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Ian Trehearne
Berwin Leighton Paisner
Cities – by 2050

 •  63-90% by region of the global population will be
     urban
 •  93% of total growth will happen in the developing
     world
 •  A large proportion of growth will be in midsize or
     smaller cities (1.5-5m)
 •  590m people will be living in cities in India by 2030 –
     up from 340m in 2008
 •  800m people live in slums now

www.blplaw.com Page 2 © Berwin Leighton Paisner
Sarah Elliott
         Jonathan Rose

       3 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
          Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Westfield Shopping Center
Global Cities Initiative

Million+ cities today




             336
           cities worldwide with more than 1 million residents




                                                                 4
Global Cities Initiative

 population
                 7bn                environment         sense of place   40
                                                                         number of years that the current oil
                                                                         supply can support the world’s energy
                                                                         needs.



                                                                         2°F
                                                                         average increase in global temperature
                                                                         over the past century.




$1.6 trillion
estimated cost to fix aging infrastructure in the US.

                                                        transport +      energy +
                                                        infrastructure   resources

City challenges: a changing landscape

                                                                                                                  5
Global Cities Initiative

% of urban population    80%
living in slums (2005)
National average         70%



                         60%



                         50%



                         40%




                         30%



                         20%




   -2 %       -1%        0%             5%                    10%
                                                                +
                               Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020

                                                                    6
Global Cities Initiative
                     % of urban population
                     living in slums (2005)   80%
                     National average


                                              70%



                                              60%



                                              50%



                                              40%




                                              30%



                                              20%
Post Industrial Cities

                                              10%

                   Liverpool          Lodz           Austin
         Detroit      UK             Poland                          Las Vegas
          -1.3%                                     / Atlanta
                                                                        USA
                     -0.9%           -0.69%           USA                                   5%                                      10%
                                                                       3.45%
                                                      2.6%                                                                            +
  -2 %               -1%                      0%                                             Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020
   -                                                            Growing cities in mature economies

                                                                                                                                          7
Global Cities Initiative
                     % of urban population
                     living in slums (2005)   80%
                     National average


                                              70%



                                              60%

                                                                                                                         Rapidly urbanising
                                              50%                                                                         cities in emerging
                                                                                                                                  economies

                                              40%
                                                                          Delhi              Ghaziabad
                                                                          India                India
                                                                          3.48%                5.2%                             Beihai, China
                                                                                                                                   10.58%
                                              30%         Brazilia
                                                           Brazil
                                                           2.99%

                                              20%            Riyadh
                                                           Saudi Arabia
Post Industrial Cities                                        3.09%

                                              10%

                   Liverpool          Lodz           Austin
         Detroit      UK             Poland                          Las Vegas
          -1.3%                                     / Atlanta
                                                                        USA
                     -0.9%           -0.69%           USA                                   5%                                        10%
                                                                       3.45%
                                                      2.6%                                                                                +
  -2 %               -1%                      0%                                             Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020
   -                                                            Growing cities in mature economies

                                                                                                                                                8
Global Cities Initiative
                                                                                                                Rapidly urbanising
                     % of urban population                                          Lagos
                                                                Addis Ababa         Nigeria                     cities in developing
                     living in slums (2005)                      Ethiopia
                     National average
                                              80%
                                                                  3.40%
                                                                                    4.44%                       countries


                                              70%                                             Sana a
                                                                                              Yemen
                                                                                               5.0%

                                              60%
                                                                          Nairobi
                                                                          Kenya
                                                                           3.78%                                            Rapidly urbanising
                                              50%                                                                            cities in emerging
                                                                                                                                     economies

                                              40%
                                                                          Delhi                 Ghaziabad
                                                                          India                   India
                                                                          3.48%                   5.2%                             Beihai, China
                                                                                                                                      10.58%
                                              30%         Brazilia
                                                           Brazil
                                                           2.99%

                                              20%            Riyadh
                                                           Saudi Arabia
Post Industrial Cities                                        3.09%

                                              10%

                   Liverpool          Lodz           Austin
         Detroit      UK             Poland                          Las Vegas
          -1.3%                                     / Atlanta
                                                                        USA
                     -0.9%           -0.69%           USA                                     5%                                         10%
                                                                       3.45%
                                                      2.6%                                                                                   +
  -2 %               -1%                      0%                                                Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020
   -                                                            Growing cities in mature economies

                                                                                                                                                   9
Global Cities Initiative
Right to the City




                            10
Global Cities Initiative
Right to the City




Participatory Rights

                            11
Jonathan Rose




Sports Infrastructure and long term city making
   12   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
13   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
14   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
15   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
2012               >>   2030
16   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
2012 Olympic inheritance




  17   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Open space and parklands

and parklands




  18   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Water city

and parklands




   19   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Connections

and parklands




  20   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Neighbourhoods




  21   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
2011-2012




  22   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
23   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
24   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
City connection




  25   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
26   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Pedestrian routes




   27   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Compact masterplan




  28   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Programme
Compact masterplan




  29   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Singapore National Day Parade
                       parade




  30   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
31   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
City connection




  32   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Lagoon




  33   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
34   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
2016 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
   35
2018 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
   36
2030 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
   37
Common domain




  38   Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
Mukhtiar Tanda
Berwin Leighton Paisner
www.blplaw.com Page 40 © Berwin Leighton Paisner
Global Infrastructure Leadership
Conference


Rosemary Feenan
Global Research Programmes Director
22nd February 2012
Where is the money going?
Top 30 cities for direct commercial real estate investment, 2010 – 2011*

       Top 10             US$ bill               11-20          US$ bill             21-30           US$ bill

1.      London                       43   11.     Los Angeles        10         21.  Melbourne              5

2.      Tokyo                        32   12.     Beijing             8         22.  Berlin                 5

3.      New York                     27   13. San Francisco           8         23.  Calgary                5

4.      Hong Kong                    18   14.  Chicago                7         24. Rio de Janeiro          5

5.      Paris                        18   15.  Taipei                 7         25. San Diego               5

6.      Singapore                    15   16.  Sydney                 7         26.  Hamburg                4

7.      Washington DC                13   17.  Stockholm              6         27.  Munich                 4

8.      Seoul                        12   18.  Boston                 6         28.  Miami                  4

9.      Toronto                      10   19.  Moscow                 6         29. São Paulo               4

10.     Shanghai                     10   20.  Frankfurt              5         30. Manchester              4

* 2011 – Q1-Q3
                              Europe
Investment volumes in US$ billions
Source: Jones Lang LaSalle
                                                  Americas            Asia Pacific
Sustainable Cities and Investment Patterns
Green City Index v Investment Volumes

                                                                                                London
  R/E Investment Volumes 2008-2011 / Total GDP




                                                                                                                             Oslo
                                                                                                                                    Stockholm
                                                                                                                    Helsinki          Copenhagen


                                                                                       Warsaw
                                                                                                            Paris   Berlin
                                                                                                                             Amsterdam
                                                                                                   Madrid
                                                               Prague       Budapest                                     Vienna
                                                                                            Rome         Brussels
                                                 Bucharest                                                              Zurich
                                                                             Dublin
                                                                   Athens         Lisbon
                                                    Istanbul



 Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle, Siemens                                   Siemens Green City Index

Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle, Siemens

                                                                                                                                                   43

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BLP Cities

  • 2. Cities – by 2050 •  63-90% by region of the global population will be urban •  93% of total growth will happen in the developing world •  A large proportion of growth will be in midsize or smaller cities (1.5-5m) •  590m people will be living in cities in India by 2030 – up from 340m in 2008 •  800m people live in slums now www.blplaw.com Page 2 © Berwin Leighton Paisner
  • 3. Sarah Elliott Jonathan Rose 3 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation Global DP+E ExCom Presentation Westfield Shopping Center
  • 4. Global Cities Initiative Million+ cities today 336 cities worldwide with more than 1 million residents 4
  • 5. Global Cities Initiative population 7bn environment sense of place 40 number of years that the current oil supply can support the world’s energy needs. 2°F average increase in global temperature over the past century. $1.6 trillion estimated cost to fix aging infrastructure in the US. transport + energy + infrastructure resources City challenges: a changing landscape 5
  • 6. Global Cities Initiative % of urban population 80% living in slums (2005) National average 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% -2 % -1% 0% 5% 10% + Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 6
  • 7. Global Cities Initiative % of urban population living in slums (2005) 80% National average 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Post Industrial Cities 10% Liverpool Lodz Austin Detroit UK Poland Las Vegas -1.3% / Atlanta USA -0.9% -0.69% USA 5% 10% 3.45% 2.6% + -2 % -1% 0% Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 - Growing cities in mature economies 7
  • 8. Global Cities Initiative % of urban population living in slums (2005) 80% National average 70% 60% Rapidly urbanising 50% cities in emerging economies 40% Delhi Ghaziabad India India 3.48% 5.2% Beihai, China 10.58% 30% Brazilia Brazil 2.99% 20% Riyadh Saudi Arabia Post Industrial Cities 3.09% 10% Liverpool Lodz Austin Detroit UK Poland Las Vegas -1.3% / Atlanta USA -0.9% -0.69% USA 5% 10% 3.45% 2.6% + -2 % -1% 0% Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 - Growing cities in mature economies 8
  • 9. Global Cities Initiative Rapidly urbanising % of urban population Lagos Addis Ababa Nigeria cities in developing living in slums (2005) Ethiopia National average 80% 3.40% 4.44% countries 70% Sana a Yemen 5.0% 60% Nairobi Kenya 3.78% Rapidly urbanising 50% cities in emerging economies 40% Delhi Ghaziabad India India 3.48% 5.2% Beihai, China 10.58% 30% Brazilia Brazil 2.99% 20% Riyadh Saudi Arabia Post Industrial Cities 3.09% 10% Liverpool Lodz Austin Detroit UK Poland Las Vegas -1.3% / Atlanta USA -0.9% -0.69% USA 5% 10% 3.45% 2.6% + -2 % -1% 0% Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 - Growing cities in mature economies 9
  • 11. Global Cities Initiative Right to the City Participatory Rights 11
  • 12. Jonathan Rose Sports Infrastructure and long term city making 12 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 13. 13 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 14. 14 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 15. 15 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 16. 2012 >> 2030 16 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 17. 2012 Olympic inheritance 17 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 18. Open space and parklands and parklands 18 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 19. Water city and parklands 19 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 20. Connections and parklands 20 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 21. Neighbourhoods 21 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 22. 2011-2012 22 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 23. 23 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 24. 24 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 25. City connection 25 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 26. 26 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 27. Pedestrian routes 27 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 28. Compact masterplan 28 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 29. Programme Compact masterplan 29 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 30. Singapore National Day Parade parade 30 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 31. 31 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 32. City connection 32 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 33. Lagoon 33 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 34. 34 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 35. 2016 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation 35
  • 36. 2018 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation 36
  • 37. 2030 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation 37
  • 38. Common domain 38 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation
  • 40. www.blplaw.com Page 40 © Berwin Leighton Paisner
  • 41. Global Infrastructure Leadership Conference Rosemary Feenan Global Research Programmes Director 22nd February 2012
  • 42. Where is the money going? Top 30 cities for direct commercial real estate investment, 2010 – 2011* Top 10 US$ bill 11-20 US$ bill 21-30 US$ bill 1.  London 43 11.  Los Angeles 10 21.  Melbourne 5 2.  Tokyo 32 12.  Beijing 8 22.  Berlin 5 3.  New York 27 13. San Francisco 8 23.  Calgary 5 4.  Hong Kong 18 14.  Chicago 7 24. Rio de Janeiro 5 5.  Paris 18 15.  Taipei 7 25. San Diego 5 6.  Singapore 15 16.  Sydney 7 26.  Hamburg 4 7.  Washington DC 13 17.  Stockholm 6 27.  Munich 4 8.  Seoul 12 18.  Boston 6 28.  Miami 4 9.  Toronto 10 19.  Moscow 6 29. São Paulo 4 10.  Shanghai 10 20.  Frankfurt 5 30. Manchester 4 * 2011 – Q1-Q3 Europe Investment volumes in US$ billions Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Americas Asia Pacific
  • 43. Sustainable Cities and Investment Patterns Green City Index v Investment Volumes London R/E Investment Volumes 2008-2011 / Total GDP Oslo Stockholm Helsinki Copenhagen Warsaw Paris Berlin Amsterdam Madrid Prague Budapest Vienna Rome Brussels Bucharest Zurich Dublin Athens Lisbon Istanbul Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle, Siemens Siemens Green City Index Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle, Siemens 43