the use of all
resources, including energy, and the rise of international initiatives to address the
problems. The 1992 Earth Summit at Rio de Janeiro drew up a 'sustainable
development plan' showing how resources, transport, trade, biological diversity,
agriculture and fisheries could all be managed to maintain the quality of life for
future generations. Among other recommendations, the industrialised nations
agreed (in principle) to stabilise emission of carbon dioxide (from fossil fuels) at
1990 levels by the year 2000. (This was not achieved.) Discussions at Rio were
followed by the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which aimed for 5% below 1990 CO2 emission
levels by 2012.
Although some nations have been reluctant to commit to environmental initiatives,
growing numbers of people in the affluent societies of Western Europe, North
America and Australasia have begun to 'think globally, act locally', initiating and
supporting programmes of materials recycling, energy conservation and efficiency,
waste reduction, and so on. The ultimate aim is for 'sustainable development'
(Sheldon, 2005), that is, development within our ecological means, which modern
humans abandoned when they began consciously modifying their environment to
build our modern civilisation.
To put it more explicitly, sustainable development must eventually involve:
Phasing out extraction of non-renewable resources
Increased use of renewable resources
Recycling all manufactured materials
Releasing all anthropogenic wastes at rates commensurate with natural cycles.
In the early 21st century world, the main priority is to decrease fossil fuel
consumption. Using alternative, renewable energy sources will help, and in some
cases, using recycled and biodegradable materials — though a full energy audit
may reveal that more energy is required for recycling some products than for
manufacturing them anew from raw materials. (More commonly, it is the high
relative financial cost of recycling that deters such schemes.) Less equivocal is the
benefit of energy conservation. This can take place either on the supply side or
the demand side. Demand side measures are very diverse, and may involve
approaches that are either technological or social; we do not consider them here.
Supply side measures involve increasing the efficiency of power generation and
distribution; as an illustration, less than half the energy in the gas fuel for the most
efficient UK power stations in the early 2000s is actually available to the electricity
customer. Much of this unused energy takes the form of waste heat, which could be
used to heat buildings, as in Denmark.
Efficiency has been a theme throughout this unit, but mainly applied to efficiencies
of conversion, as in solar PV electricity generation. The theoretical maximum
efficiency for this promising technology is limited to around 30% by physics, and is
18. currently about 15%. Yet efficiency applies to all aspects of human energy use, a
revealing example being the use of electricity to pump water; the most
fundamental need of a modern society. Say the electricity was generated at a coal-
fired power station using 100 arbitrary units of primary energy. Energy losses there
are around 70%, so only 30 units enter the transmission grid. Transmission is very
efficient (91%), pump motors operate at around 88%, and pumps themselves at
around 75%. Once water is flowing through all the pipelines and valves to the user,
distribution is about 47% efficient in energy terms, partly due to constrictions to
the flow of a viscous fluid, and partly due to leaks. The net result of this chain of
inefficiency is that the pumped water contains only 9.5 of the original 100 primary
energy units. Transportation is very much worse. After more than a century of
development, car engines deliver no more than 13% of fuel energy to the wheels,
of which more than half heats the tyres, road and air. But the efficiency in terms of
useful work, taking people back and forth, is a pathetic 1%, since 95% of the mass
transported is the vehicle itself! More or less the same happens with every means
of using energy to do useful work.
Technological measures involve improving the efficiency of energy use and
effectiveness of conservation in a variety of ways:
Reducing heat loss from buildings, by improving insulation, window glazing, etc.
Making more efficient appliances such as boilers, fridges, light bulbs, computers,
photocopiers, pumps, and other industrial, commercial or domestic machines
Improving the efficiency of transport vehicles, and developing vehicles that run
on alternative fuels, for example hydrogen in fuel cells (Figure 21) or biofuels
improving control systems so power is consumed only when needed, and at the
lowest efficient output levels
Recycling waste heat produced by some industrial processes (e.g. kilns) for lower
temperature applications (e.g. drying raw materials or products)
Using less materials (e.g. thinner metals in car shells), or materials that are less
energy-intensive (e.g. plastic, rather than steel, car bumpers).
19. Conclusion
Developing energy can help India increase its energy security, reduce adverse
impacts on the local environment, lower its carbon intensity, contribute to a more
balanced regional development, and realize its aspirations for leadership in high-
technology industries. According to a report, India is the third most favored
destination globally, for investments in the renewable energy sector. The report also
says that the country will be a major source of new entrants into the sector, after the
US and China. The Indian renewable energy market has become increasingly dynamic
in recent years as a result of strong natural resources, greater accommodation to
international investments and a variety of government incentives. Solar and wind
energy will be the major areas to witness overseas investments and acquisitions in
the near future.
In this report, we generally discussed the formation, production, trade, consumption
of various energy source. We also have shown the graphical and diagrammatic
comparison of various fossil fuels on a world basis and also a comparison with India.
With all the attractive characteristics and potential stated above, India presents a
significant market opportunity for renewable energy firms worldwide. However, these
firms will need external guidance and assistance on several strategic and operational
aspects before they are in a position to effectively tap into this opportunity.
Refrences or sources :
International Energy Agency (IEA)
EnerData (Yearbook data)
Open.edu
Wiki
Our Worldindata