CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

1. CARIBSAVE:
A SECTORAL APPROACH TOA SECTORAL APPROACH TO
VULNERABILITY, RESILIENCE AND
CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEANCLIMATE CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEAN:
MONTEGO BAY, JAMAICA 12 May 2009
Dr MURRAY C SIMPSONDr. MURRAY C. SIMPSON
Co-Director CARIBSAVE Partnership
Senior Research AssociateSenior Research Associate,
Oxford University Centre for the Environment

2. Caribbean –
Major Tourism Vulnerability ‘Hotspot’Major Tourism Vulnerability Hotspot
Regional
Knowledge Gaps

3. ACS = Geographic scope of CARIBSAVE

4. SECTORAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN
SUSTAINABLE DESTINATIONS & CLIMATE CHANGE
Agriculture
Water
Cli t
Transport
Sustainable
Agriculture Climate
InfrastructureSustainable
Caribbean
Tourism Health
Infrastructure
Economic
Development
Destinations
Natural
Resources
Waste
M tResources
Energy
Management
Security
Simpson et al 2008a

5. Key Issues
• Supply
• DemandDemand
• Livelihoods – Economic Development - GDP
T i D d• Tourism Dependence
• Vulnerability (‘Hot Spot’)y ( p )
• Knowledge Gap
• Fragmented work geography governance• Fragmented – work, geography, governance
• Capacity and Data

6. • Crucial interdependence: Tourism and Climate
Major Impacts: Climate Change on Caribbean Tourism Sector
Crucial interdependence: Tourism and Climate…
• - national economy, livelihoods, development, environment
• Gradual and Extreme
• Regulatory policy, voluntary initiatives and costs
Coastal EmphasisCoastal Emphasis
• Air temperature
• Sea surface temperature
S l l i• Sea level rise
• Coastal erosion
• Changes in levels of precipitationg p p
• Extreme events: increase in intensity and frequency,
• - e.g. drought, flood, storm surge, (hurricane)
• Seasonality shifts• Seasonality shifts
• Loss of Destination Aesthetics

7. C ibb C it Cli t Ch C tCaribbean Community Climate Change Centre
University of Oxford
Association of Caribbean StatesAssociation of Caribbean States
Caribbean Tourism Organization
• Multi-Sector
• Multi-Objective• Multi-Objective
• Multi- Donor
• USD $35 Million
• Links and Compliments ACS – STZC
• Long-Term Approach Established - Whole Region
PRACTICAL STRATEGIES• PRACTICAL STRATEGIES
• Inclusive and Critical Mass

8. e.g. ACS, CTO, CDERA,
UNEP, UNWTO, UNDP,
WMO, UNECLAC, CANARI,
e.g. FCO, DFID, WWF,
Travel Foundation ,
DANIDA, SMITHSONIAN,
Regional & International
Organisations
International Development
Organizations and NGOs
CARIBSAVE
Partnership
, , ,
IIED, CIMH, CHTA,
CARICOM, CAST, OECS,
, ,
WORLD BANK, IADB,
CIDA, GTZ, SNV, Buccoo
Reef Trust
CENTRAL ACTION
GROUP
ACS, CTO, CCCCC,
OXFORD UNIVERSITY +
REPRESENTATIVES OF
PARTNER ACTIONPARTNER ACTION
GROUPS
e.g. All Partner Countries
and e.g. CCAA, VIRGIN,
SANDALS, Oil Companies,
G Gl b S ti B k
e.g. UWI, TUFTS, UW,
Leon, UMA, UNA, Limoge,
W. Norway, Maastricht,
C li L d Green Globe, Scotia BankCarolina, Lund,
Partner Countries and
Private Sector
Academic & Research Institutes

9. • CARIBSAVE WILL: In the face of climate change,
strengthen, protect and enhance the economies
and livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoraland livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoral
stakeholders
who rely directly and indirectly on the Caribbean tourism industry, and to
t th t t d h th t l d b ilt t d tstrengthen, protect and enhance the natural and built assets, and sectors
on which the industry is based.
• Project Objectives:
Seven (7) principal objectives of this project….

10. ©Simpson

11. ©Simpson

12. ©Simpson

13. ©Buccoo Reef Trust

14. ©Buccoo Reef Trust

15. ©Simpson

16. ©Dubois

17. • CARIBSAVE WILL: In the face of climate change,
strengthen, protect and enhance the economies
and livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoraland livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoral
stakeholders
who rely directly and indirectly on the Caribbean tourism industry, and to
t th t t d h th t l d b ilt t d tstrengthen, protect and enhance the natural and built assets, and sectors
on which the industry is based.
• Project Objectives:
Seven (7) principal objectives of this project….

18. CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES
1. Model and predict the changes on Caribbean Tourism
S t i l ti l d d ti ti l lSector - regional, national and destinational scale.
2. To Assess the vulnerability, resilience and adaptive
capacity of the Tourism Sector - nations and destinations –
strategies and policiesstrategies and policies.

19. CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES
3. Evaluate the impacts on tourism and livelihoods region,
nations and destinations - sectoral basis:
– Water;
– Energy
– Agriculture,
Human Health;– Human Health;
– Biodiversity,
– Infrastructure
– Comprehensive Disaster Management

20. CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES
4. Socio-economic analysis of the costs and risks inc.
costs of benefits of emission reduction
5 EFFECTIVE d PRACTICAL d t ti d iti ti5. EFFECTIVE and PRACTICAL adaptation and mitigation
strategies
DEVELOPMENT and IMPLEMENTATION - regional, localDEVELOPMENT and IMPLEMENTATION regional, local
and national policy and strategies

21. CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES
6. Transition of the Caribbean to World’s first ‘Carbon
Neutral’ Tourism RegionNeutral Tourism Region
7. Sectoral based capacity building seminars throughout
the Caribbean region for all stakeholders including
community outreach focuscommunity outreach focus.

22. Funding
BUDGET $35 Million (Initial approx 5 Years)
Seed Funding Stage
1. UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO)
2. Caribbean Tourism Organization (CTO
3. UK Department for International Development
(DFID)
4. World Bank

23. Seed Funding Stage: Outputs
• Output 1: Model and predict the changes in climateOutput 1: Model and predict the changes in climate
as they will affect the Caribbean Tourism Sector on
destinational scale.destinational scale.
• Output 2: Assess the vulnerability and adaptive
capacity of the Tourism Sector in the selectedcapacity of the Tourism Sector in the selected
destinations
Output 3: Two Symposia (Oxford Uni and Caribbean)• Output 3: Two Symposia (Oxford Uni. and Caribbean)
• Output 4: Website Development

24. Seed Funding Stage: Pilot GoalsSeed Funding Stage: Pilot Goals
• Destinational Climate Processes Data and Graphicsp
• Destination Vulnerability Profile
• Adaptive Capacity Assessment• Adaptive Capacity Assessment
• Adaptation and Mitigation Strategy Documents
Practical Links between Sectors• Practical Links between Sectors
• Capacity Building
• Consensus Building
• CARIBSAVE Partnership Development

25. ACTION – NOW
Interdisciplinary Approach – Unique and Innovative
• Climate Science
• Physical Impacts and Vulnerability
• Tourism & Related Sector Impacts & VulnerabilityTourism & Related Sector Impacts & Vulnerability
• Stakeholder, Socio-Economic, Livelihood and Gender
Impacts and VulnerabilitiesImpacts and Vulnerabilities
Water – Energy – Agriculture – Health – Biodiversity – Infrastructure –
C h i Di t M tComprehensive Disaster Management

26. • Cross-sectoral - Inter-ministerial,
• Regional and International
• Cooperation and Collaboration is requiredCooperation and Collaboration is required
(Actually it’s Essential!!!)

27. ‘F I O ti i t‘For me, I am an Optimist…
for there seems little point in anything else’
Winston Churchill
THANK YOUTHANK YOU
i @ kmurray.simpson@ouce.ox.ac.uk
www.geog.ox.ac.uk/news/events/ccamts/ccamts.pdf