CHAPTER 7 – DECISION-MAKING
MEMBERS OF GROUP :
    Nurashikin bt Sharif
         08DPM10F2026
     Khursyah bt Ibrahim
         08DPM10F2064
  Nur Aidayu bt Shaharudin
         08DPM10F2044
       Juliana bt Ab Jalil
         08DPM10F2065
Definition of Decision
           Making
 Huber    (1980) - Problem solving
  process refers to a set of activities
  which     involves   exploring    and
  implementing corrective action in a
  certain condition.
 A selection made between two or
  more alternatives. A selection is
  made after analysing the available
  alternatives and this is followed with
DECISION-MAKING
            MODELS



Ratio       Boun
             ded          Emoti
 nal
Mod         Ratio         onal

  el         nal          model
            Ratio
Rational Model
Permits the minimum
 achievement of an objective
 within the limitation to which
 the decision is an objective.
 In the rational model, the
 manager addresses how best
 to achieve objectives. The
 rational model is divided into
Bounded Rational Model
Herbet Simon in the mind
 1950s      introduced    his
 pioneering research into the
decision-making        process
within business organizations.
The model emphasized the
limitations of the individual’s
rationality, where is provides
Emotional model
An    individual    does   not
think logically. The pattern
for making a decision is in
a     heuristic   format.   This
model can save time but
Authority in Decision-
        Making
Managers must   take various
 decision in order to ensure
 that the organization is
 running smoothly.
Two     factors   can     be
 determine:
Table 7.1 Advantages and Disadvantages
       of Participative Decision Making

   Advantages             Disadvantages
                       Time-consuming: waste
More problems can be  resources if used for
solved.                programmed decision or
                       strategic planning.
More knowledge, facts Decision may not
and alternative can be satisfy every
evaluated.             employee/manager.
Discussion clarifies  Groupnorms may
ambiguous problems and reduce dissent and better
reduces uncertainty    opinion.
about decision-making.
Participation fosters No clear focus for
Types of Decision
 Programmed decisions
   - made based on the set of
 policies, rules, and procedures.
   - every organization has written and
 unwritten rules that can be followed
 by manager and other employees to
 make decision.
   - this approach is useful for lower-
 level managers in solving problems.
 Non-programmed decisions

>>>non-programmed decisions
 are used to solve unique or
 extraordinary problems.
>>>used by top-line managers
 to   solve   complicated    and
Conditions of Decision-
          Making
There are three different
   Certainty :
making decision
   conditions
   Risky
   conditions
     Uncertainty
     conditions
1. Certainty conditions
Will usually thinks of a problem based on
the level of certainty and risk.
Manager will be able to predict what will
happen in the future.
They also have an adequate and complete
knowledge about the matter. This enables
them to list the outcomes of implementing
the available alternatives.
 Assuming that all the information
obtained is complete and reliable.
 Based list of outcomes, manager will
2. Risky conditions
Whereby managers would only be
 able to roughly predict the outcome
 of implementing the alternative due
 to    limited     knowledge     and
 information.
Determined     through     objective
 probability whereby a mathematical
 model is used, or through subjective
 probability which is based on the
 managers        experience      and
3. Uncertainty conditions
 Refer   to   conditions    whereby
  decision-makers are unsure or
  unable to predict the outcome of an
  action.
 As manager, do not have any
  information on the outcome of
  implementing an alternative.
 As manager do not have adequate
  information they must make their
  own judgement based on past
Goals and Decision Making
 Goals called objectives, purposes, deadlines or
  targets.
 Goals or objective are basically result that are
  achieved. They indicate the direction in which
  decisions and actions should be aimed.
 Decision making under risk and certainty in an
  organization directly complies with objectives or
  goals in 2 ways
   (a) The decision-making process is triggered by a
       search for a better way to achieve objective
   (b) The decision-making process is triggered by an
       effort to discover new plans, revise current
       plans, or cancel current plans.
Decision-Making Skills
1) Various problem in organization
   must be solved promptly by the
   management.
2) The ability to select the best
   alternative require manager
   who have decision making.
3) In a decision making process
   involving the opportunity to do
4)Manager need to depend on
  their past experience to
  make decision.
5)It     depends    on     the
  willingness to  accept   risk
 and uncertainties.
Quantitative decision
 Refer to decision that made
   based on a set data values that
   obtained and processed using
   several mathematical method to
   predict future value.
 Widely used due:
I. Produce accurate decision and
   is accepted as a tool to facilitate
   the planning process
Statistics have been used
because it is an area that is
closely related to research.
In    general,    it  is    a
mathematical     techniques
to
Qualitative decision
 Made based on the opinion and
  knowledge of experts when
  comprehensive past data cannot
  be obtained by decision maker.
 Steps that need to be taken by
  the manager:
a) Prioritize the problem
b) Obtain the relevant information
The Decision-Making
        Process
 Outcomes is the selection made
 from    a       list   of   available
 alternatives.

 The decision-making process that
 managers follow will influence
 the quality of decisions made.
7 Steps of Rational Decision-Making
              Process
   Identify the problem
     Form alternatives
  Analyse the alternatives
      Select the best
        alternatives
   Implement a decision
   Evaluate the decision
   Take follow-up action
Decision-Making
  Techniques
Group Decision Making

Many decision have a
importance    effect   on
activities  and     human
resources organization by
group or team in that
Advantages
 Able to collect more
information

 Able to form many effective
alternatives

 High acceptance level
Disadvantages
   Takes a longer time

 Minority domination


 Pressure to follow a decision


 Unclear responsibilities
Ways to improve group
  decision-making
Brainstorming
 A process of generating
 information that encourages
 the collection of alternatives
 without criticism.
 A process whereby every
 member provide his ideas and
 the best ideas will be selected
Nominal Group Technique
   limits   discussions  held
    during the decision-making
    process.

 all members are involved
    in  the    decision-making
    process.
Step :
         1) meeting

 2) present

          3) record

4) discussion
Delphi Technique
a group decision-making


technique that is more
complex and takes time.

 doesnot allow team
members to meet face to
face.
Step :
i.   identify the problem.
ii. members are instructed to provide
    solutions through a series of
    specifically               designed
    questionnaires.
iii. every members completes the
    questionnaires in private.
iv. the      results    of   the    first
    questionnaire are compiled in one
    location and duplicated.
Electronic Meeting
the latest approach in group
 decision-making.

 covers the nominal group
 technique and the usage of a
 sophisticated computerr
 technology.
Step:
i. Computers are installed in
   the meeting room.
ii. 50 members will have a
    meeting through the
    computer network.
iii.Issues will be given to
    participants
Thank you… ^^,

Decision-making

  • 1.
    CHAPTER 7 –DECISION-MAKING
  • 2.
    MEMBERS OF GROUP:  Nurashikin bt Sharif 08DPM10F2026  Khursyah bt Ibrahim 08DPM10F2064  Nur Aidayu bt Shaharudin 08DPM10F2044  Juliana bt Ab Jalil 08DPM10F2065
  • 3.
    Definition of Decision Making  Huber (1980) - Problem solving process refers to a set of activities which involves exploring and implementing corrective action in a certain condition.  A selection made between two or more alternatives. A selection is made after analysing the available alternatives and this is followed with
  • 4.
    DECISION-MAKING MODELS Ratio Boun ded Emoti nal Mod Ratio onal el nal model Ratio
  • 5.
    Rational Model Permits theminimum achievement of an objective within the limitation to which the decision is an objective. In the rational model, the manager addresses how best to achieve objectives. The rational model is divided into
  • 6.
    Bounded Rational Model HerbetSimon in the mind 1950s introduced his pioneering research into the decision-making process within business organizations. The model emphasized the limitations of the individual’s rationality, where is provides
  • 7.
    Emotional model An individual does not think logically. The pattern for making a decision is in a heuristic format. This model can save time but
  • 8.
    Authority in Decision- Making Managers must take various decision in order to ensure that the organization is running smoothly. Two factors can be determine:
  • 9.
    Table 7.1 Advantagesand Disadvantages of Participative Decision Making Advantages Disadvantages Time-consuming: waste More problems can be resources if used for solved. programmed decision or strategic planning. More knowledge, facts Decision may not and alternative can be satisfy every evaluated. employee/manager. Discussion clarifies Groupnorms may ambiguous problems and reduce dissent and better reduces uncertainty opinion. about decision-making. Participation fosters No clear focus for
  • 10.
    Types of Decision Programmed decisions - made based on the set of policies, rules, and procedures. - every organization has written and unwritten rules that can be followed by manager and other employees to make decision. - this approach is useful for lower- level managers in solving problems.
  • 11.
     Non-programmed decisions >>>non-programmeddecisions are used to solve unique or extraordinary problems. >>>used by top-line managers to solve complicated and
  • 12.
    Conditions of Decision- Making There are three different Certainty : making decision conditions Risky conditions Uncertainty conditions
  • 13.
    1. Certainty conditions Willusually thinks of a problem based on the level of certainty and risk. Manager will be able to predict what will happen in the future. They also have an adequate and complete knowledge about the matter. This enables them to list the outcomes of implementing the available alternatives.  Assuming that all the information obtained is complete and reliable.  Based list of outcomes, manager will
  • 14.
    2. Risky conditions Wherebymanagers would only be able to roughly predict the outcome of implementing the alternative due to limited knowledge and information. Determined through objective probability whereby a mathematical model is used, or through subjective probability which is based on the managers experience and
  • 15.
    3. Uncertainty conditions Refer to conditions whereby decision-makers are unsure or unable to predict the outcome of an action.  As manager, do not have any information on the outcome of implementing an alternative.  As manager do not have adequate information they must make their own judgement based on past
  • 16.
    Goals and DecisionMaking  Goals called objectives, purposes, deadlines or targets.  Goals or objective are basically result that are achieved. They indicate the direction in which decisions and actions should be aimed.  Decision making under risk and certainty in an organization directly complies with objectives or goals in 2 ways (a) The decision-making process is triggered by a search for a better way to achieve objective (b) The decision-making process is triggered by an effort to discover new plans, revise current plans, or cancel current plans.
  • 17.
    Decision-Making Skills 1) Variousproblem in organization must be solved promptly by the management. 2) The ability to select the best alternative require manager who have decision making. 3) In a decision making process involving the opportunity to do
  • 18.
    4)Manager need todepend on their past experience to make decision. 5)It depends on the willingness to accept risk and uncertainties.
  • 19.
    Quantitative decision  Referto decision that made based on a set data values that obtained and processed using several mathematical method to predict future value.  Widely used due: I. Produce accurate decision and is accepted as a tool to facilitate the planning process
  • 20.
    Statistics have beenused because it is an area that is closely related to research. In general, it is a mathematical techniques to
  • 21.
    Qualitative decision  Madebased on the opinion and knowledge of experts when comprehensive past data cannot be obtained by decision maker.  Steps that need to be taken by the manager: a) Prioritize the problem b) Obtain the relevant information
  • 22.
    The Decision-Making Process  Outcomes is the selection made from a list of available alternatives.  The decision-making process that managers follow will influence the quality of decisions made.
  • 23.
    7 Steps ofRational Decision-Making Process Identify the problem Form alternatives Analyse the alternatives Select the best alternatives Implement a decision Evaluate the decision Take follow-up action
  • 24.
  • 25.
    Group Decision Making Manydecision have a importance effect on activities and human resources organization by group or team in that
  • 26.
    Advantages  Able tocollect more information  Able to form many effective alternatives  High acceptance level
  • 27.
    Disadvantages  Takes a longer time  Minority domination  Pressure to follow a decision  Unclear responsibilities
  • 28.
    Ways to improvegroup decision-making
  • 29.
    Brainstorming  A processof generating information that encourages the collection of alternatives without criticism.  A process whereby every member provide his ideas and the best ideas will be selected
  • 30.
    Nominal Group Technique  limits discussions held during the decision-making process.  all members are involved in the decision-making process.
  • 31.
    Step : 1) meeting 2) present 3) record 4) discussion
  • 32.
    Delphi Technique a groupdecision-making  technique that is more complex and takes time.  doesnot allow team members to meet face to face.
  • 33.
    Step : i. identify the problem. ii. members are instructed to provide solutions through a series of specifically designed questionnaires. iii. every members completes the questionnaires in private. iv. the results of the first questionnaire are compiled in one location and duplicated.
  • 34.
    Electronic Meeting the latestapproach in group decision-making.  covers the nominal group technique and the usage of a sophisticated computerr technology.
  • 35.
    Step: i. Computers areinstalled in the meeting room. ii. 50 members will have a meeting through the computer network. iii.Issues will be given to participants
  • 36.