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International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763
Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 |
Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57
© 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -25
Computational Approaches for Monitoring Voltage
Stability in Power Networks
Sumit Joshi Sandeep Kumar Shyam K. Joshi
M. Tech. (Scholar) M. Tech. (Supervisor)
Dept. of Electrical Engg. Dept. of Electrical Engg. Dept. of Electrical Engg.
JNU, Jodhpur JNU, Jodhpur JNU, Jodhpur
Abstract- Voltage collapse and major blackouts have been repeatedly encountered in large power networks. The prime
reason for this, is failure of systems ability to maintain synchronization. Under such condition system fails to maintain
steady voltage at all buses and rapid growth in system collapse is assured. The basic work in this paper is to find the
system stability by analyzing Jacobean determinant and Reactive Power in per unit. For this purpose we use Ward-Hale
6 Bus System with reactive power in per unit and Jacobean determinant. We compute critical value of reactive power by
artificial neural network and Extrapolation through MS-Excel, where the system becomes unstable. We provide a
computational framework which helps to analyze system stability limit.
Key words: - Ward Hale 6 bus System, Jacobean Determinant, Reactive Power, ANN, Extrapolation, EBPN, Blackout
etc.
I. INTRODUCTION
Voltage stability refer to the ability of power system to maintain steady voltages at all buses in the system after being
subjected to a disturbance from a given initial operating point. The system state enters the voltage instability region when a
disturbance or an increase in load demand or alteration in system state results in an uncontrollable and continuous drop in
system voltage. A system is said to be in voltage stable state if at a given operating condition, for every bus in the system,
the bus voltage magnitude increases as the reactive power injection at the same bus is increased. For Ward and Hale 6 bus
system, there is one slack bus, one voltage controlled bus and remaining 4 are load buses.
A system is voltage unstable if for at least one bus in the system, the bus voltage magnitude decreases as the reactive power
injection at the same bus is increased. It implies that if, V-Q sensitivity is positive for every bus the system is voltage stable
and if V-Q sensitivity is negative for at least one bus, the system is voltage unstable.[1]
In the world, number of times condition of blackout occurs, by which a lot of consumers gets affected. Some of major
blackouts from all over the world in the last few decades include a massive breakdown in India on 30-31/July/2012, by
which 7 states and approx. 620 millions peoples affected. This is called biggest ever power failure in the world. Another
one is a fault in transmission line occurs at Uttar Pradesh state in India on 2/Jan/2001, by which 230 millions peoples
affected. On 1/Nov/2014 Bangladesh Suffered nationwide power outage for almost 10 hrs and almost 150 million peoples
affected. On 26/Jan/2015 over 80% of Pakistan went power off due to some technical fault at power station in sindh, by
which 140 million peoples affected. A transmission system failure occurs in Java-Bali, Indonesia on 18/Aug/2005, approx.
100 million peoples get affected. [2]
When a power system is subjected to a sudden increase of reactive power demand following a system contingency, the
additional demand is met by the reactive power carried by the generators and compensators. Generally there are sufficient
reserves and the system settles to a stable voltage level. However, it is possible, because of a combination of events and
system condition that the additional reactive power demand may lead to voltage collapse, causing a major breakdown of
part or all the system. [3]
There are number of research scholars who have proposed their work on voltage collapse and voltage stability. In [4]
authors represent a new approach of studying voltage stability in power systems at which voltage stability in transmission
lines and system buses are carefully analyzed based on their V-Q and V-P relationships. In [5] authors derived the voltage
stability margin of a power system with and without the FACTS devices under different loading conditions using Support
Vector Machine (SVM) are determined. In [6] authors approach an analysis of reactive power control and voltage stability
in power systems.
International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763
Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 |
Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57
© 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -26
In [7] authors deal with the security aspects of power system by evaluating the severity of transmission line outage. Voltage
security assessment is made by determining the power flow in the line using load flow for each contingency. In [8] authors
represent how the SVC can regulate the power system stability. Due to its fast response and by which way it can control the
reactive power in order to maintain the system stability.
The study done by the research scholars increased our curiosity to know more about voltage collapse and system stability
and encourage us to try some effort in this area. In this paper, a simple ward and hale 6 bus system is used for which critical
value of reactive power in per unit is evaluated by ANN and extrapolation through MS-Excel using data from a graphical
representation. ANN via MATLAB generates a simulink model which is trained according to variation of previous data.
Then model is ready to give an output for any specified input by testing the data number of times and result with minimum
error. “TREND” function is used in MS-Excel to evaluate the peak demand by arranging the data in a table form. A
comparative study is also provided between the results obtained by the two methodologies for obtaining better solutions.
This paper further contains introduction to voltage collapse & system stability and literature review in section I, description
of methodologies in section II, modeling and development of ANN in section III, results in section IV, conclusion in
section V followed by references and bibliography respectively.
II.DESCRIBTION OF METHODOLOGY
2.1 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK
An Artificial Neural Network, normally called a neural network, is a mathematical model stimulated by biological
neural networks. A neural network consists of an interrelated group of artificial neurons, and it processes information
using a connectionist approach to calculation. In most cases a neural network is an adaptive system that changes its
prototype during a learning stage [9]. Artificial neural network is also considered as one of the modern
mathematical-computational methods which are used to crack unexpected dynamic problems in developed
behavioral systems during a time period By learning to discriminate patterns from data in which other computational
and statistical method failed to answer them, artificial neural networks are capable to solve the problems [10].
Artificial neural networks, initially developed to emulate basic biological neural systems– the human brain particularly,
are collected of a number of interconnected simple processing elements called neurons or nodes. Each node receives an
input signal which is the total ‘‘information’’ from other nodes or external stimuli, processes it nearby all the way through
an activation or transfer function and produces a transformed output signal to other nodes or external outputs.
Fig.1 Feed Forward Neural Network
An MLP is naturally composed of numerous layers of nodes. The first or the lowest layer is an input layer where external
information is received. The last or the uppermost layer is an output layer where the problem result is achieved. The input
layer and output layer are separated by one or more inter- mediate layers called the hidden layers. The nodes in adjoining
layers are usually completely connected by a cyclic arc from a lower layer to a higher layer [11]. Back-propagation, a
reduction of expenditure for "backward propagation of errors", is a general method of training artificial neural networks
used in consensus with an optimization method such as gradient descent. The method calculates the gradient of a loss
function with respect to all the weights in the network. The gradient is fed to the optimization method which in turn uses it
to revise the weights, in an attempt to minimize the loss function. Back-propagation requires a known, desired output for
each input value in order to calculate the loss function gradient [12].
International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763
Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 |
Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57
© 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -27
2.2EXTRAPOLATION THROUGH MS-EXCEL
The Excel TREND function calculates the linear trend line throughout a given set of y-values and (optionally), a given set
of x-values. It returns values along a linear trend. Fits a straight line (using the method of least squares) to the arrays
known_y's and known_x's. Returns the y-values along that line for the array of new_x's that you specify.
TREND (known_y's, [known_x's], [new_x's], [const])
New_X- Required data point for which someone wants to envisage the value.
Known_Y’s- Required. The dependent array or collection of data.
Known_X’s- Required. The independent array or assortment of data.
Const – An optional logical argument that specifies whether the constant ‘b’, in the straight line equation y=mx+b,
should be forced to be equal to zero. [13]
III. MODELLING AND DEVELOPMENT OF ANN
The Jacobean determinant data for ward and hale 6 bus system for reactive power 0.0 per unit to -0.55 per unit is taken
from [14] employed for the training of ANN to predict the critical value of reactive power where system is collapse. The
proposed configuration of ANN is shown in below figure.
Fig.2 Reactive Power v/s Jacobian Determinant Fig. 3 Proposed ANN Model
MATLAB 2009 is used for ANN training and testing. The training data set for proposed ANN prediction contains all the
four inputs. Hence the dimension of the developed for training is 20X4, i.e. it contains 12 rows and 4 columns.
TABLE 1. REFERENCE DATA
S.NO. REACTIVE POWER BUS 1 BUS 2 BUS 3 BUS 4
1 0 280500 280500 280500 280500
2 -0.05 256500 258500 256500 256500
3 -0.1 208000 230000 223300 232000
4 -0.15 193500 210000 193500 208000
5 -0.2 162000 185000 162000 172000
6 -0.25 135000 159000 137500 150000
7 -0.3 128000 137000 123400 128000
8 -0.35 102000 111000 99500 103000
9 -0.4 78000 91000 74600 81000
10 -0.45 56000 70000 53000 64000
11 -0.5 28000 54000 32000 45000
12 -0.55 14000 38000 18000 30000
International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763
Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 |
Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57
© 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -28
Once the neural network has been structured for a particular function, that network is ready to be trained. To start the
training process, the initial weights are chosen randomly. Then the training or learning begins. The training of ANN
predictor is shown in Fig. 4. After training of ANN predictor, the error obtained is 5.05 X 10-22
in 8 iterations. The training
performance, regression plot and training state representing gradient and validation check plot are also represented in Fig.
4.
Fig. 4(a) Training Model Fig. 4(b) Performance Plot
Fig. 4© Regression Plot Fig. 4(d) Training State
IV.RESULT
Successful operation of ANN for analyzing system stability requires an appropriate training data set that can adequately
covers the entire solution space with a view to recognize and generalized the relations among the problem variables. The
result of ANN simulink model is representing in Fig.5 and Fig. 6. The critical value of reactive power for which jacobian
determinant convert its sign from positive to negative for any one load bus is determined and also determined by
Extrapolation. Almost same results are derived by both the methods which are presented in table-3.
International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763
Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 |
Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57
© 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -29
Fig. 5 ANN result at reactive power -0.56pu
Fig. 6 ANN result at reactive power -0.561pu
Fig. 7 MS Excel result of jacobian determinant at reactive power -0.56 and -0.561
TABLE 2 RESULTS OF ANN AND EXTRAPOLATION
S. No.
Reactive
Power
(pu)
Extrapolation
(Jacobian Det.)
ANN
(Jacobian Det.)
Load Bus-1 Load Bus-2 Load
Bus-3
Load
Bus-4
Load
Bus-1
Load
Bus-2
Load
Bus-3
Load
Bus-4
1 -0.56 938.345 23112.24 374.9184 12321.79 26225 76176 334 70301
2 -0.561 461.6667 22660 -107.333 11853.33 26063 77817 -253 73021
International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763
Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 |
Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57
© 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -30
V.CONCLUSION
**From the above results we can easily understand that when reactive power goes below to -0.56 per unit than jacobian
determinant of one of the load bus goes negative and system will be unstable.In the current world scenario supply of
electricity is much essential which performed by interconnection between number of grids for which it is also compulsory
to compute system stability state. It is an imperative task to make entire system healthier. Stability depends upon a variety
of factors from which one is reactive power. Reactive power is used for voltage control in the system and stability by
reactive power can be determined by various methods one is relation between reactive power and jacobian determinant.
The outcomes help the system operators to investigate the situation of system instability and keep up the reactive power
within limit.
REFERENCE
[1]. S. Chakrabati, “Chapter 9”, Power System Stability, Department of EE, IIT Kanpur
[2]. S. Chakrabati,, Power System Stability, Department of EE, IIT Kanpur
[3]. http:// en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_major_power_outages
[4]. F.A. Althowibi ,M.W. Mustafa, “Power System Voltage Stability: Indications, Allocations and Voltage Collapse
Predictions” International Journal of Advanced Research in Electrical, Electronics and Instrumentation Engineering,
ISSN (Print) : 2320 – 3765 ISSN (Online): 2278 – 8875, Vol. 2, Issue 7, July 2013,pp 3138-3152
[5]. M.V.Suganyadevi,C.K.Babulal, “Fast Assessment of Voltage Stability Margin of a Power System”, J. Electrical
Systems 10-3 (2014): 305-316, pp 305-316
[6]. Akwukwaegbu I. O, O. G. Ibe, “Concepts of Reactive Power Control and Voltage Stability Methods in Power System
Network”, IOSR Journal of Computer Engineering (IOSR-JCE), e-ISSN: 2278-0661, p- ISSN: 2278-8727Volume 11,
Issue 2 (May. - Jun. 2013), PP 15-25
[7]. A. K. Chowdhury, S. Mondal, S. K. M. Alam, Prof. J. Pal, “Voltage Security Assessment of Power System”,World
Scientific News, WSN 21 (2015) 83-97,EISSN 2392-2192 21 (2015) pp 83-97
[8]. H. singh, R.K Sharma, “Enhancing the Performance and Voltage Stability of Long Transmission Line”, International
Journal of Advanced Scientific and Technical Research, ISSN 2249-9954, Issue 4 volume 2, March-April 2014 pp-
919-925
[9]. D. Dutta, A. Roy and K. Choudhury “Training Artificial Neural Network using Particle Swarm Optimization
Algorithm” International Journal of Advanced Research in Computer Science and Software Engineering, ISSN: 2277
128X, Volume 3, Issue 3, March 2013, PP-430-434
[10]. S. R. Khaze, Mohd. Masdari and S. Hojjatkhah, “APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS IN
ESTIMATING PARTICIPATION IN ELECTIONS” International Journal of Information Technology, Modeling and
Computing (IJITMC)Vol.1, No.3,August 2013
[11]. G. Zhang, B. E. Patuwo, M. Y. Hu,” Forecasting with artificial neural networks: The state of the art”, International
Journal of Forecasting 14 (1998) 35–62, ISSN-0169-2070
[12]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backpropagation
[13]. https://support.office.com/en-us/article/TREND-function-e2f135f0-8827-4096-9873-9a7cf7b51ef1
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Sumit Joshi is a student of M. Tech. in Electrical Engineering (Power System) at Jodhpur National
University. He has received his B.E. degree in Electrical Engineering from University of Rajasthan.
Sandeep Kumar Joshi is a Asst. Prof. in Electrical Engineering Department at VIET, Jodhpur. He holds
M. Tech. in Electrical Engineering (Power System) at Jodhpur National University. He has received his
B.E. degree in Electrical Engineering from University of Rajasthan.
Shyam Krishan Joshi is a research scholar in Electrical Engineering department at IIT Delhi. He
holds ME (Hons.) in electrical engineering from JNVU and B.E. (Hons.) in Electronics and
Communication Engineering from University of Rajasthan and has published more than 15 National
and International Journals/ Conference papers.

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Computational Approaches for Monitoring Voltage Stability in Power Networks

  • 1. International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763 Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 | Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57 © 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -25 Computational Approaches for Monitoring Voltage Stability in Power Networks Sumit Joshi Sandeep Kumar Shyam K. Joshi M. Tech. (Scholar) M. Tech. (Supervisor) Dept. of Electrical Engg. Dept. of Electrical Engg. Dept. of Electrical Engg. JNU, Jodhpur JNU, Jodhpur JNU, Jodhpur Abstract- Voltage collapse and major blackouts have been repeatedly encountered in large power networks. The prime reason for this, is failure of systems ability to maintain synchronization. Under such condition system fails to maintain steady voltage at all buses and rapid growth in system collapse is assured. The basic work in this paper is to find the system stability by analyzing Jacobean determinant and Reactive Power in per unit. For this purpose we use Ward-Hale 6 Bus System with reactive power in per unit and Jacobean determinant. We compute critical value of reactive power by artificial neural network and Extrapolation through MS-Excel, where the system becomes unstable. We provide a computational framework which helps to analyze system stability limit. Key words: - Ward Hale 6 bus System, Jacobean Determinant, Reactive Power, ANN, Extrapolation, EBPN, Blackout etc. I. INTRODUCTION Voltage stability refer to the ability of power system to maintain steady voltages at all buses in the system after being subjected to a disturbance from a given initial operating point. The system state enters the voltage instability region when a disturbance or an increase in load demand or alteration in system state results in an uncontrollable and continuous drop in system voltage. A system is said to be in voltage stable state if at a given operating condition, for every bus in the system, the bus voltage magnitude increases as the reactive power injection at the same bus is increased. For Ward and Hale 6 bus system, there is one slack bus, one voltage controlled bus and remaining 4 are load buses. A system is voltage unstable if for at least one bus in the system, the bus voltage magnitude decreases as the reactive power injection at the same bus is increased. It implies that if, V-Q sensitivity is positive for every bus the system is voltage stable and if V-Q sensitivity is negative for at least one bus, the system is voltage unstable.[1] In the world, number of times condition of blackout occurs, by which a lot of consumers gets affected. Some of major blackouts from all over the world in the last few decades include a massive breakdown in India on 30-31/July/2012, by which 7 states and approx. 620 millions peoples affected. This is called biggest ever power failure in the world. Another one is a fault in transmission line occurs at Uttar Pradesh state in India on 2/Jan/2001, by which 230 millions peoples affected. On 1/Nov/2014 Bangladesh Suffered nationwide power outage for almost 10 hrs and almost 150 million peoples affected. On 26/Jan/2015 over 80% of Pakistan went power off due to some technical fault at power station in sindh, by which 140 million peoples affected. A transmission system failure occurs in Java-Bali, Indonesia on 18/Aug/2005, approx. 100 million peoples get affected. [2] When a power system is subjected to a sudden increase of reactive power demand following a system contingency, the additional demand is met by the reactive power carried by the generators and compensators. Generally there are sufficient reserves and the system settles to a stable voltage level. However, it is possible, because of a combination of events and system condition that the additional reactive power demand may lead to voltage collapse, causing a major breakdown of part or all the system. [3] There are number of research scholars who have proposed their work on voltage collapse and voltage stability. In [4] authors represent a new approach of studying voltage stability in power systems at which voltage stability in transmission lines and system buses are carefully analyzed based on their V-Q and V-P relationships. In [5] authors derived the voltage stability margin of a power system with and without the FACTS devices under different loading conditions using Support Vector Machine (SVM) are determined. In [6] authors approach an analysis of reactive power control and voltage stability in power systems.
  • 2. International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763 Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 | Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57 © 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -26 In [7] authors deal with the security aspects of power system by evaluating the severity of transmission line outage. Voltage security assessment is made by determining the power flow in the line using load flow for each contingency. In [8] authors represent how the SVC can regulate the power system stability. Due to its fast response and by which way it can control the reactive power in order to maintain the system stability. The study done by the research scholars increased our curiosity to know more about voltage collapse and system stability and encourage us to try some effort in this area. In this paper, a simple ward and hale 6 bus system is used for which critical value of reactive power in per unit is evaluated by ANN and extrapolation through MS-Excel using data from a graphical representation. ANN via MATLAB generates a simulink model which is trained according to variation of previous data. Then model is ready to give an output for any specified input by testing the data number of times and result with minimum error. “TREND” function is used in MS-Excel to evaluate the peak demand by arranging the data in a table form. A comparative study is also provided between the results obtained by the two methodologies for obtaining better solutions. This paper further contains introduction to voltage collapse & system stability and literature review in section I, description of methodologies in section II, modeling and development of ANN in section III, results in section IV, conclusion in section V followed by references and bibliography respectively. II.DESCRIBTION OF METHODOLOGY 2.1 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK An Artificial Neural Network, normally called a neural network, is a mathematical model stimulated by biological neural networks. A neural network consists of an interrelated group of artificial neurons, and it processes information using a connectionist approach to calculation. In most cases a neural network is an adaptive system that changes its prototype during a learning stage [9]. Artificial neural network is also considered as one of the modern mathematical-computational methods which are used to crack unexpected dynamic problems in developed behavioral systems during a time period By learning to discriminate patterns from data in which other computational and statistical method failed to answer them, artificial neural networks are capable to solve the problems [10]. Artificial neural networks, initially developed to emulate basic biological neural systems– the human brain particularly, are collected of a number of interconnected simple processing elements called neurons or nodes. Each node receives an input signal which is the total ‘‘information’’ from other nodes or external stimuli, processes it nearby all the way through an activation or transfer function and produces a transformed output signal to other nodes or external outputs. Fig.1 Feed Forward Neural Network An MLP is naturally composed of numerous layers of nodes. The first or the lowest layer is an input layer where external information is received. The last or the uppermost layer is an output layer where the problem result is achieved. The input layer and output layer are separated by one or more inter- mediate layers called the hidden layers. The nodes in adjoining layers are usually completely connected by a cyclic arc from a lower layer to a higher layer [11]. Back-propagation, a reduction of expenditure for "backward propagation of errors", is a general method of training artificial neural networks used in consensus with an optimization method such as gradient descent. The method calculates the gradient of a loss function with respect to all the weights in the network. The gradient is fed to the optimization method which in turn uses it to revise the weights, in an attempt to minimize the loss function. Back-propagation requires a known, desired output for each input value in order to calculate the loss function gradient [12].
  • 3. International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763 Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 | Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57 © 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -27 2.2EXTRAPOLATION THROUGH MS-EXCEL The Excel TREND function calculates the linear trend line throughout a given set of y-values and (optionally), a given set of x-values. It returns values along a linear trend. Fits a straight line (using the method of least squares) to the arrays known_y's and known_x's. Returns the y-values along that line for the array of new_x's that you specify. TREND (known_y's, [known_x's], [new_x's], [const]) New_X- Required data point for which someone wants to envisage the value. Known_Y’s- Required. The dependent array or collection of data. Known_X’s- Required. The independent array or assortment of data. Const – An optional logical argument that specifies whether the constant ‘b’, in the straight line equation y=mx+b, should be forced to be equal to zero. [13] III. MODELLING AND DEVELOPMENT OF ANN The Jacobean determinant data for ward and hale 6 bus system for reactive power 0.0 per unit to -0.55 per unit is taken from [14] employed for the training of ANN to predict the critical value of reactive power where system is collapse. The proposed configuration of ANN is shown in below figure. Fig.2 Reactive Power v/s Jacobian Determinant Fig. 3 Proposed ANN Model MATLAB 2009 is used for ANN training and testing. The training data set for proposed ANN prediction contains all the four inputs. Hence the dimension of the developed for training is 20X4, i.e. it contains 12 rows and 4 columns. TABLE 1. REFERENCE DATA S.NO. REACTIVE POWER BUS 1 BUS 2 BUS 3 BUS 4 1 0 280500 280500 280500 280500 2 -0.05 256500 258500 256500 256500 3 -0.1 208000 230000 223300 232000 4 -0.15 193500 210000 193500 208000 5 -0.2 162000 185000 162000 172000 6 -0.25 135000 159000 137500 150000 7 -0.3 128000 137000 123400 128000 8 -0.35 102000 111000 99500 103000 9 -0.4 78000 91000 74600 81000 10 -0.45 56000 70000 53000 64000 11 -0.5 28000 54000 32000 45000 12 -0.55 14000 38000 18000 30000
  • 4. International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763 Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 | Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57 © 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -28 Once the neural network has been structured for a particular function, that network is ready to be trained. To start the training process, the initial weights are chosen randomly. Then the training or learning begins. The training of ANN predictor is shown in Fig. 4. After training of ANN predictor, the error obtained is 5.05 X 10-22 in 8 iterations. The training performance, regression plot and training state representing gradient and validation check plot are also represented in Fig. 4. Fig. 4(a) Training Model Fig. 4(b) Performance Plot Fig. 4© Regression Plot Fig. 4(d) Training State IV.RESULT Successful operation of ANN for analyzing system stability requires an appropriate training data set that can adequately covers the entire solution space with a view to recognize and generalized the relations among the problem variables. The result of ANN simulink model is representing in Fig.5 and Fig. 6. The critical value of reactive power for which jacobian determinant convert its sign from positive to negative for any one load bus is determined and also determined by Extrapolation. Almost same results are derived by both the methods which are presented in table-3.
  • 5. International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763 Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 | Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57 © 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -29 Fig. 5 ANN result at reactive power -0.56pu Fig. 6 ANN result at reactive power -0.561pu Fig. 7 MS Excel result of jacobian determinant at reactive power -0.56 and -0.561 TABLE 2 RESULTS OF ANN AND EXTRAPOLATION S. No. Reactive Power (pu) Extrapolation (Jacobian Det.) ANN (Jacobian Det.) Load Bus-1 Load Bus-2 Load Bus-3 Load Bus-4 Load Bus-1 Load Bus-2 Load Bus-3 Load Bus-4 1 -0.56 938.345 23112.24 374.9184 12321.79 26225 76176 334 70301 2 -0.561 461.6667 22660 -107.333 11853.33 26063 77817 -253 73021
  • 6. International Journal of Innovative Research in Advanced Engineering (IJIRAE) ISSN: 2349-2763 Issue 11, Volume 3 (November 2016) www.ijirae.com ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ IJIRAE: Impact Factor Value – SJIF: Innospace, Morocco (2015): 3.361 | PIF: 2.469 | Jour Info: 4.085 | Index Copernicus 2014 = 6.57 © 2014- 16, IJIRAE- All Rights Reserved Page -30 V.CONCLUSION **From the above results we can easily understand that when reactive power goes below to -0.56 per unit than jacobian determinant of one of the load bus goes negative and system will be unstable.In the current world scenario supply of electricity is much essential which performed by interconnection between number of grids for which it is also compulsory to compute system stability state. It is an imperative task to make entire system healthier. Stability depends upon a variety of factors from which one is reactive power. Reactive power is used for voltage control in the system and stability by reactive power can be determined by various methods one is relation between reactive power and jacobian determinant. The outcomes help the system operators to investigate the situation of system instability and keep up the reactive power within limit. REFERENCE [1]. S. Chakrabati, “Chapter 9”, Power System Stability, Department of EE, IIT Kanpur [2]. S. Chakrabati,, Power System Stability, Department of EE, IIT Kanpur [3]. http:// en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_major_power_outages [4]. F.A. Althowibi ,M.W. Mustafa, “Power System Voltage Stability: Indications, Allocations and Voltage Collapse Predictions” International Journal of Advanced Research in Electrical, Electronics and Instrumentation Engineering, ISSN (Print) : 2320 – 3765 ISSN (Online): 2278 – 8875, Vol. 2, Issue 7, July 2013,pp 3138-3152 [5]. M.V.Suganyadevi,C.K.Babulal, “Fast Assessment of Voltage Stability Margin of a Power System”, J. Electrical Systems 10-3 (2014): 305-316, pp 305-316 [6]. Akwukwaegbu I. O, O. G. Ibe, “Concepts of Reactive Power Control and Voltage Stability Methods in Power System Network”, IOSR Journal of Computer Engineering (IOSR-JCE), e-ISSN: 2278-0661, p- ISSN: 2278-8727Volume 11, Issue 2 (May. - Jun. 2013), PP 15-25 [7]. A. K. Chowdhury, S. Mondal, S. K. M. Alam, Prof. J. Pal, “Voltage Security Assessment of Power System”,World Scientific News, WSN 21 (2015) 83-97,EISSN 2392-2192 21 (2015) pp 83-97 [8]. H. singh, R.K Sharma, “Enhancing the Performance and Voltage Stability of Long Transmission Line”, International Journal of Advanced Scientific and Technical Research, ISSN 2249-9954, Issue 4 volume 2, March-April 2014 pp- 919-925 [9]. D. Dutta, A. Roy and K. Choudhury “Training Artificial Neural Network using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm” International Journal of Advanced Research in Computer Science and Software Engineering, ISSN: 2277 128X, Volume 3, Issue 3, March 2013, PP-430-434 [10]. S. R. Khaze, Mohd. Masdari and S. Hojjatkhah, “APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS IN ESTIMATING PARTICIPATION IN ELECTIONS” International Journal of Information Technology, Modeling and Computing (IJITMC)Vol.1, No.3,August 2013 [11]. G. Zhang, B. E. Patuwo, M. Y. Hu,” Forecasting with artificial neural networks: The state of the art”, International Journal of Forecasting 14 (1998) 35–62, ISSN-0169-2070 [12]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backpropagation [13]. https://support.office.com/en-us/article/TREND-function-e2f135f0-8827-4096-9873-9a7cf7b51ef1 BIBLIOGRAPHY Sumit Joshi is a student of M. Tech. in Electrical Engineering (Power System) at Jodhpur National University. He has received his B.E. degree in Electrical Engineering from University of Rajasthan. Sandeep Kumar Joshi is a Asst. Prof. in Electrical Engineering Department at VIET, Jodhpur. He holds M. Tech. in Electrical Engineering (Power System) at Jodhpur National University. He has received his B.E. degree in Electrical Engineering from University of Rajasthan. Shyam Krishan Joshi is a research scholar in Electrical Engineering department at IIT Delhi. He holds ME (Hons.) in electrical engineering from JNVU and B.E. (Hons.) in Electronics and Communication Engineering from University of Rajasthan and has published more than 15 National and International Journals/ Conference papers.