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HOLDING THE FORT: NONPROFIT
   EMPLOYMENT DURING A
    DECADE OF TURMOIL

         S. Wojciech Sokolowski
        Johns Hopkins University



           March 28, 2012
MAJOR NATIONAL DATA SOURCES
               ON NONPROFIT INSTITUTIONS




ECONOMIC CENSUS
IRS ADMINISTRATIVE DATA:
 EOMF
 FORM 990 RETURNS

QUARTERLY CENSUS OF EMPLOYMENT AND
WAGES (QCEW)
OUR DATA ASSEMBLY STRATEGY



   QCEW             IRS
MICRODATA         RECORDS




    NONPROFIT ECONOMIC
        DATA (NED)
KEY FINDINGS


1. MAJOR EMPLOYER
2. SIGNIFICANT SERVICE PROVIDER
3. DYNAMICALLY GROWING
4. RESILIENT IN RECESSION
5. FACING FOR-PROFIT COMPETITION
FINDING #1



MAJOR EMPLOYER
 10.7 million employees
10.1% of pvt employment
EMPLOYMENT IN THE NONPROFIT SECTOR
                VS. SELECTED INDUSTRIES, 2010

             Retail trade                                                        14.5

         Manufacturing                                                    11.5

  NONPROFIT SECTOR*                                                     10.7

           Construction                           5.5

   Finance & insurance                            5.5

       Wholesale trade                            5.5

         Transportation                     3.9

             Real estate              1.9

             Agriculture          1.1

                    Mining      0.7

                    Utilities   0.6
                                                  millions of persons
*50 states and DC
NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT AS A SHARE OF
                  PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT, BY REGION, 2010




N=10.7 million
FINDING #2



SIGNIFICANT
  SERVICE
 PROVIDER
NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT 45 STATES
                            AND DC, BY FIELD, 2010

                     Civic       Other, 4%    Professional
                 associations,                services, 2%
                      7%

                 Arts, 3%

                                              Education,
                                                 15%
                          Social
                        assistance,                   Ambulatory
                            13%                       health, 9%
                       Nursing
                       homes,
                        11%              Hospitals,
                                           37%                     Health 57%


N=10.7 million
NONPROFIT SHARE OF PRIVATE
                         EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2010

           EDUCATION                                            64%

    SOCIAL ASSISTANCE                                     54%

           ALL HEALTH                             43%

            Hospitals                                                 84%

        Nursing homes                       36%

          Ambulatory          16%

       OTHER SERVICES         16%

                 ARTS        14%

PROFESSIONAL SERVICES   3%

                               Percent of private employment
FINDING #3




DYNAMICALLY
  GROWING
ANNUAL AVERAGE EMPLOYMENT
    CHANGE, NONPROFIT VS. FOR-
         PROFIT, 2000-2010


2.1%
              Nonprofit


              For-profit




             -0.6%
ANNUAL CHANGES IN EMPLOYMENT
                                                  NONPROFIT VS. FOR-PROFIT, 2000-2010

                 2000-          2001-          2002-          2003-       2004-     2005-    2006-         2007-          2008-          2009-
                 2001           2002           2003           2004        2005      2006     2007          2008           2009           2010
                 3.3%


                                2.8%




                                                                                                           2.6%
                                                                                             2.5%
percent change




                                                                                      2.2%
                                                                          2.0%
                                                                          1.9%




                                                                                    1.9%
                                                                 1.8%
                                               1.6%




                                                              1.3%




                                                                                                                          1.2%
                                                                                                    1.0%




                                                                                                                                         0.8%
                        -1.0%




                                                                                                                  -1.1%
                                                      -0.6%
                                       -1.9%




                                                                                                                                                -0.9%
                                                                        Nonprofit      For-profit




                                                                                                                                 -6.2%
AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGES IN
            NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT, BY REGION,
                        2000-2010
          Region     Nonprofit    For-profit

Mountain                  3.40%           0.30%

South Atlantic            2.60%           -0.50%

Pacific                   2.10%           0.30%

New England               1.90%           -0.90%

West North Central        1.80%           -0.20%

Middle Atlantic           1.70%           -0.70%

East North Central        1.70%           -1.50%

West South Central        1.60%           -0.10%

East South Central        1.50%           -0.80%

USA*                      2.10%          -0.60%    *45 states
                                                   and DC
ANNUAL AVERAGE CHANGE IN NONPROFIT
                       EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2000-2010


           EDUCATION                                    2.6%

    SOCIAL ASSISTANCE                            2.2%

           ALL HEALTH                      2.0%

              Hospitals                   1.8%

        Nursing homes              1.3%

       Ambulatory care                                         3.8%

      OTHER SERVICES           1.2%

                 ARTS                                   2.7%

PROFESSIONAL SERVICES       0.9%
FINDING #4




RESILIENT IN
RECESSION
CHANGES IN EMPLOYMENT DURING THE
           BUSINESS CYCLE, NONPROFIT VS. FOR-
                         PROFIT,
                    45 STATES AND DC
2002-2007 expansion*   2007-2009 recession*


  2.0%                   1.9%

              1.1%




                                              Nonprofit

                                              For-Profit




* Annual averages                  -3.7%
AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGE IN NONPROFIT
                    EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2007-2009


           EDUCATION                        2.3%

    SOCIAL ASSISTANCE             1.5%

           ALL HEALTH                    2.0%

            Hospitals            1.4%

       Nursing homes           1.3%

      Ambulatory care                                     3.7%

       OTHER SERVICES   0.1%

                ARTS                               3.1%

PROFESSIONAL SERVICES                      2.2%
FINDING #5



FACING FOR-
  PROFIT
COMPETITION
ANNUAL AVERAGE EMPLOYMENT
                         CHANGE, NONPROFIT VS. FOR-
                              PROFIT, 2000-2010

        EDUCATION                         2.6%
                                                        4.4%
                                     2.2%
   SOCIAL ASSISTANCE                                           5.4%

        ALL HEALTH                 2.0%
                                          2.8%
                                   1.8%
            Hospitals    0.8%
                            1.3%
        Nursing homes                 2.3%
                                                     3.8%
       Ambulatory care                           3.3%
                                                                      Nonprofit
                            1.2%
      OTHER SERVICES     0.3%                                         For-Profit
                                          2.7%
             ARTS        0.1%
                          0.9%
PROFESSIONAL SERVICES     0.9%
NET CHANGES IN NONPROFIT SHARES OF
                      PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2000-
                                     2010

EDUCATION (67.5%)                       -3.9%

SOCIAL ASSISTANCE (61.6%)       -7.4%

ALL HEALTH (45.2%)                               -2.0%

      Hospitals (82.6%)                                       1.5%

      Nursing homes (38.5%)                     -2.2%

      Ambulatory care (15.2%)                                  0.7%

OTHER SERVICES (14.9%)                                       1.2%

ARTS (11.1%)                                                          2.8%

PROFESSIONAL SERVICES (3%)                          -0.01%
LIKELY EXPLANATIONS OF:


DYNAMISM &
RESILIENCE
•   Growth of service sector
•   Government funding
•   Demographic trends
•   Non-profit status
LIKELY EXPLANATIONS OF:


FOR-PROFIT
CHALLENGE
•   Limited access to capital
•   Higher wages and benefits
•   State government policies
•   Organizational behavior differences
THANK YOU
For more information &
  publications, visit
www.ccss.jhu.edu

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Nonprofit employment in recession

  • 1. HOLDING THE FORT: NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT DURING A DECADE OF TURMOIL S. Wojciech Sokolowski Johns Hopkins University March 28, 2012
  • 2. MAJOR NATIONAL DATA SOURCES ON NONPROFIT INSTITUTIONS ECONOMIC CENSUS IRS ADMINISTRATIVE DATA: EOMF FORM 990 RETURNS QUARTERLY CENSUS OF EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES (QCEW)
  • 3. OUR DATA ASSEMBLY STRATEGY QCEW IRS MICRODATA RECORDS NONPROFIT ECONOMIC DATA (NED)
  • 4. KEY FINDINGS 1. MAJOR EMPLOYER 2. SIGNIFICANT SERVICE PROVIDER 3. DYNAMICALLY GROWING 4. RESILIENT IN RECESSION 5. FACING FOR-PROFIT COMPETITION
  • 5. FINDING #1 MAJOR EMPLOYER 10.7 million employees 10.1% of pvt employment
  • 6. EMPLOYMENT IN THE NONPROFIT SECTOR VS. SELECTED INDUSTRIES, 2010 Retail trade 14.5 Manufacturing 11.5 NONPROFIT SECTOR* 10.7 Construction 5.5 Finance & insurance 5.5 Wholesale trade 5.5 Transportation 3.9 Real estate 1.9 Agriculture 1.1 Mining 0.7 Utilities 0.6 millions of persons *50 states and DC
  • 7. NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT AS A SHARE OF PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT, BY REGION, 2010 N=10.7 million
  • 8. FINDING #2 SIGNIFICANT SERVICE PROVIDER
  • 9. NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT 45 STATES AND DC, BY FIELD, 2010 Civic Other, 4% Professional associations, services, 2% 7% Arts, 3% Education, 15% Social assistance, Ambulatory 13% health, 9% Nursing homes, 11% Hospitals, 37% Health 57% N=10.7 million
  • 10. NONPROFIT SHARE OF PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2010 EDUCATION 64% SOCIAL ASSISTANCE 54% ALL HEALTH 43% Hospitals 84% Nursing homes 36% Ambulatory 16% OTHER SERVICES 16% ARTS 14% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 3% Percent of private employment
  • 12. ANNUAL AVERAGE EMPLOYMENT CHANGE, NONPROFIT VS. FOR- PROFIT, 2000-2010 2.1% Nonprofit For-profit -0.6%
  • 13. ANNUAL CHANGES IN EMPLOYMENT NONPROFIT VS. FOR-PROFIT, 2000-2010 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009- 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 3.3% 2.8% 2.6% 2.5% percent change 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% -1.0% -1.1% -0.6% -1.9% -0.9% Nonprofit For-profit -6.2%
  • 14. AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGES IN NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT, BY REGION, 2000-2010 Region Nonprofit For-profit Mountain 3.40% 0.30% South Atlantic 2.60% -0.50% Pacific 2.10% 0.30% New England 1.90% -0.90% West North Central 1.80% -0.20% Middle Atlantic 1.70% -0.70% East North Central 1.70% -1.50% West South Central 1.60% -0.10% East South Central 1.50% -0.80% USA* 2.10% -0.60% *45 states and DC
  • 15. ANNUAL AVERAGE CHANGE IN NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2000-2010 EDUCATION 2.6% SOCIAL ASSISTANCE 2.2% ALL HEALTH 2.0% Hospitals 1.8% Nursing homes 1.3% Ambulatory care 3.8% OTHER SERVICES 1.2% ARTS 2.7% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 0.9%
  • 17. CHANGES IN EMPLOYMENT DURING THE BUSINESS CYCLE, NONPROFIT VS. FOR- PROFIT, 45 STATES AND DC 2002-2007 expansion* 2007-2009 recession* 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% Nonprofit For-Profit * Annual averages -3.7%
  • 18. AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGE IN NONPROFIT EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2007-2009 EDUCATION 2.3% SOCIAL ASSISTANCE 1.5% ALL HEALTH 2.0% Hospitals 1.4% Nursing homes 1.3% Ambulatory care 3.7% OTHER SERVICES 0.1% ARTS 3.1% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 2.2%
  • 19. FINDING #5 FACING FOR- PROFIT COMPETITION
  • 20. ANNUAL AVERAGE EMPLOYMENT CHANGE, NONPROFIT VS. FOR- PROFIT, 2000-2010 EDUCATION 2.6% 4.4% 2.2% SOCIAL ASSISTANCE 5.4% ALL HEALTH 2.0% 2.8% 1.8% Hospitals 0.8% 1.3% Nursing homes 2.3% 3.8% Ambulatory care 3.3% Nonprofit 1.2% OTHER SERVICES 0.3% For-Profit 2.7% ARTS 0.1% 0.9% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 0.9%
  • 21. NET CHANGES IN NONPROFIT SHARES OF PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT, BY FIELD, 2000- 2010 EDUCATION (67.5%) -3.9% SOCIAL ASSISTANCE (61.6%) -7.4% ALL HEALTH (45.2%) -2.0% Hospitals (82.6%) 1.5% Nursing homes (38.5%) -2.2% Ambulatory care (15.2%) 0.7% OTHER SERVICES (14.9%) 1.2% ARTS (11.1%) 2.8% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES (3%) -0.01%
  • 22. LIKELY EXPLANATIONS OF: DYNAMISM & RESILIENCE • Growth of service sector • Government funding • Demographic trends • Non-profit status
  • 23. LIKELY EXPLANATIONS OF: FOR-PROFIT CHALLENGE • Limited access to capital • Higher wages and benefits • State government policies • Organizational behavior differences
  • 24. THANK YOU For more information & publications, visit www.ccss.jhu.edu