6 February 2024. Drive Renewable Energy Investments in West Africa Hosted by IRENA Coalition for Action Recording forthcoming The session covered the African Continental Master Plan (CMP) for electricity generation and transmission, delved into West Africa's electricity sector, and presented recommendations from the Policy Brief titled: IRENA (2023) Scaling up renewable energy investments in West Africa # 12 p. https://paepard.blogspot.com/2024/02/drive-renewable-energy-investments-in.html

1. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
Scene Setting
African Continental Master Plan (CMP) for
electricity generation and transmission
Webinar - Enhancing Investments in Renewable Energy and
Regional Connectivity Across West Africa
6th February 2024
Bilal Hussain
Associate Programme Officer, IRENA

2. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
Effective implementation with harmonized planning
2
» Renewables and regional integration of electricity grids, represent an opportunity of economic and
social prosperity, decarbonization, and resilience
» In this regard, long term planning is pivotal to identify smart investments
» Harmonized regional and national planning are more effective in mobilizing finance
» CMP can harmonize the national and regional planning efforts across Africa
CMP inception report validation meeting, Nov 2021, Johannesburg

3. CMP represents ground-breaking collaborative platform
3
AUDA-NEPAD
technical team 1 x Staff 1 x Staff 1 x Staff 1 x Staff 1 x Staff
2 x Staff 2 x Staff 2 x Staff 2 x Staff 1 per
country
Power Pool & North
Africa Country Experts
Southern
Africa
Western
Africa
Central
Africa
Eastern
Africa
Mauritania, Libya,
Algeria, Tunisia
Additional members for
oversight & advisory
2 x permanent AUDA-
NEPAD Staff
Coordinator EU-GTAF
2 x AUC Staff
Modelling partners
AUC: African Union Commission AUDA: African Union Development Agency
EU GTAF: EU Global Technical Assistance Facility Power Pools: SAPP, EAPP, WAPP, CAPP
» A unique platform for consolidating regional power pools’ masterplan
» Full ownership of African institutions, follows the mandate of the African heads of states
» Driven by SDG goals and AU Agenda 2063
» Technology-neutral modelling methodologies

4. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
Current situation and projections for West Africa
4
» CMP baseline scenario expects
peak load to grow two-fold by
2030 and four-fold by 2040
» CMP’s transition pathway to
achieve socio-economic goals
of the West African countries at
medium pace would result in a
peak load of near six-folds the
current
» Existing and committed
generation significantly falls
short the projected load growth
Modelled peak load of two CMP demand scenarios vis a vis
existing and planned generation in West Africa
Notes: Load-Baseline corresponds to CMP’s baseline annual demand (GWh) projections (EU-
GTAF, 2023a); Load-Transition corresponds to CMP’s Medium annual demand (GWh)
projections (EU-GTAF, 2023b); ROR: Run of River; HFO: Heavy Fuel Oil; CAGR: Compound
Annual Growth Rate

5. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
Role of renewables and electricity trade in West Africa
5
Renewables and electricity trade can cover new demand and replace substantial
fossil electricity consumption
Total electricity wheeled on cross-border
interconnections in 2040 in West Africa
Notes: FullContinentMD scenario envisions medium demand growth with possibility to deploy more cross-border interconnection capacity (beyond current planning)
across the continent starting 2030; FullRegionalMD scenario envisions such expansion of interconnections limited to within West Africa; EU-GTAF (2023d)
Model suggested electricity production mix in 2040 in West Africa
64%
Fossil
32% RE
71%
Fossil
27% RE 33%
Fossil
64% RE
28%
Fossil
64% RE
New
Demand
Replaced
fossil
demand

6. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
Next efforts in CMP line of work
6
» To continue supporting next CMP phase
» enhancing the CMP capacity expansion planning tool (SPLAT)
» IRENA investment forums to contribute in finance mobilization
» National energy planning capacity building programmes in West Africa
» Senegal masterplan development programme – 2024 marks the 2nd year of a
2-year energy planning and modelling programme to support JETP
implementation
» Bringing IRENA’s World Energy Transitions Outlook (WETO) vision of a
1.5°C to regional frameworks
» West Africa Regional Energy Transition Outlook (RETO) in progress

7. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
Accelerated Partnership for Renewables in Africa (APRA)
7
• An Africa-led international alliance of governments and stakeholders
working together to accelerate the deployment of renewables to
enhance energy access, enable green industrialisation, and
improve economic and societal resilience.
• The Partnership promotes a holistic approach to energy
transitions, provides political leadership, mobilises action and
commitments from public and private entities, and coordinates
international efforts for meaningful, systemic change on the
continent.
Ethiopia Ghana
Kenya Namibia
Rwanda Sierra Leone Zimbabwe
Mobilise Finance
Mobilise
Private Sector
Technical Assistance
& Capacity-Building
Country-level Plans
Partners
Denmark Germany
UAE USA
Members
Secretariat
Purpose
Technical Partners

8. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
Thank You
8
www.irena.org
www.twitter.com/irena
www.facebook.com/irena.org
www.instagram.com/irenaimages
www.youtube.com/user/irenaorg

9. IRENA Innovation and Technology Center |
References
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EU-GTAF (2023a), "Fact Sheet - Integrated Reference Continental Demand Forecasts",
https://cmpmwanga.nepad.org/publications
EU-GTAF (2023b), "Fact Sheet: Integrated Continental Demand Forecasts-Scenario Analysis",
https://cmpmwanga.nepad.org/publications
EU-GTAF (2023c), "Fact Sheet: CMP 2020 – 2040 Baseline and Reference Case Planning Scenario
Results", https://cmpmwanga.nepad.org/publications
EU-GTAF (2023d), "Fact Sheet: CMP 2020 – 2040 Regional and Continental Planning Scenario and
Sensitivity Analysis Results", https://cmpmwanga.nepad.org/publications