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5/16/2010   IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   1
Mr. Smith in USA,
              didn't paid his
              Loan




DHANUKAKA in India
Lost His Investments
5/16/2010   IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   2
Sub Prime
• Subprime lending (second chance lending) is a financial
   term that was popularized by the media during the "credit
   crunch" of 2007 and involves financial institutions providing
   credit   to   borrowers   deemed     "subprime"   .   Subprime
   borrowers have a heightened perceived risk of default, such
   as those who have a history of loan default, those with a
   recorded bankruptcy, or those with limited debt experience.




5/16/2010             IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12                  3
Excess Liquidity

•There was
 excess of
 liquidity in
 US Markets.




5/16/2010      IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   4
This Excess Liquidity in USA
               resulted in:
   Fall of interest rates on loans + house
   prices started rising rapidly
   And this benefited the Americans in
   two ways
   1) They got huge liquidity at inflated
      housing prices
   2) At interest rates that were
      practically lowest in the last 20yrs.

5/16/2010      IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   5
Commercial Banks
•   Many    Commercial     banks   got   a
    meeting for this excess liquidity &
    decided to utilize this money &
    wants to earn more.

•   So they started providing home
    loans even to those persons who
    were not capable to repay & was
    Subprime borrowers.

•   These banks were thinking that
    even if they wont get back their
    money they can recover the losses
    by selling off those houses on
    which   the    loans   were    given,
    because the real estate market
    was on peak.

5/16/2010                    IIPM AHMEDAD    UGP/09-12   6
Mr. Smith in USA
• Mr. Smith was among
   those people, he was a
   man with three part-
   time jobs who earned
   about $45,000 a year &
   was a Subprime
   borrower, and yet a
   bank loaned him
   $540,000. The bank
   never checked his
   income.
5/16/2010           IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   7
• Even after providing so many
  home loans to their citizens
  the American banks still
  having the excess liquidity
  problem so they decided to
  invest in different stock
  markets of the world, along
  with Indian stock market.                       8
   5/16/2010           IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12
This Sudden Flow of
 Money in Indian
 Markets Resulted in
 Rise of Market




5/16/2010         IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   9
On the other side, in India After looking at Rise in
    Indian Stock Market & to make money double,
     DHANUKAKA invested his money in the Stock
                          Market




5/16/2010          IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12          10
And In America also, this excess liquidity were
   resulting in a very high consumer spending
            and obviously fuelling global growth.




5/16/2010             IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12      11
But……………
• Excess Liquidity, Resulting in

• High Spending, Resulting in

• High Demand, Resulting in

• Low Supply, Resulted in

• Inflation

• Liquidity Over + Down in Real Estate Prices
5/16/2010           IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12    12
At the Time of Repayment of Loan
• Mr. Smith, who was having an
   annual income of $45,000
   was unable to repay his home
   loan of $540,000.

• So in order to recover the loss
   bank decided to sold off his
   house.

• But the real estate market
   was also down & this resulted
   in heavy losses to the bank,
   as the no. of cases like Mr.
   Smith was very large
5/16/2010               IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   13
So in order to recover those
heavy losses, banks winded up
their investments in different
stock markets along with India.

 5/16/2010          IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   14
This Sudden Outflow of
Money Resulted in
Immediate Fall in the
Indian Stock Market




5/16/2010           IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12   15
In this way Mr. Smith didn’t paid his loan & due to
            this, DHANUKAKA lost his investment




5/16/2010             IIPM AHMEDAD   UGP/09-12        16

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Crisis

  • 1. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 1
  • 2. Mr. Smith in USA, didn't paid his Loan DHANUKAKA in India Lost His Investments 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 2
  • 3. Sub Prime • Subprime lending (second chance lending) is a financial term that was popularized by the media during the "credit crunch" of 2007 and involves financial institutions providing credit to borrowers deemed "subprime" . Subprime borrowers have a heightened perceived risk of default, such as those who have a history of loan default, those with a recorded bankruptcy, or those with limited debt experience. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 3
  • 4. Excess Liquidity •There was excess of liquidity in US Markets. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 4
  • 5. This Excess Liquidity in USA resulted in: Fall of interest rates on loans + house prices started rising rapidly And this benefited the Americans in two ways 1) They got huge liquidity at inflated housing prices 2) At interest rates that were practically lowest in the last 20yrs. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 5
  • 6. Commercial Banks • Many Commercial banks got a meeting for this excess liquidity & decided to utilize this money & wants to earn more. • So they started providing home loans even to those persons who were not capable to repay & was Subprime borrowers. • These banks were thinking that even if they wont get back their money they can recover the losses by selling off those houses on which the loans were given, because the real estate market was on peak. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 6
  • 7. Mr. Smith in USA • Mr. Smith was among those people, he was a man with three part- time jobs who earned about $45,000 a year & was a Subprime borrower, and yet a bank loaned him $540,000. The bank never checked his income. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 7
  • 8. • Even after providing so many home loans to their citizens the American banks still having the excess liquidity problem so they decided to invest in different stock markets of the world, along with Indian stock market. 8 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12
  • 9. This Sudden Flow of Money in Indian Markets Resulted in Rise of Market 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 9
  • 10. On the other side, in India After looking at Rise in Indian Stock Market & to make money double, DHANUKAKA invested his money in the Stock Market 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 10
  • 11. And In America also, this excess liquidity were resulting in a very high consumer spending and obviously fuelling global growth. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 11
  • 12. But…………… • Excess Liquidity, Resulting in • High Spending, Resulting in • High Demand, Resulting in • Low Supply, Resulted in • Inflation • Liquidity Over + Down in Real Estate Prices 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 12
  • 13. At the Time of Repayment of Loan • Mr. Smith, who was having an annual income of $45,000 was unable to repay his home loan of $540,000. • So in order to recover the loss bank decided to sold off his house. • But the real estate market was also down & this resulted in heavy losses to the bank, as the no. of cases like Mr. Smith was very large 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 13
  • 14. So in order to recover those heavy losses, banks winded up their investments in different stock markets along with India. 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 14
  • 15. This Sudden Outflow of Money Resulted in Immediate Fall in the Indian Stock Market 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 15
  • 16. In this way Mr. Smith didn’t paid his loan & due to this, DHANUKAKA lost his investment 5/16/2010 IIPM AHMEDAD UGP/09-12 16