Nominations and Campaigns
The Nomination Game Deciding to Run Other countries have short campaigns- generally less than 2 months. U.S. campaigns (especially for President) can last 18 months or more. Nomination: The official endorsement of a candidate for office by a political party.  Requires momentum ,  money, and media attention. Campaign Strategy: The master plan candidates lay out to guide their electoral campaign.
The Nomination Game Competing for Delegates The Caucus Road Caucus: Meetings of party leaders. Used to selected delegate. – Iowa is first. The Primary Road Primary: Elections in which voters choose the nominee or delegates pledged to the nominee. Most states use one of the forms of a primary and New Hampshire is the first.
The Nomination Game Competing for Delegates Evaluating the Primary and Caucus System Disproportionate attention to the early ones, especially Iowa & New Hampshire – causes frontloading  where states move primaries to earlier Money plays too big a role. Too many primaries & primary season lasts too long - Super Tuesday(s) / regional primaries The system gives too much power to the media. ( Thomas Patterson)
The Nomination Game The Perception of Iowa and New Hampshire
The Nomination Game The Convention    -  Delegates selection dependant on primaries / Democrats reserve slots for  superdelegates  who are elected party officials Are still important to the party to get organized and motivated. Party platform: Statement of its goals and policies and general beliefs. Official nominations and candidate speeches – place for “rising stars” in the party to be recognized
Convention
The Campaign Game The Campaign Trail Campaign Team  campaign manager & finance manager fund-raiser & counsel media & campaign consultants (pollsters, etc) research staff, policy advisors  press secretary Campaign Strategy TV Debates Geographic campaigning – where to travel Campaign appearances / media coverage
Money and Campaigning The Maze of Campaign Finance Reforms FEC: Created by  FECA law in 1974  to administer campaign finance laws for  federal  elections. Public financing of presidential elections Limited spending & required disclosure Limited contributions to campaigns Soft Money Contributions (with no limits) used for party-building expenses or generic party advertising  Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002 Further limited contributions to campaigns   Banned soft money
Money and Campaigning The Proliferation of PACs Definition : Created by FECA law in 1974 these are the financial arm of interest groups, unions & corporations which allow them to donate money to campaigns. Over 3900 PACs donating over $212 million Donate to candidates who support their issue, regardless of party affiliation  The money follows the power – higher donations to those currently in power or to get candidates who will promote their cause into power
Elections and Voting Behavior
How American Elections Work Three types of elections : Select party nominees ( primary) Select officeholders  (general election) Select options on specific policies ( referendum/initiative) Referendum: State voters approve or disapprove proposed legislation. Often used for constitutional amendments. Initiative: Requires a specific number of signatures to be valid. Voters  in some states propose legislation to be voted on.  (California uses this often)
Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First Choice Deciding Whether to Vote U.S. typically has low voter turnouts (40%).  Political Efficacy : The belief that one’s political participation really matters. Registering To Vote Voter Registration : Methods vary by state but are usually in advance of the election day. Motor Voter Act : Requires states to permit people to register to vote when the apply for their driver’s license.
Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First Choice Who Votes? Education : More education = more likely to vote.  Most important factor . Age : Older = more likely to go vote. (AARP) Race : Caucasian = more likely to go vote. BUT, other ethnicities are higher with comparable education. Gender : Female = more likely to go vote. Marital Status : Married = more likely to go vote. Mobility : Don’t move = more likely to go vote. Union Membership : Union member = more likely to go vote.
How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizen's Decisions Party Identification Rise of candidate-centered politics has changed this view. Still #1 reason why people vote the way they do Candidate Evaluations -  Candidates want a good visual image – so do the voters! Most important dimensions are integrity, reliability and competence. Personality & charisma still play a role.
How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizen's Decisions Policy Voting Basing vote choice on issue preferences. Must know where the candidates stand on issues and see differences between candidates. And voters may like different candidates on different issues- which may lead to ticket-splitting
The Last Battle: The Electoral College How it works today: Each state has as many votes as it does Representatives and Senators. Winner of popular vote typically gets ALL the Electoral College votes. (w inner-take-all) Electors meet in December, votes are reported by the vice president in January. If no candidate gets 270 votes (a majority), the House of Representatives votes for president, with each state getting ONE vote.
Presidential Election Patterns Party Realignment -  shifts in party coalition groups that remain in effect for several years and include both branches ( rare) Critical Elections –  voters become polarized over an issue and may shift parties (abortion) Dealignment – unstable period with  weak party affiliations and ticket-splitting
Understanding Elections and Voting Behavior Congressional Elections   -  Incumbency advantage  – 90% re-elect *  name recognition  * constituent work *staff    * franking privileges *committee work   *  press coverage   -  House = constant campaigning for re election -  Senate = more costly but only every 6 yrs -  “Coat tail” effect in Presidential election years helps those of the winners party

Elections, Nominations & Voting Revised

  • 1.
  • 2.
    The Nomination GameDeciding to Run Other countries have short campaigns- generally less than 2 months. U.S. campaigns (especially for President) can last 18 months or more. Nomination: The official endorsement of a candidate for office by a political party. Requires momentum , money, and media attention. Campaign Strategy: The master plan candidates lay out to guide their electoral campaign.
  • 3.
    The Nomination GameCompeting for Delegates The Caucus Road Caucus: Meetings of party leaders. Used to selected delegate. – Iowa is first. The Primary Road Primary: Elections in which voters choose the nominee or delegates pledged to the nominee. Most states use one of the forms of a primary and New Hampshire is the first.
  • 4.
    The Nomination GameCompeting for Delegates Evaluating the Primary and Caucus System Disproportionate attention to the early ones, especially Iowa & New Hampshire – causes frontloading where states move primaries to earlier Money plays too big a role. Too many primaries & primary season lasts too long - Super Tuesday(s) / regional primaries The system gives too much power to the media. ( Thomas Patterson)
  • 5.
    The Nomination GameThe Perception of Iowa and New Hampshire
  • 6.
    The Nomination GameThe Convention - Delegates selection dependant on primaries / Democrats reserve slots for superdelegates who are elected party officials Are still important to the party to get organized and motivated. Party platform: Statement of its goals and policies and general beliefs. Official nominations and candidate speeches – place for “rising stars” in the party to be recognized
  • 7.
  • 8.
    The Campaign GameThe Campaign Trail Campaign Team campaign manager & finance manager fund-raiser & counsel media & campaign consultants (pollsters, etc) research staff, policy advisors press secretary Campaign Strategy TV Debates Geographic campaigning – where to travel Campaign appearances / media coverage
  • 9.
    Money and CampaigningThe Maze of Campaign Finance Reforms FEC: Created by FECA law in 1974 to administer campaign finance laws for federal elections. Public financing of presidential elections Limited spending & required disclosure Limited contributions to campaigns Soft Money Contributions (with no limits) used for party-building expenses or generic party advertising Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002 Further limited contributions to campaigns Banned soft money
  • 10.
    Money and CampaigningThe Proliferation of PACs Definition : Created by FECA law in 1974 these are the financial arm of interest groups, unions & corporations which allow them to donate money to campaigns. Over 3900 PACs donating over $212 million Donate to candidates who support their issue, regardless of party affiliation The money follows the power – higher donations to those currently in power or to get candidates who will promote their cause into power
  • 11.
  • 12.
    How American ElectionsWork Three types of elections : Select party nominees ( primary) Select officeholders (general election) Select options on specific policies ( referendum/initiative) Referendum: State voters approve or disapprove proposed legislation. Often used for constitutional amendments. Initiative: Requires a specific number of signatures to be valid. Voters in some states propose legislation to be voted on. (California uses this often)
  • 13.
    Whether to Vote:A Citizen’s First Choice Deciding Whether to Vote U.S. typically has low voter turnouts (40%). Political Efficacy : The belief that one’s political participation really matters. Registering To Vote Voter Registration : Methods vary by state but are usually in advance of the election day. Motor Voter Act : Requires states to permit people to register to vote when the apply for their driver’s license.
  • 14.
    Whether to Vote:A Citizen’s First Choice Who Votes? Education : More education = more likely to vote. Most important factor . Age : Older = more likely to go vote. (AARP) Race : Caucasian = more likely to go vote. BUT, other ethnicities are higher with comparable education. Gender : Female = more likely to go vote. Marital Status : Married = more likely to go vote. Mobility : Don’t move = more likely to go vote. Union Membership : Union member = more likely to go vote.
  • 15.
    How Americans Vote:Explaining Citizen's Decisions Party Identification Rise of candidate-centered politics has changed this view. Still #1 reason why people vote the way they do Candidate Evaluations - Candidates want a good visual image – so do the voters! Most important dimensions are integrity, reliability and competence. Personality & charisma still play a role.
  • 16.
    How Americans Vote:Explaining Citizen's Decisions Policy Voting Basing vote choice on issue preferences. Must know where the candidates stand on issues and see differences between candidates. And voters may like different candidates on different issues- which may lead to ticket-splitting
  • 17.
    The Last Battle:The Electoral College How it works today: Each state has as many votes as it does Representatives and Senators. Winner of popular vote typically gets ALL the Electoral College votes. (w inner-take-all) Electors meet in December, votes are reported by the vice president in January. If no candidate gets 270 votes (a majority), the House of Representatives votes for president, with each state getting ONE vote.
  • 18.
    Presidential Election PatternsParty Realignment - shifts in party coalition groups that remain in effect for several years and include both branches ( rare) Critical Elections – voters become polarized over an issue and may shift parties (abortion) Dealignment – unstable period with weak party affiliations and ticket-splitting
  • 19.
    Understanding Elections andVoting Behavior Congressional Elections - Incumbency advantage – 90% re-elect * name recognition * constituent work *staff * franking privileges *committee work * press coverage - House = constant campaigning for re election - Senate = more costly but only every 6 yrs - “Coat tail” effect in Presidential election years helps those of the winners party