Ballistic Missile Defense Overview




DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved
for public release; distribution is unlimited.




                              To: 10th Annual Missile Defense Conference
                                                 By: LTG Patrick J. O’Reilly, USA
                                                             Director
                                                     Missile Defense Agency
                                                         March 26, 2012

Approved for Public Release
12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)
Military Technology Breakthroughs
                     Overwhelming Capabilities Without An Effective Counter
                                   MOBILITY                                                    RANGE




                                                                                                           Precision-engineering
                                                                                                         increased range/accuracy



                                                                     Personal protection
                                                                      for close combat
                              Defeated by
                                              Mobile, long-range
               Cavalry advantage                 firepower
             Mongols invade Europe                                               200 yard “kill shot”



                                                       AIR/SPACE BATTLE




                                                                                                      Unbeatable
                                                                                                   “Wonder Weapon”?
    Destruction from the air
     40,000 British killed

                                                           Early detection
Approved for Public Release                               RAF has 2,698 kills
12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                                                                   2
Can We Hit A Target Moving 15,000 m.p.h?




Approved for Public Release
12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                         3
Ballistic Missile Proliferation

  Threat
  - Growing
                                 2010 Ballistic Missile Force Levels
  - Unpredictable                           Not Including
  - Anti-ship ballistic             U.S., China, Russia or NATO
    missiles threaten
    flow of commerce                   Missile Range                                           Quantity

  - Threatens regional                 300-1,000 km                                     5,000-5,500
    stability
                                       2,000-3,000 km                                            500-700
                                                                                                                                 North Korean Taepo Dong-2,
                                                                                                                                         April 2009
                                       3,000-5,500 km                                                       <40

                                       > 5,500 km                                                         0-10

                                       Totals                                           5,550-6,250




                                       Sources: NASIC, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat, 2009; DIA, Iran’s Military Power,
                                       Statement before the Senate Armed Services Committee, 14 APR 10; DIA, Annual Threat
                                       Assessment 2008; MSIC, e-mail, RE: Unclassified Force Level Numbers, 7 February
                                       2011; DNI, Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to
                                       Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions, Covering 1 JAN to
                                       31 DEC 29, FARS News Agency. Open Source Center (OSC), Iranian TV shows footage
  Iranian Salvo Launch, 28 June 2011   of “under ground launch silos” IAP20110627950192, 27 June 2011                             Iranian SRBM, 20 August 2010
Approved for Public Release
12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                                                                                                   4
Resistance to Revolutionary Technology

                                      Resistance                       Persistence
                                                                                           • Vision
   “A pretty mechanical toy”
                                                                                           • Accepting need
                                                                                             for change


                               1901



                                                                                             1917- Moving, crushing armor
  1916 - 30,000 dead, Somme, France                                                             Major Cambrai victory




                                       1916 - First tanks break down




                                                                                     Fix




Approved for Public Release
12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                                                             5
Homeland Defense
                                                         – Last Year’s Accomplishments –
                                                                                            Missile Assembly Building
                                                                                               For GBI Integration




                                                                         2nd Fort Greely
                                                                        Fire Control Node

      Missile Field #2 Construction Completed




     Thule Radar Integrated Into The BMDS                           Clear Early Warning Radar        GBI Upgrades
Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                                  6
Regional Defense
                                                         – Last Year’s Accomplishments –
             USS Monterey                                             SM-3 IA                                 FTM-15
    Aegis BMD 3.6.1 with SM-3 Block IA                                Loading




           AN/TPY-2 Radar in Kurecik, Turkey                          FTT-12    FTT-12




                                                                                         Combined Air Operations Center
                                                                                              Ramstein Germany
Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                                7
Ballistic Missile Defense Testing
                                          – Last Year’s Accomplishments –
                FTM-15                            FTX-17                 FTM-16 Event 2                           FTT-12
      √ April 2011                          √ July 2011              X   September 2011                 √October 2011
Demonstrated Launch on Remote
                                                                                                   Initial Operational Test & Evaluation




  • Intercept of an IRBM with              • Short Range Air             • SM-3 IB and Aegis           • Simultaneous
    Aegis 3.6.1 and an SM-3                  Launched Target               BMD 4.0.1 flight test         engagement of SRBM
    Block IA                               • Tracked by multiple                                         and MRBM class targets
  • Forward-based AN/TPY-2                   sensors including
                                                                                                                          FTT-12
    radar in fire control loop               AN/TPY-2, Beale UEWR,
                                             STSS, ABIR and NFIRE

                                                                                                      THAAD




       USS O’Kane
                                                                         Unexpected Energetic
                               SM-3 IA
                                                                               Event
                              Intercept
Approved for Public Release
12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12)
                                                                                                                                     8
International Cooperation
                                              – Last Year’s Accomplishments –

              U.S.-Poland                                 U.S.-Turkey                        Spain agrees to host
             BMD Agreement                               BMD Agreement                       U.S. Aegis BMD Ships




                                                                                                Spanish Prime Minister Zapatero
            U.S. Secretary of State Clinton               President Barack Obama               NATO Secretary General Rasmussen
           Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski            Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan            U.S. Defense Secretary Panetta

                 September 2011                             September 2011                            October 2011

                  UAE
           THAAD Foreign                                  U.S.-Romania                       Joint U.S.- Israel Arrow
          Military Sales Case                            BMD Agreement                     Weapon System Flight Tests




                                                        U.S. Secretary of State Clinton
                                                     Romanian Foreign Minister Baconschi

                  December 2011                              December 2011                      Arrow 3 – 2nd QTR FY12
Approved for Public Release
                                                                                             Arrow Block 4 – 2nd QTR FY12
12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12)
                                                                                                                                  9
This Year’s Focus
                                                         – Reliability And Testing –
 Ground-based Midcourse Defense                                          Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense
                                                                                FTM-16 E2a            FTM-18
               Reliability                                                       3QFY12               3QFY12




                                                                                             FTM-19
                                                                                             4QFY12



    GM CTV-01



                           FTG-06b




                                                                                                      SM-3 IB

                                   Testing
Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                          10
Flight Test Integrated (FTI-01)

       BMD
                                                           Demonstrate regional BMDS
                                                                                                    OPIR Participation
    Target 1                                             ability to defend against a raid of      STSS Stereo Collect
   E-LRALT                                               up to five simultaneous threats in
     MRBM
                                                              an operationally relevant
                                                                                                                  Hickam
                                                                 CENTCOM scenario                                 UTCO / ADAFCO
                                                                                                                  (Upper/Lower Tier Coord)
      Wake Island                                               Roi

                                                                                                         AEGIS 3.6.1
                                                                                           Engages SRBM (ARAV-B)
           BMD Target 2:                                                                   and Air Breather (BQM-74)
                ARAV-B
                                                                                                                         AN/TPY-2
                 SRBM
                                                                                                                         Forward
                                                                                                                         Based Mode
                                                                                                                         (Cueing Sensor)
                                                                             Omelek
                                  BMD Target 3: FMA
                                  Sea Launch                                  Meck
                                  SRBM




                                                               Reagan Test Site
                                                                                                                     Patriot: Engage
                                                                Kwajalein Atoll                THAAD: Engage      SRBM (FMA) and/or
     Target 4:BQM-74               Target 5: MQM-107                                                             Air Breather (MQM-107)
                                                                                               MRBM (E-LRALT)
        Air Launch                  Launch from Roi
                                                                                                or SRBM (FMA)

         FTI-01 Largest Integrated Live Fire Missile Defense Test in History
Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                                              11
Flight Test Maritime (FTM-15)
                                                         – Enabled By Remote Sensing –


                FTM-15
                 April 2011




Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                   12
Networked Remote Sensing

 Networked Remote Sensors                   Improved Track Quality

                                                               Data


                                                                      Data Fusion
                                                                                                             Aegis
                                                        Data




                                                                            Position
                                                                                                Track
                                                                                                             THAAD
                                                                                       Time
                                   System                    Data
                                    Wide
                                    Track
                                            Threat
                                            Missile                                                          Patriot
                                            Launch




                                            • Expands
                                              Battle Space
                                              - Organic
                                              - Launch on
                                                Remote
                                              - Engage on
                                                Remote
                                            • Increases
                                              Raid Size
                                              Capacity
                                              - 2-10 Times
Approved for Public Release
12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                              ncr-114060 / 021512
                                                                                                                13
Future Developments
                                                         – PTSS And SM-3 Block IIB –
  Precision Tracking Space System                                          Standard Missile-3 Block IIB
       - Persistent, precision missile tracking                           - Engages ICBMs early in flight as first tier
       - Any networked shooter for Homeland                                 of layered defense Homeland defense
         and Regional defense                                             - Expands battle space against MRBMs
       - Pre-positioning, indications & warning,                            and IRBMs
         and host nation agreements not needed                            - Cost-effective shot firing doctrine




         PTSS



                                                                                                             SM-3 IIB


Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)                                                              14
Integrated Nature Of Ballistic Missile Defense

                                                           Combatant
                                                           Commands
       Military
       Services




Approved for Public Release
12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12)
                                 International Partners           15
Approved for Public Release
12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12)
                              16

Bmds briefing12

  • 1.
    Ballistic Missile DefenseOverview DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. To: 10th Annual Missile Defense Conference By: LTG Patrick J. O’Reilly, USA Director Missile Defense Agency March 26, 2012 Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12)
  • 2.
    Military Technology Breakthroughs Overwhelming Capabilities Without An Effective Counter MOBILITY RANGE Precision-engineering increased range/accuracy Personal protection for close combat Defeated by Mobile, long-range Cavalry advantage firepower Mongols invade Europe 200 yard “kill shot” AIR/SPACE BATTLE Unbeatable “Wonder Weapon”? Destruction from the air 40,000 British killed Early detection Approved for Public Release RAF has 2,698 kills 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 2
  • 3.
    Can We HitA Target Moving 15,000 m.p.h? Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 3
  • 4.
    Ballistic Missile Proliferation Threat - Growing 2010 Ballistic Missile Force Levels - Unpredictable Not Including - Anti-ship ballistic U.S., China, Russia or NATO missiles threaten flow of commerce Missile Range Quantity - Threatens regional 300-1,000 km 5,000-5,500 stability 2,000-3,000 km 500-700 North Korean Taepo Dong-2, April 2009 3,000-5,500 km <40 > 5,500 km 0-10 Totals 5,550-6,250 Sources: NASIC, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat, 2009; DIA, Iran’s Military Power, Statement before the Senate Armed Services Committee, 14 APR 10; DIA, Annual Threat Assessment 2008; MSIC, e-mail, RE: Unclassified Force Level Numbers, 7 February 2011; DNI, Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions, Covering 1 JAN to 31 DEC 29, FARS News Agency. Open Source Center (OSC), Iranian TV shows footage Iranian Salvo Launch, 28 June 2011 of “under ground launch silos” IAP20110627950192, 27 June 2011 Iranian SRBM, 20 August 2010 Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 4
  • 5.
    Resistance to RevolutionaryTechnology Resistance Persistence • Vision “A pretty mechanical toy” • Accepting need for change 1901 1917- Moving, crushing armor 1916 - 30,000 dead, Somme, France Major Cambrai victory 1916 - First tanks break down Fix Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 5
  • 6.
    Homeland Defense – Last Year’s Accomplishments – Missile Assembly Building For GBI Integration 2nd Fort Greely Fire Control Node Missile Field #2 Construction Completed Thule Radar Integrated Into The BMDS Clear Early Warning Radar GBI Upgrades Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 6
  • 7.
    Regional Defense – Last Year’s Accomplishments – USS Monterey SM-3 IA FTM-15 Aegis BMD 3.6.1 with SM-3 Block IA Loading AN/TPY-2 Radar in Kurecik, Turkey FTT-12 FTT-12 Combined Air Operations Center Ramstein Germany Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 7
  • 8.
    Ballistic Missile DefenseTesting – Last Year’s Accomplishments – FTM-15 FTX-17 FTM-16 Event 2 FTT-12 √ April 2011 √ July 2011 X September 2011 √October 2011 Demonstrated Launch on Remote Initial Operational Test & Evaluation • Intercept of an IRBM with • Short Range Air • SM-3 IB and Aegis • Simultaneous Aegis 3.6.1 and an SM-3 Launched Target BMD 4.0.1 flight test engagement of SRBM Block IA • Tracked by multiple and MRBM class targets • Forward-based AN/TPY-2 sensors including FTT-12 radar in fire control loop AN/TPY-2, Beale UEWR, STSS, ABIR and NFIRE THAAD USS O’Kane Unexpected Energetic SM-3 IA Event Intercept Approved for Public Release 12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 8
  • 9.
    International Cooperation – Last Year’s Accomplishments – U.S.-Poland U.S.-Turkey Spain agrees to host BMD Agreement BMD Agreement U.S. Aegis BMD Ships Spanish Prime Minister Zapatero U.S. Secretary of State Clinton President Barack Obama NATO Secretary General Rasmussen Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan U.S. Defense Secretary Panetta September 2011 September 2011 October 2011 UAE THAAD Foreign U.S.-Romania Joint U.S.- Israel Arrow Military Sales Case BMD Agreement Weapon System Flight Tests U.S. Secretary of State Clinton Romanian Foreign Minister Baconschi December 2011 December 2011 Arrow 3 – 2nd QTR FY12 Approved for Public Release Arrow Block 4 – 2nd QTR FY12 12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 9
  • 10.
    This Year’s Focus – Reliability And Testing – Ground-based Midcourse Defense Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense FTM-16 E2a FTM-18 Reliability 3QFY12 3QFY12 FTM-19 4QFY12 GM CTV-01 FTG-06b SM-3 IB Testing Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 10
  • 11.
    Flight Test Integrated(FTI-01) BMD Demonstrate regional BMDS OPIR Participation Target 1 ability to defend against a raid of STSS Stereo Collect E-LRALT up to five simultaneous threats in MRBM an operationally relevant Hickam CENTCOM scenario UTCO / ADAFCO (Upper/Lower Tier Coord) Wake Island Roi AEGIS 3.6.1 Engages SRBM (ARAV-B) BMD Target 2: and Air Breather (BQM-74) ARAV-B AN/TPY-2 SRBM Forward Based Mode (Cueing Sensor) Omelek BMD Target 3: FMA Sea Launch Meck SRBM Reagan Test Site Patriot: Engage Kwajalein Atoll THAAD: Engage SRBM (FMA) and/or Target 4:BQM-74 Target 5: MQM-107 Air Breather (MQM-107) MRBM (E-LRALT) Air Launch Launch from Roi or SRBM (FMA) FTI-01 Largest Integrated Live Fire Missile Defense Test in History Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 11
  • 12.
    Flight Test Maritime(FTM-15) – Enabled By Remote Sensing – FTM-15 April 2011 Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 12
  • 13.
    Networked Remote Sensing Networked Remote Sensors Improved Track Quality Data Data Fusion Aegis Data Position Track THAAD Time System Data Wide Track Threat Missile Patriot Launch • Expands Battle Space - Organic - Launch on Remote - Engage on Remote • Increases Raid Size Capacity - 2-10 Times Approved for Public Release 12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12) ncr-114060 / 021512 13
  • 14.
    Future Developments – PTSS And SM-3 Block IIB – Precision Tracking Space System Standard Missile-3 Block IIB - Persistent, precision missile tracking - Engages ICBMs early in flight as first tier - Any networked shooter for Homeland of layered defense Homeland defense and Regional defense - Expands battle space against MRBMs - Pre-positioning, indications & warning, and IRBMs and host nation agreements not needed - Cost-effective shot firing doctrine PTSS SM-3 IIB Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 14
  • 15.
    Integrated Nature OfBallistic Missile Defense Combatant Commands Military Services Approved for Public Release 12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12) International Partners 15
  • 16.
    Approved for PublicRelease 12-MDA-6631 (21 March 12) 16