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Title: A cohort study to evaluate the effect of combination Vitamin D, Magnesium and Vitamin B12 (DMB)
on progression to severe outcome in older COVID-19 patients.
Authors: Chuen Wen Tan1,3*, Liam Pock Ho1,2,3*, Shirin Kalimuddin4,5, Benjamin Pei Zhi Cherng4, Yii Ean
Teh4, Siew Yee Thien4, Hei Man Wong4, Paul Jie Wen Tern4, Manju Chandran6, Jason Wai Mun Chay2,3,
Jenny Guek Hong Low4,5. Heng Joo Ng1.
*both authors contributed equally.
1 Department of Hematology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore
2 Department of Clinical Pathology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore
3 Department of Pathology, Sengkang General Hospital, Singapore
4 Department of Infectious Diseases, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore
5 Programme in Emerging Infectious Diseases, Duke-NUS Medical School
6 Department of Endocrinology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore
Corresponding author
A/Prof Heng Joo Ng
Address; Department of Hematology, Level 3, Academia, 20 College Road, Singapore 169856.
Email: ng.heng.joo@singhealth.com.sg
Key words
Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, COVID-19
Abstract
Objective: To determine the clinical outcomes of older COVID-19 patients who received DMB compared to
those who did not. We hypothesized that fewer patients administered DMB would require oxygen therapy
and/or intensive care support than those who did not.
Methodology: Cohort observational study of all consecutive hospitalized COVID-19 patients aged 50 and
above in a tertiary academic hospital who received DMB compared to a recent cohort who did not. Patients
were administered oral vitamin D3 1000 IU OD, magnesium 150mg OD and vitamin B12 500mcg OD (DMB)
upon admission if they did not require oxygen therapy. Primary outcome was deterioration post-DMB
administration leading to any form of oxygen therapy and/or intensive care support.
Results: Between 15 January and 15 April 2020, 43 consecutive COVID-19 patients aged ≥50 were
identified. 17 patients received DMB and 26 patients did not. Baseline demographic characteristics between
the two groups were similar. Significantly fewer DMB patients than controls required initiation of oxygen
therapy subsequently throughout their hospitalization (17.6% vs 61.5%, P=0.006). DMB exposure was
associated with odds ratios of 0.13 (95% CI: 0.03 – 0.59) and 0.15 (95% CI: 0.03 – 0.93) for oxygen therapy
need and/or intensive care support on univariate and multivariate analyses respectively.
Conclusions:
DMB combination in older COVID-19 patients was associated with a significant reduction in proportion of
patients with clinical deterioration requiring oxygen support and/or intensive care support. This study
supports further larger randomized control trials to ascertain the full benefit of DMB in ameliorating COVID-
19 severity.
Introduction
The COVID-19 pandemic which began in late 2019 has raged across the globe with more than four million
infections and 300,000 deaths recorded to date. A broad theme of immune hyper-inflammation has
emerged as a key determinant of patient outcome with uncontrolled immune response postulated as a
pathophysiologic factor in disease severity.1 Intuitively, immunomodulation becomes an attractive potential
treatment strategy. Besides lung involvement, gastrointestinal symptoms are frequent and carry a worse
prognosis.2 COVID-19 is therefore a multi-organ phenomenon and it is becoming evident that appropriate
systemic inflammatory control is necessary for overall survival benefit. Patient factors such as age>50,
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
hypertension, diabetes and coronary artery disease, are also known associations with increased severity
and death.3,4
Much of the current therapeutic effort is targeted at viral elimination instead of pre-emptively modulating
hyper-inflammation. A number of immunomodulatory agents may serve the latter role. Vitamin D for
instance, has a protective effect against respiratory tract infection,5 while magnesium enhances Vitamin D
function besides being a vasodilator and bronchodilator.6 Lastly, vitamin B12 is an important modulator of
gut microbiota.7 Importantly, these compounds are generally safe and well-tolerated by patients. A short
course of these three supplements (DMB) upon diagnosis of COVID-19 could potentially exert synergistic
effects to modulate host immune response, ameliorate COVID-19 severity and reduce adverse outcomes.
This study was conducted to evaluate the potential efficacy of DMB on progression of COVID-19 to severe
disease.
Methods
Study Design
This study was approved by our institutional ethics committee with waiver of consent granted (Ref
No:2020/2344). We included all consecutive COVID-19 positive patients aged 50 years and above admitted
to Singapore General Hospital, a tertiary academic hospital, between 15 January and 15 April 2020.
Diagnosis required a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR from nasopharyngeal or throat swab. Primary outcome
was defined as the requirement of any form of oxygen therapy, and/or intensive care unit (ICU) support. As
the COVID-19 situation evolved, we decided from 6 April 2020, to start DMB on all COVID-19 patients
above 50 years old upon hospitalization and before the onset of the primary outcome event. Patients
admitted during this period who did not receive DMB before event onset were served as control. Therapy
comprised a single daily oral dose of vitamin D3 1000 IU, magnesium 150mg and vitamin B12 500mcg for
up to 14 days. DMB could be stopped if a patient subsequently deteriorated or deemed to have recovered
based on symptom resolution and 2 consecutive negative SARS CoV-2 RT-PCR respiratory samples.
Data collection
Clinical and laboratory data were collected from electronic health records in a standardized form with two
investigators independently reviewing the data for accuracy.
Statistical Analysis
Continuous variables were expressed as mean/standard deviation (SD) if normal distribution, or median
(interquartile range) if not of normal distribution, and categorical data was expressed as number counts and
percentages as appropriate, without imputation for missing data. Binary logistic regression was performed
to evaluate the primary outcome. Statistical software SPSS version 25 (IBM, USA) was used for analysis.
Results
43 consecutive patients were identified with 17 patients in the DMB arm and 26 patients in the control arm.
Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were not significantly different between the two groups.
In the treatment arm, most patients received DMB within the first day of hospitalization with a median
duration of therapy of 5 days (interquartile range of 4 to 7 days). (Table 1)
Significantly fewer patients receiving DMB required subsequent oxygen therapy compared to controls (3/17
vs 16/26, P=0.006) (Table 1 & Figure 1). All patients who needed supplemental oxygen therapy in the
control group also required further ICU support. Of the three patients who required oxygen therapy in the
DMB group, two patients were started on oxygen therapy within 24 hours from the initiation of DMB. The
third patient required supplemental oxygen therapy after 3 days of DMB but did not require ICU support.
Among 9 patients given DMB within the first week of onset of symptoms, only one patient required oxygen
therapy. This patient was one of the two cases which deteriorated within 24 hours of DMB initiation.
On univariate analysis, increasing age and presence of comorbidities were associated with significantly
higher odds ratio for oxygen therapy, while exposure to DMB therapy was associated with a significantly
improved odds ratio. Multivariate analysis showed that treatment with DMB remained a significant protective
factor against clinical deterioration (0.152, 95% confidence intervals: 0.025 - 0.930, P=0.041) after adjusting
for age, gender and comorbidities (Table 2).
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
Of note, there were no side effects or adverse events directly attributable to DMB.
Discussion
COVID-19 is now understood to be potentially life-threatening in up to 20 percent of patients. As the world
awaits an effective vaccine, the effectiveness of various antivirals are largely muted by lack of survival
benefit. Targeted therapies against cytokines and anti-thrombotic agents may only address the terminal
events in severe cases with limited benefits. At the point of giving DMB to our older patients, it became
obvious that pre-emptive down-regulation of hyper-inflammation with relatively safe agents was an
attractive alternate strategy. This combination was chosen based on substantial, albeit indirect evidence of
their role in tempering the inflammatory response to viral infections. Vitamin D, through its effect on NFkB
and other pathways, can attenuate various proinflammatory cytokines8 mediating the uncontrolled cytokine
storm seen in severe COVID-19 with deficiency associated with severe COVID-19.9 Magnesium is critical
in the synthesis and activation of vitamin D, acting as a cofactor in many of the enzymes involved in vitamin
D metabolism.10 Vitamin B12 is essential in supporting a healthy gut microbiome7 which has an important
role in the development and function of both innate and adaptive immune systems.11 This could be pivotal
in preventing excessive immune reaction12 especially in COVID-19 patients with microbiota dysbiosis which
were associated with severe disease.13
Our results provide early positive evidence of an immune-modulatory approach to ameliorating severe
outcome in COVID-19. DMB treated patients were significantly less likely to require oxygen therapy
compared to controls. Among three DMB treated patients with clinical deterioration, two likely deteriorated
within 24 hours from their underlying infection but were included on an intention-to-treat analysis. Had they
been excluded on the basis of inadequate time of DMB exposure, the demonstrated benefits would have
been more profound. The last case who deteriorated was started on DMB after 7 days from onset of
symptoms. To benefit from its pre-emptive effects, patients may need to be started earlier in the infection
course. The ease of administration of DMB would also allow for early initiation in primary care setting at
first onset of symptoms, or as prophylaxis among high risk contacts during outbreaks in identified clusters.
As all agents in this combination are readily available, safe and inexpensive, DMB can benefit a large swath
of the world population especially in economically-challenged countries with limited or late access to
vaccines and other therapies. DMB may also exhibit a generic efficacy against other viral infections with
similar pathological mechanism.
This study was conducted under difficult dynamic circumstances and is thus limited by the small sample
size, and the lack of systematic biologic measures to support its findings. It is however a proof-of-principle
effort with very promising results. Our findings would need to be further validated in a well-designed
randomized study.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
References
1. Miriam M and Jerome CM. Pathological inflammation in patients with COVID-19: a key role for
monocytes and macrophages. Nat Rev Immunol 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41577-020-0331-4.
2. Lei P, Mi M, Hong GR, et al. Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 patients with digestive symptoms in
Hubei, China: a descriptive, cross-sectional, multicenter study. Am J Gastroenterology 2020; 115: 766-
773.
3. Fei Z, Ting Y, Ronghui D, et al. Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with
COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study. Lancet 2020; 395: 1054-62.
4. Robert V, Lucy CO, Ilaria D, et al. Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-
based analysis. Lancet 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30243-7
5. Adrian RM, David AJ, Richard JH, et al. Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory tract
infections: systemic review and meta-analysis of individual participant data. BMJ 2017; 356:i6583
6. Qi D, Xiangzhu Z, JoAnn EM, et al. Magnesium status and supplementation influence vitamin D status
and metabolism: results from a randomized trial. Am J Clin Nutr 2018; 108: 1258-1269.
7. Patrick HD, Michiko ET and Andrew LG. Vitamin B12 as a modulator of gut microbial ecology. Cell
Metabolism 2014; 20:769-778.
8. Sharifi A, Vahedi H, Nedjat S, et al. Effect of single dose injection of vitamin D on immune cytokines in
ulcerative colitis patients: a randomized placebo-controlled trial. APMIS 2019; 127: 681-687
9. Frank HL, Rinku M, Radbeh T, et al. Vitamin D insufficiency is prevalent in severe COVID-19.
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.24.20075838.
10. Uwitonze AM and Razzaque MS. Role of Magnesium in Vitamin D Activation and Function. J Am
Osteopath Assoc 2018; 118: 181-189.
11. Negi S, Das DK, Pahari S, et al. Potential role of gut microbiota in induction and regulation of innate
immune memory. Front. Immunol 2019; 1-12, 10.3389/fimmu.2019.02441
12. Debojyoti D and Abhishek M. Gut microbiota and Covid-19 – possible link and implications. Virus Res
2020; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.virusres.2020.198018.
13. Tao Z, Fen Z, Grace Lui CY, et al. Alterations in Gut Microbiota of patients with COVID-19 during time
of hospitalization. Gastroenterology 2020; https://doi.org/10.1053/j.gastro.2020.05.048.
Author contributions
CWT, LPH, SK, JGL and HJN co-wrote the manuscript. CWT, LPH, JWMC, MC, SK, JGL and HJN were
involved in the design of the study. BPZC, YET, SYT, HMW, PJWT, JGL and SK conducted the pilot study.
LPH formulated the supplement combination. All authors have read and agreed with the manuscript.
Conflict of Interest
All authors have nothing to declare.
Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful for the continued support from Singhealth and Singapore General Hospital. We
are also grateful to all doctors and nurses who cared for the patients in the isolation wards, SGH.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
Figures and Tables
DMB (N = 17) Control (N = 26) P-value
Baseline characteristics
Age, years, mean (SD) 58.4 (7.0) 64.1 (7.9) 0.819
Male, n (%) 11 (64.7) 15 (57.7) 0.755
Main comorbidities, n (%) 7 (41.2) 19 (73.1) 0.057
Diabetes mellitus 0 (0.0) 6 (23.1) 0.066
Hypertension 6 (35.3) 18 (69.2) 0.058
Hyperlipidemia 5 (29.4) 15 (57.7) 0.118
Cardiovascular Disease 1 (5.9) 7 (26.9) 0.119
Clinical features
Normal CXR on admission, n (%) 7 (41.2) 7 (26.9) 0.507
Time from onset of symptoms to admission,
days, median (IQR)
7 (1-9) 5 (3-8) 0.455
Time from onset of symptom to initiation of
therapy, days, median (IQR)
7 (4-10)
Time from admission to initiation of therapy,
days, median (IQR)
1 (0-1)
Duration of therapy, days, median (IQR) 5 (4-7)
Outcome
Requiring any form of oxygen therapy
(including ICU support), n (%)
- Requiring oxygen therapy (but not ICU
support), n (%)
- Requiring ICU support, n (%)
3 (17.6)
2 (11.8)
1 (5.9)
16 (61.5)
8 (30.8)
8 (30.8)
0.006
Table 1: Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics and outcomes of the patients given DMB
therapy and control patients.
DMB = Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, SD = Standard Deviation, IQR = Interquartile Range, CXR =
chest x-ray, ICU = intensive care unit.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
Figure 1 : Treatment outcomes in terms of requirement of oxygen therapy of patients who received
DMB and control patients.
DMB = Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, CI = Confidence intervals, O2 = oxygen.
Unadjusted Univariate Analysis Adjusted Multivariate Analysis
Variables OR for
requiring
O2 therapy
95% CI P-
value
OR for
requiring
O2 therapy
95% CI P-
value
Age 1.150 1.035 – 1.278 0.009 1.142 1.003 – 1.301 0.045
Gender, Male 2.800 0.120 – 2.800 0.120 5.335 0.820 – 34.710 0.080
Presence of main
comorbidities
4.432 1.133 – 17.341 0.032 1.001 0.144 – 6.971 0.999
Intervention with
DMB therapy
0.134 0.031 – 0.586 0.008 0.152 0.025 – 0.930 0.041
Table 2 : Univariate and multivariate analyses of odds ratio in developing primary outcome requiring
oxygen therapy for Clinical variables and DMB therapy.
DMB = Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, CI = confidence intervals, OR=Odds Ratio, O2=oxygen.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint

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D, magnesium and b12

  • 1. Title: A cohort study to evaluate the effect of combination Vitamin D, Magnesium and Vitamin B12 (DMB) on progression to severe outcome in older COVID-19 patients. Authors: Chuen Wen Tan1,3*, Liam Pock Ho1,2,3*, Shirin Kalimuddin4,5, Benjamin Pei Zhi Cherng4, Yii Ean Teh4, Siew Yee Thien4, Hei Man Wong4, Paul Jie Wen Tern4, Manju Chandran6, Jason Wai Mun Chay2,3, Jenny Guek Hong Low4,5. Heng Joo Ng1. *both authors contributed equally. 1 Department of Hematology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore 2 Department of Clinical Pathology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore 3 Department of Pathology, Sengkang General Hospital, Singapore 4 Department of Infectious Diseases, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore 5 Programme in Emerging Infectious Diseases, Duke-NUS Medical School 6 Department of Endocrinology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore Corresponding author A/Prof Heng Joo Ng Address; Department of Hematology, Level 3, Academia, 20 College Road, Singapore 169856. Email: ng.heng.joo@singhealth.com.sg Key words Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, COVID-19 Abstract Objective: To determine the clinical outcomes of older COVID-19 patients who received DMB compared to those who did not. We hypothesized that fewer patients administered DMB would require oxygen therapy and/or intensive care support than those who did not. Methodology: Cohort observational study of all consecutive hospitalized COVID-19 patients aged 50 and above in a tertiary academic hospital who received DMB compared to a recent cohort who did not. Patients were administered oral vitamin D3 1000 IU OD, magnesium 150mg OD and vitamin B12 500mcg OD (DMB) upon admission if they did not require oxygen therapy. Primary outcome was deterioration post-DMB administration leading to any form of oxygen therapy and/or intensive care support. Results: Between 15 January and 15 April 2020, 43 consecutive COVID-19 patients aged ≥50 were identified. 17 patients received DMB and 26 patients did not. Baseline demographic characteristics between the two groups were similar. Significantly fewer DMB patients than controls required initiation of oxygen therapy subsequently throughout their hospitalization (17.6% vs 61.5%, P=0.006). DMB exposure was associated with odds ratios of 0.13 (95% CI: 0.03 – 0.59) and 0.15 (95% CI: 0.03 – 0.93) for oxygen therapy need and/or intensive care support on univariate and multivariate analyses respectively. Conclusions: DMB combination in older COVID-19 patients was associated with a significant reduction in proportion of patients with clinical deterioration requiring oxygen support and/or intensive care support. This study supports further larger randomized control trials to ascertain the full benefit of DMB in ameliorating COVID- 19 severity. Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic which began in late 2019 has raged across the globe with more than four million infections and 300,000 deaths recorded to date. A broad theme of immune hyper-inflammation has emerged as a key determinant of patient outcome with uncontrolled immune response postulated as a pathophysiologic factor in disease severity.1 Intuitively, immunomodulation becomes an attractive potential treatment strategy. Besides lung involvement, gastrointestinal symptoms are frequent and carry a worse prognosis.2 COVID-19 is therefore a multi-organ phenomenon and it is becoming evident that appropriate systemic inflammatory control is necessary for overall survival benefit. Patient factors such as age>50, All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
  • 2. hypertension, diabetes and coronary artery disease, are also known associations with increased severity and death.3,4 Much of the current therapeutic effort is targeted at viral elimination instead of pre-emptively modulating hyper-inflammation. A number of immunomodulatory agents may serve the latter role. Vitamin D for instance, has a protective effect against respiratory tract infection,5 while magnesium enhances Vitamin D function besides being a vasodilator and bronchodilator.6 Lastly, vitamin B12 is an important modulator of gut microbiota.7 Importantly, these compounds are generally safe and well-tolerated by patients. A short course of these three supplements (DMB) upon diagnosis of COVID-19 could potentially exert synergistic effects to modulate host immune response, ameliorate COVID-19 severity and reduce adverse outcomes. This study was conducted to evaluate the potential efficacy of DMB on progression of COVID-19 to severe disease. Methods Study Design This study was approved by our institutional ethics committee with waiver of consent granted (Ref No:2020/2344). We included all consecutive COVID-19 positive patients aged 50 years and above admitted to Singapore General Hospital, a tertiary academic hospital, between 15 January and 15 April 2020. Diagnosis required a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR from nasopharyngeal or throat swab. Primary outcome was defined as the requirement of any form of oxygen therapy, and/or intensive care unit (ICU) support. As the COVID-19 situation evolved, we decided from 6 April 2020, to start DMB on all COVID-19 patients above 50 years old upon hospitalization and before the onset of the primary outcome event. Patients admitted during this period who did not receive DMB before event onset were served as control. Therapy comprised a single daily oral dose of vitamin D3 1000 IU, magnesium 150mg and vitamin B12 500mcg for up to 14 days. DMB could be stopped if a patient subsequently deteriorated or deemed to have recovered based on symptom resolution and 2 consecutive negative SARS CoV-2 RT-PCR respiratory samples. Data collection Clinical and laboratory data were collected from electronic health records in a standardized form with two investigators independently reviewing the data for accuracy. Statistical Analysis Continuous variables were expressed as mean/standard deviation (SD) if normal distribution, or median (interquartile range) if not of normal distribution, and categorical data was expressed as number counts and percentages as appropriate, without imputation for missing data. Binary logistic regression was performed to evaluate the primary outcome. Statistical software SPSS version 25 (IBM, USA) was used for analysis. Results 43 consecutive patients were identified with 17 patients in the DMB arm and 26 patients in the control arm. Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were not significantly different between the two groups. In the treatment arm, most patients received DMB within the first day of hospitalization with a median duration of therapy of 5 days (interquartile range of 4 to 7 days). (Table 1) Significantly fewer patients receiving DMB required subsequent oxygen therapy compared to controls (3/17 vs 16/26, P=0.006) (Table 1 & Figure 1). All patients who needed supplemental oxygen therapy in the control group also required further ICU support. Of the three patients who required oxygen therapy in the DMB group, two patients were started on oxygen therapy within 24 hours from the initiation of DMB. The third patient required supplemental oxygen therapy after 3 days of DMB but did not require ICU support. Among 9 patients given DMB within the first week of onset of symptoms, only one patient required oxygen therapy. This patient was one of the two cases which deteriorated within 24 hours of DMB initiation. On univariate analysis, increasing age and presence of comorbidities were associated with significantly higher odds ratio for oxygen therapy, while exposure to DMB therapy was associated with a significantly improved odds ratio. Multivariate analysis showed that treatment with DMB remained a significant protective factor against clinical deterioration (0.152, 95% confidence intervals: 0.025 - 0.930, P=0.041) after adjusting for age, gender and comorbidities (Table 2). All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
  • 3. Of note, there were no side effects or adverse events directly attributable to DMB. Discussion COVID-19 is now understood to be potentially life-threatening in up to 20 percent of patients. As the world awaits an effective vaccine, the effectiveness of various antivirals are largely muted by lack of survival benefit. Targeted therapies against cytokines and anti-thrombotic agents may only address the terminal events in severe cases with limited benefits. At the point of giving DMB to our older patients, it became obvious that pre-emptive down-regulation of hyper-inflammation with relatively safe agents was an attractive alternate strategy. This combination was chosen based on substantial, albeit indirect evidence of their role in tempering the inflammatory response to viral infections. Vitamin D, through its effect on NFkB and other pathways, can attenuate various proinflammatory cytokines8 mediating the uncontrolled cytokine storm seen in severe COVID-19 with deficiency associated with severe COVID-19.9 Magnesium is critical in the synthesis and activation of vitamin D, acting as a cofactor in many of the enzymes involved in vitamin D metabolism.10 Vitamin B12 is essential in supporting a healthy gut microbiome7 which has an important role in the development and function of both innate and adaptive immune systems.11 This could be pivotal in preventing excessive immune reaction12 especially in COVID-19 patients with microbiota dysbiosis which were associated with severe disease.13 Our results provide early positive evidence of an immune-modulatory approach to ameliorating severe outcome in COVID-19. DMB treated patients were significantly less likely to require oxygen therapy compared to controls. Among three DMB treated patients with clinical deterioration, two likely deteriorated within 24 hours from their underlying infection but were included on an intention-to-treat analysis. Had they been excluded on the basis of inadequate time of DMB exposure, the demonstrated benefits would have been more profound. The last case who deteriorated was started on DMB after 7 days from onset of symptoms. To benefit from its pre-emptive effects, patients may need to be started earlier in the infection course. The ease of administration of DMB would also allow for early initiation in primary care setting at first onset of symptoms, or as prophylaxis among high risk contacts during outbreaks in identified clusters. As all agents in this combination are readily available, safe and inexpensive, DMB can benefit a large swath of the world population especially in economically-challenged countries with limited or late access to vaccines and other therapies. DMB may also exhibit a generic efficacy against other viral infections with similar pathological mechanism. This study was conducted under difficult dynamic circumstances and is thus limited by the small sample size, and the lack of systematic biologic measures to support its findings. It is however a proof-of-principle effort with very promising results. Our findings would need to be further validated in a well-designed randomized study. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
  • 4. References 1. Miriam M and Jerome CM. Pathological inflammation in patients with COVID-19: a key role for monocytes and macrophages. Nat Rev Immunol 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41577-020-0331-4. 2. Lei P, Mi M, Hong GR, et al. Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 patients with digestive symptoms in Hubei, China: a descriptive, cross-sectional, multicenter study. Am J Gastroenterology 2020; 115: 766- 773. 3. Fei Z, Ting Y, Ronghui D, et al. Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study. Lancet 2020; 395: 1054-62. 4. Robert V, Lucy CO, Ilaria D, et al. Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model- based analysis. Lancet 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30243-7 5. Adrian RM, David AJ, Richard JH, et al. Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory tract infections: systemic review and meta-analysis of individual participant data. BMJ 2017; 356:i6583 6. Qi D, Xiangzhu Z, JoAnn EM, et al. Magnesium status and supplementation influence vitamin D status and metabolism: results from a randomized trial. Am J Clin Nutr 2018; 108: 1258-1269. 7. Patrick HD, Michiko ET and Andrew LG. Vitamin B12 as a modulator of gut microbial ecology. Cell Metabolism 2014; 20:769-778. 8. Sharifi A, Vahedi H, Nedjat S, et al. Effect of single dose injection of vitamin D on immune cytokines in ulcerative colitis patients: a randomized placebo-controlled trial. APMIS 2019; 127: 681-687 9. Frank HL, Rinku M, Radbeh T, et al. Vitamin D insufficiency is prevalent in severe COVID-19. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.24.20075838. 10. Uwitonze AM and Razzaque MS. Role of Magnesium in Vitamin D Activation and Function. J Am Osteopath Assoc 2018; 118: 181-189. 11. Negi S, Das DK, Pahari S, et al. Potential role of gut microbiota in induction and regulation of innate immune memory. Front. Immunol 2019; 1-12, 10.3389/fimmu.2019.02441 12. Debojyoti D and Abhishek M. Gut microbiota and Covid-19 – possible link and implications. Virus Res 2020; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.virusres.2020.198018. 13. Tao Z, Fen Z, Grace Lui CY, et al. Alterations in Gut Microbiota of patients with COVID-19 during time of hospitalization. Gastroenterology 2020; https://doi.org/10.1053/j.gastro.2020.05.048. Author contributions CWT, LPH, SK, JGL and HJN co-wrote the manuscript. CWT, LPH, JWMC, MC, SK, JGL and HJN were involved in the design of the study. BPZC, YET, SYT, HMW, PJWT, JGL and SK conducted the pilot study. LPH formulated the supplement combination. All authors have read and agreed with the manuscript. Conflict of Interest All authors have nothing to declare. Acknowledgments The authors are grateful for the continued support from Singhealth and Singapore General Hospital. We are also grateful to all doctors and nurses who cared for the patients in the isolation wards, SGH. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
  • 5. Figures and Tables DMB (N = 17) Control (N = 26) P-value Baseline characteristics Age, years, mean (SD) 58.4 (7.0) 64.1 (7.9) 0.819 Male, n (%) 11 (64.7) 15 (57.7) 0.755 Main comorbidities, n (%) 7 (41.2) 19 (73.1) 0.057 Diabetes mellitus 0 (0.0) 6 (23.1) 0.066 Hypertension 6 (35.3) 18 (69.2) 0.058 Hyperlipidemia 5 (29.4) 15 (57.7) 0.118 Cardiovascular Disease 1 (5.9) 7 (26.9) 0.119 Clinical features Normal CXR on admission, n (%) 7 (41.2) 7 (26.9) 0.507 Time from onset of symptoms to admission, days, median (IQR) 7 (1-9) 5 (3-8) 0.455 Time from onset of symptom to initiation of therapy, days, median (IQR) 7 (4-10) Time from admission to initiation of therapy, days, median (IQR) 1 (0-1) Duration of therapy, days, median (IQR) 5 (4-7) Outcome Requiring any form of oxygen therapy (including ICU support), n (%) - Requiring oxygen therapy (but not ICU support), n (%) - Requiring ICU support, n (%) 3 (17.6) 2 (11.8) 1 (5.9) 16 (61.5) 8 (30.8) 8 (30.8) 0.006 Table 1: Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics and outcomes of the patients given DMB therapy and control patients. DMB = Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, SD = Standard Deviation, IQR = Interquartile Range, CXR = chest x-ray, ICU = intensive care unit. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint
  • 6. Figure 1 : Treatment outcomes in terms of requirement of oxygen therapy of patients who received DMB and control patients. DMB = Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, CI = Confidence intervals, O2 = oxygen. Unadjusted Univariate Analysis Adjusted Multivariate Analysis Variables OR for requiring O2 therapy 95% CI P- value OR for requiring O2 therapy 95% CI P- value Age 1.150 1.035 – 1.278 0.009 1.142 1.003 – 1.301 0.045 Gender, Male 2.800 0.120 – 2.800 0.120 5.335 0.820 – 34.710 0.080 Presence of main comorbidities 4.432 1.133 – 17.341 0.032 1.001 0.144 – 6.971 0.999 Intervention with DMB therapy 0.134 0.031 – 0.586 0.008 0.152 0.025 – 0.930 0.041 Table 2 : Univariate and multivariate analyses of odds ratio in developing primary outcome requiring oxygen therapy for Clinical variables and DMB therapy. DMB = Vitamin D, Magnesium, Vitamin B12, CI = confidence intervals, OR=Odds Ratio, O2=oxygen. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted June 2, 2020..https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20112334doi:medRxiv preprint