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CLIMATE-ENERGY NEXUS:
RISK, RESILIENCY, AND
RECOURSE
C. Adam Schlosser
MIT CGCS/JP
Along with colleagues and support from:
Potential impacts of climate
warming and increased
summer heat stress on the
electric grid: A case study for a
large power transformer (LPT)
in the Northeast United States:
X. Gao, C. A. Schlosser and E.
Morgan, Climatic
Change,https://doi.org/10.1007/
s10584-017-2114-x
Network of “Critical”
Large Power
Transformers over
Northeast U.S.
PREDICTION CHALLENGE:
INFORMATIVE PROJECTIONS
OF DAMAGING EVENTS TO
CRITICAL ASSETS
NEEDS TO BE RISK-
BASED…
Gao et al., 2017
Case Study on Extreme Summer Heat
MITIGATION – UNDERLYING RISK IS LIKELY TO
BE DOUBLED.
NO ACTIONS - RISK COULD BE QUADRUPLED.
WE ARE ADVANCING METHODS OF CLIMATE
PREDICTION TO IMPROVE CONSENSUS AND SKILL
APPLY TO LOCATION AND SPECIFICATIONS OF
“CRITICAL” TRANSFORMERS.
Other Extremes
STRONG
MITIGATI
ON
NO
MITIGATI
ON
OLDNEWOLDNEW
ChangeinHeat
WaveFrequency
PerYear
Late21stCentury
THANK YOU
globalchange.mit.edu
INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE, ENGINEERING, ECONOMICS, MACHINE LEARNING,
DECISION-MAKING, TECHNOLOGY, POLICY, POLITICS, AND EDUCATION
BRINGING THIS ALL TO SCALE…
A GLOBAL-SCALE CHALLENGE TO CONFRONT: SUSTAIN
THE CHANGING, GROWING, COMPLEX, AND LINKED
SYSTEMS OF THE NATURAL, MANAGED, AND BUILT
ENVIRONMENTS

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Climate-Energy Nexus: Risk, Resiliency, and Recourse - Adam Schlosser

  • 1. CLIMATE-ENERGY NEXUS: RISK, RESILIENCY, AND RECOURSE C. Adam Schlosser MIT CGCS/JP Along with colleagues and support from: Potential impacts of climate warming and increased summer heat stress on the electric grid: A case study for a large power transformer (LPT) in the Northeast United States: X. Gao, C. A. Schlosser and E. Morgan, Climatic Change,https://doi.org/10.1007/ s10584-017-2114-x
  • 2.
  • 3. Network of “Critical” Large Power Transformers over Northeast U.S. PREDICTION CHALLENGE: INFORMATIVE PROJECTIONS OF DAMAGING EVENTS TO CRITICAL ASSETS NEEDS TO BE RISK- BASED… Gao et al., 2017
  • 4. Case Study on Extreme Summer Heat MITIGATION – UNDERLYING RISK IS LIKELY TO BE DOUBLED. NO ACTIONS - RISK COULD BE QUADRUPLED. WE ARE ADVANCING METHODS OF CLIMATE PREDICTION TO IMPROVE CONSENSUS AND SKILL APPLY TO LOCATION AND SPECIFICATIONS OF “CRITICAL” TRANSFORMERS. Other Extremes STRONG MITIGATI ON NO MITIGATI ON OLDNEWOLDNEW ChangeinHeat WaveFrequency PerYear Late21stCentury
  • 5. THANK YOU globalchange.mit.edu INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE, ENGINEERING, ECONOMICS, MACHINE LEARNING, DECISION-MAKING, TECHNOLOGY, POLICY, POLITICS, AND EDUCATION BRINGING THIS ALL TO SCALE… A GLOBAL-SCALE CHALLENGE TO CONFRONT: SUSTAIN THE CHANGING, GROWING, COMPLEX, AND LINKED SYSTEMS OF THE NATURAL, MANAGED, AND BUILT ENVIRONMENTS

Editor's Notes

  1. Among the biggest and most complex machines ever built. Comprised of thousands of generation units, tens of thousands of transformer units, hundreds of thousands of miles of cables across the continent. Many of its Critical Pieces are Getting Old…Extreme Environmental Events and Conditions Heighten the Risk of Premature Failure
  2. Transformers’ Vital Signs: Average age: 38 to 40 yrs. Expensive ($Millions/Unit) Custom Built (15% Domestic) Heavy to Transport Failure Due to Overheating Overheating: Environmental