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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume 5 Issue 1, November-December 2020 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1557
Boosting Potato Enterprise Performance among Smallholder
Farmers in Tanzania through Risks Management
Semeni Ngozi1, 2, Patience Mshenga1, Isaac Maina Kariuki1, Aloyce Shaban Hepelwa2
1Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Management,
Faculty of Agriculture, Egerton University, Egerton Njoro, Kenya
2Department of Agricultural Economics and Business, College of Agricultural Sciences and Food Technologies,
University of Dar Es Salaam, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
ABSTRACT
Smallholder potato farmers in Tanzania use different on-farm risk
management strategies to boost potato enterprise performance. However,
knowledge on how on-farm risk management strategies boost potato
enterprise performance remains undocumented and scarce. Therefore, this
study uses cross-sectional data collectedfrom384potato smallholderfarmers
in 2019, to first identify various on-farm risk management strategiesandthen
to determine the effect of risk management strategies on potato enterprise
performance. Data is analysed by use of content analysis and descriptive
statistics. Further, a multiple regression model is used to determine the effect
of risk management strategies’ attributes on potato enterprise performance.
The findings of content analysis and descriptive statistics indicate that potato
smallholder farmers use various strategies to boost potato enterprise
performance. The strategies include application of chemicals, irrigation,
furrowing, increased frequency of fungicide application, field sanitation
practices, searching for markets, transporting potatoes direct to the markets,
use of market information and delaying harvesting of potatoes by leaving
them in the soil. Empirical results from multiple regression model reveal that,
frequent use, perceived effectiveness, costs and the number of on-farm risk
management strategies boost potato enterpriseperformancein Tanzania.The
findings of this paper have several policy implications. First, more and
effective risk management strategies such as the use of irrigation system,
fungicides, accessing marketing information should be employed to boost
potato enterprise performance in Tanzania. Second, since, the cost of risk
management strategies had improved potato enterprise performance among
smallholder farmers in Tanzania. However, the cost of employing risk
management strategies is higher than the benefit potato smallholders getasa
result of the strategies employed. The high costs had resultedfrom employing
risk management strategies such as the purchase of irrigation systemsduring
low rainfall and frost bites. Hence, potato smallholderfarmersthroughpublic-
private partnerships between Lusitu Agribusiness Group and Tanzania
Agricultural Development Bank (TADB) should establish a village hiring
irrigation to dramatically reduce the costs associated with risk management
strategies such as irrigation.
KEYWORDS: Risk management, irrigation, potato, enterprise, Tanzania
How to cite this paper: Semeni Ngozi |
Patience Mshenga | Isaac Maina Kariuki |
Aloyce Shaban Hepelwa "Boosting Potato
Enterprise Performance among
Smallholder Farmers in Tanzania through
Risks Management"
Published in
International Journal
of Trend in Scientific
Research and
Development(ijtsrd),
ISSN: 2456-6470,
Volume-5 | Issue-1,
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www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd38189.pdf
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1. Background Information
The risks associated with agricultural enterprises have long
been acknowledged as derived from unpredictable factors
such as weather, bio security threats (pests, weeds and
diseases) and market fluctuation (Duong et al., 2019;
Hardaker et al., 2015; Lipinska, 2016). As such, risk
management has become increasingly important among all
actors of the agricultural value chains including potato
smallholder farmers. Potato is a major crop in tropical
highland regions of Sub-Saharan Africa including Tanzania,
where it is grown as both a horticultural and food security
crop. The crop plays an important role as a staple food
among producing households and contributes to poverty
alleviation through income generation (Mende, 2014).
Moreover, it provides calories and nutrition to nearly
350,000 smallholder farming households and millions of
urban poor in cities and towns in Tanzania (Kilimo Trust,
2012). As in the rest of the tropical highlands of Africa,
potato production in Tanzania is dominated by smallholder
farmers with an estimation of 500,000 farmers growing
potato in the country. In addition, the subsector employs
other actors such as retailers of ware potatoes and street
food vendors along the value chain (The Netherlands
Enterprise Agency, 2017). Moreover, potatoes are more
profitable compared to cereals such as maize and paddy
especially in the southern highlands with expertsestimating
threefold higher income from the crop (Kilimo Trust, 2012).
On average, 88 percent of all potato produce is sold out
(Mpogole, 2013). This indicates that potato is among the
IJTSRD38189
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@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1558
highest commercialized crops in the country. Despite the
potential contribution of potato in the income generation
among smallholder farmers, the enterprise in most Sub-
Saharan countries including Tanzania isa riskybusinessasit
faces many risks including production and market that can
affect the profitability and viability.
Many research studies have been conducted on the effect of
risk management strategies on farmers’welfaresuchasfood
security. For example, Bairagia et al (2020), investigates the
adoption of three climate-resilientstrategies,drought/flood-
resistant rice varieties, integrated pest management
practices, and weather advisory; their impact on food
security (crop productivity and profits of the Cambodian
paddy). However, little empirical evidence exists to
substantiate how risk management strategies’ attributes
boost potato enterprise performance among smallholder
farmers. Therefore, this study aims at determining theeffect
of risk management strategies’ attributes in boosting potato
enterprise performance among potato smallholder farmers
in Tanzania.
2. Literature review
2.1. Review of Studies on Risk Management Strategies
There are various risk management strategies farmers
employ to manage yield variability. These strategies include
enterprise diversification, contract farming and crop
insurance among others. On the other hand, commodity
markets present unique challenges such as price volatility.
Price volatility has created more risk for the producer as
well as more opportunity. The increased variability in
commodity prices has increased awarenessfarmersonprice
risks and enhanced their marketing skills. Farmers have
been responding to price volatility by employing different
strategies such as minimum price contracts, market
information, keepingrecordsamongothers.Somemarketing
responses minimize risk by reducing price variability, but
other responses include the transfer of risks to others.
Generally, producers use a combination of risk management
strategies in their farm operations. For example, Makate et
al. (2016) noted that crop diversification is a viable climate
smart agricultural practice that significantly enhances crop
productivity and consequently resilience in rural
smallholder farming systems. Therefore, enterprise
diversification of production can be used to manage price,
yield, and income risk. Additionally, Bartolini et al. (2014)
revealed that, participation in enterprise diversification
plays an important role in increasing rural household
income. Enterprise diversification is therefore seenasa way
to secure income and increase food security (Bartolini et al.,
2014). Crop insurance also plays an important role as an ex-
ante risk management tool thathelpssmallholderfarmersto
cope with crop losses. In many cases, crop insurance covers
against loss of crop yield due to the production risks such as
pests and diseases, drought, and floods among others. For
example, Farm Risks Management for Africa (FARMAF)
project promotes the adoption of crop insurance among
farmers in order to compensate them for weather related
yield losses and simultaneously ease access to production
finance (FARMAF, 2015). Market Information Systems is
another risk management strategy which helps smallholder
farmers to timely access market information. For example,
Burger, (2017) noted that, providing prices in real time via
market information systems (MIS) has become a technically
feasible risk management tool. Timely information is
intended to guide the choice whether producers'sell (selling
now or latter, changing point of sale) and strengthen
bargaining power in the event of immediatetransaction.MIS
is used by smallholder farmers to provide guidance on
production and marketing decisions such as choice of what,
when and where to sell the produce based on market
information hence reduces market risks through informed
market decision making(FARMAF,2015).Ontheotherhand,
producers’ collaborative models can play a role in risk-
management and increasing able-members who can engage
in high risk/higher return activities (Ethan, 2009). The
models also a play significant role inimprovingfoodsecurity
and generating employment opportunities. Bernard et al
(2010) points out that, producers’ collaborative models
considerably contribute to rural poverty reduction through
agricultural cost reduction, accesstomarketandbetterprice
for outputs. The models specifically, supports small
agricultural producers and marginalized groups such as
young people and women (FAO, 2015).
2.2. Theoretical framework of the study
The study is hinged on the decision theory. Decision theory
is a principle that is associated with decisions. The theory is
an interdisciplinary approach to determine how decisions
are made given unknown variables and an uncertain
decision environment framework (Parmigiani et al., 2010).
The theory was developedmid-20th century with the
support of several academic disciplines. It is typically used
by economists, statisticians, psychologists, political and
social scientists or philosophers (Jeffrey 1992).Additionally,
its origin is derived from economics by using the utility
function of payoffs. It proposes that decisions are made by
computing the utility and probability, the ranges of options,
and also lays down strategies for good decision. The theory
has a history of applications to real world problems in many
disciplines, including economics, risk analysis, business
management, and theoretical behavioral ecology(Maguire&
Albright, 2005). Generally, decision theory provides a
structure that helps economic agents to make rational
choices in the situation of uncertainty. Given a specific set of
alternatives, set of consequences and a correspondence, the
theory offers conceptually simple procedures for choices. In
addition, decision theory deals with methods for
determining the optimal course of action when a number of
alternatives are available and their consequences cannot be
forecasted with certainty (Parmigiani et al., 2010). In this
study, potato smallholder farmers face uncertainty
conditions that dictate them to decide how muchrisk totake
and which risk management strategies farmers should
employ for the specified amount/type of risk. Therefore,it is
important to use decision theory in this study.
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Research Design
A multi-stage sampling procedure was employed to select
the study areas. The study employed cross-sectional survey
whereby both qualitative and quantitative data were
collected at one point in time. Householddata werecollected
from 384 potato smallholder farmerswitha semi-structured
questionnaire.
3.2. Study area
The study was conducted in Njombe Town Council where
Lusitu Agribusiness Group (LAG) is located. The council lies
between Longitudes 340 25’ and 350 27’East and Latitudes
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90 10’ and 90 45’South which is a total surface area of 3,212
square kilometers. According toUnitedRepublicofTanzania
(2013) the council had a population of 130,223 and it had
two main features, namely: the highland zone of the council
with rainfall ranging between 1,200-1,400mm per annum.
The northern-west part of the council gives way to lower
zone covered by black and loam soil, experiencing rainfall
ranging between 1,000 to 1,200mm annually. Agriculture is
the main economic activity in the council whereby about78
percent of the residents depend on it as the main source of
household income (URT, 2013). Additionally,thecouncil has
a cold weather, fertile soil and reliable amount of rainfall
which is a favorable condition for agriculture. This enables
the council to be a biggest producer of crops such as
potatoes and maize. As a result, potato is the leading food
and cash crop in the council with the highest production per
hectare (8.4t per ha) compared to Maize (2.5t/ha), Beans
(3.2t/ha) and Wheat (2.9t/ha).
Figure 1: Map of Tanzania showing study areasSource: ICPAC Geoportal and Humanitarian Data Exchange (2019)
3.3. Population and Respondents of the study
The target population for this study was potato smallholder farmers who are members of Lusitu Agribusiness Group. Lusitu
Agribusiness Group is a group of potato smallholder farmers located in Igominyi division, Njombe town council.The group
implemented theLusitu Potatoes Pack House and Marketing Project in partnership with Kilimo Trust Tanzania.
3.4. Sampling procedure
The study employed a multi-stage sampling technique where the first stage involved purposive selection of the Igominyi
division from Njombe Town Council. In stage two, Luponde ward where Lusitu Agribusiness Group operates was purposely
selected from Igominyi division. In stage three, five villages namely Lusitu, Luponde, Mbega, Miva and Igola were also
purposively selected from Luponde ward. These villages were selected for the study since most of potato smallholderfarmers
from these villages are active members of Lusitu Agribusiness Group. The study, used proportionate stratified sampling
technique to determine the number of potato smallholder farmers from each village giving115 respondents from Lusitu, 77
from Luponde, 58 from Mbega, 96 from Miva and 38 were from Igola village. Finally, the actual SHFs of Lusitu Agribusiness
Group were randomly selected from each of the five village from the source list provided by the coordinator of Lusitu
Agribusiness Group.
3.5. Methods of data collection
A semi-structured questionnaire was used to collect data on the effect of risk management strategies on potato enterprise
performance. The study first identified various on-farm risk management strategies potato smallholder farmers used to
manage production and marketing risks. Then data on number of risk management strategies, types of risk management
strategies, total cost of risk management strategies and frequency of risk management use were collected.
3.6. Data analysis
The study employed descriptive statistics to determine various on-farm risk management strategies employed by potato
smallholder farmers. Additionally, multiple linear regression model was employedtodeterminethe effectofrisk management
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strategies on potato enterprise performance (PEP). Therefore, function can be specified as follows: Potato Enterprise
Performance=f (NumberriskMastrategies,EffectivenessriskMastrategies,TotalCostriskMastrategiesandFreqriskMastrategies)
Table 1: Description of variables involved in the study
Variable Description Measurement
Exp.
sign
Effect of traditional risk management strategies on potato enterprise performance
Dependent variable
POTAEPERFORMANCE Potato gross revenues Continuous TZS None
Independent variables
NURISKMAGESTRATEGIES Number of risk Management strategies per season Continuous +/-
FREQRISKMASTRATEGIES Frequency of use of risk Management strategies Continuous +/-
TOCOSTSRISKMASTRATEGIES Total costs of risk management strategies Continuous (TZS) +/-
EFFECTIVENESSRISKMASTRATEGIES Effectiveness of risk management strategies Continuous +
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Risk Management Strategies Employed by Potato smallholder farmers
Risk management has become increasingly important among all actors in the potato value chain. Risk management strategies
consist of responses which may reduce the probability of unfavorable event occurring or reducing the consequences if the
event occurs. There are several strategies smallholder farmers can employ to reduce and mitigate the farm exposure to risks.
The results from this survey indicate that potato smallholder farmers heavily use on-farm risk management strategies to
manage climate, pests-diseases and marketing risks. Findings further reveal that,mostofpotatosmallholderfarmersusemore
than one risk management strategies to manage these risks. These on-farm risks management strategies therefore can be
grouped into climate-related risk management strategies, pests-diseases risk management strategies and marketing risks
management strategies.
4.1.1. Climate-related Risk Management Strategies
Climate risks are increasingly threatening food security and making it imperative to identify locally appropriate management
strategies to manage the risks (Shikuku et al, 2017). In terms of frost bite management, thefindingsfromthisstudy reveal that,
potato smallholder farmers use chemical application before planting to manage frost bite in their potato farms. Additionally,
smallholder farmers employ, irrigation system such as over-plantsprinklerstoremovefrostthatcoveredpotatoes. Inthesame
line, Alamerie et al. (2013) noted that sprinkler irrigation is used to protect crops during frosts, as it provides excellent frost
protection. Furthermore, the findings indicate that, potato smallholderfarmersalsoemployedover-plantsprinkler andfurrow
irrigation in managing low rainfall. The possible explanations for this could be that potato smallholder farmers found, there
was a probability of fetching higher prices of potatoes when they to irrigate potatoes during dry season. Alamerieetal. (2013)
noted that irrigating potato farms was the most common strategy employed by smallholder farmers to manage low rainfall in
the study area. Similarly, Daniel (2015) reported that low rainfall madepotatosmallholderfarmersinNjombeurbantoirrigate
their farms hence their ability to supply potatoes in the market thereby fetching higher price and higher gross margins. In
terms of too much rainfall, potato smallholder farmers applied fungicides, made furrows to drain excesswaterfromthefarms,
increased the frequency of fungicide application and planting potatoes during dry seasons to manage to late blight disease
which is caused by the presence of too much rainfall. Obalola et al. (2017) pointed out that, incidence of late blight disease is
high when there is too much rainfall and the disease is a major problem thatlimitingpotatosmallholderfarmersfromrealizing
higher output. Alamerie et al. (2013) also pointed out that late blightisa commondiseaseforpotatoesandfarmersoftenprefer
to produce potato in the dry season where there is lower incidence of late blight disease.
4.1.2. Pests-Diseases related Risk Management Strategies
Pests and diseases have been the main challengesfacingfarmersamong potatosmallholderfarmers.Duetothischallenge,most
of the interviewed potato smallholder farmers employ a range of risk management strategies in managing the incidence of
pests and diseases in the study area. The findings indicated that potato smallholder farmers use various strategies including
field sanitation practices, pesticides and fungicides to control potato pest and diseases. The findings are in line with Okello et
al.(2015) who pointed out that majority of potato smallholderfarmersusedoffungicidesandpesticidesinthecontrol ofpotato
pests and diseases whereas few of them employed field sanitation strategies such as uprooting and burning infected plants.
Kilimo trust (2017) on the other hand noted that, most of interviewed farmers used pesticides and fungicides to control pest
and diseases. As a result, the use of these chemicals has been among the significant determinant of potato yield in Tanzania
(Rahko, 2012).The pesticides and fungicides were mainly employed to control late blightandbacterial wiltwhicharethemost
problematic diseases. In terms of late blight disease, the findingsindicatethatpotatosmallholderfarmersemployedfungicides
such as FARMZEB, COPPER, RIDOMIL among others to control late blight disease. This is because, late blight is the most
prevalent disease and no late blight resistant varieties in the study area as a results most of them employ fungicides as a
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strategy to manage the disease. The findings are similar to Okelloet al.(2015) who reported that, in Njombe majority ofpotato
smallholder farmers used fungicides in controlling late blight disease. On the other hand, the results show that, potato
smallholder farmers employed strategies such as chemical, use of improved seed potatoes, uprooting and burning infected
plants, crop rotation, fallowing in controlling bacterial wiltdiseaseinthestudyarea.Thisimpliesthat,farmersinthestudyarea
were aware that bacterial wilt is a soil borne disease and currently there is no chemical for managing it to manage it therefore
the only method of controlling it is by soil fertility management such field sanitation. In the same line, Kagona (2008)revealed
that the dominant method to control bacterial wilt in the study area by potato farmers was uprooting the infected plants and
bury them.
4.1.3. Market-related risk management strategies
In terms of potato price volatility, the results show that smallholder farmers employ strategies such as searching for markets,
transporting potatoes direct to the markets such as Dar es Salaam, gathering market information fromneighbors, brokersand
traders. The respondents further indicated that they leave their potatoes in the soil and sell themaftersometime.Thisenables
them to fetch higher potato prices as they would have sold their potatoes in the off season. This implies that, potato is highly
commercialized crop in Njombe as a results farmers use different strategies such as transportingpotatoesdirectto themarket
to manage price volatility risk. Similar findings were reported by Alamerie et al (2013) that potato farmers in Ethiopia
employed sequential marketing in managing price volatility. The sequential sale refers to the spreading sales and making
several sales of potatoes during the year. This strategy is commonly used by potato smallholder farmers in the study area.
Furthermore, it was noted that, smallholder farmers harvested potatoesinpiecemeal overtheharvestingtimetomanageprice
volatility risk (Alamerie et al., 2013). Additionally, Nyunza andMwakaje(2012)pointedoutthat,potatosmallholderfarmersin
Tanzania especially the rich ones were selling potatoes to wholesalers in urban area such as Mbeya, Arusha, Dodoma and Dar
es Salaam.
In terms of managing potato post-harvest losses, the findings show that potato smallholder farmers use strategies such as re-
harvesting potatoes and use as seed potatoes for the next planting season, close supervision during harvesting and selling
immediately after harvesting. This suggest that, management of post-harvest losses among potato smallholder farmers is an
important aspect in potato farming. This could be explained by the fact that, in the most of the developing countries such as
Tanzania, post-harvest losses at the farm level not only reduces available food for family consumption but, directly affects
smallholder farmers’ income and livelihoods in general. Alamerie et al. (2013) also reported that strategies such as selling
perishable crops immediately after harvesting was one of the strategies that farmers employed in managing potato post-
harvest losses.
4.1.4. Number, Frequency of use and average costs of Risk Management strategies among potato smallholder
farmers
Regarding the number of risk management strategiesusedbypotatosmallholderfarmers,resultsshowthatanaverageof5risk
management strategies were used in the study area. This indicates that, most of potato smallholderfarmersusea combination
of strategies in managing both production and marketing risk henceimprovedpotato enterpriseperformance.Inthesameline,
Namwata, et al. (2010) also revealed that, an increased household income was significantly positivelyassociatedwithnumber
of technologies adopted. In terms of the frequency of risk management strategies use, the findings show that, potato
smallholder farmers had an average of 20 times. This suggests that, potato smallholder farmers frequently faced withclimate,
pests-disease and marketing risks as a result they increased the frequency ofrisk managementstrategiesuse.Additionally,the
findings indicate that, potato smallholder farmers had a mean of Tshs 388,383.1135 (167.39USD) as the costs for employing
risk management strategies per one acre per season, in the study area. Potato smallholder farmers incurred this cost in
management of climate, pests-disease and marketing risks. The risk management strategies potato smallholder farmers
employed in controlling these risks included the use of seed potato, fungicides and pesticides, irrigation costs, harvesting for
second time and transporting their potatoes to the market. Okonya et al. (2019)alsorevealedthat,thetopfourmost important
constraints identified by farmers for potato were diseases, high costs of planting material, high cost of fungicides, and insect
pest in Rwanda.
Table 2: Number, Frequency of use and average costs of Risk Management strategies among potato smallholder
farmers
Variable Mean Standard deviations
Number of Risk Management strategies 5 1.54295
Frequency of Risk Management strategies use 20 5.49163
Average costs for RM strategies 388,383.1135 311,961.18845
4.2. Potato production Costs and Revenues
Potato smallholder farmers had a mean of 1,264,752.8684Tshs (545.11USD) as a total productionandmarketingcostsforone
acre per season in the study area. This amount is mostly used in purchasing cleanseed potatoes,transporttheir potatoestothe
big market, frequently spray their farms with fungicides and pesticides hence higher potato cost of productionandmarketing.
These findings are in line with Daniel (2015) that in Njombe town council the cost of production and marketing per acre was
Tshs 1,273,889 (549.05 USD) higher compared to Wanging’ombe district because in Njombe urban district majority of potato
farmers depend on irrigation whilefarmersinWanging’ombedistrictdependsonrainfedagriculture.Additionally,Nyunza and
Mwakaje (2012) pointed out that, most of the poor and low producer farmers were selling their potatoes to village traders or
fellow farmers, while big producers and rich farmers were selling to wholesalers in urban areas. This is because the poor
cannot afford to take round potatoes to the larger markets. They also produce round potatoes in small quantities.
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In terms of potato revenue, in rainy season, potato smallholder farmers got 2,520,090.28Tshs(1086.16USD)perseasoninthe
study area. On the other hand, in dry season, the potato revenue was 2897603.52 Tshs (1248.87 USD) among smallholder
farmers. This indicates that, potato smallholder farmers had higher (2,897,603.52 Tshs equivalent to 1248.87 USD) potato
revenues in the dry season compared to rainy season. The possible explanation for this could be that, in the dry season potato
smallholder farmers had higher potato yield of 100.65 bags than in rainy season hence higher potato revenues. Additionally,
potato smallholder farmers might probably had allocated large size of land on potato production during dry season hence
increased the likelihood of having higher yield thereby making potatorevenueshigher.Forexample,thestudiesby (Glaubenet
al. 2003; Goetz and Debertin 2001) show that large farm sizes makefarmingmuchmoreeconomicallyviableforthe farmersby
enabling them to reap economies of scale and bring in use better and cost-effective technologies hence higher revenues.
Moreover, less pests and disease in dry seasons hence higher yield which is translated to higher revenues thaninrainyseason
among potato smallholder farmers.
Table 3: Potato Production Costs and Revenues for Potato smallholder farmers in Tanzania
Variable Mean Standard deviations
Potato revenue in season one-rainy (Tshs) 2,520,090.28 317,991.56
Potato revenue in season two-dry(Tshs) 2,897,603.52 315,703.07
Annual potato farm income (Tshs) 2,634,645.66 317,260.66
Total production and marketing costs for one acre 1,264,752.86 749,281.63
4.3. Effect of on-farm risk management strategies’ attributes on potatoenterpriseperformance amongsmallholder
farmers
Multiple regression model was employed to determine the effect of on-farm risk management strategies’ attributes on potato
enterprise performance. In thismodel,thedependentvariablewaspotato enterpriseperformancewhichwasproxiedbypotato
revenues. In terms of explanatory variables, number of risk management strategies, frequency of risk management strategies
use, effectiveness of risk management strategies and average costs of risk management strategies were considered in the
model. Findings show that, number of on-farm risk management strategies had positive and significant effect on potato
enterprise performance among potato smallholder farmers in Njombe at 10% level of significance. This implies that, more
number of risk management strategies made potato smallholderfarmerstocontrol bothproductionandmarketing riskshence
higher potato revenues which then improved potato enterprise performance.
This is in line with findings by Namwata et al. (2010) that, increased household income was significantly and positively
associated with number of technologies adopted inthestudyarea.Hence, employingmore risksmanagementstrategiesamong
potato smallholder farmers minimize the negative impact associated with both productionandmarketingriskswhichinturns
improves potato enterprise performance. Rahuta and Alib (2017) also illustrated that smallholderfarmerswhoadoptedmore
adaptation practices had higher food security levels than those who did not, and experienced lower levels of poverty. This is
because, climate change adaptation practices at farm level can thereby have significant development outcomes in addition to
reducing exposure to weather risks among smallholder farmers. It was further pointed out that, household income levels are
high per month indicating that those households adopting climate-risk management strategies have higher income levels.
Regarding the frequency of risk management strategies uses, the results reveal that a unit increase in the frequency of risk
management strategies leads an improved potato enterprise performance among potato smallholder farmers.However, the
findings further highlight that, there was no significant effect of frequency of risk management strategies used on potato
enterprise performance among smallholder farmers.
Perceived effectiveness of the risk management strategies employed by potato smallholder farmers had a positive and
statistical significance at 5% level of significance. This suggests that, when risk managementstrategiesaremore effective,then
potato revenues increased which led to the improvement in the potato enterprise performance. This is because, an effective
risk management strategies help potatosmallholderfarmersto manageclimate risks,pests-diseasesandmarketingriskshence
increase their potato yield and revenues as a results potato enterprise performance improved. Moreover, effective risk
management strategies meancontrollingproductionand marketingrisksbetterhence fewerlossesandloweroperational costs
and more profit. In the same line, Chakra borty and Banerjee (2016) reportedthat,productionriskssuchaslateblightofpotato
can effectively be managed by applying fungicides suchasFenamidone,Mancozebamongothers.Thestudyfurtherpointedout
that, spraying potato farm with Fenamidone and Mancozeb had exhibited best management of late blight of potato in termsof
percent reduction of disease. On the other hand, Beyanet al. (2014) revealed that, irrigation is one of the most useful and
effective risk management strategy which increases production and productivity and reduces risk related with rainfall
variability and increasing income of rural farm households. Thefindingsfurtherhighlightedthat,participationinirrigationhas
a significant and positive effect on farm households’ income (Beyanet al., 2014). In addition, Osewe et al. (2020) postulated
that, the use of farmer-led irrigation was effective and had a positive and significant effect on the smallholderfarmersnetcrop
income in the Southern highlands of Tanzania. In the same line, FAO (2016) noted that, effectiveagricultural risk management
strategies play a vital role in fostering productive and sustainable investment across the agricultural value chain.Thisinturns
ensure food and nutrition security, eliminate hunger and reduce poverty. In additional, effective risk management strategies
enable African countries to achieve the annual target of 6 percent agricultural GDP growth (FAO, 2016).
Cost of risk management strategies, had a statistical and positive effect on the potato enterprise performance at 10 % level of
significance implying that, an increase in unit of cost of risk management strategies improved potato enterprise performance.
However, the cost of employing risk management strategies is higher than the benefit potato smallholders get as a result of
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1563
employing the strategies in managing production and marketing risks. The highcosts couldbeasa resultofpotato smallholder
farmers employing risk management strategies such as irrigation systems, transporting potatoes to the market, use of
pesticides and fungicides among others. This shows how important the employed risk management strategiesareinthestudy
area. FAO (2013) pointed that, an important aspect of risk management is that all responses to risk involve a cost. This cost is
expressed by the amount of resources tied up in order for the farmer to manage the production and marketing risks more
effectively. Rahko (2012) on the other hand highlighted that, due to the challenge of pests and diseases, use of chemicals has
been among the significant determinant of potato yield in Tanzania. These findings are in line with Okello et al. (2015) who
pointed out that, majority of the respondents in Tanzania use pesticides to control potato pests and diseases as a results high
demand of the chemicals which lead to high price hence high cost of risk management strategies among potato smallholder
farmers. In the same line, Daniel (2015) also recommended the government to come up with policies aimed at subsidizingthe
cost of farm inputs such as pesticides so as to lower the cost of production among potato smallholder farmers in Tanzania.
Schreinemachers et al. (2012) also reported that, chemical use perhectareespeciallyfungicidesandbactericideshadgenerally
increased more than proportionally with crop output per hectare.
Table 4: Multiple Regression results of the effect of risk management strategies on potato enterprise performance
among potato smallholder farmers
Variables Coefficient Std. Error t-value p-value
(Constant) -646078.856 571105.926 -1.131 0.259
Number of RM Strategies used 197489.975* 112585.954 1.754 0.080
Freq. of RM Strategies use 8391.092 30682.543 .273 0.785
Effectiveness of RM Strategies 43109.513** 20544.848 2.098 0.037
Costs of RM Strategies 0.654* 0.365 1.791 0.074
Number of observations 375
F-test 6.454*** 0.000
Note: **, *Significant at 5% and 10%, respectively
Conclusion
Perceived effectiveness, cost and number of on-farm risk
management strategies are the key determinants of potato
enterprise performance among smallholder farmers in
Tanzania. On the other hand, frequency of risk management
strategies use was insignificant variable in determining
potato enterprise performance.
Recommendations
A. Cost of risk managementstrategieshadimprovedpotato
enterprise performance among smallholder farmers in
in Tanzania. However, the cost of employing risk
management strategies is higher than thebenefitpotato
smallholders obtain as a result of the strategies
employed. The high costs had resulted from employing
risk management strategies such as irrigation systems
during low rainfall and frost bites. Therefore, Lusitu
Agribusiness GroupthroughtheloansfromtheTanzania
Agricultural Development Bank (TADB) to establish a
village center with irrigation facilities (LAG-Irrigation
Centre) that potato smallholder farmers will be hiring.
This will dramatically reduce the costs associated with
risk management strategies in the study area.
B. Potato smallholder farmers to continue employing the
effective risk management strategies such as the use of
irrigation system, fungicides, accessing marketing
information in order to boost potato enterprise
performance in Tanzania.
C. Potato smallholder farmers should increasethenumber
of risk management strategies employed in managing
both production and marketing risks to boost potato
enterprise performance in Tanzania.
Further research
The study was limited in determining how the on-farm risk
management strategies’ attributes boost potato enterprise
performance. Hence, a research on the impact ofrisk
management strategies on food security would be
interesting. Additionally, it could help to figure out how risk
management strategies’ attributes such as crop insurance’
coverage level and indemnity affects food security of potato
smallholder farmers in Tanzania.
Acknowledgments:Thisresearchreceivedfundingfromthe
World Bank-Center of Excellence in Sustainable Agriculture
and AgribusinessManagementhostedbyEgertonUniversity.
Conflict of Interests: The authors declare no conflicts of
interest regarding the publication of this paper.
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Boosting Potato Enterprise Performance among Smallholder Farmers in Tanzania through Risks Management

  • 1. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) Volume 5 Issue 1, November-December 2020 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1557 Boosting Potato Enterprise Performance among Smallholder Farmers in Tanzania through Risks Management Semeni Ngozi1, 2, Patience Mshenga1, Isaac Maina Kariuki1, Aloyce Shaban Hepelwa2 1Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Management, Faculty of Agriculture, Egerton University, Egerton Njoro, Kenya 2Department of Agricultural Economics and Business, College of Agricultural Sciences and Food Technologies, University of Dar Es Salaam, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania ABSTRACT Smallholder potato farmers in Tanzania use different on-farm risk management strategies to boost potato enterprise performance. However, knowledge on how on-farm risk management strategies boost potato enterprise performance remains undocumented and scarce. Therefore, this study uses cross-sectional data collectedfrom384potato smallholderfarmers in 2019, to first identify various on-farm risk management strategiesandthen to determine the effect of risk management strategies on potato enterprise performance. Data is analysed by use of content analysis and descriptive statistics. Further, a multiple regression model is used to determine the effect of risk management strategies’ attributes on potato enterprise performance. The findings of content analysis and descriptive statistics indicate that potato smallholder farmers use various strategies to boost potato enterprise performance. The strategies include application of chemicals, irrigation, furrowing, increased frequency of fungicide application, field sanitation practices, searching for markets, transporting potatoes direct to the markets, use of market information and delaying harvesting of potatoes by leaving them in the soil. Empirical results from multiple regression model reveal that, frequent use, perceived effectiveness, costs and the number of on-farm risk management strategies boost potato enterpriseperformancein Tanzania.The findings of this paper have several policy implications. First, more and effective risk management strategies such as the use of irrigation system, fungicides, accessing marketing information should be employed to boost potato enterprise performance in Tanzania. Second, since, the cost of risk management strategies had improved potato enterprise performance among smallholder farmers in Tanzania. However, the cost of employing risk management strategies is higher than the benefit potato smallholders getasa result of the strategies employed. The high costs had resultedfrom employing risk management strategies such as the purchase of irrigation systemsduring low rainfall and frost bites. Hence, potato smallholderfarmersthroughpublic- private partnerships between Lusitu Agribusiness Group and Tanzania Agricultural Development Bank (TADB) should establish a village hiring irrigation to dramatically reduce the costs associated with risk management strategies such as irrigation. KEYWORDS: Risk management, irrigation, potato, enterprise, Tanzania How to cite this paper: Semeni Ngozi | Patience Mshenga | Isaac Maina Kariuki | Aloyce Shaban Hepelwa "Boosting Potato Enterprise Performance among Smallholder Farmers in Tanzania through Risks Management" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development(ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-1, December 2020, pp.1557-1565, URL: www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd38189.pdf Copyright © 2020 by author (s) and International Journal ofTrendinScientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative CommonsAttribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0) 1. Background Information The risks associated with agricultural enterprises have long been acknowledged as derived from unpredictable factors such as weather, bio security threats (pests, weeds and diseases) and market fluctuation (Duong et al., 2019; Hardaker et al., 2015; Lipinska, 2016). As such, risk management has become increasingly important among all actors of the agricultural value chains including potato smallholder farmers. Potato is a major crop in tropical highland regions of Sub-Saharan Africa including Tanzania, where it is grown as both a horticultural and food security crop. The crop plays an important role as a staple food among producing households and contributes to poverty alleviation through income generation (Mende, 2014). Moreover, it provides calories and nutrition to nearly 350,000 smallholder farming households and millions of urban poor in cities and towns in Tanzania (Kilimo Trust, 2012). As in the rest of the tropical highlands of Africa, potato production in Tanzania is dominated by smallholder farmers with an estimation of 500,000 farmers growing potato in the country. In addition, the subsector employs other actors such as retailers of ware potatoes and street food vendors along the value chain (The Netherlands Enterprise Agency, 2017). Moreover, potatoes are more profitable compared to cereals such as maize and paddy especially in the southern highlands with expertsestimating threefold higher income from the crop (Kilimo Trust, 2012). On average, 88 percent of all potato produce is sold out (Mpogole, 2013). This indicates that potato is among the IJTSRD38189
  • 2. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1558 highest commercialized crops in the country. Despite the potential contribution of potato in the income generation among smallholder farmers, the enterprise in most Sub- Saharan countries including Tanzania isa riskybusinessasit faces many risks including production and market that can affect the profitability and viability. Many research studies have been conducted on the effect of risk management strategies on farmers’welfaresuchasfood security. For example, Bairagia et al (2020), investigates the adoption of three climate-resilientstrategies,drought/flood- resistant rice varieties, integrated pest management practices, and weather advisory; their impact on food security (crop productivity and profits of the Cambodian paddy). However, little empirical evidence exists to substantiate how risk management strategies’ attributes boost potato enterprise performance among smallholder farmers. Therefore, this study aims at determining theeffect of risk management strategies’ attributes in boosting potato enterprise performance among potato smallholder farmers in Tanzania. 2. Literature review 2.1. Review of Studies on Risk Management Strategies There are various risk management strategies farmers employ to manage yield variability. These strategies include enterprise diversification, contract farming and crop insurance among others. On the other hand, commodity markets present unique challenges such as price volatility. Price volatility has created more risk for the producer as well as more opportunity. The increased variability in commodity prices has increased awarenessfarmersonprice risks and enhanced their marketing skills. Farmers have been responding to price volatility by employing different strategies such as minimum price contracts, market information, keepingrecordsamongothers.Somemarketing responses minimize risk by reducing price variability, but other responses include the transfer of risks to others. Generally, producers use a combination of risk management strategies in their farm operations. For example, Makate et al. (2016) noted that crop diversification is a viable climate smart agricultural practice that significantly enhances crop productivity and consequently resilience in rural smallholder farming systems. Therefore, enterprise diversification of production can be used to manage price, yield, and income risk. Additionally, Bartolini et al. (2014) revealed that, participation in enterprise diversification plays an important role in increasing rural household income. Enterprise diversification is therefore seenasa way to secure income and increase food security (Bartolini et al., 2014). Crop insurance also plays an important role as an ex- ante risk management tool thathelpssmallholderfarmersto cope with crop losses. In many cases, crop insurance covers against loss of crop yield due to the production risks such as pests and diseases, drought, and floods among others. For example, Farm Risks Management for Africa (FARMAF) project promotes the adoption of crop insurance among farmers in order to compensate them for weather related yield losses and simultaneously ease access to production finance (FARMAF, 2015). Market Information Systems is another risk management strategy which helps smallholder farmers to timely access market information. For example, Burger, (2017) noted that, providing prices in real time via market information systems (MIS) has become a technically feasible risk management tool. Timely information is intended to guide the choice whether producers'sell (selling now or latter, changing point of sale) and strengthen bargaining power in the event of immediatetransaction.MIS is used by smallholder farmers to provide guidance on production and marketing decisions such as choice of what, when and where to sell the produce based on market information hence reduces market risks through informed market decision making(FARMAF,2015).Ontheotherhand, producers’ collaborative models can play a role in risk- management and increasing able-members who can engage in high risk/higher return activities (Ethan, 2009). The models also a play significant role inimprovingfoodsecurity and generating employment opportunities. Bernard et al (2010) points out that, producers’ collaborative models considerably contribute to rural poverty reduction through agricultural cost reduction, accesstomarketandbetterprice for outputs. The models specifically, supports small agricultural producers and marginalized groups such as young people and women (FAO, 2015). 2.2. Theoretical framework of the study The study is hinged on the decision theory. Decision theory is a principle that is associated with decisions. The theory is an interdisciplinary approach to determine how decisions are made given unknown variables and an uncertain decision environment framework (Parmigiani et al., 2010). The theory was developedmid-20th century with the support of several academic disciplines. It is typically used by economists, statisticians, psychologists, political and social scientists or philosophers (Jeffrey 1992).Additionally, its origin is derived from economics by using the utility function of payoffs. It proposes that decisions are made by computing the utility and probability, the ranges of options, and also lays down strategies for good decision. The theory has a history of applications to real world problems in many disciplines, including economics, risk analysis, business management, and theoretical behavioral ecology(Maguire& Albright, 2005). Generally, decision theory provides a structure that helps economic agents to make rational choices in the situation of uncertainty. Given a specific set of alternatives, set of consequences and a correspondence, the theory offers conceptually simple procedures for choices. In addition, decision theory deals with methods for determining the optimal course of action when a number of alternatives are available and their consequences cannot be forecasted with certainty (Parmigiani et al., 2010). In this study, potato smallholder farmers face uncertainty conditions that dictate them to decide how muchrisk totake and which risk management strategies farmers should employ for the specified amount/type of risk. Therefore,it is important to use decision theory in this study. 3. Materials and Methods 3.1. Research Design A multi-stage sampling procedure was employed to select the study areas. The study employed cross-sectional survey whereby both qualitative and quantitative data were collected at one point in time. Householddata werecollected from 384 potato smallholder farmerswitha semi-structured questionnaire. 3.2. Study area The study was conducted in Njombe Town Council where Lusitu Agribusiness Group (LAG) is located. The council lies between Longitudes 340 25’ and 350 27’East and Latitudes
  • 3. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1559 90 10’ and 90 45’South which is a total surface area of 3,212 square kilometers. According toUnitedRepublicofTanzania (2013) the council had a population of 130,223 and it had two main features, namely: the highland zone of the council with rainfall ranging between 1,200-1,400mm per annum. The northern-west part of the council gives way to lower zone covered by black and loam soil, experiencing rainfall ranging between 1,000 to 1,200mm annually. Agriculture is the main economic activity in the council whereby about78 percent of the residents depend on it as the main source of household income (URT, 2013). Additionally,thecouncil has a cold weather, fertile soil and reliable amount of rainfall which is a favorable condition for agriculture. This enables the council to be a biggest producer of crops such as potatoes and maize. As a result, potato is the leading food and cash crop in the council with the highest production per hectare (8.4t per ha) compared to Maize (2.5t/ha), Beans (3.2t/ha) and Wheat (2.9t/ha). Figure 1: Map of Tanzania showing study areasSource: ICPAC Geoportal and Humanitarian Data Exchange (2019) 3.3. Population and Respondents of the study The target population for this study was potato smallholder farmers who are members of Lusitu Agribusiness Group. Lusitu Agribusiness Group is a group of potato smallholder farmers located in Igominyi division, Njombe town council.The group implemented theLusitu Potatoes Pack House and Marketing Project in partnership with Kilimo Trust Tanzania. 3.4. Sampling procedure The study employed a multi-stage sampling technique where the first stage involved purposive selection of the Igominyi division from Njombe Town Council. In stage two, Luponde ward where Lusitu Agribusiness Group operates was purposely selected from Igominyi division. In stage three, five villages namely Lusitu, Luponde, Mbega, Miva and Igola were also purposively selected from Luponde ward. These villages were selected for the study since most of potato smallholderfarmers from these villages are active members of Lusitu Agribusiness Group. The study, used proportionate stratified sampling technique to determine the number of potato smallholder farmers from each village giving115 respondents from Lusitu, 77 from Luponde, 58 from Mbega, 96 from Miva and 38 were from Igola village. Finally, the actual SHFs of Lusitu Agribusiness Group were randomly selected from each of the five village from the source list provided by the coordinator of Lusitu Agribusiness Group. 3.5. Methods of data collection A semi-structured questionnaire was used to collect data on the effect of risk management strategies on potato enterprise performance. The study first identified various on-farm risk management strategies potato smallholder farmers used to manage production and marketing risks. Then data on number of risk management strategies, types of risk management strategies, total cost of risk management strategies and frequency of risk management use were collected. 3.6. Data analysis The study employed descriptive statistics to determine various on-farm risk management strategies employed by potato smallholder farmers. Additionally, multiple linear regression model was employedtodeterminethe effectofrisk management
  • 4. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1560 strategies on potato enterprise performance (PEP). Therefore, function can be specified as follows: Potato Enterprise Performance=f (NumberriskMastrategies,EffectivenessriskMastrategies,TotalCostriskMastrategiesandFreqriskMastrategies) Table 1: Description of variables involved in the study Variable Description Measurement Exp. sign Effect of traditional risk management strategies on potato enterprise performance Dependent variable POTAEPERFORMANCE Potato gross revenues Continuous TZS None Independent variables NURISKMAGESTRATEGIES Number of risk Management strategies per season Continuous +/- FREQRISKMASTRATEGIES Frequency of use of risk Management strategies Continuous +/- TOCOSTSRISKMASTRATEGIES Total costs of risk management strategies Continuous (TZS) +/- EFFECTIVENESSRISKMASTRATEGIES Effectiveness of risk management strategies Continuous + 4. Results and Discussion 4.1. Risk Management Strategies Employed by Potato smallholder farmers Risk management has become increasingly important among all actors in the potato value chain. Risk management strategies consist of responses which may reduce the probability of unfavorable event occurring or reducing the consequences if the event occurs. There are several strategies smallholder farmers can employ to reduce and mitigate the farm exposure to risks. The results from this survey indicate that potato smallholder farmers heavily use on-farm risk management strategies to manage climate, pests-diseases and marketing risks. Findings further reveal that,mostofpotatosmallholderfarmersusemore than one risk management strategies to manage these risks. These on-farm risks management strategies therefore can be grouped into climate-related risk management strategies, pests-diseases risk management strategies and marketing risks management strategies. 4.1.1. Climate-related Risk Management Strategies Climate risks are increasingly threatening food security and making it imperative to identify locally appropriate management strategies to manage the risks (Shikuku et al, 2017). In terms of frost bite management, thefindingsfromthisstudy reveal that, potato smallholder farmers use chemical application before planting to manage frost bite in their potato farms. Additionally, smallholder farmers employ, irrigation system such as over-plantsprinklerstoremovefrostthatcoveredpotatoes. Inthesame line, Alamerie et al. (2013) noted that sprinkler irrigation is used to protect crops during frosts, as it provides excellent frost protection. Furthermore, the findings indicate that, potato smallholderfarmersalsoemployedover-plantsprinkler andfurrow irrigation in managing low rainfall. The possible explanations for this could be that potato smallholder farmers found, there was a probability of fetching higher prices of potatoes when they to irrigate potatoes during dry season. Alamerieetal. (2013) noted that irrigating potato farms was the most common strategy employed by smallholder farmers to manage low rainfall in the study area. Similarly, Daniel (2015) reported that low rainfall madepotatosmallholderfarmersinNjombeurbantoirrigate their farms hence their ability to supply potatoes in the market thereby fetching higher price and higher gross margins. In terms of too much rainfall, potato smallholder farmers applied fungicides, made furrows to drain excesswaterfromthefarms, increased the frequency of fungicide application and planting potatoes during dry seasons to manage to late blight disease which is caused by the presence of too much rainfall. Obalola et al. (2017) pointed out that, incidence of late blight disease is high when there is too much rainfall and the disease is a major problem thatlimitingpotatosmallholderfarmersfromrealizing higher output. Alamerie et al. (2013) also pointed out that late blightisa commondiseaseforpotatoesandfarmersoftenprefer to produce potato in the dry season where there is lower incidence of late blight disease. 4.1.2. Pests-Diseases related Risk Management Strategies Pests and diseases have been the main challengesfacingfarmersamong potatosmallholderfarmers.Duetothischallenge,most of the interviewed potato smallholder farmers employ a range of risk management strategies in managing the incidence of pests and diseases in the study area. The findings indicated that potato smallholder farmers use various strategies including field sanitation practices, pesticides and fungicides to control potato pest and diseases. The findings are in line with Okello et al.(2015) who pointed out that majority of potato smallholderfarmersusedoffungicidesandpesticidesinthecontrol ofpotato pests and diseases whereas few of them employed field sanitation strategies such as uprooting and burning infected plants. Kilimo trust (2017) on the other hand noted that, most of interviewed farmers used pesticides and fungicides to control pest and diseases. As a result, the use of these chemicals has been among the significant determinant of potato yield in Tanzania (Rahko, 2012).The pesticides and fungicides were mainly employed to control late blightandbacterial wiltwhicharethemost problematic diseases. In terms of late blight disease, the findingsindicatethatpotatosmallholderfarmersemployedfungicides such as FARMZEB, COPPER, RIDOMIL among others to control late blight disease. This is because, late blight is the most prevalent disease and no late blight resistant varieties in the study area as a results most of them employ fungicides as a
  • 5. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1561 strategy to manage the disease. The findings are similar to Okelloet al.(2015) who reported that, in Njombe majority ofpotato smallholder farmers used fungicides in controlling late blight disease. On the other hand, the results show that, potato smallholder farmers employed strategies such as chemical, use of improved seed potatoes, uprooting and burning infected plants, crop rotation, fallowing in controlling bacterial wiltdiseaseinthestudyarea.Thisimpliesthat,farmersinthestudyarea were aware that bacterial wilt is a soil borne disease and currently there is no chemical for managing it to manage it therefore the only method of controlling it is by soil fertility management such field sanitation. In the same line, Kagona (2008)revealed that the dominant method to control bacterial wilt in the study area by potato farmers was uprooting the infected plants and bury them. 4.1.3. Market-related risk management strategies In terms of potato price volatility, the results show that smallholder farmers employ strategies such as searching for markets, transporting potatoes direct to the markets such as Dar es Salaam, gathering market information fromneighbors, brokersand traders. The respondents further indicated that they leave their potatoes in the soil and sell themaftersometime.Thisenables them to fetch higher potato prices as they would have sold their potatoes in the off season. This implies that, potato is highly commercialized crop in Njombe as a results farmers use different strategies such as transportingpotatoesdirectto themarket to manage price volatility risk. Similar findings were reported by Alamerie et al (2013) that potato farmers in Ethiopia employed sequential marketing in managing price volatility. The sequential sale refers to the spreading sales and making several sales of potatoes during the year. This strategy is commonly used by potato smallholder farmers in the study area. Furthermore, it was noted that, smallholder farmers harvested potatoesinpiecemeal overtheharvestingtimetomanageprice volatility risk (Alamerie et al., 2013). Additionally, Nyunza andMwakaje(2012)pointedoutthat,potatosmallholderfarmersin Tanzania especially the rich ones were selling potatoes to wholesalers in urban area such as Mbeya, Arusha, Dodoma and Dar es Salaam. In terms of managing potato post-harvest losses, the findings show that potato smallholder farmers use strategies such as re- harvesting potatoes and use as seed potatoes for the next planting season, close supervision during harvesting and selling immediately after harvesting. This suggest that, management of post-harvest losses among potato smallholder farmers is an important aspect in potato farming. This could be explained by the fact that, in the most of the developing countries such as Tanzania, post-harvest losses at the farm level not only reduces available food for family consumption but, directly affects smallholder farmers’ income and livelihoods in general. Alamerie et al. (2013) also reported that strategies such as selling perishable crops immediately after harvesting was one of the strategies that farmers employed in managing potato post- harvest losses. 4.1.4. Number, Frequency of use and average costs of Risk Management strategies among potato smallholder farmers Regarding the number of risk management strategiesusedbypotatosmallholderfarmers,resultsshowthatanaverageof5risk management strategies were used in the study area. This indicates that, most of potato smallholderfarmersusea combination of strategies in managing both production and marketing risk henceimprovedpotato enterpriseperformance.Inthesameline, Namwata, et al. (2010) also revealed that, an increased household income was significantly positivelyassociatedwithnumber of technologies adopted. In terms of the frequency of risk management strategies use, the findings show that, potato smallholder farmers had an average of 20 times. This suggests that, potato smallholder farmers frequently faced withclimate, pests-disease and marketing risks as a result they increased the frequency ofrisk managementstrategiesuse.Additionally,the findings indicate that, potato smallholder farmers had a mean of Tshs 388,383.1135 (167.39USD) as the costs for employing risk management strategies per one acre per season, in the study area. Potato smallholder farmers incurred this cost in management of climate, pests-disease and marketing risks. The risk management strategies potato smallholder farmers employed in controlling these risks included the use of seed potato, fungicides and pesticides, irrigation costs, harvesting for second time and transporting their potatoes to the market. Okonya et al. (2019)alsorevealedthat,thetopfourmost important constraints identified by farmers for potato were diseases, high costs of planting material, high cost of fungicides, and insect pest in Rwanda. Table 2: Number, Frequency of use and average costs of Risk Management strategies among potato smallholder farmers Variable Mean Standard deviations Number of Risk Management strategies 5 1.54295 Frequency of Risk Management strategies use 20 5.49163 Average costs for RM strategies 388,383.1135 311,961.18845 4.2. Potato production Costs and Revenues Potato smallholder farmers had a mean of 1,264,752.8684Tshs (545.11USD) as a total productionandmarketingcostsforone acre per season in the study area. This amount is mostly used in purchasing cleanseed potatoes,transporttheir potatoestothe big market, frequently spray their farms with fungicides and pesticides hence higher potato cost of productionandmarketing. These findings are in line with Daniel (2015) that in Njombe town council the cost of production and marketing per acre was Tshs 1,273,889 (549.05 USD) higher compared to Wanging’ombe district because in Njombe urban district majority of potato farmers depend on irrigation whilefarmersinWanging’ombedistrictdependsonrainfedagriculture.Additionally,Nyunza and Mwakaje (2012) pointed out that, most of the poor and low producer farmers were selling their potatoes to village traders or fellow farmers, while big producers and rich farmers were selling to wholesalers in urban areas. This is because the poor cannot afford to take round potatoes to the larger markets. They also produce round potatoes in small quantities.
  • 6. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1562 In terms of potato revenue, in rainy season, potato smallholder farmers got 2,520,090.28Tshs(1086.16USD)perseasoninthe study area. On the other hand, in dry season, the potato revenue was 2897603.52 Tshs (1248.87 USD) among smallholder farmers. This indicates that, potato smallholder farmers had higher (2,897,603.52 Tshs equivalent to 1248.87 USD) potato revenues in the dry season compared to rainy season. The possible explanation for this could be that, in the dry season potato smallholder farmers had higher potato yield of 100.65 bags than in rainy season hence higher potato revenues. Additionally, potato smallholder farmers might probably had allocated large size of land on potato production during dry season hence increased the likelihood of having higher yield thereby making potatorevenueshigher.Forexample,thestudiesby (Glaubenet al. 2003; Goetz and Debertin 2001) show that large farm sizes makefarmingmuchmoreeconomicallyviableforthe farmersby enabling them to reap economies of scale and bring in use better and cost-effective technologies hence higher revenues. Moreover, less pests and disease in dry seasons hence higher yield which is translated to higher revenues thaninrainyseason among potato smallholder farmers. Table 3: Potato Production Costs and Revenues for Potato smallholder farmers in Tanzania Variable Mean Standard deviations Potato revenue in season one-rainy (Tshs) 2,520,090.28 317,991.56 Potato revenue in season two-dry(Tshs) 2,897,603.52 315,703.07 Annual potato farm income (Tshs) 2,634,645.66 317,260.66 Total production and marketing costs for one acre 1,264,752.86 749,281.63 4.3. Effect of on-farm risk management strategies’ attributes on potatoenterpriseperformance amongsmallholder farmers Multiple regression model was employed to determine the effect of on-farm risk management strategies’ attributes on potato enterprise performance. In thismodel,thedependentvariablewaspotato enterpriseperformancewhichwasproxiedbypotato revenues. In terms of explanatory variables, number of risk management strategies, frequency of risk management strategies use, effectiveness of risk management strategies and average costs of risk management strategies were considered in the model. Findings show that, number of on-farm risk management strategies had positive and significant effect on potato enterprise performance among potato smallholder farmers in Njombe at 10% level of significance. This implies that, more number of risk management strategies made potato smallholderfarmerstocontrol bothproductionandmarketing riskshence higher potato revenues which then improved potato enterprise performance. This is in line with findings by Namwata et al. (2010) that, increased household income was significantly and positively associated with number of technologies adopted inthestudyarea.Hence, employingmore risksmanagementstrategiesamong potato smallholder farmers minimize the negative impact associated with both productionandmarketingriskswhichinturns improves potato enterprise performance. Rahuta and Alib (2017) also illustrated that smallholderfarmerswhoadoptedmore adaptation practices had higher food security levels than those who did not, and experienced lower levels of poverty. This is because, climate change adaptation practices at farm level can thereby have significant development outcomes in addition to reducing exposure to weather risks among smallholder farmers. It was further pointed out that, household income levels are high per month indicating that those households adopting climate-risk management strategies have higher income levels. Regarding the frequency of risk management strategies uses, the results reveal that a unit increase in the frequency of risk management strategies leads an improved potato enterprise performance among potato smallholder farmers.However, the findings further highlight that, there was no significant effect of frequency of risk management strategies used on potato enterprise performance among smallholder farmers. Perceived effectiveness of the risk management strategies employed by potato smallholder farmers had a positive and statistical significance at 5% level of significance. This suggests that, when risk managementstrategiesaremore effective,then potato revenues increased which led to the improvement in the potato enterprise performance. This is because, an effective risk management strategies help potatosmallholderfarmersto manageclimate risks,pests-diseasesandmarketingriskshence increase their potato yield and revenues as a results potato enterprise performance improved. Moreover, effective risk management strategies meancontrollingproductionand marketingrisksbetterhence fewerlossesandloweroperational costs and more profit. In the same line, Chakra borty and Banerjee (2016) reportedthat,productionriskssuchaslateblightofpotato can effectively be managed by applying fungicides suchasFenamidone,Mancozebamongothers.Thestudyfurtherpointedout that, spraying potato farm with Fenamidone and Mancozeb had exhibited best management of late blight of potato in termsof percent reduction of disease. On the other hand, Beyanet al. (2014) revealed that, irrigation is one of the most useful and effective risk management strategy which increases production and productivity and reduces risk related with rainfall variability and increasing income of rural farm households. Thefindingsfurtherhighlightedthat,participationinirrigationhas a significant and positive effect on farm households’ income (Beyanet al., 2014). In addition, Osewe et al. (2020) postulated that, the use of farmer-led irrigation was effective and had a positive and significant effect on the smallholderfarmersnetcrop income in the Southern highlands of Tanzania. In the same line, FAO (2016) noted that, effectiveagricultural risk management strategies play a vital role in fostering productive and sustainable investment across the agricultural value chain.Thisinturns ensure food and nutrition security, eliminate hunger and reduce poverty. In additional, effective risk management strategies enable African countries to achieve the annual target of 6 percent agricultural GDP growth (FAO, 2016). Cost of risk management strategies, had a statistical and positive effect on the potato enterprise performance at 10 % level of significance implying that, an increase in unit of cost of risk management strategies improved potato enterprise performance. However, the cost of employing risk management strategies is higher than the benefit potato smallholders get as a result of
  • 7. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD38189 | Volume – 5 | Issue – 1 | November-December 2020 Page 1563 employing the strategies in managing production and marketing risks. The highcosts couldbeasa resultofpotato smallholder farmers employing risk management strategies such as irrigation systems, transporting potatoes to the market, use of pesticides and fungicides among others. This shows how important the employed risk management strategiesareinthestudy area. FAO (2013) pointed that, an important aspect of risk management is that all responses to risk involve a cost. This cost is expressed by the amount of resources tied up in order for the farmer to manage the production and marketing risks more effectively. Rahko (2012) on the other hand highlighted that, due to the challenge of pests and diseases, use of chemicals has been among the significant determinant of potato yield in Tanzania. These findings are in line with Okello et al. (2015) who pointed out that, majority of the respondents in Tanzania use pesticides to control potato pests and diseases as a results high demand of the chemicals which lead to high price hence high cost of risk management strategies among potato smallholder farmers. In the same line, Daniel (2015) also recommended the government to come up with policies aimed at subsidizingthe cost of farm inputs such as pesticides so as to lower the cost of production among potato smallholder farmers in Tanzania. Schreinemachers et al. (2012) also reported that, chemical use perhectareespeciallyfungicidesandbactericideshadgenerally increased more than proportionally with crop output per hectare. Table 4: Multiple Regression results of the effect of risk management strategies on potato enterprise performance among potato smallholder farmers Variables Coefficient Std. Error t-value p-value (Constant) -646078.856 571105.926 -1.131 0.259 Number of RM Strategies used 197489.975* 112585.954 1.754 0.080 Freq. of RM Strategies use 8391.092 30682.543 .273 0.785 Effectiveness of RM Strategies 43109.513** 20544.848 2.098 0.037 Costs of RM Strategies 0.654* 0.365 1.791 0.074 Number of observations 375 F-test 6.454*** 0.000 Note: **, *Significant at 5% and 10%, respectively Conclusion Perceived effectiveness, cost and number of on-farm risk management strategies are the key determinants of potato enterprise performance among smallholder farmers in Tanzania. On the other hand, frequency of risk management strategies use was insignificant variable in determining potato enterprise performance. Recommendations A. Cost of risk managementstrategieshadimprovedpotato enterprise performance among smallholder farmers in in Tanzania. However, the cost of employing risk management strategies is higher than thebenefitpotato smallholders obtain as a result of the strategies employed. The high costs had resulted from employing risk management strategies such as irrigation systems during low rainfall and frost bites. Therefore, Lusitu Agribusiness GroupthroughtheloansfromtheTanzania Agricultural Development Bank (TADB) to establish a village center with irrigation facilities (LAG-Irrigation Centre) that potato smallholder farmers will be hiring. This will dramatically reduce the costs associated with risk management strategies in the study area. B. Potato smallholder farmers to continue employing the effective risk management strategies such as the use of irrigation system, fungicides, accessing marketing information in order to boost potato enterprise performance in Tanzania. C. 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