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INFORMATION SYSTEMS
Behavioral Decision Theory
Alphonzo A. Wright III
Trident University International
BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY
The behavioral decision theory is concerned with identifying the values, uncertainties and
ther issues relevant in given decision, its rationality and the optimal decision results. The major
problem with the old views of decision making is that it assumes that decision makers have
mental capacities for analysis and evaluation that vastly exceed those actually possessed by
people. The central ideas of behavioral decision theory recognize decision making is often
dominated by non-rational, social, and political processes. Decision makers must actually settle
for something less than an ideal solution. (Higgins, 1991)
Bounded rationally is a notion developed in response to the complexity of most real-
world problems and the impossibility of actually implementing the classical theory approach to
rational decision making. (Trist, 1981) The principal of bounded rationality posits that the
human mind lacks the capacity for formulating and solving complex issues whose solution is
required for objectively rational behavior in the real world, furthermore, bounded rationality
implies decisions will always be based upon an incomplete and considerably short knowledge of
the situation. Decision makers will never be able to produce all possible alternatives and
alternatives will always be evaluated faultily since it is impossible to for see and predict all
outcomes associated with each alternative. Finally, the ultimate decision regarding which
alternative to choose must be based on some criteria other than maximization or optimizing,
since it is impossible to ever determine which alternative is the optimal one. (Arnold, 1986)
Satisficing states if everyone in every organization were completely rational, individuals
and organizations would always make the best possible decision. The problems of organizing
and managing organizations effectively would not exsist as a result, however, people are not
always completely rational. Given real-world situations, how can individuals go about
determining which alternative to choose when faced with decisions? Simon (1976) has advised
that the key to understanding how people actually go about simplifying complicated decisions
lies in the concept of satisficing. The benefit of satisficing as a base for decision making is
apparent. (Arnold, 1986) It does not require a decision maker to form a potentially limitless of
alternatives. Secondly, it recognizes the bounded rationality of human beings. Finally, it seems to
provide a realistic description of how people go about making decisions.
The time, effort and expense that must go into the process of producing and evaluating
alternatives, satisficing keeps the decision- making process within manageable bound an stops
the process when an acceptable solution has been identified. The behavioral model is based on
the following presumptions. (Higgins 1991): Objectives are often vague and not agreed upon,
Managers may not recognize that a problem exists, and managers may not go through the
identification process and as a result solve the problem inaccurately. Lastly, decision makers and
problem solvers solve models of their environment.
The models never enclose all the shifting facts or relationships involved in the actual
problem. Furthermore, if and when rationality is applied, it’s applied only to a part of the total
problem. Only a few of the possible alternatives are considered. The decision maker’s
knowledge of the situation is usually limited. As an importance of bounded rationality, few
managers search to generate the best possible alternative. Managers analyze decisions on rules
hastily and frequently that they wouldn’t even evaluate alternatives according to criteria. Past
experience is often the basis for making decisions. The decision-making process is enormously
affected by social-relationships, especially in the higher levels of the management. The decision
makers must gain the support of commanding individuals and various associations to assure that
their solutions are chosen and put into action. At last, decisions often occur in small steps. There
are few great leaps, especially in large managements.
References
Arnold, Hugh J. and Daniel C. Feldman. Organizational Behavior (McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1986).
Barker, Larry L, Donald J. Cegala, Robert J. Kibler, and Kathy J. Wahlers. Groups In Process:
An Interaction to Small Group Communication. (Prentice-Hall, Inc.: Englewood Cliffs, New
Jersey, 1979).
Beach, L.R. "Muddling Through: A Response to Yates and Goldstein." Organizational Behavior
and Human Performance (1983), pp. 31, 47-53.
Boroush, Mark, Stuart Hart, Gordon Enk and William Rornick. "Managing Complexity." in
Training & Development (September 1993), pp. 589-599.
Bowditch, James L. and Anthony F. Buono. A Primer on Organizational Behavior. (New York
City: John Wiley & Sons, 1985).
Burns, Greg. "The Secrets of Team Facilitation." Training & Development (June, 1995) pp. 46-
47.
Davis, James H. "Some Compelling Intuitions About Group Consensus Decisions, Theoretical
and Empirical Research, and Interpersonal Aggregation phenomena: Selected examples, 1950-
1990." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (52) (1992) pp. 3-38.
Davis, L.E. "Learnings for the Design of New Organizations." in H.F. Kolodny & H. van
Beinum (Eds.) The Quality of Working Life and the 1980s. (New York: Praeger, 1983).
Driskell, James E. and Eduardo Salas. "Group Decision Making Under Stress." Journal of
Applied Psychology (1991), Vol. 76, No. 3, pp. 473-478.
Ettling, Jennifer T. and Arthur G. Jago. "Participation Under Conditions of Conflict: More on the
Validity of the Vroom-Yetton Model." Journal of Management Studies, 25:1 (January 1988), pp.
73-82.
Fisher, Aubrey B. Small Group Decision Making: Communication and the Group Process
(McGraw Hill Publishing, 1990).
Guzzo, Richard A. and James A. Waters. "The Expression of Affect and the Performance of
Decision-Making Groups." Journal of Applied Psychology (1982), Vol. 67, No. 1, pp. 67-74.
Hare, A. Paul. Groups, Teams, and Social Interaction: Theories and Applications (New York:
Praeger, 1992).
Hersey, P. and Kenneth H. Blanchard, Management of Organizational Behavior: Utilizing
Human Resources, 5th Ed. (Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 1988).
Higgins, James M. he Management Challenge (New York City: Macmillan Publishing Co,
1991).
Hirokawa, Randy Y. and Kathryn M. Rost, "Effective Group Decision Making in
Organizations." Management Communication Quarterly (5), No. 3 (1992), pp. 267-288.
Janis, Irving L. Victims of Groupthink (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1982).
Janis, Irving L. and L.Mann. Decision Making (New York: The Free Press, 1977).
Locke, Edwin A., David M. Schweiger, and Gary P. Latham. "Participation in Decision Making:
When Should It Be Used?" in Barry Allen Gold, Exploring Organizational Behavior: Cases,
Readings and Experiences (Dryden Press, 1994) pp. 251-261.
MacCrimmon, K.R. and R.N. Taylor. "Decision Making and Problem Solving," in M.D.
Dunnette (ed.), Handbook of Industrial and Organizational Psychology (Chicago: Rand
McNally, 1976).
March, James G. A Primer on Decision Making (New York: The Free Press, 1994).
Margerison, Charles; Dick. McCann. "Managing High-Performance Teams." Training &
Development Journal (43), No. 11 (November1989).
Neck, Christopher P. and Gregory Moorhead. "Groupthink Remodeled: The Importa

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Behavioral decision theory

  • 1. INFORMATION SYSTEMS Behavioral Decision Theory Alphonzo A. Wright III Trident University International
  • 2. BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY The behavioral decision theory is concerned with identifying the values, uncertainties and ther issues relevant in given decision, its rationality and the optimal decision results. The major problem with the old views of decision making is that it assumes that decision makers have mental capacities for analysis and evaluation that vastly exceed those actually possessed by people. The central ideas of behavioral decision theory recognize decision making is often dominated by non-rational, social, and political processes. Decision makers must actually settle for something less than an ideal solution. (Higgins, 1991) Bounded rationally is a notion developed in response to the complexity of most real- world problems and the impossibility of actually implementing the classical theory approach to rational decision making. (Trist, 1981) The principal of bounded rationality posits that the human mind lacks the capacity for formulating and solving complex issues whose solution is required for objectively rational behavior in the real world, furthermore, bounded rationality implies decisions will always be based upon an incomplete and considerably short knowledge of the situation. Decision makers will never be able to produce all possible alternatives and alternatives will always be evaluated faultily since it is impossible to for see and predict all outcomes associated with each alternative. Finally, the ultimate decision regarding which alternative to choose must be based on some criteria other than maximization or optimizing, since it is impossible to ever determine which alternative is the optimal one. (Arnold, 1986) Satisficing states if everyone in every organization were completely rational, individuals and organizations would always make the best possible decision. The problems of organizing
  • 3. and managing organizations effectively would not exsist as a result, however, people are not always completely rational. Given real-world situations, how can individuals go about determining which alternative to choose when faced with decisions? Simon (1976) has advised that the key to understanding how people actually go about simplifying complicated decisions lies in the concept of satisficing. The benefit of satisficing as a base for decision making is apparent. (Arnold, 1986) It does not require a decision maker to form a potentially limitless of alternatives. Secondly, it recognizes the bounded rationality of human beings. Finally, it seems to provide a realistic description of how people go about making decisions. The time, effort and expense that must go into the process of producing and evaluating alternatives, satisficing keeps the decision- making process within manageable bound an stops the process when an acceptable solution has been identified. The behavioral model is based on the following presumptions. (Higgins 1991): Objectives are often vague and not agreed upon, Managers may not recognize that a problem exists, and managers may not go through the identification process and as a result solve the problem inaccurately. Lastly, decision makers and problem solvers solve models of their environment. The models never enclose all the shifting facts or relationships involved in the actual problem. Furthermore, if and when rationality is applied, it’s applied only to a part of the total problem. Only a few of the possible alternatives are considered. The decision maker’s knowledge of the situation is usually limited. As an importance of bounded rationality, few managers search to generate the best possible alternative. Managers analyze decisions on rules hastily and frequently that they wouldn’t even evaluate alternatives according to criteria. Past
  • 4. experience is often the basis for making decisions. The decision-making process is enormously affected by social-relationships, especially in the higher levels of the management. The decision makers must gain the support of commanding individuals and various associations to assure that their solutions are chosen and put into action. At last, decisions often occur in small steps. There are few great leaps, especially in large managements.
  • 5. References Arnold, Hugh J. and Daniel C. Feldman. Organizational Behavior (McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1986). Barker, Larry L, Donald J. Cegala, Robert J. Kibler, and Kathy J. Wahlers. Groups In Process: An Interaction to Small Group Communication. (Prentice-Hall, Inc.: Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, 1979). Beach, L.R. "Muddling Through: A Response to Yates and Goldstein." Organizational Behavior and Human Performance (1983), pp. 31, 47-53. Boroush, Mark, Stuart Hart, Gordon Enk and William Rornick. "Managing Complexity." in Training & Development (September 1993), pp. 589-599. Bowditch, James L. and Anthony F. Buono. A Primer on Organizational Behavior. (New York City: John Wiley & Sons, 1985). Burns, Greg. "The Secrets of Team Facilitation." Training & Development (June, 1995) pp. 46- 47. Davis, James H. "Some Compelling Intuitions About Group Consensus Decisions, Theoretical and Empirical Research, and Interpersonal Aggregation phenomena: Selected examples, 1950- 1990." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (52) (1992) pp. 3-38. Davis, L.E. "Learnings for the Design of New Organizations." in H.F. Kolodny & H. van Beinum (Eds.) The Quality of Working Life and the 1980s. (New York: Praeger, 1983). Driskell, James E. and Eduardo Salas. "Group Decision Making Under Stress." Journal of Applied Psychology (1991), Vol. 76, No. 3, pp. 473-478. Ettling, Jennifer T. and Arthur G. Jago. "Participation Under Conditions of Conflict: More on the Validity of the Vroom-Yetton Model." Journal of Management Studies, 25:1 (January 1988), pp. 73-82. Fisher, Aubrey B. Small Group Decision Making: Communication and the Group Process (McGraw Hill Publishing, 1990). Guzzo, Richard A. and James A. Waters. "The Expression of Affect and the Performance of Decision-Making Groups." Journal of Applied Psychology (1982), Vol. 67, No. 1, pp. 67-74. Hare, A. Paul. Groups, Teams, and Social Interaction: Theories and Applications (New York: Praeger, 1992).
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