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Basic Technical Analysis




                    www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
Disclaimer
This Disclaimer is made for the purposes of the Corporations Act 2001 as amended by the Financial Services Reform Act 2001
      ("the Acts").
Your Investment Coach Pty Ltd
Your Investment Coach ABN 71 161 417 241 (“YIC") is coaching organisation that aims to provide investing education and
      coaching solutions. In In furthering its aims YIC offers general information through its workshops and presentations.
YIC has no Australian Financial Services Licence (“AFSL”) under Part 7 of the Corporations Act 2001 as amended.
Does not contravene the Acts
YIC, its officers, agents, representatives, and employees do not hold an AFSL and does not purport to give advice or operate in any
       way in contravention of the Acts. YIC, its officers, agents, representatives, and employees exclude all liability whatsoever, in
       negligence or otherwise, for any loss or damage relating to this publication to the full extent permitted by law.
Provides Information only
This workshop/presentation has been prepared for information purposes without consideration of any reader's specific
     investment objectives, personal financial situations or needs. Because of this, no reader should rely upon the information
     and/or recommendations presented. Readers should, before acting on any information contained herein, consider the
     appropriateness of the information, having regard to their objectives, financial situation and needs.
YIC believes that the material contained in this workshop/presentation is based on the information from sources that are
     considered reliable and is accurate when issued. However, YIC does not warrant its accuracy or reliability. All views and
     information expressed by YIC, its officers, agents, representatives, and employees are for the purposes of discussion only.
If this workshop/presentation, or any information, relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial
       product, participants should obtain a product disclosure statement relating to the product and consider that statement, and
       should consult a licence person before making any decision about whether to acquire the product.
The opinions expressed in this presentation are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the ASA.



                                                                                                      www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
Workshop Purpose

• Basic theory
• Share experiences with fundamental and
  technical analysis
• ASA members collectively have a large pool
  of knowledge
• Draw on experience from the group
• Focus on interactive sessions

                                  www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
Fundamental or Technical?

Two main approaches to analysing markets
Fundamental analysis
• Financial and economic theory
• Company financial performance
Technical Analysis
• Examines current and past price action
• Looks for high probability patterns

                                  www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
Fundamental or Technical?
Should your analysis use fundamental or
  technical?
There is not one right answer!
• Personal preference
• Whatever feels best for you
• Learn them both and try them out
Possible Solution: FA to select
  companies & TA to time the entry
  and exit
                                  www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
What is Technical Analysis
– Technical analysis is the study of the price and volume
   movements of a stock or market.

– It is based on the belief that everything that is known about
    a stock is reflected in the share price and the volume of
    shares traded.

– Technical analysis tells investors when to buy or sell by
   providing insights into market sentiment and emotion

– Can be used on all timeframes – daily, weekly, monthly

– Covers many techniques. We are able to cover only a few
  …


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What’s involved?

–   Dow Theory
–   Price Charts
–   Chart Patterns
–   Candlestick Patterns
–   Indicators
–   Fibonacci
–   Elliot Wave
–   W.D Gann Theory
–   Cycles
–   ...... Plus a whole lot more!

                                         www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
Introduction

1. Different types of charts

2. Classical methods

3. Pattern recognition

4. Software for technical analysis

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Chart Types

Technical analysis uses data based on
  price open, low, high, close and volume.

The data are presented as charts. There are
 many different types of charts – we will
 consider three…



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Line Chart




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Bar Chart




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Candle Chart




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Candlestick




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Candle Patterns

•   Bullish
•   Bearish
•   Doji
•   Shooting Star
•   Hammer
•   Harami
•   Engulfing
•   Piercing
•   Hanging Man
•   Evening Star

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Candle Patterns




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Dojis




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Harami




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Candle Patterns




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Candlestick Summary
Learning to read candle patterns which are a
  visual representation of market psychology
  and emotion can be very useful
• Candle basics – open, high, low, close
• Length of body – long or short?
• Length of tails – or absence of tails
• Can suggest a possible change in trend
• With other ‘western’ techniques

                                 www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
Dow Theory

• Proposes that markets are cyclical

• That markets go through bull and bear cycles

•   Within each cycle different phases can be recognized

• These different phases represent different risk situations


    Consider the different phases of the S&P500...




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S&P 500




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Trend Lines
Perhaps the simplest form of technical analysis

Markets are not random they often move in trends…




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Counter Trends




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Support
A support level is the price at which buyers are
  expected to enter the market in sufficient
  numbers to take control from sellers.
Can be horizontal or sloping upward




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Resistance
A resistance level is the price level at which sellers
  are expected to enter the market in sufficient
  numbers to take control from buyers.
Can be horizontal or sloping downward




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Support & Resistance




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Moving Averages

‒ Moving averages are a way of coping with the
  problem of random information.

‒ Moving Averages are lagging indicators and
  are the basis of many other indicators

‒ Takes data points and plots them as an
  average making it easier to discern trends

                                    www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
Plotted Moving Average




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Multiple Moving Averages




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Chart Patterns
Chart patterns reflect human behaviour in a market.

The following chart patterns offer a high probability of future
        market movement and can be used to select stocks or to
        time entries into stocks.

       (a) Continuation patterns
           • The triangle
           • The flag

       (b) Reversal patterns
           • Double tops
           • Head and shoulders


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Reversal or Continuation




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Ascending Triangle




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Flag




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Double Top




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Head and Shoulders




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Bottom Reversal Patterns




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Summary
Technical Analysis does not provide a forecast.
It provides tools to gauge the probability that a
   future event may occur.
Always be aware of the time frame – look at the
   longest time frame charts first to get the big
   picture.
Generally signals in longer time frames are more
   reliable than those in shorter time frames.

                                     www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au

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Basic technical analysis

  • 1. Basic Technical Analysis www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 2. Disclaimer This Disclaimer is made for the purposes of the Corporations Act 2001 as amended by the Financial Services Reform Act 2001 ("the Acts"). Your Investment Coach Pty Ltd Your Investment Coach ABN 71 161 417 241 (“YIC") is coaching organisation that aims to provide investing education and coaching solutions. In In furthering its aims YIC offers general information through its workshops and presentations. YIC has no Australian Financial Services Licence (“AFSL”) under Part 7 of the Corporations Act 2001 as amended. Does not contravene the Acts YIC, its officers, agents, representatives, and employees do not hold an AFSL and does not purport to give advice or operate in any way in contravention of the Acts. YIC, its officers, agents, representatives, and employees exclude all liability whatsoever, in negligence or otherwise, for any loss or damage relating to this publication to the full extent permitted by law. Provides Information only This workshop/presentation has been prepared for information purposes without consideration of any reader's specific investment objectives, personal financial situations or needs. Because of this, no reader should rely upon the information and/or recommendations presented. Readers should, before acting on any information contained herein, consider the appropriateness of the information, having regard to their objectives, financial situation and needs. YIC believes that the material contained in this workshop/presentation is based on the information from sources that are considered reliable and is accurate when issued. However, YIC does not warrant its accuracy or reliability. All views and information expressed by YIC, its officers, agents, representatives, and employees are for the purposes of discussion only. If this workshop/presentation, or any information, relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product, participants should obtain a product disclosure statement relating to the product and consider that statement, and should consult a licence person before making any decision about whether to acquire the product. The opinions expressed in this presentation are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the ASA. www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 3. Workshop Purpose • Basic theory • Share experiences with fundamental and technical analysis • ASA members collectively have a large pool of knowledge • Draw on experience from the group • Focus on interactive sessions www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 4. Fundamental or Technical? Two main approaches to analysing markets Fundamental analysis • Financial and economic theory • Company financial performance Technical Analysis • Examines current and past price action • Looks for high probability patterns www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 5. Fundamental or Technical? Should your analysis use fundamental or technical? There is not one right answer! • Personal preference • Whatever feels best for you • Learn them both and try them out Possible Solution: FA to select companies & TA to time the entry and exit www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 6. What is Technical Analysis – Technical analysis is the study of the price and volume movements of a stock or market. – It is based on the belief that everything that is known about a stock is reflected in the share price and the volume of shares traded. – Technical analysis tells investors when to buy or sell by providing insights into market sentiment and emotion – Can be used on all timeframes – daily, weekly, monthly – Covers many techniques. We are able to cover only a few … www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 7. What’s involved? – Dow Theory – Price Charts – Chart Patterns – Candlestick Patterns – Indicators – Fibonacci – Elliot Wave – W.D Gann Theory – Cycles – ...... Plus a whole lot more! www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 8. Introduction 1. Different types of charts 2. Classical methods 3. Pattern recognition 4. Software for technical analysis www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 9. Chart Types Technical analysis uses data based on price open, low, high, close and volume. The data are presented as charts. There are many different types of charts – we will consider three… www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 12. Candle Chart www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 14. Candle Patterns • Bullish • Bearish • Doji • Shooting Star • Hammer • Harami • Engulfing • Piercing • Hanging Man • Evening Star www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 15. Candle Patterns www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 18. Candle Patterns www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 19. Candlestick Summary Learning to read candle patterns which are a visual representation of market psychology and emotion can be very useful • Candle basics – open, high, low, close • Length of body – long or short? • Length of tails – or absence of tails • Can suggest a possible change in trend • With other ‘western’ techniques www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 20. Dow Theory • Proposes that markets are cyclical • That markets go through bull and bear cycles • Within each cycle different phases can be recognized • These different phases represent different risk situations Consider the different phases of the S&P500... www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 22. Trend Lines Perhaps the simplest form of technical analysis Markets are not random they often move in trends… www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 23. Counter Trends www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 24. Support A support level is the price at which buyers are expected to enter the market in sufficient numbers to take control from sellers. Can be horizontal or sloping upward www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 25. Resistance A resistance level is the price level at which sellers are expected to enter the market in sufficient numbers to take control from buyers. Can be horizontal or sloping downward www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 26. Support & Resistance www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 27. Moving Averages ‒ Moving averages are a way of coping with the problem of random information. ‒ Moving Averages are lagging indicators and are the basis of many other indicators ‒ Takes data points and plots them as an average making it easier to discern trends www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 28. Plotted Moving Average www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 29. Multiple Moving Averages www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 30. Chart Patterns Chart patterns reflect human behaviour in a market. The following chart patterns offer a high probability of future market movement and can be used to select stocks or to time entries into stocks. (a) Continuation patterns • The triangle • The flag (b) Reversal patterns • Double tops • Head and shoulders www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 31. Reversal or Continuation www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 32. Ascending Triangle www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 35. Head and Shoulders www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 36. Bottom Reversal Patterns www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au
  • 37. Summary Technical Analysis does not provide a forecast. It provides tools to gauge the probability that a future event may occur. Always be aware of the time frame – look at the longest time frame charts first to get the big picture. Generally signals in longer time frames are more reliable than those in shorter time frames. www.yourinvestmentcoach.com.au

Editor's Notes

  1. TA is not a precise science – many people search for the holy grail – that single indicator that is right all of the time --- but there is no such thingBest I can advise is that you focus on price action – the secondary analysis using indicators are all derived from price data and just help make things simpler for ur.