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John B. Cole
Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory
Agricultural Research Service, USDA
Beltsville, MD 20705-2350, USA
john.cole@ars.usda.gov
Challenges and successes
in dairy cattle genomics
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (2) Cole
History
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (3) Cole
Why genomics works in dairy
 Extensive historical data available
 Well-developed genetic evaluation program
 Widespread use of AI sires
 Progeny test programs
 High valued animals, worth the cost of genotyping
 Long generation interval which can be reduced
substantially by genomics
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (4) Cole
History of genomic evaluations
 Dec. 2007 BovineSNP50 BeadChip available
 Apr. 2008 First unofficial evaluation released
 Jan. 2009 Genomic evaluations official for
Holstein and Jersey
 Aug. 2009 Official for Brown Swiss
 Sept. 2010 Unofficial evaluations from 3K chip
released
 Dec. 2010 3K genomic evaluations to be official
 Sept. 2011 Infinium BovineLD BeadChip available
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (5) Cole
Current sources of data
AIPL CDCB
NAAB
PDCA
DHI
Universities
AIPL Animal Improvement Programs Lab., USDA
CDCB Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding
DHI Dairy Herd Improvement (milk recording organizations)
NAAB National Association of Animal Breeders (AI)
PDCA Purebred Dairy Cattle Association (breed registries)
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (6) Cole
Sources of genomic data
Genomic
Evaluation Lab
Requester
(Ex: AI, breeds)
Dairy
producers
DNA
laboratories
samples
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (7) Cole
Successes
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (8) Cole
Many animals have been genotyped
0
30000
60000
90000
120000
150000
180000
1004 1008 1012 1104 1108 1112 1204 1208
Bulls Cows
Evaluation Date (YYMM)
Genotypes
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (9) Cole
Calculation of genomic evaluations
 Deregressed values derived from traditional
evaluations of predictor animals
 Allele substitutions random effects estimated for
45,187 SNP
 Polygenic effect estimated for genetic variation not
captured by SNP
 Selection Index combination of genomic and
traditional not included in genomic
 Applied to yield, fitness, calving, and type traits
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (10) Cole
Genetic merit of Jersey bulls
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Active Genotyped
Breeding Year
NetMerit($)
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (11) Cole
What is a SNP genotype worth?
For the protein
yield (h2=0.30), the
SNP genotype
provides
information
equivalent to an
additional 34
daughters
Pedigree is equivalent to information on about 7 daughters
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (12) Cole
And for daughter pregnancy rate (h2=0.04), SNP = 131 daughters
What is a SNP genotype worth?
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (13) Cole
Holstein prediction accuracy
Traita Biasb b REL (%) REL gain (%)
Milk (kg) −64.3 0.92 67.1 28.6
Fat (kg) −2.7 0.91 69.8 31.3
Protein (kg) 0.7 0.85 61.5 23.0
Fat (%) 0.0 1.00 86.5 48.0
Protein (%) 0.0 0.90 79.0 40.4
PL (months) −1.8 0.98 53.0 21.8
SCS 0.0 0.88 61.2 27.0
DPR (%) 0.0 0.92 51.2 21.7
Sire CE 0.8 0.73 31.0 10.4
Daughter CE −1.1 0.81 38.4 19.9
Sire SB 1.5 0.92 21.8 3.7
Daughter SB − 0.2 0.83 30.3 13.2
a PL=productive life, CE = calving ease and SB = stillbirth.
b 2011 deregressed value – 2007 genomic evaluation.
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (14) Cole
Many chips are available
 BovineSNP50
 Version 1 54,001 SNP
 Version 2 54,609 SNP
 45,187 used in evaluations
 HD
 777,962 SNP
 Only 50K SNP used,
 >1700 in database
 LD
 6,909 SNP
 Replaced 3K
HD
50KV2
LD
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (15) Cole
Genotypes and haplotypes
 Genotypes indicate how many copies of each
allele were inherited
 Haplotypes indicate which alleles are on which
chromosome
 Observed genotypes partitioned into the two
unknown haplotypes
 Pedigree haplotyping uses relatives
 Population haplotyping finds matching allele
patterns
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (16) Cole
O-Style Haplotypes Chromosome 15
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (17) Cole
Haplotyping program – findhap.f90
 Begin with population haplotyping
 Divide chromosomes into segments,
~250 to 75 SNP / segment
 List haplotypes by genotype match
 Similar to fastPhase, IMPUTE
 End with pedigree haplotyping
 Detect crossover, fix noninheritance
 Impute nongenotyped ancestors
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (18) Cole
Recessive defect discovery
 Check for homozygous haplotypes
 7 to 90 expected but none observed
 5 of top 11 are potentially lethal
 936 to 52,449 carrier sire-by-carrier
MGS fertility records
 3.1% to 3.7% lower conception rates
 Some slightly higher stillbirth rates
 Confirmed Brachyspina same way
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (19) Cole
We’re working on new tools
Cole, J.B., and Null, D.J. 2012. AIPL Research Report GENOMIC2: Use of chromosomal predicted transmitting abilities. Available:
http://aipl.arsusda.gov/reference/chromosomal_pta_query.html.
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (20) Cole
Impact on producers
 Young-bull evaluations with accuracy of early 1st-crop
evaluations
 AI organizations marketing genomically evaluated 2-
year-olds
 Genotype usually required for cow to be bull dam
 Rate of genetic improvement likely to increase by up
to 50%
 Studs reducing progeny-test programs
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (21) Cole
Challenges
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (22) Cole
Input costs are rising quickly
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2010 2011 2012
M:FP = price of a kg of milk /
price of a kg of a 16%
protein ration
Month
Milk:FeedPriceRatio
July 2012 Grain Costs
Soybeans: $15.60/bu (€0.46/kg)
Corn: $ 7.36/bu (€0.23/kg)
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (23) Cole
 Expected value of Mendelian sampling no
longer equal to 0
 Key assumption of animal models
 References:
 Patry, Ducrocq 2011 GSE 43:30
 Vitezica et al 2011 Genet Res (Camb)
pp. 1–10.
Bias from Pre-Selection
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (24) Cole
 Bulls born in 2008, progeny tested in
2009, with daughter records in 2012,
were pre-selected:
 3,434 genotyped vs. 1,096 sampled
 Now >10 genotyped per 1 marketed
 Potential for bias:
 178 genotyped progeny
 32 sons progeny tested
Pre-Selection Bias Now Beginning
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (25) Cole
 1-Step to incorporate genotypes
 Flexible models, many recent studies
 Foreign data not yet included
 Multi-step GEBV, then insert in AM
 Same trait (Ducrocq and Liu, 2009)
 Or correlated trait (Mantysaari and
Stranden, 2010; Stoop et al, 2011)
 Foreign genotyped bulls included
Methods to Reduce Bias
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (26) Cole
Inbreeding continues to increase
Cole, J.B., and P.M. VanRaden. 2011. Use of haplotyes to estimate Mendelian sampling effects and selection limits. J. Anim.
Breed. Genet. 128(6):448-455.
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (27) Cole
Genomic vs. Pedigree Inbreeding
Bull Pedigree F Genomic F
O Man 4.5 15.8
Ramos 2.3 11.5
Shottle 5.6 11.9
Planet 6.7 18.8
Earnit 6.2 12.8
Nifty 3.1 11.7
Correlation = .68
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (28) Cole
Loss-of-function mutations
 At least 100 LoF per human genome
surveyed (MacArthur et al., 2010)
 Of those genes ~20 are completely
inactivated
 Previously uncharacterized LoF
variants likely to have phenotypic
effects
 How can mating programs deal with this?
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (29) Cole
Unknown phenotypes
 Susceptibility to disease
 e.g., Johne’s is difficult to diagnose,
 Differential response to management
 Conversion efficiency of different
rations
 Response to superovulation
 Resistance to heat stress
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (30) Cole
Across-breed evaluations
 Method 1 estimated SNP effects within
breed then applied those effects to the
other breeds
 Method 2 (across-breed) used a common
set of SNP effects from the combined
breed genotypes and phenotypes
 Method 3 (multi-breed) used a
correlated SNP effects using a multi-trait
method
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (31) Cole
Across-breed evaluations - conclusions
 Using another breeds SNP estimates did
not help
 Across-breed method increased the
predictive ability, however the
traditional GPTA accounted for more
variation than the across-breed GPTA
 Multi-breed increased the predictive
ability and the multi-breed GPTA
accounted for more variation than the
traditional GPTA
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (32) Cole
The IP land grab
Provisional US patent filed on
20 NOV 2010 after the
9WCGALP in Leipzig – no
disclosure at that time!
This MS with similar ideas was
submitted 22 SEP 2010 and
published on 12 APR 2011.
Why share?
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (33) Cole
Conclusions
 Genomic selection has been very
successful in the dairy industry.
 The technology is widely used, and is
increasing the rate of genetic progress.
 Several challenges remain, particularly
pre-selection bias and across-breed
genomics.
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (34) Cole
Acknowledgments
 Genotyping and DNA extraction:
 USDA Bovine Functional Genomics Lab, U. Missouri, U. Alberta,
GeneSeek, Genetics & IVF Institute, Genetic Visions, and
Illumina
 Computing:
 AIPL staff (Mel Tooker, Leigh Walton)
 Funding:
 National Research Initiative grants
− 2006-35205-16888, 2006-35205-16701
 Agriculture Research Service
 Holstein and Jersey breed associations
 Contributors to Cooperative Dairy DNA Repository (CDDR)
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (35) Cole
CDDR Contributors
 National Association of Animal Breeders (NAAB,
Columbia, MO)
 ABS Global (DeForest, WI)
 Accelerated Genetics (Baraboo, WI)
 Alta (Balzac, AB, Canada)
 Genex (Shawano, WI)
 New Generation Genetics (Fort Atkinson, WI)
 Select Sires (Plain City, OH)
 Semex Alliance (Guelph, ON, Canada)
 Taurus-Service (Mehoopany, PA)
National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (36) Cole
Questions?

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Challenges and successes in dairy cattle genomics

  • 1. John B. Cole Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA Beltsville, MD 20705-2350, USA john.cole@ars.usda.gov Challenges and successes in dairy cattle genomics
  • 2. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (2) Cole History
  • 3. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (3) Cole Why genomics works in dairy  Extensive historical data available  Well-developed genetic evaluation program  Widespread use of AI sires  Progeny test programs  High valued animals, worth the cost of genotyping  Long generation interval which can be reduced substantially by genomics
  • 4. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (4) Cole History of genomic evaluations  Dec. 2007 BovineSNP50 BeadChip available  Apr. 2008 First unofficial evaluation released  Jan. 2009 Genomic evaluations official for Holstein and Jersey  Aug. 2009 Official for Brown Swiss  Sept. 2010 Unofficial evaluations from 3K chip released  Dec. 2010 3K genomic evaluations to be official  Sept. 2011 Infinium BovineLD BeadChip available
  • 5. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (5) Cole Current sources of data AIPL CDCB NAAB PDCA DHI Universities AIPL Animal Improvement Programs Lab., USDA CDCB Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding DHI Dairy Herd Improvement (milk recording organizations) NAAB National Association of Animal Breeders (AI) PDCA Purebred Dairy Cattle Association (breed registries)
  • 6. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (6) Cole Sources of genomic data Genomic Evaluation Lab Requester (Ex: AI, breeds) Dairy producers DNA laboratories samples
  • 7. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (7) Cole Successes
  • 8. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (8) Cole Many animals have been genotyped 0 30000 60000 90000 120000 150000 180000 1004 1008 1012 1104 1108 1112 1204 1208 Bulls Cows Evaluation Date (YYMM) Genotypes
  • 9. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (9) Cole Calculation of genomic evaluations  Deregressed values derived from traditional evaluations of predictor animals  Allele substitutions random effects estimated for 45,187 SNP  Polygenic effect estimated for genetic variation not captured by SNP  Selection Index combination of genomic and traditional not included in genomic  Applied to yield, fitness, calving, and type traits
  • 10. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (10) Cole Genetic merit of Jersey bulls 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Active Genotyped Breeding Year NetMerit($)
  • 11. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (11) Cole What is a SNP genotype worth? For the protein yield (h2=0.30), the SNP genotype provides information equivalent to an additional 34 daughters Pedigree is equivalent to information on about 7 daughters
  • 12. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (12) Cole And for daughter pregnancy rate (h2=0.04), SNP = 131 daughters What is a SNP genotype worth?
  • 13. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (13) Cole Holstein prediction accuracy Traita Biasb b REL (%) REL gain (%) Milk (kg) −64.3 0.92 67.1 28.6 Fat (kg) −2.7 0.91 69.8 31.3 Protein (kg) 0.7 0.85 61.5 23.0 Fat (%) 0.0 1.00 86.5 48.0 Protein (%) 0.0 0.90 79.0 40.4 PL (months) −1.8 0.98 53.0 21.8 SCS 0.0 0.88 61.2 27.0 DPR (%) 0.0 0.92 51.2 21.7 Sire CE 0.8 0.73 31.0 10.4 Daughter CE −1.1 0.81 38.4 19.9 Sire SB 1.5 0.92 21.8 3.7 Daughter SB − 0.2 0.83 30.3 13.2 a PL=productive life, CE = calving ease and SB = stillbirth. b 2011 deregressed value – 2007 genomic evaluation.
  • 14. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (14) Cole Many chips are available  BovineSNP50  Version 1 54,001 SNP  Version 2 54,609 SNP  45,187 used in evaluations  HD  777,962 SNP  Only 50K SNP used,  >1700 in database  LD  6,909 SNP  Replaced 3K HD 50KV2 LD
  • 15. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (15) Cole Genotypes and haplotypes  Genotypes indicate how many copies of each allele were inherited  Haplotypes indicate which alleles are on which chromosome  Observed genotypes partitioned into the two unknown haplotypes  Pedigree haplotyping uses relatives  Population haplotyping finds matching allele patterns
  • 16. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (16) Cole O-Style Haplotypes Chromosome 15
  • 17. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (17) Cole Haplotyping program – findhap.f90  Begin with population haplotyping  Divide chromosomes into segments, ~250 to 75 SNP / segment  List haplotypes by genotype match  Similar to fastPhase, IMPUTE  End with pedigree haplotyping  Detect crossover, fix noninheritance  Impute nongenotyped ancestors
  • 18. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (18) Cole Recessive defect discovery  Check for homozygous haplotypes  7 to 90 expected but none observed  5 of top 11 are potentially lethal  936 to 52,449 carrier sire-by-carrier MGS fertility records  3.1% to 3.7% lower conception rates  Some slightly higher stillbirth rates  Confirmed Brachyspina same way
  • 19. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (19) Cole We’re working on new tools Cole, J.B., and Null, D.J. 2012. AIPL Research Report GENOMIC2: Use of chromosomal predicted transmitting abilities. Available: http://aipl.arsusda.gov/reference/chromosomal_pta_query.html.
  • 20. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (20) Cole Impact on producers  Young-bull evaluations with accuracy of early 1st-crop evaluations  AI organizations marketing genomically evaluated 2- year-olds  Genotype usually required for cow to be bull dam  Rate of genetic improvement likely to increase by up to 50%  Studs reducing progeny-test programs
  • 21. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (21) Cole Challenges
  • 22. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (22) Cole Input costs are rising quickly 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2010 2011 2012 M:FP = price of a kg of milk / price of a kg of a 16% protein ration Month Milk:FeedPriceRatio July 2012 Grain Costs Soybeans: $15.60/bu (€0.46/kg) Corn: $ 7.36/bu (€0.23/kg)
  • 23. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (23) Cole  Expected value of Mendelian sampling no longer equal to 0  Key assumption of animal models  References:  Patry, Ducrocq 2011 GSE 43:30  Vitezica et al 2011 Genet Res (Camb) pp. 1–10. Bias from Pre-Selection
  • 24. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (24) Cole  Bulls born in 2008, progeny tested in 2009, with daughter records in 2012, were pre-selected:  3,434 genotyped vs. 1,096 sampled  Now >10 genotyped per 1 marketed  Potential for bias:  178 genotyped progeny  32 sons progeny tested Pre-Selection Bias Now Beginning
  • 25. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (25) Cole  1-Step to incorporate genotypes  Flexible models, many recent studies  Foreign data not yet included  Multi-step GEBV, then insert in AM  Same trait (Ducrocq and Liu, 2009)  Or correlated trait (Mantysaari and Stranden, 2010; Stoop et al, 2011)  Foreign genotyped bulls included Methods to Reduce Bias
  • 26. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (26) Cole Inbreeding continues to increase Cole, J.B., and P.M. VanRaden. 2011. Use of haplotyes to estimate Mendelian sampling effects and selection limits. J. Anim. Breed. Genet. 128(6):448-455.
  • 27. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (27) Cole Genomic vs. Pedigree Inbreeding Bull Pedigree F Genomic F O Man 4.5 15.8 Ramos 2.3 11.5 Shottle 5.6 11.9 Planet 6.7 18.8 Earnit 6.2 12.8 Nifty 3.1 11.7 Correlation = .68
  • 28. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (28) Cole Loss-of-function mutations  At least 100 LoF per human genome surveyed (MacArthur et al., 2010)  Of those genes ~20 are completely inactivated  Previously uncharacterized LoF variants likely to have phenotypic effects  How can mating programs deal with this?
  • 29. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (29) Cole Unknown phenotypes  Susceptibility to disease  e.g., Johne’s is difficult to diagnose,  Differential response to management  Conversion efficiency of different rations  Response to superovulation  Resistance to heat stress
  • 30. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (30) Cole Across-breed evaluations  Method 1 estimated SNP effects within breed then applied those effects to the other breeds  Method 2 (across-breed) used a common set of SNP effects from the combined breed genotypes and phenotypes  Method 3 (multi-breed) used a correlated SNP effects using a multi-trait method
  • 31. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (31) Cole Across-breed evaluations - conclusions  Using another breeds SNP estimates did not help  Across-breed method increased the predictive ability, however the traditional GPTA accounted for more variation than the across-breed GPTA  Multi-breed increased the predictive ability and the multi-breed GPTA accounted for more variation than the traditional GPTA
  • 32. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (32) Cole The IP land grab Provisional US patent filed on 20 NOV 2010 after the 9WCGALP in Leipzig – no disclosure at that time! This MS with similar ideas was submitted 22 SEP 2010 and published on 12 APR 2011. Why share?
  • 33. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (33) Cole Conclusions  Genomic selection has been very successful in the dairy industry.  The technology is widely used, and is increasing the rate of genetic progress.  Several challenges remain, particularly pre-selection bias and across-breed genomics.
  • 34. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (34) Cole Acknowledgments  Genotyping and DNA extraction:  USDA Bovine Functional Genomics Lab, U. Missouri, U. Alberta, GeneSeek, Genetics & IVF Institute, Genetic Visions, and Illumina  Computing:  AIPL staff (Mel Tooker, Leigh Walton)  Funding:  National Research Initiative grants − 2006-35205-16888, 2006-35205-16701  Agriculture Research Service  Holstein and Jersey breed associations  Contributors to Cooperative Dairy DNA Repository (CDDR)
  • 35. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (35) Cole CDDR Contributors  National Association of Animal Breeders (NAAB, Columbia, MO)  ABS Global (DeForest, WI)  Accelerated Genetics (Baraboo, WI)  Alta (Balzac, AB, Canada)  Genex (Shawano, WI)  New Generation Genetics (Fort Atkinson, WI)  Select Sires (Plain City, OH)  Semex Alliance (Guelph, ON, Canada)  Taurus-Service (Mehoopany, PA)
  • 36. National Swine Improvement Federation, Kansas City, MO, 29 November 2012 (36) Cole Questions?