This document discusses channels in technical analysis. It defines different types of channels - narrow sideways, ascending, and descending - and provides strategies for trading breakouts and breakdowns from each type of channel. The key points are:
1) Narrow sideways channels are easiest to trade, with buys on breakouts above and sells on breakdowns below. Targets are the size of the channel range.
2) In ascending channels, the preferred trades are buys on dips to support and sells on breakdowns below. Breakouts are avoided as they may be late entries.
3) In descending channels, sells at resistance are preferred and buys are avoided. Breakouts above signal trend changes and can be bought.
The document discusses the technical analysis of the Indian equity markets and argues that the markets are currently in a bullish ascending triangle pattern. It notes that the Nifty has formed a 5-year ascending triangle and is nearing a breakout point that could lead to explosive moves upwards. Global markets are also experiencing bullish breakouts from long-term patterns. The analysis concludes that the markets are at a critical support level and recommends a bullish investing strategy of buying on dips in anticipation of an upwards breakout in the coming months.
This document provides a summary of Fibonacci retracement and extension levels used in technical analysis of financial markets. It discusses how retracements occur within trends as the market pulls back and buyers step in to continue the direction of the trend. Popular Fibonacci retracement levels of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6% are described. Extensions are used to project potential price targets. The document then analyzes a chart of the USDJPY market to demonstrate how these concepts can be applied to anticipate market moves.
The document provides a technical analysis of currency pairs USDINR, EURINR, GBPINR, and JPYINR against the Indian rupee. It finds that USDINR has reversed its trend and is in an uptrend, while EURINR has changed from a downtrend to a short-term uptrend. GBPINR continues its downtrend despite uptrends in USDINR and EURINR. JPYINR remains in a major downtrend and is trading in a narrow range. It provides indicators and levels for each currency pair, noting upside and downside targets based on technical patterns and signals.
The document provides analysis of the Indian stock market and makes predictions based on technical indicators. It summarizes that:
1) The Sensex and Nifty indexes tend to form important short-term bottoms when the RSI indicator reaches oversold levels between 35-45.
2) India's VIX volatility index similarly indicates market bottoms when rising to between 30-40, as major post-2010 bottoms have occurred in this range.
3) A dollar-denominated index of the Sensex testing previous election breakout levels suggests the potential for a sharp rally in Indian stocks in the coming months if this support holds.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Indian stock market index Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Tata Motors stock. It analyzes indicators like price patterns, moving averages, MACD, and RSI to make recommendations. For Nifty, it recommends buying above 8180 and selling around 8250. For Bank Nifty, it recommends buying above 16220 and selling on a rise around 16000. For Tata Motors, it recommends buying at 535 with a target price of 580.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks to consider. It analyzes the short-term trends of the QE Index, Ooredoo, Al Rayan Islamic Index, Qatari Investors Group, Barwa Real Estate Co., and Nakilat, finding they have rebounded after recent falls but remain uncertain. It also provides a table outlining the short- and long-term trends, support and resistance levels of these and other Qatari stocks.
Option Queen Newsletter July 20, 2014 with chartsScutify
- Old vintage clothing and selling homes as a "for sale by owner" are ways for people to make extra cash when money gets tight. Listing a home as FSBO can save the 6% realtor commission, and MLS services allow FSBO listings for about $295. Basic photography for online listings costs $100-350.
- The stock markets were up last week despite global chaos, as the conflicts have not impacted the US economy. Interest rates remain low, benefiting the stock market, though rates will likely rise eventually.
- Most market indexes rallied or traded range-bound last week. Indicators show mixed signals across indexes, with some pointing higher and others lower or neutral. The document analy
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term pullback trends. It finds that the QE Index, Al Rayan Islamic Index, and most analyzed stocks like Medicare Group, Barwa Real Estate, and Qatar International Islamic Bank are in short-term downtrends and recommends levels to watch for further weakness or potential rebounds. The analysis also provides historical trend data and support and resistance levels to inform traders' and investors' short and long-term perspectives.
The document discusses the technical analysis of the Indian equity markets and argues that the markets are currently in a bullish ascending triangle pattern. It notes that the Nifty has formed a 5-year ascending triangle and is nearing a breakout point that could lead to explosive moves upwards. Global markets are also experiencing bullish breakouts from long-term patterns. The analysis concludes that the markets are at a critical support level and recommends a bullish investing strategy of buying on dips in anticipation of an upwards breakout in the coming months.
This document provides a summary of Fibonacci retracement and extension levels used in technical analysis of financial markets. It discusses how retracements occur within trends as the market pulls back and buyers step in to continue the direction of the trend. Popular Fibonacci retracement levels of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6% are described. Extensions are used to project potential price targets. The document then analyzes a chart of the USDJPY market to demonstrate how these concepts can be applied to anticipate market moves.
The document provides a technical analysis of currency pairs USDINR, EURINR, GBPINR, and JPYINR against the Indian rupee. It finds that USDINR has reversed its trend and is in an uptrend, while EURINR has changed from a downtrend to a short-term uptrend. GBPINR continues its downtrend despite uptrends in USDINR and EURINR. JPYINR remains in a major downtrend and is trading in a narrow range. It provides indicators and levels for each currency pair, noting upside and downside targets based on technical patterns and signals.
The document provides analysis of the Indian stock market and makes predictions based on technical indicators. It summarizes that:
1) The Sensex and Nifty indexes tend to form important short-term bottoms when the RSI indicator reaches oversold levels between 35-45.
2) India's VIX volatility index similarly indicates market bottoms when rising to between 30-40, as major post-2010 bottoms have occurred in this range.
3) A dollar-denominated index of the Sensex testing previous election breakout levels suggests the potential for a sharp rally in Indian stocks in the coming months if this support holds.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Indian stock market index Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Tata Motors stock. It analyzes indicators like price patterns, moving averages, MACD, and RSI to make recommendations. For Nifty, it recommends buying above 8180 and selling around 8250. For Bank Nifty, it recommends buying above 16220 and selling on a rise around 16000. For Tata Motors, it recommends buying at 535 with a target price of 580.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks to consider. It analyzes the short-term trends of the QE Index, Ooredoo, Al Rayan Islamic Index, Qatari Investors Group, Barwa Real Estate Co., and Nakilat, finding they have rebounded after recent falls but remain uncertain. It also provides a table outlining the short- and long-term trends, support and resistance levels of these and other Qatari stocks.
Option Queen Newsletter July 20, 2014 with chartsScutify
- Old vintage clothing and selling homes as a "for sale by owner" are ways for people to make extra cash when money gets tight. Listing a home as FSBO can save the 6% realtor commission, and MLS services allow FSBO listings for about $295. Basic photography for online listings costs $100-350.
- The stock markets were up last week despite global chaos, as the conflicts have not impacted the US economy. Interest rates remain low, benefiting the stock market, though rates will likely rise eventually.
- Most market indexes rallied or traded range-bound last week. Indicators show mixed signals across indexes, with some pointing higher and others lower or neutral. The document analy
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term pullback trends. It finds that the QE Index, Al Rayan Islamic Index, and most analyzed stocks like Medicare Group, Barwa Real Estate, and Qatar International Islamic Bank are in short-term downtrends and recommends levels to watch for further weakness or potential rebounds. The analysis also provides historical trend data and support and resistance levels to inform traders' and investors' short and long-term perspectives.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks to consider. It finds that the QE Index and most mentioned stocks are in an upmove in the short-term. Specifically, the QE Index is approaching resistance at 13,584, Nakilat has bounced back above resistances and may continue rising to QR24.45, and Qatar Islamic Bank cleared resistances and is expected to reach QR117.40. Most other stocks analyzed, including Industries Qatar, Mazya Qatar Real Estate Development, and Al Rayan Islamic Index, are also in short-term upmove modes.
- The NEPSE index declined 1.43% over the past week to close at 924.60 points on lower trading volumes.
- Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD signal a short-term bullish trend remains intact, though the market outlook remains uncertain.
- Immediate support and resistance levels for NEPSE are seen at 919 and 938 respectively. The index closed above its mid-Bollinger band, suggesting further upside is possible if it holds above support.
- On-balance volume was positive despite the fall in NEPSE, indicating the decline was likely due to profit-taking rather than significant selling pressure.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term trends as pullbacks for most. It finds the QE Index may extend losses toward 13,800, the QERI Index could push lower to 4,673, and Doha Bank may drift toward QR58. However, it identifies Vodafone Qatar as potentially rebounding above its 21-day moving average toward QR21.97. Overall it adopts a cautiously bearish short-term outlook while maintaining some prospects for rebounds.
Daily Technical Trader - Qatar April 04, 2016QNB Group
Traded activity dropped even further in
the start of the week and the month for
that matter. The Index is at important
level and breaking below the 10,250 could
take us back to the 10,100 in the very
short term then 10,000 points.
QNBFS Daily Technical Trader - Qatar for January 18, 2018Aicha El-Mamy
The Index dropped slightly but it remains inside the short-term uptrend channel seen on both time frames. The bearish reversal tweezers-top formation has not been confirmed yet, and market participants remain uncertain on the current direction of the market around these levels. If the Index breaks above the 9,253, then expect an upswing. Otherwise, we may see further correction.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QSE Index and key Qatari stocks. It finds that the QSE Index and Al Rayan Islamic Index are in short-term uptrends, supported by technical indicators. Several stocks are also seen as being in short-term uptrends, including Milaha, Gulf International Services, and Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development. Technical analysis is used to identify trends, patterns, and price support and resistance levels to determine whether stocks will continue rising or potentially consolidate.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term pullback trends. It finds that the QE Index and Al Rayan Islamic Index have shed points in recent sessions and momentum indicators point downward, suggesting further declines. Similarly, it identifies short-term pullback trends for Qatar Electricity & Water Co., Qatar Islamic Bank, Al Meera Consumer Goods Co., and Barwa Real Estate Co. based on losses of late and bearish technical indicators. Support and resistance levels are also provided to analyze future price directions.
This document provides an introduction to technical analysis tools and techniques. It begins by explaining different types of stock price charts, including line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts. It then discusses moving averages and how they can be used to identify trends. Support and resistance levels are explained as important trend lines. The document also covers envelopes, Bollinger Bands, and Parabolic SAR as additional technical indicators. It emphasizes that these tools should be used together to analyze trends and identify entry and exit points for trades.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and recommends several Qatari stocks to consider. It finds that the QE Index maintained bullish momentum, recording another all-time high and may rally further. It recommends several stocks as short-term buys based on their breakouts above resistances, including Al Khalij Commercial Bank, Qatari Investors Group, Qatar International Islamic Bank, and Vodafone Qatar. Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD support further upward moves in these stocks.
The document provides a technical analysis of currency pairs USDINR, EURINR, GBPINR, and JPYINR against the Indian rupee. For each pair, it examines the price pattern, moving averages, MACD, RSI, and ADX indicators to determine short-term trends and potential support and resistance levels. It also lists upcoming economic data releases from the US, Eurozone, and UK and how they could impact the currencies.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Nifty, Bank Nifty, and LIC Housing Finance stock from an Indian equity research firm. It finds that indicators show the Nifty and Bank Nifty rallies are likely to continue higher. For LIC Housing Finance, technical signals and support levels indicate the stock could rise further in the short term. Recommendations are given to buy these stocks on dips or breaks of certain levels.
The document provides an overview of technical analysis techniques including Elliot wave theory. It discusses using moving averages, RSI, stochastic indicators, Bollinger bands and seasonal charting. It then covers Elliot wave patterns in depth, explaining impulse and corrective waves, wave degrees, extensions, truncations, zigzags, flats, triangles, and rules for waves 2 and 4. The document aims to demystify technical analysis and Elliot wave theory for traders.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks. It finds the QE Index is neutral in the short-term as it holds above the 14,100 level. Doha Bank is expected to experience further decline in the short-term due to breaching an important support level and declining indicators. Industries Qatar is predicted to rebound with potential to rise to QR198, supported by a bullish formation and rising volume. Barwa Real Estate is assessed as likely to decline due to resistance and weakening indicators.
Weekly Outlook for Precious Metal, Energy and Metals (27/03/2017 to 31/03/2017)equitypandit
GOLD (28793) closed the week on a positive note gaining around 1.00%.
As we have mentioned last week that resistance for the commodity lies in the zone of 28650 to 28750 where short & medium term moving averages are lying. If the commodity manages to close above these levels then the commodity can move to the levels of 28850 to 29000 where Fibonacci levels and lows for the month of February-2017 are lying. During the week the commodity manages to hit a high of 28948 and close the week around the levels of 28793.
Minor support for the commodity lies in the zone of 28600 to 28650. Support for the commodity lies in the zone of 28400 to 28500 from where the commodity broke out. If the commodity manages to close below these levels then the commodity can drift to the levels of 28100 to 28200 where Fibonacci level and short term bottom is lying.
Resistance for the commodity lies in the zone of 28900 to 29000 where Fibonacci levels and lows for the month of February-2017 are lying. If the commodity manages to close above these levels then the commodity can move to the levels of 29300 to 29400 from where the commodity sold off in the month of March-2017.
Broad range for the commodity in the coming week can be seen between 28400 - 28500 on downside & 29200 - 29300 on upside.
The document provides an introduction to technical analysis (TA), covering some of its basic concepts and techniques. It discusses TA basics like price charts and trends. It then explains common basic formations like trend lines, channels, and reversal patterns. The document also introduces Japanese candlestick patterns and popular technical indicators like moving averages and the MACD. It emphasizes that TA analyzes past price and volume data to identify patterns that may forecast future price movements.
Weekly Outlook for Precious Metal, Energy & Metals (02/05/2017 to 05/05/2017)equitypandit
This document provides a weekly outlook for precious metals, energy, and base metals for the period of May 1-5, 2017. It includes analysis and support and resistance levels for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, nickel, aluminum, crude oil, natural gas, and discusses broad trading ranges expected for each commodity over the coming week. Technical indicators such as moving averages and Fibonacci levels are used to identify trading opportunities.
The Market has kick-started First Trading week of 2016 on lower note. The Nifty
slipped 171.90 points or 2.16 percent at 7791.30. The Nifty50 came under pressure to break below its crucial support level of 7,800. After weak Chinese manufacturing PMI readings sparked selling across Asian currencies. Chinese yuan dropped to a fresh five-year low against the US dollar in morning trade
after China said manufacturing PMI contracted.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and several key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term trends as uptrends. It finds the QE Index reached a new all-time high and may continue gaining. Several stocks like Barwa Real Estate, Gulf International Services and Vodafone Qatar breached resistances and strengthened, suggesting further potential upmoves. Technical indicators for most stocks examined, including the QE Index, appear positive in the short-term.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term pullback trends. It finds that the QE Index and Al Rayan Islamic Index have fallen over the past six days and may continue declining. Several stocks like Gulf International Services, Ooredoo, Barwa Real Estate Co., and Milaha are also seen as likely to pull back further in the short term. However, support levels are identified that could halt or reverse the declines for these indexes and stocks.
Elliott Waves Trading Strategies
Elliott wave analysis is useful in providing the most likely next direction, but often traders may be unsure exactly when to enter and exit based upon analysis.
If the market is predicted to move lower then obviously you would wait for prices to stop falling before buying, or for more aggressive traders they may sell short. If your wave count expects price to move upwards then obviously you would buy. Trying to trade against the main trend is extremely risky. The wave count should tell you what the main trend is.
In case you want learn or improve your trading, whether its Forex trading or any other trading we can assist.
Trading carries risks, and knowing risks in trading is very important and as a trader you must know how to apply risk management in your every trade in the market ,we will teach you on how to navigate through the market,to scan out for the best high probability trade able setups,whether be day trading or swing trading. You get access to our premium signal group until you can trade on your own independently.
CHOOSE A PACKAGE!
IN BEGINNER'S COURSE
We will teach you the advance basics of the strategy and in general on how the market really moves. You'll be provided with study material in PDF format
INTERMEDIATE COURSE
This is where we go into depth of the strategy,teaching and providing with the knowledge on how to apply the smart money concept with market structure and fundamental analysis.
ADVANCE COURSE (FULL COURSE)
This is where you get the whole package on how to successfully and profitably trade,you'll get a full course in pdf and also online sessions via zoom and 1 yr mentorship ,having full access to our morning briefings and premium signals services
http://www.netpicks.com/tjgiveaway1 - YOUR FREE TRADING SYSTEM
If we agree that traders use different but often common methods of looking at a chart, then is it possible to use that information for a higher probability trade?
The answer is a resounding YES!
Think of this….if many people are looking at “X” and then something happens at “X”, expect a reaction.
If many people are looking at “Y”, expect a reaction.
What if “X” and “Y” meet and you get twice as many people looking at the same thing
In trading, we call it a confluence. When two or more variables are present, a confluence exists and these areas are ripe for the picking.
See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/my-kingdom-for-a-confluence/
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks to consider. It finds that the QE Index and most mentioned stocks are in an upmove in the short-term. Specifically, the QE Index is approaching resistance at 13,584, Nakilat has bounced back above resistances and may continue rising to QR24.45, and Qatar Islamic Bank cleared resistances and is expected to reach QR117.40. Most other stocks analyzed, including Industries Qatar, Mazya Qatar Real Estate Development, and Al Rayan Islamic Index, are also in short-term upmove modes.
- The NEPSE index declined 1.43% over the past week to close at 924.60 points on lower trading volumes.
- Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD signal a short-term bullish trend remains intact, though the market outlook remains uncertain.
- Immediate support and resistance levels for NEPSE are seen at 919 and 938 respectively. The index closed above its mid-Bollinger band, suggesting further upside is possible if it holds above support.
- On-balance volume was positive despite the fall in NEPSE, indicating the decline was likely due to profit-taking rather than significant selling pressure.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term trends as pullbacks for most. It finds the QE Index may extend losses toward 13,800, the QERI Index could push lower to 4,673, and Doha Bank may drift toward QR58. However, it identifies Vodafone Qatar as potentially rebounding above its 21-day moving average toward QR21.97. Overall it adopts a cautiously bearish short-term outlook while maintaining some prospects for rebounds.
Daily Technical Trader - Qatar April 04, 2016QNB Group
Traded activity dropped even further in
the start of the week and the month for
that matter. The Index is at important
level and breaking below the 10,250 could
take us back to the 10,100 in the very
short term then 10,000 points.
QNBFS Daily Technical Trader - Qatar for January 18, 2018Aicha El-Mamy
The Index dropped slightly but it remains inside the short-term uptrend channel seen on both time frames. The bearish reversal tweezers-top formation has not been confirmed yet, and market participants remain uncertain on the current direction of the market around these levels. If the Index breaks above the 9,253, then expect an upswing. Otherwise, we may see further correction.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QSE Index and key Qatari stocks. It finds that the QSE Index and Al Rayan Islamic Index are in short-term uptrends, supported by technical indicators. Several stocks are also seen as being in short-term uptrends, including Milaha, Gulf International Services, and Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development. Technical analysis is used to identify trends, patterns, and price support and resistance levels to determine whether stocks will continue rising or potentially consolidate.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term pullback trends. It finds that the QE Index and Al Rayan Islamic Index have shed points in recent sessions and momentum indicators point downward, suggesting further declines. Similarly, it identifies short-term pullback trends for Qatar Electricity & Water Co., Qatar Islamic Bank, Al Meera Consumer Goods Co., and Barwa Real Estate Co. based on losses of late and bearish technical indicators. Support and resistance levels are also provided to analyze future price directions.
This document provides an introduction to technical analysis tools and techniques. It begins by explaining different types of stock price charts, including line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts. It then discusses moving averages and how they can be used to identify trends. Support and resistance levels are explained as important trend lines. The document also covers envelopes, Bollinger Bands, and Parabolic SAR as additional technical indicators. It emphasizes that these tools should be used together to analyze trends and identify entry and exit points for trades.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and recommends several Qatari stocks to consider. It finds that the QE Index maintained bullish momentum, recording another all-time high and may rally further. It recommends several stocks as short-term buys based on their breakouts above resistances, including Al Khalij Commercial Bank, Qatari Investors Group, Qatar International Islamic Bank, and Vodafone Qatar. Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD support further upward moves in these stocks.
The document provides a technical analysis of currency pairs USDINR, EURINR, GBPINR, and JPYINR against the Indian rupee. For each pair, it examines the price pattern, moving averages, MACD, RSI, and ADX indicators to determine short-term trends and potential support and resistance levels. It also lists upcoming economic data releases from the US, Eurozone, and UK and how they could impact the currencies.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Nifty, Bank Nifty, and LIC Housing Finance stock from an Indian equity research firm. It finds that indicators show the Nifty and Bank Nifty rallies are likely to continue higher. For LIC Housing Finance, technical signals and support levels indicate the stock could rise further in the short term. Recommendations are given to buy these stocks on dips or breaks of certain levels.
The document provides an overview of technical analysis techniques including Elliot wave theory. It discusses using moving averages, RSI, stochastic indicators, Bollinger bands and seasonal charting. It then covers Elliot wave patterns in depth, explaining impulse and corrective waves, wave degrees, extensions, truncations, zigzags, flats, triangles, and rules for waves 2 and 4. The document aims to demystify technical analysis and Elliot wave theory for traders.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks. It finds the QE Index is neutral in the short-term as it holds above the 14,100 level. Doha Bank is expected to experience further decline in the short-term due to breaching an important support level and declining indicators. Industries Qatar is predicted to rebound with potential to rise to QR198, supported by a bullish formation and rising volume. Barwa Real Estate is assessed as likely to decline due to resistance and weakening indicators.
Weekly Outlook for Precious Metal, Energy and Metals (27/03/2017 to 31/03/2017)equitypandit
GOLD (28793) closed the week on a positive note gaining around 1.00%.
As we have mentioned last week that resistance for the commodity lies in the zone of 28650 to 28750 where short & medium term moving averages are lying. If the commodity manages to close above these levels then the commodity can move to the levels of 28850 to 29000 where Fibonacci levels and lows for the month of February-2017 are lying. During the week the commodity manages to hit a high of 28948 and close the week around the levels of 28793.
Minor support for the commodity lies in the zone of 28600 to 28650. Support for the commodity lies in the zone of 28400 to 28500 from where the commodity broke out. If the commodity manages to close below these levels then the commodity can drift to the levels of 28100 to 28200 where Fibonacci level and short term bottom is lying.
Resistance for the commodity lies in the zone of 28900 to 29000 where Fibonacci levels and lows for the month of February-2017 are lying. If the commodity manages to close above these levels then the commodity can move to the levels of 29300 to 29400 from where the commodity sold off in the month of March-2017.
Broad range for the commodity in the coming week can be seen between 28400 - 28500 on downside & 29200 - 29300 on upside.
The document provides an introduction to technical analysis (TA), covering some of its basic concepts and techniques. It discusses TA basics like price charts and trends. It then explains common basic formations like trend lines, channels, and reversal patterns. The document also introduces Japanese candlestick patterns and popular technical indicators like moving averages and the MACD. It emphasizes that TA analyzes past price and volume data to identify patterns that may forecast future price movements.
Weekly Outlook for Precious Metal, Energy & Metals (02/05/2017 to 05/05/2017)equitypandit
This document provides a weekly outlook for precious metals, energy, and base metals for the period of May 1-5, 2017. It includes analysis and support and resistance levels for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, nickel, aluminum, crude oil, natural gas, and discusses broad trading ranges expected for each commodity over the coming week. Technical indicators such as moving averages and Fibonacci levels are used to identify trading opportunities.
The Market has kick-started First Trading week of 2016 on lower note. The Nifty
slipped 171.90 points or 2.16 percent at 7791.30. The Nifty50 came under pressure to break below its crucial support level of 7,800. After weak Chinese manufacturing PMI readings sparked selling across Asian currencies. Chinese yuan dropped to a fresh five-year low against the US dollar in morning trade
after China said manufacturing PMI contracted.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and several key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term trends as uptrends. It finds the QE Index reached a new all-time high and may continue gaining. Several stocks like Barwa Real Estate, Gulf International Services and Vodafone Qatar breached resistances and strengthened, suggesting further potential upmoves. Technical indicators for most stocks examined, including the QE Index, appear positive in the short-term.
The document provides a technical analysis of the QE Index and key Qatari stocks, identifying short-term pullback trends. It finds that the QE Index and Al Rayan Islamic Index have fallen over the past six days and may continue declining. Several stocks like Gulf International Services, Ooredoo, Barwa Real Estate Co., and Milaha are also seen as likely to pull back further in the short term. However, support levels are identified that could halt or reverse the declines for these indexes and stocks.
Elliott Waves Trading Strategies
Elliott wave analysis is useful in providing the most likely next direction, but often traders may be unsure exactly when to enter and exit based upon analysis.
If the market is predicted to move lower then obviously you would wait for prices to stop falling before buying, or for more aggressive traders they may sell short. If your wave count expects price to move upwards then obviously you would buy. Trying to trade against the main trend is extremely risky. The wave count should tell you what the main trend is.
In case you want learn or improve your trading, whether its Forex trading or any other trading we can assist.
Trading carries risks, and knowing risks in trading is very important and as a trader you must know how to apply risk management in your every trade in the market ,we will teach you on how to navigate through the market,to scan out for the best high probability trade able setups,whether be day trading or swing trading. You get access to our premium signal group until you can trade on your own independently.
CHOOSE A PACKAGE!
IN BEGINNER'S COURSE
We will teach you the advance basics of the strategy and in general on how the market really moves. You'll be provided with study material in PDF format
INTERMEDIATE COURSE
This is where we go into depth of the strategy,teaching and providing with the knowledge on how to apply the smart money concept with market structure and fundamental analysis.
ADVANCE COURSE (FULL COURSE)
This is where you get the whole package on how to successfully and profitably trade,you'll get a full course in pdf and also online sessions via zoom and 1 yr mentorship ,having full access to our morning briefings and premium signals services
http://www.netpicks.com/tjgiveaway1 - YOUR FREE TRADING SYSTEM
If we agree that traders use different but often common methods of looking at a chart, then is it possible to use that information for a higher probability trade?
The answer is a resounding YES!
Think of this….if many people are looking at “X” and then something happens at “X”, expect a reaction.
If many people are looking at “Y”, expect a reaction.
What if “X” and “Y” meet and you get twice as many people looking at the same thing
In trading, we call it a confluence. When two or more variables are present, a confluence exists and these areas are ripe for the picking.
See more at: http://www.netpicks.com/my-kingdom-for-a-confluence/
Axis Direct offers a introductory course on Technical Analysis. It will cover the background and basic aspects of technical analysis
For more information visit :
https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/learn/eclasses
The document provides an overview of technical analysis and various techniques for determining market trends and identifying trading opportunities, including trend lines, psychological levels, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, MACD, and stochastic. Examples are given for each technique that illustrate how to determine the market bias, establish entry and exit criteria, and design trading strategies around supports and resistances. Technical analysis techniques are presented as educational tools and there is no guarantee they will result in profits.
Lesson BTF110. Chart Patterns for Binary TradingOrlando G
On this lesson we will go through the most basic patterns you can find on your charts and with time and practice you will be able to spot them with the naked eye.
The document provides guidance on developing an effective trading plan and strategy. It recommends choosing one currency pair and trading session to focus on. Key aspects of the strategy include backtesting the pair to understand its movements, checking for upcoming high impact news, and managing risk on open positions before news is released. The document discusses analyzing higher timeframes to determine overall trends and looking for trading opportunities on lower timeframes. It also covers concepts like supply and demand zones, changes of character, and determining which factor (supply or demand) is currently in control of the market.
How to Trade Chart Patterns with Target and SL@forexgdp.com.pdfmillatbd
This document discusses various chart patterns that can be used for technical analysis in forex trading. It describes continuation patterns like pennants, rectangles, and wedges that occur during trends, as well as reversal patterns like double tops/bottoms, head and shoulders, and triangles that signal a change in trend. Specific trading strategies are provided for each pattern, like waiting for breakouts of support/resistance levels before entering a trade. Both the advantages and disadvantages of using chart patterns are explored.
Technical indicators help interpret price charts and identify trading signals. They include trending indicators like moving averages and Bollinger bands, which identify trends and potential support/resistance levels. Oscillating indicators like CCI, MACD, and stochastic oscillate between overbought and oversold levels and signal potential reversals. Technical indicators analyze historical price data to identify entry and exit signals based on indicators crossing or diverging from levels. While they can't predict the future, technical indicators provide objective measurements to help traders identify trends and momentum shifts.
This document discusses how to draw downward trend lines and channels on a gold price chart. It explains that a downward trend line connects at least two lower highs to show the general downward direction of prices. A downward channel is drawn parallel to the trend line to form upper and lower boundaries containing price movement. The MetaTrader 4 platform can be used to draw these technical analysis tools. Spinning top candlestick patterns may also appear during indecisive sideways movement within the channel.
Discover the Smart Money with the Order Block Indicator & S&D indicator.pdfStaceyJarred
As a retail trader, you and I can’t control the market. We are talking about over $6 trillion worth of transactions daily in the forex market; how can we control that?
It’s the big boys known as smart money who control the market. Smart money refers to central banks, market makers, and institutional investors.
When they place an order, they don’t place it for thousands of dollars; they place it for millions and billions of dollars. That’s when the market moves, creating a situation known as order blocks.
The idea of an order block strategy is to ride along with the smart money. As mentioned earlier, as retail traders, we don’t control the market, so how about we do what smart money is doing?
We must create order blocks for the order block trading strategy. Bearish order blocks form when there is a large sell order by smart money. Bullish order blocks appear when there is a large buy order.
You can locate these zones at the end of a strong trend. After that, you just have to draw a rectangle on the origin of the new trend.
By plotting order block zones, we can move along with the big boys and place buy and sell orders.
You might be thinking, “How will these zones help me?”
Central banks and other market movers don’t place their orders at once. They wait and place their orders in regular intervals creating “blocks.”
They don’t place their orders at once because it can create high volatility and disrupt the market. That’s when the price returns to certain levels, so smart money can place their orders again, which presents us with an entry point.
So, now you know what order blocks are, we can move into the best order block trading strategies.
I am a retail trader who tries to become a consistently profitable trader. I have put in a lot of effort the past years but decided it's time to share more of my work online. This is a playbook trade I made on QNGY. A playbook is a template where a trader captures the trades and patterns that makes sense to him/her. You break down all the variables of the trades and review your performance. Your playbook should be your trading business. I am inspired by the book: 'The Playbook' written by Mike Bellafiore from SMB Capital. I am happy on my progress reading the tape but there's also a lot of things I need to improve in order to become profitable. I would love to get constructive feedback since I am all about improving as a trader.
Click here for more information on range trading
http://www.netpicks.com/simple-range-trading-strategy/
Here is some information on range trading:
It’s been said that a market only trends 30% of the time.
I can’t quantify that figure but having a range trading strategy to take advantage of the other 70% is good business.
Range trading is not difficult however it does require discipline and a method of determining when a trading range is in play.
For more information on range trading click here:
http://www.netpicks.com/simple-range-trading-strategy/
The document provides an overview of technical analysis techniques used to analyze stock price movements and identify trends. It discusses concepts like trend identification, support and resistance levels, moving averages, chart patterns, candlestick patterns, and indicators like pivot points and gaps. The origin and key assumptions of technical analysis are explained. Different chart types are described, including line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts. Common patterns like head and shoulders, triangles, and flags are also outlined.
Fundamental analysis examines factors like a company's financial statements, management, and competitors to determine a security's intrinsic value. Technical analysis uses historical stock price movements and trading volume to identify patterns and predict future price movements. This presentation discusses both fundamental and technical analysis approaches. It defines concepts like moving averages, support/resistance levels, and patterns like head and shoulders and double bottoms that technical analysts use to identify trends and make trading decisions.
This document provides an overview of technical analysis in 3 paragraphs or less:
Technical analysis uses historical market data, particularly price and volume, to identify trends and predict future market movements. Charts like bar charts and candlestick charts are used to identify patterns indicating trends are strengthening or reversing. Technical indicators like moving averages, MACD, and ADX are analyzed to determine whether the market is trending or consolidating. Common chart patterns like head and shoulders and double tops/bottoms provide additional signals on the strength and direction of trends. Volume analysis is also important, with increasing volume confirming trends and decreasing volume indicating potential reversals.
The document provides an introduction to trading institutional order blocks using the Sonarlab SMC Indicator. It discusses key concepts like order blocks, market structure, liquidity, and imbalance/FVG. Order blocks represent areas where institutions enter the market algorithmically. The SMC Indicator identifies order blocks and analyzes market structure to find high probability trade entries. Understanding concepts like swing structure, internal structure, premium/discount pricing, and liquidity can help traders capitalize on institutional order flow.
Similar to Channels and double top & double bottom www.nooreshtech.co.in (20)
The Weekend MBA in Investing - MasterClass with Super Investors. Nooresh Merani
The Weekend MBA in Investing.
We are starting with a weekly post under Analyse India Learning Series – The Weekend MBA in Investing.
What is it ?
There is so much of content available on various media like youtube, blogs, podcasts etc. But the maximum hits are on the worst possible content.
Over the last 10-15 years a lot of great content is freely available on Investing in an Indian Context.
I was part of a few podcasts on the www.stoicinvesting.com podcasts and there are some amazing ones on that site thanks to Puneet and Manish. ( will be covering these in the coming posts.)
There are many such interesting resources now available thanks to many investors,fund managers, individuals willing to share their views.
In this Series we will be curating some of the best content which is available mostly for free or in form of books.
I initially thought of creating a total collection but realized such a document only gets downloaded but never used well.
So what we will be doing is every week for the next many weeks we will be sharing One Post which you can go through over the weekend.
The Focus is going to be only Indian Origin Content.
Thanks to my team mate Harsh Doshi and Dhruv Galada for compiling this documents.
Alpha Moghuls - Weekend MBA in Investing - Analyse India Learning Series Nooresh Merani
The document contains interviews from various Indian fund managers and investors who discuss their investment philosophies and strategies. Some of the recurring themes discussed include the importance of investing in high quality companies with strong earnings growth over the long term, having a margin of safety by not overpaying for stocks, and focusing research on understanding businesses and industries. The interviews provide insights into how successful investors evaluate companies and make decisions in the Indian stock market.
The Ship of Theseus Paradox - Nifty 2008 and Nifty 2016Nooresh Merani
I had recently made a 30 min presentation in the Flame Investment Lab - Alumni Meet at Flame Univesity - Pune this weekend.
The presentation talks about how Nifty and benchmark indices have changed in last 8 years as well as since the inception in 1996 and can the Nifty today be compared to the past.
- The document appears to be a list of stock transactions between 2015-2016, including dates, companies, quantities, prices, and balances.
- It includes purchases and sales of various stocks, with details on the number of shares, price per share, brokerage fees, total amounts, and remaining quantities.
- Over 30 stock transactions are listed, spanning different dates from 2014 to 2015, with companies in sectors like technology, chemicals, textiles, and banking.
The document appears to be an analytical report listing stocks and their realized and unrealized gains and losses between April 1, 1970 and March 31, 2016. It includes information on the quantity sold, realized amount, realized gain/loss, balance quantity, average cost price, current market price, unrealized amount, unrealized gain/loss, and total gain/loss for each stock. A total realized amount of ₹11,93,625.00 and total unrealized amount of ₹2,03,347.00 is reported, with an overall gain of ₹3,45,958.00 or 18.32%.
Technical analysis that works ebook - www.nooreshtech.co.inNooresh Merani
A Free Ebook on Technical Analysis with a Focus on Indian Stock Markets. Topics Covered - Introduction to Technical Analysis and Charting , Dow Theory, Triangles. Channels, Indicators.
Written by Nooresh Merani - www.nooreshtech.co.in
How to become a Full Time Trader - Nooresh Merani Nooresh Merani
This is what I presented at Traders Carnival 2015 at Mumbai.
A lot more was discussed in the two hour presentation with a lot of fun.
The video will be shared as soon as DJ from Traders Carnival does it.
You can send me your feedback or queries on nooreshtech@analyseindia.com
Big value sheet may 27 2014 - www.nooreshtech.co.inNooresh Merani
This document provides stock recommendations and analyses from Analyse India Big Value 1.0. It includes over 50 company recommendations with the stock name, purchase price, recent price and percentage gain or loss. For many of the recommendations additional details are given such as advising to add on dips to a lower price or booking partial profits at higher prices and re-entering later. The overall returns for the portfolio are estimated at 40-45% absolute returns and a CAGR of 45-50% or higher.
This document provides a summary of stock recommendations and performance from Analyse India Big Value 1.0. It includes the company name, recommendation date, entry and exit prices, and percentage gains/losses for over 30 stock recommendations between October 2012 and April 2014. Many stocks provided gains over 10-50% within months of the recommendation, while a few resulted in losses or failed to meet price targets. The summary highlights both winning and losing picks from this stock advisory service over that period.
Periodic call auction for illiquid scrips new list january 2014Nooresh Merani
This document contains a list of 499 companies with their corresponding scrip codes. The list includes the company name and scrip code for each entry. No other information is provided about the companies.
Periodic call auction for illiquid scrips list october 2013Nooresh Merani
This document lists 296 illiquid scrips that continue to be traded in periodic call auctions. It provides the stock code and name for each scrip. The scrips span various industries including metals, mining, textiles, chemicals, paper, sugar, engineering, and others. They are stocks that have low liquidity and are traded through periodic call auctions rather than continuous trading.
This document provides a technical analysis of various stocks by Nooreshtech. It includes recommendations for 26 stocks across large caps, mid caps and small caps. Of the 10 large caps recommended, 4 hit stoplosses of 3-3.5% while 4 achieved targets of 7-12%. For mid caps, 1 of 8 hit a stoploss and 5 achieved targets of 7-15%. Among small caps, 2 of 9 hit stoplosses, 2 are up 20%, and the rest are still holds. In summary, the document analyzes stocks from a technical perspective and provides buy ranges, targets, stoplosses and performance updates.
Rationalization of Periodic Call Auction for Illiquid Scrips. SEBI Nooresh Merani
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) issued a circular to rationalize the periodic call auction framework for trading illiquid stocks. SEBI received representations from market participants regarding issues with an earlier circular on trading illiquid stocks through periodic call auctions. SEBI examined these issues with the Secondary Market Advisory Committee and decided to modify some conditions of the periodic call auction mechanism. The key modifications include changing the criteria for classifying a stock as illiquid, allowing stock exchanges to determine the number of call auction sessions per day with a minimum of two sessions, and allowing orders to remain valid across call auction sessions in a day.
Special report equities - get ready for a bright futureNooresh Merani
The document discusses technical indicators pointing to a potential start of major bull markets in global and Indian stock indices in 2013. It notes that several US indices have broken above resistance levels from 2007 highs and are setting up for multi-year rallies. European indices are also showing signs of bottoms being in place or bull markets starting. Indian indices like Nifty and Bank Nifty are reaching oversold levels on technical indicators like RSI, which has previously signaled durable bottoms and subsequent rallies of 10% or more. The document argues accumulating Indian stocks in the coming weeks could provide large risk-reward opportunities.
The document lists the current and 2008 low stock prices for various companies, along with the percentage drop between the two prices. Many companies saw stock price drops of over 80%, with the largest drop being 98.6% for Mavens Biotech Ltd. The stock prices reached their 2008 lows between August and December of that year. Overall, the document shows that many companies experienced significant declines in stock price from 2008 levels.
Shankar Sharma, the founder of stock brokerage firm Sharekhan, provided his outlook on the Indian markets and economy during an online discussion. He said his outlook for India and emerging markets is negative for the whole year. Some of the triggers for his bearish view include a terrible global macroeconomic environment and disappointing economic data from India and other BRIC countries. However, he remains positive on some sectors like IT, pharma, and consumer stocks. He also expressed negative views on banks, real estate, gold, and metals. Overall, he expects the Nifty index to fall below the 5000 level within a year due to various domestic and global headwinds.
OJP data from firms like Vicinity Jobs have emerged as a complement to traditional sources of labour demand data, such as the Job Vacancy and Wages Survey (JVWS). Ibrahim Abuallail, PhD Candidate, University of Ottawa, presented research relating to bias in OJPs and a proposed approach to effectively adjust OJP data to complement existing official data (such as from the JVWS) and improve the measurement of labour demand.
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Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
STREETONOMICS: Exploring the Uncharted Territories of Informal Markets throug...sameer shah
Delve into the world of STREETONOMICS, where a team of 7 enthusiasts embarks on a journey to understand unorganized markets. By engaging with a coffee street vendor and crafting questionnaires, this project uncovers valuable insights into consumer behavior and market dynamics in informal settings."
Abhay Bhutada, the Managing Director of Poonawalla Fincorp Limited, is an accomplished leader with over 15 years of experience in commercial and retail lending. A Qualified Chartered Accountant, he has been pivotal in leveraging technology to enhance financial services. Starting his career at Bank of India, he later founded TAB Capital Limited and co-founded Poonawalla Finance Private Limited, emphasizing digital lending. Under his leadership, Poonawalla Fincorp achieved a 'AAA' credit rating, integrating acquisitions and emphasizing corporate governance. Actively involved in industry forums and CSR initiatives, Abhay has been recognized with awards like "Young Entrepreneur of India 2017" and "40 under 40 Most Influential Leader for 2020-21." Personally, he values mindfulness, enjoys gardening, yoga, and sees every day as an opportunity for growth and improvement.
Independent Study - College of Wooster Research (2023-2024) FDI, Culture, Glo...AntoniaOwensDetwiler
"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.
Understanding how timely GST payments influence a lender's decision to approve loans, this topic explores the correlation between GST compliance and creditworthiness. It highlights how consistent GST payments can enhance a business's financial credibility, potentially leading to higher chances of loan approval.
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"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Optimizing Net Interest Margin (NIM) in the Financial Sector (With Examples).pdfshruti1menon2
NIM is calculated as the difference between interest income earned and interest expenses paid, divided by interest-earning assets.
Importance: NIM serves as a critical measure of a financial institution's profitability and operational efficiency. It reflects how effectively the institution is utilizing its interest-earning assets to generate income while managing interest costs.
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Digital, interactive art showing the struggle of a society in providing for its present population while also saving planetary resources for future generations. Spread across several frames, the art is actually the rendering of real and speculative data. The stereographic projections change shape in response to prompts and provocations. Visitors interact with the model through speculative statements about how to increase savings across communities, regions, ecosystems and environments. Their fabulations combined with random noise, i.e. factors beyond control, have a dramatic effect on the societal transition. Things get better. Things get worse. The aim is to give visitors a new grasp and feel of the ongoing struggles in democracies around the world.
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Channels and double top & double bottom www.nooreshtech.co.in
1. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
CHANNELS
One example of channels in real life is the radio channels where a fixed frequency and bandwidth is
given to a radio station. Similarly in technical analysis channels we have particular securities following
price channels. Once you shift the radio from one bandwidth it goes to the next radio station with fresh
songs and in the same way channel breakouts give you fresh moves.
A trend channel consists of a section of price bars that are between parallel support and resistance lines.
The support lines are made by joining the bottoms and resistance line by joining a series of tops. At
times the lines may not be exactly parallel.
The channels are classified according to the slope so there can be three types of channels: Narrow
Sideways Channel, the Ascending Channel, and the Descending Channel.
The basic premise of a channel is the security or index will continue to trade in the band till we see clear
evidence of a breakout. Once the breakout is confirmed the target price is equal to the range of the
channel.
2. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
Similar targets should imply for a breakdown below 100 in above picture giving a target of 75. A similar
strategy cannot be used for ascending channels and descending channels. So we look into the possible
trade actions for different type of channels shown by red arrows. Later we look into why not trade a
breakout on ascending channel and a breakdown on descending channel.
Narrow Sideways Channel
A Narrow Sideways channel is a formation that features both resistance and support with a sideways
movement. Support forms the low price bar, while resistance provides the price ceiling.
To trade a Narrow Sideways channel, place an order to buy on a break up and out of the channel,
or sell on a break down and out of the channel.
Ascending Channel
The Ascending channel is a formation with parallel price barriers along both the price ceiling and floor.
Unlike the Narrow Sideways channel, the Ascending channel has an increase in both the price ceiling and
price floor. The breaking of the bottom trend line on this formation shows a change in trend from bullish
to bearish.
To trade an Ascending channel, place an order to sell on the break down and out of the channel.
3. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
Descending Channel
The Descending channel is the exact opposite of the Ascending channel formation. The Descending
channel has a decrease in both the price ceiling and price floor. The breaking of the top trend line on this
formation shows a change in trend from bearish to bullish.
To trade a Descending channel, place an order to buy on the break up and out of the channel.
Avoid buying breakouts in ascending channels and selling breakdowns in descending channels!!
This is how an ascending channel breakout would end up at times being a whipsaw as well as it’s a late
entry even by simple Dow Theory which in itself supposed to be late in finding trends.
The same works for a descending channel where one needs to avoid breakdowns. At times avoiding
such moves would imply missing parabolic moves which may be rare.
4. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
Channel Breakouts
1) Sideways Channels
In any channel the following trades are possible. We rate the Best, Good and Avoid.
Possibilities Preferred Trades
Sell on rise to upper end of the channel. Good
Buy on dips to lower end of the channel. Good
Sell on breakdown below the lower end of the
channel
Best
Buy on breakout above the upper end of the
channel.
Best
Sideways channels are the easier ones to trade as targets are simpler to calculate as well as price
breakdowns. Also if combined with volumes the probability of targets being achieved quickly is very
high.
Look at this chart of Jindal Steel and Power.
For almost 18 months or so the stock was stuck in a range of 600 to 750.
There are as many 6-7 bottoms or more closer to the 600 mark.
The most preferred ways to trade this channel would have been.
a) Buy closer to the lower end of 600-620 with a small stoploss of 2-3 % and trade for bounce
back.
b) Sell around 730-750 with a small stoploss of 2-3 % and ride the way down.
c) The best trade would be on breakout beyond the range of 600 or 750.
5. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
A sell/buy would be generated whenever the range is broken by 2% or more and take the reverse trade.
After being stuck in the range for 18 months the stock broke down below 600 in July 2011.
As the range is 150 points. Target price = 600-150=450.
The target projection a good 20% or lower.
Volumes picked up in direction of the downtrend adding to the evidence of breakdown.
With large volumes and strong price action the targets priced were achieved very quickly in less
than a month’s time.
Look at this example of a channel breakout in LIC Housing which gave a quick move of 40 points from
the breakout levels of 240.
The band of 240-235 now has become a support for this counter for many weeks and a new channel of
230-280 has been formed for the stock.
Things to Note:
The price projections and breakdown evidence has simpler rules but one cannot give a time
projection for the target.
As in construction of a building the foundation takes major part (Channel formation) the later
part of the building will take only 30-50% of the total time. So in the same way if a channel is
formed for 6 months we may expect targets to be achieved in less than 2 months ideally. There
is no fixed rule but out of observation we find targets are achieved in ½ the time for securities.
For the target one may take equivalent to the size of the channel and a little lesser as we cannot
get exact moves like the one shown above. Combining with trend following for trailing
stoplosses is also advised.
6. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
2) Trading Ascending Channels.
In ascending channel the possible trades can be as follows.
Possibilities Preferred Trades
Sell on rise to upper end of the channel. Avoid
Buy on dips to lower end of the channel. Good
Sell on breakdown below the lower end of the
channel
Best
Buy on breakout above the upper end of the
channel.
Avoid
The reason to avoid selling at the higher end of the channel is in ascending channels it’s a clear
higher top higher bottom formation and trend is up. Why take a trade against the trend.
The reason to avoid a breakout of the ascending channel is one is late into the trend as per dow
theory which suggests to buy on a newer high.
Look at this ascending channel in ACC. How buying the dips to the lower end of the channel worked
brilliantly, but so did selling on higher end of the channel apart from the two whipsaws recently. The
reason to avoid buying breakout from ascending channel is if it whipsaws and a trader does not keep
stoplosses the stock/index can end up back to the lower end of the channel and maybe even lower. A
risky trader may take a risk to go short around higher end of the channel with strict stoplosses or take a
trade post a reversal signals on candlesticks or moving averages.
Until now we have seen the example of how buying the dips in ascending channels keep giving excellent
trading opportunities. But I believe the most preferred trade as well as a strategic shift is seen when
ascending channel breakdown. Whenever that happens we see a change of trend which may go much
much beyond the target price.
7. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
In this chart of Axis Bank and the ascending channel breakdown in November 2011 led to a multi-month
correction much beyond the size of the channel.
Also notice that all through 2009-2010 buying at the lower end of the channel would have given
many trading opportunities so would have selling at the higher end. It is preferred to buy the
dips as the trend is up.
The target was achieved very quickly but the breakdown gave a clear trend change signal much
before the simple rules of Dow Theory.
This example below again shows a similar trend change in Punjab National Bank seen post the ascending
channel breakdown. The next downward trend continues with a descending channel.
8. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
3) Trading Descending Channels.
In ascending channel the possible trades can be as follows.
Possibilities Preferred Trades
Sell on rise to upper end of the channel. Good
Buy on dips to lower end of the channel. Avoid
Sell on breakdown below the lower end of the
channel
Avoid
Buy on breakout above the upper end of the
channel.
Best
The reason to avoid buying at the lower end of the channel is in descending channels it’s a clear
lower top lower bottom formation and trend is down. Why take a trade against the trend.
The reason to avoid a sell on breakdown of the descending channel is one is late into the trend
as per Dow Theory which suggests to sell on a newer low.
In the chart below of GMR Infra we can see a continuous downtrend in a descending channel. Selling the
rise was always fruitful. On the lower side we did see bounces from the lower end of the channel but for
the whipsaw in the ending two stages.
Out here one would have really made some good returns on buying the dip with smart bear rallies. The
only concern is it becomes very difficult to distinguish a whipsaw from a bear rally. A risky trader may
wait for a candlestick or moving averages reversal signals to take a speculative buy after the test of the
lower end of the channel.
9. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
In this chart of Sintex which is a mid cap company one can clearly see how big the swings were from the
boundaries of the descending channel. Given the trend was down one can see the sharper downswings
were after hitting the upper end of the channel. The best trade was on the breakout of the channel on
upside giving a move from 75 to 100 which is a good 30%. The volumes added to the evidence.
Generally in Technical Analysis every pattern has a counter pattern which can be traded exactly in an
inverse manner. But when we come to Descending channels we need to be careful because.
In any markets the panic falls are generally faster than rallies. Just like an analogy to building a
building it takes months to make a skyscraper but one blast is enough to pull it down.
So when we see a descending channel give a breakout on upside we may not see a sharp reversal on
upsides giving major trend changes. By experience we see a U or W shaped recoveries and not V.
10. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
Trading descending channels in Indices
Generally with a single security we can have big and wild moves so one needs to be extra careful going
against the trend. Indices are generally composed of a group of stocks and it is less susceptible to wild
moves as we may not expect the magnitude be huge in all the stocks in the index.
So in such cases descending channels actually are good points to look for a panic reversal and one may
actually have a lower risk getting into the lower end of the descending channel. The best two
possibilities are increase exposure to the index on lower end of the channel and reduce exposure at the
higher end of the channel. On breakout of the channel one may look for speculative moves in the
broader markets.
Look at this example where one would increase equity exposure at bottom of descending channel and
cashing out on higher end of the channel would have been very profitable. As we notice the channel
breakout targets were not achieved. But now we are in a process of U/W shaped recovery.
Although a breakout from the descending channel does not always materialize into targets but it clearly
gives a signal of the major downtrend will now shift to sideways and form U or W shaped reversals. Also
the channel breakout levels will provide support which was seen with two dips holding the channel.
Descending and Ascending channels work brilliantly on long term charts which can be for a time period
of 10-30 years also.
11. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
Here if we look into the Dow Jones industrial average the bottom of 2009 was at exactly the lower end
of the channel. The chart below is as was posted on my website in 2009.Internal channels also shown.
This is what happened post the bottoming out.
The breakout of the descending channel gave a signal of a major trend change which led to the secular
rally of 2009-2011. If someone would have increased exposure to equities as an investor in 2009 at
bottom of descending channel would have been handsomely rewarded over the next couple of years.
The broader markets started performing post the breakout above the channel.
12. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
Avoidable Jargons / Patterns
Channel as such gives us a very good idea of the trend of the market as well as excellent entry and exit
points provided one uses it along with other evidences.
Majority of the technical patterns and even Dow Theory are based to get into a trending market or post a
momentum breakout. There are very few technical studies which try to focus on getting entry at the
bottoms as well as to exit on the top of a rally. Majority of the time we are looking towards trend following
and getting into the best part of any rally.
As we have seen in a few examples of how one can catch exact bottoms which are low risk-reward entry
points and also help in asset allocation strategies. In channels there will be whipsaws and false moves
many a times. The ways to spot whipsaws is to look at the two important factors.
1) Slope of the Channel.
2) Number of attempts and time difference between attempts at the channel.
1) Slope of the Channel.
Higher Slope in
Ascending Channel.
Breakdowns to be
sharp and sell the
rise to channel.
Higher the slope of the channel better the chances of a quick bear rally to the channel targets but it may
not necessarily lead to a total trend change. Steep sloping channel breakouts are more of momentum
breakers which will lead to a sideways or lower momentum before giving a total trend change.
Look at this chart of Union Bank. The first channel breakout gave the targets in short term but again a
slow downtrend started with a descending channel and a lesser slope. The next we may now form a
sideways range before a major trend change.
Higher Slope in
Descending channel.
Sharp Bear rallies on
breakouts and buy
the dip to channel.
13. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
The slope only dictates the momentum in the trend. So steeper slopes will give good short term moves
but one may quit the position on target projection as it may not confirm a trend change.
The chart below of Nifty in the bull move of 2007 should many quick corrections on ascending channel
breakdowns but the long term trend did not change and new highs kept coming.
2) Number of attempts and time difference between attempts at the channel.
The relation could be as below. If you hit a nail on the wall the first few attempts just lead you nowhere
but after that it becomes easier to nail the wall. In the same way a support or resistance at channel is
difficult to be broken at the first few attempts and every next attempt increases probability of a
breakout/breakdown.
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In the above case it’s a descending channel and generally one tends to buy the dip in indices. In above
case the quick attempts three times would make one a bit doubtful of buying the dip again and again.
Even if one has done an entry a stop loss should be in place!! Else one can get badly hurt. So what ever is
the probability or power of the pattern it can go wrong and if one accepts it faster lesser it hurts.
This is another example of almost a sideways channel and how 3 successive attempts at the channel lead
to a strong breakout move.
The move completed the target price very fast. Also the channel continued to provide support to any
corrections post it and gave solid bounce backs as well before breaking down at the third attempt.
The best way to use channels is to incorporate all other technical studies like Indicators, Moving Averages
, Candlesticks to refine the entry and exit points with other confirmations.
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Double Tops /Triple Tops and Double Bottoms/Triple Bottoms.
Double Top is a classical bearish reversal pattern to be seen on candlestick, bar charts. Double tops are
to be seen generally after a good upward trend. The simple criteria for a double top are as below.
Two peaks at almost the same price with a moderate trough in between.
Lower Volumes on the second peak and a faster descent.
If the above two criteria is in place we can say it’s a double top but the confirmation of the reversal can
be done only when the intermediate trough bottom is broken with good volumes or faster descent. The
illustration below will be more explanatory.
As it is seen we do not confirm a double top at TOP 2 but we wait for a confirmation of breakdown
below the intermediate bottom. As there should be a decent range between intermediate bottom and
TOP 2 we see a minor pullback post the breakdown. Once the minor pullback is done we see a strong
correction.
Target Projections: The minimum target for a double top reversal is equal to the range between the
intermediate bottom and the peaks. So in case the top is at 101 and bottom at 91 it will give a target of
81.
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Things to Note:
The classical method suggests a time period of 3-4 weeks between the two tops but in current
scenarios even a difference of 5-10 sessions would be minimum criteria for the double top. Also
this double top method can be used for extremely short term time frames of minutes/hour also.
The time period can also be weeks and months also but the most important part is the break of
intermediate bottom.
Never pre-empt a double top as if a stock has made a peak at 100 and dipped it is bound to
some find resistance at 100 before going to 120. The biggest trading mistake is to short at
previous tops.
It is always suggested to look for double tops post a good preceding uptrend.
Only initiate a short trade once the intermediate bottom is broken and be ready to see a bit of
pullback before the actual fall begins.
Although the target projections are limited to the range of top and intermediate bottom but a
double top reversal pattern gives a major trend change also many a times leading to a slow and
steady downtrend.
Given the fact that double bottom has become such a spoken about pattern and with lot of
misconceptions we may better see it with a few examples.
In the above example Larsen rallied from a low of 1500 to 1850 +.
The stock made a top at 1868 on two candlesticks on Top 1 and another top at 1864.5 at Top 2.
The intermediate bottom is at 1768. A breakdown below 1768 would give a target of 100 points
i.e 1668.
After the breakdown and two lower candlesticks we did see a white candle which is the minor
pullback to breakdown level. Post that the slide started with good volumes and the stock ended
up at 1500 much below our projected targets. It ended up at 1000 levels in next 6 months.
The rise in volume post the second top continued to increase with the decline.
17. Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in www.analyseindia.com
Below is a double top formation in Maruti.
If we look at the above chart we have double tops at 1400 and 1418 with an intermediate bottoms
at 1250-1260.
The breakdown below 1250 with a faster descent but volumes saw no major change.
The price projection would be 150 points. This would give a target price of 1100. The stock hit a
low of 1050 little more than the projected target.
As we see in all cases we may not necessarily have an exact combination of breakdown and
volumes or faster descent but price action is the real confirmation we would be looking for. The
above double top could also be characterized as a sideways channel which would also give a
similar target.
Observations
Many analysts and approaches would have some set rules of time period between two tops which
could be 3-4 weeks and a minimum range between peak and bottoms to be 10-15% at least. Given
the changing market conditions it would not be advisable to keep strict rules on the parameters
but look at price and volume confirmations.
Generally it is seen the falls are very sharp in a double top reversal and many a times it happens
at intermediate market tops.
The stop losses on a trading side should be kept at short term moving averages or according to
the risk-reward ratio of 1:2.5 or 1:3 to the target projection.
If there are consecutive tops like three to four tops only the name changes to Triple Top but the
concept of intermediate bottom between the tops breaking and target price calculations remain
the same.
For a trader its preferred to focus on short term double top reversals which generally have 5-15
sessions in between the tops. Anything beyond 3 months would end up being more of a channel
pattern.
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