CLICK TO EDIT
MASTER TITLE
STYLE
Customer	
  Value	
  and	
  
What	
  Things	
  Are	
  Worth	
  
Rich	
  Mironov	
  
Diploma	
  in	
  Product	
  Management	
  
15	
  January	
  2014	
  
1
©	
  Rich	
  Mironov,	
  2014	
  
•  Veteran	
  product	
  manager/exec/strategist	
  
•  Business	
  models,	
  pricing,	
  agile	
  
•  Organizing	
  product	
  organizaFons	
  
•  6	
  startups,	
  including	
  as	
  CEO/founder	
  
•  “The	
  Art	
  of	
  Product	
  Management”	
  	
  
•  Founded	
  Product	
  Camp	
  
ABOUT RICH MIRONOV
In three modules today, we will:
•  Learn to quantify customer value
•  Understand how pricing models and pricing units
contribute to a business model
•  Explore how Software-as-a-Service changes pricing,
marketing and operations
LEARNING OUTCOMES
3W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M
•  Customer View of Value
•  Exercise #1: Consulting
•  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech
•  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories
•  Take-Aways
AGENDA
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 4
•  Business customers buy most products to make
money or save money
•  How do they describe value?
•  Quantify it for them
•  They won’t spend the time to analyze this fully
•  Assume you can capture a fraction of value (5% to 15%)
•  Consumer purchases typically less analytical, more
emotion/fashion-driven
START WITH THE CUSTOMER VIEW
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 5
•  Why will customers buy?
•  Tell a story in customer’s own language
•  What’s the natural unit of exchange?
•  How do they derive value? What does the
competition do?
•  Can you split off a profitable segment?
•  How much of customer value can you
capture?
•  Test, trial-close, get your hands dirty
PRICING YOUR NEW PRODUCT
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 6
•  Our super-special credit scoring application will reduce
the number of credit checks you run. 
•  You currently do {insert number} credit checks per year
at {insert price}.  We’ll reduce that by {insert percentage}
for a savings of {computed}. 
•  We will only charge you {insert price} for a net savings of
{computed} and ROI of {percent}.
A GENERIC B2B VALUE STORY
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 7
•  Hotel
•  University
•  Commercial real estate
•  Automobile manufacturing line
•  High-end retail
•  Hospital visit
•  Software development
NATURAL ECONOMIC UNITS?
•  Pricing drives customer behavior
•  What do you want core customers to do?
Ø  No-brainer renewals (small monthly fees)
Ø  Big up-front license (lock up marketplace)
Ø  Lust for upgrades (cool features are extra)
Ø  Freemium model (1% upsold into paid services)
Ø  Install latest version (free updates, increasing service fees)
Ø  High-status product (tell their friends)
SUPPORT THE BUSINESS MODEL
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 9
•  Pricing models (units of value exchange) can create
strategic advantage
•  Change basis of competition
•  Better meet needs of sub-segment
•  What does your pricing measure?
•  Per upload, per GB, per message, friend, newsletter, clickstream, virtual
garden gnome…
•  Not just “€ per copy” or “€ per month”
•  Netflix (concurrent movies), Zipcar (hourly rentals),
SalesForce (hosted per seat), Airbnb (unused sofas), Uber
(unlicensed taxis)
CREATIVITY AND STRATEGY
•  Hardware has natural costs
•  Materials, production, shipping, disposal
•  Commodities tend toward production costs
•  Software is “free” to distribute
•  First copy costs €5M
•  Infinite flexibility in tying value to use
•  What do we sell, what do we give away?
•  Charge for e-books, discount e-readers (Amazon)
•  Free social networking, sell ad demographics (Facebook)
•  Free software, paid support (open source)
•  Pay for performance (OpenTable)
HARDWARE VS. SOFTWARE
11
Pricing	
  is	
  almost	
  never	
  	
  
about	
  the	
  number.	
  	
  	
  
It’s	
  about	
  the	
  model.	
  
CUSTOMER COMMITMENTS
No commitment
High variable costs
Lower volume
Uncertain usage
Optional
Actively manage costs
CONTINUOUS MARKETING
Big commitment
Low/no variable costs
Higher volume
Predictable usage
Required (cost of business)
Low cost control effort
HARD INITIAL SELL
•  How would an evil customer rip us off?
•  Licensed software…
•  Per-Seat SaaS…
•  Hardware token…
•  Licensing versus enforcement
•  Who are the cheaters?
•  How much are we willing to spend to reduce losses?
•  Diminishing returns
•  Bad will among legitimate customers
HOW WILL PEOPLE CHEAT?
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 14
•  Customer View of Value
•  Exercise #1: Consulting
•  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech
•  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories
•  Take-Aways
AGENDA
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 15
•  Your last start-up just closed,
so you are now a consultant
•  A prospective client needs
market analysis, MRD, pricing
•  What are your pricing
objectives?
•  How to structure a project?
•  Risks for you? For client?
EXERCISE: CONSULTING SERVICES
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 16
•  Work at any price
•  Food on the table
•  Loss leader
•  Underprice first assignment, get follow-on work
•  Good reference for other clients
•  Become indispensable
•  Push for a full-time position later
•  Gain pricing experience
•  What will the market bear? OK to lose assignment
POSSIBLE OBJECTIVES
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 17
•  Per hour, no limits
•  Per project
•  Per hour with project ceiling
•  Fixed price for initial sizing (pay me to estimate)
•  Milestones (progress payments)
•  Equity (pre-IPO stock)
•  Customer sets value at end
•  Shared savings (portion of ROI)
•  Free (experience, reference, try & buy)
SOME CONSULTING PRICING MODELS
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 18
Client’s Risk Consultant’s Risk
Straight Hourly
Unlimited cost, quality,
completion
None
Fixed project price (pay on
completion)
Timely completion
Unlimited effort,
defining “done”
Fixed price milestones
Partial work not valuable,
how to inspect work?
Upfront analysis
Equity, portion of ROI May overpay later No immediate cash value
RISKS IN CONSULTING MODELS
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 19
•  Customer View of Value
•  Exercise #1: Consulting
•  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech
•  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories
•  Take-Aways
AGENDA
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 20
•  Founders: DIT physicists with local funding
•  Software plus expensive custom hardware
•  Some arbitrary product limitations
•  Can not send people
•  Under 30 kg, under 1.5m diameter
•  1000 km distance, arrival +/- 3 cm
•  High power requirement (15 kW)
•  15 second recharge time
•  Non-military, non-government
EXERCISE: TELEPORTATION
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 21
•  Break into small groups
•  Pick a target application
•  Tell a specific user story
•  How does customer define value?
•  Competing offerings?
•  Justify a pricing unit and list price (quantity one)
•  Each group presents its solution
TEAM EXERCISE
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 22
•  Customer View of Value
•  Exercise #1: Consulting
•  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech
•  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories
•  Take-Aways
AGENDA
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 23
•  “Why are we doing this program?”
•  Shortest possible description of business motivation
•  Clarity of thinking
•  Much less than a forecast for Finance
•  Short enough to remember
•  Encourages consensus with internal customers
•  Revenue software: sales team agrees with rough estimate
•  Internal users: agree with savings or incremental services revenue
•  Simplifies later prioritization of projects
“REVENUE STORIES”
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 24
•  “Product X will earn €10-15M in direct
revenue this year...”
•  And Sales has signed up to that target
•  “This feature should boost subscription
conversions 3-5%, for €15M+/year…”
•  Based on Marketing’s A/B tests
•  Estimating Tool T will let us bid projects
more accurately, boosting margins by 10%”
•  And Professional Services is funding the tool
•  “Product K supports €9B of revenue from
product L. Otherwise, we’d lose 25-40%.”
•  And L’s product manager wants
to fund my work instead of his
REVENUE STORIES
25
Incremental
Revenue = !
add’l units * !
avg price!
!
+20 seats/qtr
@ €4K/seat =
€80K/qtr!
•  “Manufacturing Process P will reduce raw materials by
€7-10M/year”
•  And Manufacturing Ops will measure it for the CFO
•  “Merging our customer databases will reduce lost
invoices by 5-10%, cut write-offs by €2-3M/year”
•  According to Accounts Receivables team
•  Faster MRI scan will boost system utilization by 4% (=
€600K/year) and reduce patient radiation exposure”
•  Appointments group has patients waiting 25 days
COST SAVINGS STORIES
26
•  Large software spend 13%-18% of revenue on R&D
•  So revenue at/above 6x development cost
•  Silicon Valley headcount math
•  $1M/year = 5 people in North America
•  $1M/year = 6 people worldwide
•  Dev, test, docs, product management,
project mgmt, release ops…
•  Dublin headcount math in €?
A FEW NUMBERS
27
•  Startup goal: repeatable way to engage customers
and generate revenue
•  Sometimes, R&D > revenue
•  Larger private tech firm: accelerate revenue
•  Move toward IPO-worthy ratios. 3:1 à 6:1
•  Internal IT for non-tech company
•  3x return on investment
•  What is your company’s target R&D return?
COMPANIES HAVE DIFFERENT GOALS
28W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M
For your own product or service…
•  Write the revenue story
•  Who has to agree with the numbers?
REVENUE STORY EXERCISE
29W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M
•  Customer View of Value
•  Exercise #1: Consulting
•  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech
•  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories
•  Take-Aways
AGENDA
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 30
•  Market pricing starts with audience’s pain
•  Pricing model aligned with pain
•  Units make sense
•  Savings >> price
•  KISS
•  Must support a business model
•  “How do we make money?”
TAKE-AWAYS
W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 31
CLICK TO EDIT
MASTER TITLE
STYLE
CONTACT
Rich Mironov, CEO
Mironov Consulting
233 Franklin St, Suite #308
San Francisco, CA 94102
RichMironov	
  
@RichMironov
Rich@Mironov.com	
  
+1-­‐650-­‐315-­‐7394	
  

Customer Value and What Things are Worth (DIT Product Mgmt)

  • 1.
    CLICK TO EDIT MASTERTITLE STYLE Customer  Value  and   What  Things  Are  Worth   Rich  Mironov   Diploma  in  Product  Management   15  January  2014   1 ©  Rich  Mironov,  2014  
  • 2.
    •  Veteran  product  manager/exec/strategist   •  Business  models,  pricing,  agile   •  Organizing  product  organizaFons   •  6  startups,  including  as  CEO/founder   •  “The  Art  of  Product  Management”     •  Founded  Product  Camp   ABOUT RICH MIRONOV
  • 3.
    In three modulestoday, we will: •  Learn to quantify customer value •  Understand how pricing models and pricing units contribute to a business model •  Explore how Software-as-a-Service changes pricing, marketing and operations LEARNING OUTCOMES 3W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M
  • 4.
    •  Customer Viewof Value •  Exercise #1: Consulting •  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech •  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories •  Take-Aways AGENDA W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 4
  • 5.
    •  Business customersbuy most products to make money or save money •  How do they describe value? •  Quantify it for them •  They won’t spend the time to analyze this fully •  Assume you can capture a fraction of value (5% to 15%) •  Consumer purchases typically less analytical, more emotion/fashion-driven START WITH THE CUSTOMER VIEW W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 5
  • 6.
    •  Why willcustomers buy? •  Tell a story in customer’s own language •  What’s the natural unit of exchange? •  How do they derive value? What does the competition do? •  Can you split off a profitable segment? •  How much of customer value can you capture? •  Test, trial-close, get your hands dirty PRICING YOUR NEW PRODUCT W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 6
  • 7.
    •  Our super-specialcredit scoring application will reduce the number of credit checks you run.  •  You currently do {insert number} credit checks per year at {insert price}.  We’ll reduce that by {insert percentage} for a savings of {computed}.  •  We will only charge you {insert price} for a net savings of {computed} and ROI of {percent}. A GENERIC B2B VALUE STORY W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 7
  • 8.
    •  Hotel •  University • Commercial real estate •  Automobile manufacturing line •  High-end retail •  Hospital visit •  Software development NATURAL ECONOMIC UNITS?
  • 9.
    •  Pricing drivescustomer behavior •  What do you want core customers to do? Ø  No-brainer renewals (small monthly fees) Ø  Big up-front license (lock up marketplace) Ø  Lust for upgrades (cool features are extra) Ø  Freemium model (1% upsold into paid services) Ø  Install latest version (free updates, increasing service fees) Ø  High-status product (tell their friends) SUPPORT THE BUSINESS MODEL W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 9
  • 10.
    •  Pricing models(units of value exchange) can create strategic advantage •  Change basis of competition •  Better meet needs of sub-segment •  What does your pricing measure? •  Per upload, per GB, per message, friend, newsletter, clickstream, virtual garden gnome… •  Not just “€ per copy” or “€ per month” •  Netflix (concurrent movies), Zipcar (hourly rentals), SalesForce (hosted per seat), Airbnb (unused sofas), Uber (unlicensed taxis) CREATIVITY AND STRATEGY
  • 11.
    •  Hardware hasnatural costs •  Materials, production, shipping, disposal •  Commodities tend toward production costs •  Software is “free” to distribute •  First copy costs €5M •  Infinite flexibility in tying value to use •  What do we sell, what do we give away? •  Charge for e-books, discount e-readers (Amazon) •  Free social networking, sell ad demographics (Facebook) •  Free software, paid support (open source) •  Pay for performance (OpenTable) HARDWARE VS. SOFTWARE 11
  • 12.
    Pricing  is  almost  never     about  the  number.       It’s  about  the  model.  
  • 13.
    CUSTOMER COMMITMENTS No commitment Highvariable costs Lower volume Uncertain usage Optional Actively manage costs CONTINUOUS MARKETING Big commitment Low/no variable costs Higher volume Predictable usage Required (cost of business) Low cost control effort HARD INITIAL SELL
  • 14.
    •  How wouldan evil customer rip us off? •  Licensed software… •  Per-Seat SaaS… •  Hardware token… •  Licensing versus enforcement •  Who are the cheaters? •  How much are we willing to spend to reduce losses? •  Diminishing returns •  Bad will among legitimate customers HOW WILL PEOPLE CHEAT? W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 14
  • 15.
    •  Customer Viewof Value •  Exercise #1: Consulting •  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech •  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories •  Take-Aways AGENDA W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 15
  • 16.
    •  Your laststart-up just closed, so you are now a consultant •  A prospective client needs market analysis, MRD, pricing •  What are your pricing objectives? •  How to structure a project? •  Risks for you? For client? EXERCISE: CONSULTING SERVICES W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 16
  • 17.
    •  Work atany price •  Food on the table •  Loss leader •  Underprice first assignment, get follow-on work •  Good reference for other clients •  Become indispensable •  Push for a full-time position later •  Gain pricing experience •  What will the market bear? OK to lose assignment POSSIBLE OBJECTIVES W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 17
  • 18.
    •  Per hour,no limits •  Per project •  Per hour with project ceiling •  Fixed price for initial sizing (pay me to estimate) •  Milestones (progress payments) •  Equity (pre-IPO stock) •  Customer sets value at end •  Shared savings (portion of ROI) •  Free (experience, reference, try & buy) SOME CONSULTING PRICING MODELS W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 18
  • 19.
    Client’s Risk Consultant’sRisk Straight Hourly Unlimited cost, quality, completion None Fixed project price (pay on completion) Timely completion Unlimited effort, defining “done” Fixed price milestones Partial work not valuable, how to inspect work? Upfront analysis Equity, portion of ROI May overpay later No immediate cash value RISKS IN CONSULTING MODELS W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 19
  • 20.
    •  Customer Viewof Value •  Exercise #1: Consulting •  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech •  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories •  Take-Aways AGENDA W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 20
  • 21.
    •  Founders: DITphysicists with local funding •  Software plus expensive custom hardware •  Some arbitrary product limitations •  Can not send people •  Under 30 kg, under 1.5m diameter •  1000 km distance, arrival +/- 3 cm •  High power requirement (15 kW) •  15 second recharge time •  Non-military, non-government EXERCISE: TELEPORTATION W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 21
  • 22.
    •  Break intosmall groups •  Pick a target application •  Tell a specific user story •  How does customer define value? •  Competing offerings? •  Justify a pricing unit and list price (quantity one) •  Each group presents its solution TEAM EXERCISE W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 22
  • 23.
    •  Customer Viewof Value •  Exercise #1: Consulting •  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech •  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories •  Take-Aways AGENDA W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 23
  • 24.
    •  “Why arewe doing this program?” •  Shortest possible description of business motivation •  Clarity of thinking •  Much less than a forecast for Finance •  Short enough to remember •  Encourages consensus with internal customers •  Revenue software: sales team agrees with rough estimate •  Internal users: agree with savings or incremental services revenue •  Simplifies later prioritization of projects “REVENUE STORIES” W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 24
  • 25.
    •  “Product Xwill earn €10-15M in direct revenue this year...” •  And Sales has signed up to that target •  “This feature should boost subscription conversions 3-5%, for €15M+/year…” •  Based on Marketing’s A/B tests •  Estimating Tool T will let us bid projects more accurately, boosting margins by 10%” •  And Professional Services is funding the tool •  “Product K supports €9B of revenue from product L. Otherwise, we’d lose 25-40%.” •  And L’s product manager wants to fund my work instead of his REVENUE STORIES 25 Incremental Revenue = ! add’l units * ! avg price! ! +20 seats/qtr @ €4K/seat = €80K/qtr!
  • 26.
    •  “Manufacturing ProcessP will reduce raw materials by €7-10M/year” •  And Manufacturing Ops will measure it for the CFO •  “Merging our customer databases will reduce lost invoices by 5-10%, cut write-offs by €2-3M/year” •  According to Accounts Receivables team •  Faster MRI scan will boost system utilization by 4% (= €600K/year) and reduce patient radiation exposure” •  Appointments group has patients waiting 25 days COST SAVINGS STORIES 26
  • 27.
    •  Large softwarespend 13%-18% of revenue on R&D •  So revenue at/above 6x development cost •  Silicon Valley headcount math •  $1M/year = 5 people in North America •  $1M/year = 6 people worldwide •  Dev, test, docs, product management, project mgmt, release ops… •  Dublin headcount math in €? A FEW NUMBERS 27
  • 28.
    •  Startup goal:repeatable way to engage customers and generate revenue •  Sometimes, R&D > revenue •  Larger private tech firm: accelerate revenue •  Move toward IPO-worthy ratios. 3:1 à 6:1 •  Internal IT for non-tech company •  3x return on investment •  What is your company’s target R&D return? COMPANIES HAVE DIFFERENT GOALS 28W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M
  • 29.
    For your ownproduct or service… •  Write the revenue story •  Who has to agree with the numbers? REVENUE STORY EXERCISE 29W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M
  • 30.
    •  Customer Viewof Value •  Exercise #1: Consulting •  Exercise #2: Top-Secret Tech •  Exercise #3: Revenue Stories •  Take-Aways AGENDA W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 30
  • 31.
    •  Market pricingstarts with audience’s pain •  Pricing model aligned with pain •  Units make sense •  Savings >> price •  KISS •  Must support a business model •  “How do we make money?” TAKE-AWAYS W W W . M I R O N O V . C O M 31
  • 32.
    CLICK TO EDIT MASTERTITLE STYLE CONTACT Rich Mironov, CEO Mironov Consulting 233 Franklin St, Suite #308 San Francisco, CA 94102 RichMironov   @RichMironov Rich@Mironov.com   +1-­‐650-­‐315-­‐7394  

Editor's Notes

  • #6 Be honest and humble. Most startups breathe their own smoke.