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DryArc Interface
Chandrashekhar Biradar
Head of Geoinformatics and RDM Unit
Research Theme Leader- GeoAgro and Digital Augmentation
FAO e-Agriculture Webinar, June 15, 2020
R4D framework for collaboration between
CGIAR and FAO on Dryland Agriculture
Systemic Innovation for
Dryland Family Farming
International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas
icarda.org cgiar.org
A CGIAR Research Center
Health is continuum from soil > plant > humans ...
Family farms that connects the continuum
The food is one thing that links to every sustainable developmental goals
EAT Lancet Report
Current Food Systems vs Planetary Health
Paradigm shift from monocropping to resources efficient integrated Agri Foods Systems
with more crops, tress, livestock, rotation, nutrition >> “more wealth per acre”
EAT Lancet Report
Dryland
Cereals
Dryland
Pulses
Dryland
Livestock
Dryland
Fruits
nuts
Current Food Systems vs Planetary Health
Balanced Agroecosystems that strengthen the food & ecological security
Rich-crop diversity, recycling of nutrients and healthy soils and landscapes produce an abundance of food in a
balanced ecosystem
SCIENCE FOR HUMANITY'S GREATEST CHALLENGES
We are at a crossroads in the world's food system.
We cannot continue our current trajectory of
consuming too little, too much, or the wrong types
of food at an unsustainable cost to natural
resources, the environment and human health.
https://cgiar.org/
Biodiverse agroecosystems for plant based diets
Daal/Falafal
Water used 1,250 liters
Chicken
4,325
Mutton
5,520
Beef
13,000
Changing diet pattern >> cropping systems
Sustainable alternatives for future food systems
There is a need for paradigm shift
from more calories per acre to
more nutrition (health) per acre.
>> Sustainable living
“Family farms produces 80%
of the food in the world.”
- FAO Family farming decade
Support towards rebuilding the resilience
• Large fluctuation in water balance
• Climate variability and extreme events
• Dominance of mono-cropping / few commodity focus
• Depleted soil organic carbon
2015-162014-15
2000
building healthy food systems
and rebuilding living soils
>> through sustainable intensification
“Family Smart Agriculture”
Geo Big Data for building inclusive agroecosystems for
economically viable options and ecologically sustainable
actions for more food, nutrition and health
Sustainable intensification
Target specific interventions
Bridging the gaps*
Resource use efficiency
Agricultural policy
Halt degradation
Technology scaling
- food and nutritional security
- resilience and risk reduction
- agro-ecosystem sustainability
- adaption and mitigation
- citizen science and collective actions
- Equitable trade and social security
Data driven decisions & diversified systems
<<<more health per acre>>>people, animals and soil
Food and Nutrition
>> with farm focus (rural welfare)
10
New era of Geo Bigdata analytics in farming systems
Tabulating
Systems Era
Cognitive
Systems Era
Programmable
Systems Era
Conscious
Systems
EraFarm
Focus
Local
intelligence
Data driven
Multi-layer farming with
crops, trees, and animals
Digital Augmentation for Revitalizing Agriculture
Geotagging
Agrotagging
Expert and Existing
Knowledge base
RS/ML algorithms
sFarm typologies
geoWeb
Analytics
Site-specific
in-season
indicators
Demand driven
decisions
Dissemination
Resilient Agroecosystems
Evidence based
Farming systems
dynamics
Diversification of
Wheat systems
Anticipated
Advices and
Result based
management
Technology Scaling
and Accessibility
Data driven decision for sustainable intensification
Digital Extension
Quantify
yield/RUE
potential and
bridge gaps
Extension
Advisors
Farmers
Unions
Scientists
Agents
Supply
chains
MVPs
Scaling trade in/trade offs
Build
resilient
agroecosystems
Sustainable intensification
Financial inclusion
Resilient cropping systems
better integration of crops, livestock, fish, trees & people
Optimizing intervension by integrated approach
Compounding intensification with diversification
Right crops at right place and time
Socio-Economic drivers
1. Functional domains
2. Integration domains
3. Modular domains
4. Service domains
Pixel/Farm/Parcel
A single entity for each &
every developmental
entry point
1000m
500m
30m
10m
Daily
Monthly
Seasonal
Annual
The Data Driven Digital
Augmentation Interface for of
Dryland Agriculture at Scale
Framework of DryArc Mapping Interface Tool
Digital Augmentation for Resilient Agroecosystems
Region to Farm Scale
SHARE Knowledge, Technologies and Data
COMBINE
Technologies in
Systemic
Innovation
ACCELERATE
co-design
with Farmers
Communities
ENABLE-
Policies and
Institutions
for Systemic
Innovation
INTEGRATE
Innovations
and
Methods
Framework of DryArc Mapping Interface Tool
Digital Augmentation for Resilient Agroecosystems
MODULES for interface collaboration
• Acts as a global and
open access repository
using the FAIR principles
to describe and enable
searching into ready-to-
scale technologies
(crops, livestock, fish,
soil, water, energy, food
processing, ICT etc.)
adapted to irrigated,
rainfed, agro-pastoral or
desert farming systems
which have been
developed over the past
40 years by the public
and private sector.
• It also supports
benchmarking analysis
and ex-ante impact
assessment of
technologies that are
under development for
the drylands by public
and private sectors.
• Builds on the knowledge base
of the SHARE module to
design systemic innovations
adapted to a specific scale
(from farm to country) and in
specific enabling
environments (community,
policy, market).
• By integrated modelling,
trade-off analyses and ex-
ante impact assessments,
these technologies - normally
initially developed for
application one by one - are
integrated, co-designed and
transformed into a set of
systemic innovation options
adapted to specific contexts
targeting a set of SDGs.
• Involves on-farm experiments
and prototyping approaches
with stakeholders for the
most complex combinations
when there is a lack of data
and models on key
interactions.
• Supports community-based
projects to accelerate scaling
of the systemic innovation
options in regions and
farming systems were the
socio-economic (including
gender) and policy contexts
are conducive and can
rapidly transform the agri-
food systems to achieve a
targeted set of SDGs.
• Support capacity development, policy
design and cost-benefit analysis in order to
create the enabling environment for agri-
food systems transformation by the
ACCELERATE module.
• Foster knowledge exchange across scales,
sectors and stakeholder groups to develop
capacities to put in place the policies,
institutions and services to bring systemic
innovation to scale for impact and
sustainable intensification of the key agri-
food systems across the DryArc region.
• Encourages increased and improved
(evidence-based) investments by the
public and private sectors including
governments, development and financial
institutions, companies (local, national and
international) and farming communities.
• Supports foresight analysis of the DryArc
Hotspots where conditions of the “Perfect
Storm” are met as well as ex ante impact
assessments in these regions.
• Supports a DryArc Academy to develop
capacities on systems analysis and
innovation process in research, extension,
public and private services.
• Allows component-based
research (e.g. plant
breeding, development of
innovative soil, water and
energy technologies) to be
integrated at an early stage
(from product profile
definition) in the missing
components of the SHARE
module for systemic
innovation in the drylands.
SHARE COMBINE ACCELERATE
INTEGRATE
ENABLE
Systemic Innovation for synergies among SDGs in Drylands
NUTRITION SECURITY
BLUE
WATER
LABOR
EMPLOYMENT MIGRATION
NATURAL RESOURCES &
ENERGY
SYSTEMIC
INNOVATION
Components
Enabling
Environment
The DryArc’s application of systemic
innovation is underpinned by five
core principles:
1. Harnessing key interactions
rather than focusing on
individual components
2. Promoting synergies and
minimizing trade-offs for
resource use efficiency
3. Effectively scaling innovations by
considering multiple spatial and
temporal scales and sectors
4. Designing plausible and
comprehensive trajectories
5. The enabling potential for
uptake of innovations and
impact lies in the socio-
economic domain
The DryArc Interface designed to provide services to stakeholders, countries and
researchers to implement projects with the DryArc modules
AOI-Area of Interest; APIs- Application Program interface; KMT-Knowledge Management Tools; IMF- Integrated Modelling Framework; MEL- Monitoring and Evaluation
Platforms; GeoOC-Geoinformatics Option and Context; GeoAgro- Geoinformatics for Sustainable Agroecosystems; TEDs- Technology Extrapolation Domains;
Examples of Potential collaboration between DryArc and FAO on
Dryland Agri-food systems
(1) Tools, Databases, Services
DryArc Interface
WOCAT FAOStatWAPOR
(2) R4D and D Projects
Global Drylands/DryArc region
Hand-in-Hand Initiative
MENA/NENA Region
Water Scarcity Initiative
MENA ET-
Network
1. Functional domains
2. Integration domains
3. Modular domains
4. Service domains
GIEWS: Global Information and Early Warning System of Food and Agriculture; SFM/NFM: Sustainable
Forest Management and National Forest Monitoring System; WAPOR: Water Productivity Open Access
Portal; GIAHS: Global Important Agriculture Heritage Systems; MOSAICC: Modelling System for
Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change; ASIS: Agricultural Stress Index System;
3 ha
3 million ha
300 k ha30 k ha
3 billion ha
A fractal approach of water-soil limited agro-ecosystems
#/km2
Dynamics of Cropping Systems
▪ Integrated Agro-Ecosystems
▪ Sustainable Intensification and Diversification
▪ Pulses as a crops of catalyst for input use efficiency
▪ Building diet and Water-Climate Resilience
Agricultural
Intensification
Cropping Intensity
Increase in Arable
Land
72%
21%
7%
Length of the crop fallows with start-date and end-date
(Biradar et al., 2015)
Kharif
fallow
Rabi
fallow
Systemic Innovation for
Diversified farming systems
From 2000 to current (real-time mapping)
Mapping Realtime
farm dynamics
Soil Moisture and
Water Harvesting
Variety Suitability
Agro-Tagging
Land use and systems level yield gaps
2000 to 2018
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tracing changes to target interventions
National level
Scaling domains for specific varieties and breeds
Biradar et al., 2015. Mapping scaling domain for wheat varieties , SARC SC hub countries. ICARDA.
Nigussie, D., Mulugeta, W., Molla, A., Bishaw, Z., and Biradar, C., 2019. GIS-based multi-criteria land suitability mapping
for scaling Faba bean varieties in Ethiopia. African Crop Science Journal, Vol. 27, No. 4, pp. 687 – 708
Demeke Nigussie, Wondafrash Mulugeta, Adamu Molla Tiruneh, Zewdie Bishaw, Chandrashekhar Biradar. (30/3/2019).
Land Suitability Mapping for Production of Chickpea, Faba Bean and Malt Barley Varieties in Ethiopia. Technical report.
ICARDA.
Atassi, L., Biradar C., Haile A, Rischkowsky, B., Mwacharo JM. 2018. Mapping breeds to appropriate production
environments: a case study of Ethiopian indigenous sheep and goats. ICARDA.
Chickpea
Malt Barley
Faba Bean
Small ruminants
2000 to 2019
Machine Learning Intelligence & Applications (MILA)
e.g. assess cropping system dynamics
MENA
Harvesting Progress
2019 vs 2020
AI
ML Meta Analytics
Big
Data
@ Crops, animals, soils, weather, agronomy, trade…
Inclusive
Agroecosystems
Demand driven
Sustainable options
Data and Info Integration and Interoperability
Multi-domain integrationsProject specific outputs and integration into interface
4000+ metadata and 1300+ data series
1,000,000+ geodata layers and thousands of statistics series
Multi-domain integrationsProject specific outputs and integration into interface
Regional Knowledge Platform
Fallows in Double cropped area Fallows in Single cropped area
Dynamics of cropping systems and rotations
Systemic Innovation for
Diversified farming Systems
From 2000 to current (real-time mapping)
Mapping Realtime
farm dynamics
Soil Moisture and
Water Harvesting
Variety Suitability
Agro-Tagging
Jan-Feb
Jan-May Jan-May
May-Jun Jan-Feb May-Jun Jan-Feb
Systemic Innovation for Diversified farming Systems
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.7
0.9
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
fitted EVI fitted NDVI EVI
NDVI Linear (fitted EVI) Linear (fitted NDVI)
Tracking farming systems dynamics for better decisions
NASA
Monitoring the progress (or regress)
Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Jan 2019 Dry Moist Wet Water
Real-time
rice fallows
Real-time
Soil moisture
High Medium Low NS
Suitable areas
for Lentil in
2018/2019
Seeds
hubs
Daal
mills
Value
chains
Crop
imp.
Storage
units
Near Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices)
Small farms field the world: food grown in small farms are more healthy, tasty,
nutritious and it helps rebuilding living soils and resilient agroecosystems
Market
Aggr.
Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes
Doubling farmer income
Reduced inputs costs
High ecological balance
Rice
varieties>
Short Mid Long
duration rice varieties
Biradar et al., 2019
real-time rice
crop extent
Oct 2018 Dry Moist Wet Water
Real-time
rice fallows
Real-time
Soil moisture
Static map
Static
Rice fallows
Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices)
Corresponding
soil moisture
Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes
real-time rice
crop extent
Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dry Moist Wet Water
Real-time
rice fallows
Real-time
Soil moisture
Static map
Static
Rice fallows
Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices)
Corresponding
soil moisture
Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes
real-time rice
crop extent
Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Dry Moist Wet Water
Real-time
rice fallows
Real-time
Soil moisture
Length of rice
fallows in
2018/2019
<30 days 31-60 61-90 91-120
Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices)
Rice
varieties>
Short Mid Long
duration rice varieties
Corresponding
soil moisture
Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes
real-time rice
crop extent
Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Jan 2019 Dry Moist Wet Water
Real-time
rice fallows
Real-time
Soil moisture
High Medium Low NS
Suitable areas
for Lentil in
2018/2019
Seeds
hubs
Daal
mills
Value
chains
Crop
imp.
Storage
units
Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices)
Market
Aggr.
Doubling farmer income
Reduced inputs costs
High ecological balance
Rice
varieties>
Short Mid Long
duration rice varieties
Shift in short duration varieties for both rice and legumes
Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes
real-time rice
crop extent
Real Time Rice Fallows Real Time Soil Moisture Suitable areas for growing Pulses
during 2019-20
Rice Acreage by MoAFW,
Govt of India (2017-18)
Rice Acreage by
Sentinel-1 SAR image
2.716 Million Ha 2.775 Million Ha
# Av. Net Sown Area in Bihar = 5.638 Mha
# Av. Gross Cultivated area = 7.946 Mha
# Av. Rice crop Fallows: 0.79 M Ha
(source: Directorate of Pulses Dev.)
All crop Fallows Rice crop fallows
4.25 Million Ha 0.99 Million Ha
Scaling options to other regions
Rice crop fallow areas varies across the years
Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes
Climate change
impacts and scenarios
Informed decisions in advance
Predicted risks
Early warning
Mitigation measures
Potential risks and adaptations for current & future scenarios
Impact on
Productivity
Production
Quality
Trade
Potential climate risk for current and future
Based on IBM Forecasts under
GeoAgro based decisions and dissemination
We need Systemic Innovation for a Sustainable Transformation of
Agri-food Systems
Agro-Sylvo- PastoralRainfed Irrigated Desert Farming
Resilience with
Farm Diversity
Sustainability
with Landscape
management
Livelihoods with
Market Linkages
Five MODULES supported by a Digital Interface to
Design and Manage R4D Projects for Systemic
Transformation of Dryland Agri-food systems
SHARE Knowledge, Technologies and Data
COMBINE
Technologies
in Systemic
Innovation
ACCELERATE
co-design with
Farmers
Communities
ENABLE
Policies and
Institutions
for Systemic
Innovation
INTEGRATE
Innovations and
Methods
Commodity-based and Component-
based innovations (eg. New varieties,
new equipment….)
Models
Scenarios
DryArc Interface
Existing Platforms
(national, regional,
international)
Systemic Innovation for
Dryland Family Farming
Rice fallows
Rice fallows
Vegetables
crops
Herbs and Spices
Cash crop
Palm trees
Crop residue burs
Dryland Family Farming
Fruits and Nuts
crops
Rice fallows
Rice fallows
Rice fallows
Rice fallows
Rice fallows
47
• Rice fallow under pulses
• Increased income (2-3 times)
• Increased resource use efficiency
• Rebuilding healthy soil and biota
• Better nutrition and health
• Addressing 8 of the 17 SDGs
Compound
productivity
Single
commodity
Productivity(return)
Drylands (fallows) to Green scapes (pulses)
Rice fallows
(stubbles burned)
Nearly 11m ha left fallows each year
Compound
productivity
Single
commodity
Productivity(return)
Planting multiple crops for monthly income while main crop continue to grow
Example1: Growing monthly harvestable crops like salad greens (arugula), red radish, leafy
amaranth, coriander, dill, spinach in main Cotton crop: high resource use efficiency, less
chemical use and high return per unit area with monthly income throughout the season
Dryland Family Farming
C. Biradar, own farm experiment
Thank You
Production follows functions
Let’s leverage technology to rebuild functional
agri-food systems for sustainable future
Jacques Wery
Deputy Director General-Research
Pasquale Steduto
Senior Water Advisor
Special Acknowledgments
All the participating centers and teams

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DryArc Interface: R4D framework for collaboration between CGIAR and FAO on Dryland Agriculture

  • 1. DryArc Interface Chandrashekhar Biradar Head of Geoinformatics and RDM Unit Research Theme Leader- GeoAgro and Digital Augmentation FAO e-Agriculture Webinar, June 15, 2020 R4D framework for collaboration between CGIAR and FAO on Dryland Agriculture Systemic Innovation for Dryland Family Farming International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas icarda.org cgiar.org A CGIAR Research Center
  • 2. Health is continuum from soil > plant > humans ... Family farms that connects the continuum The food is one thing that links to every sustainable developmental goals
  • 3. EAT Lancet Report Current Food Systems vs Planetary Health Paradigm shift from monocropping to resources efficient integrated Agri Foods Systems with more crops, tress, livestock, rotation, nutrition >> “more wealth per acre”
  • 4. EAT Lancet Report Dryland Cereals Dryland Pulses Dryland Livestock Dryland Fruits nuts Current Food Systems vs Planetary Health Balanced Agroecosystems that strengthen the food & ecological security Rich-crop diversity, recycling of nutrients and healthy soils and landscapes produce an abundance of food in a balanced ecosystem
  • 5. SCIENCE FOR HUMANITY'S GREATEST CHALLENGES We are at a crossroads in the world's food system. We cannot continue our current trajectory of consuming too little, too much, or the wrong types of food at an unsustainable cost to natural resources, the environment and human health. https://cgiar.org/
  • 6. Biodiverse agroecosystems for plant based diets Daal/Falafal Water used 1,250 liters Chicken 4,325 Mutton 5,520 Beef 13,000 Changing diet pattern >> cropping systems Sustainable alternatives for future food systems There is a need for paradigm shift from more calories per acre to more nutrition (health) per acre. >> Sustainable living
  • 7. “Family farms produces 80% of the food in the world.” - FAO Family farming decade
  • 8. Support towards rebuilding the resilience • Large fluctuation in water balance • Climate variability and extreme events • Dominance of mono-cropping / few commodity focus • Depleted soil organic carbon 2015-162014-15 2000 building healthy food systems and rebuilding living soils >> through sustainable intensification “Family Smart Agriculture”
  • 9. Geo Big Data for building inclusive agroecosystems for economically viable options and ecologically sustainable actions for more food, nutrition and health Sustainable intensification Target specific interventions Bridging the gaps* Resource use efficiency Agricultural policy Halt degradation Technology scaling - food and nutritional security - resilience and risk reduction - agro-ecosystem sustainability - adaption and mitigation - citizen science and collective actions - Equitable trade and social security Data driven decisions & diversified systems <<<more health per acre>>>people, animals and soil Food and Nutrition >> with farm focus (rural welfare)
  • 10. 10 New era of Geo Bigdata analytics in farming systems Tabulating Systems Era Cognitive Systems Era Programmable Systems Era Conscious Systems EraFarm Focus Local intelligence Data driven Multi-layer farming with crops, trees, and animals
  • 11. Digital Augmentation for Revitalizing Agriculture Geotagging Agrotagging Expert and Existing Knowledge base RS/ML algorithms sFarm typologies geoWeb Analytics Site-specific in-season indicators Demand driven decisions Dissemination Resilient Agroecosystems Evidence based Farming systems dynamics Diversification of Wheat systems Anticipated Advices and Result based management Technology Scaling and Accessibility Data driven decision for sustainable intensification Digital Extension Quantify yield/RUE potential and bridge gaps Extension Advisors Farmers Unions Scientists Agents Supply chains MVPs
  • 13. Build resilient agroecosystems Sustainable intensification Financial inclusion Resilient cropping systems better integration of crops, livestock, fish, trees & people Optimizing intervension by integrated approach Compounding intensification with diversification Right crops at right place and time Socio-Economic drivers 1. Functional domains 2. Integration domains 3. Modular domains 4. Service domains Pixel/Farm/Parcel A single entity for each & every developmental entry point 1000m 500m 30m 10m Daily Monthly Seasonal Annual The Data Driven Digital Augmentation Interface for of Dryland Agriculture at Scale Framework of DryArc Mapping Interface Tool Digital Augmentation for Resilient Agroecosystems Region to Farm Scale
  • 14. SHARE Knowledge, Technologies and Data COMBINE Technologies in Systemic Innovation ACCELERATE co-design with Farmers Communities ENABLE- Policies and Institutions for Systemic Innovation INTEGRATE Innovations and Methods Framework of DryArc Mapping Interface Tool Digital Augmentation for Resilient Agroecosystems
  • 15. MODULES for interface collaboration • Acts as a global and open access repository using the FAIR principles to describe and enable searching into ready-to- scale technologies (crops, livestock, fish, soil, water, energy, food processing, ICT etc.) adapted to irrigated, rainfed, agro-pastoral or desert farming systems which have been developed over the past 40 years by the public and private sector. • It also supports benchmarking analysis and ex-ante impact assessment of technologies that are under development for the drylands by public and private sectors. • Builds on the knowledge base of the SHARE module to design systemic innovations adapted to a specific scale (from farm to country) and in specific enabling environments (community, policy, market). • By integrated modelling, trade-off analyses and ex- ante impact assessments, these technologies - normally initially developed for application one by one - are integrated, co-designed and transformed into a set of systemic innovation options adapted to specific contexts targeting a set of SDGs. • Involves on-farm experiments and prototyping approaches with stakeholders for the most complex combinations when there is a lack of data and models on key interactions. • Supports community-based projects to accelerate scaling of the systemic innovation options in regions and farming systems were the socio-economic (including gender) and policy contexts are conducive and can rapidly transform the agri- food systems to achieve a targeted set of SDGs. • Support capacity development, policy design and cost-benefit analysis in order to create the enabling environment for agri- food systems transformation by the ACCELERATE module. • Foster knowledge exchange across scales, sectors and stakeholder groups to develop capacities to put in place the policies, institutions and services to bring systemic innovation to scale for impact and sustainable intensification of the key agri- food systems across the DryArc region. • Encourages increased and improved (evidence-based) investments by the public and private sectors including governments, development and financial institutions, companies (local, national and international) and farming communities. • Supports foresight analysis of the DryArc Hotspots where conditions of the “Perfect Storm” are met as well as ex ante impact assessments in these regions. • Supports a DryArc Academy to develop capacities on systems analysis and innovation process in research, extension, public and private services. • Allows component-based research (e.g. plant breeding, development of innovative soil, water and energy technologies) to be integrated at an early stage (from product profile definition) in the missing components of the SHARE module for systemic innovation in the drylands. SHARE COMBINE ACCELERATE INTEGRATE ENABLE
  • 16. Systemic Innovation for synergies among SDGs in Drylands NUTRITION SECURITY BLUE WATER LABOR EMPLOYMENT MIGRATION NATURAL RESOURCES & ENERGY SYSTEMIC INNOVATION Components Enabling Environment The DryArc’s application of systemic innovation is underpinned by five core principles: 1. Harnessing key interactions rather than focusing on individual components 2. Promoting synergies and minimizing trade-offs for resource use efficiency 3. Effectively scaling innovations by considering multiple spatial and temporal scales and sectors 4. Designing plausible and comprehensive trajectories 5. The enabling potential for uptake of innovations and impact lies in the socio- economic domain
  • 17. The DryArc Interface designed to provide services to stakeholders, countries and researchers to implement projects with the DryArc modules AOI-Area of Interest; APIs- Application Program interface; KMT-Knowledge Management Tools; IMF- Integrated Modelling Framework; MEL- Monitoring and Evaluation Platforms; GeoOC-Geoinformatics Option and Context; GeoAgro- Geoinformatics for Sustainable Agroecosystems; TEDs- Technology Extrapolation Domains;
  • 18. Examples of Potential collaboration between DryArc and FAO on Dryland Agri-food systems (1) Tools, Databases, Services DryArc Interface WOCAT FAOStatWAPOR (2) R4D and D Projects Global Drylands/DryArc region Hand-in-Hand Initiative MENA/NENA Region Water Scarcity Initiative MENA ET- Network 1. Functional domains 2. Integration domains 3. Modular domains 4. Service domains GIEWS: Global Information and Early Warning System of Food and Agriculture; SFM/NFM: Sustainable Forest Management and National Forest Monitoring System; WAPOR: Water Productivity Open Access Portal; GIAHS: Global Important Agriculture Heritage Systems; MOSAICC: Modelling System for Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change; ASIS: Agricultural Stress Index System;
  • 19. 3 ha 3 million ha 300 k ha30 k ha 3 billion ha A fractal approach of water-soil limited agro-ecosystems
  • 20. #/km2 Dynamics of Cropping Systems ▪ Integrated Agro-Ecosystems ▪ Sustainable Intensification and Diversification ▪ Pulses as a crops of catalyst for input use efficiency ▪ Building diet and Water-Climate Resilience Agricultural Intensification Cropping Intensity Increase in Arable Land 72% 21% 7% Length of the crop fallows with start-date and end-date (Biradar et al., 2015) Kharif fallow Rabi fallow
  • 21. Systemic Innovation for Diversified farming systems From 2000 to current (real-time mapping) Mapping Realtime farm dynamics Soil Moisture and Water Harvesting Variety Suitability Agro-Tagging
  • 22. Land use and systems level yield gaps 2000 to 2018 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Tracing changes to target interventions
  • 24. Scaling domains for specific varieties and breeds Biradar et al., 2015. Mapping scaling domain for wheat varieties , SARC SC hub countries. ICARDA. Nigussie, D., Mulugeta, W., Molla, A., Bishaw, Z., and Biradar, C., 2019. GIS-based multi-criteria land suitability mapping for scaling Faba bean varieties in Ethiopia. African Crop Science Journal, Vol. 27, No. 4, pp. 687 – 708 Demeke Nigussie, Wondafrash Mulugeta, Adamu Molla Tiruneh, Zewdie Bishaw, Chandrashekhar Biradar. (30/3/2019). Land Suitability Mapping for Production of Chickpea, Faba Bean and Malt Barley Varieties in Ethiopia. Technical report. ICARDA. Atassi, L., Biradar C., Haile A, Rischkowsky, B., Mwacharo JM. 2018. Mapping breeds to appropriate production environments: a case study of Ethiopian indigenous sheep and goats. ICARDA. Chickpea Malt Barley Faba Bean Small ruminants
  • 25. 2000 to 2019 Machine Learning Intelligence & Applications (MILA) e.g. assess cropping system dynamics MENA
  • 27. AI ML Meta Analytics Big Data @ Crops, animals, soils, weather, agronomy, trade… Inclusive Agroecosystems Demand driven Sustainable options Data and Info Integration and Interoperability
  • 28. Multi-domain integrationsProject specific outputs and integration into interface
  • 29. 4000+ metadata and 1300+ data series 1,000,000+ geodata layers and thousands of statistics series Multi-domain integrationsProject specific outputs and integration into interface Regional Knowledge Platform
  • 30.
  • 31. Fallows in Double cropped area Fallows in Single cropped area Dynamics of cropping systems and rotations
  • 32. Systemic Innovation for Diversified farming Systems From 2000 to current (real-time mapping) Mapping Realtime farm dynamics Soil Moisture and Water Harvesting Variety Suitability Agro-Tagging
  • 33. Jan-Feb Jan-May Jan-May May-Jun Jan-Feb May-Jun Jan-Feb Systemic Innovation for Diversified farming Systems
  • 34. 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 fitted EVI fitted NDVI EVI NDVI Linear (fitted EVI) Linear (fitted NDVI) Tracking farming systems dynamics for better decisions NASA Monitoring the progress (or regress)
  • 35. Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Jan 2019 Dry Moist Wet Water Real-time rice fallows Real-time Soil moisture High Medium Low NS Suitable areas for Lentil in 2018/2019 Seeds hubs Daal mills Value chains Crop imp. Storage units Near Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices) Small farms field the world: food grown in small farms are more healthy, tasty, nutritious and it helps rebuilding living soils and resilient agroecosystems Market Aggr. Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes Doubling farmer income Reduced inputs costs High ecological balance Rice varieties> Short Mid Long duration rice varieties Biradar et al., 2019 real-time rice crop extent
  • 36. Oct 2018 Dry Moist Wet Water Real-time rice fallows Real-time Soil moisture Static map Static Rice fallows Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices) Corresponding soil moisture Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes real-time rice crop extent
  • 37. Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dry Moist Wet Water Real-time rice fallows Real-time Soil moisture Static map Static Rice fallows Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices) Corresponding soil moisture Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes real-time rice crop extent
  • 38. Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Dry Moist Wet Water Real-time rice fallows Real-time Soil moisture Length of rice fallows in 2018/2019 <30 days 31-60 61-90 91-120 Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices) Rice varieties> Short Mid Long duration rice varieties Corresponding soil moisture Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes real-time rice crop extent
  • 39. Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Jan 2019 Dry Moist Wet Water Real-time rice fallows Real-time Soil moisture High Medium Low NS Suitable areas for Lentil in 2018/2019 Seeds hubs Daal mills Value chains Crop imp. Storage units Real-time monitoring to target site specific interventions (package of practices) Market Aggr. Doubling farmer income Reduced inputs costs High ecological balance Rice varieties> Short Mid Long duration rice varieties Shift in short duration varieties for both rice and legumes Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes real-time rice crop extent
  • 40. Real Time Rice Fallows Real Time Soil Moisture Suitable areas for growing Pulses during 2019-20 Rice Acreage by MoAFW, Govt of India (2017-18) Rice Acreage by Sentinel-1 SAR image 2.716 Million Ha 2.775 Million Ha # Av. Net Sown Area in Bihar = 5.638 Mha # Av. Gross Cultivated area = 7.946 Mha # Av. Rice crop Fallows: 0.79 M Ha (source: Directorate of Pulses Dev.) All crop Fallows Rice crop fallows 4.25 Million Ha 0.99 Million Ha Scaling options to other regions Rice crop fallow areas varies across the years Sustainable intensification of the cereal-based systems with legumes
  • 41. Climate change impacts and scenarios Informed decisions in advance Predicted risks Early warning Mitigation measures Potential risks and adaptations for current & future scenarios Impact on Productivity Production Quality Trade
  • 42. Potential climate risk for current and future Based on IBM Forecasts under
  • 43. GeoAgro based decisions and dissemination
  • 44. We need Systemic Innovation for a Sustainable Transformation of Agri-food Systems Agro-Sylvo- PastoralRainfed Irrigated Desert Farming Resilience with Farm Diversity Sustainability with Landscape management Livelihoods with Market Linkages
  • 45. Five MODULES supported by a Digital Interface to Design and Manage R4D Projects for Systemic Transformation of Dryland Agri-food systems SHARE Knowledge, Technologies and Data COMBINE Technologies in Systemic Innovation ACCELERATE co-design with Farmers Communities ENABLE Policies and Institutions for Systemic Innovation INTEGRATE Innovations and Methods Commodity-based and Component- based innovations (eg. New varieties, new equipment….) Models Scenarios DryArc Interface Existing Platforms (national, regional, international) Systemic Innovation for Dryland Family Farming
  • 46. Rice fallows Rice fallows Vegetables crops Herbs and Spices Cash crop Palm trees Crop residue burs Dryland Family Farming Fruits and Nuts crops
  • 47. Rice fallows Rice fallows Rice fallows Rice fallows Rice fallows 47 • Rice fallow under pulses • Increased income (2-3 times) • Increased resource use efficiency • Rebuilding healthy soil and biota • Better nutrition and health • Addressing 8 of the 17 SDGs Compound productivity Single commodity Productivity(return) Drylands (fallows) to Green scapes (pulses) Rice fallows (stubbles burned) Nearly 11m ha left fallows each year
  • 48. Compound productivity Single commodity Productivity(return) Planting multiple crops for monthly income while main crop continue to grow Example1: Growing monthly harvestable crops like salad greens (arugula), red radish, leafy amaranth, coriander, dill, spinach in main Cotton crop: high resource use efficiency, less chemical use and high return per unit area with monthly income throughout the season Dryland Family Farming C. Biradar, own farm experiment
  • 49. Thank You Production follows functions Let’s leverage technology to rebuild functional agri-food systems for sustainable future Jacques Wery Deputy Director General-Research Pasquale Steduto Senior Water Advisor Special Acknowledgments All the participating centers and teams