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Incident Investigation – Back to Basics
7 November 2018
Dr Justin Ludcke
There is a strong belief in industry that “ anyone” can investigate an
incident. While this may be technically true, not everyone can do it well.
The " good" companies develop a procedure or have a system and provide
some training in a process. This is useful. However, it is often not sufficient
to promote effective outcomes from incident investigations to prevent
future re-occurrence of the incident. We need to get “ Back to basics” for
incident investigation.
This presentation will provide some of the foundational concepts that
underpin effective incident investigations. These foundational concepts
have been applied by InterSafe in nearly 15,000 incident investigations
involving non-fatal permanent damage or fatality outcomes, to produce
effective controls for the future.
Abstract
Question…
What is the
purpose
of
Incident Investigation?
Our Purpose
1. Understand the incident sequence, in detail.
2. Identify recommendations that will:
– prevent the damage, or
– reduce the extent of damage (i.e. ‘mitigating controls’).
Change the Future
The purpose of
Incident Investigation
is to
Change the Future.
The 8Steps™
Foundational Concepts
1. Convey meaning
2. Have affect
Foundational Concept –
Words are Tools
“ affect” - to act on the emotions
“ effect” - something brought about by an agent/action
– Failure
– Safe / Unsafe act
– Safe / Unsafe condition
– Fault
– Human error
– Omissions, lapses, mistakes, violations
– Blame
– Careless
– Negligent
Words –
Meaning & Affect
Common Terminology of Investigation Models
No matter how well we
try to define these
terms…
value judgments are
required
Does this help our insight?
Or, hinder our insight?
What is a “ Value” ?
What is a “ Value Judgement” ?
Values
• Love
• Trust
• Courage
• Honesty
• Respect
• Fairness
Values displayed positively promote social cohesion
Values displayed negatively promote social disruption
Interpretation Lens
Observation
Love
Trust
Courage
Honesty
Respect
Fairness
+ -
+ -
+ -
+ -
+ -
+ -
Lens
Interpretation Lens
Observation
Safe
+ -
Lens
Unsafe
Foundational Concept - Models
• What do we mean by the term ‘Model’?
• ‘Model’ – A Conceptual Frame of Reference guiding
one’s thinking and observations
• Examples – Physical, mental, schematic, mathematical etc.
The test of a good model is…
how close it gets you to your goals.
Types of Models
• Incident and Investigation Models can be:
– Egocentric
– Ergonomic
1. Egocentric
– 88:10:2
– Failure / Unsafe focus
– Human error focus
– Cause of Failure focus
2. Ergonomic
– 100:100:100
– “ IS” thinking focus
– Contribution to interaction
– Control of Future focus
Egocentric vs. Ergonomic
The test of a model is the extent to which it
helps you achieve your goals – its “ usefulness”
Summary
Models –
IS / IS NOT vs Cause / Effect
“ Cause/effect” Thinking
“ Ideal” Courtship Sequence
“ IS” Thinking
Actual
Sequence
Incidents are complex!
• Origin of model?
• Heinrich
– Failure model
– An incident is the result of a failure
• Human failing, Equipment failing, Act of God
• More recently – system failure (failed defences)
– Find the failure and fix it!
• Hence 88:10:2
Models –
88:10:2 vs 100:100:100
The only scientifically acceptable statement about the involvement of
People, Equipment and Environment is:
• 100% of incidents have people factors (behaviour, knowledge, skill
of people)
• 100% of incidents have equipment factors (design features of
equipment)
• 100% of incidents have environment factors (features of the
environment)
100:100:100
• Failure model
• Unsafe acts model
• Failure or unsafe is a value judgement!
• ASSUMESTHEFAILUREISCAUSATIVE!
Sometimes the most effective solution can be:
• Not fixing the failure
• In the area judged as ‘Safe’ by an investigator
Usefulness
These models are only useful if fixing the point of
failure / unsafe act is an effective solution
Carbonated Drink
Tractors
A defined access system to the tractor
Tractor Access – Good
Design Features
Capability of the Human Being
Capability of the Human Being
Summary
“ To say that accidents are due to human failing is not so much
untrue as unhelpful.
It does not lead to any constructive action.”
T. Kletz (1985)
An Engineer’s View of Human Error
• Understand the purpose
• Get the mindset right
• Choose the appropriate model to match the purpose
• Understand the capability of the human being
• Look for the engineering solution
Final Points
Questions?
w w w .intersafe.com.au
Thank you for your attention

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EESS Day 1 - Justin Ludcke

  • 1. Incident Investigation – Back to Basics 7 November 2018 Dr Justin Ludcke
  • 2. There is a strong belief in industry that “ anyone” can investigate an incident. While this may be technically true, not everyone can do it well. The " good" companies develop a procedure or have a system and provide some training in a process. This is useful. However, it is often not sufficient to promote effective outcomes from incident investigations to prevent future re-occurrence of the incident. We need to get “ Back to basics” for incident investigation. This presentation will provide some of the foundational concepts that underpin effective incident investigations. These foundational concepts have been applied by InterSafe in nearly 15,000 incident investigations involving non-fatal permanent damage or fatality outcomes, to produce effective controls for the future. Abstract
  • 4. Our Purpose 1. Understand the incident sequence, in detail. 2. Identify recommendations that will: – prevent the damage, or – reduce the extent of damage (i.e. ‘mitigating controls’).
  • 5. Change the Future The purpose of Incident Investigation is to Change the Future.
  • 8. 1. Convey meaning 2. Have affect Foundational Concept – Words are Tools “ affect” - to act on the emotions “ effect” - something brought about by an agent/action
  • 9. – Failure – Safe / Unsafe act – Safe / Unsafe condition – Fault – Human error – Omissions, lapses, mistakes, violations – Blame – Careless – Negligent Words – Meaning & Affect Common Terminology of Investigation Models No matter how well we try to define these terms… value judgments are required Does this help our insight? Or, hinder our insight?
  • 10. What is a “ Value” ? What is a “ Value Judgement” ?
  • 11. Values • Love • Trust • Courage • Honesty • Respect • Fairness Values displayed positively promote social cohesion Values displayed negatively promote social disruption
  • 14. Foundational Concept - Models • What do we mean by the term ‘Model’? • ‘Model’ – A Conceptual Frame of Reference guiding one’s thinking and observations • Examples – Physical, mental, schematic, mathematical etc. The test of a good model is… how close it gets you to your goals.
  • 15. Types of Models • Incident and Investigation Models can be: – Egocentric – Ergonomic
  • 16. 1. Egocentric – 88:10:2 – Failure / Unsafe focus – Human error focus – Cause of Failure focus 2. Ergonomic – 100:100:100 – “ IS” thinking focus – Contribution to interaction – Control of Future focus Egocentric vs. Ergonomic The test of a model is the extent to which it helps you achieve your goals – its “ usefulness”
  • 18. Models – IS / IS NOT vs Cause / Effect
  • 19. “ Cause/effect” Thinking “ Ideal” Courtship Sequence
  • 22. • Origin of model? • Heinrich – Failure model – An incident is the result of a failure • Human failing, Equipment failing, Act of God • More recently – system failure (failed defences) – Find the failure and fix it! • Hence 88:10:2 Models – 88:10:2 vs 100:100:100
  • 23. The only scientifically acceptable statement about the involvement of People, Equipment and Environment is: • 100% of incidents have people factors (behaviour, knowledge, skill of people) • 100% of incidents have equipment factors (design features of equipment) • 100% of incidents have environment factors (features of the environment) 100:100:100
  • 24. • Failure model • Unsafe acts model • Failure or unsafe is a value judgement! • ASSUMESTHEFAILUREISCAUSATIVE! Sometimes the most effective solution can be: • Not fixing the failure • In the area judged as ‘Safe’ by an investigator Usefulness These models are only useful if fixing the point of failure / unsafe act is an effective solution
  • 27. A defined access system to the tractor Tractor Access – Good Design Features
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  • 34. Capability of the Human Being
  • 35. Capability of the Human Being
  • 36. Summary “ To say that accidents are due to human failing is not so much untrue as unhelpful. It does not lead to any constructive action.” T. Kletz (1985) An Engineer’s View of Human Error
  • 37. • Understand the purpose • Get the mindset right • Choose the appropriate model to match the purpose • Understand the capability of the human being • Look for the engineering solution Final Points
  • 38. Questions? w w w .intersafe.com.au Thank you for your attention