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Dr Kelvin Berryman, Director Natural Hazards, GNS Science - presentation at Seismics and the City 2013
1. What lies beneath:
Making sense of the Canterbury Earthquake Sequence
Kelvin Berryman, Director, Natural Hazards Research Platform
22 Feb, 2011
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Science
GNS Platform
2. New Zealand
tectonic Raukumara
setting Peninsula
CVR/TVZ
North Island
Dextral Fault Belt
ea i
at ng
GPS strain
u
P l ura
Marlborough
k
Hi
strike-slip
Chatham Rise
Southern
Alps
Fiordland
Image from NIWA
National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Ltd
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
3. Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
4. Highfield Road,
Sept 4th 2010
Quigley et al, UoC & GNS
4.5 m dextral & < 1 m vertical
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
5. Boxing Day and
subsequent
Chances of a M6+ in 1 year = This number was widely communicated but
25% in the aftershock region what did it mean – no scenario models in
terms of impact were developed
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
6. Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
7. February and June fault slip inversions from GPS data
– can also be compared with seismology and InSar
Interpretation by Beaven et al., GNS
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
8. Reasons for very strong shaking in Christchurch
weak sedimentary rocks,
soft soils & high water table
Christchurch
volcanic rocks
greywacke bedrock
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
9. Barnes et al, 2011
Regional Hikurangi
Fault Subduction
margin
Patterns
Wellington
Christchurch
Alpine
Fault
Jongens et al, 2012
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
10. Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
11. Magnitude vs Time ( up to February 2013 )
Magnitude
generally felt
often not felt
incomplete detection
• More than 2 years of aftershocks have had major psycho-social impacts
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
12. Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
13. 6.5 Ka New Zealand Historical Atlas 1997
7 Ka
5 Ka
8 Ka 3 Ka
2 Ka
1 Ka
Why is liquefaction such an
issue in eastern Christchurch?
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science
14. Subsurface conditions in central Christchurch are now
well known and not especially difficult for rebuilding
Seismics & the City, 2013 Natural Hazards Research Platform
GNS Science