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FUTURE:GOOD
How will disruptive technology change
philanthropy?
Rhodri Davies
Head of Policy & Programme Director, Giving Thought
Current Disruptive Technologies
2
Artificial Intelligence
Blockchain
Cryptocurrency
Big Data
3D Printing
Virtual & Augmented Reality
(VAR)
Internet of Things
(IoT)
Autonomous Vehicles &
Drones
CRISPR/ Biotech
Wearables
Robotics
Human
Augmentation
Quantum Computing
Why should funders and CSOs care
about disruptive tech?
3
New ways of achieving
mission
1)
Change the way
organisations operate
2)
Create new problems to
address
3)
AI for Good
Blockchain for good
5
VAR for Good
7
Convergence: “Curing” Visual
Impairment?
Cryptocurrency & Blockchain
Technology
8
NB: ≠
Cryptocurrency is the best-known use case of blockchain tech
so far, but there are potentially far wider applications
A blockchain is a distributed public ledger: record of transactions
and ownership within a system, but without need for traditional
trusted 3rd party
Non-financial blockchain uses
9
Trustworthy ledgers are pretty important
What are the key feature of
blockchain tech?
10
Public
Immutable
UniversalDistributed
Secure
Inherently
digital
Civil Society Blockchain Possibilities
(part 1)
11
1) Disintermediation
• Reduced transaction
costs
• Direct cash transfers
at scale
• Increased trust?
2) Radical Transparency
• Ability to track donations
at all points
• Increased trust?
• Challenges in terms of
core costs etc
• What about justified
donor/beneficiary
anonymity?
3) All Kinds of Assets
• Any existing asset
can be recorded on
blockchain- tangible
or intangible
• Entirely new digital
assets can be
created- e.g. tokens
Civil Society Blockchain Possibilities
(part 2)
12
6) Real-time
financial info
• Immutable shared
ledger of transactions
• No need for separate
reporting regime
• No need for audit
4) Smart Contracts
• Self-executing computer
protocols that perform
defined functions when
set criteria are met
• Wide range of
applications e.g.
automated Payment by
Results, algorithmic
regulation
5) New governance models
• Distributed Autonomous
Organisations (DAOs)- networks of
individuals able to coordinate at
scale without centralisation by
using smart contracts etc.
• Challenge to traditional charitable
organisations?
Crypto-philanthropy: the opportunity
13
Proliferation of crypto, lots of
people making money:
Easy come, easy give?
Crypto-philanthropy: Challenges
14
1) Skills &
Understanding
 Low level of digital
skills in charities
 Blockchain/crypto
space full of jargon &
hype and can be
difficult to navigate
 Few successful
examples/case studies
2) Volatility &
Risk
3) Regulation
 Crypto is incredibly
volatile
 Hard to see how
holding crypto can
fit within risk
profile of most
charities
 Little clarity so far-
Some regulators
clamping down entirely,
others looking to
support innovation
 Particular challenges
around KYC/AML
Crypto-mining for charity
15
Mining: Contributing processor power to solve cryptographic problems as part
of the competitive process that maintains a blockchain based on a
proof-of-work consensus protocol e.g. Bitcoin
 Normally, miners get rewarded personally (e.g. with crypto)
 Instead, could they give reward to charity? E.g.
BUT: Growing concerns about environmental impact of crypto mining
Digital Assets
Cryptocurrencies Unique Digital Objects
Data & Transparency
“The world’s most valuable resource is no longer oil, but
data” The Economist (2017)
Radical Transparency?
Disintermediation & Decentralisation
Commercial
Platforms:
Social Good
Platforms:
Decentralised
movements:
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
20
Number of key factors in recent AI growth:
1)More powerful
algorithms
(Deep Learning)
2)Data explosion
3) Greater
processing
power (GPUs)
4)Investment
NB: Narrow/Domain
Specific AI, not Artificial
General Intelligence
(AGI)
Yes No
AI & Algorithmic Decision-Making
Social Impact
Robo-advisors
Philgorithms
Collective
Intelligence
philanthropy
Already here Still to come…?
Algorithmic Giving
22
“If you liked Cancer
Research UK, you’ll
love RNLI!”
Facebook/Amazon model: charity
recommendations based on past
preferences or peer group
behaviour
A.
Philgorithm: Wholly automated
process of matching needs and
interventions
B.
Are Philgorithms Feasible?
23
You can’t remove element of heart from charitable
giving, so this will never happen!
A) We will become accustomed to algorithmic advice in all
areas of life, so why not charity?
B) There will be contexts in which giving is only feasible
without human oversight e.g. Machine-to-Machine
(M2M) transactions
Objection:
Response?
A bit of context
24
How likely is this to take off?
25
No really, how likely?
26
The Machine-to-Machine (M2M)
economy
27
The IoT market is going to be huge, with vast numbers of M2M transactions
Q: Could we harness some of this for charity?
M2M Philanthropy?
28
M2M Philanthropy?
29
Algorithmic Bias
When machine learning algorithms are taught using data sets that contain statistical biases
for e.g. race, gender, they exhibit and strengthen those biases over time
Filter Bubbles
• Technology such as social media
allows us to build ‘filter bubbles’
around our experience
• Likely to get worse as increasing
reliance on AI-based interfaces
tailors our experience of the world
to fit existing preferences and
biases.
The Slow Death of Public Discourse?
 Rise of ‘fake news’ and targeted
propaganda/misinformation has eroded
notions of truth and fact
 Things might be about to get worse…
For
charities:
• Challenges in terms of using facts and evidence for advocacy
• Role to play in combatting erosion of truth (e.g. philanthropic
support for journalism).
The Attention Economy
“The only factor becoming scarce in a world of abundance is human attention.”
-Kevin Kelly
 Need to compete in this “attention economy” has led
to new problems:
How do charities compete for our attention without adopting techniques that
cause long-term harm?
Child Development
Current concerns:
Emerging concerns:
Future concerns?
Is this the real life, or is this just
fantasy…?
Behaviour within virtual
environments
 Most virtual environments are designed
specifically to allow people to escape
from reality
 This may include transgressive
behaviour
 But how far should we allow this to go?
Impact of virtual
environments on reality
 ‘Gamer rage’
 Neglect of physical health
 Dissociative identity
disorder
Inequality
Inequality already a massive economic problem
Key question for development of tech: does it reduce or increase
inequality?
Key Cross-Cutting Themes
37
Disintermediation Networks & Platforms
Filtered experience
Radical Transparency
Digital Assets
Algorithms Data, data, data
Urbanisation
Inequality
New models for social good
Attention Economy
Automation of work
Ageing Population
Key Questions for Civil Society about
Disruptive Technologies
38
Will it offer new ways for
existing CSOs to run more
efficiently or effectively?
Could it give rise to new kinds
of donations?
Will it make it easier or
harder to identify potential
donors?
Could it give rise to entirely
new classes of donors?
Will it offer new ways of
engaging donors and
supporters?
Could the development of
this technology itself be
seen as a charitable cause?
Could it create new ways for
existing CSOs to solve social &
environmental problems?
Could it disrupt the
existing governance
structures of CSOs?
Could it create entirely new
problems that CSOs will have to
address?
Will it reduce or increase
inequality?
Could it create new challenges
for existing beneficiaries?
Will it lead to new
organisations emerging to
compete with existing CSOs?
Where to find more
39
CAF Giving Thought think tank and Future:Good project
CAF Giving Thought Podcast
@Rhodri_H_Davies
Rhodri Davies
Head of Policy & Programme Director, Giving Thought
Charities Aid Foundation
rdavies@cafonline.org

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Disruptive tech and philanthropy- rhodri davies

  • 1. 1 FUTURE:GOOD How will disruptive technology change philanthropy? Rhodri Davies Head of Policy & Programme Director, Giving Thought
  • 2. Current Disruptive Technologies 2 Artificial Intelligence Blockchain Cryptocurrency Big Data 3D Printing Virtual & Augmented Reality (VAR) Internet of Things (IoT) Autonomous Vehicles & Drones CRISPR/ Biotech Wearables Robotics Human Augmentation Quantum Computing
  • 3. Why should funders and CSOs care about disruptive tech? 3 New ways of achieving mission 1) Change the way organisations operate 2) Create new problems to address 3)
  • 8. Cryptocurrency & Blockchain Technology 8 NB: ≠ Cryptocurrency is the best-known use case of blockchain tech so far, but there are potentially far wider applications A blockchain is a distributed public ledger: record of transactions and ownership within a system, but without need for traditional trusted 3rd party
  • 9. Non-financial blockchain uses 9 Trustworthy ledgers are pretty important
  • 10. What are the key feature of blockchain tech? 10 Public Immutable UniversalDistributed Secure Inherently digital
  • 11. Civil Society Blockchain Possibilities (part 1) 11 1) Disintermediation • Reduced transaction costs • Direct cash transfers at scale • Increased trust? 2) Radical Transparency • Ability to track donations at all points • Increased trust? • Challenges in terms of core costs etc • What about justified donor/beneficiary anonymity? 3) All Kinds of Assets • Any existing asset can be recorded on blockchain- tangible or intangible • Entirely new digital assets can be created- e.g. tokens
  • 12. Civil Society Blockchain Possibilities (part 2) 12 6) Real-time financial info • Immutable shared ledger of transactions • No need for separate reporting regime • No need for audit 4) Smart Contracts • Self-executing computer protocols that perform defined functions when set criteria are met • Wide range of applications e.g. automated Payment by Results, algorithmic regulation 5) New governance models • Distributed Autonomous Organisations (DAOs)- networks of individuals able to coordinate at scale without centralisation by using smart contracts etc. • Challenge to traditional charitable organisations?
  • 13. Crypto-philanthropy: the opportunity 13 Proliferation of crypto, lots of people making money: Easy come, easy give?
  • 14. Crypto-philanthropy: Challenges 14 1) Skills & Understanding  Low level of digital skills in charities  Blockchain/crypto space full of jargon & hype and can be difficult to navigate  Few successful examples/case studies 2) Volatility & Risk 3) Regulation  Crypto is incredibly volatile  Hard to see how holding crypto can fit within risk profile of most charities  Little clarity so far- Some regulators clamping down entirely, others looking to support innovation  Particular challenges around KYC/AML
  • 15. Crypto-mining for charity 15 Mining: Contributing processor power to solve cryptographic problems as part of the competitive process that maintains a blockchain based on a proof-of-work consensus protocol e.g. Bitcoin  Normally, miners get rewarded personally (e.g. with crypto)  Instead, could they give reward to charity? E.g. BUT: Growing concerns about environmental impact of crypto mining
  • 17. Data & Transparency “The world’s most valuable resource is no longer oil, but data” The Economist (2017)
  • 19. Disintermediation & Decentralisation Commercial Platforms: Social Good Platforms: Decentralised movements:
  • 20. Artificial Intelligence (AI) 20 Number of key factors in recent AI growth: 1)More powerful algorithms (Deep Learning) 2)Data explosion 3) Greater processing power (GPUs) 4)Investment NB: Narrow/Domain Specific AI, not Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) Yes No
  • 21. AI & Algorithmic Decision-Making Social Impact Robo-advisors Philgorithms Collective Intelligence philanthropy Already here Still to come…?
  • 22. Algorithmic Giving 22 “If you liked Cancer Research UK, you’ll love RNLI!” Facebook/Amazon model: charity recommendations based on past preferences or peer group behaviour A. Philgorithm: Wholly automated process of matching needs and interventions B.
  • 23. Are Philgorithms Feasible? 23 You can’t remove element of heart from charitable giving, so this will never happen! A) We will become accustomed to algorithmic advice in all areas of life, so why not charity? B) There will be contexts in which giving is only feasible without human oversight e.g. Machine-to-Machine (M2M) transactions Objection: Response?
  • 24. A bit of context 24
  • 25. How likely is this to take off? 25
  • 26. No really, how likely? 26
  • 27. The Machine-to-Machine (M2M) economy 27 The IoT market is going to be huge, with vast numbers of M2M transactions Q: Could we harness some of this for charity?
  • 30. Algorithmic Bias When machine learning algorithms are taught using data sets that contain statistical biases for e.g. race, gender, they exhibit and strengthen those biases over time
  • 31. Filter Bubbles • Technology such as social media allows us to build ‘filter bubbles’ around our experience • Likely to get worse as increasing reliance on AI-based interfaces tailors our experience of the world to fit existing preferences and biases.
  • 32. The Slow Death of Public Discourse?  Rise of ‘fake news’ and targeted propaganda/misinformation has eroded notions of truth and fact  Things might be about to get worse… For charities: • Challenges in terms of using facts and evidence for advocacy • Role to play in combatting erosion of truth (e.g. philanthropic support for journalism).
  • 33. The Attention Economy “The only factor becoming scarce in a world of abundance is human attention.” -Kevin Kelly  Need to compete in this “attention economy” has led to new problems: How do charities compete for our attention without adopting techniques that cause long-term harm?
  • 34. Child Development Current concerns: Emerging concerns: Future concerns?
  • 35. Is this the real life, or is this just fantasy…? Behaviour within virtual environments  Most virtual environments are designed specifically to allow people to escape from reality  This may include transgressive behaviour  But how far should we allow this to go? Impact of virtual environments on reality  ‘Gamer rage’  Neglect of physical health  Dissociative identity disorder
  • 36. Inequality Inequality already a massive economic problem Key question for development of tech: does it reduce or increase inequality?
  • 37. Key Cross-Cutting Themes 37 Disintermediation Networks & Platforms Filtered experience Radical Transparency Digital Assets Algorithms Data, data, data Urbanisation Inequality New models for social good Attention Economy Automation of work Ageing Population
  • 38. Key Questions for Civil Society about Disruptive Technologies 38 Will it offer new ways for existing CSOs to run more efficiently or effectively? Could it give rise to new kinds of donations? Will it make it easier or harder to identify potential donors? Could it give rise to entirely new classes of donors? Will it offer new ways of engaging donors and supporters? Could the development of this technology itself be seen as a charitable cause? Could it create new ways for existing CSOs to solve social & environmental problems? Could it disrupt the existing governance structures of CSOs? Could it create entirely new problems that CSOs will have to address? Will it reduce or increase inequality? Could it create new challenges for existing beneficiaries? Will it lead to new organisations emerging to compete with existing CSOs?
  • 39. Where to find more 39 CAF Giving Thought think tank and Future:Good project CAF Giving Thought Podcast @Rhodri_H_Davies
  • 40. Rhodri Davies Head of Policy & Programme Director, Giving Thought Charities Aid Foundation rdavies@cafonline.org