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Climate Change in Saboba
District: Reality or Myth?
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD)
STS BUREAU LTD
email: eyilimoan48@gmail.com
Phone: +233 (0)200-876-117
19th July, 2017
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 1 / 22
Motivation: Bush fires
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 2 / 22
Motivation: Bush fires
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 3 / 22
Motivation: Firewood harvesting
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 4 / 22
Outline
1 Weather and Climate
2 Rainfall seasonality
3 2017 seasonal rainfall
4 Annual rainfall patterns
5 Temperature patterns
6 Why are we concern
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 5 / 22
Weather and Climate
Weather: State of the atmostphere of a place at particular time
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 6 / 22
Weather and Climate
Climate: weather conditions prevailing in an area over a long period
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 7 / 22
Rainfall seasonality
−1.5
−1.0
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Anomaly
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
Rainfall seasonality
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 8 / 22
2017 Rainfall Distribution
−2
−1
0
1
2
3
Anomaly
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
Seasonal rainfall distribution in Saboba District for 2017
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 9 / 22
Annual rainfall patterns
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
Annualrainfall[mm]
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year
Slope=7.19
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 10 / 22
Annual rainfall patterns
−2.0
−1.5
−1.0
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Anomaly
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Annual rainfall anomaly
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
rain/noraindays
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 11 / 22
Temperature patterns
27.0
27.5
28.0
28.5
29.0
MeanTemperature[°C]
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year
slope=0.0233
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 12 / 22
Temperature patterns
−2.0
−1.5
−1.0
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Anomaly
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Annual temperature anomaly
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 13 / 22
Harmattan dust
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 14 / 22
Summary
1 Rainfall is highly variable
No pattern in the annual rainfall fluctuation (dry and wet years)
Late onset and early cessation (highly variable)
Annual rainfall concentrated in few rainy days
2 Warming is real in the District. About 1 degree so far
3 Harmattan dust on the rise
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 15 / 22
Why we are concern
Extreme rainfall: Floods
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 16 / 22
Why we are concern
Droughts: Sources of Water
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 17 / 22
Why we are concern
Droughts: Sources of Water
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 18 / 22
Why we are concern
Health: Respiratory infections such as Asthma
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 19 / 22
Take home messages
Climate change is far from an abstract concept in Saboba District
Its already determining the course of people’s lives
eg Floods, flushfloods, wildfires, dust storms
Greater unpredictability in Rainfall patterns: serious consequences
for people who rely on land and water-bodies to feed themselves
and to earn a living.
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 20 / 22
What is the way forward?
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 21 / 22
Thank You !
Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 22 / 22

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Climate Change in Saboba District - Reality or Myth

  • 1. Climate Change in Saboba District: Reality or Myth? Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) STS BUREAU LTD email: eyilimoan48@gmail.com Phone: +233 (0)200-876-117 19th July, 2017 Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 1 / 22
  • 2. Motivation: Bush fires Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 2 / 22
  • 3. Motivation: Bush fires Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 3 / 22
  • 4. Motivation: Firewood harvesting Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 4 / 22
  • 5. Outline 1 Weather and Climate 2 Rainfall seasonality 3 2017 seasonal rainfall 4 Annual rainfall patterns 5 Temperature patterns 6 Why are we concern Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 5 / 22
  • 6. Weather and Climate Weather: State of the atmostphere of a place at particular time Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 6 / 22
  • 7. Weather and Climate Climate: weather conditions prevailing in an area over a long period Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 7 / 22
  • 8. Rainfall seasonality −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Anomaly 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month Rainfall seasonality Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 8 / 22
  • 9. 2017 Rainfall Distribution −2 −1 0 1 2 3 Anomaly 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month Seasonal rainfall distribution in Saboba District for 2017 Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 9 / 22
  • 10. Annual rainfall patterns 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 Annualrainfall[mm] 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year Slope=7.19 Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 10 / 22
  • 11. Annual rainfall patterns −2.0 −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Anomaly 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Annual rainfall anomaly 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 rain/noraindays Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 11 / 22
  • 12. Temperature patterns 27.0 27.5 28.0 28.5 29.0 MeanTemperature[°C] 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year slope=0.0233 Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 12 / 22
  • 13. Temperature patterns −2.0 −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Anomaly 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Annual temperature anomaly Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 13 / 22
  • 14. Harmattan dust Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 14 / 22
  • 15. Summary 1 Rainfall is highly variable No pattern in the annual rainfall fluctuation (dry and wet years) Late onset and early cessation (highly variable) Annual rainfall concentrated in few rainy days 2 Warming is real in the District. About 1 degree so far 3 Harmattan dust on the rise Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 15 / 22
  • 16. Why we are concern Extreme rainfall: Floods Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 16 / 22
  • 17. Why we are concern Droughts: Sources of Water Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 17 / 22
  • 18. Why we are concern Droughts: Sources of Water Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 18 / 22
  • 19. Why we are concern Health: Respiratory infections such as Asthma Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 19 / 22
  • 20. Take home messages Climate change is far from an abstract concept in Saboba District Its already determining the course of people’s lives eg Floods, flushfloods, wildfires, dust storms Greater unpredictability in Rainfall patterns: serious consequences for people who rely on land and water-bodies to feed themselves and to earn a living. Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 20 / 22
  • 21. What is the way forward? Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 21 / 22
  • 22. Thank You ! Edmund Ilimoan Yamba (PhD) (STS) Climate Change Forum 19th July, 2017 22 / 22