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URBANISATION AND URBAN CHANGE 
positioning Santiago de Chile 
Re-evolucion Urbana, International Conference 
Santiago, 08 October 2014 
Philipp Rode, LSE Cities / Urban Age Programme 
London School of Economics and Political Science
GLOBAL POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
0.5% 
of the earth’s surface 
is urbanised 
54% 
of the world’s population 
is urban (2014) 
80% 
of global economic output 
comes from urban areas
URBAN POPULATION SHARE IN SELECTED WORLD REGIONS, 1950-2050 
Source: UN DESA 2014
SOUTH AMERICA | CHILE 89% URBAN
URBAN POPULATION SHARE BY SETTLEMENT SIZE 
Source: UN DESA 2014
LARGE CITIES GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTPUT SHARE (2012) 
Cumulative contribution to global GDP of cities above 0.5 million 
100% 
90% 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Santiago, #69 
69 largest cities =30% of global GDP 
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 
Source: LSE Cities and Oxford Economics 2014
SANTIAGO INDUSTRIAL COMPOSITION BY OUTPUT 
120,000 
100,000 
80,000 
60,000 
40,000 
20,000 
0 
Agriculture Industry Transport, 
Storage, Info, 
Comms 
F&BS Consumer 
services 
Public services 
Santiago GVA by sector 
2012 
2030 
Income of Santiago in 2012 and 2030 (measured as Gross Value Added) 
million US$ 
Source: LSE Cities and Oxford Economics 2014
LONDON | LOCATION OF WORKING AND LIVING 
RESIDENTS 
PEAK 27,100 pp/km2 
EMPLOYMENT 
PEAK 141,600 jobs/km2
URBAN DENSITY | RESIDENTIAL 
SANTIAGO SHANGHAI 
SÃO PAULO NEW YORK 
MUMBAI 
LONDON
SANTIAGO METRO REGION - DENSITY 
6.5m 
Metro Population 
51,800 
Max. Density [pers./sqkm]
MUMBAI METRO REGION - DENSITY 
19.3m 
Metro Population 
25,316 
Avg. density central area 
of 10 km radius [pers./sqkm] 
121,312 
Max. Density [pers./sqkm]
LONDON METRO REGION - DENSITY 
19.0m 
Metro Population 
8,326 
Avg. density central area 
of 10 km radius [pers./sqkm] 
27,100 
Max. Density [pers./sqkm]
VERTICALISATION 
In Shanghai the number of 8 storey building or higher 
increased from 121 in 1980 to 10,045 in 2005
HORIZONTAL EXPANSION - URBAN SPRAWL 
The built-up land in Mexico City grew from 1980 to 2000 
by more than 30%
3x increase 
of urban land from 2000 to 2030 (Seto et al 2012)
US$400 billion per year 
the external costs of sprawl in the United States
to 80% of energy consumption 
in urban areas 
of global energy-related carbon emissions 
come from urban areas
DISTRIBUTION OF THE LEAST EDUCATED 
SAO PAULO RIO DE JANEIRO BUENOS AIRES 
BOGOTA LIMA
SOCIAL SEGREGATION IN SANTIAGO 
Source: Universidad Adolfo Ibanez, 
Inteligencia Territorial 2014
Cities 
URBAN FORM AND INFRASTRUCTURE: LOCKING IN MOBILITY PATTERNS 
Source: LSE Cities 2014
THE SHARE OF PUBLIC AND NON-MOTORISED TRAVEL 
93% 95% 
73% 
SANTIAGO 
SÃO PAULO ISTANBUL 
MUMBAI 
LONDON 
HONG KONG 
71% 86% 63%
CONGESTION: LOSS OF PRODUCTIVITY IN URBAN AREAS 
Up to 15% of GDP in Beijing (Creutzig and He 2009); 
Buenos Aires 3.4%, Mexico City 2.6% and Dakar 3.4% (World Bank 2002)
LOCAL AIR POLLUTION 
For 311 cities, 86% exceed WHO air quality guidelines equating to 730,000 
premature deaths
compact, connected, coordinated 
urban growth, built around mass public transport, can create cities that 
are economically dynamic, healthier, and that have lower emissions.
GOVERNING CITIES – THE METROPOLITAN DILEMMA 
LONDON NEW YORK MUMBAI 
SHANGHAI ISTANBUL SAO PAULO
WHO IS LEADING KEY POLICY SECTORS? 
Level of influence of different tiers of government 
3 
2 
2 
2 
1 
0 
2 
4 
2 
4 
3 
8 
10 
18 
13 
13 
25 
14 
17 
25 
32 
22 
2 
1 
2 
3 
4 
1 
2 
6 
2 
2 
4 
14 
16 
8 
11 
6 
5 
11 
16 
8 
2 
9 
23 
25 
19 
13 
18 
26 
15 
11 
10 
14 
8 
1 
2 
1 
0 
0 
0 
0 
0 
2 
2 
0 
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 
Spatial planning 
Culture 
Utilities 
Urban transport 
Housing 
Social services 
Policing and security 
Environment 
Economic development 
Education 
Health 
below city city metropolitan state national other
Presentación de Philipp Rode en Chile: Reevolución Urbana

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Presentación de Philipp Rode en Chile: Reevolución Urbana

  • 1. URBANISATION AND URBAN CHANGE positioning Santiago de Chile Re-evolucion Urbana, International Conference Santiago, 08 October 2014 Philipp Rode, LSE Cities / Urban Age Programme London School of Economics and Political Science
  • 3. 0.5% of the earth’s surface is urbanised 54% of the world’s population is urban (2014) 80% of global economic output comes from urban areas
  • 4. URBAN POPULATION SHARE IN SELECTED WORLD REGIONS, 1950-2050 Source: UN DESA 2014
  • 5. SOUTH AMERICA | CHILE 89% URBAN
  • 6. URBAN POPULATION SHARE BY SETTLEMENT SIZE Source: UN DESA 2014
  • 7. LARGE CITIES GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTPUT SHARE (2012) Cumulative contribution to global GDP of cities above 0.5 million 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Santiago, #69 69 largest cities =30% of global GDP 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 Source: LSE Cities and Oxford Economics 2014
  • 8. SANTIAGO INDUSTRIAL COMPOSITION BY OUTPUT 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Agriculture Industry Transport, Storage, Info, Comms F&BS Consumer services Public services Santiago GVA by sector 2012 2030 Income of Santiago in 2012 and 2030 (measured as Gross Value Added) million US$ Source: LSE Cities and Oxford Economics 2014
  • 9. LONDON | LOCATION OF WORKING AND LIVING RESIDENTS PEAK 27,100 pp/km2 EMPLOYMENT PEAK 141,600 jobs/km2
  • 10. URBAN DENSITY | RESIDENTIAL SANTIAGO SHANGHAI SÃO PAULO NEW YORK MUMBAI LONDON
  • 11. SANTIAGO METRO REGION - DENSITY 6.5m Metro Population 51,800 Max. Density [pers./sqkm]
  • 12. MUMBAI METRO REGION - DENSITY 19.3m Metro Population 25,316 Avg. density central area of 10 km radius [pers./sqkm] 121,312 Max. Density [pers./sqkm]
  • 13. LONDON METRO REGION - DENSITY 19.0m Metro Population 8,326 Avg. density central area of 10 km radius [pers./sqkm] 27,100 Max. Density [pers./sqkm]
  • 14.
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  • 16.
  • 17. VERTICALISATION In Shanghai the number of 8 storey building or higher increased from 121 in 1980 to 10,045 in 2005
  • 18. HORIZONTAL EXPANSION - URBAN SPRAWL The built-up land in Mexico City grew from 1980 to 2000 by more than 30%
  • 19. 3x increase of urban land from 2000 to 2030 (Seto et al 2012)
  • 20. US$400 billion per year the external costs of sprawl in the United States
  • 21. to 80% of energy consumption in urban areas of global energy-related carbon emissions come from urban areas
  • 22. DISTRIBUTION OF THE LEAST EDUCATED SAO PAULO RIO DE JANEIRO BUENOS AIRES BOGOTA LIMA
  • 23. SOCIAL SEGREGATION IN SANTIAGO Source: Universidad Adolfo Ibanez, Inteligencia Territorial 2014
  • 24. Cities URBAN FORM AND INFRASTRUCTURE: LOCKING IN MOBILITY PATTERNS Source: LSE Cities 2014
  • 25. THE SHARE OF PUBLIC AND NON-MOTORISED TRAVEL 93% 95% 73% SANTIAGO SÃO PAULO ISTANBUL MUMBAI LONDON HONG KONG 71% 86% 63%
  • 26.
  • 27. CONGESTION: LOSS OF PRODUCTIVITY IN URBAN AREAS Up to 15% of GDP in Beijing (Creutzig and He 2009); Buenos Aires 3.4%, Mexico City 2.6% and Dakar 3.4% (World Bank 2002)
  • 28. LOCAL AIR POLLUTION For 311 cities, 86% exceed WHO air quality guidelines equating to 730,000 premature deaths
  • 29. compact, connected, coordinated urban growth, built around mass public transport, can create cities that are economically dynamic, healthier, and that have lower emissions.
  • 30. GOVERNING CITIES – THE METROPOLITAN DILEMMA LONDON NEW YORK MUMBAI SHANGHAI ISTANBUL SAO PAULO
  • 31. WHO IS LEADING KEY POLICY SECTORS? Level of influence of different tiers of government 3 2 2 2 1 0 2 4 2 4 3 8 10 18 13 13 25 14 17 25 32 22 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 6 2 2 4 14 16 8 11 6 5 11 16 8 2 9 23 25 19 13 18 26 15 11 10 14 8 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Spatial planning Culture Utilities Urban transport Housing Social services Policing and security Environment Economic development Education Health below city city metropolitan state national other