Contract	
  Research	
  and	
  	
  
Manufacturing	
  Services	
  (“CRAMS”)	
  	
  	
  	
  
Aurum-DealCurry CXO Dialogues
__________________________________________________________
Webinar on the 30th July 2014: 3pm – 4pm
Aurum	
  Equity	
  Partners	
  LLP	
  
An investment banking firm, with a depth of diverse-sector experience.
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Sector specialization:
•  Healthcare and Pharma
•  Consumer Markets & Retail
Deal Experience:
12+ years experience spread over 50+
deals
Previous Work Experience:
•  Axis Capital
•  Ambit Corporate
•  Lazard Brothers
Academic Experience:
•  Business Management Diploma
from IIPM (New Delhi)
•  Bachelor of Commerce from
Sydhenam College, University of
Mumbai
Conferences & seminars:
Regular speaker at industry Seminars &
Conferences.
Select Deals :
Partner
Gautam Dhawan
•  Sale of Sanmar's foundry business to Dynamitic Auto
•  Acquisition advisory to Marico on Nihar brand
•  Acquisition advisory to Dabur India on Fem Care
•  Acquisition advisory to United Spirits on Balaji Distilleries
•  Sale of Alstom’s electrical business in India to Regal Beloit Corporation
•  Corporate restructuring of the Eicher Group
•  Sale of ‘Lifespring’ Chain of Wellness Stores to Morepen Laboratories
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Experience:
35 years of experience in the
pharmaceutical sector, including
research & manufacturing and
business & regulatory management.
Work Experience:
•  Technical Advisor at Arch
Pharma Labs (Current)
•  Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd –
1979 – 2010
²  Senior Vice President (Research
Project)
²  Senior Vice-President (API
research, Manufacturing and
Business)
²  Vice President- Chemical
Manufacturing
²  Vice President- Chemical
Research
Academic Experience:
•  PhD, Studies in Anticancer and
CNS agents, Supervisor: Dr.
Nityanand-Ex-Director, CDRI,
Lucknow, 1977
•  MSc, Organic Chemistry; First
Division, 1972
•  BSc, Physics, Chemistry, Maths;
First Division, 1970
Conferences & seminars:
Regular speaker at industry seminars &
conferences.
Expertise :
Sector Specialist – Pharmaceuticals
Dr. Naresh Kumar
•  Experience in planning and implementing
complex, big-ticket projects
•  Extensive experience of developing patent
non-infringing technologies, transferring of
technologies at plant scale and successful
manufacturing at commercial scale.
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
•  This	
   note	
   is	
   presented	
   solely	
   for	
   the	
   internal	
   use	
   of	
   the	
   recipient	
   to	
  
whom	
  it	
  is	
  marked	
  by	
  Aurum	
  and	
  does	
  not	
  carry	
  any	
  right	
  of	
  publica/on	
  
or	
   disclosure	
   to	
   any	
   other	
   party.	
   This	
   note	
   is	
   incomplete	
   without	
  
reference	
  to,	
  and	
  should	
  be	
  viewed	
  solely	
  in	
  conjunc/on	
  with,	
  the	
  verbal	
  
briefing	
  provided	
  by	
  Aurum.	
  	
  
•  In	
   preparing	
   this	
   note	
   Aurum	
   has	
   relied	
   upon	
   and	
   assumed,	
   without	
  
independent	
   verifica/on,	
   the	
   accuracy	
   and	
   completeness	
   of	
   all	
  
informa/on	
   available	
   from	
   published	
   and	
   public	
   sources	
   and	
   the	
  
company.	
   Accordingly,	
   neither	
   Aurum	
   nor	
   any	
   of	
   its	
   affiliates,	
  
shareholders,	
   directors,	
   employees,	
   agents	
   or	
   advisors	
   make	
   any	
  
representa/on	
   as	
   to	
   the	
   accuracy,	
   completeness,	
   reasonableness	
   or	
  
sufficiency	
  of	
  any	
  of	
  the	
  informa/on	
  contained	
  in	
  the	
  note,	
  and	
  neither	
  
of	
   them	
   shall	
   be	
   liable	
   for	
   any	
   loss	
   or	
   damage	
   (direct	
   or	
   indirect)	
  
suffered	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  reliance	
  upon	
  any	
  statements	
  contained	
  in,	
  or	
  any	
  
omission	
  from	
  this	
  note	
  and	
  any	
  such	
  liability	
  is	
  expressly	
  disclaimed.	
  	
  
•  Aurum	
  has	
  developed	
  this	
  note	
  on	
  its	
  own	
  behalf	
  and	
  without	
  prejudice.	
  
This	
  note	
  should	
  not	
  be	
  construed	
  as	
  an	
  offer	
  to	
  sell	
  any	
  securi/es	
  in	
  or	
  
assets	
   of	
   any	
   of	
   the	
   companies	
   referred	
   to	
   in	
   this	
   document,	
   or	
   an	
  
invita/on	
  to	
  offer.	
  
Disclaimer	
  
5	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
   6	
  
Global	
  CRAMS	
  Outlook	
  	
  
1SECTION	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
An	
  AIracJve	
  Growth	
  Market	
  
Big	
  Pharma	
  PerspecJve:	
  	
  
ü  Faster	
  development	
  of	
  new	
  drugs	
  
ü  Cost	
  containment	
  	
  	
  
ü  Simultaneous	
  research	
  in	
  mul/ple	
  countries	
  	
  
ü  Stringent	
  government	
  regula/ons	
  	
  	
  
ü  Focus	
  on	
  Core	
  Ac/vi/es	
  	
  
7	
  Source:	
  Phillip	
  Capital	
  Nov	
  13	
  
Market	
  Structure	
   Key	
  Drivers	
  for	
  Outsourcing	
  	
  
6	
  
25	
  
43	
  
0	
  
50	
  
100	
  
150	
  
2000	
   2012	
   2017E	
  
CRO	
   CMO	
  
Global	
  CRAMS	
  –	
  Growth	
  (USD	
  Bn)	
  
21	
  
	
  	
  72	
  
	
  
136	
  
Outsourcing	
  Industry	
  	
  
Contract	
  
Development	
  
Discovery	
  
Contract	
  
Manufacturing	
  	
  
Development	
   API	
   FormulaJons	
  
CAGR	
  00-­‐12	
  	
   CAGR	
  12-­‐17	
  	
  
11%	
  
13%	
  
10%	
  
14%	
  
11%	
  
15%	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Favorable	
  Market	
  Dynamics	
  
Generics	
   Innovators	
  	
  
•  Global	
  generics	
  to	
  grow	
  from	
  $	
  260	
  bn	
  in	
  FY	
  2012	
  to	
  
$	
  430	
  bn	
  in	
  2017	
  represen/ng	
  a	
  CAGR	
  growth	
  of	
  
11%	
  	
  	
  	
  
•  Key	
  Drivers:	
  	
  	
  	
  
ü  Patent	
  expiries	
  	
  
ü  Governments	
  worldwide	
  implemen/ng	
  pro-­‐generic	
  
policies	
  	
  
ü  Big	
  Pharma	
  pursuing	
  BGx	
  opportuni/es	
  in	
  emerging	
  
markets	
  	
  
ü  Rising	
  generic	
  u/liza/on	
  
	
  
•  GDUFA	
  legisla/on	
  will:	
  	
  	
  
Ø  Increase	
  FDA	
  inspec/ons	
  of	
  foreign	
  pharma	
  facili/es	
  
Ø  Accelerate	
  FDA	
  approval	
  of	
  ANDAs	
  
•  Custom	
  Development	
  	
  
ü  Global	
  R&D	
  spends	
  will	
  grow	
  from	
  $	
  137	
  bn	
  in	
  2013	
  to	
  $	
  
145	
  bn	
  in	
  2016	
  	
  
ü  According	
  to	
  es/mates	
  total	
  addressable	
  outsourcing	
  
market	
  at	
  $	
  95	
  bn	
  	
  
ü  Outsourcing	
  	
  penetra/on	
  at	
  25%	
  and	
  will	
  increase	
  to	
  
35%	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  4-­‐5	
  years	
  	
  	
  	
  
ü  Stronger	
  Biotec	
  funding	
  environment	
  
ü  Improving	
  	
  Regulatory	
  approval	
  rates	
  	
  
	
  
•  Custom	
  Manufacturing	
  
ü  Ongoing	
  ra/onaliza/on	
  of	
  Big	
  Pharma	
  manufacturing	
  	
  
ü  Increasing	
  outsourcing	
  of	
  intermediates	
  and	
  APIs	
  	
  
	
  
8	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Dynamic	
  M&A	
  Environment	
  
Date	
   Acquirer	
   Target	
   Value	
  (USD	
  mn)	
   Remarks	
  	
  
June	
  2014	
   AMRI	
   OSO	
  biopharma	
   110	
   Enhance	
  capabili/es	
  in	
  complex	
  injectable	
  products	
  	
  
May	
  2014	
   Hun/ngdon	
  Life	
   Harlan	
  Lab	
   -­‐	
   To	
  form	
  3rd	
  biggest	
  full	
  service	
  CRO	
  (Non	
  clinical)	
  	
  
April	
  2014	
   Charles	
  River	
   Galapagos	
  NV	
   179	
   To	
  Form	
  Full	
  service	
  early	
  stage	
  CRO	
  	
  
March	
  2014	
   Patheon	
   Royal	
  DSM	
   2,650	
   Merger	
  to	
  form	
  2nd	
  biggest	
  Full	
  Service	
  CDMO	
  
January	
  2014	
   Par	
  Pharma	
   JHP	
  Pharma	
   490	
   Expand	
  presence	
  (injectables)	
  	
  
October	
  2013	
   Aenova	
   Haupt	
  Pharma	
   -­‐	
   To	
  form	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  largest	
  full	
  service	
  CDMO’s	
  	
  
August	
  2013	
   Quin/les	
   Novella	
  Clinical	
   146	
   Enhance	
  capabili/es	
  on	
  the	
  Oncology	
  Segment	
  	
  
June	
  2013	
   PRA	
  	
   RPS	
  	
   -­‐	
  	
   Merger	
  to	
  form	
  a	
  full	
  service	
  CRO	
  (clinical	
  development)	
  	
  
9	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
India	
  CRAMS	
  Outlook	
  	
  
2SECTION	
  
10	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Fast	
  -­‐	
  Growing	
  Market	
  	
  
11	
  
Global	
  CRAMS	
  	
  to	
  grow	
  at	
  14%	
  CAGR	
  
	
  6	
  	
  
	
  29	
  	
  
	
  -­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  10	
  	
  
	
  20	
  	
  
	
  30	
  	
  
	
  40	
  	
  
2012	
   2017E	
  
Indian	
  CRAMS	
  to	
  grow	
  at	
  35%	
  CAGR	
  
Source:	
  Phillip	
  Capital	
  
72	
  
136	
  
0	
  
50	
  
100	
  
150	
  
2012	
   2017E	
  
14%	
  CAGR	
  	
  USD	
  Bn	
  
USD	
  Bn	
  
	
  
•  Global	
  CRAMS	
  is	
  growing	
  on	
  the	
  back	
  of	
  rising	
  generic	
  
u/liza/ons,	
  patent	
  expiries,	
  increasing	
  R&D	
  spends	
  
•  India’s	
  market	
  share	
  of	
  Global	
  CRAMS	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  
rise	
  from	
  8%	
  currently	
  to	
  21%	
  by	
  2017	
  	
  
•  Key	
  Drivers:	
  	
  
ü  High	
  number	
  of	
  USFDA	
  and	
  other	
  regulatory	
  
approved	
  plants	
  
ü  Cost	
  advantages	
  
ü  Robust	
  skills	
  in	
  chemistry	
  	
  
	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Indian	
  Market	
  Structure	
  	
  
Formula/on	
  
23%	
  
Custom	
  
Synthesis	
  
23%	
  
Intermed	
  
14%	
  
API	
  
40%	
  
Contract	
  Manufacturing	
  Segment	
  Wise	
  (%)	
  	
  
12	
  
Contract	
  
Mfg.	
  
65%	
  
Contract	
  
Research	
  
35%	
  
Break	
  Up	
  of	
  CRAMS	
  (%)	
  	
  
Indian	
  CRO	
  Market	
  (%)	
  	
  
Research	
  
Chemistry	
  
&	
  Biology	
  
18%	
  
Pre	
  Clinical	
  
Trials	
  
30%	
  
Clinical	
  
Trials	
  
52%	
  
	
  
•  Highly	
  fragmented	
  market	
  	
  
•  Key	
  thrust	
  on	
  contract	
  manufacturing	
  -­‐	
  API’s	
  /	
  
intermediates	
  accoun/ng	
  for	
  77%	
  	
  	
  
•  Clinical	
  trials	
  market	
  has	
  been	
  significantly	
  impacted	
  
(regulatory	
  requirements	
  have	
  changed)	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Universe	
  of	
  OpportuniJes	
  	
  
API	
  	
   Formula/ons	
  	
  
Development	
  
Services	
  -­‐	
  API	
  	
  
Development	
  
Services	
  -­‐	
  	
  
Formula/ons	
  	
  
API	
  
Produc/on	
  	
  
Formula/on	
  
Produc/on	
  	
  
Toxicology	
  
Clinical	
  Trial	
  
Design	
  and	
  
Mgmt.	
  	
  
Central	
  Labs	
  	
  Contract	
  
Research	
  
Contract	
  
Manufacturing	
  
Generic	
  
Supplies	
  	
  
BA	
  /	
  BE	
  
Studies	
  
VerJcal	
  IntegraJon	
  
Full	
  Service	
  CDMO	
  
Pre	
  Clinical	
  CapabiliJes	
   Late	
  Stage	
  Development	
  
13	
  
Drug	
  
Candidate	
  
Services	
  	
  
Companies	
  	
  can	
  focus	
  on	
  various	
  combinaJons	
  /	
  hybrid	
  models	
  which	
  offer	
  
end	
  to	
  end	
  services	
  	
  	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Select	
  M&A	
  Deals	
  	
  
Date	
   Acquirer	
   Target	
  
Value	
  	
  
(USD	
  mn)	
  
Remarks	
  	
  
June	
  2014	
   Meiji	
  Seika	
  Pharma	
   Medreich	
   290	
   Access	
  to	
  low	
  cost	
  manufacturing	
  	
  
January	
  2014	
   GVK	
  Bio	
   Aragen	
  Bioscience	
   -­‐	
   Significant	
  US	
  presence	
  and	
  exper/se	
  in	
  large	
  molecule	
  R&D	
  
December	
  2013	
   Mylan	
  	
   Agila	
  Special/es	
   1,750	
  
Strengthen	
  injectables	
  plalorm	
  and	
  porlolio	
  and	
  entry	
  to	
  
new	
  markets	
  
August	
  2012	
   Hospira	
   Orchid	
  Pharma	
   200	
   Increase	
  API	
  produc/on	
  capacity	
  
September	
  2012	
   Mitsui	
  &	
  Company	
   Arch	
  Pharmalabs	
   68	
   Supply	
  arrangement	
  	
  
July	
  2011	
   Ajinomoto	
  Omnichem	
   Granules	
  India	
   -­‐	
  
50:50	
  Joint	
  venture	
  -­‐	
  To	
  benefit	
  from	
  increasing	
  outsourcing	
  
to	
  India	
  
April	
  2011	
   Hikma	
  Pharma	
   Unimark	
  Remedies	
   33	
   Low	
  cost	
  manufacturing	
  in	
  India	
  (API’s)	
  	
  
November	
  2010	
   Cambrex	
   Zenara	
  Pharma	
   20	
   Technological	
  and	
  geographic	
  	
  opportunity	
  
14	
  
M&A	
  Theme	
  –	
  Access	
  to	
  low	
  cost	
  faciliJes	
  and	
  high	
  quality	
  products	
  for	
  global	
  
generics	
  operaJons	
  	
  	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Select	
  Private	
  Equity	
  Deals	
  	
  
Date	
   Buyer	
   Target	
   Target	
  DescripJon	
  
Value	
  	
  
(USD	
  mn)	
  
May	
  2014	
   Warburg	
  Pincus	
   Laurus	
  Labs	
   API	
  and	
  CRAMS	
  player	
  	
   100	
  +	
  	
  
May	
  2014	
   KKR	
  Asian	
  Fund	
   Gland	
  Pharma	
  	
   Complex	
  Injectables	
  	
   200	
  
April	
  2014	
   Tano	
  Capital	
   Shilpa	
  Medicare	
   API	
  and	
  CRAMS	
  (Oncology)	
  	
   12	
  
October	
  2013	
   Ac/s	
  LLP	
  
Symbiotec	
  
Pharmalab	
  
API	
  	
   48	
  
January	
  2013	
   Tata	
  Healthcare	
   Marck	
  Biosciences	
  	
   IV	
  Fluids	
  	
   11	
  
February	
  2012	
   OrbiMed	
   Shasun	
  Pharma	
   CRAMS	
  	
   10	
  
15	
  
PE	
  Theme	
  –	
  Leveraging	
  India’s	
  low	
  cost	
  and	
  robust	
  chemistry	
  skills	
  	
  	
  	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Aurum	
  View	
  	
  
q  Indian	
  CRAMS	
  industry	
  is	
  well	
  posi/oned	
  to	
  capture	
  a	
  larger	
  share	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  $	
  70	
  bn	
  outsourcing	
  
market	
  	
  
q  Indian	
  CDMOs	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  build	
  scale	
  and	
  move	
  up	
  the	
  value	
  chain	
  in	
  pursuit	
  of	
  growth	
  	
  	
  
ü  Larger	
  players	
  are	
  exploring	
  one	
  stop	
  shop	
  for	
  all	
  needs	
  of	
  pharma	
  companies	
  	
  -­‐	
  Pre-­‐clinical,	
  clinical	
  services	
  
to	
  commercial	
  manufacturing	
  	
  
ü  Mid	
  size	
  players	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  posi/on	
  themselves	
  as	
  niche	
  end	
  to	
  end	
  service	
  providers	
  	
  
q  Key	
  opportuni/es:	
  	
  
ü  Custom	
  Synthesis	
  of	
  key	
  intermediates,	
  API’s	
  and	
  drug	
  products	
  
ü  Op/miza/on	
  of	
  drug	
  candidates	
  and	
  drug	
  products	
  of	
  a	
  new	
  lead,	
  clinical	
  trial	
  quan/ty	
  supplies	
  followed	
  by	
  
commercial	
  supplies	
  of	
  API	
  /	
  drug	
  product	
  supplies	
  	
  
ü  New	
  drug	
  delivery	
  systems	
  	
  
q  Given	
  the	
  significant	
  growth	
  opportuni/es	
  we	
  believe	
  that	
  investors	
  will	
  play	
  an	
  important	
  part	
  in	
  
the	
  scale	
  up	
  of	
  Indian	
  CRAM’s	
  	
  
	
  
16	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
ValuaJon	
  Benchmarks	
  
Dishman	
   Shasun	
   Jubilant	
   Hikal	
  	
   Biocon	
   Divis	
   Suven	
  
Sales	
  (FY	
  13)	
  
(	
  INR	
  Mn)	
  
12,722	
   10,555	
   51,273	
   6,604	
   24,547	
   21,435	
   2,579	
  
EBITDA	
  (FY	
  13)	
  
(	
  INR	
  Mn)	
  
3,095	
   1,285	
   8,305	
   1,344	
   7,998	
   8,560	
   551	
  
PAT	
  (FY	
  13)	
  
(	
  INR	
  Mn)	
  
1003	
   530	
   1,527	
   253	
   5,089	
   6,020	
   308	
  
EPS	
  Growth	
  
(FY	
  13-­‐15)	
  (%)	
  
18.5	
   -­‐	
   81.6	
   77.7	
   111.1	
   22.3	
   131.6	
  
Market	
  Cap	
  
(	
  INR	
  Mn)*	
  
12,125	
   9,590	
   28,989	
   10,168	
   93,330	
   196,049	
   12,407	
  
Enterprise	
  Value	
  
(	
  INR	
  Mn)*	
  
18,957	
   15,919	
   64,729	
   14,635	
   90,393	
   198,903	
   13,226	
  
ROE	
  (FY	
  13)	
   10.2	
   21.6	
   6.4	
   5.74	
   20.5	
   26	
   21.9	
  
P/E	
  (FY	
  13)	
   5.6	
   6.9	
   17.9	
   26.2	
   10.5	
   21.8	
   8.8	
  
EV/EBITDA	
  
	
  (FY	
  13)	
  
4.6	
   6.8	
   7.6	
   9.1	
   5.8	
   14.8	
   6.7	
  
*	
  Values	
  as	
  of	
  25th	
  July	
  2014	
  
Source:	
  Thomson	
  Reuters	
   17	
  
Strictly	
  Confiden/al	
  
Contact us at
Corporate Office
301 & 312 A, Suncity Business Tower
Sector 54, Gurgaon – 122002
India.
Fax: +91 124 4424485
Tel: +91 124 4424488
Website : www.aurumequity.com
Email: info@aurumequity.com
Contact me (Gautam Dhawan) at -
gautamdhawan@aurumequity.com
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/aurumequity
LinkedIn: in.linkedin.com/pub/gautam-­‐dhawan/3a/216/676	
  	
  	
  

Growing investor interest in the Indian CRAMS / CDMO industry - Aurum and DealCurry CXO Dialogues

  • 1.
    Contract  Research  and     Manufacturing  Services  (“CRAMS”)         Aurum-DealCurry CXO Dialogues __________________________________________________________ Webinar on the 30th July 2014: 3pm – 4pm
  • 2.
    Aurum  Equity  Partners  LLP   An investment banking firm, with a depth of diverse-sector experience.
  • 3.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Sectorspecialization: •  Healthcare and Pharma •  Consumer Markets & Retail Deal Experience: 12+ years experience spread over 50+ deals Previous Work Experience: •  Axis Capital •  Ambit Corporate •  Lazard Brothers Academic Experience: •  Business Management Diploma from IIPM (New Delhi) •  Bachelor of Commerce from Sydhenam College, University of Mumbai Conferences & seminars: Regular speaker at industry Seminars & Conferences. Select Deals : Partner Gautam Dhawan •  Sale of Sanmar's foundry business to Dynamitic Auto •  Acquisition advisory to Marico on Nihar brand •  Acquisition advisory to Dabur India on Fem Care •  Acquisition advisory to United Spirits on Balaji Distilleries •  Sale of Alstom’s electrical business in India to Regal Beloit Corporation •  Corporate restructuring of the Eicher Group •  Sale of ‘Lifespring’ Chain of Wellness Stores to Morepen Laboratories
  • 4.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Experience: 35years of experience in the pharmaceutical sector, including research & manufacturing and business & regulatory management. Work Experience: •  Technical Advisor at Arch Pharma Labs (Current) •  Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd – 1979 – 2010 ²  Senior Vice President (Research Project) ²  Senior Vice-President (API research, Manufacturing and Business) ²  Vice President- Chemical Manufacturing ²  Vice President- Chemical Research Academic Experience: •  PhD, Studies in Anticancer and CNS agents, Supervisor: Dr. Nityanand-Ex-Director, CDRI, Lucknow, 1977 •  MSc, Organic Chemistry; First Division, 1972 •  BSc, Physics, Chemistry, Maths; First Division, 1970 Conferences & seminars: Regular speaker at industry seminars & conferences. Expertise : Sector Specialist – Pharmaceuticals Dr. Naresh Kumar •  Experience in planning and implementing complex, big-ticket projects •  Extensive experience of developing patent non-infringing technologies, transferring of technologies at plant scale and successful manufacturing at commercial scale.
  • 5.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   • This   note   is   presented   solely   for   the   internal   use   of   the   recipient   to   whom  it  is  marked  by  Aurum  and  does  not  carry  any  right  of  publica/on   or   disclosure   to   any   other   party.   This   note   is   incomplete   without   reference  to,  and  should  be  viewed  solely  in  conjunc/on  with,  the  verbal   briefing  provided  by  Aurum.     •  In   preparing   this   note   Aurum   has   relied   upon   and   assumed,   without   independent   verifica/on,   the   accuracy   and   completeness   of   all   informa/on   available   from   published   and   public   sources   and   the   company.   Accordingly,   neither   Aurum   nor   any   of   its   affiliates,   shareholders,   directors,   employees,   agents   or   advisors   make   any   representa/on   as   to   the   accuracy,   completeness,   reasonableness   or   sufficiency  of  any  of  the  informa/on  contained  in  the  note,  and  neither   of   them   shall   be   liable   for   any   loss   or   damage   (direct   or   indirect)   suffered  as  a  result  of  reliance  upon  any  statements  contained  in,  or  any   omission  from  this  note  and  any  such  liability  is  expressly  disclaimed.     •  Aurum  has  developed  this  note  on  its  own  behalf  and  without  prejudice.   This  note  should  not  be  construed  as  an  offer  to  sell  any  securi/es  in  or   assets   of   any   of   the   companies   referred   to   in   this   document,   or   an   invita/on  to  offer.   Disclaimer   5  
  • 6.
    Strictly  Confiden/al  6   Global  CRAMS  Outlook     1SECTION  
  • 7.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   An  AIracJve  Growth  Market   Big  Pharma  PerspecJve:     ü  Faster  development  of  new  drugs   ü  Cost  containment       ü  Simultaneous  research  in  mul/ple  countries     ü  Stringent  government  regula/ons       ü  Focus  on  Core  Ac/vi/es     7  Source:  Phillip  Capital  Nov  13   Market  Structure   Key  Drivers  for  Outsourcing     6   25   43   0   50   100   150   2000   2012   2017E   CRO   CMO   Global  CRAMS  –  Growth  (USD  Bn)   21      72     136   Outsourcing  Industry     Contract   Development   Discovery   Contract   Manufacturing     Development   API   FormulaJons   CAGR  00-­‐12     CAGR  12-­‐17     11%   13%   10%   14%   11%   15%  
  • 8.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Favorable  Market  Dynamics   Generics   Innovators     •  Global  generics  to  grow  from  $  260  bn  in  FY  2012  to   $  430  bn  in  2017  represen/ng  a  CAGR  growth  of   11%         •  Key  Drivers:         ü  Patent  expiries     ü  Governments  worldwide  implemen/ng  pro-­‐generic   policies     ü  Big  Pharma  pursuing  BGx  opportuni/es  in  emerging   markets     ü  Rising  generic  u/liza/on     •  GDUFA  legisla/on  will:       Ø  Increase  FDA  inspec/ons  of  foreign  pharma  facili/es   Ø  Accelerate  FDA  approval  of  ANDAs   •  Custom  Development     ü  Global  R&D  spends  will  grow  from  $  137  bn  in  2013  to  $   145  bn  in  2016     ü  According  to  es/mates  total  addressable  outsourcing   market  at  $  95  bn     ü  Outsourcing    penetra/on  at  25%  and  will  increase  to   35%  over  the  next  4-­‐5  years         ü  Stronger  Biotec  funding  environment   ü  Improving    Regulatory  approval  rates       •  Custom  Manufacturing   ü  Ongoing  ra/onaliza/on  of  Big  Pharma  manufacturing     ü  Increasing  outsourcing  of  intermediates  and  APIs       8  
  • 9.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Dynamic  M&A  Environment   Date   Acquirer   Target   Value  (USD  mn)   Remarks     June  2014   AMRI   OSO  biopharma   110   Enhance  capabili/es  in  complex  injectable  products     May  2014   Hun/ngdon  Life   Harlan  Lab   -­‐   To  form  3rd  biggest  full  service  CRO  (Non  clinical)     April  2014   Charles  River   Galapagos  NV   179   To  Form  Full  service  early  stage  CRO     March  2014   Patheon   Royal  DSM   2,650   Merger  to  form  2nd  biggest  Full  Service  CDMO   January  2014   Par  Pharma   JHP  Pharma   490   Expand  presence  (injectables)     October  2013   Aenova   Haupt  Pharma   -­‐   To  form  one  of  the  largest  full  service  CDMO’s     August  2013   Quin/les   Novella  Clinical   146   Enhance  capabili/es  on  the  Oncology  Segment     June  2013   PRA     RPS     -­‐     Merger  to  form  a  full  service  CRO  (clinical  development)     9  
  • 10.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   India  CRAMS  Outlook     2SECTION   10  
  • 11.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Fast  -­‐  Growing  Market     11   Global  CRAMS    to  grow  at  14%  CAGR    6      29      -­‐          10      20      30      40     2012   2017E   Indian  CRAMS  to  grow  at  35%  CAGR   Source:  Phillip  Capital   72   136   0   50   100   150   2012   2017E   14%  CAGR    USD  Bn   USD  Bn     •  Global  CRAMS  is  growing  on  the  back  of  rising  generic   u/liza/ons,  patent  expiries,  increasing  R&D  spends   •  India’s  market  share  of  Global  CRAMS  is  expected  to   rise  from  8%  currently  to  21%  by  2017     •  Key  Drivers:     ü  High  number  of  USFDA  and  other  regulatory   approved  plants   ü  Cost  advantages   ü  Robust  skills  in  chemistry      
  • 12.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Indian  Market  Structure     Formula/on   23%   Custom   Synthesis   23%   Intermed   14%   API   40%   Contract  Manufacturing  Segment  Wise  (%)     12   Contract   Mfg.   65%   Contract   Research   35%   Break  Up  of  CRAMS  (%)     Indian  CRO  Market  (%)     Research   Chemistry   &  Biology   18%   Pre  Clinical   Trials   30%   Clinical   Trials   52%     •  Highly  fragmented  market     •  Key  thrust  on  contract  manufacturing  -­‐  API’s  /   intermediates  accoun/ng  for  77%       •  Clinical  trials  market  has  been  significantly  impacted   (regulatory  requirements  have  changed)        
  • 13.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Universe  of  OpportuniJes     API     Formula/ons     Development   Services  -­‐  API     Development   Services  -­‐     Formula/ons     API   Produc/on     Formula/on   Produc/on     Toxicology   Clinical  Trial   Design  and   Mgmt.     Central  Labs    Contract   Research   Contract   Manufacturing   Generic   Supplies     BA  /  BE   Studies   VerJcal  IntegraJon   Full  Service  CDMO   Pre  Clinical  CapabiliJes   Late  Stage  Development   13   Drug   Candidate   Services     Companies    can  focus  on  various  combinaJons  /  hybrid  models  which  offer   end  to  end  services      
  • 14.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Select  M&A  Deals     Date   Acquirer   Target   Value     (USD  mn)   Remarks     June  2014   Meiji  Seika  Pharma   Medreich   290   Access  to  low  cost  manufacturing     January  2014   GVK  Bio   Aragen  Bioscience   -­‐   Significant  US  presence  and  exper/se  in  large  molecule  R&D   December  2013   Mylan     Agila  Special/es   1,750   Strengthen  injectables  plalorm  and  porlolio  and  entry  to   new  markets   August  2012   Hospira   Orchid  Pharma   200   Increase  API  produc/on  capacity   September  2012   Mitsui  &  Company   Arch  Pharmalabs   68   Supply  arrangement     July  2011   Ajinomoto  Omnichem   Granules  India   -­‐   50:50  Joint  venture  -­‐  To  benefit  from  increasing  outsourcing   to  India   April  2011   Hikma  Pharma   Unimark  Remedies   33   Low  cost  manufacturing  in  India  (API’s)     November  2010   Cambrex   Zenara  Pharma   20   Technological  and  geographic    opportunity   14   M&A  Theme  –  Access  to  low  cost  faciliJes  and  high  quality  products  for  global   generics  operaJons      
  • 15.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Select  Private  Equity  Deals     Date   Buyer   Target   Target  DescripJon   Value     (USD  mn)   May  2014   Warburg  Pincus   Laurus  Labs   API  and  CRAMS  player     100  +     May  2014   KKR  Asian  Fund   Gland  Pharma     Complex  Injectables     200   April  2014   Tano  Capital   Shilpa  Medicare   API  and  CRAMS  (Oncology)     12   October  2013   Ac/s  LLP   Symbiotec   Pharmalab   API     48   January  2013   Tata  Healthcare   Marck  Biosciences     IV  Fluids     11   February  2012   OrbiMed   Shasun  Pharma   CRAMS     10   15   PE  Theme  –  Leveraging  India’s  low  cost  and  robust  chemistry  skills        
  • 16.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Aurum  View     q  Indian  CRAMS  industry  is  well  posi/oned  to  capture  a  larger  share  of  the  global  $  70  bn  outsourcing   market     q  Indian  CDMOs  will  have  to  build  scale  and  move  up  the  value  chain  in  pursuit  of  growth       ü  Larger  players  are  exploring  one  stop  shop  for  all  needs  of  pharma  companies    -­‐  Pre-­‐clinical,  clinical  services   to  commercial  manufacturing     ü  Mid  size  players  will  have  to  posi/on  themselves  as  niche  end  to  end  service  providers     q  Key  opportuni/es:     ü  Custom  Synthesis  of  key  intermediates,  API’s  and  drug  products   ü  Op/miza/on  of  drug  candidates  and  drug  products  of  a  new  lead,  clinical  trial  quan/ty  supplies  followed  by   commercial  supplies  of  API  /  drug  product  supplies     ü  New  drug  delivery  systems     q  Given  the  significant  growth  opportuni/es  we  believe  that  investors  will  play  an  important  part  in   the  scale  up  of  Indian  CRAM’s       16  
  • 17.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   ValuaJon  Benchmarks   Dishman   Shasun   Jubilant   Hikal     Biocon   Divis   Suven   Sales  (FY  13)   (  INR  Mn)   12,722   10,555   51,273   6,604   24,547   21,435   2,579   EBITDA  (FY  13)   (  INR  Mn)   3,095   1,285   8,305   1,344   7,998   8,560   551   PAT  (FY  13)   (  INR  Mn)   1003   530   1,527   253   5,089   6,020   308   EPS  Growth   (FY  13-­‐15)  (%)   18.5   -­‐   81.6   77.7   111.1   22.3   131.6   Market  Cap   (  INR  Mn)*   12,125   9,590   28,989   10,168   93,330   196,049   12,407   Enterprise  Value   (  INR  Mn)*   18,957   15,919   64,729   14,635   90,393   198,903   13,226   ROE  (FY  13)   10.2   21.6   6.4   5.74   20.5   26   21.9   P/E  (FY  13)   5.6   6.9   17.9   26.2   10.5   21.8   8.8   EV/EBITDA    (FY  13)   4.6   6.8   7.6   9.1   5.8   14.8   6.7   *  Values  as  of  25th  July  2014   Source:  Thomson  Reuters   17  
  • 18.
    Strictly  Confiden/al   Contactus at Corporate Office 301 & 312 A, Suncity Business Tower Sector 54, Gurgaon – 122002 India. Fax: +91 124 4424485 Tel: +91 124 4424488 Website : www.aurumequity.com Email: info@aurumequity.com Contact me (Gautam Dhawan) at - gautamdhawan@aurumequity.com Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/aurumequity LinkedIn: in.linkedin.com/pub/gautam-­‐dhawan/3a/216/676