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Bringing landscapes, lifestyles and livelihoods
together to assess and engage in improving natural
                                resource condition.

                                 Andrew Campbell
Knowledge
for managing Australian landscapes

        Andrew Campbell

 Place & Purpose Symposium, Adelaide
         30 September 2009
        www.triplehelix.com.au
My perspectives
    • Farming background Cavendish (SW Vic)
    • Forestry (Creswick & Melbourne)
    • Extension officer, Shepparton, Bendigo &
      Stawell
    • Manager, Potter Farmland Plan
    • National Landcare Facilitator
    • Post-grad studies, Holland & France
    • Senior Executive, Australian Government
    • 7 years CEO of Land & Water Australia
2   • Triple Helix Consulting
Outline

    1. Context

    2. Imperative

    3. Knowledge needs

    4. Implications for landscape science


3
1. CONTEXT
    • Climate

    • Water

    • Energy

    • Soil & land

    • Food

    • Human health & animal welfare

    • Natural Resource Management
4
Population & carbon emissions




5    Source: WBCSD & IUCN 2008; Harvard Medical School 2008
Water
      • Every calorie takes one litre of
        water to produce, on average*

      • Like the Murray Darling Basin,
        all the world‘s major food
        producing basins are
        effectively ‗closed‘ or already
        over-committed



           * IWMI 2007
6
Energy & nutrients
• The era of abundant, cheap fossil fuels is over
• Rising energy costs = rising fertiliser costs




7       Remaining reserves (billions of barrels) of crude oil (EWG 2007)
Feeding the world
    • The world needs to almost double food production by
      2050, & improve distribution
    • We have done this in the past, mainly through
      clearing, cultivating and irrigating more land
      – and to a lesser extent better varieties, more fertiliser etc

    • Climate change is narrowing those options, with limits
      to water, land, energy & nutrients
    • Concern among rich consumers about modern
      industrial food systems
      – human health, animal welfare, environment
8
9
But maybe we ain‘t seen nothin yet….




10
Land & soil
• The FAO recently assessed trends in land condition (measured
     by net primary productivity) from 1981-2004
• Land degradation is increasing in severity and extent:
     – >20 percent of all cultivated areas
       >30 percent of forests
       >10 percent of grasslands
• 1.5 billion people depend directly on land that is being degraded
• Land degradation is cumulative. Limited overlap between 24% of
     the land surface identified as degraded now and the 15% classified in
     1991,
     because NPP has flatlined near zero in flogged areas

11                  http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2008/1000874/index.html
2. THE IMPERATIVE
     PROFOUND TECHNICAL CHALLENGES:
     1. To decouple economic growth from carbon emissions
     2. To increase water productivity
        decoupling the every calorie = 1 litre relationship
     3. To increase energy productivity
        –   more food energy out per unit of energy in
        –   while shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy

     4. To develop more sustainable food systems
        –   while conserving biodiversity
        –   and improving landscape amenity
     5. To achieve all of the above simultaneously
        –   If you are in the water business, you are in the energy business,
            and if you are in the energy business, you will soon be in the carbon
12          business
3 Pillars of Sustainability
        KNOWLEDGE: Sustainable systems and
        practices must exist, and the know-how
             for people to implement them




                           CAPACITY: People must
                          have the wherewithal to be
     COMMITMENT:            able to implement more
      People must          sustainable systems and
        want it              practices at sufficient
13                                    scale
3. KNOWLEDGE
From a public policy perspective, there are
  three main reasons to invest in knowledge:

1.To help us make better decisions & policy
2.To underpin the innovation process
3.So that we can learn as we go along
     — in the words of Peter Cullen:
     “at least we should be making new mistakes”

14
Knowledge 101
• Knowledge happens between the ears
• An individual cognitive process and highly contextual:
     – “I only know what I know when I need to know it”
     – knowledge is most useful when it is needed

• Revealed in artifacts (writing, art, formulae, products etc), skills,
     experience, rules of thumb and natural talent (Dave Snowden)
• Across quite different domains:
     – Including local, Indigenous, scientific, strategic (organisational)

• And different sectors:
     – research, policy, management, planning, extension, education, monitoring

• People default to known, trusted, accessible sources
15
The Cynefin knowledge framework*
                                    • Climate change spans all of
                                      these domains
                                    • If temp increase > 2ºC, then
                                      disorder & chaos will reign
                                    • The challenge is to handle the
                                      necessary range of
                                      simultaneous responses
                                         – to work in all of these domains
                                           at once
                                         – to develop a system-wide
                                           perspective
                                         – & the knowledge systems and
                                           learning strategies to underpin
                                           that perspective
                                          * David Snowden & Mary Boone (2007)
16            “Leader's Framework for Decision Making” Harvard Business Review
Observations on the current situation
     • Community concern exceeds political will
     • Knowledge at all levels is patchy
        – “De Nile ain’t just a river in Egypt…”
     • The overall NRM/Ag knowledge system lacks cohesion
        –   Research investment is concentrated in a few big players
        –   Alternative technologies/approaches struggle for funds
        –   Cross-system learning is poor
        –   Especially across climate-carbon-water-energy-food system
            boundaries
     • Climate chaos/water/energy literacy is far too low
        – in the wider community
        – in the bureaucracy
        – in corporate boardrooms & management
17
Response
                                 Options
                                We need to be
                                operating in each of
                                these quadrants

                                Develop research
                                partnerships +/or
                                link into existing
                                collaborations




18
     Source: FFI CRC EverCrop
Beware of
      generalising



              Nurioopta


                          Eden Valley




N   Lyndoch




                          Source: Peter Hayman
We need a third agricultural revolution
                — what might it look like?
• Closed loop farming systems (water, energy, nutrients, carbon)
• Farming systems producing renewable bioenergy
• Smart metering, sensing, telemetry, robotics, guidance
• Understanding & use of soil microbial activity (&GM)
• Urban food production (roofs etc), recycling waste streams & urban
  water and nutrients
• Detailed product specification (e.g. Tesco)
• ‗Carbon plus‘ offsets and incentives

20
A detour: woody biomass
                 energy
     • Learning from the Vikings:
        – Finland: same area and population as Victoria, tougher
          climate, shorter growing season, slower growth rates
        – Private forestry thinnings etc produce 23% of Finland‘s
          primary energy, over 75% of thermal energy needs, and
          20% of Finland‘s electricity
        – In Sweden it is 20% with a target of 40%

     • Foran et al suggest woody biomass energy can fuel
       Australia

     • WA already has a pilot plant using mallees
21      – Verve Energy at Narrogin
22
Transition to carbon-neutral,
     energy-positive rural landscapes
• We should market ‗carbon plus‘ grass-fed, rain-fed, red
     meat
      – Which means significant offsets built-in to grazing systems
      – Potential benefits for habitat, micro-climate, aesthetics, water
        quality, shelter, bioenergy and carbon
• BUT: MIS schemes show that, without good planning &
  controls, the market will default to large monoculture plantations
  replacing agriculture, not integrated into farming (sub-prime
  carbon!)
•
 •
23
―Carbon plus‖ wool, beef and sheep meat




24
Forestry integrated with farming
          vs replacing farming




25
Forestry integrated with farming
          vs replacing farming




26
27
28
The temporal dimension




     E. Nitens harvested from riparian revegetation after 16 years
29             Rowan Reid, Bambra Agroforestry Farm
The temporal dimension (2)
           John Marriott direct-seeding a shelterbelt
                on the Potter Farmland Plan ―Helm
                    View‖ demonstration farm 1985




30
The shelterbelt from previous slide in 2005 (20 years on)




31
NRM: sequential vs parallel evolution
Three major developments in NRM over the last 20
   years:
     1. Community landcare
     2. The regional model
     3. Assets-based approach — evidence-based targeting
• There is a tendency to see these developments as
     sequential: each supplanting the previous approach
• In fact they should be implemented in parallel
     – They are complementary, mutually reinforcing
     – Synergistic with good planning & delivery
32
The human dimension



 • Managing whole landscapes
     - landscapes: ―where nature meets culture‖ (Simon Schama)
     - landscapes are socially constructed
     - beyond ‗ecological apartheid‘
     - sustainability means people management
     - engage values, perceptions, aspirations, behaviour
     - build knowledge grounded in a sense of place

33
An engaged community base is crucial
 •   Rapid, often surprising, on-going environmental change will
     challenge governments and industries, and stress communities.

 •   Many responses (proactive and reactive) will need to be worked out
     at regional and local levels. Successful implementation of tough
     decisions depends on community support.

 •   This requires environmentally literate and capable delivery
     frameworks at regional scale, involving community leaders and
     engaging grassroots volunteers.

 •   Convergence in climate, energy, water and food mandates an
     integrated planning & delivery framework



34
A Prime Ministerial Mandate
Kevin Rudd, Westminster Abbey, 31 March 2009:
suggesting that the free market needs a moral compass:

“To these values of security, liberty and prosperity
   must also be grafted the values of
  equity, of sustainability and community.”
• Equity, Sustainability, Community…
• Sounds like Landcare values to me
     – Revisit community engagement & empowerment models
     – Most adaptation knowledge will come from
       the community, not from experts
     – web 2.0 is ideally suited here - social tools critical

35
4.       IMPLICATIONS FOR LANDSCAPE SCIENCE
 •     Consideration of whole landscapes is more crucial than ever
 •     We need tools that can handle the convergence of carbon, water,
       energy, food and health
      – how these interactions play out in rural landscapes
      – and regional economies
 •     Make sure the portfolio is well weighted
      –    From ‗modify‘ and ‗adapt‘ to ‗innovate‘ and ‗create‘
 •     Be pluralistic in disciplines and methodologies
 •     Pay attention to the whole knowledge system
      –    For decisions, for innovation, and for long term learning
 •     Seek to engage and work with community science
      –    Invest in understanding the knowledge need
36
Policy - putting it all together
     • ―Joined-up Government‖ has to be more than a slogan
     • New alliances, platforms, networks are needed
     • Climate chaos is both a row and a column
     • Planning for carbon, energy, transport, water, waste, fires,
       health, food and demographics needs integration
     • This requires a solid and extensive evidence base in the ‗known‘,
       ‗knowable‘ and ‗complex‘ domains
     • Chaotic domains demand good adaptive tools
        – e.g. real-time monitoring, environmental literacy, scenarios
        – resilience attributes (flexibility, redundancy, buffering etc)
37
A 7 point plan for renovating agriculture
         and natural resources
 1. Rejuvenate Landcare and Re-engage the Community
 2. Reinforce the Regional/Catchment Model
 3. Rewire Environmental Information Systems
 4. Revolutionise Agricultural Research, Extension and Education
     (rebrand agriculture around food, carbon, landscapes & energy)

 5. Reform Drought Policy & Rural & Regional Services
 6. Re-unite the Carbon, Water, Energy, Food & Farming agendas
 7. Redesign the Institutional Architecture

38
Underpinning principles
• Building Resilience
• Balancing centralism and subsidiarity
• Re-engaging stakeholders and devolving responsibility
• Taking the time necessary to sort through complex,
  contested, connected issues
• Building, sustaining and using a comprehensive evidence
  base
• Investing in skills, knowledge, innovation and leadership
• Budgeting for longer term stability

39
Take home messages
 • We are in a period of rapid environmental change
    – Not all predictable, often bewildering
 • This is not a blip. Normal service will not be resumed
 • Business as usual is not a viable trajectory
    – Not in business, not in policy and not in science
 • These are exciting days for landscape science
 • Food, carbon, water, energy, biodiversity & landscape
   amenity
    – A compelling big picture agenda needs fleshing out

                       GO FOR IT!
40
For more info


     www.triplehelix.com.au


41
The Environment
    Institute

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Bringing landscapes, lifestyles and livelihoods together

  • 1. Bringing landscapes, lifestyles and livelihoods together to assess and engage in improving natural resource condition. Andrew Campbell
  • 2. Knowledge for managing Australian landscapes Andrew Campbell Place & Purpose Symposium, Adelaide 30 September 2009 www.triplehelix.com.au
  • 3. My perspectives • Farming background Cavendish (SW Vic) • Forestry (Creswick & Melbourne) • Extension officer, Shepparton, Bendigo & Stawell • Manager, Potter Farmland Plan • National Landcare Facilitator • Post-grad studies, Holland & France • Senior Executive, Australian Government • 7 years CEO of Land & Water Australia 2 • Triple Helix Consulting
  • 4. Outline 1. Context 2. Imperative 3. Knowledge needs 4. Implications for landscape science 3
  • 5. 1. CONTEXT • Climate • Water • Energy • Soil & land • Food • Human health & animal welfare • Natural Resource Management 4
  • 6. Population & carbon emissions 5 Source: WBCSD & IUCN 2008; Harvard Medical School 2008
  • 7. Water • Every calorie takes one litre of water to produce, on average* • Like the Murray Darling Basin, all the world‘s major food producing basins are effectively ‗closed‘ or already over-committed * IWMI 2007 6
  • 8. Energy & nutrients • The era of abundant, cheap fossil fuels is over • Rising energy costs = rising fertiliser costs 7 Remaining reserves (billions of barrels) of crude oil (EWG 2007)
  • 9. Feeding the world • The world needs to almost double food production by 2050, & improve distribution • We have done this in the past, mainly through clearing, cultivating and irrigating more land – and to a lesser extent better varieties, more fertiliser etc • Climate change is narrowing those options, with limits to water, land, energy & nutrients • Concern among rich consumers about modern industrial food systems – human health, animal welfare, environment 8
  • 10. 9
  • 11. But maybe we ain‘t seen nothin yet…. 10
  • 12. Land & soil • The FAO recently assessed trends in land condition (measured by net primary productivity) from 1981-2004 • Land degradation is increasing in severity and extent: – >20 percent of all cultivated areas >30 percent of forests >10 percent of grasslands • 1.5 billion people depend directly on land that is being degraded • Land degradation is cumulative. Limited overlap between 24% of the land surface identified as degraded now and the 15% classified in 1991, because NPP has flatlined near zero in flogged areas 11 http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2008/1000874/index.html
  • 13. 2. THE IMPERATIVE PROFOUND TECHNICAL CHALLENGES: 1. To decouple economic growth from carbon emissions 2. To increase water productivity decoupling the every calorie = 1 litre relationship 3. To increase energy productivity – more food energy out per unit of energy in – while shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy 4. To develop more sustainable food systems – while conserving biodiversity – and improving landscape amenity 5. To achieve all of the above simultaneously – If you are in the water business, you are in the energy business, and if you are in the energy business, you will soon be in the carbon 12 business
  • 14. 3 Pillars of Sustainability KNOWLEDGE: Sustainable systems and practices must exist, and the know-how for people to implement them CAPACITY: People must have the wherewithal to be COMMITMENT: able to implement more People must sustainable systems and want it practices at sufficient 13 scale
  • 15. 3. KNOWLEDGE From a public policy perspective, there are three main reasons to invest in knowledge: 1.To help us make better decisions & policy 2.To underpin the innovation process 3.So that we can learn as we go along — in the words of Peter Cullen: “at least we should be making new mistakes” 14
  • 16. Knowledge 101 • Knowledge happens between the ears • An individual cognitive process and highly contextual: – “I only know what I know when I need to know it” – knowledge is most useful when it is needed • Revealed in artifacts (writing, art, formulae, products etc), skills, experience, rules of thumb and natural talent (Dave Snowden) • Across quite different domains: – Including local, Indigenous, scientific, strategic (organisational) • And different sectors: – research, policy, management, planning, extension, education, monitoring • People default to known, trusted, accessible sources 15
  • 17. The Cynefin knowledge framework* • Climate change spans all of these domains • If temp increase > 2ºC, then disorder & chaos will reign • The challenge is to handle the necessary range of simultaneous responses – to work in all of these domains at once – to develop a system-wide perspective – & the knowledge systems and learning strategies to underpin that perspective * David Snowden & Mary Boone (2007) 16 “Leader's Framework for Decision Making” Harvard Business Review
  • 18. Observations on the current situation • Community concern exceeds political will • Knowledge at all levels is patchy – “De Nile ain’t just a river in Egypt…” • The overall NRM/Ag knowledge system lacks cohesion – Research investment is concentrated in a few big players – Alternative technologies/approaches struggle for funds – Cross-system learning is poor – Especially across climate-carbon-water-energy-food system boundaries • Climate chaos/water/energy literacy is far too low – in the wider community – in the bureaucracy – in corporate boardrooms & management 17
  • 19. Response Options We need to be operating in each of these quadrants Develop research partnerships +/or link into existing collaborations 18 Source: FFI CRC EverCrop
  • 20. Beware of generalising Nurioopta Eden Valley N Lyndoch Source: Peter Hayman
  • 21. We need a third agricultural revolution — what might it look like? • Closed loop farming systems (water, energy, nutrients, carbon) • Farming systems producing renewable bioenergy • Smart metering, sensing, telemetry, robotics, guidance • Understanding & use of soil microbial activity (&GM) • Urban food production (roofs etc), recycling waste streams & urban water and nutrients • Detailed product specification (e.g. Tesco) • ‗Carbon plus‘ offsets and incentives 20
  • 22. A detour: woody biomass energy • Learning from the Vikings: – Finland: same area and population as Victoria, tougher climate, shorter growing season, slower growth rates – Private forestry thinnings etc produce 23% of Finland‘s primary energy, over 75% of thermal energy needs, and 20% of Finland‘s electricity – In Sweden it is 20% with a target of 40% • Foran et al suggest woody biomass energy can fuel Australia • WA already has a pilot plant using mallees 21 – Verve Energy at Narrogin
  • 23. 22
  • 24. Transition to carbon-neutral, energy-positive rural landscapes • We should market ‗carbon plus‘ grass-fed, rain-fed, red meat – Which means significant offsets built-in to grazing systems – Potential benefits for habitat, micro-climate, aesthetics, water quality, shelter, bioenergy and carbon • BUT: MIS schemes show that, without good planning & controls, the market will default to large monoculture plantations replacing agriculture, not integrated into farming (sub-prime carbon!) • • 23
  • 25. ―Carbon plus‖ wool, beef and sheep meat 24
  • 26. Forestry integrated with farming vs replacing farming 25
  • 27. Forestry integrated with farming vs replacing farming 26
  • 28. 27
  • 29. 28
  • 30. The temporal dimension E. Nitens harvested from riparian revegetation after 16 years 29 Rowan Reid, Bambra Agroforestry Farm
  • 31. The temporal dimension (2) John Marriott direct-seeding a shelterbelt on the Potter Farmland Plan ―Helm View‖ demonstration farm 1985 30
  • 32. The shelterbelt from previous slide in 2005 (20 years on) 31
  • 33. NRM: sequential vs parallel evolution Three major developments in NRM over the last 20 years: 1. Community landcare 2. The regional model 3. Assets-based approach — evidence-based targeting • There is a tendency to see these developments as sequential: each supplanting the previous approach • In fact they should be implemented in parallel – They are complementary, mutually reinforcing – Synergistic with good planning & delivery 32
  • 34. The human dimension • Managing whole landscapes - landscapes: ―where nature meets culture‖ (Simon Schama) - landscapes are socially constructed - beyond ‗ecological apartheid‘ - sustainability means people management - engage values, perceptions, aspirations, behaviour - build knowledge grounded in a sense of place 33
  • 35. An engaged community base is crucial • Rapid, often surprising, on-going environmental change will challenge governments and industries, and stress communities. • Many responses (proactive and reactive) will need to be worked out at regional and local levels. Successful implementation of tough decisions depends on community support. • This requires environmentally literate and capable delivery frameworks at regional scale, involving community leaders and engaging grassroots volunteers. • Convergence in climate, energy, water and food mandates an integrated planning & delivery framework 34
  • 36. A Prime Ministerial Mandate Kevin Rudd, Westminster Abbey, 31 March 2009: suggesting that the free market needs a moral compass: “To these values of security, liberty and prosperity must also be grafted the values of equity, of sustainability and community.” • Equity, Sustainability, Community… • Sounds like Landcare values to me – Revisit community engagement & empowerment models – Most adaptation knowledge will come from the community, not from experts – web 2.0 is ideally suited here - social tools critical 35
  • 37. 4. IMPLICATIONS FOR LANDSCAPE SCIENCE • Consideration of whole landscapes is more crucial than ever • We need tools that can handle the convergence of carbon, water, energy, food and health – how these interactions play out in rural landscapes – and regional economies • Make sure the portfolio is well weighted – From ‗modify‘ and ‗adapt‘ to ‗innovate‘ and ‗create‘ • Be pluralistic in disciplines and methodologies • Pay attention to the whole knowledge system – For decisions, for innovation, and for long term learning • Seek to engage and work with community science – Invest in understanding the knowledge need 36
  • 38. Policy - putting it all together • ―Joined-up Government‖ has to be more than a slogan • New alliances, platforms, networks are needed • Climate chaos is both a row and a column • Planning for carbon, energy, transport, water, waste, fires, health, food and demographics needs integration • This requires a solid and extensive evidence base in the ‗known‘, ‗knowable‘ and ‗complex‘ domains • Chaotic domains demand good adaptive tools – e.g. real-time monitoring, environmental literacy, scenarios – resilience attributes (flexibility, redundancy, buffering etc) 37
  • 39. A 7 point plan for renovating agriculture and natural resources 1. Rejuvenate Landcare and Re-engage the Community 2. Reinforce the Regional/Catchment Model 3. Rewire Environmental Information Systems 4. Revolutionise Agricultural Research, Extension and Education (rebrand agriculture around food, carbon, landscapes & energy) 5. Reform Drought Policy & Rural & Regional Services 6. Re-unite the Carbon, Water, Energy, Food & Farming agendas 7. Redesign the Institutional Architecture 38
  • 40. Underpinning principles • Building Resilience • Balancing centralism and subsidiarity • Re-engaging stakeholders and devolving responsibility • Taking the time necessary to sort through complex, contested, connected issues • Building, sustaining and using a comprehensive evidence base • Investing in skills, knowledge, innovation and leadership • Budgeting for longer term stability 39
  • 41. Take home messages • We are in a period of rapid environmental change – Not all predictable, often bewildering • This is not a blip. Normal service will not be resumed • Business as usual is not a viable trajectory – Not in business, not in policy and not in science • These are exciting days for landscape science • Food, carbon, water, energy, biodiversity & landscape amenity – A compelling big picture agenda needs fleshing out GO FOR IT! 40
  • 42. For more info www.triplehelix.com.au 41
  • 43. The Environment Institute