This document provides an overview and analysis of the Canadian oil and gas industry. It discusses the industry structure, products, regulation, supply and demand trends. It also provides a brief overview of oil extraction and refining processes. The document is a presentation covering these topics related to the Canadian oil and gas industry.
Fuels refining is an integral component of Canada's oil and gas value chain. Refineries are the crucial manufacturing intermediary between crude oil and refined products.
View this to understand the business of processing crude oil into fuels and other value added products.
To learn more, please visit: http://www.canadianfuels.ca
The work that Michael Bowen carries out with governments and national oil companies is recognized throughout the world. We provide strategic and consultative services, together with associated licensing round management and training.
Saudi Aramco Profile - Peer Graded Assignment M Umar
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Fuels refining is an integral component of Canada's oil and gas value chain. Refineries are the crucial manufacturing intermediary between crude oil and refined products.
View this to understand the business of processing crude oil into fuels and other value added products.
To learn more, please visit: http://www.canadianfuels.ca
The work that Michael Bowen carries out with governments and national oil companies is recognized throughout the world. We provide strategic and consultative services, together with associated licensing round management and training.
Saudi Aramco Profile - Peer Graded Assignment M Umar
This is a peer-graded assignment that I submitted to Coursera.org for the "Oil & Gas Industry Operations and Markets" course offered by Duke University.
Western Canadian Select has been getting much press lately, advertised as Canada's discounted heavy oil produced exclusively for the US market. But there's a lot more to that story. Learn more about Western Canadian Select and other streams of heavy oil produced in Canada.
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A Scottish-American company
Focused on creating 100%
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the USA
Non-confidential investor presentation
April, 2018
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Become a leader in the US domestic energy market by:
• Increasing domestic oil production to meet US demand
• Developing renewable energy projects to reduce both US oil production costs and oil dependency
• Partnering with local companies to ensure money stays in the local economy
• Stimulating US economic growth by keeping domestic oil money in America
• Creating thousands of jobs and providing key training
• Speeding up the transition to renewables over time while cutting emissions through innovation
• Using renewable project tax credits to offset oil revenue taxes
A Scottish-American company focused on bringing business back to the US
Ziyen objective
Become a leader in the US domestic energy market by:
• Increasing domestic oil production to meet US demand
• Developing renewable energy projects to reduce both US oil production costs and oil dependency
• Partnering with local companies to ensure money stays in the local economy
• Stimulating US economic growth by keeping domestic oil money in America
• Creating thousands of jobs and providing key training
• Speeding up the transition to renewables over time while cutting emissions through innovation
• Using renewable project tax credits to offset oil revenue taxes
A Scottish-American company focused on bringing business back to the US
Western Canadian Select has been getting much press lately, advertised as Canada's discounted heavy oil produced exclusively for the US market. But there's a lot more to that story. Learn more about Western Canadian Select and other streams of heavy oil produced in Canada.
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Exploration and Production | Q2 2018 | Segment:...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Energy Industry newsletter provides perspective on valuation issues. Each newsletter also typically includes macroeconomic trends, industry trends, and guideline public company metrics.
A Scottish-American company
Focused on creating 100%
energy independence for
the USA
Non-confidential investor presentation
April, 2018
Ziyen objective
Become a leader in the US domestic energy market by:
• Increasing domestic oil production to meet US demand
• Developing renewable energy projects to reduce both US oil production costs and oil dependency
• Partnering with local companies to ensure money stays in the local economy
• Stimulating US economic growth by keeping domestic oil money in America
• Creating thousands of jobs and providing key training
• Speeding up the transition to renewables over time while cutting emissions through innovation
• Using renewable project tax credits to offset oil revenue taxes
A Scottish-American company focused on bringing business back to the US
Ziyen objective
Become a leader in the US domestic energy market by:
• Increasing domestic oil production to meet US demand
• Developing renewable energy projects to reduce both US oil production costs and oil dependency
• Partnering with local companies to ensure money stays in the local economy
• Stimulating US economic growth by keeping domestic oil money in America
• Creating thousands of jobs and providing key training
• Speeding up the transition to renewables over time while cutting emissions through innovation
• Using renewable project tax credits to offset oil revenue taxes
A Scottish-American company focused on bringing business back to the US
Hierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power SystemKerry Sado
A hierarchical digital twin of a Naval DC power system has been developed and experimentally verified. Similar to other state-of-the-art digital twins, this technology creates a digital replica of the physical system executed in real-time or faster, which can modify hardware controls. However, its advantage stems from distributing computational efforts by utilizing a hierarchical structure composed of lower-level digital twin blocks and a higher-level system digital twin. Each digital twin block is associated with a physical subsystem of the hardware and communicates with a singular system digital twin, which creates a system-level response. By extracting information from each level of the hierarchy, power system controls of the hardware were reconfigured autonomously. This hierarchical digital twin development offers several advantages over other digital twins, particularly in the field of naval power systems. The hierarchical structure allows for greater computational efficiency and scalability while the ability to autonomously reconfigure hardware controls offers increased flexibility and responsiveness. The hierarchical decomposition and models utilized were well aligned with the physical twin, as indicated by the maximum deviations between the developed digital twin hierarchy and the hardware.
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Using recycled concrete aggregates (RCA) for pavements is crucial to achieving sustainability. Implementing RCA for new pavement can minimize carbon footprint, conserve natural resources, reduce harmful emissions, and lower life cycle costs. Compared to natural aggregate (NA), RCA pavement has fewer comprehensive studies and sustainability assessments.
A review on techniques and modelling methodologies used for checking electrom...nooriasukmaningtyas
The proper function of the integrated circuit (IC) in an inhibiting electromagnetic environment has always been a serious concern throughout the decades of revolution in the world of electronics, from disjunct devices to today’s integrated circuit technology, where billions of transistors are combined on a single chip. The automotive industry and smart vehicles in particular, are confronting design issues such as being prone to electromagnetic interference (EMI). Electronic control devices calculate incorrect outputs because of EMI and sensors give misleading values which can prove fatal in case of automotives. In this paper, the authors have non exhaustively tried to review research work concerned with the investigation of EMI in ICs and prediction of this EMI using various modelling methodologies and measurement setups.
A review on techniques and modelling methodologies used for checking electrom...
CanOandG_043.ppt
1. 1
1
Canadian Oil and Gas
BUS 417: Group Presentation
Mahmoud Houshmand
Francis Santos
Ian Graf
November 10, 2004
The Canadian Oil and Gas Industry
2. 2
Canadian Oil and Gas
Presentation Overview
Industry Analysis
Industry Analysis and Regulation: Ian
Supply and Demand: Mahmoud
Oil Extraction and Refining Explained: Francis
Company Analysis and Recommendations
Canadian Oil Sands: Mahmoud
Petro-Canada: Ian
Suncor: Francis
4. 4
Canadian Oil and Gas
Industry Analysis Agenda
Industry Structure
Products
Regulation
Supply and Demand
Brief Overview of Oil Extraction and Refining
5. 5
Canadian Oil and Gas
Industry Analysis
Canadian industry produced $77.5 billion in revenues in 2003
Canada is 3rd largest producer of natural gas in the world
9th largest producer of crude oil
Canadian upstream sector is largest single private investor
6. 6
Canadian Oil and Gas
Industry Analysis
In 2003, the industry contributed approx. $16 billion to
government revenues
Crude oil & natural gas trade surplus responsible for 57% of
the country’s 2003 merchandise trade balance
Canada responsible for over 20% of North America’s crude oil
and natural gas
However, we only consume 10%
Industry’s total 2003 employment impact was measured at
500,000
7. 7
Canadian Oil and Gas
Industry Structure
Industry consists mainly of miners & drillers, refiners, and
retailers
Many businesses take an integrated approach and are
involved in all aspects
Business is done locally and south of the border; utilize cross-
border pipeline to distribute oil
Country’s largest source of crude oil is the Canadian Oil
Sands
American VP Dick Cheney described Canada’s oil sands as a,
”pillar of North American energy and economic security.”
8. 8
Canadian Oil and Gas
Industry Structure
Mergers & acquisitions are frequent
Recent growth in royalty trusts (unit trusts)
Highly regulated by Canadian government
Affected by volatile oil prices, interest rate fluctuations,
international events
9. 9
Canadian Oil and Gas
Industry Structure
Largest Canadian Oil & Gas Companies (in alphabetical
order):
Albian Sands Energy Inc.
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.
Canadian Oil Sands
EnCana Corporation
Husky Energy Inc.
Imperial Oil Resources Ltd.
Petro-Canada
Shell Canada Ltd.
Suncor Energy Inc.
Syncrude Canada Ltd.
10. 10
Canadian Oil and Gas
Products
Crude oil
Refined to create petroleum gas, gasoline, kerosene, lubricating oil,
industrial fuel, residuals
Natural gas
Used commercially, residentially, in fuel cells, building block for methanol
which has many industrial purposes
Ethanol
Normally made from fermentation process but is cheaper when
processed from petroleum feedstock
Green Energy Sources
Wind energy
11. 11
Canadian Oil and Gas
Regulation
Four intertwining levels; municipal, provincial, national, &
international
Constitution Act 1982 gives jurisdiction to provinces over natural
resources
Natural Energy Board (Fed body) has control over movement of
oil & gas, taxation, and tariffs
Department of energy collects royalties on behalf of the province
Companies must adhere to applicable provincial environmental
acts and involve the public in process
Extraction limits
OSC requires companies to declare their reserve levels every 90
days
Controls to reduce emissions Kyoto Accord
Sept 11th called for increasing security of pipelines
12. 12
Canadian Oil and Gas
Crude Oil : Supply
World Crude Oil Production By Region
14. 14
Canadian Oil and Gas
Crude Oil : Exports
Crude oil exports have been growing in North America
15. 15
Canadian Oil and Gas
Canadian Crude Oil : Supply
Second largest crude oil reserves after Saudi Arabia
Canadian oil sands contains 175 billion barrels of oil reserves
420,000 barrels of crude have been approved off Canada’s east
coast
23. 23
Canadian Oil and Gas
Oil Extraction
Canadian Oil Sands
1. Mining:
Oil that is near the surface can extracted using traditional techniques
2. SAGD: Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage
Because of the rising prices of natural gas, crude producers are moving
towards using bitumen or high sulphur fuels to generate steam.
Natural Gas
Wells are drilled and gas flows under its own pressure.
24. 24
Canadian Oil and Gas
Oil Refining
Steps
1. Fractional Distillation
2. Conversion
3. Recombination
4. Treatment
26. 26
Canadian Oil and Gas
Company Background
Core Business
Business Strategy
Hedging Strategy
Financial Statement Analysis
Stock Price Performance
Recommendation
Canadian Oil Sands Agenda
27. 27
Canadian Oil and Gas
Background
Canadian Oil Sands acts as a middleman between oil producers and
pipeline operators.
Takes possession of the oil and markets it to pipelines
Generates income from a 35% interest in the Syncrude operation in
the Alberta Oil Sands.
Largest pure-play investment opportunity in Oil Sands.
Organized as an Open-Ended Investment Trust.
Currently has approximately 91.1 million units outstanding.
Traded on TSX (Ticker COS.UN)
Market Capitalization of approximately $5.8 Billion
Distributions in 2003 totaled $2.00 per unit
28. 28
Canadian Oil and Gas
Core Business
Income trusts are equity investments designed to deliver cash
flows from operations to shareholders in a tax-efficient
manner.
Reduces double taxation of income.
Core business is marketing oil from its 31% share of Syncrude
oil.
Pure-play oil company. Revenues derived solely from selling crude oil.
29. 29
Canadian Oil and Gas
Business Strategy
Expand Syncrude Production Capacity
Expansion began in 2001.
Expected to boost current production by 50% to approximately 350,000
barrels per day – 124,000 barrels per day net to Canadian Oil Sands
Trust. based on its interest.
Product quality will also be enhanced to Syncrude Sweet Premium
(SSP).
The total capital budget for the expansion is estimated at $7.8 billion, or
approximately $2.8 billion net to the Trust.
It is expected to be in-service by mid 2006.
30. 30
Canadian Oil and Gas
Corporate Value Drivers
Increase production capacity from existing assets.
Reduce operating costs of existing assets through economies
of scale and by upgrading process technologies.
Increase reserves (asset base) by pursuing new
developments.
31. 31
Canadian Oil and Gas
Reserves
Very long-life reserves compared to industry
average.
Thus, disbursements in income trust are quite safe.
32. 32
Canadian Oil and Gas
Factors That Affect Financials
Ongoing volatility of CDN/US exchange rates
Ongoing volatility of global and North American oil markets
New introduction of crude oil supply to North America
Ongoing variability in refining & retail margins
Unscheduled maintenance shutdowns
Oils Sands Alberta Crown Royalties
Suncor ability to compete for projects
Extreme cold weather in 4Q
33. 33
Canadian Oil and Gas
Hedging Strategy
Value of revenues is dependent on:
Price of crude oil
Exchange rate with USD
Interest rate on debt
Crude Oil Hedging
Lost $82M in revenues in Q3 2004 ($10.22 per barrel).
YTD 2004 – have incurred a $182M loss.
34. 34
Canadian Oil and Gas
Hedging Strategy (continued)
Crude Oil Hedging (continued)
As the funding requirements for expansion diminish (and balance sheet
becomes stronger due to Stage 3 revenues), they intend to reduce crude
oil hedging
Foreign Exchange Hedging
Q3 2004 made $3M in foreign exchange hedging ($0.39 per barrel).
Interest Rate Hedging
Impact cash flows based on amount of floating rate debt that is
outstanding.
36. 36
Canadian Oil and Gas
Balance Sheet Analysis
The trust increased its capital assets by $2.5 billion during 2003
(stage 3 expansion).
Capital assets are recorded at cost and include the costs of
acquiring the working interest and subsequent additions to property,
plant, and equipment.
In February 2003, the trust gained $ 732 million in new equity to
finance a significant portion of the 10 percent working interest in
Syncrude from EnCanca. In July 2003, an additional $220 million
was raised.
The long term debt increased by $ 810 million.
38. 38
Canadian Oil and Gas
Income Statement Analysis
Revenues higher due to increased oil prices.
Operating expense increased by $ 200 million mainly because
of an unplanned coker turnaround and expended
maintenance work.
Coker : Vessels in which bitumen, the molasses-like substance that
comprises up to 18% of oil sand, is cracked into its fractions and from
which coke is withdrawn to start the process of converting bitumen to
upgraded crude oil.
Coker maintenance resulted in a 24 cent increase in operating
cost per barrel in 2003.
The trust lost $135 million as a result of hedging.
39. 39
Canadian Oil and Gas
Stock-based Compensation
Before Q3 of 2003, Canadian Oil Sands recorded no
compensation costs for unit options granted to its employees
and directors.
The Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants modified the
rules for stock-based compensation program.
During the third quarter of 2003, Canadian Oil Sands adopted
the fair-value method of accounting for stock based
compensation.
Compensation costs of $0.6 million have been included as
Administration expenses in the company’s net income.
41. 41
Canadian Oil and Gas
Cash Flow Statement Analysis
Free cash flow amount to –2 billion dollars for 2003, due to
the acquisition of Syncrude working interest.
On February 28, 2003, Canadian Oil Sands closed the acquisition With
EnCana Corporation to purchase an indirect 10 percent working interest
in Suncrude for approximately $1.05 billion cash
On July 10, 2003, Canadian Oil Sands purchased EnCana’s remaining
3.75 percent interest in Syncrude for $430 million cash
The acquisition is treated as a purchase of asset under GAAP
Cash flow from operating activities decreased due to a $147
million foreign exchange loss on long-term debt
42. 42
Canadian Oil and Gas
Canadian Oil
Sands
Present Day
Industry Average
Present Day
Price to Earnings 11.20 21.90
Dividend Yield 3.58% 2.10%
Price to Book 2.01 2.10
Debt to Equity 0.69 0.89
Financial Strength Ratios
43. 43
Canadian Oil and Gas
Stock Price Summary
Traded on TSX
Symbol: COS.UN
Current Price $55.79 CDN
91.1 million units outstanding
Market Capitalization of approximately $5.1 Billion
Current
Price:
55.79
Change:
-0.61
Open:
56.38
High:
56.38
Low:
55.40
Volume:
311,590
Percent
Change:
-1.08%
Yield:
3.58%
P/E
Ratio:
11.23
52 Week Range:
38.65 to 65.65
49. 49
Canadian Oil and Gas
Petro-Canada Agenda
Company Background
Management Team and Executive Compensation
Core Business Units
Business Strategy
Corporate Value Drivers
Reserves
Hedging Strategy
Financial Statement Analysis
Stock Price Performance
Recommendation
50. 50
Canadian Oil and Gas
Company Background
Petro-Canada was established in 1975 as a Crown
Corporation
Privatized in 1991; final government stake sold in September 2004
One of Canada’s largest integrated oil and gas companies
Produces 464,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day (2003)
Earnings from operations (2003): $1.6 Billion
More than 4,500 employees across Canada and internationally
Publicly traded on TSX (PCA) and NYSE (PCZ)
Stock price of $63.60 (Friday close)
262,100,000 shares outstanding
Net capitalization exceeding $16 Billion
Headquartered in Calgary, Alberta *All dollar figures in CDN dollars
51. 51
Canadian Oil and Gas
Management Team
Ron A. Brenneman, President & CEO.
CEO since 2000. Over 30 years of experience in the oil industry. Past
CEO of Esso Benelux and past president of Imperial Oil.
Harry Roberts, Senior VP & CFO.
15 years experience with Petro-Canada and 15 years experience
working in the financial industry.
Kathleen E. Sendall, Senior VP for North American Gas.
Over 25 years experience with Petro-Canada.
Gordon Carrick, VP for East Coast Oil.
Over 25 years experience in the oil industry; 23 with Petro-Canada.
Brant Sangster, Senior VP for Oil Sands.
Over 35 years experience in the oil industry; over 20 with Petro-Canada.
52. 52
Canadian Oil and Gas
Management Team (continued)
Peter S. Kallos, Executive VP for International.
Over 20 years experience in the oil industry. Joined Petro-Canada in
2003.
Boris Jackman, Executive VP for Downstream.
Over 10 years experience with Petro-Canada.
Common thread amongst senior management is their
extensive experience with the company.
Philip Fisher’s Four Dimensions - The “People Factor”
“Attention must be paid to attracting competent managers at lower levels
and to training them for larger responsibilities. Succession should largely
be from the available talent pool.” (p. 379)
53. 53
Canadian Oil and Gas
Executive Compensation
Base salary
Competitive pay based on comparator group of companies.
Annual performance incentives
Based on degree of achievement of specific predetermined corporate,
business unit, and individual objectives.
Executives may choose to receive all or part of incentive in stock.
Stock options
Annual awards of stock options link compensation to creation of
shareholder value.
“During the fourth quarter of 2003, the Company elected to begin prospectively expensing,
effective January 1, 2003, the value of stock options pursuant to transitional accounting
provisions. As a result, the fair value of stock options granted during 2003 is being charged
to earnings over the vesting period with a corresponding increase in contributed surplus.
The effect of this change for the year ended December 31, 2003 was a decrease in net
earnings of $9 million.”
56. 56
Canadian Oil and Gas
Core Businesses Units
North American Gas
Explores for, produces, and markets natural gas.
Exploration operations in Western Canada (Alberta, Northeastern BC).
Produces 132,300 BOE per day (28% of company total)
East Coast Oil
Explores for, produces, and markets oil from offshore Newfoundland
(Terra Nova, Hibernia).
Produces 86,100 BOE per day (19%)
Oil Sands
Heavily involved in Alberta’s oil sands.
100% interest in the MacKay River operation and 12% interest in
Syncrude operation.
Produces 36,100 BOE per day (8%)
57. 57
Canadian Oil and Gas
Core Businesses Units (continued)
International
Explores for, produces, and markets oil and natural gas from Northwest
Europe, North Africa/Near East, and Northern Latin America.
Produces 210,000 BOE per day (45%)
Downstream Operations
Refining
Converts crude oil into refined products (gas, diesel, lubricants).
Controls 17% of Canada’s refining capacity.
Marketing
Markets petroleum products and services nationwide in Petro-Canada service
stations.
Second largest marketer of refined petroleum in Canada (17% market share).
58. 58
Canadian Oil and Gas
Contribution of Business Units
(Production - BOE/d)
International
45%
North American
Natural Gas
28%
East Coast Oil
19%
Oil Sands
8%
59. 59
Canadian Oil and Gas
Contribution of Business Units
(Earnings)
East Coast Oil
36%
North American
Natural Gas
31%
International
18%
Downstream
Operations
15%
*In 2003 the Oil Sands business earned a loss of 50M (–3%)
60. 60
Canadian Oil and Gas
Business Strategy
North American Gas: Strategic Goals
Maximize profitability in Western Canadian properties by increasing
exploration and drilling in core areas.
Future Action: Focus exploration and drilling in core areas.
Pursue high-potential exploration plays such as the Mackenzie Delta,
Alaska, and offshore Nova Scotia.
Future Action: Continue to evaluate Mackenzie Delta and Alaska properties in
preparation for future pipeline construction.
Pursue market expansion into liquefied natural gas (LNG)
Future Action: Commence construction on LNG facility in Cacouna, PQ;
agreement to import LNG from Russia
61. 61
Canadian Oil and Gas
Business Strategy (continued)
East Coast Oil: Strategic Goals
Expand oil production base in offshore Newfoundland.
Future Action: Continue evaluating growth opportunities in Terra Nova and
Hibernia.
Pursue high-potential exploration plays
Future Action: Continue White Rose development, targeting start-up in early
2006.
62. 62
Canadian Oil and Gas
Business Strategy (continued)
Oil Sands: Strategic Goals
Continue developing reserves as market condition evolve.
Expand Syncrude operations.
Future Action: Continue third phase of Syncrude expansion.
Expand and upgrade refining capabilities.
Future Action: Commence improvement of Edmonton refinery from
conventional crude oil refinery to bitumen refinery.
International: Strategic Goals
Continue developing existing International reserves.
Future Action: Continue exploration in the U.K./Netherlands North Sea.
Target new theatres of operations.
Future Action: Where attractive, bid on Middle East developments.
Downstream Operations: Strategic Goals
Focus on generating superior returns by leveraging brand strength
63. 63
Canadian Oil and Gas
Corporate Value Drivers
Increase production capacity from existing assets.
Reduce operating costs of existing assets through economies
of scale and by upgrading process technologies.
Increase reserves (asset base) by pursuing new
developments.
64. 64
Canadian Oil and Gas
Reserves
Evaluating natural resource companies must
take into account their ability to replenish
their assets.
Petro-Canada boasts 1.220 Billion BOE in
proven reserves.
At current production this will last 7 years.
65. 65
Canadian Oil and Gas
Ongoing volatility of CDN/US exchange rates
Ongoing volatility of global and North American oil markets
New introduction of crude oil supply to North America
Ongoing variability in refining & retail margins
Unscheduled maintenance shutdowns
Oil Sands Alberta Crown Royalties
Ability to compete for projects
Extreme cold weather in 4Q
Cannot produce in very cold temperature
Factors that Affect Financials
66. 66
Canadian Oil and Gas
Hedging Strategy
Commodity Prices
Significant risk exposure to price of crude oil and natural gas.
Petro-Canada typically does not hedge this exposure.
Foreign Exchange
Petro-Canada’s expense and revenue streams are highly affected by the
CDN/USD exchange rate
Partially offset because of integrated business; however, earnings are
negatively affected by the strengthening CDN dollar.
Petro-Canada does not hedge this currency exposure.
68. 68
Canadian Oil and Gas
Balance Sheet (continued)
Assets
Increase in cash on hand by $400M; sign that company is not rushing into
imprudent investments.
Property, plant, and equipment form more than two-thirds of asset value.
Very capital intensive.
Goodwill increased due to the acquisition of International oil and gas
produced Veba Oil & Gas GmbH.
69. 69
Canadian Oil and Gas
Balance Sheet (continued)
Liabilities
Current portion of long-term debt decreased by $350 million
Overall long-term debt decreased by $500 million
Cancelled loans outstanding to provide acquisition credit for Veba Oil & Gas GmbH.
Also, this is a sign that the company is plowing exceptional earnings into actively
recalling debt.
70. 70
Canadian Oil and Gas
Balance Sheet (continued)
Equity
Increased by $2 Billion in 2003; almost all attributable to increase in retained
earnings
Retained earnings increased by $1.5 Billion dollars per quarter.
Since dividends increased as well (from $0.10 to $0.15 per share), we know
that the increase in retained earnings is due to higher profits
72. 72
Canadian Oil and Gas
Income Statement (continued)
Revenue
Dramatic increase in revenues from 2002 to 2003.
Expanded operations
Higher oil prices
YTD 2004 revenues are $10,880M.
Expenses
Crude oil purchases (sell their own crude oil, buyback crude oil for
refining closer to distribution points).
Exploration expense decreased slightly year-over-year.
Earnings
Increase in net earnings and EPS is a function of high oil prices in
conjunction with the fact that Petro-Canada does not hedge commodity
prices.
74. 74
Canadian Oil and Gas
Statement of Cash Flows (continued)
Property, Plant, and Equipment
Spent $500M on PPE during 2003 – large increase in International
investment
75. 75
Canadian Oil and Gas
Statement of Cash Flows (continued)
Free Cash Flow: CFO – CFI
YTD 2004 FCF negative due to acquisition of Prima Energy
Corporation ($644M).
2002 FCF negative due to acquisition of Veba Oil & Gas GmbH
(spent $2.2 Billion)
Growth of acquisition helped fuel high cash flow in 2003
YTD 2004 2003 2002 2001
Free Cash Flow -$239 $1,005 -$2,107 $275
76. 76
Canadian Oil and Gas
Petro-Canada
Present Day
Industry Average
Present Day
Price to Earnings 11.90 21.90
Dividend Yield 0.94% 2.10%
Price to Book 2.14 2.10
Debt to Equity 0.30 0.89
Earnings per Share 5.63 4.30
Financial Strength Ratios
77. 77
Canadian Oil and Gas
Stock Price Summary
Stock Price (Friday Close)
$63.60 CDN (TSX)
$53.10 USD (NYSE)
TSX Data for Friday, November 5th
Last Traded: $63.60
Net Change: -$0.74 (-1.15%)
Volume: 1,858,222
52 Week High: $70.40
52 Week Low: $54.50
78. 78
Canadian Oil and Gas
Volume 1,913,600 P/E 11.90
52-Week High 70.400 Indicated
Annual Div.
0.60
52-Week Low 53.800 Yield 0.94
C$ 63.600
Net Change:
C$ -1.150 % Change: -1.15%
Stock Price Summary (continued)
79. 79
Canadian Oil and Gas
Stock Price Performance: One Year Chart
*Based on TSX Data (CDN dollars)
80. 80
Canadian Oil and Gas
Stock Price Performance: Five Year Chart
*Based on TSX Data (CDN dollars)
81. 81
Canadian Oil and Gas
Stock Price Performance Vs.
Oil & Gas Index: One Year Chart
*Based on NYSE Data (PCZ and Oil & Gas Index)
82. 82
Canadian Oil and Gas
Stock Price Performance Vs.
S&P 500: One Year Chart
*Based on NYSE Data (PCZ and S&P 500)
85. 85
Canadian Oil and Gas
SunCor Agenda
Company Background
Management Team
Core Business Segments
Business Strategy
Corporate Value Drivers
Reserves
Hedging Strategy
Financial Statement Analysis
Stock Price Performance
Recommendation
86. 86
Canadian Oil and Gas
Company Background
Suncor Energy is an integrated energy company.
Formed in 1979 as a result of an amalgamation of several operations.
Focused on developing the Athabasca Oil Sands: one of the
world’s largest petroleum resource basins.
2004 YTD earnings are $337 million.
Produces 264,900 barrels of oil per day
4,000 employees
Listed on both the TSX and NYSE (Ticker SU).
$39.88 CDN per share (Tues close)
453,420,617 shares outstanding
Net capitalization exceeding $18 Billion CDN
Headquartered in Calgary, Alberta.
87. 87
Canadian Oil and Gas
Management Team
Richard L. George, President and CEO
23 years experience at Suncor; 13 years as CEO.
J. Kenneth Alley, Sr. VP and CFO
19 years experience at Suncor.
Steven W. Williams, Exec. VP, Oil Sands
Over 20 years of international energy industry experience.
David W. Byler, Exec. VP, Natural Gas & Renewable Energy
24 years experience at Suncor.
Thomas L. Ryley, Exec. VP, Energy Marketing and Refining
20 years experience at Suncor.
M. (Mike) Ashar, Exec. VP, Refining and Marketing USA
16 years experience at Suncor. Previous experience with Petro-Canada.
89. 89
Canadian Oil and Gas
Core Business Segments
Oil Sands
Operating in Canada’s Athabasca Oil Sands, Alberta
Oil is part of bitumen; can be extracted by mining and by in-situ (onsite)
Surface mines produce majority of crude oil but in-situ processes are
expanding
Natural Gas
Extracted through pressurized wells
Energy Marketing & Refining (Canada)
Refine bitumen feedstock and natural gas and market it to customers in
Ontario, Quebec, Northeastern USA
Sunoco chain of service stations in Ontario
Refinery based in Sarnia, Ontario
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Canadian Oil and Gas
Core Business Segments (continued)
Energy Marketing & Refining (USA)
In August 2003, Suncor acquired a Denver refinery and 43 Phillips 66
service stations.
Expansion gives Suncor greater ability to move oil products to
American markets.
Renewable Energy
Two projects in Canada
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Canadian Oil and Gas
Contribution of Business Units
(Earnings)
Oil Sands
81%
Natural Gas & Renewable
Energy
12%
Energy Marketing &
Refining (Canada)
5%
Energy Marketing &
Refining (USA)
2%
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Canadian Oil and Gas
Business Strategy
Athabasca Oil Sands
Next major goal is a targeted production capacity of 260,000 bpd by
late 2005
Focus on efficient operations and management to maintain low crude
oil production costs
Suncor continually will pursue new technology that will reduce
operating costs and environmental impact
- Expanding oil sands operation is a priority
- Planned 2007 expansion of Steepbank Mine, Fort McMurray, Alberta
- Expansion of the second upgrader along with a third one on 2010
- Maintain oil sands cash operating costs at an annual average of
$10.75 to $11.75 per barrel
93. 93
Canadian Oil and Gas
Business Strategy (continued)
Natural Gas
Suncor has found a solution to deal with high natural gas prices
Strategy is to exceed natural gas purchases for internal consumption
Functions as a price hedge
Energy Marketing & Refining (Canada)
Project Genesis: Sarnia refinery is investing in equipment to produce
lower sulphur diesel
Helps to increase company’s ability to manufacture environmentally
friendlier products to meet demand
Energy Marketing & Refining (USA)
Looking to further integrate products and services within the US,
branching out from Denver, Colorado.
95. 95
Canadian Oil and Gas
Corporate Value Drivers
Increase production capacity from existing assets.
Reduce operating costs of existing assets through economies
of scale and by upgrading process technologies.
Increase reserves (asset base) by pursuing new
developments.
Be a first-mover in new energy technologies such as wind.
96. 96
Canadian Oil and Gas
Reserves
Company has an estimated 12 billion barrels of crude on hand
that can be refined to produce approximately 10 billion barrels
of oil.
At current production this will last 10 years.
97. 97
Canadian Oil and Gas
Factors That Affect Financials
Ongoing volatility of CDN/US exchange rates
Ongoing volatility of global and North American oil markets
New introduction of crude oil supply to North America
Ongoing variability in refining & retail margins
Unscheduled maintenance shutdowns
Oils Sands Alberta Crown Royalties
Ability to compete for projects
Extreme cold weather in 4Q
98. 98
Canadian Oil and Gas
Hedging Strategy
Commodity Hedging Activities
Company utilizes commodity based forwards, futures, swaps and
options.
Board authorized the hedging of 35% of crude oil volume in 2004 and
up to 30% for 2005-2007.
In 2003, hedging reduced net earnings by $155 million.
As of Q1, 2004, the BoD suspended the crude oil hedging program and
no new contracts were entered in Q2 or Q3.
Financial Hedging Activities
Employs interest rate and cross-currency swaps
Interest rate swaps involve the exchange of floating rate and fixed rate
interest payments
Cross-currency swaps involve the exchange of CDN dollar interest
payments and US dollar interest payments, and an exchange of the
principal amounts at the maturity date of the underlying security.
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Canadian Oil and Gas
Balance Sheet (continued)
$1 Billion increase in PPE during 2003 due to acquisitions
104. 104
Canadian Oil and Gas
Balance Sheet (continued)
Retained earnings went up by $ 1 billion and dividends have
remained fairly stable
We can infer that Suncor is pumping most of their money back
into the company
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Canadian Oil and Gas
Statement of Cash Flows (continued)
Free Cash Flow: CFO – CFI
2003 FCF fell from 2002 due to investment in new refinery and new
retail stations & business
2001 FCF negative due to a large restructuring of natural gas
business
YTD 2004 FCF was not as drastically improved by high oil prices
because Suncor invested a large amount in upgrading and
expanding their extraction and refining operations as well as opening
a new wind power facility
YTD 2004 2003 2002 2001
Free Cash Flow $338 $516 $595 -$868
107. 107
Canadian Oil and Gas
Financial Strength Ratios
SunCor
Present Day
Industry Average
Present Day
Price to Earnings 16.50 21.90
Dividend Yield 0.60% 2.10%
Price to Book 3.94 2.10
Debt to Equity 0.51 0.89
Earnings per Share 2.42 4.30