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26-11-2014
1
Possibilities for technology to
strengthen Brazilian dairy chain
Alfons Beldman, Co Daatselaar, Wim Zaalmink
26 November 2014
alfons.beldman@wur.nl
1
Content
1. Goal and scope of project
2. Brazilian dairy sector
3. Dairy farms
● Typical farms
● On farm processes
4. Availability of technology
5. Driving forces
6. Conclusions
2
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Goal and scope of the project
Introduction:
● General idea: huge untapped potential Brazilian
dairy sector
● Brazil net importer from milk
● Can (Dutch) technology and knowledge help to
further develop and strengthen the Brazilian dairy
sector.
● In line with existing connections between Brazil and
Netherlands (e.g. Wageningen University, Embrapa,
Vicosa)
3
Goal and scope of the project
Goal of project:
● Main question: What is the current situation of the
Brazilian dairy sector (SWOT) and what technology
could further strengthen the Brazilian dairy chain as
well in productivity as in sustainability.
● End product: a presentation/report outlining how
(Dutch) technology and knowledge can contribute
to the goal of the Brazilian government to improve
both productivity and sustainability in the dairy
sector.
● Focus on the primairy sector in the following states:
Parana, Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo, Rio Grande do Sul
and Santa Catarina.
4
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Goal and scope of the project
Activities and methodology
● Desk study: general picture of dairy chain Brazil
(SWOT) based on available information
● Mission to Brazil: mainly interviews with
representatives involved with the dairy industry.
● Analysing information to identify opportunities to fill
the technology gaps.
● Presenting and discussing preliminary results in a
workshop with representatives of Dutch agro-
industry and the Dutch ministry of economic affairs.
Goal and scope of the project
Results
● Brazilian dairy sector: structure and developments
● Typical dairy farms
● Availability of technology
● Driving forces
● Conclusions
6
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Brazilian dairy sector
Total and regional milkproduction
Farmtypes and expected development
Import, export, consumption
Processing
Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction
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Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction
Billion kg milk/year
Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013
Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction
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Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction
Billion kg milk/year
Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013
Brazilian dairy sector: regional milk production
Top 7 milk producing states (Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013)
State Total
milkproduction
(billion kg
2011)
Compared
with 2010
(%)
% of
total
Included
in study
Minas Gerais 8.77 +4.5 27.3 Y
Rio Grande do
Sul
3.90 +7.2 11.8 Y
Parana 3.93 +9.3 11.7 Y
Goias 3.37 +5.4 10.4 N
Santa
Catarina
2.57 +8.1 7.8 Y
Sao Paulo 1.59 -0.8 5.2 Y
Bahia 1.35 +9.4 4.0 N
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Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction
Billion kg milk/year
Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013
Brazilian dairy sector
Development production towards future:
● Growth in total milkproduction from 33 (2013)
towards 44 billion kg in 2020 = + 3.7%/year
● Differences in projections in different studies: from
41.3 – 52.3 billion kg in 2023/2024
Development depends on
● Market mainly internal consumption
● Competition with other agro sectors: soy, coffee,
pork, poultry
Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013
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Brazilian dairy sector nr of farms
Source: IFCN 2013. Difficult to find consistent data: farm size, number of cows, ha
and total milkproduction
Brazilian dairy sector 2010 - 2020
Total milk production (*1000 ton) per farmtype (nr cows/farm)
Nr of farms per farm type (nr cows/farm)
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Brazilian dairy sector: farm types/size classes
Diversity in farmtypes is big in Brazil!!
Classification based mostly used based on milk
production per day
● < 50 kg/day
● 50-200 kg/day
● 200-500 kg/day
● 500-1500 kg/day
● > 1500 kg/day
Brazilian dairy sector nr of farms
Total 1.35 million farmers produce 32.3 billion kg
1.08 million < 50 kg/day in total 8.4 billion kg milk
equals 80% of farmers produce 26% of milk
0.27 million > 50 kg/day in total 23.9 million kg milk
equals 20% of farmers produce 74% of milk
Source: Embrapa
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Brazilian dairy sector: diversity in productivity
Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013
Region < 50
kg/day
200-500
kg/day
+ 500
kg/day
North 717 1008 889
North East 833 1293 1802
South East 991 1959 3040
South 2025 4671 6081
Central West 972 1824 2648
Milk yield per cow per year (kg)
Brazilian dairy farms
Majority of milk comes from extensive grazing systems:
high percentage of feed intake through grazing, low
input of silage and concentrates
● Even some big farms use extensive system
Semi-extensive/semi-confinement grows fastest
● Full confinement often considered as too vulnerable
for volatile feed prices because these farmes have
to buy in a relative large percentage of their feed.
Operating costs (e.g. labour) and land prices have
increased much (>20% in last 2-3 years)
● Making Brazil the country with the highest cost
price for milk in the Southern hemisphere
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Brazilian dairy sector: import and export
Source: Embrapa
10900
99.68
669.74
143 545
Milk
Butter
Cheese
Skimmed Milk Powder
Whole Milk Powder
Consumption of Dairy Products in Brazil –
2009
Brazilian dairy sector: dairy consumption
Even in kg product (fresh) milk is main product
Source: Rabobank
Shares of different dairy products in total dairy consumption
in Brazil
kg product, NOT kg milk equivalents
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Brazilian dairy sector: dairy consumption
Expected increase in production: 3,7%/year
Expected increase in consumption + 3% per year
Brazil will have to export, can Brazil compete on world
market quality - costs?
31
Brazilian dairy sector Biggest dairy
processors Brazil 2011-2012
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Brazilian dairy sector: biggest dairy
processors
Less than 30% of milk production (> 32 mln tonnes) is
represented in the previous slide (8.3-8.4 mln tonnes)
● Although it concerns the 13 biggest
● So a very fragmented industry
Often new combinations, joint ventures, etc. between
different dairy processors, so ranking and shares often
change
● DPA: was a joint venture of Fonterra and Nestlé. Have decided
in 2014 to split up in two parts.
● Large Brazilian food companies like JBS (turnover of 41 billion
$) en BRF (turnover 19 billion $) are entering (and leaving)
dairy in Brazil. Ambition of JBS is to be world leader in
production of animal proteins (meat and dairy)
Brazilian dairy sector: biggest dairy
processors
Solidarity of dairy farmers with dairy companies tends to
be low
A study of Scalco and Braga (2014) concludes that the
Brazilian raw milk market is very close to a perfectly
competitive market
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Common farm types in Brazil
Diversity in farm types is big in Brazil!!
Classification based on milk production per day
● < 50 kg/day
● 50-200 kg/day
● 200-500 kg/day
● 500-1500 kg/day
● > 1500 kg/day
Also differences between regions with farm types:
● Central Brazil (Minas Gerais and Sao Paolo) more tropical
grasses, higher temperatures, southern Brazil (Parana, Rio
Grande do Sol and Santa Catarina) more perennial grasses,
better fit with Dutch farming systems and technologies
Brazilian climate allows two crops per year
Common farm types
Description mostly qualitative because of lack of
data:
● Structure (nr of farms, cows, ha, labour, access electricity, water,
technician, veterinarians and credits)
● Farm performance (milk price, qualitative income not dairy,
room to invest, management level, social life)
● Feeding (ration summer and winter, feeding system, calves)
● Animal production (yield, breeding, health)
● Milking and milk storage (machine milking, cooling, quality,
collection)
● Housing and manure handling
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Farms < 50 kg/day
Large number of farms (> 250000)
Average 9 cows, 20 ha of land, mostly grassland based, family labour
Low access to technicians and credits
Low milk price, high part of income from outside dairy
Feeding: grazing and in winter cutting sugarcane and elephant grass by hand
Low milk yield per cow, low milk quality, several health problems
80% machine milking, 80% milk cooling (sometimes communal or simple
water tanks)
Simple housing and manure handling
Expected development:
● Quit or grow (in southern states mostly development towards
modernisation)
● Depends mostly on alternatives for dairy
Farm 50-200 kg/day
Large number of farms (> 170000) responsible for about 30% of production
15 cows, 20 ha of land for dairy, mostly grassland based, family labour
High access to technicians and veterinarians, 50% makes use of credits
Average milk price, variable part of income from outside dairy
Feeding: grazing and in winter maize silage next to grazing
Low milk yield per cow, working on milk quality and improving productivity
90% machine milking, 90% milk cooling (sometimes communal)
Simple housing and manure handling
Expected development:
● Expected to grow in nr of cows per farm and in productivity
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Farms 200 - 500 kg/day
Ca 60.000 farms, nr increasing, production of farms increasing
25 cows (in lactation), 30 ha of land for dairy, mostly grassland based, not all
crops for dairy, family labour
High access to technicians and credits
Good milk price, based on working on milk quality, better performing farms
have a net margin so room to invest
Feeding: 60-100 % grazing in summer, with feeding of mais silage. In winter
time 10% grazing.
Low milk yield per cow, relative good milk quality
95% machine milking, about 50% milking parlor, 100% milk cooling
Better housing and milking parlors, some cubicle barns.
Expected development:
● Growing of farms, more mechanisation (feeding, feed production,
milking parlors)
Farm 200- 500 kg/day
Case Minas Gerais: high level farm and farmer
● High productivity of grassland and cows, good management
● 22 cows, 400 kg/day
● Multifunctional farm: with fishing pond and restaurant
● Participant program “Full Bucket” focussing on improving
productivity
● Intensive grazing incl irrigation, 20 paddocks 600 m2
● Intensive administration, incl weighing of animals
● Good financial results: invests from cash flow.
● Goal: 1000 kg/day with clear steps (first investing in own tank,
new milking parlor etc).
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Farms 500 – 1500 kg/day
Ca 25000 farms, production of farms increasing
80 cows (in lactation)
High access to technicians and credits
Good milk price, based on working on milk quality, better performing farms
have a net margin so room to invest
Feeding 70% grazing in summer, with feeding of maize silage. In winter time
50% grass 50% maize silage.
Milk yield 10-12 kg per cow per day, relative good milk quality
100% machine milking, about 50% milking parlor, 100% milk cooling
Better housing and milking parlors, 30% cubicle barns, 50% loose housing,
working with liquid slurry.
Expected development:
● Growing of farms, more mechanisation (feeding, feed production,
milking parlors), more confinement, more manure handling
Farm 500- 1500
Case Minas Gerais:
● 80 cows, 1200 kg milk/day
● 221 ha land.
● Milking parlor, milk tank
● Future plan to grow productivity of pastures and forage
production, genetics. No clear steps.
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Farms > 1500 kg/day
Ca 1200 farms, nr increasing 5% per year, production of farms increasing
120 cows (in lactation)
High access to technicians and credits
Good milk price, based on working on milk quality, better performing farms
have a net margin: milk price R$ 1.00 – 1.20 costs top 100 R$ 0.84 so room
to invest
Feeding 40% grazing in summer, with feeding of maize silage. In winter time
60% grass 40% maize silage. Feeding system 10% TMR, still lot by hand
Milk yield 12+ kg per cow per day, relative good milk quality
100% machine milking, about 50% milking parlor, 100% milk cooling
Better housing and milkin gparlors, 30% cubicle barns
Expected development:
● Growing of farms, more mechanisation (feeding, feed production,
milking parlors), more confinement, more manure handling
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Farm > 1500 kg per day
Case Parana
● Castrolanda
● 800 cattle, 380 dairy cows
● 8-10000 kg milk/day
● 750 ha, also cash crops (beans, soy)
● 14 persons for dairy
● Working on manure handling and bio digester
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On farm processes
Description of strong and weak points of farm processes
(mainly based on interviews)
● Grassland, fodder crops
● Feeding
● Milking, cooling and milk quality
● Animal health and welfare
● Manure handling
● Labour
● Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers
Grassland, fodder crops and feeding
Grassland and grazing basis of most farms
Additional feeds: corn, suger cane, grains
Feed storage: no feed storage, concrete silo’s, bunkers
Feeding often by hand, in general low level of feeding management
Trend towards confinement and machine feeding. Big potential
market
Crops: high yields, up to 5 crops in 2 years, need for varieties of
corn for silage
Grassland: need for better varieties, need for improvement
grassland management. Oppertunity for silage making. Not all
Brazilians are convinced of the added value of silage, If so then there
is big potential market for technology related to silage making and
feeding.
lot of suppliers of equipment, both national and imported
Use of milk replacer at low level: 10-15% at bigger farms (> 500 kg
/day)
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Milking, cooling and milkquality
Last decade big shift towards machine milking and cooling with help of credits,
in some regions (south) also on many small farms
Farmers that haven’t switched yet are very traditional
Because of increase in size of farms interesting market for cooling tanks
(replacement investments).
Tendency towards investing in milking parlor, for small group in automatic
milking systems
Milk quality is still big issue: bacterial count (small farms) and somatic cell
count (bigger farms)
● Could be better organised, also post farm (milk arriving at processor sometimes
has worse quality then on farm)
● Is also related to institutional issues (checks, penalties, supervision by
independent party) and market (high need for milk, lower quality demands
● If Brazil will be exporting then higher demands for quality of milk
Technology could perhaps help automated milk sampling combined with
GPS technology?
Animal health and welfare
Breeding
● Great variety in breeds and crossbreds
● From tropical breeds with low yields to pure bred Holsteins
with yields > 10.000 kg.
● Large number of breeding companies available
● In some cases better breeding standards needed (Girolande)
Data availability is very low, low participation in milk recording and
breeding programs.
Diseases are issue (e.g. ticks, Leucose)
Trend is towards confinement: more attention for cow comfort
(cubicles, beddings etc.)
Solution needed for bull calves
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Manure handling
Traditionally not much attention because of grazing systems
Now more attention because of trend towards confinement
No regulation (yet)
Will be an issue, especially for bigger farms. In pork production
rules are being implemented.
Opportunity: soils are poor in P and organic matter, manure has
value.
Labour
Availability and quality is considered to be a problem
Increase in minimum wage in the last decade
People not motivated to work in dairy
This will be the main driver for adoption of technology according to
many people.
However, some farmers have different view: “Labour is not a big
problem”:
● Offer a reasonable wage + housing + job for husband and wife
● Educate and coach employees to improve quality
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Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers
Key factor for adoption of technology
Big differences between farmers but also between regions (small farm-
ers have adopted technology in Rio Grande do Sul, but less so in Minas
Gerais)
Usually strong and long relation with supplier of technology
Some groups of Brazilian farmers are also sensitive to new trends
(e.g. compost barn)
Tactical and operational management often at low level. A national
program like “Full Bucket” tries to improve this. Outreach seems
limited. Higher level of management will generate more cash
flow.
There is no culture or knowledge on cost awareness. Farmers tend to
look at cash flow and expenditure and not at costs and returns.
Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers
From questionnaire of group of 615 dairy farmers (Educampo):
46% of investment in land, 24% in cattle, 16% in ‘improvements’,
11% in machinery
Gross margin 0.20 R$ (is around 0.06 euro) per kg in season 2009-
2010 (period with rather low milk prices)
In general: the bigger the herd the longer the farmer followed
education
Farmers’ wives mainly assist during milking
Only 30-40% of farms has successor: doesn’t depend on farm size:
will be an increasing problem
Technical advisors of cooperatives/industries main source of
information
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Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers
Survey Rio Grande do Sul
Opinion in survey: milk quality most important theme in trainings,
followed by feeding, genetic improvement and management of the
herd
On semi-confinement systems 4-5 visits/year of technicians, on
pasture systems 2-3 visits/year
Opinion in survey: lack of qualified labour, technical information on
milk production and market information are main factors hampering
quality and quantity of milk production (milk price was excluded)
Availability of technology
Impression from Agroleite 2014
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Availability of technology
Availability of technology
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Driving forces for development of dairy
sector
Infrastructure
National government and policy
Dairy chain
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Driving forces: Brazilian infrastructure
Major challenge!
Transport is expensive and is expected to become more expensive
because of legislation on conditions of employment truck drivers
Organizing support and service on a national level very complicated
focus on regions.
From farmers point of view:
● Access to technology is key issue (including capacity building,
training)!
● E.g. to get credits a farmer needs access to advisor
Institutional organisation of dairy sector is weak
Driving forces: national government and
policy
General situation economy rather poor (low growth, high inflation)
No clear direction or policy
Influence
● Import levies (different levels depending on availability of
technology in Brazil)
● Credit programs (more detailed information available)
● Research and extension
● For bigger farmers research and extension is too close to
government, not enough business oriented
● Link research – practice
● Extension not available, not functioning or difficult to access
● Dutch colonies have their own joint foundation for research
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Driving forces: national government and
policy: import levies
Import levies
● No or low levy if 60% of weight and value is from Brazil
● If technology is not available then also low levy: extarrifico
● Assessment for extarrifico by Brazilian Association for Machine
Industry (ABIMAQ) www.abimaq.com.br Assessment had to be
paid for
Use of imported technology
● More expensive because of extra levies
● But also slows down innovation by Brazilian suppliers and is
not an incentive to make high quality products. Brazilian
suppliers seem to adapt prices to imported products (- 20%)
● “If farmers would make a good calculation of costs they would
often still buy the more expensive imported technology, but
they tend to look at short term cash flow”
Driving forces: national government and
policy: credits
Credits several programs in place:
● PRONAF: in place since 1990’s, to support family farms. Low
interest rates. Up to seven years,
● Inovagro: for new technology, if imported technology is
classified as extarrifico then farmers can apply for Inovagro
● Several other programs available
● “No subsidised credits no sales”
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Driving forces: dairy chain
No strong dairy chain structure: usually no contracts with supplier
Field organisation available: focus on milk quality.
Processors consider each other as competitors, no national programs.
Brazil still net importer is important for further development of dairy
sector, some processors see opportunities for export to world market.
On dairy farmers level
Credit programs are very important for farmers, have improved. More
long term credits available now up to 10 years.
In general these programs or subsidies result in
Political situation creates uncertainty, no trust in government to come
up with a policy that is favourable for professional dairy farmers
Higher quality of decision making required training of farmers and
training of technicians
Large scale farmers focus on US systems (towards total confinement)
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Conclusions
There is no clear development direction from government or industry,
this means this direction can be influenced!
You can not do it on your own: you have to work in the Brazilian way,
you need friends
Focus: regions/type of farms
Integrative approach needed: improvement is needed in different
fields: grassland management, feeding, cow management etc.
Farmers and technicians need more knowledge on investment
decisions, otherwise they will not buy the more expensive imported
machines training program required
Conclusions
Production will continue to increase
This will be a gradual process:
● Small farms up to 10 cows will diminish because of too bad economics
(speed depends on alternatives)
● Farms with 200- 500 kg/milk per day (20-30 cows) with cooling tank,
gradual growth
● Gradual growth can continue until the number of cows that a family
can handle, next step is more difficult.
● Bigger farms will work more with confinement and less with grazing
Production is moving to the south
Medium scale farms 200 – 1500 kg/day most interesting for Dutch
agro industry
● In total about 40.000 farms in southern states
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Conclusions: Grassland, fodder crops and
feeding
Opportunities for technology related to silage making
● Mainly in southern states
● Brazilians not all convinced of added value: pilot or program
required
Opportunity for variety of corn suitable for whole crop silage.
Currently low use of milk replacer; opportunity for bigger farms
Big market for feeding equipment especially for medium scale farms,
lot of suppliers already in the market.
Conclusions: milking, cooling and
milkquality
Milk cooling obliged but still big market because of growth of farms
and replacement investments. Lot of suppliers in the market.
Milking equipment: big market for milking parlors, many suppliers in
the market, often with long term relation with dairy farmers mostly
on a regional level (a good dealer is crucial)
Milk quality control related to transport is an issue: opportunity for
automated sampling combined with GPS tracking.
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Conclusions: Animal health and welfare
Several animal health issue: opportunity for development and
implementation of national or processor programs. Problem is weak
organisation of the sector. Who can organize this?
Animal welfare: confined systems will increase. This gives
opportunities, not many suppliers in the market. Quality of cubicles
etc. seems rather poor.
Conclusions: manure handling
Will be an issue, not in short term
Not many suppliers in the market, quality rather poor.
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Conclusions: skills
Increase in farm size and necessary increase in productivity requires
higher skills of the farmers. Some national programs are in place but
the outreach seems limited and top down.
Opportunity (and interest from Embrapa) for closer co-operation with
farmers, field evaluation of technology and trainings of farmers and
advisors.
There is an opportunity to sell a complete farm system: consisting of
technology and management support/knowledge to make it work.
Cooperation with processors and local organisations is necessary.
For discussion
Strategy to enter the market
● Own brand/export or local production?
Opportunities for cooperation as Dutch industry
● Some Dutch companies already there and
successful
● System approach
● Combined with knowledge development,
management practices and training
26-11-2014
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Appendices
1. Acknowledgements
2. Interviewed persons
2. More detailed description of typical farms
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the following persons that have been very
important in organizing the trip to Brazil, including the farm visits:
● Patricia de Vries (agricultural councellor to the Dutch embassy
in Brazil)
● Leonidas Passos (Embrapa)
● Sergio Teixeira (Embrapa)

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Brazdairy2014

  • 1. 26-11-2014 1 Possibilities for technology to strengthen Brazilian dairy chain Alfons Beldman, Co Daatselaar, Wim Zaalmink 26 November 2014 alfons.beldman@wur.nl 1 Content 1. Goal and scope of project 2. Brazilian dairy sector 3. Dairy farms ● Typical farms ● On farm processes 4. Availability of technology 5. Driving forces 6. Conclusions 2
  • 2. 26-11-2014 2 Goal and scope of the project Introduction: ● General idea: huge untapped potential Brazilian dairy sector ● Brazil net importer from milk ● Can (Dutch) technology and knowledge help to further develop and strengthen the Brazilian dairy sector. ● In line with existing connections between Brazil and Netherlands (e.g. Wageningen University, Embrapa, Vicosa) 3 Goal and scope of the project Goal of project: ● Main question: What is the current situation of the Brazilian dairy sector (SWOT) and what technology could further strengthen the Brazilian dairy chain as well in productivity as in sustainability. ● End product: a presentation/report outlining how (Dutch) technology and knowledge can contribute to the goal of the Brazilian government to improve both productivity and sustainability in the dairy sector. ● Focus on the primairy sector in the following states: Parana, Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo, Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina. 4
  • 3. 26-11-2014 3 Goal and scope of the project Activities and methodology ● Desk study: general picture of dairy chain Brazil (SWOT) based on available information ● Mission to Brazil: mainly interviews with representatives involved with the dairy industry. ● Analysing information to identify opportunities to fill the technology gaps. ● Presenting and discussing preliminary results in a workshop with representatives of Dutch agro- industry and the Dutch ministry of economic affairs. Goal and scope of the project Results ● Brazilian dairy sector: structure and developments ● Typical dairy farms ● Availability of technology ● Driving forces ● Conclusions 6
  • 4. 26-11-2014 4 Brazilian dairy sector Total and regional milkproduction Farmtypes and expected development Import, export, consumption Processing Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction
  • 5. 26-11-2014 5 Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction Billion kg milk/year Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013 Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction
  • 6. 26-11-2014 6 Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction Billion kg milk/year Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013 Brazilian dairy sector: regional milk production Top 7 milk producing states (Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013) State Total milkproduction (billion kg 2011) Compared with 2010 (%) % of total Included in study Minas Gerais 8.77 +4.5 27.3 Y Rio Grande do Sul 3.90 +7.2 11.8 Y Parana 3.93 +9.3 11.7 Y Goias 3.37 +5.4 10.4 N Santa Catarina 2.57 +8.1 7.8 Y Sao Paulo 1.59 -0.8 5.2 Y Bahia 1.35 +9.4 4.0 N
  • 7. 26-11-2014 7 Brazilian dairy sector regional milkproduction Billion kg milk/year Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013 Brazilian dairy sector Development production towards future: ● Growth in total milkproduction from 33 (2013) towards 44 billion kg in 2020 = + 3.7%/year ● Differences in projections in different studies: from 41.3 – 52.3 billion kg in 2023/2024 Development depends on ● Market mainly internal consumption ● Competition with other agro sectors: soy, coffee, pork, poultry Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013
  • 8. 26-11-2014 8 Brazilian dairy sector nr of farms Source: IFCN 2013. Difficult to find consistent data: farm size, number of cows, ha and total milkproduction Brazilian dairy sector 2010 - 2020 Total milk production (*1000 ton) per farmtype (nr cows/farm) Nr of farms per farm type (nr cows/farm)
  • 9. 26-11-2014 9 Brazilian dairy sector: farm types/size classes Diversity in farmtypes is big in Brazil!! Classification based mostly used based on milk production per day ● < 50 kg/day ● 50-200 kg/day ● 200-500 kg/day ● 500-1500 kg/day ● > 1500 kg/day Brazilian dairy sector nr of farms Total 1.35 million farmers produce 32.3 billion kg 1.08 million < 50 kg/day in total 8.4 billion kg milk equals 80% of farmers produce 26% of milk 0.27 million > 50 kg/day in total 23.9 million kg milk equals 20% of farmers produce 74% of milk Source: Embrapa
  • 10. 26-11-2014 10 Brazilian dairy sector: diversity in productivity Source: Embrapa, IBGE 2013 Region < 50 kg/day 200-500 kg/day + 500 kg/day North 717 1008 889 North East 833 1293 1802 South East 991 1959 3040 South 2025 4671 6081 Central West 972 1824 2648 Milk yield per cow per year (kg) Brazilian dairy farms Majority of milk comes from extensive grazing systems: high percentage of feed intake through grazing, low input of silage and concentrates ● Even some big farms use extensive system Semi-extensive/semi-confinement grows fastest ● Full confinement often considered as too vulnerable for volatile feed prices because these farmes have to buy in a relative large percentage of their feed. Operating costs (e.g. labour) and land prices have increased much (>20% in last 2-3 years) ● Making Brazil the country with the highest cost price for milk in the Southern hemisphere
  • 11. 26-11-2014 11 Brazilian dairy sector: import and export Source: Embrapa 10900 99.68 669.74 143 545 Milk Butter Cheese Skimmed Milk Powder Whole Milk Powder Consumption of Dairy Products in Brazil – 2009 Brazilian dairy sector: dairy consumption Even in kg product (fresh) milk is main product Source: Rabobank Shares of different dairy products in total dairy consumption in Brazil kg product, NOT kg milk equivalents
  • 12. 26-11-2014 12 Brazilian dairy sector: dairy consumption Expected increase in production: 3,7%/year Expected increase in consumption + 3% per year Brazil will have to export, can Brazil compete on world market quality - costs? 31 Brazilian dairy sector Biggest dairy processors Brazil 2011-2012
  • 13. 26-11-2014 13 Brazilian dairy sector: biggest dairy processors Less than 30% of milk production (> 32 mln tonnes) is represented in the previous slide (8.3-8.4 mln tonnes) ● Although it concerns the 13 biggest ● So a very fragmented industry Often new combinations, joint ventures, etc. between different dairy processors, so ranking and shares often change ● DPA: was a joint venture of Fonterra and Nestlé. Have decided in 2014 to split up in two parts. ● Large Brazilian food companies like JBS (turnover of 41 billion $) en BRF (turnover 19 billion $) are entering (and leaving) dairy in Brazil. Ambition of JBS is to be world leader in production of animal proteins (meat and dairy) Brazilian dairy sector: biggest dairy processors Solidarity of dairy farmers with dairy companies tends to be low A study of Scalco and Braga (2014) concludes that the Brazilian raw milk market is very close to a perfectly competitive market
  • 14. 26-11-2014 14 Common farm types in Brazil Diversity in farm types is big in Brazil!! Classification based on milk production per day ● < 50 kg/day ● 50-200 kg/day ● 200-500 kg/day ● 500-1500 kg/day ● > 1500 kg/day Also differences between regions with farm types: ● Central Brazil (Minas Gerais and Sao Paolo) more tropical grasses, higher temperatures, southern Brazil (Parana, Rio Grande do Sol and Santa Catarina) more perennial grasses, better fit with Dutch farming systems and technologies Brazilian climate allows two crops per year Common farm types Description mostly qualitative because of lack of data: ● Structure (nr of farms, cows, ha, labour, access electricity, water, technician, veterinarians and credits) ● Farm performance (milk price, qualitative income not dairy, room to invest, management level, social life) ● Feeding (ration summer and winter, feeding system, calves) ● Animal production (yield, breeding, health) ● Milking and milk storage (machine milking, cooling, quality, collection) ● Housing and manure handling
  • 15. 26-11-2014 15 Farms < 50 kg/day Large number of farms (> 250000) Average 9 cows, 20 ha of land, mostly grassland based, family labour Low access to technicians and credits Low milk price, high part of income from outside dairy Feeding: grazing and in winter cutting sugarcane and elephant grass by hand Low milk yield per cow, low milk quality, several health problems 80% machine milking, 80% milk cooling (sometimes communal or simple water tanks) Simple housing and manure handling Expected development: ● Quit or grow (in southern states mostly development towards modernisation) ● Depends mostly on alternatives for dairy Farm 50-200 kg/day Large number of farms (> 170000) responsible for about 30% of production 15 cows, 20 ha of land for dairy, mostly grassland based, family labour High access to technicians and veterinarians, 50% makes use of credits Average milk price, variable part of income from outside dairy Feeding: grazing and in winter maize silage next to grazing Low milk yield per cow, working on milk quality and improving productivity 90% machine milking, 90% milk cooling (sometimes communal) Simple housing and manure handling Expected development: ● Expected to grow in nr of cows per farm and in productivity
  • 16. 26-11-2014 16 Farms 200 - 500 kg/day Ca 60.000 farms, nr increasing, production of farms increasing 25 cows (in lactation), 30 ha of land for dairy, mostly grassland based, not all crops for dairy, family labour High access to technicians and credits Good milk price, based on working on milk quality, better performing farms have a net margin so room to invest Feeding: 60-100 % grazing in summer, with feeding of mais silage. In winter time 10% grazing. Low milk yield per cow, relative good milk quality 95% machine milking, about 50% milking parlor, 100% milk cooling Better housing and milking parlors, some cubicle barns. Expected development: ● Growing of farms, more mechanisation (feeding, feed production, milking parlors) Farm 200- 500 kg/day Case Minas Gerais: high level farm and farmer ● High productivity of grassland and cows, good management ● 22 cows, 400 kg/day ● Multifunctional farm: with fishing pond and restaurant ● Participant program “Full Bucket” focussing on improving productivity ● Intensive grazing incl irrigation, 20 paddocks 600 m2 ● Intensive administration, incl weighing of animals ● Good financial results: invests from cash flow. ● Goal: 1000 kg/day with clear steps (first investing in own tank, new milking parlor etc).
  • 19. 26-11-2014 19 Farms 500 – 1500 kg/day Ca 25000 farms, production of farms increasing 80 cows (in lactation) High access to technicians and credits Good milk price, based on working on milk quality, better performing farms have a net margin so room to invest Feeding 70% grazing in summer, with feeding of maize silage. In winter time 50% grass 50% maize silage. Milk yield 10-12 kg per cow per day, relative good milk quality 100% machine milking, about 50% milking parlor, 100% milk cooling Better housing and milking parlors, 30% cubicle barns, 50% loose housing, working with liquid slurry. Expected development: ● Growing of farms, more mechanisation (feeding, feed production, milking parlors), more confinement, more manure handling Farm 500- 1500 Case Minas Gerais: ● 80 cows, 1200 kg milk/day ● 221 ha land. ● Milking parlor, milk tank ● Future plan to grow productivity of pastures and forage production, genetics. No clear steps.
  • 21. 26-11-2014 21 Farms > 1500 kg/day Ca 1200 farms, nr increasing 5% per year, production of farms increasing 120 cows (in lactation) High access to technicians and credits Good milk price, based on working on milk quality, better performing farms have a net margin: milk price R$ 1.00 – 1.20 costs top 100 R$ 0.84 so room to invest Feeding 40% grazing in summer, with feeding of maize silage. In winter time 60% grass 40% maize silage. Feeding system 10% TMR, still lot by hand Milk yield 12+ kg per cow per day, relative good milk quality 100% machine milking, about 50% milking parlor, 100% milk cooling Better housing and milkin gparlors, 30% cubicle barns Expected development: ● Growing of farms, more mechanisation (feeding, feed production, milking parlors), more confinement, more manure handling
  • 22. 26-11-2014 22 Farm > 1500 kg per day Case Parana ● Castrolanda ● 800 cattle, 380 dairy cows ● 8-10000 kg milk/day ● 750 ha, also cash crops (beans, soy) ● 14 persons for dairy ● Working on manure handling and bio digester
  • 25. 26-11-2014 25 On farm processes Description of strong and weak points of farm processes (mainly based on interviews) ● Grassland, fodder crops ● Feeding ● Milking, cooling and milk quality ● Animal health and welfare ● Manure handling ● Labour ● Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers Grassland, fodder crops and feeding Grassland and grazing basis of most farms Additional feeds: corn, suger cane, grains Feed storage: no feed storage, concrete silo’s, bunkers Feeding often by hand, in general low level of feeding management Trend towards confinement and machine feeding. Big potential market Crops: high yields, up to 5 crops in 2 years, need for varieties of corn for silage Grassland: need for better varieties, need for improvement grassland management. Oppertunity for silage making. Not all Brazilians are convinced of the added value of silage, If so then there is big potential market for technology related to silage making and feeding. lot of suppliers of equipment, both national and imported Use of milk replacer at low level: 10-15% at bigger farms (> 500 kg /day)
  • 26. 26-11-2014 26 Milking, cooling and milkquality Last decade big shift towards machine milking and cooling with help of credits, in some regions (south) also on many small farms Farmers that haven’t switched yet are very traditional Because of increase in size of farms interesting market for cooling tanks (replacement investments). Tendency towards investing in milking parlor, for small group in automatic milking systems Milk quality is still big issue: bacterial count (small farms) and somatic cell count (bigger farms) ● Could be better organised, also post farm (milk arriving at processor sometimes has worse quality then on farm) ● Is also related to institutional issues (checks, penalties, supervision by independent party) and market (high need for milk, lower quality demands ● If Brazil will be exporting then higher demands for quality of milk Technology could perhaps help automated milk sampling combined with GPS technology? Animal health and welfare Breeding ● Great variety in breeds and crossbreds ● From tropical breeds with low yields to pure bred Holsteins with yields > 10.000 kg. ● Large number of breeding companies available ● In some cases better breeding standards needed (Girolande) Data availability is very low, low participation in milk recording and breeding programs. Diseases are issue (e.g. ticks, Leucose) Trend is towards confinement: more attention for cow comfort (cubicles, beddings etc.) Solution needed for bull calves
  • 27. 26-11-2014 27 Manure handling Traditionally not much attention because of grazing systems Now more attention because of trend towards confinement No regulation (yet) Will be an issue, especially for bigger farms. In pork production rules are being implemented. Opportunity: soils are poor in P and organic matter, manure has value. Labour Availability and quality is considered to be a problem Increase in minimum wage in the last decade People not motivated to work in dairy This will be the main driver for adoption of technology according to many people. However, some farmers have different view: “Labour is not a big problem”: ● Offer a reasonable wage + housing + job for husband and wife ● Educate and coach employees to improve quality
  • 28. 26-11-2014 28 Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers Key factor for adoption of technology Big differences between farmers but also between regions (small farm- ers have adopted technology in Rio Grande do Sul, but less so in Minas Gerais) Usually strong and long relation with supplier of technology Some groups of Brazilian farmers are also sensitive to new trends (e.g. compost barn) Tactical and operational management often at low level. A national program like “Full Bucket” tries to improve this. Outreach seems limited. Higher level of management will generate more cash flow. There is no culture or knowledge on cost awareness. Farmers tend to look at cash flow and expenditure and not at costs and returns. Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers From questionnaire of group of 615 dairy farmers (Educampo): 46% of investment in land, 24% in cattle, 16% in ‘improvements’, 11% in machinery Gross margin 0.20 R$ (is around 0.06 euro) per kg in season 2009- 2010 (period with rather low milk prices) In general: the bigger the herd the longer the farmer followed education Farmers’ wives mainly assist during milking Only 30-40% of farms has successor: doesn’t depend on farm size: will be an increasing problem Technical advisors of cooperatives/industries main source of information
  • 29. 26-11-2014 29 Ambition, attitude and skills of farmers Survey Rio Grande do Sul Opinion in survey: milk quality most important theme in trainings, followed by feeding, genetic improvement and management of the herd On semi-confinement systems 4-5 visits/year of technicians, on pasture systems 2-3 visits/year Opinion in survey: lack of qualified labour, technical information on milk production and market information are main factors hampering quality and quantity of milk production (milk price was excluded) Availability of technology Impression from Agroleite 2014
  • 33. 26-11-2014 33 Driving forces for development of dairy sector Infrastructure National government and policy Dairy chain
  • 34. 26-11-2014 34 Driving forces: Brazilian infrastructure Major challenge! Transport is expensive and is expected to become more expensive because of legislation on conditions of employment truck drivers Organizing support and service on a national level very complicated focus on regions. From farmers point of view: ● Access to technology is key issue (including capacity building, training)! ● E.g. to get credits a farmer needs access to advisor Institutional organisation of dairy sector is weak Driving forces: national government and policy General situation economy rather poor (low growth, high inflation) No clear direction or policy Influence ● Import levies (different levels depending on availability of technology in Brazil) ● Credit programs (more detailed information available) ● Research and extension ● For bigger farmers research and extension is too close to government, not enough business oriented ● Link research – practice ● Extension not available, not functioning or difficult to access ● Dutch colonies have their own joint foundation for research
  • 35. 26-11-2014 35 Driving forces: national government and policy: import levies Import levies ● No or low levy if 60% of weight and value is from Brazil ● If technology is not available then also low levy: extarrifico ● Assessment for extarrifico by Brazilian Association for Machine Industry (ABIMAQ) www.abimaq.com.br Assessment had to be paid for Use of imported technology ● More expensive because of extra levies ● But also slows down innovation by Brazilian suppliers and is not an incentive to make high quality products. Brazilian suppliers seem to adapt prices to imported products (- 20%) ● “If farmers would make a good calculation of costs they would often still buy the more expensive imported technology, but they tend to look at short term cash flow” Driving forces: national government and policy: credits Credits several programs in place: ● PRONAF: in place since 1990’s, to support family farms. Low interest rates. Up to seven years, ● Inovagro: for new technology, if imported technology is classified as extarrifico then farmers can apply for Inovagro ● Several other programs available ● “No subsidised credits no sales”
  • 36. 26-11-2014 36 Driving forces: dairy chain No strong dairy chain structure: usually no contracts with supplier Field organisation available: focus on milk quality. Processors consider each other as competitors, no national programs. Brazil still net importer is important for further development of dairy sector, some processors see opportunities for export to world market. On dairy farmers level Credit programs are very important for farmers, have improved. More long term credits available now up to 10 years. In general these programs or subsidies result in Political situation creates uncertainty, no trust in government to come up with a policy that is favourable for professional dairy farmers Higher quality of decision making required training of farmers and training of technicians Large scale farmers focus on US systems (towards total confinement)
  • 37. 26-11-2014 37 Conclusions There is no clear development direction from government or industry, this means this direction can be influenced! You can not do it on your own: you have to work in the Brazilian way, you need friends Focus: regions/type of farms Integrative approach needed: improvement is needed in different fields: grassland management, feeding, cow management etc. Farmers and technicians need more knowledge on investment decisions, otherwise they will not buy the more expensive imported machines training program required Conclusions Production will continue to increase This will be a gradual process: ● Small farms up to 10 cows will diminish because of too bad economics (speed depends on alternatives) ● Farms with 200- 500 kg/milk per day (20-30 cows) with cooling tank, gradual growth ● Gradual growth can continue until the number of cows that a family can handle, next step is more difficult. ● Bigger farms will work more with confinement and less with grazing Production is moving to the south Medium scale farms 200 – 1500 kg/day most interesting for Dutch agro industry ● In total about 40.000 farms in southern states
  • 38. 26-11-2014 38 Conclusions: Grassland, fodder crops and feeding Opportunities for technology related to silage making ● Mainly in southern states ● Brazilians not all convinced of added value: pilot or program required Opportunity for variety of corn suitable for whole crop silage. Currently low use of milk replacer; opportunity for bigger farms Big market for feeding equipment especially for medium scale farms, lot of suppliers already in the market. Conclusions: milking, cooling and milkquality Milk cooling obliged but still big market because of growth of farms and replacement investments. Lot of suppliers in the market. Milking equipment: big market for milking parlors, many suppliers in the market, often with long term relation with dairy farmers mostly on a regional level (a good dealer is crucial) Milk quality control related to transport is an issue: opportunity for automated sampling combined with GPS tracking.
  • 39. 26-11-2014 39 Conclusions: Animal health and welfare Several animal health issue: opportunity for development and implementation of national or processor programs. Problem is weak organisation of the sector. Who can organize this? Animal welfare: confined systems will increase. This gives opportunities, not many suppliers in the market. Quality of cubicles etc. seems rather poor. Conclusions: manure handling Will be an issue, not in short term Not many suppliers in the market, quality rather poor.
  • 40. 26-11-2014 40 Conclusions: skills Increase in farm size and necessary increase in productivity requires higher skills of the farmers. Some national programs are in place but the outreach seems limited and top down. Opportunity (and interest from Embrapa) for closer co-operation with farmers, field evaluation of technology and trainings of farmers and advisors. There is an opportunity to sell a complete farm system: consisting of technology and management support/knowledge to make it work. Cooperation with processors and local organisations is necessary. For discussion Strategy to enter the market ● Own brand/export or local production? Opportunities for cooperation as Dutch industry ● Some Dutch companies already there and successful ● System approach ● Combined with knowledge development, management practices and training
  • 41. 26-11-2014 41 Appendices 1. Acknowledgements 2. Interviewed persons 2. More detailed description of typical farms Acknowledgements We would like to thank the following persons that have been very important in organizing the trip to Brazil, including the farm visits: ● Patricia de Vries (agricultural councellor to the Dutch embassy in Brazil) ● Leonidas Passos (Embrapa) ● Sergio Teixeira (Embrapa)