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Techniques of asset/liability management:
       Futures, options, and swaps
 • Outline
    – Financial futures
    – Options
    – Interest rate swaps
Financial futures
• Using financial futures markets to manage interest rate risk.
   – Futures contract:
       Standardized agreement to buy or sell a specified quantity of a financial
         instrument on a specified data at a set price.
       Buyer is in a long position, and seller is in a short position.
       Note: pricing and delivery occur at two points in time.
       Trading on CBOT, CBOE, and CME, as well as European and Asian exchanges.
       Exchange clearinghouse is a counterparty to each contract (lowers default risk).
       Margin is a small commitment of funds for performance bond purposes.
       Marked-to-market at the end of each day.
       Example: A trader buys on Oct. 2, 2000 one Dec. 2000 T-bill futures contact at
         $94.83 (or discount yield of 5.17%). The contract value is $1 million and
         maturity is 13 weeks. If the discount rate on T-bills rose 2 basis points (i.e.,
         $25 per basis point or $100 per year/4 quarters), the buyer would lose $50 in
         the margin account.
         The settlement price is:
            $986,880.63 = $1,000,000 - 91[(.0519 x $1,000,000)/360]
Using interest rate futures to
      hedge a dollar gap position
• Long (or buy) and short (or sell) hedges.
   – If the bank has a positive dollar gap, and interest rates fall, buy a futures
     contract. When interest rates fall in the future, losses in the gap position
     are offset by gains in the futures position.
   – Suppose that the bank has a negative dollar gap, and interest rates are
     expected to rise in the future. Now go short in futures contracts.
   – Number of contracts to purchase in a hedge:
       [(V/F) x (MC/ MF)] b
       V = value of cash flow to be hedged          F = face value of futures contract
       MC = maturity of cash assets                 MF = maturity of futures contacts
       b = variability of cash market to futures market.
       Example: A bank wishes to use 3-month futures to hedge a $48 million
         positive dollar gap over the next 6 months. Assume the correlation
         coefficient of cash and futures positions as interest rates change is 1.0.
       N = [(48/1) x (6/3)] 1 = 96 contracts.
Payoffs for futures contracts
                                      Payoff             F0 = Contract price at time 0
      Payoff
                                                         F1 = Future price at time 1

                                      F1          Sell futures
         Buy futures



  0                               F    0                                    F
                 F0                                        F0
-F1




        Gain if interest rates             Gain if interest rates
        fall and prices rise of            rise and prices fall of
        debt securities.                   debt securities.
Balance sheet hedging example
•   Consider the problem of a bank with a negative dollar gap facing an
    expected increase interest rates in the near future. Assume that bank has
    assets comprised of only one-year loans earning 10% and liabilities
    comprised of only 90-day CDs paying 6%. If interest rates do not
    change:
Day                        0        90       180       270      360
Loans:
 Inflows                                                     $1,000.00
 Outflows              $909.09

CDs:
 Inflow                $909.09    $922.43   $935.98   $949.71
 Outflows                         $922.43   $935.98   $949.71 $963.65
Net cash flows             0         0         0        0     $ 36.35
Notice that for loans $1,000/(1.10) = $909.09. Also notice that CDs are
  rolled over every 90 days at the constant interest rate of 6% [e.g., $909.09
         0.25
Balance sheet hedging example
As a hedge against this possibility, the bank may sell 90-day financial
   futures with a par of $1,000. To simplify matters, we will assume only
   one T-bill futures contract is needed. In this situation the following
   entries on its balance sheet would occur over time.

Day                         0        90       180       270      360
T-bill futures (sold)
 Receipts                          $985.54 $985.54 $985.54

T-bill (spot market
 purchase)
 Payments                          $985.54 $985.54 $985.54
Net cash flows                         0       0         0
It is assumed here that the T-bills pay 6% and interest rates will not
     change (i.e., $1,000/(1.06)0.25 = $985.54).
Balance sheet hedging example
If interest rates increase by 2% in the next year (after the initial issue of
    CDs), the bank’s net cash flows will be affected as follows:

Day                            0      90        180       270      360
Loans:
 Inflows                                                          $1,000.00
 Outflows               $909.09
CDs:
 Inflow                 $909.09    $922.43    $940.35    $958.62
 Outflows                          $922.43    $940.35    $958.62 $977.24
Net cash flows             0          0          0          0    $ 22.76
Thus, the net cash flows would decline by $13.59. In terms of present
  value, this loss equals $13.59/1.10 = $12.35.
Balance sheet hedging example
We next show the effect of this interest rate increase on net cash flows
  from the short T-bill futures position:

Day                         0         90       180       270       360
T-bill futures (sold)
 Receipts                           $985.54 $985.54    $985.54

T-bill (spot market
 Purchase)
 Payments                           $980.94 $980.94    $980.94
Net cash flows                        $4.60   $4.60      $4.60
The total gain in net cash flows is $13.80. In present value terms, this
   equals 4.60/(1.10).25 + 4.60/(1.10).50 + 4.60/(1.10).75 = $13.16. Thus, the
   gain on T-bill futures exceeds the loss on spot bank loans and CDs.
Using interest rate futures to
       hedge a duration gap
• Assume that a bank has a positive duration gap as follows:
   Days to maturity       Assets             Liabilities
          90              $ 500              $3,299.18
        180                  600
        270                1,000
        360                1,400
   Also assume that single-payment loans at 12% are rolled over during
     one year only (i.e., all loans mature at the end of the year).
     Liabilities pay 10%.
   Present value of loans: $3,221.50 [= $500/(1.12)1/4 + $600/(1.12)1/2 + $1,000/
      (1.12)3/4 +$1,400/(1.12)]
   Present value of liabilities: $3,221.50 = $3,299.18/(1.10)1/4
   Duration of assets = 0.73 years
   Duration of liabilities = 0.25 years.
Using interest rate futures to
        hedge a duration gap
• Solution: Sell (short) 3-month T-bill futures until the
  duration of assets falls to 0.25.
   Dp = Drsa + Df Nf FP/ Vrsa
   Dp = duration of cash and futures assets portfolio
   Drsa = duration of rate sensitive assets
   Vrsa = market value of rate sensitive assets
   Df = duration of futures contract
   Nf = number of futures contracts
   FP = futures price
   Assuming that 3-month T-bills are yielding 12% (price = $100/1.12 1/4
     = $97.21):
     0.25 = 0.73 + 0.25 (Nf) $97.21/$3,221.50
      Nf = 64
A perfect futures short hedge
Month    Cash Market                           Futures Market
June     Securities firm makes a               Sells 10 December munis bond
         commitment to purchase                index futures at 96-8/32 for
         $1 million of munis bonds             $962,500.
         yielding 8.59% (based
         on current munis’ cash
         price at 98-28/32) for
         $988,750.

October Securities firm purchases              Buys 10 December munis bond
        and then sells $1 million of           index futures at 93, or $930,000,
        munis bonds to investors               to yield 8.95%.
        at a price of 95-20/32 for $956,250.

         Loss: (32,500)                        Gain: $32,500
An imperfect futures short hedge
Date            Cash Market                        Futures Market
October/YrX     Purchase $5million corporate bonds Sell $5 million T-bonds
                maturing Aug. 20005, 8% coupon     futures contracts at
                at 87-10/32:                       86-21/32:
                Principal = $4,365,625             Contract value = $4,332,813


March/YrX+1     Sell $5 million corporate bonds    Buy $5 million T-bond futures
                          at 79.0:                          at 79-21/32: :
                          Principal = $3,950,00             Contract value =
   $3,951,563
                Loss: ($415,625)                    Gain: $381,250
Complications in using
             financial futures
•   Accounting and regulatory guidelines.
•   Macro hedge of the bank’s entire portfolio -- cannot defer gains and
    losses on futures, so earnings are less stable with this hedge strategy.
•   Micro hedge linked to a specific asset -- can defer gains and losses on
    futures until contracts mature.
•   Basis risk is the difference between the cash and futures prices. These
    two prices are not normally perfectly correlated (e.g., corporate bond
    rates in a cash position versus T-bill futures rates).
•   Bank gaps are dynamic and change over time.
•   Futures options allow the execution of the futures position only to
    hedge losses in the cash position. Gains in the cash position are not
    offset by losses in the futures position.
Options
• Definition: Right but not obligation to buy or sell at a
  specified price (“striking price”) on or before a specified
  date (“expiration date”).
   – Call option: Right to buy -- pay “premium” to seller for this right.
   – Put Option: Right to sell -- pay “premium” to seller for this right.
   – Note: Seller of option must buy or sell as arranged in the option, so
     the seller gets a premium for this risk. The premium is the price of
     the option. The Black-Scholes option pricing model can be used to
     figure out the premium (or price) of an option.
   – Long position: The buyer of the option, who gains if the price of the
     option increases.
   – Short position: The seller of the option, who earns the premium if
     the option is not exercised (because it is not valuable to the buyer of
     the option).
Option Payoffs to Buyers
Payoff                              Gross payoff


       Call Option
                                                    Net payoff

       Buy for $4 with
       exercise price $100
                                           “In the money”
                             $100     $104
-4                                      Price of security

     Premium = $4

     NOTE: Sellers earn premium if option not
     exercised by buyers.
Payoff
       Option Payoffs to Buyers
           Net payoff           Put Option

                 Gross profit   Buy put for $5 with
                                exercise price of $40.




     “In the money”
0
                         $40    Price of security
-4               $35

          Premium = $5
 NOTE: Sellers earn premium if option not
 exercised by buyers.
Interest rate swaps
BEFORE
    Firm 1                           Firm 2
    Fixed rate assets                Variable rate assets
    Variable rate liabilities        Fixed rate liabilities

AFTER
  Firm 1                             Firm 2
  Fixed rate assets                  Variable rate assets
  Fixed rate liabilities             Variable rate liabilities

•   Started in 1981 in Eurobond market
•   Long-term hedge
•   Private negotiation of terms
•   Difficult to find opposite party
•   Costly to close out early
•   Default by opposite party causes loss of swap
•   Difficult to hedge interest risk due to problem of finding exact
    opposite mismatch in assets or liabilities
Interest rate SWAP

           13.1%                    Bank                      Libor

                                Bank makes
                                debt
               Firm A           payments                 Firm B
                            Libor + 1%         12%
Starting conditions:                Starting conditions:
Firm A borrows floating rate        Firm B borrows fixed rate 12% bonds
bank loan at Libor + 1%             (AAA bonds with no premium for risk)
(premium for risk)
Results
 (A) Firm A has total or “all-in” fixed rate obligation of 12% + 0.1%(bank service fee
         + 1.0% (premium over Libor) = 13.1%.
 (B) Firm B has floating rate obligation to pay LIBOR rate
Hedging strategies
•Use swaps for long-term hedging.
•Use futures and options for short-term hedges.
•Use futures to “lock-in” the price of cash positions in securities:
    – For example, a corporate treasurer has a payroll due in 5 days and wants
    to fix the value of marketable securities being held to meet the payroll -- a
    short hedge gives downside price protection in this case.
•Use options to minimize downside losses on a cash position and take
advantage of possible profitable price movements in your cash position:
    – For example, you have a cash position in bonds and believe that interest
    rates are more likely to rise than fall -- -- you could buy by a put option on
    bonds -- if rates do rise, you are “in the money” on the option and offset
    losses in the cash position in bonds -- however, if rates fall, you do not
    exercise the option and make price gains on the cash position in bonds.
•Use options on futures to protect against losses in a futures position and
take advantage of price gains in a cash position.
•Use options to speculate on price movements in stocks and bonds and
put a floor on losses.

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Ch06 (1)

  • 1. Techniques of asset/liability management: Futures, options, and swaps • Outline – Financial futures – Options – Interest rate swaps
  • 2. Financial futures • Using financial futures markets to manage interest rate risk. – Futures contract: Standardized agreement to buy or sell a specified quantity of a financial instrument on a specified data at a set price. Buyer is in a long position, and seller is in a short position. Note: pricing and delivery occur at two points in time. Trading on CBOT, CBOE, and CME, as well as European and Asian exchanges. Exchange clearinghouse is a counterparty to each contract (lowers default risk). Margin is a small commitment of funds for performance bond purposes. Marked-to-market at the end of each day. Example: A trader buys on Oct. 2, 2000 one Dec. 2000 T-bill futures contact at $94.83 (or discount yield of 5.17%). The contract value is $1 million and maturity is 13 weeks. If the discount rate on T-bills rose 2 basis points (i.e., $25 per basis point or $100 per year/4 quarters), the buyer would lose $50 in the margin account. The settlement price is: $986,880.63 = $1,000,000 - 91[(.0519 x $1,000,000)/360]
  • 3. Using interest rate futures to hedge a dollar gap position • Long (or buy) and short (or sell) hedges. – If the bank has a positive dollar gap, and interest rates fall, buy a futures contract. When interest rates fall in the future, losses in the gap position are offset by gains in the futures position. – Suppose that the bank has a negative dollar gap, and interest rates are expected to rise in the future. Now go short in futures contracts. – Number of contracts to purchase in a hedge: [(V/F) x (MC/ MF)] b V = value of cash flow to be hedged F = face value of futures contract MC = maturity of cash assets MF = maturity of futures contacts b = variability of cash market to futures market. Example: A bank wishes to use 3-month futures to hedge a $48 million positive dollar gap over the next 6 months. Assume the correlation coefficient of cash and futures positions as interest rates change is 1.0. N = [(48/1) x (6/3)] 1 = 96 contracts.
  • 4. Payoffs for futures contracts Payoff F0 = Contract price at time 0 Payoff F1 = Future price at time 1 F1 Sell futures Buy futures 0 F 0 F F0 F0 -F1 Gain if interest rates Gain if interest rates fall and prices rise of rise and prices fall of debt securities. debt securities.
  • 5. Balance sheet hedging example • Consider the problem of a bank with a negative dollar gap facing an expected increase interest rates in the near future. Assume that bank has assets comprised of only one-year loans earning 10% and liabilities comprised of only 90-day CDs paying 6%. If interest rates do not change: Day 0 90 180 270 360 Loans: Inflows $1,000.00 Outflows $909.09 CDs: Inflow $909.09 $922.43 $935.98 $949.71 Outflows $922.43 $935.98 $949.71 $963.65 Net cash flows 0 0 0 0 $ 36.35 Notice that for loans $1,000/(1.10) = $909.09. Also notice that CDs are rolled over every 90 days at the constant interest rate of 6% [e.g., $909.09 0.25
  • 6. Balance sheet hedging example As a hedge against this possibility, the bank may sell 90-day financial futures with a par of $1,000. To simplify matters, we will assume only one T-bill futures contract is needed. In this situation the following entries on its balance sheet would occur over time. Day 0 90 180 270 360 T-bill futures (sold) Receipts $985.54 $985.54 $985.54 T-bill (spot market purchase) Payments $985.54 $985.54 $985.54 Net cash flows 0 0 0 It is assumed here that the T-bills pay 6% and interest rates will not change (i.e., $1,000/(1.06)0.25 = $985.54).
  • 7.
  • 8. Balance sheet hedging example If interest rates increase by 2% in the next year (after the initial issue of CDs), the bank’s net cash flows will be affected as follows: Day 0 90 180 270 360 Loans: Inflows $1,000.00 Outflows $909.09 CDs: Inflow $909.09 $922.43 $940.35 $958.62 Outflows $922.43 $940.35 $958.62 $977.24 Net cash flows 0 0 0 0 $ 22.76 Thus, the net cash flows would decline by $13.59. In terms of present value, this loss equals $13.59/1.10 = $12.35.
  • 9. Balance sheet hedging example We next show the effect of this interest rate increase on net cash flows from the short T-bill futures position: Day 0 90 180 270 360 T-bill futures (sold) Receipts $985.54 $985.54 $985.54 T-bill (spot market Purchase) Payments $980.94 $980.94 $980.94 Net cash flows $4.60 $4.60 $4.60 The total gain in net cash flows is $13.80. In present value terms, this equals 4.60/(1.10).25 + 4.60/(1.10).50 + 4.60/(1.10).75 = $13.16. Thus, the gain on T-bill futures exceeds the loss on spot bank loans and CDs.
  • 10. Using interest rate futures to hedge a duration gap • Assume that a bank has a positive duration gap as follows: Days to maturity Assets Liabilities 90 $ 500 $3,299.18 180 600 270 1,000 360 1,400 Also assume that single-payment loans at 12% are rolled over during one year only (i.e., all loans mature at the end of the year). Liabilities pay 10%. Present value of loans: $3,221.50 [= $500/(1.12)1/4 + $600/(1.12)1/2 + $1,000/ (1.12)3/4 +$1,400/(1.12)] Present value of liabilities: $3,221.50 = $3,299.18/(1.10)1/4 Duration of assets = 0.73 years Duration of liabilities = 0.25 years.
  • 11. Using interest rate futures to hedge a duration gap • Solution: Sell (short) 3-month T-bill futures until the duration of assets falls to 0.25. Dp = Drsa + Df Nf FP/ Vrsa Dp = duration of cash and futures assets portfolio Drsa = duration of rate sensitive assets Vrsa = market value of rate sensitive assets Df = duration of futures contract Nf = number of futures contracts FP = futures price Assuming that 3-month T-bills are yielding 12% (price = $100/1.12 1/4 = $97.21): 0.25 = 0.73 + 0.25 (Nf) $97.21/$3,221.50 Nf = 64
  • 12. A perfect futures short hedge Month Cash Market Futures Market June Securities firm makes a Sells 10 December munis bond commitment to purchase index futures at 96-8/32 for $1 million of munis bonds $962,500. yielding 8.59% (based on current munis’ cash price at 98-28/32) for $988,750. October Securities firm purchases Buys 10 December munis bond and then sells $1 million of index futures at 93, or $930,000, munis bonds to investors to yield 8.95%. at a price of 95-20/32 for $956,250. Loss: (32,500) Gain: $32,500
  • 13. An imperfect futures short hedge Date Cash Market Futures Market October/YrX Purchase $5million corporate bonds Sell $5 million T-bonds maturing Aug. 20005, 8% coupon futures contracts at at 87-10/32: 86-21/32: Principal = $4,365,625 Contract value = $4,332,813 March/YrX+1 Sell $5 million corporate bonds Buy $5 million T-bond futures at 79.0: at 79-21/32: : Principal = $3,950,00 Contract value = $3,951,563 Loss: ($415,625) Gain: $381,250
  • 14. Complications in using financial futures • Accounting and regulatory guidelines. • Macro hedge of the bank’s entire portfolio -- cannot defer gains and losses on futures, so earnings are less stable with this hedge strategy. • Micro hedge linked to a specific asset -- can defer gains and losses on futures until contracts mature. • Basis risk is the difference between the cash and futures prices. These two prices are not normally perfectly correlated (e.g., corporate bond rates in a cash position versus T-bill futures rates). • Bank gaps are dynamic and change over time. • Futures options allow the execution of the futures position only to hedge losses in the cash position. Gains in the cash position are not offset by losses in the futures position.
  • 15. Options • Definition: Right but not obligation to buy or sell at a specified price (“striking price”) on or before a specified date (“expiration date”). – Call option: Right to buy -- pay “premium” to seller for this right. – Put Option: Right to sell -- pay “premium” to seller for this right. – Note: Seller of option must buy or sell as arranged in the option, so the seller gets a premium for this risk. The premium is the price of the option. The Black-Scholes option pricing model can be used to figure out the premium (or price) of an option. – Long position: The buyer of the option, who gains if the price of the option increases. – Short position: The seller of the option, who earns the premium if the option is not exercised (because it is not valuable to the buyer of the option).
  • 16. Option Payoffs to Buyers Payoff Gross payoff Call Option Net payoff Buy for $4 with exercise price $100 “In the money” $100 $104 -4 Price of security Premium = $4 NOTE: Sellers earn premium if option not exercised by buyers.
  • 17. Payoff Option Payoffs to Buyers Net payoff Put Option Gross profit Buy put for $5 with exercise price of $40. “In the money” 0 $40 Price of security -4 $35 Premium = $5 NOTE: Sellers earn premium if option not exercised by buyers.
  • 18. Interest rate swaps BEFORE Firm 1 Firm 2 Fixed rate assets Variable rate assets Variable rate liabilities Fixed rate liabilities AFTER Firm 1 Firm 2 Fixed rate assets Variable rate assets Fixed rate liabilities Variable rate liabilities • Started in 1981 in Eurobond market • Long-term hedge • Private negotiation of terms • Difficult to find opposite party • Costly to close out early • Default by opposite party causes loss of swap • Difficult to hedge interest risk due to problem of finding exact opposite mismatch in assets or liabilities
  • 19. Interest rate SWAP 13.1% Bank Libor Bank makes debt Firm A payments Firm B Libor + 1% 12% Starting conditions: Starting conditions: Firm A borrows floating rate Firm B borrows fixed rate 12% bonds bank loan at Libor + 1% (AAA bonds with no premium for risk) (premium for risk) Results (A) Firm A has total or “all-in” fixed rate obligation of 12% + 0.1%(bank service fee + 1.0% (premium over Libor) = 13.1%. (B) Firm B has floating rate obligation to pay LIBOR rate
  • 20. Hedging strategies •Use swaps for long-term hedging. •Use futures and options for short-term hedges. •Use futures to “lock-in” the price of cash positions in securities: – For example, a corporate treasurer has a payroll due in 5 days and wants to fix the value of marketable securities being held to meet the payroll -- a short hedge gives downside price protection in this case. •Use options to minimize downside losses on a cash position and take advantage of possible profitable price movements in your cash position: – For example, you have a cash position in bonds and believe that interest rates are more likely to rise than fall -- -- you could buy by a put option on bonds -- if rates do rise, you are “in the money” on the option and offset losses in the cash position in bonds -- however, if rates fall, you do not exercise the option and make price gains on the cash position in bonds. •Use options on futures to protect against losses in a futures position and take advantage of price gains in a cash position. •Use options to speculate on price movements in stocks and bonds and put a floor on losses.