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Audit Sampling for Tests of 
Controls and Substantive 
Tests of Transactions 
Chapter 14 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 1
Representative Samples 
A representative sample is one in which 
the characteristics in the sample of audit 
interest are approximately the same as 
those of the population. 
Nonsampling risk is the risk that 
audit tests do not uncover existing 
exceptions in the sample, 
resulting in nonsampling errors. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 2
Representative Samples 
Sampling risk is the risk that an auditor reaches 
an incorrect conclusion because the sample is 
not representative of the population, 
resulting in sampling error. 
Sampling risk is an inherent part of sampling that 
results from testing less than the entire population. 
Note: A 95% confidence level = 5% sampling risk. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 3
Representative Samples 
Reducing Nonsampling Risk – 
Careful design of audit procedures, 
Proper instruction, supervision, and review. 
Reducing Sampling Risk – 
Adjust sample size, 
Use appropriate method for selecting sample items. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 4
Statistical Versus 
Nonstatistical Sampling 
SSiimmiillaarriittiieess 
Step 1 Plan the sample. 
Step 2 Select the sample 
and perform the tests. 
Step 3 Evaluate the results. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 5
Statistical Versus 
Nonstatistical Sampling 
DDiiffffeerreenncceess 
Statistical sampling allows the quantification of 
sampling risk in planning the sample (Step 1) 
and evaluating the results (Step 3). 
In nonstatistical sampling those items that the 
auditor believes will provide the most useful 
information are selected. 
Conclusions are judgmental = judgmental sampling 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 6
Probabilistic Versus 
Nonprobabilistic Sample Selection 
Probabilistic Sample Selection – 
Selecting a sample such that each population item 
has a known probability of being included in the 
sample and the sample is selected by a random process. 
Nonprobabilistic Sample Selection – 
Selecting a sample in which the auditor uses 
professional judgment rather than probabilistic 
methods to select sample items. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 7
Sample Selection Methods 
NNoonnpprroobbaabbiilliissttiicc 
1. Directed sample selection 
2. Block sample selection 
3. Haphazard sample selection 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 8
Sample Selection Methods 
PPrroobbaabbiilliissttiicc 
1. Simple random sample selection 
2. Systematic sample selection 
3. Probability proportional to size sample selection 
4. Stratified sample selection 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 9
Nonprobabilistic Sample 
Selection Methods 
DDiirreecctteedd SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn 
Item selection based on auditor judgmental criteria 
Items most likely to contain misstatements 
Items containing selected population characteristics 
Large dollar coverage 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 10
Nonprobabilistic Sample 
Selection Methods 
BBlloocckk SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn 
Selection of several items in sequence 
forming “blocks” of items 
HHaapphhaazzaarrdd SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn 
Selection without regard to size, source, or 
Distinguishing characteristics 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 11
Probabilistic Sample 
Selection Methods 
Simple Simple RRaannddoomm SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn 
Every possible combination of elements 
in the population has an equal chance 
of constituting the sample. 
Random number tables 
Computer generation of random numbers 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 12
Probabilistic Sample 
Selection Methods 
SSyysstteemmaattiicc SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn 
The auditor calculates an interval and 
then selects the items for the sample 
based on the size of the interval. 
The interval is determined by dividing 
the population size by the number of 
sample items desired. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 13
Probabilistic Sample 
Selection Methods 
Systematic Systematic SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn EExxaammppllee 
Population of sales invoices 652 – 3151 
Desired sample size = 125 
Interval = (3151 – 651) / 125 = 20 
Select a random start between 1 & 19 (ex. 9) 
First item in sample is invoice # 661 (652 + 9) 
Remaining 124 items = 681 (661+20), 701 (681+20), 
721 (701+20) etc. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 14
Probabilistic Sample 
Selection Methods 
Probability Proportional to Size 
Sample Selection – for emphasis on 
Probability Proportional to Size 
Sample Selection – for emphasis on 
large dollar items 
large dollar items 
A sample is taken where the probability 
of selecting any individual population item 
is proportional to its recorded amount (PPS). 
Evaluated using monetary unit sampling 
Discussed in Chapter 16 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 15
Probabilistic Sample 
Selection Methods 
Stratified Sample Selection 
Stratified Sample Selection 
For emphasis on large dollar items 
For emphasis on large dollar items 
The population is divided into subpopulations 
by size and larger samples are taken of the 
larger subpopulations. 
Evaluated using variables sampling 
Discussed in Chapter 16 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 16
Sampling for Tests of Controls 
and Substantive Tests of Transactions 
Estimate the proportion (ratio) of items 
in a population containing a 
characteristic or attribute of interest. 
The occurrence rate, or exception rate, 
is the ratio of the items containing the 
specific attribute to the total number 
of population items. 
Ex. invoices are not properly verified 3 percent of the time 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 17
Sampling for 
Exception Rates 
Following are types of exceptions in 
populations of accounting data: 
– deviations from client’s established controls 
– monetary misstatements in populations 
of transaction data 
– monetary misstatements in populations 
of account balance details (requires a dollar estimate) 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 18
Sampling for 
Exception Rates 
Exceptions versus Deviations 
Difference between sample exception rate and 
population exception rate is Sampling Error 
Reliability of sampling error estimate is 
Sampling Risk 
Ex. Find a 3% sample exception rate and sampling error of 1% 
With a sampling risk of 10%. We conclude that the population 
Exception rate is between 2 – 4% at a 10% risk of being wrong 
(or 90% chance of being right) 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 19
I: Plan the Sample 
Step 1 State the objectives of the audit test. 
Step 2 Decide whether audit sampling applies. 
Step 3 Define attributes and exception conditions. 
Step 4 Define the population. 
Step 5 Define the sampling unit. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 20
I: Plan the Sample 
Step 6 Specify the tolerable exception rate. 
Specify acceptable risk of assessing 
control risk too low. 
Estimate the population exception rate. 
Determine the initial sample size. 
Step 7 
Step 8 
Step 9 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 21
II: Select the Sample and 
Perform the Tests 
Select the sample. 
Perform the audit procedures. 
Step 10 
Step 11 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 22
III: Evaluate the Results 
Generalize from the sample 
to the population. 
Analyze exceptions. 
Decide the acceptability of the population. 
Step 12 
Step 13 
Step 14 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 23
Plan the Sample: 
TER, ARACR, EPER 
 TER = Tolerable Exception Rate 
 The exception rate that the auditor will permit in the 
population and still be willing to use the assessed control risk 
(CR) and/or amount of monetary misstatements in the 
transactions (tolerable materiality). 
 Result of auditor judgment; affected by materiality. 
 What amount of exceptions is material to reject a control? 
 More controls operating for an audit objective results in 
higher TER. 
 High TER => low sample size; low TER => high sample size 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 24
Plan the Sample: 
TER, ARACR, EPER 
 ARACR = Acceptable Risk of Assessing Control 
Risk too low 
 The risk the auditor is willing to take of accepting a control 
as effective (or monetary amount as tolerable) when the 
true population exception rate is greater than TER. 
 ARACR = measure of sampling risk 
 The lower the assessed control risk => the lower the 
ARACR => the fewer tests of detailed balances. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 25
Plan the Sample: 
TER, ARACR, EPER 
 EPER = Expected Population Error Rate 
 A judgmental estimate based on knowledge of client. 
 Used to determine appropriate sample size. 
 Low EPER => low sample size 
 As EPER approaches TER, more precision is needed and 
larger sample size is needed. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 26
Guidelines for ARACR and 
TER Tests of Control 
Judgment 
• Lowest assessed control risk 
• Moderate assessed control risk 
• Higher assessed control risk 
• 100% assessed control risk 
• Highly significant balances 
• Significant balances 
• Less significant balances 
Guideline 
• ARACR of low 
• ARACR of med. 
• ARACR of high 
• ARACR is N/A 
• TER of 4% 
• TER of 5% 
• TER of 6% 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 27
Effect on Sample Size 
of Changing Factors 
Type of Change Effect on Initial 
Sample Size 
Increase acceptable risk of 
assessing control risk too low Decrease 
Increase tolerable exception rate Decrease 
Increase estimated population 
exception rate Increase 
Increase population size Increase (minor) 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 28
Generalize Sample to Population 
 SER = Sample exception rate = 
exceptions/sample size 
 Subtract SER from TER = sampling error 
 If sampling error is sufficiently large, then true 
population exception rate is acceptable. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 29
Decide the Acceptability 
of the Population 
Revise TER or ARACR 
Expand the sample size 
Revise assessment control risk 
Communicate with the audit 
committee or management 
(good for all 3 options) 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 30
Statistical Audit Sampling 
The statistical sampling method most 
commonly used for tests of controls 
and substantive tests of transactions 
is attributes sampling. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 31
Sampling Distribution 
It is a frequency distribution of the results 
of all possible samples of a specified size 
that could be obtained from a population 
containing some specific parameters. 
Attributes sampling is based on the 
binomial distribution. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 32
Application of 
Attributes Sampling 
UUssee ooff tthhee TTaabblleess 
1 
Select the table corresponding to the ARACR. 
2 Locate the TER on the top of the table. 
3 Locate the EPER on the far left column. 
4 
Read down the appropriate TER column until 
it intersects with the appropriate EPER row 
in order to get the initial sample size. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 33
Application of 
Attributes Sampling 
EEffffeecctt ooff PPooppuullaattiioonn SSiizzee 
Population size is a minor consideration 
in determining sample size. 
Representativeness is ensured by the sample 
selection process more than by sample size. 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 34
Application of 
Attributes Sampling 
1 
UUssee ooff tthhee TTaabblleess 
Select the table corresponding to the ARACR. 
2 Locate the actual number of exceptions 
on the top of the table. 
3 Locate the sample size on the far left column. 
4 
Read down the appropriate exceptions column until 
it intersects with the appropriate sample size row 
in order to get the CUER (calculated upper exception rate). 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 35
End of Chapter 14 
©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 36

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Audit sampling for tests of controls and substantive tests of transactions

  • 1. Audit Sampling for Tests of Controls and Substantive Tests of Transactions Chapter 14 ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 1
  • 2. Representative Samples A representative sample is one in which the characteristics in the sample of audit interest are approximately the same as those of the population. Nonsampling risk is the risk that audit tests do not uncover existing exceptions in the sample, resulting in nonsampling errors. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 2
  • 3. Representative Samples Sampling risk is the risk that an auditor reaches an incorrect conclusion because the sample is not representative of the population, resulting in sampling error. Sampling risk is an inherent part of sampling that results from testing less than the entire population. Note: A 95% confidence level = 5% sampling risk. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 3
  • 4. Representative Samples Reducing Nonsampling Risk – Careful design of audit procedures, Proper instruction, supervision, and review. Reducing Sampling Risk – Adjust sample size, Use appropriate method for selecting sample items. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 4
  • 5. Statistical Versus Nonstatistical Sampling SSiimmiillaarriittiieess Step 1 Plan the sample. Step 2 Select the sample and perform the tests. Step 3 Evaluate the results. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 5
  • 6. Statistical Versus Nonstatistical Sampling DDiiffffeerreenncceess Statistical sampling allows the quantification of sampling risk in planning the sample (Step 1) and evaluating the results (Step 3). In nonstatistical sampling those items that the auditor believes will provide the most useful information are selected. Conclusions are judgmental = judgmental sampling ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 6
  • 7. Probabilistic Versus Nonprobabilistic Sample Selection Probabilistic Sample Selection – Selecting a sample such that each population item has a known probability of being included in the sample and the sample is selected by a random process. Nonprobabilistic Sample Selection – Selecting a sample in which the auditor uses professional judgment rather than probabilistic methods to select sample items. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 7
  • 8. Sample Selection Methods NNoonnpprroobbaabbiilliissttiicc 1. Directed sample selection 2. Block sample selection 3. Haphazard sample selection ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 8
  • 9. Sample Selection Methods PPrroobbaabbiilliissttiicc 1. Simple random sample selection 2. Systematic sample selection 3. Probability proportional to size sample selection 4. Stratified sample selection ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 9
  • 10. Nonprobabilistic Sample Selection Methods DDiirreecctteedd SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn Item selection based on auditor judgmental criteria Items most likely to contain misstatements Items containing selected population characteristics Large dollar coverage ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 10
  • 11. Nonprobabilistic Sample Selection Methods BBlloocckk SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn Selection of several items in sequence forming “blocks” of items HHaapphhaazzaarrdd SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn Selection without regard to size, source, or Distinguishing characteristics ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 11
  • 12. Probabilistic Sample Selection Methods Simple Simple RRaannddoomm SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn Every possible combination of elements in the population has an equal chance of constituting the sample. Random number tables Computer generation of random numbers ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 12
  • 13. Probabilistic Sample Selection Methods SSyysstteemmaattiicc SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn The auditor calculates an interval and then selects the items for the sample based on the size of the interval. The interval is determined by dividing the population size by the number of sample items desired. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 13
  • 14. Probabilistic Sample Selection Methods Systematic Systematic SSaammppllee SSeelleeccttiioonn EExxaammppllee Population of sales invoices 652 – 3151 Desired sample size = 125 Interval = (3151 – 651) / 125 = 20 Select a random start between 1 & 19 (ex. 9) First item in sample is invoice # 661 (652 + 9) Remaining 124 items = 681 (661+20), 701 (681+20), 721 (701+20) etc. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 14
  • 15. Probabilistic Sample Selection Methods Probability Proportional to Size Sample Selection – for emphasis on Probability Proportional to Size Sample Selection – for emphasis on large dollar items large dollar items A sample is taken where the probability of selecting any individual population item is proportional to its recorded amount (PPS). Evaluated using monetary unit sampling Discussed in Chapter 16 ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 15
  • 16. Probabilistic Sample Selection Methods Stratified Sample Selection Stratified Sample Selection For emphasis on large dollar items For emphasis on large dollar items The population is divided into subpopulations by size and larger samples are taken of the larger subpopulations. Evaluated using variables sampling Discussed in Chapter 16 ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 16
  • 17. Sampling for Tests of Controls and Substantive Tests of Transactions Estimate the proportion (ratio) of items in a population containing a characteristic or attribute of interest. The occurrence rate, or exception rate, is the ratio of the items containing the specific attribute to the total number of population items. Ex. invoices are not properly verified 3 percent of the time ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 17
  • 18. Sampling for Exception Rates Following are types of exceptions in populations of accounting data: – deviations from client’s established controls – monetary misstatements in populations of transaction data – monetary misstatements in populations of account balance details (requires a dollar estimate) ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 18
  • 19. Sampling for Exception Rates Exceptions versus Deviations Difference between sample exception rate and population exception rate is Sampling Error Reliability of sampling error estimate is Sampling Risk Ex. Find a 3% sample exception rate and sampling error of 1% With a sampling risk of 10%. We conclude that the population Exception rate is between 2 – 4% at a 10% risk of being wrong (or 90% chance of being right) ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 19
  • 20. I: Plan the Sample Step 1 State the objectives of the audit test. Step 2 Decide whether audit sampling applies. Step 3 Define attributes and exception conditions. Step 4 Define the population. Step 5 Define the sampling unit. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 20
  • 21. I: Plan the Sample Step 6 Specify the tolerable exception rate. Specify acceptable risk of assessing control risk too low. Estimate the population exception rate. Determine the initial sample size. Step 7 Step 8 Step 9 ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 21
  • 22. II: Select the Sample and Perform the Tests Select the sample. Perform the audit procedures. Step 10 Step 11 ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 22
  • 23. III: Evaluate the Results Generalize from the sample to the population. Analyze exceptions. Decide the acceptability of the population. Step 12 Step 13 Step 14 ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 23
  • 24. Plan the Sample: TER, ARACR, EPER  TER = Tolerable Exception Rate  The exception rate that the auditor will permit in the population and still be willing to use the assessed control risk (CR) and/or amount of monetary misstatements in the transactions (tolerable materiality).  Result of auditor judgment; affected by materiality.  What amount of exceptions is material to reject a control?  More controls operating for an audit objective results in higher TER.  High TER => low sample size; low TER => high sample size ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 24
  • 25. Plan the Sample: TER, ARACR, EPER  ARACR = Acceptable Risk of Assessing Control Risk too low  The risk the auditor is willing to take of accepting a control as effective (or monetary amount as tolerable) when the true population exception rate is greater than TER.  ARACR = measure of sampling risk  The lower the assessed control risk => the lower the ARACR => the fewer tests of detailed balances. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 25
  • 26. Plan the Sample: TER, ARACR, EPER  EPER = Expected Population Error Rate  A judgmental estimate based on knowledge of client.  Used to determine appropriate sample size.  Low EPER => low sample size  As EPER approaches TER, more precision is needed and larger sample size is needed. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 26
  • 27. Guidelines for ARACR and TER Tests of Control Judgment • Lowest assessed control risk • Moderate assessed control risk • Higher assessed control risk • 100% assessed control risk • Highly significant balances • Significant balances • Less significant balances Guideline • ARACR of low • ARACR of med. • ARACR of high • ARACR is N/A • TER of 4% • TER of 5% • TER of 6% ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 27
  • 28. Effect on Sample Size of Changing Factors Type of Change Effect on Initial Sample Size Increase acceptable risk of assessing control risk too low Decrease Increase tolerable exception rate Decrease Increase estimated population exception rate Increase Increase population size Increase (minor) ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 28
  • 29. Generalize Sample to Population  SER = Sample exception rate = exceptions/sample size  Subtract SER from TER = sampling error  If sampling error is sufficiently large, then true population exception rate is acceptable. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 29
  • 30. Decide the Acceptability of the Population Revise TER or ARACR Expand the sample size Revise assessment control risk Communicate with the audit committee or management (good for all 3 options) ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 30
  • 31. Statistical Audit Sampling The statistical sampling method most commonly used for tests of controls and substantive tests of transactions is attributes sampling. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 31
  • 32. Sampling Distribution It is a frequency distribution of the results of all possible samples of a specified size that could be obtained from a population containing some specific parameters. Attributes sampling is based on the binomial distribution. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 32
  • 33. Application of Attributes Sampling UUssee ooff tthhee TTaabblleess 1 Select the table corresponding to the ARACR. 2 Locate the TER on the top of the table. 3 Locate the EPER on the far left column. 4 Read down the appropriate TER column until it intersects with the appropriate EPER row in order to get the initial sample size. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 33
  • 34. Application of Attributes Sampling EEffffeecctt ooff PPooppuullaattiioonn SSiizzee Population size is a minor consideration in determining sample size. Representativeness is ensured by the sample selection process more than by sample size. ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 34
  • 35. Application of Attributes Sampling 1 UUssee ooff tthhee TTaabblleess Select the table corresponding to the ARACR. 2 Locate the actual number of exceptions on the top of the table. 3 Locate the sample size on the far left column. 4 Read down the appropriate exceptions column until it intersects with the appropriate sample size row in order to get the CUER (calculated upper exception rate). ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 35
  • 36. End of Chapter 14 ©2003 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, Auditing and Assurance Services 9/e, Arens/Elder/Beasley 14 - 36