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Biggest LIES of
  TV Advertising
              Dr. Augustine Fou
              http://linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
              Marketing Science Consulting Group, Inc.


May 1, 2012                                              1
Executive Summary
    • The old ad-land joke about “wasting 50% of my ad dollars”
      has gone on long enough; brand advertisers should take a
      hard look at TV and hold it to the same, high standards of
      measurability and ROI as digital.

    • TV advertising may continue to be used as long as it is part
      of an overall Unified Marketing™ approach AND only if the
      main marketing problem is lack of awareness.

    • This deck will debunk the most frequently told lies about TV
      advertising and propose steps to unifying and synergizing
      TV and digital marketing, including budget reallocation.
                                 Further reading: TV Advertising Still Works, … NOT!

May 1, 2012                                                                            2
TV Advertising
 Used to Work
May 1, 2012       3
Selling Tide
                TV was great at making a lot
                of people aware of Tide …




                …by raising awareness where
                there was none, TV drove sales.
May 1, 2012                                       4
But, today, lack of
 awareness is not problem…


       … but the same blunt instrument
              is still used for everything.
May 1, 2012                                   5
We’ve known for a long time

    “I know I‟m wasting 50% of
    my ad dollars; I just don‟t
    know which half...”
                  - John Wanamaker


May 1, 2012                          6
We know it’s bad for us …
        smoker’s lungs       brain on drugs




              … and yet we continue to do it.
May 1, 2012                                     7
Busting
 the LIES
May 1, 2012   8
“TV’s got amazing reach..”
         “Using Nielsen reported numbers you get: 146.5
         hours per individual (age 2+) x 285 million
         individuals (age 2+) that watch TV = 41.8 Billion
         hours of TV watching; of which roughly 25% of the
         time is TV ads or 10.4 Billion hours of total time
         with TV ads, equivalent to some 1.2 Trillion 30
         second commercials per month).”



May 1, 2012
                                               … but,
                                                              9
But, reach is irrelevant if…
      Nielsen (Dec 2010) estimates 44% of ads are not
      skipped – i.e. 56% of ads ARE SKIPPED

      IPG/YuMe (May 2011) study found 63%     of TV
      ads are avoided or simply ignored.


              … no one saw the ads.
May 1, 2012                                             10
“People watch a LOT of TV”



              Source: Nielsen Feb 2012




May 1, 2012
                                         … but,
                                                  11
But, having the TV on…
                              Activity Engagement While TV is On
           Surf the Internet on computer                                          56%
      Read a book, magazine, newspaper                                            44%
            Go on social networking site                                          40%
                    Text on mobile phone                                          37%
                   Something else (other)                                         30%
                             Shop online                                          29%
       Surf the Internet on mobile phone                                          18%
           None (i.e. actually watch TV)
                                                                                  14%
               Surf the Internet on tablet
                                                                                  7%
                 Read a book on eReader
                                                                                  7%
         Source: Harris / Adweek June 2011   0   10   20   30      40   50   60


       … doesn’t mean they watched the ads.
May 1, 2012                                                                             12
“TV still beats Internet video”




May 1, 2012
              Source: Nielsen, Jan 2012   … but,
                                                   13
But, TV ad spending has…




                       Source: Kleiner Perkins, May 30, 2012




       … already plateaued; others have not .
May 1, 2012                                                    14
“It just works, trust us …”




                      … but,
May 1, 2012.
But, how do you know it works ...
       Traditional                              Digital
       • TV                                     •   Search
       • Print                                  •   Social
       • Radio                                  •   Mobile
                                                •   Video
         Metric:                                 Metric:
         Size of                                Actions of
        Audience     The Grand Digital Canyon     Users

           … if the metrics only tell you
                 the size of the audience.
May 1, 2012.
We’ve won awards for it




                   … but,
May 1, 2012.
But, the agency got all …
                                          By 2007, per store sales
                                          for Burger King fell
                                          behind Wendy’s.


               By 2012, Burger King fell
                 to No. 3 in overall sales.          No. 2

           … the fame and new biz.
May 1, 2012.
People love watching ads…




                     … but,
May 1, 2012                   19
But, actually they will…
                 Top Reasons for Owning/Using DVR
                Pause, Rewind, Fast…

          Recommendations: Get…
                                                               “I buy a season of
          Watch TV Shows When…
                                                               „24‟ on DVD so I
                    Skipping Ads /…
                                                               can watch 60 min
              Season Management (1…
                                                               shows in 41 mins”
                   No Tapes (VCR)

                                     0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
                         Source: Online Poll April 2012




    … skip them if they could.
May 1, 2012                                                                         20
Ads are engaging …
 Users trust us …
 TV ads are for branding…

                      … but,
May 1, 2012                    21
Telling users about an experience




         … is not the same as experiencing it.
May 1, 2012                                      22
Users trust peers the most…




May 1, 2012
              … and TV ads the least.
                                        23
TV ads are like …
 “Homeless Marketing”




        … because, at best, you get a glance.
May 1, 2012                                     24
The “Fiat500Co” (fiasco)
       “the jlo ad”



                      “Fiat, who?”
May 1, 2012                          25
Can you name the company




              Hint: they are ALL 2012 Superbowl ads



May 1, 2012
              …behind these ads?
                                                      26
$10 billion of TV ads …
 1988: 50.4M barrels
                                   2001: 33.4M barrels



                                                2010: $555 million ad spend

                1996
         “bud”-”why”-”zer”

                                   1999
                             “whassssuuuuup?”
                                                         2012: 17.7M barrels

              …could not save Budweiser.
May 1, 2012                                                                    27
Cost-Benefit Analysis…
              Television                         Online Video                                DVDs
                                      32% ads
                                                         1.5%      ads                          0%    ads



                    68%                                       98.5%                               100%


       Content: Free                              Content: Free                       Content: $40
       Time Cost: 19 mins                         Time Cost: 1.5%                     Time Cost: 456 ad
       of ads per 60 mins                         time spent on ads                   mins saved (19 mins x
                                                                                      24 episodes)
         Source: eMarketer Dec 2010             Source: MarketingCharts, April 2012   Source: Google Shopping, May 2012




                … what’s your time worth?
May 1, 2012                                                                                                               28
Users have evolved …
                    PUSH                              PULL
              •   Direct marketing          People ignore “interruption media” and
              •   Email marketing           only pay attention to information they are
              •   Online marketing          seeking. (“Purple Cow” by Seth Godin)
              •   Sports marketing
              •   Word of mouth marketing
              •   Guerrilla marketing
              •   Blog marketing
              •   Event marketing
              •   Product placement
              •   In-game marketing
              •   Sponsorships


   Advertisers push message out             Users do their own research

May 1, 2012                                                                              29
Advertisers can no longer…




    … just shout their ads at people.
May 1, 2012                             30
Empowered customers…
         • Research products online

         • Find information via search

         • Trust peers most

                         Source: Forrester Research Q3 2010
May 1, 2012                                               31
Paid ads are over …
    TV Advertising


    “it’s over after it’s aired”
     Even Superbowl ads stimulate only
     fleeting recall – of the top 100 daily
     Google searches how many were
     related to Superbowl ads?:
       • Feb 1: 20 of 100
       • Feb 2: 6 of 100
       • Feb 3: 1 of 100
       • Feb 4: ZERO of 100 (forgotten by day 4)


                  … when the media buy ends.
March 29, 2012.                                    32
Make the
 Televigital
 Transition
May 1, 2012    33
Televigital Transition
       • Understand your customers’ missing links (most of
         them may already be aware of your brand); they
         need other information to take action

       • More transparency and accountability; count and
         measure what matters – viewed ads not aired ads

       • If you must still do the “pitching” via TV ads, be
         sure to do the “catching” in digital channels when
         modern users come online to research further.

May 1, 2012                                                   34
Next steps
      • Missing Link analysis – what are the bits of
        information your customers need to move
        expeditiously towards the purchase?
                       Further reading: http://mktsci.com/missing-link-marketing.htm


      • Unified Marketing™ Framework – map your
        current advertising and marketing tactics to
        detect redundancies or gaps in spending.
                       Further reading: Unified Marketing http://bit.ly/mQfPXU



May 1, 2012                                                                            35
Dr. Augustine Fou – Chief Digital Strategist
    Dr. Augustine Fou is an advisor on digital strategy
    and social media marketing, with over 16 years of
    in-the-trenches, hands-on experience. He provides
    client executives with objective, in-depth
    assessments of their current marketing programs
    and recommendations for improving business
    impact and ROI with digital insights.

    Dr. Fou was the former Group Chief Digital Officer of
    Omnicom's Healthcare Consultancy Group. He is also an
    Adjunct Professor at NYU in the School for Continuing and
    Professional Studies and at Rutgers University at the Center
    for Management Development, where he teaches courses on
    digital strategy, social media marketing to executives. He is a
    frequent panelist, moderator, and keynote speaker.

    Dr. Fou completed his PhD at MIT at the age of 23. He started
    his career with McKinsey & Company. He writes a monthly
    column on Integrated Marketing for ClickZ.com, and can be
    found on Twitter.com @acfou.


May 1, 2012                                                           acfou@mktsci.com   36

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Biggest Lies about TV Advertising by Augustine Fou

  • 1. Biggest LIES of TV Advertising Dr. Augustine Fou http://linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Marketing Science Consulting Group, Inc. May 1, 2012 1
  • 2. Executive Summary • The old ad-land joke about “wasting 50% of my ad dollars” has gone on long enough; brand advertisers should take a hard look at TV and hold it to the same, high standards of measurability and ROI as digital. • TV advertising may continue to be used as long as it is part of an overall Unified Marketing™ approach AND only if the main marketing problem is lack of awareness. • This deck will debunk the most frequently told lies about TV advertising and propose steps to unifying and synergizing TV and digital marketing, including budget reallocation. Further reading: TV Advertising Still Works, … NOT! May 1, 2012 2
  • 3. TV Advertising Used to Work May 1, 2012 3
  • 4. Selling Tide TV was great at making a lot of people aware of Tide … …by raising awareness where there was none, TV drove sales. May 1, 2012 4
  • 5. But, today, lack of awareness is not problem… … but the same blunt instrument is still used for everything. May 1, 2012 5
  • 6. We’ve known for a long time “I know I‟m wasting 50% of my ad dollars; I just don‟t know which half...” - John Wanamaker May 1, 2012 6
  • 7. We know it’s bad for us … smoker’s lungs brain on drugs … and yet we continue to do it. May 1, 2012 7
  • 9. “TV’s got amazing reach..” “Using Nielsen reported numbers you get: 146.5 hours per individual (age 2+) x 285 million individuals (age 2+) that watch TV = 41.8 Billion hours of TV watching; of which roughly 25% of the time is TV ads or 10.4 Billion hours of total time with TV ads, equivalent to some 1.2 Trillion 30 second commercials per month).” May 1, 2012 … but, 9
  • 10. But, reach is irrelevant if… Nielsen (Dec 2010) estimates 44% of ads are not skipped – i.e. 56% of ads ARE SKIPPED IPG/YuMe (May 2011) study found 63% of TV ads are avoided or simply ignored. … no one saw the ads. May 1, 2012 10
  • 11. “People watch a LOT of TV” Source: Nielsen Feb 2012 May 1, 2012 … but, 11
  • 12. But, having the TV on… Activity Engagement While TV is On Surf the Internet on computer 56% Read a book, magazine, newspaper 44% Go on social networking site 40% Text on mobile phone 37% Something else (other) 30% Shop online 29% Surf the Internet on mobile phone 18% None (i.e. actually watch TV) 14% Surf the Internet on tablet 7% Read a book on eReader 7% Source: Harris / Adweek June 2011 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 … doesn’t mean they watched the ads. May 1, 2012 12
  • 13. “TV still beats Internet video” May 1, 2012 Source: Nielsen, Jan 2012 … but, 13
  • 14. But, TV ad spending has… Source: Kleiner Perkins, May 30, 2012 … already plateaued; others have not . May 1, 2012 14
  • 15. “It just works, trust us …” … but, May 1, 2012.
  • 16. But, how do you know it works ... Traditional Digital • TV • Search • Print • Social • Radio • Mobile • Video Metric: Metric: Size of Actions of Audience The Grand Digital Canyon Users … if the metrics only tell you the size of the audience. May 1, 2012.
  • 17. We’ve won awards for it … but, May 1, 2012.
  • 18. But, the agency got all … By 2007, per store sales for Burger King fell behind Wendy’s. By 2012, Burger King fell to No. 3 in overall sales. No. 2 … the fame and new biz. May 1, 2012.
  • 19. People love watching ads… … but, May 1, 2012 19
  • 20. But, actually they will… Top Reasons for Owning/Using DVR Pause, Rewind, Fast… Recommendations: Get… “I buy a season of Watch TV Shows When… „24‟ on DVD so I Skipping Ads /… can watch 60 min Season Management (1… shows in 41 mins” No Tapes (VCR) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Online Poll April 2012 … skip them if they could. May 1, 2012 20
  • 21. Ads are engaging … Users trust us … TV ads are for branding… … but, May 1, 2012 21
  • 22. Telling users about an experience … is not the same as experiencing it. May 1, 2012 22
  • 23. Users trust peers the most… May 1, 2012 … and TV ads the least. 23
  • 24. TV ads are like … “Homeless Marketing” … because, at best, you get a glance. May 1, 2012 24
  • 25. The “Fiat500Co” (fiasco) “the jlo ad” “Fiat, who?” May 1, 2012 25
  • 26. Can you name the company Hint: they are ALL 2012 Superbowl ads May 1, 2012 …behind these ads? 26
  • 27. $10 billion of TV ads … 1988: 50.4M barrels 2001: 33.4M barrels 2010: $555 million ad spend 1996 “bud”-”why”-”zer” 1999 “whassssuuuuup?” 2012: 17.7M barrels …could not save Budweiser. May 1, 2012 27
  • 28. Cost-Benefit Analysis… Television Online Video DVDs 32% ads 1.5% ads 0% ads 68% 98.5% 100% Content: Free Content: Free Content: $40 Time Cost: 19 mins Time Cost: 1.5% Time Cost: 456 ad of ads per 60 mins time spent on ads mins saved (19 mins x 24 episodes) Source: eMarketer Dec 2010 Source: MarketingCharts, April 2012 Source: Google Shopping, May 2012 … what’s your time worth? May 1, 2012 28
  • 29. Users have evolved … PUSH PULL • Direct marketing People ignore “interruption media” and • Email marketing only pay attention to information they are • Online marketing seeking. (“Purple Cow” by Seth Godin) • Sports marketing • Word of mouth marketing • Guerrilla marketing • Blog marketing • Event marketing • Product placement • In-game marketing • Sponsorships Advertisers push message out Users do their own research May 1, 2012 29
  • 30. Advertisers can no longer… … just shout their ads at people. May 1, 2012 30
  • 31. Empowered customers… • Research products online • Find information via search • Trust peers most Source: Forrester Research Q3 2010 May 1, 2012 31
  • 32. Paid ads are over … TV Advertising “it’s over after it’s aired” Even Superbowl ads stimulate only fleeting recall – of the top 100 daily Google searches how many were related to Superbowl ads?: • Feb 1: 20 of 100 • Feb 2: 6 of 100 • Feb 3: 1 of 100 • Feb 4: ZERO of 100 (forgotten by day 4) … when the media buy ends. March 29, 2012. 32
  • 33. Make the Televigital Transition May 1, 2012 33
  • 34. Televigital Transition • Understand your customers’ missing links (most of them may already be aware of your brand); they need other information to take action • More transparency and accountability; count and measure what matters – viewed ads not aired ads • If you must still do the “pitching” via TV ads, be sure to do the “catching” in digital channels when modern users come online to research further. May 1, 2012 34
  • 35. Next steps • Missing Link analysis – what are the bits of information your customers need to move expeditiously towards the purchase? Further reading: http://mktsci.com/missing-link-marketing.htm • Unified Marketing™ Framework – map your current advertising and marketing tactics to detect redundancies or gaps in spending. Further reading: Unified Marketing http://bit.ly/mQfPXU May 1, 2012 35
  • 36. Dr. Augustine Fou – Chief Digital Strategist Dr. Augustine Fou is an advisor on digital strategy and social media marketing, with over 16 years of in-the-trenches, hands-on experience. He provides client executives with objective, in-depth assessments of their current marketing programs and recommendations for improving business impact and ROI with digital insights. Dr. Fou was the former Group Chief Digital Officer of Omnicom's Healthcare Consultancy Group. He is also an Adjunct Professor at NYU in the School for Continuing and Professional Studies and at Rutgers University at the Center for Management Development, where he teaches courses on digital strategy, social media marketing to executives. He is a frequent panelist, moderator, and keynote speaker. Dr. Fou completed his PhD at MIT at the age of 23. He started his career with McKinsey & Company. He writes a monthly column on Integrated Marketing for ClickZ.com, and can be found on Twitter.com @acfou. May 1, 2012 acfou@mktsci.com 36