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India Coal Sector
                                   A Primer
                                         August 2010

             Jaideep Goswami                                              Jonas Bhutta
           Tel: (91) 22 6622 1010                                    Tel: (91) 22 6622 1008
E-mail: jaideep.goswami@in.daiwacm.com                       E-mail: jonas.bhutta@in.daiwacm.com
                                            Saurabh Mehta
                                        Tel: (91) 22 6622 1009
                               E-mail: saurabh.mehta@in.daiwacm.com
Contents
  Executive summary
  The allocation and development of mines
   –   Background on mine allocation
   –   Mine development … timelines
   –   The mine-allocation process
   –   Key challenges in the allocation procedure
  Captive coal mining
   –   Genesis: captive coal mining in India
   –   End-use industries allocated captive mines
   –   Allocation of captive block reserves by state
   –   Estimated reserves
   –   Reasons for the captive mine development delays
  Coal washeries
  Annexure


                                                    2
Executive summary
Captive mining. Introduced in 1993 for end use by the operating company (power,
cement, and steel), to meet the rising demand for coal and due to the inability of Coal
India (CIL) to ramp up production (1993-2009: 208 captive coal blocks allocated with
total reserves of about 45bn tonnes).
Current output. Twenty-five mines are operating currently, and output for FY10 was
about 35m tonnes. The government expects the ramp-up in production at the existing
mines and new production to increase output to 80m tonnes by FY12 (about 22 blocks
allocated from 1993–2003 are due to be commissioned).
Mine-development process. Geological report (two years) > mining plan (six months)
> technical committee (three months) > environment approval (EA) and forest approval
(FA) (two-to-six years) > land acquisition and mining leases (concurrent with EA and FA,
two-to-six years) > production (six-to-12 months).
Hurdles to mine development: a) lengthy processes for EA and FA, b) location of a
mine in a red-corridor area, c) a lack of mining experience, and d) the joint allocation of
mines.
                                          3
Executive summary
 Tides of change (under review by the government)
  – Captive mining
      » Single-window approvals. All major approvals to be handled by a central agency
        before allocation to a developer
      » Competitive bidding. Based on the average selling price of coal during the
        lifespan of a mine (to maintain a check on coal prices)

  – Industry-wide initiatives
      » Coal regulator. In the 2010-11 Budget, the government suggested setting up
        regulatory authorities, similar to those for the power sector (Central Electricity
        Regulatory Commission [CERC] and Central Electricity Authority [CEA]
      » No-go areas. The Ministry of Environment & Forestry (MOEF) demarcated no-go
        areas, which we expect to speed up the process of obtaining approvals, currently
        the biggest hurdle to mine development


                                          4
Background on mine allocation
  Pre Electricity Act era (1993-2003)
   – CIL and its subsidiaries were the only players
   – The concept of captive mines was more of a push from the government than a pull from
      the private sector
        » In the period many of the mines were allocated to ‘non-serious’ players
  Post Electricity Act (since 2003)
   – A conscious decision by the government to increase coal output, due to:
        » A rising demand-supply gap. At the end of the 11th Five-Year Plan (2007-12 imports would
          account for 12% of demand, according to the Planning Commission
        » The inability of CIL to scale up its production growth above 5-6% YoY
        » The entry of the private sector into power generation has led to more interest in captive mines
        » To-date, 208 mines have been allocated, most of them from 2005-08
               Increasing demand – the supply shortfall supports the case for captive mining




                                                      5
Mine development … timelines
                                  Best-case scenario                                 Ideal scenario                                                     Exceptional scenario



                                                                                                                                           Production



                                                                                                      Land acquisition and mining leases
Activities/Stages




                                                                                                       Environmental & forestry approvals




                                                              Technical committee



                                                           Mining plan



                        Geological report


                    0                   1              2           3                4                     5                6                    7               8              9   10
                                                                                Years taken for completion of each stage




                                                                                                      6
The mine-allocation process
Approvals/procedures                   Timeline              Avg cost (Rs m)                Remarks
Geological report                       2-3 yrs                  20-150                     Prepared by CMPDIL (a subsidiary of CIL) to
                                                                                            estimate the proven reserves, the backbone
                                                                                            for preparing the mining plan


Mining plan                             6 mths                  Negligible                  Prepared by recognised qualified persons in
                                                                                            collaboration with the applicant
Technical-committee approval           2-3 mths                    n.a.                     A group of of experts from a number of
                                                                                            agencies approve the mining plan




                                                                                                                                          Total of 86 approvals
                                                                                                                                                 required
Notification to the allotted company      n.a.                     n.a.                     The applicant is allocated the mine
                                                                               Production
Environment & forestry approvals        2-6 yrs                 Negligible                  MOEF


                                                     Forestry & Environmental Clearance
Land acquisition and mining leases      2-6 yrs     Rs0.3m/acre and Rs0.3m/family for Runs concurrently with FA & EA
                                                               relocation


Production                             6 mths-1yr          Rs1,600-2,400/tonne              Avg cost of mining from open-cast and
                                                                                            underground mines
 Source: Ministry of Coal, Daiwa




                                                                    7
Forest approval … a backgrounder
The MOEF is the agency that awards the final approvals.
Most mines are located near rivers and forests, and the conversion of forest land for mining use can be problematic.
Brief overview of the procedure for the usage conversion of forest land
 – Stage 1. Receive approval in principle to convert the forest land by adhering to the rules and regulations of the Coal Bearing
      Areas Act 1957. The main agencies the application must be reviewed by are shown below
 – Stage 2. Deforestation in phases by simultaneously implementing the Environment Management Plan

               Forest sheriff

               District forest officer                                                In the best-case scenario,
                                                                                      an application has to go to
               Conservator of forest
                                                                                      52 different desks to
                                                                                      receive an EC&FC.
               Conservator of forest - state

               Secy. Forest - state                                         Stage-1
                                                                                      The minimum time to
               Minister of forests - state                                            obtain an EC&FC is two
                                                                                      years, but can take as
               Sr. asst. inspector forest (MOEF) - central government                 long as six years.

               Forest advisory committee - central government

               Minister Forest - India Government

                                                                        8
Key challenges in the allocation procedure
  Our discussions with industry participants highlighted the following challenges.
  EA and FA appears to pose the greatest hurdles in the mine-development process.
   – Even if everything is in order it is still necessary for the application to go across at least 52 desks for an FC
   – The involvement of a large number of agencies in the process creates redundancy
     Village > Taluka > District > State > Central Government (various ministries)
   – Public hearings, held by the State Pollution Board and in which all the stakeholders participate, are the most
     difficult part of obtaining an EC
   – Having an Environment Management Plan approved should take one-to-two years but can take up to six
  Land acquisition is another sore point
   – The lack of a single-window land-acquisition agency means the applicant is dependent on its relationship
     with locals
  Issues highlighted by Utkal Coal Co. in a joint review meeting on the progress on captive coal blocks in March 2008. The company was
  allotted the mine in 1998.
However, we expect changes going forward
  In order to speed up the mine-development process the government has suggested the following ideas:
    – Single-window approvals. To allocate mines along similar lines to the ultra mega-power projects
    – Competitive bidding. Undertake competitive bidding for the coal blocks to improve transparency. The bids
        would be dependent on the average selling price of coal during the life of the mine
    – Coal regulator. In the 2010-11 Budget, the government suggested setting up regulatory authorities, similar
        to those for the power sector, CERC and CEA
       We expect the majority of delayed mines to come on-stream by 2012. We expect many of the
       captive mines that were allotted from 1993-2009 and delayed to start producing in 2011-12, raising captive
       coal production from 17m t.p.a for 2007 to 81m t.p.a. for 2012. Meanwhile, mines linked to 12th Five-Year
       Plan projects will go into production after 2012

                     90                                Captive coal production                                     80.9
                     80
                     70
                     60
                     50
                                                                                                            37.1
                     40                                                                              29.9
                     30                                                                       21.2
                                                                                       17.6
                     20                                           7.8    10.1
                                                                                13.6
                                                            5.5
                     10      0.7    1.8   3.0   3.8   4.5
                      0




                    Source: Ministry of Coal

                                                                        10
Captive Coal Mining




         11
Genesis: captive coal mining in India

Captive mining is for a company’s own end use (power plant, cement, and
steel).
A captive-mining policy was introduced in 1993 to meet a rise in coal demand.
CIL and its subsidiaries were unable to meet demand.
As more than 70% of incremental power capacity is based on coal, the supply of
coal is crucial to meeting the rising demand for power.
Some 208 captive coal mines, with estimated geological reserves of more than
45bn tonnes, were approved from 1993-2009.
The first captive block was allocated in 1993 and captive-mine production began
in 1997.
Currently, 25 captive mines are in production, with output of about 30m tonnes
for 2009. For 2012, we forecast captive mines to produce more than 80m
tonnes.
                                     12
Captive coal mining in India
                                                     Allocation of captive blocks
        250


        200
                                                                                            24

        150                                                                          52


        100                                                             53                        208


         50                                                  24
                                                 5
                                          21
          0
                  1993 - 2002            2003   2004        2005       2006         2007   2008   2009
              Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA




Captive mines were first allocated in 1993, with a total of 19 blocks allocated by 2002 and 21
blocks allocated in 2003.
To date, 208 coal blocks have been allocated for captive mining to reduce the demand-supply gap.



                                                                  13
End-use industries allocated captive mines
                                           Breakdown of end-use industries
                                                   Small & Isolated UMPP's
                                          Cement        1.0%         4.8%
                    Coal to liquid         3.8%
                       1.0%
                                                                             Power
           Commercial Mining                                                 39.9%
               18.8%




              Iron & Steel
                 30.8%


                Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA




Captive coal mines were allocated for companies own use in the power, iron and steel, and
cement sectors as well as others.
Coal-based capacity additions totalling 100GW are targeted in the 11th and 12th Five-Year
Plans.
                                                               14
Allocation of captive block reserves by state
                                        Breakdown of allocated reserves by state
                        West Bengal           Andhra Pradesh   Arunachal Pradesh
                          6.6%                    1.4%               0.3%

                                                                                    Chhattisgarh
  Orissa
  21.7%
                                                                                      21.4%         Overall, reserves
                                                                                                   of more than 45bn
                                                                                                   tonnes have been
                                                                                                   allocated

       Maharashtra
         13.1%                                                                     Jharkhand
                                                                                     26.6%
                             Madhya Pradesh
                                 9.0%
            Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA


 Most of the captive coal blocks are located in difficult operating areas (red corridor) and have
 low grades of coal (high ash content).



                                                                15
Estimated reserves
                                                  Coal reserves allocated from 1993-2009                            bn tonnes


     units
             60                                                                                                      20
                                                                                                                     18
             50
                                                                                                                     16
                                                                                                                     14
             40
                                                                                                                     12
             30                                                                                                      10
                                                                           17.6
                                                                                                                     8
             20
                                                                                          11.9                       6
                                                                                                                     4
             10
                        3.3                                3.1                                       3.4    4.2      2
                                            2.2
             0                                                                                                       0
                   1993 - 2002             2004           2005             2006           2007       2008    2009

                                                          Coal reserves      Coal Blocks allocated

                  Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA


  To-date, captive coal blocks with estimated reserves of more than 45bn tonnes have been
  allocated.



                                                                      16
Mines allocated (1993-2003) – 23 blocks have started production
                Usha Martin Ltd.                                            GR– 29.76m tonnes                                                                6 years

              WBPDCL/BECML                                                      GR– 8 m tonnes                                                                6   years

                              KPCL                                         GR– 152.52m tonnes                                                               6 years

             Arunachal PMDCL                                             Commercial – 27m tonnes                                                    4 years

        Prakash Industries Ltd.                                             GR– 34.48m tonnes                                                     4 years

                              PSEB                               GR– 562m tonnes                                                      5   years

               RASL now SEML                        GR– 156m tonnes                                                                           9 years

            Jayaswal Neco Ltd.                 GR– 125m tonnes                                                               8   years

               Jindal Power Ltd.              GR– 246m tonnes                                                               9    years
                                                                                                                                                                           GR– 106m tonnes
               Monnct Ispat Ltd.                                                                   9       years

                           JSPL Ltd.                                      3 years                                   GR– 124m tonnes

                  BLA Industries                                                                       9    Years                                                     Usage – Small Isolated Dispensation, GR–
                                                                                                                                                                                   9.3m tonnes

              WBPDCL/BECML                                            2 years                              GR– 125.71m tonnes

                WBSEB/BECML                                           2 years                          GR– 84.47m tonnes

                                                                                                                                                             GR– 22.55m tonnes
             INDAL/HINDALCO                                                           10 years

                           CESC Ltd                                         10     years                                                           GR– 140.47m tonnes


                                   1993      1995                1997                1999                  2001             2003                  2005            2007                  2009
              Achieved peak-rated capacity                            Usage – sponge iron                              Usage – power                                            Government

Source: Ministry of Coal

                                                                                           17
Mines allocated (1993-2003) – 15 are due to start production in 2010
  Shree Baidyanath Ayurved                                                                                                 7   years
                                                     GR– 36m tonnes

                           Bhusan                    GR– 80m tonnes                                                        7   years

              Gondwana Ispat                        GR– 31.5m tonnes                                                       7   years

         Field Mining & Ispat                        GR– 38m tonnes                                                        7    years

                      JSPL Ltd.                    GR– 140.47m tonnes                                                      7   years

                            TVNL                   GR– 140.47m tonnes                                                      7   years

                            CMDC                   GR– 259.47m tonnes                                                      7    years

                            OMDC                   GR– 153.31m tonnes                                                      7    years

                    GVK Power                       GR– 92.3m tonnes                                                       9   years

                      B.S Ispat                                       Years                                     9     years
                                                                                                                                                          GR– 34.34m tonnes

             Monnct Ispat Ltd.                                                                         11     years                                        GR– 106m tonnes

                 Utkal Coal Ltd                                                                  12         years                                         GR– 208.77m tonnes

                      WBPDCL                                                              14      years                                                   GR– 125.71m tonnes
                                                                              Years
                    IISCO/SAIL                                                            14     years                                                     GR– 285m tonnes


                                    1996        1998             2000          2002             2004                2006               2008   2010          2012
                                           Usage – sponge iron                        Usage – power                  Usage – others                  Government

Source: Ministry of Coal

                                                                                  18
Captive coal blocks allocated in 2004
             Breakdown of allocated mines                             Ownership of the mines allocated
 Private                                                                                            Joint, 0%
    1
 20.0%



                                      Government
                                          4
                                        80.0%
                                                                                             Individual ,
                                                                                                100%




           Source: Ministry of Coal                               Source: Ministry of Coal




 One coal block was allocated to National Aluminium (NACL IN, Rs430 , 5), most of the
 approvals are in progress, but land acquisition is being held up by a boundary dispute.
 Approvals for another three mines are in progress and the government expects the mines to
 start production by FY11. For NTPC’s (NATP IN, Rs194.1, 1) mines, the lack of evacuation
 infrastructure is a major hurdle to developing its mines.

                                                        Note: The details of each block are available from us

                                                   19
Captive coal blocks allocated in 2005
            Breakdown of allocated mines                                Ownership of the allocated mines
                                                                                       Joint, 8%


                                       Government
                                           8
                                         33.3%




  Private
    16
  66.7%                                                                                                     Individual , 92%
            Source: Ministry of Coal                               Source: Ministry of Coal




Of the eight blocks allocated to government-owned companies, one block that was allocated to
DVC (Not listed) was de-allocated by the Ministry of Coal, while four of the seven remaining
blocks are expected by the government to start production between 2010-11.
Three mines have started production, five are expected by the government to start production
in 2010-11, while approvals for the others are in progress.


                                                         Note: The details of each block are available from us

                                                    20
Captive coal blocks allocated in 2006
            Breakdown of the allocated mines                            Ownership of the allocated mines
                                                                      Joint, 36%


  Private
    21
  39.6%                                 Government
                                            32                                                        Individual ,
                                          60.4%                                                          64%




             Source: Ministry of Coal                               Source: Ministry of Coal




 There has been no significant progress on the approvals for most of the mines allocated to
 the government companies.
 Of the mines allocated in 2006 to private companies, 16 are expected by the government to
 start production by 2010-11, subject to approval by MOEF.


                                                          Note: The details of each block are available from us

                                                     21
Captive coal blocks allocated in 2007
            Breakdown of the allocated mines                         Ownership of the allocated mines
                                                                             Joint, 13%
  Private
    18
  34.6%


                                        Government
                                            34
                                          65.4%




                                                                                                          Individual , 87%
                                                                    Source: Ministry of Coal
             Source: Ministry of Coal




 There has been no significant progress in receiving approvals for most of the mines allocated
 to the government companies.
 Progress by the private players has been relatively better, with eight mines expected by the
 government to start production between 2011 and 2013.


                                                          Note: The details of each block are available from us

                                                     22
Captive coal blocks allocated in 2008
      Breakdown of the allocated mines                                  Ownership of the allocated mines
                                           Government
                                               4                                                                     Individual
                                             16.7%                                                                     37.5%




      Private                                                   Joint
        20                                                      56%
      83.3%
                                                                             Source: Ministry of Coal
                Source: Ministry of Coal




No progress in any of the four mines allocated to the public-sector units as the blocks are
either unexplored or only partially explored.
There has been progress for only four of the mines allocated to the private companies
(expected to begin production between 2011 and 2014). There has been no significant
progress on the other 16 mines, most of which were jointly allocated.

                                                             Note: The details of each block are available from us

                                                        23
Captive coal blocks allocated in 2009
            Breakdown of the allocated mines                                    Ownership of the allocated mines

                                                                          Joint, 56%
                                              Government
                                                  1
                                                33.3%                                                             Individual ,
                                                                                                                     44%




  Private
     2
  66.7%

                                                                                   Source: Ministry of Coal
                   Source: Ministry of Coal




 The East of Damogoria (Kalyaneshwari) block was allocated to WBPDCL.
 Two coal blocks, North of Arkhapal and Ramchandi, were allocated to Tata-Sasol and Jindal
 Steel & Power (JSP IN, Rs654.3 , 2), respectively, for coal-to-lignite projects. Both these
 private entities have provided bank guarantees.


                                                                Note: The details of each block are available from us

                                                           24
Reasons for captive-coal-mine development delays

  There is a lack of mining experience on the part of the private developers
  and a lack of initiative by the government companies, in our view.
  The locations of the captive coal blocks.
   – Mostly in the red-corridor area (impoverished regions in the east of India that
     experience considerable Naxalite Maoist militant activity)
   – No support from the state governments in terms of security
  Land acquisition
   – The relationship between the local people and the district authorities is key, in our view
   – A lack of initiative from the state governments in expediting land acquisitions
  Forest approvals
   – Most of the mines are located on forest land and converting forest land to other uses is
     a very lengthy and tedious process (it takes from five-to-seven years)
   – Applications have to go pass over at least 52 desks to receive approval

                                             25
Reasons for captive-coal-mine development delays
  Environment approvals
     The process is very academic in nature
     A lack of on-the-ground experience for those responsible for approvals
     No set standards for obtaining the approvals; it comes down to the interpretation of the
     individuals responsible
     A ‘public hearing’ can be the most difficult part of the environment clearances for a
     miner as all stakeholders involved are party to the decision-making process of
     providing the approval
  Joint allocation (an obstacle to development that accounts for on 20%
  of total captive allocation)
     Some 44 captive mines with geological reserves of more than 12bn tonnes have been
     allotted jointly
     There has been no consultation among the various developers involved
     Differences in the financial status (a lack of financial strength for the joint-venture
     partner) and objectives and timelines for the mines use by the developers
                                            26
A step in the right direction




 The MOEF has demarcated clearly the no-go areas (require approval from the prime minister’s
 office). We expect this to speed up the process of obtaining approvals, which is currently the
 biggest hurdle to developing captive mines.

                                            27
Coal Washeries



      28
Coal washeries
  India coal has a high ash content (30-45%, compared with 15-20% for that
  from countries such as Australia, South Africa, the US, and Indonesia).
  The cleaning of coal (coal beneficiation) assumes an importance from the
  environmental and long-distance transportation point of view.
  There is an emphasis on coal washing, because the MOEF and the India
  Government require that washed coal be used for power plants.
  After 22m t.p.a. of coal is washed, the ash content is 34-38% and 4-4.5m
  t.p.a. is rejected as the ash content is 57-62%.
  Handling such a large rejected amount in an environmentally-friendly
  manner is one of the biggest challenges faced by the coal-washery
  operators.
  In coal-beneficiation plants, 15-20% of the coal is rejected.


                                    29
Coal washeries
  At the end of the 1990s, the MOEF recommended that power plants located in
  urban/sensitive areas and those located more than 1,000km from the pit head
  should use coal with an ash content of less than 34%.
  This percentage was fixed after studies undertaken by DuetscheMortanConsult
  (Germany) and Mott. Macdonald (UK) indicated that when India coal was cleaned to
  a level where the ash content was 34%, it retained in general 95% or more of its
  energy.
  The mining and power companies have resisted the implementation of the
  recommendations as the transportation costs do not offset the incremental costs
  incurred from washing the coal.




                                        30
Coal washeries – economics

  Capex for setting up 1m tonnes of capacity – Rs100-150m.

  Coal-washing costs.
  –   Power – Rs90-100/tonne
  –   Cement – Rs100-150/tonne
  –   Sponge iron – Rs150-170/tonne
  –   Steel – Rs250-300/tonne


  The existing capacity-utilisation rate on an aggregate basis is
  60%.


                                      31
High ash content – the need for coal washing

  India coal has a high ash content as it is supposed to have been formed
  according to the drift theory.
  In addition to the ash, there is dilution in the quality of coal due to mining
  and related activities.
  From 1970-71, open-cast mining accounted for only 20% of production.
  Currently, about 85% of coal is produced through open-cast mining.
  Due to dilution, the quality of coal (GCV) has been deteriorating.
   –   In the early 1960s the GCV was about 5,900 kcal/kg
   –   By the 1970s the GCV was about 5,250 kcal/kg
   –   By the 1980s the GCV was about 4,200 kcal/kg
   –   By the 1990s the GCV was about 4,000 kcal/kg
   –   Currently, the GCV is about 3,500 kcal/kg


                                           32
Coal washeries in India




                 Existing coking coal washing capacity                       Existing non-coking coal washing capacity
                             Others
                             2.8%                                                           Others
                                                                      Indo Unique Flame
                TISCO                                                                       12.1%                  CIL
                                                                            4.8%
                15.9%                                                                                             18.9%
                                                                      JSPL
                                                                      5.3%
    DPL
    4.5%


                                                                      Bhatia Int
                                                                        7.6%

    SAIL
   11.7%
                                                          CIL                                                                 Aryan
                                                         65.1%          Global coal
                                                                           4.5%                                               30.0%

                                                                                          Gupta
Source: Ministry of Coal                                                                  16.9%            Source: Ministry of Coal



                  Aryan Coal (Not listed) is the largest player in India’s coal-washery business with an operational
           capacity of 32m t.p.a., which will be scaled up to 58m t.p.a. by 2012 (including subsidiaries and capacity
           under construction).
                                                                 33
Geographic spread of the coal washeries
                                          Spread of coal washeries by state

                                             Uttar Pradesh        Andhra Pradesh
                   Orissa                        4.0%                 3.6%
                   6.7%


                                                                                          Chhattisgarh
                                                                                            33.6%




     Maharashtra
       36.9%




                                                    MP                        Jharkhand
                                                   0.3%                         14.9%


               Source: Ministry of Coal




                                                             34
Issues faced by the coal washeries

  The availability of basic infrastructure: land, water, and power.
  The disposal of rejected coal.
   – The availability of land for setting up washeries
   – Cleaning coal to lower its ash content results in a loss of heat value from the rejected
     coal, ie, the quantity of rejected coal currently is far in excess of the ash percentage.
  Maintaining the quality of clean coal: there are no controls on the quality of
  the input coal.
  The development of reliable and accurate sensors to monitor coal quality.
  Cleaning and dewatering of ultra-fine coal.
  The desulphurisation of high-sulphur coal. The application of dry-coal
  beneficiation processes for arid regions.


                                              35
Hurdles
The development of coal washeries in India has not kept pace with the
rise in demand for coal.
 – Assurances on the supply of quantity and the quality of coal (both physical and chemical
   from the linked source)
 – The availability of land for setting up washeries
 – The availability of land for the disposal of washery waste, ie, rejected coal
 – Access to the necessary infrastructure, such as power, water, and railway sidings

The sourcing of coal from one company (CIL mostly) and having it
washed by another agency has inherent risks.
 —   Adds to the cost of fuel, not passed through for regulated tariffs
 —   Private capacity that is set up already
 —   As a result of the possibility of the illicit transfer of coal between the coal-washing
     companies and the coal suppliers, CIL would record a loss


                                               36
Annexure I
The Red Corridor
An impoverished region in the east of India that experiences considerable Naxalite Maoist militant activity.




                       Source: Wikimedia Commons

                                                     37
Annexure II
  Drift theory
  This theory suggests that plant material was transported by stream action
  from their place of growth and deposited in places such as lakes or the sea
  like other sediment. The coal seams of India are of drift origin. The drift
  theory may be summarised as follows.
   – The plant material from the coal forest was transported by water and deposited in
     lakes or the sea just like other sediment
   – During transportation the various materials were sorted out as usual, in accordance
     with their specific gravities.
   – Pure coal seams were formed in places where only the lightest material (plant
     material) had access
   – A stream with shale bands was formed in places where a temporary change in the
     water currents and hence the nature of sediment occurred
   – Rapid and frequent oscillatory earth movements gave rise to several coal seams, one
     above the other, separated by sediment
                                           38
Appendix – coal washeries
  Pre-dominant separating principles.
  – Separation based on the differences in the relative density (RD) of coal and the
    associated mineral matter; pure coal has an RD of about 1.3 and associated mineral
    matter commonly has an RD of more than 2.2
  – Separation based on differences in the surface properties of coal and the associated
    mineral matter; coal is hydrophobic, while the associated mineral matter is generally
    hydrophilic
  Pre-dominant processes.
  – Heavy/dense-media separation – based on simulating the effect of using a liquid of
    appropriate density to effect a float/sink separation of coal from the associated mineral
    matter
  – Jig washing – a process that relies on the pulsation of water through the particle bed to
    stratify particles of different density. Higher-RD shale particles form the lower layers,
    and are separated from the clean coal by use of a shale-discharge system



                                            39
DISCLAIMER
This publication is produced by Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. and/or its non-U.S. affiliates, and distributed by Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. and/or its non-U.S. affiliates, except to the extent expressly provided herein. This publication and the contents hereof are intended for information purposes only, and may be subject to
change without further notice. Any use, disclosure, distribution, dissemination, copying, printing or reliance on this publication for any other purpose without our prior consent or approval is strictly prohibited. Neither Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. nor any of its respective parent, holding, subsidiaries or affiliates, nor any of its respective
directors, officers, servants and employees, represent nor warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or as to the existence of other facts which might be significant, and will not accept any responsibility or liability whatsoever for any use of or reliance upon this publication or any of the contents hereof. Neither this
publication, nor any content hereof, constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any of the securities or investments mentioned herein in any country or jurisdiction nor, unless expressly provided, any recommendation or investment opinion or advice. Any view, recommendation, opinion or advice expressed in
this publication may not necessarily reflect those of Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd., and/or its affiliates nor any of its respective directors, officers, servants and employees except where the publication states otherwise. This research report is not to be relied upon by any person in making any investment decision or otherwise advising with
respect to, or dealing in, the securities mentioned, as it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person.
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd., its parent, holding, subsidiaries or affiliates, or its or their respective directors, officers and employees from time to time have trades as principals, or have positions in, or have other interests in the securities of the company under research including derivatives in respect of such securities or may have also
performed investment banking and other services for the issuer of such securities. The following are additional disclosures.
Japan
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd and Daiwa Securities Group: Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd and Daiwa Securities Group: Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd is a subsidiary of Daiwa Securities Group.
Investment Banking Relationship: Within the preceding 12 months, The Affiliates of Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd.* has lead-managed public offerings and/or secondary offerings (excluding straight bonds) of the securities of the following companies: China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd (1333 HK); Sundart International Holdings (2288 HK);
China Automation Group (569 HK); China Kangda Food Co Ltd (834 HK); Glorious Property (845 HK); Tong Yang Life (082640 KS); China Kangda Food Co Ltd (CKANG SP); Great Group Co., Ltd (GGH SP); Patel Engineering (PEC IN); Greens Holdings Ltd (1318 HK); China High Precision Automation Group (591 HK); Mingfa Group (846 HK);
Fantasia Holding Group (1777 HK); Hontex International Holding (946 HK).
*Affiliates of Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. for the purposes of this section shall mean any one or more of:
• Daiwa Capital Markets Hong Kong Limited
• Daiwa Capital Markets Singapore Limited
• Daiwa Capital Markets Australia Limited
• Daiwa Capital Markets India Private Limited
• Daiwa-Cathay Capital Markets Co., Ltd.
• Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd., Seoul Branch
Hong Kong
This research is distributed in Hong Kong by Daiwa Capital Markets Hong Kong Limited (“DHK”) which is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission. Recipients of this research in Hong Kong may contact DHK in respect of any matter arising from or in connection with this research.
Ownership of Securities: For “Ownership of Securities” information, please visit BlueMatrix disclosure Link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html.
Investment Banking Relationship: For “Investment Banking Relationship”, please visit BlueMatrix disclosure Link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html.
Relevant Relationship (DHK): DHK may from time to time have an individual employed by or associated with it serves as an officer of any of the companies under its research coverage.
DHK market making: DHK may from time to time make a market in securities covered by this research.
Singapore
This research is distributed in Singapore by Daiwa Capital Markets Singapore Limited and it may only be distributed in Singapore to accredited investors, expert investors and institutional investors as defined in the Financial Advisers Regulations and the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289), as amended from time to time. By virtue of distribution
to these category of investors, Daiwa Capital Markets Singapore Limited and its representatives are not required to comply with Section 36 of the Financial Advisers Act (Chapter 110) (Section 36 relates to disclosure of Daiwa Capital Markets Singapore Limited’s interest and/or its representative’s interest in securities). Recipients of this research in
Singapore may contact Daiwa Capital Markets Singapore Limited in respect of any matter arising from or in connection with the research.
Australia
This research is distributed in Australia by Daiwa Capital Markets Stockbroking Limited and it may only be distributed in Australia to wholesale investors within the meaning of the Corporations Act. Recipients of this research in Australia may contact Daiwa Capital Markets Stockbroking Limited in respect of any matter arising from or in connection
with the research.
Ownership of Securities: For “Ownership of Securities” information, please visit BlueMatrix disclosure Link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html.
India
This research is distributed by Daiwa Capital Markets India Private Limited (DAIWA) which is an intermediary registered with Securities & Exchange Board of India. This report is not to be considered as an offer or solicitation for any dealings in securities. While the information in this report has been compiled by DAIWA in good faith from sources
believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty, express of implied, is made or given as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. DAIWA its officers, employees, representatives and agents accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise howsoever arising (whether in negligence or
otherwise) out of or in connection with or from any use of or reliance on the contents of and/or omissions from this document. Consequently DAIWA expressly disclaims any and all liability for, or based on or relating to any such information contained in or errors in or omissions in this report. Accordingly, you are recommended to seek your own legal,
tax or other advice and should rely solely on your own judgment, review and analysis, in evaluating the information in this document. The data contained in this document is subject to change without any prior notice DAIWA reserves its right to modify this report as maybe required from time to time. DAIWA is committed to providing independent
recommendations to its Clients and would be happy to provide any information in response to any query from its Clients. This report is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information. The information contained in this document should not be reproduced (in whole or in part) or redistributed in any form to any other person.
We and our group companies, affiliates, officers, directors and employees may from time to time, have long or short positions, in and buy sell the securities thereof, of company(ies) mentioned herein or be engaged in any other transactions involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as advisor or have the potential
conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information or opinion. DAIWA prohibits its analyst and their family members from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analyst cover. This report is not intended or directed for distribution to, or use by any person, citizen or entity
which is resident or located in any state or country or jurisdiction where such publication, distribution or use would be contrary to any statutory legislation, or regulation which would require DAIWA and its affiliates/ group companies to any registration or licensing requirements. The views expressed in the report accurately reflect the analyst’s personal
views about the securities and issuers that are subject of the Report, and that no part of the analyst’s compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly, related to the recommendations or views expressed in the Report. This report does not recommend to US recipients the use of Daiwa Capital Markets India Private Limited or any of its non – US
affiliates to effect trades in any securities and is not supplied with any understanding that US recipients will direct commission business to Daiwa Capital Markets India Private Limited.
Taiwan
This research is distributed in Taiwan by Daiwa-Cathay Capital Markets Co., Ltd and it may only be distributed in Taiwan to institutional investors or specific investors who have signed recommendation contracts with Daiwa-Cathay Capital Markets Co., Ltd in accordance with the Operational Regulations Governing Securities Firms Recommending
Trades in Securities to Customers. Recipients of this research in Taiwan may contact Daiwa-Cathay Capital Markets Co., Ltd in respect of any matter arising from or in connection with the research.
United Kingdom
This research report is produced by Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co., Ltd and/or its affiliates and is distributed by Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited in the European Union, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland. Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited is authorised and regulated by The Financial Services Authority (“FSA”) and is a
member of the London Stock Exchange, Chi-X, Eurex and NYSE Liffe. Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited and its affiliates may, from time to time, to the extent permitted by law, participate or invest in other financing transactions with the issuers of the securities referred to herein (the “Securities”), perform services for or solicit business from such
issuers, and/or have a position or effect transactions in the Securities or options thereof and/or may have acted as an underwriter during the past twelve months for the issuer of such securities. In addition, employees of Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited and its affiliates may have positions and effect transactions in such securities or options and
may serve as Directors of such issuers. Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited may, to the extent permitted by applicable UK law and other applicable law or regulation, effect transactions in the Securities before this material is published to recipients.
This publication is intended for investors who are not Retail Clients in the United Kingdom within the meaning of the Rules of the FSA and should not therefore be distributed to such Retail Clients in the United Kingdom. Should you enter into investment business with Daiwa Capital Markets Europe’s affiliates outside the United Kingdom, we are
obliged to advise that the protection afforded by the United Kingdom regulatory system may not apply; in particular, the benefits of the Financial Services Compensation Scheme may not be available.
Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited has in place organisational arrangements for the prevention and avoidance of conflicts of interest. Our conflict management policy is available at http://www.uk.daiwacm.com/about-us/corporate-governance-and-regulatory. Regulatory disclosures of investment banking relationships are available at
http://www.daiwausa.com/.
Germany
This document has been approved by Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited and is distributed in Germany by Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited, Niederlassung Frankfurt which is regulated by BaFin (Bundesanstalt fuer Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht) for the conduct of business in Germany.
Dubai
This document has been distributed by Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited, Dubai Branch. Related financial products or services are intended only for professional clients and no other person should act upon it. Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited is duly licensed and regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority.
United States
This report is distributed in the U.S. by Daiwa Capital Markets America Inc. (DCMA). It may not be accurate or complete and should not be relied upon as such. It reflects the preparer’s views at the time of its preparation, but may not reflect events occurring after its preparation; nor does it reflect DCMA’s views at any time. Neither DCMA nor the
preparer has any obligation to update this report or to continue to prepare research on this subject. This report is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy securities. Unless this report says otherwise, any recommendation it makes is risky and appropriate only for sophisticated speculative investors able to incur significant losses.
Readers should consult their financial advisors to determine whether any such recommendation is consistent with their own investment objectives, financial situation and needs. This report does not recommend to U.S. recipients the use of any of DCMA’s non-U.S. affiliates to effect trades in any security and is not supplied with any understanding
that U.S. recipients of this report will direct commission business to such non-U.S. entities. Unless applicable law permits otherwise, non-U.S. customers wishing to effect a transaction in any securities referenced in this material should contact a Daiwa entity in their local jurisdiction. Most countries throughout the world have their own laws
regulating the types of securities and other investment products which may be offered to their residents, as well as a process for doing so. As a result, the securities discussed in this report may not be eligible for sales in some jurisdictions. Customers wishing to obtain further information about this report should contact DCMA: Daiwa Capital
Markets America Inc., Financial Square, 32 Old Slip, New York, New York 10005 (telephone 212-612-7000).
Ownership of Securities: For “Ownership of Securities” information please visit BlueMatrix disclosure Link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html.
Investment Banking Relationships: For “Investment Banking Relationships” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html.
DCMA Market Making: For “DCMA Market Making” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html.
DISCLAIMER (Cont’d)
Research Analyst Conflicts: For updates on “Research Analyst Conflicts” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html. The principal research analysts who prepared this report have no financial interest in securities of the issuers covered in the report, are not (nor are any members of their household)
an officer, director or advisory board member of the issuer(s) covered in the report, and are not aware of any material relevant conflict of interest involving the analyst or DCMA, and did not receive any compensation from the issuer during the past 12 months except as noted: no exceptions.
Research Analyst Certification: For updates on “Research Analyst Certification” and “Rating System” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html. The views about any and all of the subject securities and issuers expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the research
analyst(s) primarily responsible for this report (or the views of the firm producing the report if no individual analysts[s] is named on the report); and no part of the compensation of such analyst(s) (or no part of the compensation of the firm if no individual analyst[s)] is named on the report) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendations or views contained in this Research Report.
The following explains the rating system in the report as compared to relevant local indices, based on the beliefs of the author of the report.
"1": the security could outperform the local index by more than 15% over the next six months.
"2": the security is expected to outperform the local index by 5-15% over the next six months.
"3": the security is expected to perform within 5% of the local index (better or worse) over the next six months.
"4": the security is expected to underperform the local index by 5-15% over the next six months.
"5": the security could underperform the local index by more than 15% over the next six months.
Additional information may be available upon request.

Japan - additional notification items pursuant to Article 37 of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law
(This Notification is only applicable where report is distributed by Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd.)
If you decide to enter into a business arrangement with us based on the information described in materials presented along with this document, we ask you to pay close attention to the following items.
In addition to the purchase price of a financial instrument, we will collect a trading commission* for each transaction as agreed beforehand with you. Since commissions may be included in the purchase price or may not be charged for certain transactions, we recommend that you confirm the commission for each transaction.
In some cases, we may also charge a maximum of ¥ 2 million (including tax) per year as a standing proxy fee for our deposit of your securities, if you are a non-resident of Japan.
For derivative and margin transactions etc., we may require collateral or margin requirements in accordance with an agreement made beforehand with you. Ordinarily in such cases, the amount of the transaction will be in excess of the required collateral or margin requirements.
There is a risk that you will incur losses on your transactions due to changes in the market price of financial instruments based on fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, stock prices, real estate prices, commodity prices, and others. In addition, depending on the content of the transaction, the loss could exceed the amount of the collateral or
margin requirements.
There may be a difference between bid price etc. and ask price etc. of OTC derivatives handled by us.
Before engaging in any trading, please thoroughly confirm accounting and tax treatments regarding your trading in financial instruments with such experts as certified public accountants.
* The amount of the trading commission cannot be stated here in advance because it will be determined between our company and you based on current market conditions and the content of each transaction etc.
When making an actual transaction, please be sure to carefully read the materials presented to you prior to the execution of agreement, and to take responsibility for your own decisions regarding the signing of the agreement with us.
Corporate Name:                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Financial instruments firm: chief of Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Kin-sho) No.109
Memberships:                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Japan Securities Dealers Association, Financial Futures Association of Japan

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India Coal Sector Captive Mining Primer

  • 1. India Coal Sector A Primer August 2010 Jaideep Goswami Jonas Bhutta Tel: (91) 22 6622 1010 Tel: (91) 22 6622 1008 E-mail: jaideep.goswami@in.daiwacm.com E-mail: jonas.bhutta@in.daiwacm.com Saurabh Mehta Tel: (91) 22 6622 1009 E-mail: saurabh.mehta@in.daiwacm.com
  • 2. Contents Executive summary The allocation and development of mines – Background on mine allocation – Mine development … timelines – The mine-allocation process – Key challenges in the allocation procedure Captive coal mining – Genesis: captive coal mining in India – End-use industries allocated captive mines – Allocation of captive block reserves by state – Estimated reserves – Reasons for the captive mine development delays Coal washeries Annexure 2
  • 3. Executive summary Captive mining. Introduced in 1993 for end use by the operating company (power, cement, and steel), to meet the rising demand for coal and due to the inability of Coal India (CIL) to ramp up production (1993-2009: 208 captive coal blocks allocated with total reserves of about 45bn tonnes). Current output. Twenty-five mines are operating currently, and output for FY10 was about 35m tonnes. The government expects the ramp-up in production at the existing mines and new production to increase output to 80m tonnes by FY12 (about 22 blocks allocated from 1993–2003 are due to be commissioned). Mine-development process. Geological report (two years) > mining plan (six months) > technical committee (three months) > environment approval (EA) and forest approval (FA) (two-to-six years) > land acquisition and mining leases (concurrent with EA and FA, two-to-six years) > production (six-to-12 months). Hurdles to mine development: a) lengthy processes for EA and FA, b) location of a mine in a red-corridor area, c) a lack of mining experience, and d) the joint allocation of mines. 3
  • 4. Executive summary Tides of change (under review by the government) – Captive mining » Single-window approvals. All major approvals to be handled by a central agency before allocation to a developer » Competitive bidding. Based on the average selling price of coal during the lifespan of a mine (to maintain a check on coal prices) – Industry-wide initiatives » Coal regulator. In the 2010-11 Budget, the government suggested setting up regulatory authorities, similar to those for the power sector (Central Electricity Regulatory Commission [CERC] and Central Electricity Authority [CEA] » No-go areas. The Ministry of Environment & Forestry (MOEF) demarcated no-go areas, which we expect to speed up the process of obtaining approvals, currently the biggest hurdle to mine development 4
  • 5. Background on mine allocation Pre Electricity Act era (1993-2003) – CIL and its subsidiaries were the only players – The concept of captive mines was more of a push from the government than a pull from the private sector » In the period many of the mines were allocated to ‘non-serious’ players Post Electricity Act (since 2003) – A conscious decision by the government to increase coal output, due to: » A rising demand-supply gap. At the end of the 11th Five-Year Plan (2007-12 imports would account for 12% of demand, according to the Planning Commission » The inability of CIL to scale up its production growth above 5-6% YoY » The entry of the private sector into power generation has led to more interest in captive mines » To-date, 208 mines have been allocated, most of them from 2005-08 Increasing demand – the supply shortfall supports the case for captive mining 5
  • 6. Mine development … timelines Best-case scenario Ideal scenario Exceptional scenario Production Land acquisition and mining leases Activities/Stages Environmental & forestry approvals Technical committee Mining plan Geological report 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Years taken for completion of each stage 6
  • 7. The mine-allocation process Approvals/procedures Timeline Avg cost (Rs m) Remarks Geological report 2-3 yrs 20-150 Prepared by CMPDIL (a subsidiary of CIL) to estimate the proven reserves, the backbone for preparing the mining plan Mining plan 6 mths Negligible Prepared by recognised qualified persons in collaboration with the applicant Technical-committee approval 2-3 mths n.a. A group of of experts from a number of agencies approve the mining plan Total of 86 approvals required Notification to the allotted company n.a. n.a. The applicant is allocated the mine Production Environment & forestry approvals 2-6 yrs Negligible MOEF Forestry & Environmental Clearance Land acquisition and mining leases 2-6 yrs Rs0.3m/acre and Rs0.3m/family for Runs concurrently with FA & EA relocation Production 6 mths-1yr Rs1,600-2,400/tonne Avg cost of mining from open-cast and underground mines Source: Ministry of Coal, Daiwa 7
  • 8. Forest approval … a backgrounder The MOEF is the agency that awards the final approvals. Most mines are located near rivers and forests, and the conversion of forest land for mining use can be problematic. Brief overview of the procedure for the usage conversion of forest land – Stage 1. Receive approval in principle to convert the forest land by adhering to the rules and regulations of the Coal Bearing Areas Act 1957. The main agencies the application must be reviewed by are shown below – Stage 2. Deforestation in phases by simultaneously implementing the Environment Management Plan Forest sheriff District forest officer In the best-case scenario, an application has to go to Conservator of forest 52 different desks to receive an EC&FC. Conservator of forest - state Secy. Forest - state Stage-1 The minimum time to Minister of forests - state obtain an EC&FC is two years, but can take as Sr. asst. inspector forest (MOEF) - central government long as six years. Forest advisory committee - central government Minister Forest - India Government 8
  • 9. Key challenges in the allocation procedure Our discussions with industry participants highlighted the following challenges. EA and FA appears to pose the greatest hurdles in the mine-development process. – Even if everything is in order it is still necessary for the application to go across at least 52 desks for an FC – The involvement of a large number of agencies in the process creates redundancy Village > Taluka > District > State > Central Government (various ministries) – Public hearings, held by the State Pollution Board and in which all the stakeholders participate, are the most difficult part of obtaining an EC – Having an Environment Management Plan approved should take one-to-two years but can take up to six Land acquisition is another sore point – The lack of a single-window land-acquisition agency means the applicant is dependent on its relationship with locals Issues highlighted by Utkal Coal Co. in a joint review meeting on the progress on captive coal blocks in March 2008. The company was allotted the mine in 1998.
  • 10. However, we expect changes going forward In order to speed up the mine-development process the government has suggested the following ideas: – Single-window approvals. To allocate mines along similar lines to the ultra mega-power projects – Competitive bidding. Undertake competitive bidding for the coal blocks to improve transparency. The bids would be dependent on the average selling price of coal during the life of the mine – Coal regulator. In the 2010-11 Budget, the government suggested setting up regulatory authorities, similar to those for the power sector, CERC and CEA We expect the majority of delayed mines to come on-stream by 2012. We expect many of the captive mines that were allotted from 1993-2009 and delayed to start producing in 2011-12, raising captive coal production from 17m t.p.a for 2007 to 81m t.p.a. for 2012. Meanwhile, mines linked to 12th Five-Year Plan projects will go into production after 2012 90 Captive coal production 80.9 80 70 60 50 37.1 40 29.9 30 21.2 17.6 20 7.8 10.1 13.6 5.5 10 0.7 1.8 3.0 3.8 4.5 0 Source: Ministry of Coal 10
  • 12. Genesis: captive coal mining in India Captive mining is for a company’s own end use (power plant, cement, and steel). A captive-mining policy was introduced in 1993 to meet a rise in coal demand. CIL and its subsidiaries were unable to meet demand. As more than 70% of incremental power capacity is based on coal, the supply of coal is crucial to meeting the rising demand for power. Some 208 captive coal mines, with estimated geological reserves of more than 45bn tonnes, were approved from 1993-2009. The first captive block was allocated in 1993 and captive-mine production began in 1997. Currently, 25 captive mines are in production, with output of about 30m tonnes for 2009. For 2012, we forecast captive mines to produce more than 80m tonnes. 12
  • 13. Captive coal mining in India Allocation of captive blocks 250 200 24 150 52 100 53 208 50 24 5 21 0 1993 - 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA Captive mines were first allocated in 1993, with a total of 19 blocks allocated by 2002 and 21 blocks allocated in 2003. To date, 208 coal blocks have been allocated for captive mining to reduce the demand-supply gap. 13
  • 14. End-use industries allocated captive mines Breakdown of end-use industries Small & Isolated UMPP's Cement 1.0% 4.8% Coal to liquid 3.8% 1.0% Power Commercial Mining 39.9% 18.8% Iron & Steel 30.8% Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA Captive coal mines were allocated for companies own use in the power, iron and steel, and cement sectors as well as others. Coal-based capacity additions totalling 100GW are targeted in the 11th and 12th Five-Year Plans. 14
  • 15. Allocation of captive block reserves by state Breakdown of allocated reserves by state West Bengal Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh 6.6% 1.4% 0.3% Chhattisgarh Orissa 21.7% 21.4% Overall, reserves of more than 45bn tonnes have been allocated Maharashtra 13.1% Jharkhand 26.6% Madhya Pradesh 9.0% Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA Most of the captive coal blocks are located in difficult operating areas (red corridor) and have low grades of coal (high ash content). 15
  • 16. Estimated reserves Coal reserves allocated from 1993-2009 bn tonnes units 60 20 18 50 16 14 40 12 30 10 17.6 8 20 11.9 6 4 10 3.3 3.1 3.4 4.2 2 2.2 0 0 1993 - 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Coal reserves Coal Blocks allocated Source: Ministry of Coal, CEA To-date, captive coal blocks with estimated reserves of more than 45bn tonnes have been allocated. 16
  • 17. Mines allocated (1993-2003) – 23 blocks have started production Usha Martin Ltd. GR– 29.76m tonnes 6 years WBPDCL/BECML GR– 8 m tonnes 6 years KPCL GR– 152.52m tonnes 6 years Arunachal PMDCL Commercial – 27m tonnes 4 years Prakash Industries Ltd. GR– 34.48m tonnes 4 years PSEB GR– 562m tonnes 5 years RASL now SEML GR– 156m tonnes 9 years Jayaswal Neco Ltd. GR– 125m tonnes 8 years Jindal Power Ltd. GR– 246m tonnes 9 years GR– 106m tonnes Monnct Ispat Ltd. 9 years JSPL Ltd. 3 years GR– 124m tonnes BLA Industries 9 Years Usage – Small Isolated Dispensation, GR– 9.3m tonnes WBPDCL/BECML 2 years GR– 125.71m tonnes WBSEB/BECML 2 years GR– 84.47m tonnes GR– 22.55m tonnes INDAL/HINDALCO 10 years CESC Ltd 10 years GR– 140.47m tonnes 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Achieved peak-rated capacity Usage – sponge iron Usage – power Government Source: Ministry of Coal 17
  • 18. Mines allocated (1993-2003) – 15 are due to start production in 2010 Shree Baidyanath Ayurved 7 years GR– 36m tonnes Bhusan GR– 80m tonnes 7 years Gondwana Ispat GR– 31.5m tonnes 7 years Field Mining & Ispat GR– 38m tonnes 7 years JSPL Ltd. GR– 140.47m tonnes 7 years TVNL GR– 140.47m tonnes 7 years CMDC GR– 259.47m tonnes 7 years OMDC GR– 153.31m tonnes 7 years GVK Power GR– 92.3m tonnes 9 years B.S Ispat Years 9 years GR– 34.34m tonnes Monnct Ispat Ltd. 11 years GR– 106m tonnes Utkal Coal Ltd 12 years GR– 208.77m tonnes WBPDCL 14 years GR– 125.71m tonnes Years IISCO/SAIL 14 years GR– 285m tonnes 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Usage – sponge iron Usage – power Usage – others Government Source: Ministry of Coal 18
  • 19. Captive coal blocks allocated in 2004 Breakdown of allocated mines Ownership of the mines allocated Private Joint, 0% 1 20.0% Government 4 80.0% Individual , 100% Source: Ministry of Coal Source: Ministry of Coal One coal block was allocated to National Aluminium (NACL IN, Rs430 , 5), most of the approvals are in progress, but land acquisition is being held up by a boundary dispute. Approvals for another three mines are in progress and the government expects the mines to start production by FY11. For NTPC’s (NATP IN, Rs194.1, 1) mines, the lack of evacuation infrastructure is a major hurdle to developing its mines. Note: The details of each block are available from us 19
  • 20. Captive coal blocks allocated in 2005 Breakdown of allocated mines Ownership of the allocated mines Joint, 8% Government 8 33.3% Private 16 66.7% Individual , 92% Source: Ministry of Coal Source: Ministry of Coal Of the eight blocks allocated to government-owned companies, one block that was allocated to DVC (Not listed) was de-allocated by the Ministry of Coal, while four of the seven remaining blocks are expected by the government to start production between 2010-11. Three mines have started production, five are expected by the government to start production in 2010-11, while approvals for the others are in progress. Note: The details of each block are available from us 20
  • 21. Captive coal blocks allocated in 2006 Breakdown of the allocated mines Ownership of the allocated mines Joint, 36% Private 21 39.6% Government 32 Individual , 60.4% 64% Source: Ministry of Coal Source: Ministry of Coal There has been no significant progress on the approvals for most of the mines allocated to the government companies. Of the mines allocated in 2006 to private companies, 16 are expected by the government to start production by 2010-11, subject to approval by MOEF. Note: The details of each block are available from us 21
  • 22. Captive coal blocks allocated in 2007 Breakdown of the allocated mines Ownership of the allocated mines Joint, 13% Private 18 34.6% Government 34 65.4% Individual , 87% Source: Ministry of Coal Source: Ministry of Coal There has been no significant progress in receiving approvals for most of the mines allocated to the government companies. Progress by the private players has been relatively better, with eight mines expected by the government to start production between 2011 and 2013. Note: The details of each block are available from us 22
  • 23. Captive coal blocks allocated in 2008 Breakdown of the allocated mines Ownership of the allocated mines Government 4 Individual 16.7% 37.5% Private Joint 20 56% 83.3% Source: Ministry of Coal Source: Ministry of Coal No progress in any of the four mines allocated to the public-sector units as the blocks are either unexplored or only partially explored. There has been progress for only four of the mines allocated to the private companies (expected to begin production between 2011 and 2014). There has been no significant progress on the other 16 mines, most of which were jointly allocated. Note: The details of each block are available from us 23
  • 24. Captive coal blocks allocated in 2009 Breakdown of the allocated mines Ownership of the allocated mines Joint, 56% Government 1 33.3% Individual , 44% Private 2 66.7% Source: Ministry of Coal Source: Ministry of Coal The East of Damogoria (Kalyaneshwari) block was allocated to WBPDCL. Two coal blocks, North of Arkhapal and Ramchandi, were allocated to Tata-Sasol and Jindal Steel & Power (JSP IN, Rs654.3 , 2), respectively, for coal-to-lignite projects. Both these private entities have provided bank guarantees. Note: The details of each block are available from us 24
  • 25. Reasons for captive-coal-mine development delays There is a lack of mining experience on the part of the private developers and a lack of initiative by the government companies, in our view. The locations of the captive coal blocks. – Mostly in the red-corridor area (impoverished regions in the east of India that experience considerable Naxalite Maoist militant activity) – No support from the state governments in terms of security Land acquisition – The relationship between the local people and the district authorities is key, in our view – A lack of initiative from the state governments in expediting land acquisitions Forest approvals – Most of the mines are located on forest land and converting forest land to other uses is a very lengthy and tedious process (it takes from five-to-seven years) – Applications have to go pass over at least 52 desks to receive approval 25
  • 26. Reasons for captive-coal-mine development delays Environment approvals The process is very academic in nature A lack of on-the-ground experience for those responsible for approvals No set standards for obtaining the approvals; it comes down to the interpretation of the individuals responsible A ‘public hearing’ can be the most difficult part of the environment clearances for a miner as all stakeholders involved are party to the decision-making process of providing the approval Joint allocation (an obstacle to development that accounts for on 20% of total captive allocation) Some 44 captive mines with geological reserves of more than 12bn tonnes have been allotted jointly There has been no consultation among the various developers involved Differences in the financial status (a lack of financial strength for the joint-venture partner) and objectives and timelines for the mines use by the developers 26
  • 27. A step in the right direction The MOEF has demarcated clearly the no-go areas (require approval from the prime minister’s office). We expect this to speed up the process of obtaining approvals, which is currently the biggest hurdle to developing captive mines. 27
  • 29. Coal washeries India coal has a high ash content (30-45%, compared with 15-20% for that from countries such as Australia, South Africa, the US, and Indonesia). The cleaning of coal (coal beneficiation) assumes an importance from the environmental and long-distance transportation point of view. There is an emphasis on coal washing, because the MOEF and the India Government require that washed coal be used for power plants. After 22m t.p.a. of coal is washed, the ash content is 34-38% and 4-4.5m t.p.a. is rejected as the ash content is 57-62%. Handling such a large rejected amount in an environmentally-friendly manner is one of the biggest challenges faced by the coal-washery operators. In coal-beneficiation plants, 15-20% of the coal is rejected. 29
  • 30. Coal washeries At the end of the 1990s, the MOEF recommended that power plants located in urban/sensitive areas and those located more than 1,000km from the pit head should use coal with an ash content of less than 34%. This percentage was fixed after studies undertaken by DuetscheMortanConsult (Germany) and Mott. Macdonald (UK) indicated that when India coal was cleaned to a level where the ash content was 34%, it retained in general 95% or more of its energy. The mining and power companies have resisted the implementation of the recommendations as the transportation costs do not offset the incremental costs incurred from washing the coal. 30
  • 31. Coal washeries – economics Capex for setting up 1m tonnes of capacity – Rs100-150m. Coal-washing costs. – Power – Rs90-100/tonne – Cement – Rs100-150/tonne – Sponge iron – Rs150-170/tonne – Steel – Rs250-300/tonne The existing capacity-utilisation rate on an aggregate basis is 60%. 31
  • 32. High ash content – the need for coal washing India coal has a high ash content as it is supposed to have been formed according to the drift theory. In addition to the ash, there is dilution in the quality of coal due to mining and related activities. From 1970-71, open-cast mining accounted for only 20% of production. Currently, about 85% of coal is produced through open-cast mining. Due to dilution, the quality of coal (GCV) has been deteriorating. – In the early 1960s the GCV was about 5,900 kcal/kg – By the 1970s the GCV was about 5,250 kcal/kg – By the 1980s the GCV was about 4,200 kcal/kg – By the 1990s the GCV was about 4,000 kcal/kg – Currently, the GCV is about 3,500 kcal/kg 32
  • 33. Coal washeries in India Existing coking coal washing capacity Existing non-coking coal washing capacity Others 2.8% Others Indo Unique Flame TISCO 12.1% CIL 4.8% 15.9% 18.9% JSPL 5.3% DPL 4.5% Bhatia Int 7.6% SAIL 11.7% CIL Aryan 65.1% Global coal 4.5% 30.0% Gupta Source: Ministry of Coal 16.9% Source: Ministry of Coal Aryan Coal (Not listed) is the largest player in India’s coal-washery business with an operational capacity of 32m t.p.a., which will be scaled up to 58m t.p.a. by 2012 (including subsidiaries and capacity under construction). 33
  • 34. Geographic spread of the coal washeries Spread of coal washeries by state Uttar Pradesh Andhra Pradesh Orissa 4.0% 3.6% 6.7% Chhattisgarh 33.6% Maharashtra 36.9% MP Jharkhand 0.3% 14.9% Source: Ministry of Coal 34
  • 35. Issues faced by the coal washeries The availability of basic infrastructure: land, water, and power. The disposal of rejected coal. – The availability of land for setting up washeries – Cleaning coal to lower its ash content results in a loss of heat value from the rejected coal, ie, the quantity of rejected coal currently is far in excess of the ash percentage. Maintaining the quality of clean coal: there are no controls on the quality of the input coal. The development of reliable and accurate sensors to monitor coal quality. Cleaning and dewatering of ultra-fine coal. The desulphurisation of high-sulphur coal. The application of dry-coal beneficiation processes for arid regions. 35
  • 36. Hurdles The development of coal washeries in India has not kept pace with the rise in demand for coal. – Assurances on the supply of quantity and the quality of coal (both physical and chemical from the linked source) – The availability of land for setting up washeries – The availability of land for the disposal of washery waste, ie, rejected coal – Access to the necessary infrastructure, such as power, water, and railway sidings The sourcing of coal from one company (CIL mostly) and having it washed by another agency has inherent risks. — Adds to the cost of fuel, not passed through for regulated tariffs — Private capacity that is set up already — As a result of the possibility of the illicit transfer of coal between the coal-washing companies and the coal suppliers, CIL would record a loss 36
  • 37. Annexure I The Red Corridor An impoverished region in the east of India that experiences considerable Naxalite Maoist militant activity. Source: Wikimedia Commons 37
  • 38. Annexure II Drift theory This theory suggests that plant material was transported by stream action from their place of growth and deposited in places such as lakes or the sea like other sediment. The coal seams of India are of drift origin. The drift theory may be summarised as follows. – The plant material from the coal forest was transported by water and deposited in lakes or the sea just like other sediment – During transportation the various materials were sorted out as usual, in accordance with their specific gravities. – Pure coal seams were formed in places where only the lightest material (plant material) had access – A stream with shale bands was formed in places where a temporary change in the water currents and hence the nature of sediment occurred – Rapid and frequent oscillatory earth movements gave rise to several coal seams, one above the other, separated by sediment 38
  • 39. Appendix – coal washeries Pre-dominant separating principles. – Separation based on the differences in the relative density (RD) of coal and the associated mineral matter; pure coal has an RD of about 1.3 and associated mineral matter commonly has an RD of more than 2.2 – Separation based on differences in the surface properties of coal and the associated mineral matter; coal is hydrophobic, while the associated mineral matter is generally hydrophilic Pre-dominant processes. – Heavy/dense-media separation – based on simulating the effect of using a liquid of appropriate density to effect a float/sink separation of coal from the associated mineral matter – Jig washing – a process that relies on the pulsation of water through the particle bed to stratify particles of different density. Higher-RD shale particles form the lower layers, and are separated from the clean coal by use of a shale-discharge system 39
  • 40. DISCLAIMER This publication is produced by Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. and/or its non-U.S. affiliates, and distributed by Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. and/or its non-U.S. affiliates, except to the extent expressly provided herein. This publication and the contents hereof are intended for information purposes only, and may be subject to change without further notice. Any use, disclosure, distribution, dissemination, copying, printing or reliance on this publication for any other purpose without our prior consent or approval is strictly prohibited. Neither Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. nor any of its respective parent, holding, subsidiaries or affiliates, nor any of its respective directors, officers, servants and employees, represent nor warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or as to the existence of other facts which might be significant, and will not accept any responsibility or liability whatsoever for any use of or reliance upon this publication or any of the contents hereof. Neither this publication, nor any content hereof, constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any of the securities or investments mentioned herein in any country or jurisdiction nor, unless expressly provided, any recommendation or investment opinion or advice. Any view, recommendation, opinion or advice expressed in this publication may not necessarily reflect those of Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. 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  • 41. DISCLAIMER (Cont’d) Research Analyst Conflicts: For updates on “Research Analyst Conflicts” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html. The principal research analysts who prepared this report have no financial interest in securities of the issuers covered in the report, are not (nor are any members of their household) an officer, director or advisory board member of the issuer(s) covered in the report, and are not aware of any material relevant conflict of interest involving the analyst or DCMA, and did not receive any compensation from the issuer during the past 12 months except as noted: no exceptions. Research Analyst Certification: For updates on “Research Analyst Certification” and “Rating System” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at http://www2.us.daiwacm.com/report_disclosure.html. The views about any and all of the subject securities and issuers expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the research analyst(s) primarily responsible for this report (or the views of the firm producing the report if no individual analysts[s] is named on the report); and no part of the compensation of such analyst(s) (or no part of the compensation of the firm if no individual analyst[s)] is named on the report) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this Research Report. The following explains the rating system in the report as compared to relevant local indices, based on the beliefs of the author of the report. "1": the security could outperform the local index by more than 15% over the next six months. "2": the security is expected to outperform the local index by 5-15% over the next six months. "3": the security is expected to perform within 5% of the local index (better or worse) over the next six months. "4": the security is expected to underperform the local index by 5-15% over the next six months. "5": the security could underperform the local index by more than 15% over the next six months. Additional information may be available upon request. Japan - additional notification items pursuant to Article 37 of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law (This Notification is only applicable where report is distributed by Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd.) If you decide to enter into a business arrangement with us based on the information described in materials presented along with this document, we ask you to pay close attention to the following items. In addition to the purchase price of a financial instrument, we will collect a trading commission* for each transaction as agreed beforehand with you. Since commissions may be included in the purchase price or may not be charged for certain transactions, we recommend that you confirm the commission for each transaction. In some cases, we may also charge a maximum of ¥ 2 million (including tax) per year as a standing proxy fee for our deposit of your securities, if you are a non-resident of Japan. For derivative and margin transactions etc., we may require collateral or margin requirements in accordance with an agreement made beforehand with you. Ordinarily in such cases, the amount of the transaction will be in excess of the required collateral or margin requirements. There is a risk that you will incur losses on your transactions due to changes in the market price of financial instruments based on fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, stock prices, real estate prices, commodity prices, and others. In addition, depending on the content of the transaction, the loss could exceed the amount of the collateral or margin requirements. There may be a difference between bid price etc. and ask price etc. of OTC derivatives handled by us. Before engaging in any trading, please thoroughly confirm accounting and tax treatments regarding your trading in financial instruments with such experts as certified public accountants. * The amount of the trading commission cannot be stated here in advance because it will be determined between our company and you based on current market conditions and the content of each transaction etc. When making an actual transaction, please be sure to carefully read the materials presented to you prior to the execution of agreement, and to take responsibility for your own decisions regarding the signing of the agreement with us. Corporate Name: Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. Financial instruments firm: chief of Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Kin-sho) No.109 Memberships: Japan Securities Dealers Association, Financial Futures Association of Japan