Beyond Physical Risk: A Toolkit for Integrated Risk Assessment

1. Beyond Physical Risk: A Toolkit for Integrated Risk Assessment
Dr. Christopher G. Burton, Dr. BijanKhazai, Dr. James Daniell, Johannes Anhorn, SevgiOzcebe, Christopher Power
June 30, 2014 –Understanding Risk, London

3. Ozcebe, Crowley, and Burton 2014
Physical Risk
Social Vulnerability
Integrated Risk

4. Physical Seismic Risk
Social Vulnerability
Integrated Risk
Burton and Silva 2014

5. How to represent concepts of social vulnerability and integrated risk?
Data

7. Social and Economic Vulnerability Database
Socio- Economic Database
Statistical Approach
ExpertOpinion Approach
Correlations
Analysis
Completeness
Consultation
Pre-PCA data Processing
Principal Components Analysis
Social and Economic Vulnerability Database
Power et al. 2014

8. Linking Users to the Social and Economic Vulnerability Database

9. Geographically smallcountries with rapid GDP growth (3.6 –6.3%)contain a high percentage of foreigners.
Social Vulnerability Data Analysis
The complex relationship between urbanization and poverty
Power et al. 2014
Power et al. 2014

10. 10
CEDIM – Karlsruhe Institute of Technology GEM – Global Earthquake Model SAI – Heidelberg University
How can we operationalizeconcepts of social vulnerability and integrated risk?
Open-Source Tool Development

11. Integrated Risk Modeling Toolkit: User Data Inputs

12. Integrated Risk Modeling Toolkit: Stakeholder Derived Weighting

13. Integrated Risk Modeling Toolkit: Risk Integration

14. Integrated Risk Modeling Toolkit: Risk Aggregation

15. SVIR Data Viewer

16. Title of slide image can go here
Localize
Assess
Make Decisions
Monitor Output
Self-evaluation Tool for Earthquake Resilience
Anhorn, Khazai, and Burton 2014

18. Adapt
Cope
Trans- form
Key Dimensions of Urban Resilience
Anhorn, Khazai, and Burton 2014

19. Yes
Strong
Excellent
Good
Weak
No
Anhorn, Khazai, and Burton 2014

20. City Level
Sub-City Level
Awareness & Advocacy
Social Capacity
Legal and Institutional
Planning and Regulation
Critical Infrastructure and Services
Emergency Preparedness & Response
Anhorn, Khazai, and Burton 2014

21. Identifying the gaps: What areas can be Improved?
Anhorn, Khazai, and Burton 2014

22. Dr. Christopher G. Burton
christopher.burton@globalquakemodel.org
+39-0382-5169898
Dr. BijanKhazai
khazai@kit.edu
Tel.:+49 -721-608 44442
Questions

23. Except where otherwise noted, thiswork is licensed under:
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Please attribute to the GEM Foundation with a link to - www.globalearthquakemodel.org