The global economy is expected to continue expanding at a moderate pace over the coming two years, but policymakers must ensure that instability in financial markets and underlying fragility in major economies are not allowed to derail growth, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook.
D&B's Global Outlook report outlines regional growth and projections, key risks and recommendations for North America and Mexico, Latin America, Europe, Central Asia, Asia Pacific, Middle East and North Africa, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
MTBiz is for you if you are looking for contemporary information on business, economy and especially on banking industry of Bangladesh. You would also find periodical information on Global Economy and Commodity Markets.
Signature content of MTBiz is its Article of the Month (AoM), as depicted on Cover Page of each issue, with featured focus on different issues that fall into the wide definition of Market, Business, Organization and Leadership. The AoM also covers areas on Innovation, Central Banking, Monetary Policy, National Budget, Economic Depression or Growth and Capital Market. Scale of coverage of the AoM both, global and local subject to each issue.
MTBiz is a monthly Market Review produced and distributed by Group R&D, MTB since 2009.
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & BradstreetDun & Bradstreet
Learn from Dun & Bradstreet’s economists as they share our 2017 global economic outlook. Discover the top five economic game changers, take a look at the short-term economic outlook and view deep-dive analyses on featured countries.
This report outlines the global macroeconomic trends that are expected to impact businesses over the next five years. Valuable insight includes the challenges of the post-recession recovery, as well as the risks and opportunities facing businesses in established and emerging regional economies.
Inspirational presentation from Nick Parsons,Head of Research, UK and Europe and Global Head FX Strategy | Wholesale Banking | National Australia Bank Limited
The WESP mid-2011 update highlights that the recovery of the global economy remains intact but uneven, with strong output growth in developing countries and a weaker economic performance in developed countries. At the same time, new headwinds have emerged, such as upward pressure on inflation rates due to higher energy and food prices and continued appreciation pressure on emerging market currencies.
Significant inbound growth from the emerging economies of India and, in particular, China, and domestic demand stabilising after a prolonged period of decline, have emerged as positives for Australian tourism, according to Deloitte Access Economics’ Tourism and Hotel Market Outlook for Q1 2012.
New developments cast doubts on global recovery
This monthly briefing highlights that sequestration may lead to lower growth in the United States, continuing weaknesses in the European Union, China announcing a GDP target of 7.5 per cent, while India boosts budget spending.
For more information:
http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/index.shtml
While the world has focused on the traditional causes of premature death in Africa – communicable diseases such as HIV, malaria and tuberculosis, malnutrition, road and other accidents and political conflicts – a column of other types of killers has been gaining ground.
These are the chronic, noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) such as cancer, heart disease, diabetes, sickle-cell disease and kidney disease, whose collective toll is rising rapidly. How aware are patients of the causes of and cures for their diseases, and how well are they served by the healthcare providers in their countries?
A report published by The Economist Intelligence Unit finds that nearly 60% of IT, technology and telecoms firms in Asia think that their interests are not considered when governments conduct FTA negotiations. Nevertheless, 94% of companies in these sectors say that the FTAs they are using have boosted their exports to corresponding markets.
These are among the key findings of Growing together? Free trade and Asia’s technology sector, the third in a series of reports sponsored by HSBC that examines Asian businesses’ attitude towards FTAs and usage of their provisions. The report is based in part on the findings of a survey conducted in the first quarter of 2014 that included 123 information technology and telecoms companies across eight Asia-Pacific markets: Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam.
Technology executives interviewed for the report say governments and trade policy remain oriented towards “traditional” sectors like manufacturing and agriculture, historically the main sources of employment and generally more activist in trade matters. Many executives also feel existing agreements have done little to promote change or harmonisation in the areas where technology firms see the biggest barriers to international expansion—such as intellectual property protection, e-commerce and rules governing the use of data. Some 76% of Asian IT and telecoms firms want governments to sign FTAs with more comprehensive provisions.
Most technology firms (67%—the highest proportion of any industry in the broader survey) also support a return to multilateral negotiations via the WTO. This implies a high degree of support for the currently stalled talks on the expansion of the WTO Information Technology Agreement (ITA). Technology firms seem to have lower expectations for the major trade initiatives currently being pursued at the regional level, such as the ASEAN Economic Community and the Trans-Pacific Partnership.
The global economy is expected to continue expanding at a moderate pace over the coming two years, but policymakers must ensure that instability in financial markets and underlying fragility in major economies are not allowed to derail growth, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook.
D&B's Global Outlook report outlines regional growth and projections, key risks and recommendations for North America and Mexico, Latin America, Europe, Central Asia, Asia Pacific, Middle East and North Africa, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
MTBiz is for you if you are looking for contemporary information on business, economy and especially on banking industry of Bangladesh. You would also find periodical information on Global Economy and Commodity Markets.
Signature content of MTBiz is its Article of the Month (AoM), as depicted on Cover Page of each issue, with featured focus on different issues that fall into the wide definition of Market, Business, Organization and Leadership. The AoM also covers areas on Innovation, Central Banking, Monetary Policy, National Budget, Economic Depression or Growth and Capital Market. Scale of coverage of the AoM both, global and local subject to each issue.
MTBiz is a monthly Market Review produced and distributed by Group R&D, MTB since 2009.
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & BradstreetDun & Bradstreet
Learn from Dun & Bradstreet’s economists as they share our 2017 global economic outlook. Discover the top five economic game changers, take a look at the short-term economic outlook and view deep-dive analyses on featured countries.
This report outlines the global macroeconomic trends that are expected to impact businesses over the next five years. Valuable insight includes the challenges of the post-recession recovery, as well as the risks and opportunities facing businesses in established and emerging regional economies.
Inspirational presentation from Nick Parsons,Head of Research, UK and Europe and Global Head FX Strategy | Wholesale Banking | National Australia Bank Limited
The WESP mid-2011 update highlights that the recovery of the global economy remains intact but uneven, with strong output growth in developing countries and a weaker economic performance in developed countries. At the same time, new headwinds have emerged, such as upward pressure on inflation rates due to higher energy and food prices and continued appreciation pressure on emerging market currencies.
Significant inbound growth from the emerging economies of India and, in particular, China, and domestic demand stabilising after a prolonged period of decline, have emerged as positives for Australian tourism, according to Deloitte Access Economics’ Tourism and Hotel Market Outlook for Q1 2012.
New developments cast doubts on global recovery
This monthly briefing highlights that sequestration may lead to lower growth in the United States, continuing weaknesses in the European Union, China announcing a GDP target of 7.5 per cent, while India boosts budget spending.
For more information:
http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/index.shtml
While the world has focused on the traditional causes of premature death in Africa – communicable diseases such as HIV, malaria and tuberculosis, malnutrition, road and other accidents and political conflicts – a column of other types of killers has been gaining ground.
These are the chronic, noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) such as cancer, heart disease, diabetes, sickle-cell disease and kidney disease, whose collective toll is rising rapidly. How aware are patients of the causes of and cures for their diseases, and how well are they served by the healthcare providers in their countries?
A report published by The Economist Intelligence Unit finds that nearly 60% of IT, technology and telecoms firms in Asia think that their interests are not considered when governments conduct FTA negotiations. Nevertheless, 94% of companies in these sectors say that the FTAs they are using have boosted their exports to corresponding markets.
These are among the key findings of Growing together? Free trade and Asia’s technology sector, the third in a series of reports sponsored by HSBC that examines Asian businesses’ attitude towards FTAs and usage of their provisions. The report is based in part on the findings of a survey conducted in the first quarter of 2014 that included 123 information technology and telecoms companies across eight Asia-Pacific markets: Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam.
Technology executives interviewed for the report say governments and trade policy remain oriented towards “traditional” sectors like manufacturing and agriculture, historically the main sources of employment and generally more activist in trade matters. Many executives also feel existing agreements have done little to promote change or harmonisation in the areas where technology firms see the biggest barriers to international expansion—such as intellectual property protection, e-commerce and rules governing the use of data. Some 76% of Asian IT and telecoms firms want governments to sign FTAs with more comprehensive provisions.
Most technology firms (67%—the highest proportion of any industry in the broader survey) also support a return to multilateral negotiations via the WTO. This implies a high degree of support for the currently stalled talks on the expansion of the WTO Information Technology Agreement (ITA). Technology firms seem to have lower expectations for the major trade initiatives currently being pursued at the regional level, such as the ASEAN Economic Community and the Trans-Pacific Partnership.
The financial crisis and the ensuing volatility in the global economy and capital markets have challenged traditional wisdom about the risks associated with investing. More than ever, there is now a pressing need for investors to have a clear idea of the risks they are taking, as that can influence the amounts invested, the asset classes targeted and the specific products selected.
This report considers what investment risk is and how it can be measured, specifically addressing questions such as how investors assess their own risk appetite, what constitutes low and high risk exposure and the extent to which investors appreciate the connection between risk and return. It splits the respondents into financial advisers, corporate investors and high net worth individual investors to examine more closely issues specific to each of these groups.
White paper sponsored by Goldman Sachs.
Hope, headwinds or hurricanes? This presentation from the Economist Intelligence Unit takes a look at the global economy today and in the long-term. Key takeaways: risk of double dip recession is high at 30%, but the EIU thinks that sluggish growth, not negative growth, is the most likely outcome; China will take over the US as the largest economy by 2025; without major economic reform, the euro area may start on a more gradual decline.
Superlatives sound commonplace in the financial industry, but foreign exchange earns them year in and year out. It is by a wide margin the world’s largest, most liquid marketplace. Yet, surprisingly, FX, the world’s largest and most active marketplace, often lacks for the attention its size merits. This report, sponsored by INTL FCStone, explores the risks, challenges and opportunities of the FX market and highlights strategies experts use to manage this large and complex market.
Japan is still reeling from the effects of the massive earthquake and tsunami that devastated the north-east of the country on March 11th. The offshore earthquake, measuring 9.0 in magnitude, was one of the largest ever recorded. The tsunami flattened towns and villages, resulting in massive destruction of property and the displacement of hundreds of thousands of people. With thousands still unaccounted for, the death toll is likely to rise rapidly. The disaster has also damaged a nuclear-power plant, resulting in several explosions and prompting the evacuation of the surrounding population. So long as there is no nuclear catastrophe, the impact on national GDP growth is likely to be modest compared with the scale of human trauma. But what will be the main economic implications of the disaster? How will this event hamper business operations?
Read the EIU's economic outlook for Japan following the recent catastrophe. Includes three possible scenarios.
London, Paris and New York might be world leaders in museums and cultural institutions, but a growing number of cities in Asia, the Middle East and Latin America are starting to provide serious competition.
With conditions in the developed markets of Europe and North America likely to remain weak in the near term, business is increasingly looking to Asia for growth. Growth will not be uniform across sectors or even within them. Which subsectors will see the most dynamic growth? And what will drive it? Exports? Domestic sales? Technology? Innovation? Rising consumer incomes? What should companies be thinking about as they plan their Asia strategies for the next five to ten years?
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), sponsored by InvestKL, developed the “industry dynamism” barometer to measure the resilience and growth potential of six industry sectors across Asia.
With conditions in the developed markets of Europe and North America likely to remain weak in the near term, business is increasingly looking to Asia for growth. Growth will not be uniform across sectors or even within them. Which subsectors will see the most dynamic growth? And what will drive it? Exports? Domestic sales? Technology? Innovation? Rising consumer incomes? What should companies be thinking about as they plan their Asia strategies for the next five to ten years?
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), sponsored by InvestKL, developed the “industry dynamism” barometer to measure the resilience and growth potential of six industry sectors across Asia.
As a result of the financial crisis and global recession public debt burdens have risen to critical levels in a number of Western European countries. Emergency loans from the EU and IMF have eased funding pressures, but have only bought the region time; painful fiscal adjustment and an improvement in competitiveness is required if the region is to enjoy a sustainable recovery.
Eastern Europe, while rebounding through exports and industrial output, will underperform its emerging-market peers in 2010. Business and consumer sentiment in the region is fragile, and its currency and bond markets are vulnerable to contagion from problems in the euro zone or a rise in risk aversion more broadly.
This presentation takes a look at the economic outlook for both Western and Eastern Europe.
Indonesia faces many challenges common to any developing economy in ensuring energy security, equitable energy access and the protection of its environment. It also faces a great deal of uncertainty about how to maximise the benefits from their exploitation min its rich hydrocarbon resources. How will the next administration of Indonesia ensure the country’s energy security for future generations? The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) asked prominent figures from research, industry and academia to consider Indonesia’s long-term energy future. Their contributions tackle the fundamental issues the country must consider when plotting a sustainable and secure energy policy. For more information of this report, please visit: http://bit.ly/1eEWFy3
Will risks-derail-the-modest-recovery-oecd-interim-economic-outlook-march-2017OECD, Economics Department
Global GDP growth is projected to pick up modestly to around 3½ per cent in 2018, from just under 3% in 2016, boosted by fiscal initiatives in the major economies. The forecast is broadly unchanged since November 2016. Confidence has improved, but consumption, investment, trade and productivity are far from strong, with growth slow by past norms and higher inequality.
1. Global activity continues to ease
2. Significant slowdown in euro area
3. Trade tensions have hit export-reliant economies
4. Rate expectations pushed back as central banks make dovish statements
5. Equities sold off in May with investors switching to bonds
6. 2020 UK growth heavily dependent on Brexit settlement
7. Risks to global growth tilted to the downside
2015: Real GDP growth of 0.8%
• The downward revision of Q4-2014 real GDP growth rate to -0.4% QoQ minimized the momentum of the Greek economy, drastically reducing the carry – over effect to just 0.1% forcing us to revise our forecast for real GDP growth rate to a range of 0.5% to 1.0% noting a median value of 0.8%
• Despite worries we believe that tourism will accelerate further in 2015 continuing to support the Greek economy
• EU funding: we expect EU funding to decelerate in 2015
• An upside risk on our estimates depends on the outcome of the negotiations between the new government and our EU partners.
1. Global activity easing
2. Slowdown most apparent in euro area
3. China transitioning to slower growth, service economy
4. Central banks pulling back from tightening
5. UK growth dependent on Brexit: exit deal could see GDP growth > 1.0% this year, no deal growth could be < 0.5%
6. Risks to global growth tilting to downside
1. Macro environment - Global growth slowing, particularly in Europe. UK growth expected to be 1.2% this year but Brexit risks loom large.
2. Momentum - business investment declining, household spending holding up on strong wage growth.
3. Operating costs – expected to rise due to tight labour market, wage growth close to a 11-year high. Commodity prices up 12.5% ytd.
4. Corporate stance – risk appetite lowest since 2008, focus on cost reduction and increasing cash flow.
5. Balance sheet – cash rich, credit cheap and easily available, pockets of debt risk in ‘cov-lite’ sectors, profits falling.
6. Risks – effects of Brexit and weak domestic demand, rising global geopolitical risk and protectionism also a worry for large UK corporates.
1. Global slowdown underway
2. Impact of trade tensions greater and more prolonged than expected
3. Exports, manufacturing and investment worst hit
4. Central banks have responded with rate cuts and QE
5. Monetary easing has supported equities, recovering after a sell off in August
6. Consumers remain key driver of activity
7. Slow growth to continue, risks tilted to the downside
In the first of a series of reports commissioned by HSBC, we consider the macroeconomic situation in Europe, prospects for growth and the strengths of the continent's economy
The major reasons for the recession that hit worldwide especially the US and Eurozone.
The subprime Crises, US housing Crisis with Facts and Figures and The Fix.
http://pwc.to/1h2j3Bg
De nombreuses économies émergentes sont en train de perdre leur élan, contestant les plans de croissance des entreprises internationales. Nous avons identifié quatre économies qui pourraient fournir aux entreprises une protection contre un ralentissement.
Decades of economic growth and development along with better governance and nutrition-specific programmes had lifted hundreds of millions of people in Asia out of poverty, as well as starvation and malnutrition. However, due to the uneven development, while a large segment of Asian's population had changed their eating habits to over-nutrition diets and worrying about lifestyle diseases like diabetes, cancer and heart diseases, there are still some countries and regions suffering from lack of nutrition. For example, childhood malnutrition and stunting is still prevalent in South Asia, one Indian survey found that 21% of children suffer wasting, and a further 7.5% of children suffer it severely.
For more details, please visit: https://eiuperspectives.economist.com/sustainability/fixing-asias-food-system/white-paper/food-thought-eating-better?utm_source=OrganicSocial&utm_medium=Slideshare&utm_campaign=Amundi&utm_content=Slideshare_whitepaper
Digital platforms and services stimulate economic growth and development. Countries are looking to the “internet economy” to provide new market opportunities and help achieve the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) such as promoting economic growth and sustainable industralisation, a process often relying on an increase in online access rates and smartphone penetration.
For more details, please visit: https://eiuperspectives.economist.com/technology-innovation/digital-platforms-and-services-development-opportunity-asean?utm_source=OrganicSocial&utm_medium=Slideshare&utm_campaign=Amundi&utm_content=Slideshare_whitepaper
The world’s top 100 asset owners (AOs) represent about US$19trn in assets under management. The largest, and potentially most influential, proportion is in Asia—more than a third of the total. Out of the top 20 largest funds, three out of the first five and nearly half of the total are in Asia.
For more insights, please visit: https://eiuperspectives.economist.com/sustainability/sustainable-and-actionable-study-asset-owner-priorities-esg-investing-asia?utm_source=OrganicSocial&utm_medium=Slideshare&utm_campaign=Amundi&utm_content=Slideshare_whitepaper
Internet connectivity has proven to be one of the most profound enablers of social change and economic growth of our time. Beginning with fixed narrowband internet connections and moving through successive generations of increasingly pervasive and powerful networks, connectivity has come to underpin our working and personal lives, empowering businesses to operate more efficiently and with wider reach. In turn, connectivity has sparked and fuelled countless new industries, products and services that are coming to define our modern age. Connectivity has proven to be a vital ingredient for business success.
This report examines the burden of lung cancer in Latin America and how well countries in the region are addressing the challenge. Its particular focus is on 12 countries in Central and South America, chosen for various factors including size and level of economic development: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Mexico, Panama, Paraguay, Peru and Uruguay.
In the cyber world, many are attacked but not all are victims. Some organisations emerge stronger. The most cyber-resilient organisations can respond to an incident, fix the vulnerabilities and apply the lessons to strategies for the future. A key element of their resilience is governance, a task that falls to the board of directors.
To learn more about the challenges of governing a cyber-resilient organisation, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) conducted a global survey, sponsored by Willis Towers Watson, of 452 large-company board members, C-suite executives and directors with responsibility for cyber-resilience.
Among the findings:
-In the past year, a third of the companies surveyed experienced a serious cyber-incident — one that disrupted operations, impaired financials and damaged reputations — and most placed high odds on another one in the next 12 months.
-Many companies lack confidence in their ability to source talent and develop a cyber-savvy workforce.
-Executives cite the size of the financial and reputational risk as the most important reason for board oversight.
Artificial intelligence (AI) will profoundly affect the ways in which businesses and governments engage with consumers and citizens alike. From advances in genetic diagnostics to industrial automation, these widespread changes will have significant economic, social and civic implications. As such, Intelligent Economies explores the transformative potential of AI on markets and societies across the developed and developing worlds.
This report, developed by The Economist Intelligence Unit and sponsored by Microsoft, draws on a survey of more than 400 senior executives working in various industries, including financial services, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing,
retail and the public sector. Survey respondents operate in eight markets: France, Germany, Mexico, Poland, South Africa, Thailand, the UK and the US.
As businesses generate and manage vast amounts of data, companies have more opportunities to gather data, incorporate insights into business strategy and continuously expand access to data across the organisation. Doing so effectively—leveraging data for strategic objectives—is often easier said
than done, however. This report, Transforming data into action: the business outlook for data governance, explores the business contributions of data governance at organisations globally and across industries, the challenges faced in creating useful data governance policies and the opportunities to improve such programmes.
It wasn’t long ago that a work meeting meant gathering around a table to discuss an agenda. These days you may be using Slack, Hangouts or other digital collaboration platforms that blend messaging with video and allow real-time editing of
documents. Even with these tools, communication at work can still break down, potentially endangering careers, creating stressful work environments and slowing growth.
A survey from The Economist Intelligence Unit and sponsored by Lucidchart reveals some of the perceived causes and effects of these communication breakdowns. The survey, conducted from November 2017 to January 2018, included 403 senior executives, managers and junior staff at US companies divided equally and from companies with annual revenue of less than
US$10m, between US$10m and US$1bn and more than US$1bn. The survey research provides insights about what employees see as the biggest barriers to workplace communication, the causes of the barriers and their impact on work life. Complete survey results are included at the end of
this report.
Successful young entrepreneurial innovators have achieved something akin to rockstar status. They grace magazine covers and keynote global conferences, inspiring burgeoning
start-ups and Fortune 50 companies alike.
Collectively, young entrepreneurs are innovative by nature and their thinking is an important source of growth and job creation across the world. Today, with digital tools in hand, leaders are better positioned to expand their businesses across borders, seize niche opportunities and shape the global economic future.
Yet, most of today’s young entrepreneurs want more than status and a global corporate footprint. Their ideas of success arise from powerful social, political and economic convictions.
To find out what really makes young innovators tick, The Economist Intelligence Unit, sponsored by FedEx, surveyed more than 500 of these young entrepreneurs around the globe about their motivations, ideals and priorities. Our survey respondents were between 25 and 50 years of age and all founders, owners or partners of firms with fewer than 500 employees. They are living in North America, Europe, Middle
East, India and Africa, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. We surveyed them on matters of globalization, technology and social values.
We then compared their views with a similar survey of the general public in the same regions. Side by side, these surveys enabled us to differentiate the outlooks of today’s young and innovative entrepreneurs.
Our surveys identified four key mindsets that guide young entrepreneurs: leading with passion; thinking globally; embracing social responsibility; and banking on connectivity. This report explores the similarities and divergences of today’s young entrepreneurs and the general public. It seeks insights into the elements of the business environment that matter most to entrepreneurs, as well as their views on a variety of issues including free trade and social responsibility.
Education systems across the world are grappling with the challenge of preparing their students for the rapid changes they will experience during their lifetimes. To this end, schools have a critical role in equipping students with the requisite skills and
competencies that will be in demand, particularly as digital technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) increasingly transform businesses and influence economies. In this report, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) discusses the results of a study that explores how to best prepare primary and
secondary school (referred to in this report as “K-12”) students for the 21st century workplace (“the modern workplace”), where
a mix of hard and soft skills are crucial for success. The research, sponsored by Google for Education, draws on a survey of 1,200 educators in 16 countries.1 It looks at the
strategies most effective in developing 21st century skills and how technology can support such efforts.
Gone are the days when marketing chiefs focused solely on the classic 4Ps: Product, Price, Promotions and Place - they now must take an integrated approach to drive company goals.
Corporate and shareholder sentiment towards MA has rebounded since the dark days of 2008. Low borrowing costs have coaxed many new buyers, including acquisitive Chinese conglomerates, into the market. The prices of prized assets have risen accordingly. It remains a sellers market in technology-driven deals, particularly in the consumer-goods, financial services, and media and telecommunications sectors.
Corporate treasury is now a top target for cyber-criminals. Treasury’s trove of personal and corporate data, its authority to make payments and move large amounts of cash quickly, and its often complicated structure make it an appealing choice for discerning fraudsters.
Corporate treasury is now a top target for cyber-criminals. Treasury’s trove of personal and corporate data, its authority to make payments and move large amounts of cash quickly, and its often complicated structure make it an appealing choice for discerning fraudsters.
In today’s low-yield and regulated environment, many Asia-Pacific investors are more actively monitoring their portfolios with a willingness to increase turnover and shift asset allocations for higher returns.
Asia-Pacific institutional investors are struggling to balance long-term liabilities with the need to secure yield in a world where it is increasingly scarce. They are also in the world’s fastest-growing region that has no shortage of volatility. How are they achieving returns while managing risks?
How are institutional investors in North America adapting to increasingly complex risks? Are these risks driving investors to make portfolio changes based on short-term goals or are they making tactical moves to stay focused on long-term objectives?
Political risks and the search for yield are pushing some North American institutional investors toward more tactical decisions. Investors are focused on reallocating to equities and using alternative investments to mitigate risks.
How are EMEA investors responding to changing macroeconomic and regulatory environments, stakeholder objectives and pressures, and market conditions? Based on a survey of 200 institutional investors in the region, this report takes a detailed look.
An astonishing, first-of-its-kind, report by the NYT assessing damage in Ukraine. Even if the war ends tomorrow, in many places there will be nothing to go back to.
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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El Puerto de Algeciras continúa un año más como el más eficiente del continente europeo y vuelve a situarse en el “top ten” mundial, según el informe The Container Port Performance Index 2023 (CPPI), elaborado por el Banco Mundial y la consultora S&P Global.
El informe CPPI utiliza dos enfoques metodológicos diferentes para calcular la clasificación del índice: uno administrativo o técnico y otro estadístico, basado en análisis factorial (FA). Según los autores, esta dualidad pretende asegurar una clasificación que refleje con precisión el rendimiento real del puerto, a la vez que sea estadísticamente sólida. En esta edición del informe CPPI 2023, se han empleado los mismos enfoques metodológicos y se ha aplicado un método de agregación de clasificaciones para combinar los resultados de ambos enfoques y obtener una clasificación agregada.
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
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Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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Here is Gabe Whitley's response to my defamation lawsuit for him calling me a rapist and perjurer in court documents.
You have to read it to believe it, but after you read it, you won't believe it. And I included eight examples of defamatory statements/
2. The tone of recent data has been fairly
strong. economy has been creating more
jobs in recent months. We are
maintaining our 2012 GDP growth at
1.8%. But if payroll tax cuts and
unemployment benefits are extended
beyond the end of February, we may
revise upward our growth forecast.
The Fed has signalled that it will keep
interest rates very low through to end of
2014, but deleveraging will constrain
spending. A further round of quantitative
easing is possible if the threats of
recession and deflation re-emerge.
A large overhang of houses will prevent
a strong recovery in the housing market.
3. The injection of liquidity by the ECB into
euro zone banking system has eased
funding pressures on banks and
sovereigns, notably Italy and Spain.
In Greece a deep recession continues
to foment social and industrial unrest.
Talks on a restructuring of debt owed to
private creditors are proving difficult.
Greece has yet to satisfy the conditions
set by the EU and IMF for a second,
€130bn bail-out. Unless this deal is
signed, Greece will default on a
€14.5bn bond repayment in March.
We expect the euro zone economy to
contract by 0.7% in 2012.
4. The March 2011 earthquake and tsunami
had a severe impact on power supplies
and supply chains. Industrial production
is now recovering as infrastructure is
rebuilt. The strong yen is proving a
headwind for exporters.
Strong GDP growth in the third quarter
was not sustained in the fourth quarter,
when the economy contracted by 2.3%
q-on-q at an annualised rate.
Our forecast of GDP growth of 2% in
2012 is subject to downside risks given
the loss of momentum in late 2011. From
2013 we expect the economy to grow at
a rate of just above 1%.
5. In response to fears of an economic
downturn, a number of EM central
banks have cut interest rates or at
least postponed monetary tightening.
EM currencies and asset markets
have rebounded since the start of the
year as risk appetite has recovered.
EMs lost momentum during 2011 as
developed markets struggled. We
forecast a soft landing in China,
despite problems in the housing
market.
Growth in 2012 will be constrained by
sluggish OECD demand. EMs will still
comfortably outperform their peers in
the developed world in 2012-16.
6. Oil consumption growth will be
constrained in 2012 by the weak
OECD economic outlook. It will
average nearly 2% year on year in
2013-16, led by rising demand in the
developing world.
The prospect of a resumption of
Libyan output in the next 1-2 years
has improved the supply outlook.
Geopolitical risk remains high,
however.
Prices will average around US$110
as supply concerns offset the
negative impact of weaker demand.
7. Consumption growth is expected to
slow in 2012, constrained by weak EU
and growth and somewhat slower
growth in the developing world.
However, rising emerging market
incomes and urbanisation will underpin
medium-term demand growth.
Years of underinvestment, particularly
in agriculture, will support prices.
Nominal prices will remain historically
high in 2012-16, but prices will ease
back in real terms.
8. Faced with persistently high
unemployment, the Federal Reserve
will keep its policy rate at
exceptionally low levels until late
2014. Another round of quantitative
easing (QE) is possible.
The ECB cut rates twice in late 2011,
reversing the two rate rises earlier in
the year. In 2012 we expect the ECB
to cut its policy rate from 1% to
0.75%.
The ECB’s injection of large amounts
of liquidity into the euro zone financial
system has alleviated funding
stresses.
9. As funding stresses on euro zone
banks and sovereigns have eased, the
euro has rebounded. Having bounced
from a recent low of US$1.26, the
single currency appears to be
establishing a new trading range above
US$1.30:€.
The yen has weakened as risk appetite
has recovered. But it is likely to remain
well supported until the global economic
outlook becomes clearer.
EM currencies have rebounded. Over
the medium term they will be supported
by positive growth and interest rate
differentials with OECD economies.
10. - The global economy falls into recession 20
- Oil prices remain at extremely high levels 16
+ Unprecedented policy response after Greek exit prevents contagion
16
- The euro zone breaks up
15
- The Chinese economy crashes 15
11. - Resumption of monetary stimulus leads to new asset bubbles 12
- Tensions over currency manipulation lead to protectionism 12
- US dollar crashes
10
- Economic upheaval leads to widespread social and political unrest
9
+ Stronger than anticipated US growth boosts the global economy 8
12.
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Editor's Notes
The euro zone is forecast to underperform the US in 2009 as it suffers from a massive drop in external demand, the impact of the global financial crisis and the unwinding of domestic imbalances. The US recovery will be driven partly by aggressive fiscal stimulus which will make itself felt from the second half of 2009 and some restocking, after the extensive drawdown of inventories in the first half 2009.
The euro zone is forecast to underperform the US in 2009, largely reflecting the severe weakness of Germany, which, like Japan, remains highly exposed to the global trade cycle. The US recovery will be driven partly by aggressive fiscal stimulus, which will make itself felt from the second half of 2009.
The euro zone is forecast to underperform the US in 2009, largely reflecting the severe weakness of Germany, which, like Japan, remains highly exposed to the global trade cycle. The US recovery will be driven partly by aggressive fiscal stimulus, which will make itself felt from the second half of 2009.
Although we are forecasting steady growth in oil demand in 2011-13, ample supply and capacity will prevent significant price gains. While our forecast suggests markedly lower prices in 2009-13 than in 2008, they are still relatively high in both historical and real terms.
Policy rates in the largest industrial economies are forecast to remain at ultra-loose levels at least until the end of 2010. Concerns not to inflate fresh bubbles will persuade the Federal Reserve (the US central bank) to start to tighten policy from 2011.