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Water Research Centre




                                                       Water Research Centre
                                                          The Environment Institute



          AWA SA Branch/Adelaide University
                “Water Wednesday”

          Murray Darling Basin Plan: Striking the
                      Right Balance


                       Chair: Justin Brookes

Slide 0                               Life Impact The University of Adelaide
Water Research Centre




                                                        Water Research Centre
                                                           The Environment Institute




                        AWA SA Branch
                       Technical Seminar
                           Seminar sponsors




Slide 1                                Life Impact The University of Adelaide
Water Research Centre




                                                         Water Research Centre
                                                            The Environment Institute




                           Prof Barry Hart
                           Monash University

             Murray Darling Basin Plan:
             Striking the Right Balance


Slide 2                                 Life Impact The University of Adelaide
The MD Basin Plan - Striking the
        Right Balance
              Prof Barry Hart
                  MDBA
Why the need?
• Significant changes to hydrology
  – Less flooding (overbank flows)
  – Changes to seasonal flow regimes
• Overallocation of water resources
  – Particularly severe in southern basin
• Degradation of environment
  –   River red gums dying
  –   Fish populations reduced
  –   Waterbird number reduced
  –   Algal blooms
  –   Water quality degradation - salinity
  –   Murray mouth closed
• Increased threat to agricultural production
Hydrology of the Basin

Northern Basin




                 Southern Basin
Balancing the equation
                   Consumptive
                       42%




                             Murray - 58%, 42%
                             Darling - 28%, 72%




                   Environment
                     (58%)
      (Baseline - at 2009)
Basin Plan - purpose
• Objective
  – to develop and implement an integrated water
    resource Plan for the whole Basin
• Basin Plan seeks to rebalance the system
  – more water for the environment, but
  – minimise impacts on irrigators and local
    communities
• MDBA’s task
  – set the bounds (Sustainable Diversion Limits -
    SDL) and work with the States and local
    communities to implement
• MDBA only has powers to do part of the
  reform, but ……
The Basin Plan

The Basin Plan must include:
• Sustainable diversion limits (SDLs) =
  Ecologically Sustainable Level of Take
  (ESLT)
• Water resource plan accreditation
• Environmental Watering Plan
• Water Quality & Salinity Management
  Plan
• Water trading rules
• Monitoring and Evaluation program
What are we aiming to achieve?

A healthy working Basin
• critical drinking water needs can be met
• rivers are connected to creeks, billabongs and
  floodplains
• healthy ecosystems supporting a wide variety of
  plants and animals
• sufficient flows to flush nutrients and salt through the
  system
• sustainable growth in food and fibre production
• long-term confidence for businesses and communities
• ‘fit for purpose’ water quality
• a free market for trading water
What we wish to achieve
Four stage process


  2010             2011           2012      2012-2019
                    The             The
     The          propose          Basin        Implement
    Guide         d Basin                         ation
                                   Plan
                    Plan

• information
              • information   • adoption
              • formal
• feedback
                submissions
                                           Review in 2015
Reports
The Task
Decision-making process

     Environment (Science + Judgements)
     • Define the MDB environment we want to protect
     • Define what we want it to be (objectives)
     • Determine how much water needed to achieve this (EWR)


                                 Balancing
                     Implications
                   • Social and economic
                   • Environmental



Environmentally sustainable level of take (ESLT)
      = Sustainable Diversion Limit (SDL)
               (more than just a volume)
Defining the environment
•   Largely done in the Water Act
•   Key environmental assets
    -   wetlands, floodplain forests, rivers, estuary (Coorong)
    -   largely specific areas, locations
    -   judgements required to define which are ‘key’ assets and
        how much water they need
•   Key environmental functions
    -   Largely ecological processes
    -   primary production, fish migration, triggers for breeding,
        material transport
    -   judgements required in relating functions with flows
•   Ecosystem services
    -   Not considered yet
How much water is needed?

Key environmental assets
•   Too many to assess all (selected 2000+ KEAs)
•   Selected 18 to act as indicators - these are
    - hydrologically representative
    - have good information base on them
•   Most indicator assets are wetlands or floodplain
    forests (require high flows largely through overbank
    flows)
•   High flows make largest contribution to volume and
    therefore largest influence on ESLT
Indicator                              Lower Balonne River
                                       Floodplain System
                                                                                        Gwydir Wetlands

Assets                                        Narran Lakes




                                         Booligal Wetlands

                                      Lachlan Swamps

                          Great Cumbung Swamp

                Lower Murrumbidgee Wetlands
                                                                                                      Macquarie
                                                                                                      Marshes
                  Lower Darling
                  River System

              Hattah Lakes

Riverland – Chowilla
Floodplain
                                                                                        Mid Murrumbidgee Wetlands
  Coorong, Lower
  Lakes and Murray
  Mouth




     Wimmera River                                                                 Barmah Millewa Forest
     Terminal Wetlands

         Edward Wakool River System

                                                             Lower Goulburn River Floodplain
                Gunbower Koondrook Perricoota Forests
How much water is needed?
Barmah-Millewa - Targets & Flows
Barmah-Millewa - Targets & Flows
Achievement of targets


Delivered under current
 operating conditions


 Needs trib inflows or
  unregulated flows
    Not all years


River operations constraints
  Only achieved with large
 unregulated flows (floods)
Environmental water

•   Within each catchment
•   Two components:
    -   Local requirements (to water the assets and
        functions in that catchment)
    -   Downstream requirement (to water assets and
        functions in downstream parts of the river)
•   Example - Goulburn
    -   Local - for river channel and lower Goulburn
        Floodplain
    -   Downstream - contribution to River Murray assets
        and functions
Reports
Balancing


                                             Socio-economic
Key          Hydrological
                                               assessment
ecological   asset sites
assets       (18)

                              Ecological
                              water
                              requirements
                                                              SDL
                              (EWR)

Key          Hydrological
ecological   function sites
functions    (88)                                System
                                                constraints
Social and economic affects

• Long term, Basin scale
  – small economic affect


• Short term, local scale
  – small communities with high reliance on
    irrigation will be most at risk
How much more e-water needed?
Current thinking:
Basin wide - 2,750 GL/y (long-term average)
eWater Recovery:
Indicative rebalancing

                 2,700 GL/y             North South

                                  33%   25% 44%
                8,100 GL/y

  Additional
environmental
     water

                16,800 GL/y
                                  67%   75% 56%



                5,100 GL/y
Planned vs Held e-water
Strategies to adjust

Irrigators
• Commonwealth buy-backs ($3.1 bill)
• Irrigation modernisation ($5.9 bill)




                                  GAP




Communities/businesses
• Lost water = $ lost to towns/regions
• Debt levels high due to drought
• Mitigating impacts - gov’t assistance?
Implementation
• Major rural reform - will take time
• The Basin Plan as part of a Plan for the Basin
• Will need a ‘whole of government’ response to
    minimise impacts on local communities
•   States and community will be vital part of the
    implementation through developing and
    implementing regional water resource plans
•   Need less focus on the SDLs and more on
    how the extra water is used
Opportunities
• Time extension to 2019 provides opportunity
• In 2012 the Basin Plan will recommend
  ‘indicative SDLs’ for each catchment and the
  Basin
• This is within a ‘constrained’ system
• Opportunities to address some of these
  constraints (with potential changes to SDLs)
• Opportunity to progress towards more
  contemporary river management
Constraints
•   Operational constraints
    -   Change river operating rules (currently focused on
        consumptive water delivery)
    -   Optimise storage management
•   Policy constraints
    -   Modify storage carryover rules
    -   Water sharing plans - alter to better protect environmental
        water during droughts
    -   Remove state-based policies that impact of environmental
        outcomes
•   Physical constraints
    -   Remove/modify infrastructure that impede high flows
    -   Purchase easements to allow high flows to be delivered
    -   Adopt engineering works and other innovative solutions
•   An adaptive plan
                           More buybacks
                       •   Address some constraints
                       •   More modeling & science    Final SDL
    Indicative         •   Environmental works
       SDL

     Consumptive water

                 1200 GL/y
850 GL/y         recovered
recovered
                                              Gap



     Environmental water
10 Key Points
• Vision is for a healthy working basin
• Basin Plan is next step of the journey
• We have a robust starting point
• It’s more than just a volume of water
• Progress will be reviewed in 2015
• Savings from the ‘rules review’ will see SDL adjusted
• Northern basin is different to southern basin
• One size does not fit all - catchments are different
• How water is recovered will affect social & economic
    impacts
•   Localism is critical
Summary
•   Development and implementation of the Murray-
    Darling Basin Plan – major rural reform
•   Significant reductions in current diversion limits
    required
•   Commonwealth investment (ca. $9 billion) should
    ‘purchase’ all the water required
•   But still need a ‘whole of government’ response to
    minimise impacts on some local communities
•   Many opportunities to progress towards more
    contemporary river management by addressing many
    of the current constraints
•   This is a ‘journey’ we have just begun
Water Research Centre




                                                                           Water Research Centre
                                                                              The Environment Institute
    •


        Australian Water Association
        Keep in touch and stay informed with water industry professionals
        - Events, conferences, courses and study tours
        - National and regional interest groups and activities
        - Opportunities to connect with senior industry representatives and experts.
        - Research and publications – Water Journal and Australian Water Directory, plus
           extensive online library of technical papers

        SA AWA Branch
        More Technical events to be held in April, May and June:
        Next event -
        Thurs 19 April   SA Young Water Professionals Seminar
                         Topic: Adelaide’s North South Interconnector Pipeline project


Slide 37                                                  Life Impact The University of Adelaide
Water Research Centre




                                                             Water Research Centre
                                                                The Environment Institute


       AWA SA Branch/Adelaide University
             “Water Wednesday”
              Event Close & Networking
                           Thanks to our sponsors




Slide 38                                    Life Impact The University of Adelaide

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Water Wednesday - Professor Barry Hart

  • 1. Water Research Centre Water Research Centre The Environment Institute AWA SA Branch/Adelaide University “Water Wednesday” Murray Darling Basin Plan: Striking the Right Balance Chair: Justin Brookes Slide 0 Life Impact The University of Adelaide
  • 2. Water Research Centre Water Research Centre The Environment Institute AWA SA Branch Technical Seminar Seminar sponsors Slide 1 Life Impact The University of Adelaide
  • 3. Water Research Centre Water Research Centre The Environment Institute Prof Barry Hart Monash University Murray Darling Basin Plan: Striking the Right Balance Slide 2 Life Impact The University of Adelaide
  • 4. The MD Basin Plan - Striking the Right Balance Prof Barry Hart MDBA
  • 5. Why the need? • Significant changes to hydrology – Less flooding (overbank flows) – Changes to seasonal flow regimes • Overallocation of water resources – Particularly severe in southern basin • Degradation of environment – River red gums dying – Fish populations reduced – Waterbird number reduced – Algal blooms – Water quality degradation - salinity – Murray mouth closed • Increased threat to agricultural production
  • 6. Hydrology of the Basin Northern Basin Southern Basin
  • 7. Balancing the equation Consumptive 42% Murray - 58%, 42% Darling - 28%, 72% Environment (58%) (Baseline - at 2009)
  • 8. Basin Plan - purpose • Objective – to develop and implement an integrated water resource Plan for the whole Basin • Basin Plan seeks to rebalance the system – more water for the environment, but – minimise impacts on irrigators and local communities • MDBA’s task – set the bounds (Sustainable Diversion Limits - SDL) and work with the States and local communities to implement • MDBA only has powers to do part of the reform, but ……
  • 9. The Basin Plan The Basin Plan must include: • Sustainable diversion limits (SDLs) = Ecologically Sustainable Level of Take (ESLT) • Water resource plan accreditation • Environmental Watering Plan • Water Quality & Salinity Management Plan • Water trading rules • Monitoring and Evaluation program
  • 10. What are we aiming to achieve? A healthy working Basin • critical drinking water needs can be met • rivers are connected to creeks, billabongs and floodplains • healthy ecosystems supporting a wide variety of plants and animals • sufficient flows to flush nutrients and salt through the system • sustainable growth in food and fibre production • long-term confidence for businesses and communities • ‘fit for purpose’ water quality • a free market for trading water
  • 11. What we wish to achieve
  • 12. Four stage process 2010 2011 2012 2012-2019 The The The propose Basin Implement Guide d Basin ation Plan Plan • information • information • adoption • formal • feedback submissions Review in 2015
  • 15. Decision-making process Environment (Science + Judgements) • Define the MDB environment we want to protect • Define what we want it to be (objectives) • Determine how much water needed to achieve this (EWR) Balancing Implications • Social and economic • Environmental Environmentally sustainable level of take (ESLT) = Sustainable Diversion Limit (SDL) (more than just a volume)
  • 16. Defining the environment • Largely done in the Water Act • Key environmental assets - wetlands, floodplain forests, rivers, estuary (Coorong) - largely specific areas, locations - judgements required to define which are ‘key’ assets and how much water they need • Key environmental functions - Largely ecological processes - primary production, fish migration, triggers for breeding, material transport - judgements required in relating functions with flows • Ecosystem services - Not considered yet
  • 17. How much water is needed? Key environmental assets • Too many to assess all (selected 2000+ KEAs) • Selected 18 to act as indicators - these are - hydrologically representative - have good information base on them • Most indicator assets are wetlands or floodplain forests (require high flows largely through overbank flows) • High flows make largest contribution to volume and therefore largest influence on ESLT
  • 18. Indicator Lower Balonne River Floodplain System Gwydir Wetlands Assets Narran Lakes Booligal Wetlands Lachlan Swamps Great Cumbung Swamp Lower Murrumbidgee Wetlands Macquarie Marshes Lower Darling River System Hattah Lakes Riverland – Chowilla Floodplain Mid Murrumbidgee Wetlands Coorong, Lower Lakes and Murray Mouth Wimmera River Barmah Millewa Forest Terminal Wetlands Edward Wakool River System Lower Goulburn River Floodplain Gunbower Koondrook Perricoota Forests
  • 19. How much water is needed?
  • 22. Achievement of targets Delivered under current operating conditions Needs trib inflows or unregulated flows Not all years River operations constraints Only achieved with large unregulated flows (floods)
  • 23. Environmental water • Within each catchment • Two components: - Local requirements (to water the assets and functions in that catchment) - Downstream requirement (to water assets and functions in downstream parts of the river) • Example - Goulburn - Local - for river channel and lower Goulburn Floodplain - Downstream - contribution to River Murray assets and functions
  • 25. Balancing Socio-economic Key Hydrological assessment ecological asset sites assets (18) Ecological water requirements SDL (EWR) Key Hydrological ecological function sites functions (88) System constraints
  • 26. Social and economic affects • Long term, Basin scale – small economic affect • Short term, local scale – small communities with high reliance on irrigation will be most at risk
  • 27. How much more e-water needed? Current thinking: Basin wide - 2,750 GL/y (long-term average) eWater Recovery:
  • 28. Indicative rebalancing 2,700 GL/y North South 33% 25% 44% 8,100 GL/y Additional environmental water 16,800 GL/y 67% 75% 56% 5,100 GL/y
  • 29. Planned vs Held e-water
  • 30. Strategies to adjust Irrigators • Commonwealth buy-backs ($3.1 bill) • Irrigation modernisation ($5.9 bill) GAP Communities/businesses • Lost water = $ lost to towns/regions • Debt levels high due to drought • Mitigating impacts - gov’t assistance?
  • 31. Implementation • Major rural reform - will take time • The Basin Plan as part of a Plan for the Basin • Will need a ‘whole of government’ response to minimise impacts on local communities • States and community will be vital part of the implementation through developing and implementing regional water resource plans • Need less focus on the SDLs and more on how the extra water is used
  • 32. Opportunities • Time extension to 2019 provides opportunity • In 2012 the Basin Plan will recommend ‘indicative SDLs’ for each catchment and the Basin • This is within a ‘constrained’ system • Opportunities to address some of these constraints (with potential changes to SDLs) • Opportunity to progress towards more contemporary river management
  • 33. Constraints • Operational constraints - Change river operating rules (currently focused on consumptive water delivery) - Optimise storage management • Policy constraints - Modify storage carryover rules - Water sharing plans - alter to better protect environmental water during droughts - Remove state-based policies that impact of environmental outcomes • Physical constraints - Remove/modify infrastructure that impede high flows - Purchase easements to allow high flows to be delivered - Adopt engineering works and other innovative solutions
  • 34. An adaptive plan More buybacks • Address some constraints • More modeling & science Final SDL Indicative • Environmental works SDL Consumptive water 1200 GL/y 850 GL/y recovered recovered Gap Environmental water
  • 35. 10 Key Points • Vision is for a healthy working basin • Basin Plan is next step of the journey • We have a robust starting point • It’s more than just a volume of water • Progress will be reviewed in 2015 • Savings from the ‘rules review’ will see SDL adjusted • Northern basin is different to southern basin • One size does not fit all - catchments are different • How water is recovered will affect social & economic impacts • Localism is critical
  • 36. Summary • Development and implementation of the Murray- Darling Basin Plan – major rural reform • Significant reductions in current diversion limits required • Commonwealth investment (ca. $9 billion) should ‘purchase’ all the water required • But still need a ‘whole of government’ response to minimise impacts on some local communities • Many opportunities to progress towards more contemporary river management by addressing many of the current constraints • This is a ‘journey’ we have just begun
  • 37. Water Research Centre Water Research Centre The Environment Institute • Australian Water Association Keep in touch and stay informed with water industry professionals - Events, conferences, courses and study tours - National and regional interest groups and activities - Opportunities to connect with senior industry representatives and experts. - Research and publications – Water Journal and Australian Water Directory, plus extensive online library of technical papers SA AWA Branch More Technical events to be held in April, May and June: Next event - Thurs 19 April SA Young Water Professionals Seminar Topic: Adelaide’s North South Interconnector Pipeline project Slide 37 Life Impact The University of Adelaide
  • 38. Water Research Centre Water Research Centre The Environment Institute AWA SA Branch/Adelaide University “Water Wednesday” Event Close & Networking Thanks to our sponsors Slide 38 Life Impact The University of Adelaide