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Climate impacts of land
cover and land use
Elizabeth Burakowski, Visiting Scientist
National Center for Atmospheric Research &
University of New Hampshire
2016-04-05
Dartmouth EARS14 Meteorology 1	
  
Reynoldston, NY Historical Society
2	
  
How on Earth did I get here??
Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med
3	
  
How on Earth did I get here??
Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med
Spring Freshman Chemistry
4	
  
How on Earth did I get here??
Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med
Spring Freshman Chemistry
Fall Sophomore Psychology
5	
  
How on Earth did I get here??
Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med
Spring Freshman Chemistry
Fall Sophomore Psychology
Spring Sophomore Philosophy
6	
  
How on Earth did I get here??
Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med
Spring Freshman Chemistry
Fall Sophomore Psychology
Spring Sophomore Philosophy
Fall Junior GEOLOGY!
7	
  
How on Earth did I get here??
2007  Masters in Earth Science
Thesis: Trends in Winter Climate in the
Northeastern US
2008  Vagabonding in the Pacific
2013  Ph.D. in Earth and Env. Sci.
Dissertation: Winter climate impacts of
mid-1800s deforestation
8	
  
How on Earth did I get here??
2014  Postdoc at NCAR
2015  Visiting Scientist at NCAR/
Postdoc at UNH
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Research Topic:
Climate impacts of land
cover and land use
Peak Deforestation in Mid-1800s
9	
  
Photos: UNH Special Collections
Harvard Forest Museum
10	
  
East Boston, c. 1855
Southworth and Hawes, daguerreotype
11	
  
Photos: UNH Special Collections
East Boston, c. 1855
Southworth and Hawes, daguerreotype
Completion of the Great Northern Railway, 1893
Forest History Society
Mid-1800s Peak Deforestation
12	
  
Harper, 1918
Mass.
Vermont
NYC, NY
Maine
Conn.
Rhode Island
Mid-1800s Peak Deforestation
13	
  
Harper, 1918
Baldwin, 1942
Foster et al. 2008
Mass.
Vermont
NYC, NY
Maine
Conn.
Rhode Island
14	
  
Pennsylvania Coal
George Bretz, 1880s
How does land cover impact climate?
16	
  
Not New Hampshire. Actually Switzerland. Thanks user Kamisan at DeviantArt.com
•  Albedo
Albedo
17	
  
Albedo = SWup/SWdown
Cooler open lands
Snow-Covered
Field 0.85
Albedo
18	
  
Albedo = SWup/SWdown
Snow-Covered
Forest 0.25
Albedo
19	
  
Albedo = SWup/SWdown
Snow-Covered
Forest 0.25
Cooler open lands
Warmer forests
Snow-Covered
Field 0.85
Cooler climate in 1800s due to albedo
20	
  
Photos: UNH Special Collections
Harvard Forest Museum
Burakowski et al. J. Climate
revisions submitted
21	
  
•  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer
Not New Hampshire. Actually Switzerland. Thanks user Kamisan at DeviantArt.com
How does land cover impact climate?
22	
  
Not New Hampshire. Actually Switzerland. Thanks user Kamisan at DeviantArt.com
How does land cover impact climate?
•  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer
•  Canopy roughness
Canopy roughness, at night
23	
  
Where is it warmer at night in winter – forest or field?
Where would you set up a campsite?
Where would deer bed in winter?
24	
  
Rough forest canopies enhance mixing & draw warmer
air from aloft; cooler open land loses heat rapidly.
Forest canopies are aerodynamically
rough compared to open fields, which
are relatively smooth.
Canopy roughness, at night
25	
  
Canopy roughness, daytime
Rough forest canopies dissipate heat more efficiently
(cooler); open land suppresses mixing, warmer than
forest.
Daytime effect in opposition to
nighttime effects.
Also in opposition to albedo effect.
26	
  
•  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer
•  Canopy roughness – cooler fields at night,
warmer fields during the day.
How does land cover impact climate?
27	
  
•  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer
•  Canopy roughness – cooler fields at night,
warmer fields during the day.
•  Evaporative cooling
How does land cover impact climate?
28	
  
Evaporative Cooling
Forests tend to move more water than
open fields.
29	
  
•  Albedo – warmer forests in winter & summer
•  Canopy roughness – warmer forests at night,
cooler forests during the day.
•  Evaporative cooling – warmer fields in summer
How does land cover impact climate?
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
30	
  
Burakowski et al. in prep
Combine science, math, observations, and climate models.
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
31	
  
Observations from eddy covariance towers
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
32	
  
Observations from eddy covariance towers
Hayfield is
-0.1oC
cooler
Albedo
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
33	
  
Hayfield is
+0.8oC
warmer
Canopy
Roughness
Hayfield is
-0.1oC
cooler
Albedo
Observations from eddy covariance towers
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
34	
  
Hayfield is
-0.2oC
cooler
Evaporative
Cooling
Hayfield is
-0.1oC
cooler
Albedo
Hayfield is
+0.8oC
warmer
Canopy
Roughness
… Not quite what we expected
Observations from eddy covariance towers
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
35	
  
Hayfield is
-0.5oC
cooler
Hayfield compared to deciduous forest
ALBEDO
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
36	
  
Hayfield compared to deciduous forest
ALBEDO
Hayfield is
-0.5oC
cooler
Hayfield is
+1.5oC
warmer
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or evaporation?
37	
  
Hayfield compared to deciduous forest
ALBEDO
Hayfield is
-0.5oC
cooler
Hayfield is
+1.5oC
warmer
Hayfield is
-0.1oC
cooler
EVAP
Which dominates?
Albedo, roughness, or Evaporation?
38	
  
Both observations and models
suggest that
CANOPY ROUGHNESS
dominates climate impact of land
cover.
… warmer in mid-1800s
due to deforestation

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BurakowskiEA_DartmouthEARS14_20160405

  • 1. Climate impacts of land cover and land use Elizabeth Burakowski, Visiting Scientist National Center for Atmospheric Research & University of New Hampshire 2016-04-05 Dartmouth EARS14 Meteorology 1   Reynoldston, NY Historical Society
  • 2. 2   How on Earth did I get here?? Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med
  • 3. 3   How on Earth did I get here?? Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med Spring Freshman Chemistry
  • 4. 4   How on Earth did I get here?? Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med Spring Freshman Chemistry Fall Sophomore Psychology
  • 5. 5   How on Earth did I get here?? Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med Spring Freshman Chemistry Fall Sophomore Psychology Spring Sophomore Philosophy
  • 6. 6   How on Earth did I get here?? Fall Freshman Biology/Pre-med Spring Freshman Chemistry Fall Sophomore Psychology Spring Sophomore Philosophy Fall Junior GEOLOGY!
  • 7. 7   How on Earth did I get here?? 2007  Masters in Earth Science Thesis: Trends in Winter Climate in the Northeastern US 2008  Vagabonding in the Pacific 2013  Ph.D. in Earth and Env. Sci. Dissertation: Winter climate impacts of mid-1800s deforestation
  • 8. 8   How on Earth did I get here?? 2014  Postdoc at NCAR 2015  Visiting Scientist at NCAR/ Postdoc at UNH National Center for Atmospheric Research Research Topic: Climate impacts of land cover and land use
  • 9. Peak Deforestation in Mid-1800s 9   Photos: UNH Special Collections Harvard Forest Museum
  • 10. 10   East Boston, c. 1855 Southworth and Hawes, daguerreotype
  • 11. 11   Photos: UNH Special Collections East Boston, c. 1855 Southworth and Hawes, daguerreotype Completion of the Great Northern Railway, 1893 Forest History Society
  • 12. Mid-1800s Peak Deforestation 12   Harper, 1918 Mass. Vermont NYC, NY Maine Conn. Rhode Island
  • 13. Mid-1800s Peak Deforestation 13   Harper, 1918 Baldwin, 1942 Foster et al. 2008 Mass. Vermont NYC, NY Maine Conn. Rhode Island
  • 15.
  • 16. How does land cover impact climate? 16   Not New Hampshire. Actually Switzerland. Thanks user Kamisan at DeviantArt.com •  Albedo
  • 17. Albedo 17   Albedo = SWup/SWdown Cooler open lands Snow-Covered Field 0.85
  • 18. Albedo 18   Albedo = SWup/SWdown Snow-Covered Forest 0.25
  • 19. Albedo 19   Albedo = SWup/SWdown Snow-Covered Forest 0.25 Cooler open lands Warmer forests Snow-Covered Field 0.85
  • 20. Cooler climate in 1800s due to albedo 20   Photos: UNH Special Collections Harvard Forest Museum Burakowski et al. J. Climate revisions submitted
  • 21. 21   •  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer Not New Hampshire. Actually Switzerland. Thanks user Kamisan at DeviantArt.com How does land cover impact climate?
  • 22. 22   Not New Hampshire. Actually Switzerland. Thanks user Kamisan at DeviantArt.com How does land cover impact climate? •  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer •  Canopy roughness
  • 23. Canopy roughness, at night 23   Where is it warmer at night in winter – forest or field? Where would you set up a campsite? Where would deer bed in winter?
  • 24. 24   Rough forest canopies enhance mixing & draw warmer air from aloft; cooler open land loses heat rapidly. Forest canopies are aerodynamically rough compared to open fields, which are relatively smooth. Canopy roughness, at night
  • 25. 25   Canopy roughness, daytime Rough forest canopies dissipate heat more efficiently (cooler); open land suppresses mixing, warmer than forest. Daytime effect in opposition to nighttime effects. Also in opposition to albedo effect.
  • 26. 26   •  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer •  Canopy roughness – cooler fields at night, warmer fields during the day. How does land cover impact climate?
  • 27. 27   •  Albedo – cooler fields in winter & summer •  Canopy roughness – cooler fields at night, warmer fields during the day. •  Evaporative cooling How does land cover impact climate?
  • 28. 28   Evaporative Cooling Forests tend to move more water than open fields.
  • 29. 29   •  Albedo – warmer forests in winter & summer •  Canopy roughness – warmer forests at night, cooler forests during the day. •  Evaporative cooling – warmer fields in summer How does land cover impact climate?
  • 30. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 30   Burakowski et al. in prep Combine science, math, observations, and climate models.
  • 31. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 31   Observations from eddy covariance towers
  • 32. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 32   Observations from eddy covariance towers Hayfield is -0.1oC cooler Albedo
  • 33. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 33   Hayfield is +0.8oC warmer Canopy Roughness Hayfield is -0.1oC cooler Albedo Observations from eddy covariance towers
  • 34. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 34   Hayfield is -0.2oC cooler Evaporative Cooling Hayfield is -0.1oC cooler Albedo Hayfield is +0.8oC warmer Canopy Roughness … Not quite what we expected Observations from eddy covariance towers
  • 35. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 35   Hayfield is -0.5oC cooler Hayfield compared to deciduous forest ALBEDO
  • 36. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 36   Hayfield compared to deciduous forest ALBEDO Hayfield is -0.5oC cooler Hayfield is +1.5oC warmer
  • 37. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or evaporation? 37   Hayfield compared to deciduous forest ALBEDO Hayfield is -0.5oC cooler Hayfield is +1.5oC warmer Hayfield is -0.1oC cooler EVAP
  • 38. Which dominates? Albedo, roughness, or Evaporation? 38   Both observations and models suggest that CANOPY ROUGHNESS dominates climate impact of land cover. … warmer in mid-1800s due to deforestation