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DATA
JOURNALISM
Dr. Bahareh Heravi
@Bahareh360
Week 11

Newsroom Statistics
What we have learned so far
What Data Journalism is about
Finding Data
Data collection
Data scraping
Data mashing and summarisation
Data cleaning
Data aanalysis
Data visualisation with graphs, charts and infographics
Data visualisation with maps
FOI
Social Media as a source
 
	
  
NEWSROOM	
  STATISTICS	
  
We have learned before
Simple newsroom math
sum, average, median
Rate
Percent change
 
	
  
ANALYSING	
  RELATIONSHIPS	
  
Correlation analysis
Correlation concerns the strength of
relationship between values of two variables.

Are height and weight correlated?
Are engine size and max speed in cars
correlated?
Correlation
Perfect	
  nega+ve	
   Perfect	
  posi+ve	
  
No	
  correla+on	
  
-­‐1	
  
0	
  
strong	
  
strong	
  
weak	
  weak	
  
-­‐0.5	
   0.5	
  
1	
  
Source:	
  Sta+s+cs	
  without	
  tears,	
  Derek	
  Rowntree	
  
-­‐1	
  -­‐0.8	
  -­‐0.3	
  
0.3	
  
0	
  
0.8	
   1	
  
Student	
   Theory	
   Prac=cal	
  
A	
   59	
   70	
  
B	
   63	
   69	
  
C	
   64	
   76	
  
D	
   70	
   79	
  
E	
   76	
   74	
  
F	
   78	
   80	
  
G	
   82	
   77	
  
H	
   79	
   86	
  
I	
   86	
   84	
  
J	
   92	
   90	
  
50	
  
55	
  
60	
  
65	
  
70	
  
75	
  
80	
  
85	
  
90	
  
95	
  
50	
   55	
   60	
   65	
   70	
   75	
   80	
   85	
   90	
   95	
  
Theory	
  
Prac=cal	
  
50	
  
55	
  
60	
  
65	
  
70	
  
75	
  
80	
  
85	
  
90	
  
95	
  
50	
   55	
   60	
   65	
   70	
   75	
   80	
   85	
   90	
   95	
  
Theory	
  
Prac=cal	
  
Student	
   Theory	
   Prac=cal	
  
G	
   82	
   77	
  
H	
   79	
   86	
  
I	
   86	
   84	
  
76	
  
77	
  
78	
  
79	
  
80	
  
81	
  
82	
  
83	
  
84	
  
85	
  
86	
  
87	
  
78	
   79	
   80	
   81	
   82	
   83	
   84	
   85	
   86	
   87	
  
Theory	
  
Prac=cal	
  
76	
  
77	
  
78	
  
79	
  
80	
  
81	
  
82	
  
83	
  
84	
  
85	
  
86	
  
87	
  
78	
   79	
   80	
   81	
   82	
   83	
   84	
   85	
   86	
   87	
  
Theory	
  
Prac=cal	
  
?!
 
	
  
SIGNIFICANCE	
  TEST	
  
Significance test
Significance test is to determine whether an
observed relationship is real, or is it just one
that we would anyway expect to see quite often
by chance?
We start out assuming that there is no real
relationship between the two variables: null
hypothesis.
p value
p value: the probability that your relationship has
happened by chance.The smaller the p value the more
significant the relationship.
p value is calculated probability of an observed difference
occurring by chance when really no difference/
relationship actually exists (null hypothesis).
If p value was small enough(?*), we can reject the null
hypothesis.
p value cut offs
p  0.05 or 0.05 level significant*
p  0.01 or 0.01 level highly significant**
WARNING
?
Correlation = Causation
Other statistical analysis tools
R
PSPP
Excel solver
Hands-on
Correlation analysis and
significant test for:
Penalty points in counties in
Ireland and rate of road fatalities.
Use SPSS or PSPP
Go back to your penalty points and road fatalities
story/data.
You have now completed all the data
analysis and visualisation needed for our
penalty points story.

Well done!
Resources:	
  
	
  
Sta+s+cs	
  without	
  tears:	
  A	
  primer	
  for	
  
non-­‐mathema+cians,	
  	
  
Derek	
  Rowntree,	
  	
  
first	
  published	
  1981	
  
	
  
Sta+s+cs	
  done	
  wrong,	
  Alex	
  Reinhart,	
  2015	
  
hNp://www.sta+s+csdonewrong.com/	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
 
Ques=ons?	
  
	
  
Bahareh	
  R.	
  Heravi	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
@Bahareh360	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

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Analyzing Correlations and Relationships in Newsroom Statistics

  • 2. What we have learned so far What Data Journalism is about Finding Data Data collection Data scraping Data mashing and summarisation Data cleaning Data aanalysis Data visualisation with graphs, charts and infographics Data visualisation with maps FOI Social Media as a source
  • 4. We have learned before Simple newsroom math sum, average, median Rate Percent change
  • 6. Correlation analysis Correlation concerns the strength of relationship between values of two variables. Are height and weight correlated? Are engine size and max speed in cars correlated?
  • 8.
  • 9. Perfect  nega+ve   Perfect  posi+ve   No  correla+on   -­‐1   0   strong   strong   weak  weak   -­‐0.5   0.5   1   Source:  Sta+s+cs  without  tears,  Derek  Rowntree  
  • 10. -­‐1  -­‐0.8  -­‐0.3   0.3   0   0.8   1  
  • 11. Student   Theory   Prac=cal   A   59   70   B   63   69   C   64   76   D   70   79   E   76   74   F   78   80   G   82   77   H   79   86   I   86   84   J   92   90  
  • 12. 50   55   60   65   70   75   80   85   90   95   50   55   60   65   70   75   80   85   90   95   Theory   Prac=cal   50   55   60   65   70   75   80   85   90   95   50   55   60   65   70   75   80   85   90   95   Theory   Prac=cal  
  • 13. Student   Theory   Prac=cal   G   82   77   H   79   86   I   86   84   76   77   78   79   80   81   82   83   84   85   86   87   78   79   80   81   82   83   84   85   86   87   Theory   Prac=cal   76   77   78   79   80   81   82   83   84   85   86   87   78   79   80   81   82   83   84   85   86   87   Theory   Prac=cal   ?!
  • 15. Significance test Significance test is to determine whether an observed relationship is real, or is it just one that we would anyway expect to see quite often by chance? We start out assuming that there is no real relationship between the two variables: null hypothesis.
  • 16. p value p value: the probability that your relationship has happened by chance.The smaller the p value the more significant the relationship. p value is calculated probability of an observed difference occurring by chance when really no difference/ relationship actually exists (null hypothesis). If p value was small enough(?*), we can reject the null hypothesis.
  • 17. p value cut offs p 0.05 or 0.05 level significant* p 0.01 or 0.01 level highly significant**
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  • 21. Other statistical analysis tools R PSPP Excel solver
  • 22. Hands-on Correlation analysis and significant test for: Penalty points in counties in Ireland and rate of road fatalities. Use SPSS or PSPP Go back to your penalty points and road fatalities story/data.
  • 23. You have now completed all the data analysis and visualisation needed for our penalty points story. Well done!
  • 24. Resources:     Sta+s+cs  without  tears:  A  primer  for   non-­‐mathema+cians,     Derek  Rowntree,     first  published  1981     Sta+s+cs  done  wrong,  Alex  Reinhart,  2015   hNp://www.sta+s+csdonewrong.com/        
  • 25.   Ques=ons?     Bahareh  R.  Heravi         @Bahareh360