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Memo
Date: November 18, 2014
To: Ms. Effie Turnbull-Sanders
Governor’s Appointed Commissioner
California Coastal Commission
From: Kyle Runion
Christian Ng
Aditya Srinivas
Subject: Recommendation Report for Researching Solar-Powered Desalination Plants in
the San Francisco Bay Area
Attached is the report for our study, “San Francisco Desalination Plant Proposal.” We have
completed the tasks in our proposal from October 7, 2014: identifying water needs and
infrastructure logistics in the San Francisco area, identifying and selecting solar and desalination
units and manufacturers, designing the system, and finding the feasibility of the project.
We conducted primary and secondary online research to perform these tasks. Water needs,
locations, and technologies were reviewed. Contact to various manufacturers was attempted but
did not come to fruition. There was ample published research online to sufficiently learn and
report about solar-powered desalination.
Our findings show that San Francisco is a strong candidate for solar-powered desalination plants.
Located in a coastal area currently experiencing drought, solar-powered desalination using
concentrated solar stills and solar evaporation desalination would likely prove to be a successful
project.
On the basis of these findings, we recommend that our system be built. Though we were limited
to a preliminary cost analysis, our proposed system is less expensive than a previously proposed
desalination plant that does not use solar energy. There is certainly a need for freshwater in the
area and our project is the most effective solution.
We appreciate the opportunity you have given us in inviting us to research this proposal, and we
look forward to working with you in other sections of the study as well as any related future
study. If you have any questions or comments, please contact Kyle Runion at
kylerunion@gmail.com or 975-3121.
Researching Solar-Powered Desalination Plants in the San
Francisco Bay Area
Prepared for: Professor Daniel Saalfeld, Professional Writing Instructor
University of Maryland
Prepared by: Kyle Runion
Christian Ng
Aditya Srinivas
December 4, 2014
Table of Contents
Abstract 1
Executive Summary 2
Introduction 4
ResearchMethods 8
Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area 8
Task 2. Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant 8
Task 3. Identify water source and transportation 8
Task 4: Find energy usage of desalination plant 9
Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.) 9
Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used 10
Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers 10
Task 8. Choose manufacturer of panels 10
Task 9. Determine number of panels 10
Task 10. Design solar and desalination system 11
Task 11. Determine equipment needed 11
Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations 11
Task 13. Cost analysis 12
Results 13
Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area. 13
Task 2. Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant 13
Task 3. Identify water source and transportation 14
Task 4: Find energy usage of desalination plant 15
Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.) 16
Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used 17
Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers 18
Task 8. Choose manufacturer of panels 19
Task 9. Determine number of panels 21
Task 10. Design solar and desalination system 21
Task 11. Determine equipment needed 23
Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations 24
Task 13. Cost analysis 25
Conclusions 26
Recommendations 28
References 28
FAQ’s 31
Figures
Figure 1 4
Figure 2 12
Figure 3 13
Figure 4 16
Figure 5 19
Figure 6 21
Figure 7 21
Figure 8 22
Figure 9 23
1
Abstract
Researching Solar-Powered Desalination Plants in the San
Francisco Bay Area
Prepared by: Kyle Runion
Christian Ng
Aditya Srivinas
On October 7, 2014, a research proposal for solar-powered desalination plants in the San
Francisco Bay area was devised by three students at the University of Maryland. San Francisco
and much of the southwest United States has been experiencing a drought and shortage of
freshwater. With population increases and the rise of climatic instability through climate change,
a sustainable source of freshwater is needed to supply for the city. Through research of the city’s
water needs, possible locations, technology, and a cost analysis we attempted to create a feasible
solution. We found that though the water usage in San Francisco is very high, it has been
relatively low per capita recently due to water conservation efforts. A system consisting of
concentrated solar stills and solar desalination units in Half Moon Bay near Pillar Point Harbor
about 15 miles south of San Francisco could supply a large percentage of San Francisco’s
freshwater. We recommend that a 500 module system be built in this location with the water to
be transported to the city via pipes. This project is based on sustainability and follows that
attitude wherever applicable, and should be a popular decision for San Francisco’s water
shortage.
Keywords: San Francisco, solar power, desalination, Half Moon Bay, water, drought
2
Executive Summary
On October 16, 2014, we began to research the benefits of implementing solar-powered
desalination for the city of San Francisco.
Since the December of 2011, California has been experiencing a steady and precipitous drop in
rainfall, resulting in one of the state’s largest droughts since the late eighties and early nineties.
According to the Western Regional Climate Center, California’s average rainfall has been far
below that of the United States for the past year (10/1/2013 – 9/30/2014) (Climate Anomaly
Maps and Tables). Cities such as San Francisco only had around a quarter of the average
precipitation of the country. This has not only been a detriment to residents in the city, but also
an event poised to cripple the farmers of the area. While people in the city are being ordered by
the government to cut back on water usage, the lack of rain is forcing farmers to either pump
groundwater from wells or buy fresh water from local suppliers. Unfortunately, pumping
groundwater which not being replenished by rainfall is causing the ground to steadily sink,
putting a pin in any development programs in the area. To top it off, both methods of acquiring
water involve hefty costs. In order to keep up with rising costs, farmers have had to reduce the
amount of the crops that they grow, causing food prices to rise. With California being one of the
most productive agricultural regions in the United States, this dilemma extends to the rest of the
country and some parts of the world as well.
We focused on the city of San Francisco as we researched the practicality and feasibility of using
multiple small-scale solar-powered desalination plants, which would provide fresh water to the
city. It has been proposed to build a plant in the Bay Area; however, this plant would incur
around $150 million in setup costs alone and use plenty of energy operating. Solar-powered
3
plants could cost less, use less energy, and be self-sufficient. As we conducted our research, we
investigated the needs of the population, the most efficient solar system to use, the most effective
desalination technique, and the potential cost-savings of solar power.
We immediately found that it would be more cost-effective and efficient to purchase solar-
powered plants from a company known as WaterFX. The plant module is called an Aqua4, and it
uses a process called multi-effect distillation to separate the water from the brine. One module
only requires about a seventh of an acre and is estimated to cost around $292,500 (“FAQ”).
While we determined its energy use to be nearly 40 kilowatt-hours per cubic meter of freshwater
generated, this calculation did not account for the fact that the Aqua4 recycles waste heat. We
decided that Half Moon Bay would be the best location for a system of these modules and found
that 1250 plants could fit in the area. This was plenty of space considering we only needed 589
to satisfy the population of San Francisco. We decided, however, to cap the number of modules
at an even 500 in order to account for any obstacles (sidewalks, small facilities, etc.); this would
still provide a substantial amount of freshwater to the city.
Upon review of our findings and conclusions, we recommend the building of multiple small-
scale solar-powered desalination plants for San Francisco in the Bay Area.
4
Introduction
Since the December of 2011, California has been experiencing a steady and precipitous drop in
rainfall, resulting in one of the state’s largest droughts since the late eighties and early nineties.
According to the Western Regional Climate Center, California’s average rainfall has been far
below that of the United States for the past year (10/1/2013 – 9/30/2014) (Climate Anomaly
Maps and Tables). Cities such as San Francisco only had around a quarter of the average
precipitation of the country. It is estimated that around 80% of the state is in extreme drought
(Climate Anomaly Maps and Tables). As this drought enters its fourth year, it shows no signs of
ending.
Figure 1, Average Monthly Discharge for Pilantaros Creek in Half Moon Bay, California
(U. S. Geological Survey).
As shown in Figure 1 above, the average monthly discharge in Pilantaros Creek, California has
been dropping recently. Discharge can measure precipitation by measuring the changes in the
discharge of a river or creek. With no water from precipitation, a creek will be at what is called
0
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40
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Nov-05
Apr-06
Sep-06
Feb-07
Jul-07
Dec-07
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Jan-10
Jun-10
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Apr-11
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Discharge(cfs)
Date
Average Monthly Discharge for Pilataros
Creek in Half Moon Bay, California
Mean
Monthly
Discharge
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baseflow. This is the low flow experienced when the creek is only fed by groundwater. Any
additional water then can be attributed to precipitation. A major effect of the drought can be seen
late in the graph, in January 2014. This is normally a wet time of the year for Pilantaros Creek,
but the average discharge has a low peak through April 2014, the last recorded date. Without this
influx of water in early 2014 to be collected and recharge local aquifers, the past year has
experienced major drought through the dry season.
We intend to focus on San Francisco as we research a potential solution to this climate disaster.
The biggest problem with the absence of rainfall is the lack of fresh water. Farms, residences,
and even office buildings in the financial district require it. As farms suffer, the supply of fresh
food is further diminished. While farmers have found temporary solutions in pumping
groundwater or buying it from local suppliers, this has severe repercussions as well. Pumping
groundwater is causing the ground to steadily sink. One water supplier in Los Banos depends on
a dam to supply water to canals and then to customers; in five years, however, the dam has sunk
around three feet, meaning that the river is close to spilling over, resulting in even less water
(Fagan, California drought). If groundwater continues to be siphoned without being recharged by
rainfall, the land will continue to sink drastically, putting a pin in any development programs in
the area. The wells required to extract the water are also expensive to maintain, with costs
ranging well above $200,000 (Fagan, California drought).
Buying water is not much cheaper, if at all; about one year ago, farmers were charged around
$140 per acre by the Westlands Water District in Fresno (Vekshin). Now, however, they are
being charged $1100 or more per acre. Considering that many of these farmers have thousands of
acres of land, this can add up to a pretty hefty cost that could drive many farmers out of business.
6
Many of them are already being forced to reduce the number of acres that they regularly use.
This, as mentioned before, is decreasing the supply of food, thereby increasing the price.
California is one of the most productive agricultural regions in the United States, hosting 80,500
farms and ranches that offer produce such as beef, milk, fruits, vegetables, and rice (Vekshin).
These farms provide a sizable portion of the food that is consumed in our country, meaning that
this drought affects the rest of us as well. The US Department of Agriculture has predicted that
the prices of fresh fruit and dairy products will rise about 6% and 4%, respectively (Vekshin).
The farmers are not the only people suffering; residents in the actual city are struggling as well.
In response, Governor Jerry Brown requested people statewide to voluntarily reduce their water
consumption by 20% earlier this year (Steinmetz). Now, the drought is forcing the government to
finally institute largely unprecedented water usage restrictions to prevent people from wasting
water. San Francisco is mandating that users reduce their outdoor water consumption by at least
10%; doubling water rates on those who do not achieve this is also a possibility (Alexander,
“California drought…”). In fact, in the Bay Area city of Pleasanton, not adhering to the city
policy of reducing water usage can result in doubling (or even tripling) of bills. Throughout
California, fines of up to $500 can be imposed if residents (or organizations) are caught using
water to hose down driveways/ sidewalks, to decorate non-circulating fountains, or even to wash
their cars without a shut-off valve. This particular set of regulations will last for 270 days starting
July 29, 2014, though it is likely to be renewed until the drought show signs of receding
(Steinmetz). While San Francisco is late in administering these cutbacks, more stringent
regulations are likely to follow in response to the ongoing drought.
7
In order to solve the problem, in 2003, water agencies in San Francisco proposed the
construction of a desalination plant in the Bay Area; this would result in a massive and
welcomed influx of freshwater into the city (Fagan, Desalination plants). However, this plan has
drawbacks; the cost to build this plant is estimated to be around $150 million. This plant would
also require plenty of energy in exchange for the water, which would significantly increase
yearly costs in monetary and environmental terms (environmental costs come from extra
pollution). We wish to propose research of the benefits of constructing several small-scale solar-
powered desalination plants, which would, in theory, reduce costs and still provide sufficient
water. As we conducted our research, we investigated the needs of the population, the most
efficient solar system to use, the potential cost-savings of solar power, and the available fresh
water output of the system. Understanding these factors is vital in determining the practicality
and feasibility of this project versus that of a conventional desalination plant.
In the following sections, we further describe our research methods, our gathered results, the
conclusions we derived, and our final recommendation.
8
Research Methods
Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area
It is understood that much of the Southwest United States suffers from water shortages. Finding
the current water needs and specific numbers on available water will helped us decide the size of
our desalination plant. Water prices will drop with a higher supply, so it is in our best interest to
supply water to a point where it is still profitable for us. We found the water needs by finding the
population of the area, researching industries and their water usage, and identifying current water
resources.
Task 2. Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant
Water is expensive to transport, so a nearby location is vital for our proposal’s feasibility.
Specific area will be were found after the system design and size were determined. This section
of the research found primary sites before advancing in our research. Understanding that the
salinity concentration corresponds with higher operational costs, we wanted to find a balance
between transportation costs and input water quality. This was researched by looking through
Google Earth and following up with public records to see if the land could be acquired/leased.
We also considered to have our solar system and desalination plant in different locations, so if
one site is not suitable for both, then smaller, more remote locations would have been researched.
This option also included a need to research energy losses and costs through transmission, but
after initial research, it was found that this scenario was not necessary. Another option was to
have the plant(s) on a nearby island. This also proved undesirable as transportation costs were
high and land use was a troubling matter.
9
Task 3. Identify water source and transportation
We identified our water source and mode of transportation by first looking at all available
sources of water in the area. This mainly came down to aquifers, the San Francisco Bay, and
various rivers. The San Francisco Bay proved to be the most feasible option, as aquifers are
currently being used (and running dry) for water supplies. Rivers are often used for agricultural
irrigation and seeing as how supplies are unstable as it is, they would not be a suitable option for
our use. The Bay is a satisfactory source as it does not have an excessive salinity level and
contains an extremely large volume of water. The Bay also allows flexibility when choosing
specific sites for our plants as there is a large amount of shoreline, allowing for many different
locations.
Task 4. Find energy usage of desalination plant
Finding the energy usage of a desalination plant helped us to bridge the gap between energy
created and fresh-water provided. We needed to find the average energy usage of two different
types of desalination techniques: reverse osmosis, and solar desalination. This figure, along with
later finding exact outputs from our energy source, allowed us to adjust numbers in order to
make the project viable. The size of the desalination plant was then based on the water needs
previously found.
Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.)
Researching solar power systems allowed us to find the advantages to each type. Array and
concentrated solar systems were our main focus as they were found to be most realistic for our
project. Research was conducted on these technologies via manufacturer’s websites and
10
published research, and based on our size and cost constraints we decided on our type of
systems.
Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used
After realizing there were multiple, viable, commercial-scale desalination techniques, we decided
we must research each in order to make an informed decision. Technical specification sheets and
review articles were used to weigh the pros and cons about both reverse osmosis and solar
desalination. Criteria to differentiate the two included energy usage and efficiency, brine
discharge composition, and ease of operation.
Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers
Criteria must be established to be able to decide which manufacturer would be most efficient to
purchase and use. Through research of solar energy systems and desalination techniques, as well
as reviews of successful past proposals, certain criteria began to rise as vital to differentiate
manufacturers. It was necessary that this criteria be composed of the largest factors of success in
solar panels and desalination units for a successful project. After establishing this criteria, we
were able to begin to select certain products to propose for our desalination plant and find the
cost to benefit analysis.
Task 8. Choose type/manufacturer of panels
After deciding between an array and concentrated system, we started to focus on specific panels.
Research was done on both reflectors and thermal solar panels, the two popular options for
concentrated solar systems. This decision was based on the criteria mentioned in the Task 7.
11
Task 9. Determine number of panels
Our selection for the manufacturer made determining the number of panels very simple. The
panels are connected in a module and, with an attached desalination unit, can be rated in gallons
of freshwater produced a day. This simplifies conversions of energy and for our purposes,
produces the most efficient system possible. Our biggest constraints were cost and land
available. With enough available funds, this project could be scaled up to fulfill the entire city’s
water needs. We made a decision on number of panels based on providing a reasonable fraction
of the city’s needs and effective use of our land resources.
Task 10. Design solar and desalination system
After selecting the WaterFX Aqua4 solar desalination system, designing the solar and
desalination system was very simple. The Aqua4 is a complete, modular system, so it became
very flexible as to how to set the design. The size restraints were found and
Task 11. Determine equipment needed
Even though we had already chosen a specific, complete system, it was still important to learn
each part of this system to ensure we had a full knowledge of the system. This was done by
breaking down the system and researching each part. All parts of the system have been used
elsewhere for various applications, so literature was available to be found in places other than the
manufacturer’s webpage. This also allowed us to build our own similar system if the Aqua4
module was unavailable for some reason.
12
Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations
An expansion to our efforts in Task 2, we identified specific locations for desalination plants.
After knowing space and other requirements, we were able to hone in on certain areas and select
those that we thought would work well. As previously stated, there is no upper or lower limit to
the number of plants or modules, so we decided to select any location that would make sense
financially and logistically.
Task 13. Cost vs profit
Finally, we attempted to perform a cost/benefit analysis to determine our long term feasibility.
With some of our desired products in the pre-market stage, a cost/benefit analysis proved
difficult. We decided to stick by these products because while they may not be readily available,
they are without a doubt the most capable pieces of technology for our project.
13
Results
Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area.
According to a map provided by the San Francisco Bee, in 2008 San Francisco County
consumed 108.4 gallons per capita per day (Williams). Currently, the San Francisco Bay Area
relies on water imported from the Sierra Nevada and Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. These two
sources account for two-thirds of the water supply, however; they will not be able to keep up
with the growing population and increasing demand. Within the Bay Area are different water
agencies that control the distribution of water in their region as seen in Figure 1. Several of these
agencies are getting some of their water locally from sources such as the Mokelumne and
Tuolumne Rivers. However, this
accounts for only about 10% of their
water supply and these sources are
unreliable during drought. In accounting
for dry periods, these water agencies
store water in the ground, but with this
extended dry period, these ground basins
are being tapped out. Home to 7.44
million people, a number that is steadily
growing; the need for water in the San
Francisco Bay Area has never been
higher.
Figure 2. Major Urban Water Agencies in the Bay
Area (“Maps of”)
14
Task 2: Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant
San Francisco is a metropolitan area so finding a large area of land to build the desalination plant
on would be expensive and difficult so we chose an area right outside of the city. The area we
decided on is on the coast of Half Moon Bay,
particularly in the region near Pillar Point
Harbor as seen in figure 2. Only 15 miles
away from San Francisco, this beach town
would be suitable for the plant because of its
close proximity and the plants ability to blend
into the town. There are many piers and docks
in the town so the plant would fit in. The plant
we are constructing is not large so it would not
take up a huge amount of space and take away
from the town. Instead, we believe that the
plant would boost the town’s economy and
give it a reliable source of income. The majority of income for Half Moon Bay is based off
tourism and the plant would provide yearlong jobs to locals rather than the seasonal beach jobs.
Task 3. Identify water source and transportation
The water that will be used for the desalination plants will be retrieved from the Pacific Ocean.
Freshwater produced from our plants must be transported to the San Francisco Public Utilities
Commission which would then re-direct the water to the residents. We considered two sources
of transportation of the water: trucks and underground piping. Ultimately, we decided to go with
the underground piping because we determined that trucking would not be feasible due to cost.
Figure 3. Map of Half Moon Bay (““Map of
Half Moon Bay”)
15
An underground piping system would be a large initial cost with little maintenance cost over
time while a trucking service would be a steady cost which would cost more in the long run. We
estimated that it would take about 25 miles of piping from our desired plant destination to the
San Francisco Public Utilities Commission. If one inch pipe is used from each of the 500
modules and connected to a water main, the water main would need to be 24 inch schedule 40
steel pipe. To install this water main for 25 miles, it would cost about $20 million for the pipe
itself and labor.
Task 4: Find energy usage of desalination plant
Every desalination plant, no matter how small, has a system of components designed to separate
salt from water, hence the name, “desalination plant.” There are a variety of methods we can use
to conduct the process of filtering; we are leaning towards a technique known as distillation (See
Task 6). This involves separating the water from the salt through evaporation. The main
advantage of this method is that it has a much simpler design and guarantees purer water than its
competitor, reverse osmosis. This method (reverse osmosis) has the water is pumped out of the
ocean and forced through a semipermeable membrane that separates the water from the salt. The
fresh water in both methods is then stored and distributed through a main into a water system.
According to a report from King Saud University, reverse osmosis plants use around 4-6
kilowatt-hours per cubic meter of fresh water (kWh/m3). The report also showed that distillation
plants use around 14-16 kilowatt-hours per cubic meter, which is a considerably higher amount
(Al-Mutaz). For the distillation plant data, we are using the electrical equivalent numbers, which
account for thermal energy as well. While reverse osmosis does use less energy, it also uses
much more complex parts, which have a higher probability of breaking down and require more
16
frequent maintenance. Distillation plants are inherently less complex and allow for better
packaging, due to the relatively low number of parts.
After plenty of consideration, we have decided that a system known as the Aqua4 would be the
most effective building block of our solution. The Aqua4, a product from WaterFX, is a small
desalination plant which uses solar panels to distill the seawater (as in the aforementioned
method). The obvious advantage of this is that the process of installing the plants would become
much simpler; we are purchasing stock of a single product. It also takes up about a seventh of an
acre which is a fairly small amount of space. The energy consumption is estimated at nearly 40
kilowatt-hours per cubic meter, but it also stores and recycles the excess thermal energy in steam
(Aqua4). It also runs entirely on the solar panels provided by WaterFX. We believe that this is a
viable option which would allow us to use a very compact space and minimize setup costs.
Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.)
While arrays of solar panels and concentrated solar power systems are both grouped into the
same category in solar energy, they are quite different. Solar arrays, a solar photovoltaic
application, are the common thought of solar energy, with grids of panels facing the sun and
converting sunlight into electrical energy. Solar panels can be used in small scale projects, such
as residential homes, or large scale, as a solar farm. Concentrated solar power systems, a solar
thermal application, work with mirrors to focus solar radiation and drive a steam turbine through
heat. This is more similar to our current large scale energy generation with coal (Covington).
Concentrated solar stills have been used through history for solar-powered desalination and still
prove to be the most efficient option (Solar Desalination - Clean water from solar energy, 1-4). A
concentrated solar still consists of an arc of mirrors aimed at a central pipe (Solar Distillation:
Technical Brief, 2).
17
Figure 4. Solar parabolic trough often used with solar stills (Parabolic Trough)
Water flows through this pipe and is heated until it flows to a storage tank and then to the
desalination unit (Solar Distillation: Technical Brief, 2). Alternatively, mineral oil, which can
more effectively collect and transfer heat, can be used in these pipes. The mineral oil pipe is a
closed system where it can run through a water tank and transfer heat (“Concentrating Solar
Power Thermal Storage System Basics.”) We propose to use concentrated solar stills in our
project design.
Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used
The most popular type of desalination is currently reverse osmosis ("Desalination by Reverse
Osmosis"). In reverse osmosis, saltwater is put under pressure and the water and dissolved salts
are separated through a water-permeable membrane ("Desalination by Reverse Osmosis").
Though fairly simple, it is a very energy-intensive process. A newer method of desalination,
currently termed “solar desalination,” is based on evaporation. Water is heated and goes through
evaporation chambers, where it separates from salts and is collected (“FAQ.”). This process also
requires energy in the form of heat; this could be easily applied with our concentrated solar stills.
Instead of harvesting heat with the solar still to create electricity through a steam turbine, the
18
heat could be directly applied to the saltwater and used to promote evaporation. This makes solar
desalination a more attractive option for our project, as it allows conversions of energy to be kept
to a minimum, encouraging high system efficiency.
Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers
With the selection of a concentrated solar still as our energy system and solar desalination as our
desalination technique, we must begin to decide which brand and manufacturer can best fit our
needs. A combination of quality and cost must be found to make our solution to the San
Francisco water troubles viable and worthwhile. Our criteria will include: cost, location of
manufacturer, applicability, energy consumption, discharge, and infrastructure.
Financially, this proposal must make sense. Single family residential buildings are currently
paying $4.86 per CCF (100 cubic feet or 748 gallons) of water (for the first four CCFs) (“Single
Family Rates”). By June, 2017, this price will be $6.42 (“Single Family Rates”). Non-residential
buildings in San Francisco currently pay $5.79 per CCF and will be paying $7.64 in 2017 (“Non-
Residential Rates). Should we recommend this desalination plant be built, it must be able to have
competitive pricing on water. Another pricing consideration we can make is the effect on
groundwater. San Francisco is currently using groundwater for their water uses at an
unsustainable rate. The state of California currently lacks groundwater regulations, but NASA
has found that nearby basins are running dry (Boehrer). This would require a more in-depth
study to find financial benefits of preserving the groundwater supplies, but we can acknowledge
that there certainly is an incentive to doing so. Location of manufacturer is a criterion in the
subset of cost.
Applicability is another aspect we must consider when evaluating manufacturers, in the sense
that the system must be able to collect solar energy efficiently. San Francisco receives an average
19
of 4.1-4.6 kWh/m2/day ("San Francisco Solar Map"). Though this is lower than most of the
California and Southwest U.S. region, it is at or above the average for the continental U.S.
("Solar Maps"). In order for our desalination plant to be successful, we must take advantage of
this solar energy with a solar system that can efficiently convert sunlight to heat or electrical
energy.
Energy consumption is a significant trait: the plant must have a low cost of energy in order to be
feasible. The solar system must supply sufficient energy to the desalination plant to keep external
costs low, and the desalination unit should use as little energy as possible while providing the
necessary quantity of a high quality output. This idea ties into the efficiency aspect, as in order to
keep costs low, a high efficiency is required.
Discharge, in the sense of the desired and undesired outputs, should be taken into consideration
as well. The desired output, freshwater, is obviously our main concern. Essentially all
desalination units on the market discharge extremely clean fresh water, so that will not be a point
of contention. Solar desalination, based on evaporation, is usually very efficient, with rates of up
to 93% (“FAQ”). This creates a smaller volume of salty wastewater, or brine, as compared to
reverse osmosis. The small volume of brine is more easily treated and has industrial uses as a
refrigerant or curing mechanism for seafood (Hilderbrand).
Infrastructure is our final criteria in evaluating manufacturers. In a highly populated city such as
San Francisco it is vital to make the most of the available space. Solar panels tend to use the
same amount of space per manufacturer, but space can be saved with the desalination unit. A
smaller unit, or one using vertical space more efficiently, will be favored.
20
Task 8. Choose type/manufacturer of panels
Located in the Central Valley in California (“Blog”), WaterFX is a local manufacturer to our
project site. Locality supports a theme in our project, sustainability, and is important to gain
support of citizens and officials in San Francisco. They also provide the type of solar system and
desalination unit we have chosen: a concentrated solar still and solar desalination (“FAQ”). A
single WaterFX Aqua4 solar desalination
module can provide up to 65,000 gallons of
freshwater per day (“FAQ”), which could
provide for over 1400 residents (Alexander,
“Amid drought…”), given their current water
conservation practices. The Aqua4 has shown
freshwater [of under five parts per million
(ppm) of total dissolved solids (TDS)] generation efficiencies of over 93%, with the 7% brine
being super concentrated with over 200,000 ppm TDS (“FAQ”). To give this concentration
perspective, freshwater is defined as containing under 1,000 ppm TDS, while sea water contains
30,000 to 40,000 ppm TDS (“Water Concentrations”). A very concentrated brine opens the
possibility for industrial use for the otherwise waste material, and at the very worst, a lower
volume of waste to treat/dispose of. The relatively small scale size of the Aqua4 of 6,500 square
feet will allow for flexibility on our part (“FAQ”). With modules being fully operational whether
there be a single or multiple, they can be placed on any piece of land we find close to a water
source. Even more flexibility is provided with the Aqua4 modules, as a single module is made up
of ten stages; modules can be scaled up or down depending on space and capacity needs
(“FAQ”).
Figure 5. Solid salt composition from treated
brine ("Blog")
21
Though this product seems perfect for our application, there are a few minor drawbacks.
WaterFX seems to be a very young company, with its first found mention online was published
in early 2014 (Kelly-Detwiler). The Aqua4 module is currently only available for lease, rather
than purchase (“Aqua4”). Depending on developments with the company, modules could be
leased to start to project, or the project could be delayed. With such a huge opportunity for
WaterFX, they may make the product available for purchase for this project.
Task 9. Determine number of modules
As found in Task 1, San Francisco Bay is home to 837,000 people (Alexander, “S.F.
Residents…”) with a consumption of 108.4 gallons of water per capita per day (in 2008)
(Williams). This works out to 90.7 million gallons of water per day. Within the current drought
in this past September, consumption per capita per day has dropped to 45.7 gallons (Alexander,
“S.F. Residents…”). With these conservation techniques, the city’s daily consumption drops to
38.3 million gallons per day. Hopefully these sustainable practices have been instilled in the
residents’ behavior and the per capita consumption stays close to 50 gallons per day. A single
WaterFX module can provide 65,000 gallons of water per day, meaning that with current water
consumption, 589 modules would be needed to completely satisfy the city’s water needs. This
may not be realistic, but seeing that a single module can provide for 1400 residents, even a small
number of modules can put a significant dent in the city’s water needs and reduce the need for
water imports. With the ample space found earlier in Task 2 and later in Task 11, we have
decided to propose a system of 500 Aqua4 modules.
Task 10. Design solar and desalination system
22
With the complete modules from WaterFX, designing the system is relatively simple. The 500
modules will easily fit inside our target area in Half Moon Bay. Each module comes with a
desalination unit, eliminating the need for a large central desalination unit. Freshwater produced
can be collected into a holding container and piped into the city as needed.
Figure 6. Aqua4 Concentrated Solar Still
Figure 7. Aqua4 Desalination Unit
23
Freshwater produced can be collected into a holding container and piped into the city as needed.
The pipe infrastructure will be expensive as our site is about 15 miles from San Francisco, but as
a one-time cost, it will be more cost effective in time.
Task 11: Determine equipment needed
Initially, when we were discussing our solution, we gave serious consideration towards building
our own plant. Even if we have decided that the Aqua4 is the best option, it is still necessary to
discuss what components it uses. This particular system uses a multi-effect distiller (MED) with
up to 10 effects. This uses multiple heating tanks so that any remaining salt water can move on to
the next tank until almost all of the fresh water has been harvested. According to the United
Nations Environmental Programme, the process starts off with a boiler, which is powered by the
solar panels. At least three pumps are needed: one to pump seawater into the heating tank, one to
pump steam into the initial heater, and one to pump remaining saltwater into the next effect
(stage); each added effect requires an additional pump. An MED can have any number of effects;
each one routes the newly separated freshwater down through the cold salt water of the next
effect (for cooling) and into storage. The unseparated saltwater from an effect is pumped into the
Figure 8. Diagram of multi-effect distillation process (Al-Mutaz)
24
next one, where it is heated and separated again until the last effect, where the final distilled
water is released to the public and the brine (excessively concentrated salt) is disposed of
carefully. In summation, we would basically need a predetermined number of solar panels, a
boiler station, initial heater, any number of effects, and all necessary pumps; a relatively simple
system. If we do not end up using the Aqua4, we could design a plant with these components.
Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations
With approximately 7,000 linear feet of undeveloped shoreline ranging from 650 to 1750 feet
inland of open space at Pillar Point Harbor, there is ample space for more than enough plants to
supply for San Francisco
(“Half Moon Bay”).
Figure 9. Viable land
area on Half Moon Bay
for the solar desalination
plant ("Half Moon
Bay")
The outlined space above
shows 8,150,694.73
square feet of coastal land
in Half Moon Bay (“Half
Moon Bay”). Without accounting for specific angling and spacing issues, this is large enough for
over 1250 modules at 6500 square foot/module. With ample space, we have chosen for the
25
system to consist of 500 modules. This will allow for the supply of most of the water San
Francisco uses (with conservation practices in effect). At peak efficiency, 3.25 million gallons of
water per day can be desalinated with this system. This additional influx of freshwater into the
city will allow for some drought restrictions to be lifted and for water scarcity to end.
Task 13. Cost analysis
Unfortunately, neither of the founders of the company was available for comment. As a result,
we have had to derive an estimation of the setup cost. The capital involved in the design and
building of a desalination plant is around $3.5 to $4.5 for the gallons of freshwater the facility
dispenses in a day (Banat). Given that the Aqua4 module generates around 65,000 gallons per
day and that our system is made up of 500 modules, we can say that the cost of building and
installing the system should be about $146.25 million (using $4.5 per gallon per day). This is $4
million less than the $150 million for the current proposed plant. The current prospective plant
also does not use solar power; the day to day costs run higher as the plant has to draw electricity
from a power grid. By comparison, solar power is not only an independent power supply, but it
also requires limited maintenance. The pipe infrastructure and installation would cost an
estimated $20 million, as derived in Task 3. This makes our proposal more expensive than the
actual current proposal, but with low maintenance and operational costs, ours should prove to
make more sense financially in the long run. It also allows us to split the pipe at any time and
spread our supply of water to neighboring regions if demand requires.
26
Conclusions
In this section, we present our conclusions based on our research of the three main questions we
were asked to answer
Water Needs
The San Francisco Bay area is closing in on one year in drought status, and while conservation
techniques have worked well to reduce water consumption, additional sources of water still must
be investigated. In 2008, the water consumption per capita was 108.4 gallons per day in San
Francisco (Williams). This past September, consumption was recorded at 45.7 gallons per day
(Alexander, “S.F. Residents…”). While consumption is a great way to reduce the effects of the
drought, the current water usage is still unsustainable, mainly because of the water source. Water
is being pumped out a natural aquifer faster than the aquifer can recharge (Perlman). This leads
to the drainage of the aquifer and a loss of their water source. The rise in water needs can also be
shown by price increases: the price for water in both residential and non-residential buildings in
San Francisco is rising 32% by summer of 2017.
Available Locations
San Francisco, a large city, is likely not to have available land for development. Another
restriction is that any desalination plant must be located on the water, whether that be a bay or
the ocean. Luckily, nearby coastal locations are relatively rural compared to the city and do have
27
open coastal land. An area in the city of Half Moon Bay, located about 15 miles from San
Francisco, has been identified as being suitable for a desalination plant development. Nearly two
hundred acres of land on the waterfront in Half Moon Bay are available for development. The
only drawback is the distance from San Francisco, but a one-time cost for a piping system will
sufficiently transfer the produced freshwater.
Technologies
Desalination is an aged proven process, yet there are multiple techniques emerging as potential
uses for drinking water. Reverse osmosis and solar desalination were researched to find the most
efficient process for this type of project. Solar desalination was found to be best suitable due to
minimal energy conversion losses. Another technology reviewed was solar panels. Options for
our solar energy system included arrays of photovoltaic panels or a concentrated solar thermal
system. Again, efficiency was the main factor in this decision, and concentrated solar thermal
was found to be more efficient. With solar desalination, heat is the main energy used.
Photovoltaics (PV) provide less heat than thermal panels as PV involves a conversion to
electrical energy while thermal does not. The piping system and distillation process were also
researched to fully understand a solar desalination system. After choosing these categories of
technology, a complete system of concentrated solar still and solar desalination unit was found in
WaterFX’s Aqua4. This is the most appropriate piece of technology for such a project.
28
Recommendation
Based on our research, we recommend that a 500 module Aqua4 system be installed in the land
area mentioned in Half Moon Bay. This will provide a large fraction of San Francisco’s water
needs and though it will have no direct effects on the drought, it could be able to lift some of the
drought restrictions on water usage currently in place. This 500 module system could provide
water for 700,000 residents at peak efficiency and with the current water conservation
techniques. The project will have a large upfront cost but requires little maintenance and little to
no additional energy from the grid. Sustainability is a major theme in this project, and it’s
completion will allow the local aquifers to recharge and San Francisco to live more sustainably.
29
Works Cited
Al-Mutaz, Ibrahim. Energy Consumption and Performance for Various Desalination Processes.
Riyadh: King Saud University, 2008. Document.
Alexander, Kurtis. "Amid drought, water-use penalties hit Bay Area." SFGate 22 July 2014.
Alexander, Kurtis. "California drought: San Francisco puts caps on watering." SFGate 12 August
2014.
Alexander, Kurtis. "S.F. Residents Praised for Using Least Water in State." SFGate. San
Francisco Gate, 05 Nov. 2014.
"Aqua4." 2014. WaterFX. URL. 27 October 2014.
Banat, Fawzi. Economic and technical assessment of desalination technologie. Jordan: Jordan
University of Science and Technology, 2007. Slideshow.
"Blog." WaterFX. WaterFX. Web. 30 Oct. 2014.
Boehrer, Katherine. "NASA Satellites Reveal Shocking Groundwater Loss In Colorado River
Basin." The Huffington Post. TheHuffingtonPost.com, 24 July 2014. Web. 28 Oct.
2014.
Climate Anomaly Maps and Tables. 1 October 2014.
<http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/anom/cal_anom.html>. (Primary)
"Concentrating Solar Power Thermal Storage System Basics." Energy.gov. U.S. Department of
Energy, 21 August 2013.
Covington, Richard. "Shining Example." Smithsonian 41.4 (2010): 116-119. Academic Search
Premier. Web. 28 October 2014
"Desalination by Reverse Osmosis." OAS.org. Organization of American States. Web. 27 Oct.
2014.
Drought in California. Sacramento: California Department of Water Resources, 2012.
Fagan, Kevin. "California drought: As land sinks, farmers' brainstorm on water." SFGate 26 July
2014.
Fagan, Kevin. "Desalination plants a pricey option if drought persists." SFGate 15 February
2014.
"FAQ." WaterFX. WaterFX, Web. 28 October 2014.
“Map of Half Moon Bay” Half Moon Bay Coastside Chamber of Commerce and Visitor’s
Bureau. http://www.halfmoonbaychamber.org/
“Half Moon Bay” 37°30’35.10” N and 122°30’19.99” W. Google Earth. 23 February 2014.
(Primary)
Hilderbrand, K. S., Jr. Preparation of Salt Brines for the Fishing Industry. Publication. Oregon
State University, 1998. Web. 05 Nov. 2014.
Kelly-Detwiler, Peter. "WaterFX Sees Solar Desalination As One Way To Address The World's
Water Problem." Forbes. Forbes Magazine, 7 Jan. 2014. Web. 06 Nov. 2014.
Mapsof. 2014. Map. 15 October 2014.
"Non-Residential Rates." San Francisco Water. San Francisco Public Utilities Commission.
Web. 28 Oct. 2014.
30
Parabolic Trough." Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 17 Nov. 2014.
Perlman, David. "Sierra Rises, Quakes Erupt as Central Valley Aquifer Drained." SFGate. San
Francisco Gate, 5 June 2014.
Rogers, Paul. "Nation's largest ocean desalination plant goes up near San Diego; Future of the
California coast?" San Jose Mercury News 29 May 2014.
"San Francisco Solar Map." San Francisco Solar Map. SFOG.us. (Primary)
"Single Family Rates." San Francisco Water. San Francisco Public Utilities Commission.
"Solar Desalination - Clean water from solar energy". Aalborg CSP. Practical Action. 25 August
2013.
"Solar Distillation: Technical Brief". engineeringforchange.org. 25 August 2013
"Solar Maps." NREL: Dynamic Maps, GIS Data, and Analysis Tools -. National Renewable
Energy Lab. (Primary)
Steinmetz, Katy. "Unprecedented California Drought Restrictions Go Into Effect." Time 29 July
2014.
U.S. Geological Survey, 2014, National Water Information System data available on the World
Wide Web (USGS Water Data for the Nation), accessed December 3, 2014 at URL
[http://waterdata.usgs.gov/ca/nwis/inventory/?site_no=11162630]. (Primary)
United Nations Environment Programme. "Water Quality Improvement Technologies."
Sourcebook of Alternative Technologies for Freshwater Augmentation in West Asia
(n.d.): 4.2.1. Website.
Vekshin, Alison. "California Water Prices Soar for Farmers as Drought Grows." Bloomberg 24
July 2014.
"Water Classifications." Water Classifications. Pacificro, n.d. Web. 06 Nov. 2014.
“Who Uses How Much? California Waters by the Numbers.” San Francisco Sierra Club. Web.
06 Nov. 2014.
Williams, Linda. "Willits Declares Phase 1 Water Emergency." Willitsnews.com. 16 Aug. 2013.
31
FAQs
1. Where is water in the San Francisco Bay area currently being supplied from and
why is it not sufficient enough?
In the bay area, water agencies are assigned regions in which they supply fresh water to.
These agencies are only recently having trouble with keeping up with the demand
because their stored water in ground basins are going dry due to the prolonged drought.
2. How long has the drought in California lasted?
California is amidst one of most severe droughts in state history. Rainfall has been
steadily dwindling as of December 2011.
3. How does California’s drought affect other regions?
California is one of the United States’ largest agricultural suppliers, home to a diverse
range of produce. As the farmers there struggle to grow crops, food prices go up, and the
nation pays.
4. What is a desalination plant?
A desalination plant uses either distillation or a porous membrane to separate freshwater
from a saline solution.
5. How old is the process of desalination
Desalination is possibly mentioned in the Bible, and the first recorded act of desalination
occurred in 1684 in the UK.
6. What is solar desalination?
Solar desalination is a type of desalination that uses distillation to separate dissolved solids
from water and then catches the fresh water for potable uses.
7. What is distillation?
Distillation is involves heating up a mixture containing water to boiling point. This means
that the water evaporates and leaves any contaminants (like salt) behind.
8. What is a concentrated solar still?
32
A concentrated solar still is a solar thermal system where a parabolic trough shaped solar
panel collects heat by reflecting photons to a central point or pipe, where water or mineral
oil runs through and can transfer heat.
9. What are kilowatt-hours?
A kilowatt-hour is a unit of energy equal to one kilowatt (kilojoule per second) of power
dissipated for one hour.
10. Why is a desalination plant needed?
Due to the drought, various regions of the state of California have been running out of
freshwater. Freshwater is needed for farming and consumption purposes.
11. Who is WaterFX?
WaterFX is a company founded by Aaron Mandell and Dr. Matthew Stuber. It is devoted
to designing affordable solar-powered desalination systems.
12. What is Aqua4?
The Aqua4 is a small solar-powered desalination plant designed and produced by
WaterFX. It uses a multi-stage distiller to generate freshwater.
13. How large is the Aqua4 module?
The Aqua4 module is 6,500 square feet (160 x 40ft)
14. How much freshwater can a single Aqua4 module provide?
A single Aqua4 module can provide 65,000 gallons per day of freshwater from a brackish
or seawater input.
15. How often will the Aqua4 module run at peak efficiency?
Well above the U.S. average for sunny days in a year at 259 in San Francisco, we can
estimate that the system will run near peak efficiency for much of the year. Even days not
categorized as sunny days will still provide energy and a lower output of desalination, as
photons are still hitting the panels.
33
16. How can the brine output be used industrially?
Once collected and condensed to a solid phase, the brine output can be used as industrial
salts would in various applications such as meat curing.
17. Where is Half Moon Bay?
Half Moon Bay is a coastal city in San Mateo County, California. It is located about 15
miles south of San Francisco. The Half Moon Bay body of water is located off of the
Pacific Ocean.
18. What makes Half Moon Bay a suitable area to have a desalination plant?
Half Moon Bay is a town 15 miles away from San Francisco that with a coastline in the
Pacific Ocean. This beach town has a harbor and an Air Force base near where we plan
to build our plant which is why we feel that it will fit in.
19. Will a desalination plant provide enough fresh water for the region?
Desalination plants theoretically could provide fresh water for the region, but for the most
part it is an unsustainable practice with regards to energy consumption. Solar desalination
changes that, but it is still not efficient enough to be relied on as the only source of water.
20. What defines salt water?
Water’s salinity is based on the number (measured in parts per million) of total dissolved
solids (TDS).
Water Classification ppm TDS
Fresh < 1,000
Brackish 1,000 - 15,000
Saline 15,000 - 30,000
Sea 30,000 - 40,000
Brine > 40,000

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IEEE SusTech Global Future of Water Presentation 11/14/17
 

Assignment 6 Final Project

  • 1. Memo Date: November 18, 2014 To: Ms. Effie Turnbull-Sanders Governor’s Appointed Commissioner California Coastal Commission From: Kyle Runion Christian Ng Aditya Srinivas Subject: Recommendation Report for Researching Solar-Powered Desalination Plants in the San Francisco Bay Area Attached is the report for our study, “San Francisco Desalination Plant Proposal.” We have completed the tasks in our proposal from October 7, 2014: identifying water needs and infrastructure logistics in the San Francisco area, identifying and selecting solar and desalination units and manufacturers, designing the system, and finding the feasibility of the project. We conducted primary and secondary online research to perform these tasks. Water needs, locations, and technologies were reviewed. Contact to various manufacturers was attempted but did not come to fruition. There was ample published research online to sufficiently learn and report about solar-powered desalination. Our findings show that San Francisco is a strong candidate for solar-powered desalination plants. Located in a coastal area currently experiencing drought, solar-powered desalination using concentrated solar stills and solar evaporation desalination would likely prove to be a successful project. On the basis of these findings, we recommend that our system be built. Though we were limited to a preliminary cost analysis, our proposed system is less expensive than a previously proposed desalination plant that does not use solar energy. There is certainly a need for freshwater in the area and our project is the most effective solution. We appreciate the opportunity you have given us in inviting us to research this proposal, and we look forward to working with you in other sections of the study as well as any related future study. If you have any questions or comments, please contact Kyle Runion at kylerunion@gmail.com or 975-3121.
  • 2. Researching Solar-Powered Desalination Plants in the San Francisco Bay Area Prepared for: Professor Daniel Saalfeld, Professional Writing Instructor University of Maryland Prepared by: Kyle Runion Christian Ng Aditya Srinivas December 4, 2014
  • 3. Table of Contents Abstract 1 Executive Summary 2 Introduction 4 ResearchMethods 8 Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area 8 Task 2. Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant 8 Task 3. Identify water source and transportation 8 Task 4: Find energy usage of desalination plant 9 Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.) 9 Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used 10 Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers 10 Task 8. Choose manufacturer of panels 10 Task 9. Determine number of panels 10 Task 10. Design solar and desalination system 11 Task 11. Determine equipment needed 11 Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations 11 Task 13. Cost analysis 12 Results 13 Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area. 13 Task 2. Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant 13 Task 3. Identify water source and transportation 14 Task 4: Find energy usage of desalination plant 15 Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.) 16 Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used 17 Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers 18 Task 8. Choose manufacturer of panels 19 Task 9. Determine number of panels 21 Task 10. Design solar and desalination system 21 Task 11. Determine equipment needed 23 Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations 24 Task 13. Cost analysis 25 Conclusions 26 Recommendations 28 References 28 FAQ’s 31 Figures Figure 1 4 Figure 2 12
  • 4. Figure 3 13 Figure 4 16 Figure 5 19 Figure 6 21 Figure 7 21 Figure 8 22 Figure 9 23
  • 5. 1 Abstract Researching Solar-Powered Desalination Plants in the San Francisco Bay Area Prepared by: Kyle Runion Christian Ng Aditya Srivinas On October 7, 2014, a research proposal for solar-powered desalination plants in the San Francisco Bay area was devised by three students at the University of Maryland. San Francisco and much of the southwest United States has been experiencing a drought and shortage of freshwater. With population increases and the rise of climatic instability through climate change, a sustainable source of freshwater is needed to supply for the city. Through research of the city’s water needs, possible locations, technology, and a cost analysis we attempted to create a feasible solution. We found that though the water usage in San Francisco is very high, it has been relatively low per capita recently due to water conservation efforts. A system consisting of concentrated solar stills and solar desalination units in Half Moon Bay near Pillar Point Harbor about 15 miles south of San Francisco could supply a large percentage of San Francisco’s freshwater. We recommend that a 500 module system be built in this location with the water to be transported to the city via pipes. This project is based on sustainability and follows that attitude wherever applicable, and should be a popular decision for San Francisco’s water shortage. Keywords: San Francisco, solar power, desalination, Half Moon Bay, water, drought
  • 6. 2 Executive Summary On October 16, 2014, we began to research the benefits of implementing solar-powered desalination for the city of San Francisco. Since the December of 2011, California has been experiencing a steady and precipitous drop in rainfall, resulting in one of the state’s largest droughts since the late eighties and early nineties. According to the Western Regional Climate Center, California’s average rainfall has been far below that of the United States for the past year (10/1/2013 – 9/30/2014) (Climate Anomaly Maps and Tables). Cities such as San Francisco only had around a quarter of the average precipitation of the country. This has not only been a detriment to residents in the city, but also an event poised to cripple the farmers of the area. While people in the city are being ordered by the government to cut back on water usage, the lack of rain is forcing farmers to either pump groundwater from wells or buy fresh water from local suppliers. Unfortunately, pumping groundwater which not being replenished by rainfall is causing the ground to steadily sink, putting a pin in any development programs in the area. To top it off, both methods of acquiring water involve hefty costs. In order to keep up with rising costs, farmers have had to reduce the amount of the crops that they grow, causing food prices to rise. With California being one of the most productive agricultural regions in the United States, this dilemma extends to the rest of the country and some parts of the world as well. We focused on the city of San Francisco as we researched the practicality and feasibility of using multiple small-scale solar-powered desalination plants, which would provide fresh water to the city. It has been proposed to build a plant in the Bay Area; however, this plant would incur around $150 million in setup costs alone and use plenty of energy operating. Solar-powered
  • 7. 3 plants could cost less, use less energy, and be self-sufficient. As we conducted our research, we investigated the needs of the population, the most efficient solar system to use, the most effective desalination technique, and the potential cost-savings of solar power. We immediately found that it would be more cost-effective and efficient to purchase solar- powered plants from a company known as WaterFX. The plant module is called an Aqua4, and it uses a process called multi-effect distillation to separate the water from the brine. One module only requires about a seventh of an acre and is estimated to cost around $292,500 (“FAQ”). While we determined its energy use to be nearly 40 kilowatt-hours per cubic meter of freshwater generated, this calculation did not account for the fact that the Aqua4 recycles waste heat. We decided that Half Moon Bay would be the best location for a system of these modules and found that 1250 plants could fit in the area. This was plenty of space considering we only needed 589 to satisfy the population of San Francisco. We decided, however, to cap the number of modules at an even 500 in order to account for any obstacles (sidewalks, small facilities, etc.); this would still provide a substantial amount of freshwater to the city. Upon review of our findings and conclusions, we recommend the building of multiple small- scale solar-powered desalination plants for San Francisco in the Bay Area.
  • 8. 4 Introduction Since the December of 2011, California has been experiencing a steady and precipitous drop in rainfall, resulting in one of the state’s largest droughts since the late eighties and early nineties. According to the Western Regional Climate Center, California’s average rainfall has been far below that of the United States for the past year (10/1/2013 – 9/30/2014) (Climate Anomaly Maps and Tables). Cities such as San Francisco only had around a quarter of the average precipitation of the country. It is estimated that around 80% of the state is in extreme drought (Climate Anomaly Maps and Tables). As this drought enters its fourth year, it shows no signs of ending. Figure 1, Average Monthly Discharge for Pilantaros Creek in Half Moon Bay, California (U. S. Geological Survey). As shown in Figure 1 above, the average monthly discharge in Pilantaros Creek, California has been dropping recently. Discharge can measure precipitation by measuring the changes in the discharge of a river or creek. With no water from precipitation, a creek will be at what is called 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Nov-05 Apr-06 Sep-06 Feb-07 Jul-07 Dec-07 May-08 Oct-08 Mar-09 Aug-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Nov-10 Apr-11 Sep-11 Feb-12 Jul-12 Dec-12 May-13 Oct-13 Mar-14 Discharge(cfs) Date Average Monthly Discharge for Pilataros Creek in Half Moon Bay, California Mean Monthly Discharge
  • 9. 5 baseflow. This is the low flow experienced when the creek is only fed by groundwater. Any additional water then can be attributed to precipitation. A major effect of the drought can be seen late in the graph, in January 2014. This is normally a wet time of the year for Pilantaros Creek, but the average discharge has a low peak through April 2014, the last recorded date. Without this influx of water in early 2014 to be collected and recharge local aquifers, the past year has experienced major drought through the dry season. We intend to focus on San Francisco as we research a potential solution to this climate disaster. The biggest problem with the absence of rainfall is the lack of fresh water. Farms, residences, and even office buildings in the financial district require it. As farms suffer, the supply of fresh food is further diminished. While farmers have found temporary solutions in pumping groundwater or buying it from local suppliers, this has severe repercussions as well. Pumping groundwater is causing the ground to steadily sink. One water supplier in Los Banos depends on a dam to supply water to canals and then to customers; in five years, however, the dam has sunk around three feet, meaning that the river is close to spilling over, resulting in even less water (Fagan, California drought). If groundwater continues to be siphoned without being recharged by rainfall, the land will continue to sink drastically, putting a pin in any development programs in the area. The wells required to extract the water are also expensive to maintain, with costs ranging well above $200,000 (Fagan, California drought). Buying water is not much cheaper, if at all; about one year ago, farmers were charged around $140 per acre by the Westlands Water District in Fresno (Vekshin). Now, however, they are being charged $1100 or more per acre. Considering that many of these farmers have thousands of acres of land, this can add up to a pretty hefty cost that could drive many farmers out of business.
  • 10. 6 Many of them are already being forced to reduce the number of acres that they regularly use. This, as mentioned before, is decreasing the supply of food, thereby increasing the price. California is one of the most productive agricultural regions in the United States, hosting 80,500 farms and ranches that offer produce such as beef, milk, fruits, vegetables, and rice (Vekshin). These farms provide a sizable portion of the food that is consumed in our country, meaning that this drought affects the rest of us as well. The US Department of Agriculture has predicted that the prices of fresh fruit and dairy products will rise about 6% and 4%, respectively (Vekshin). The farmers are not the only people suffering; residents in the actual city are struggling as well. In response, Governor Jerry Brown requested people statewide to voluntarily reduce their water consumption by 20% earlier this year (Steinmetz). Now, the drought is forcing the government to finally institute largely unprecedented water usage restrictions to prevent people from wasting water. San Francisco is mandating that users reduce their outdoor water consumption by at least 10%; doubling water rates on those who do not achieve this is also a possibility (Alexander, “California drought…”). In fact, in the Bay Area city of Pleasanton, not adhering to the city policy of reducing water usage can result in doubling (or even tripling) of bills. Throughout California, fines of up to $500 can be imposed if residents (or organizations) are caught using water to hose down driveways/ sidewalks, to decorate non-circulating fountains, or even to wash their cars without a shut-off valve. This particular set of regulations will last for 270 days starting July 29, 2014, though it is likely to be renewed until the drought show signs of receding (Steinmetz). While San Francisco is late in administering these cutbacks, more stringent regulations are likely to follow in response to the ongoing drought.
  • 11. 7 In order to solve the problem, in 2003, water agencies in San Francisco proposed the construction of a desalination plant in the Bay Area; this would result in a massive and welcomed influx of freshwater into the city (Fagan, Desalination plants). However, this plan has drawbacks; the cost to build this plant is estimated to be around $150 million. This plant would also require plenty of energy in exchange for the water, which would significantly increase yearly costs in monetary and environmental terms (environmental costs come from extra pollution). We wish to propose research of the benefits of constructing several small-scale solar- powered desalination plants, which would, in theory, reduce costs and still provide sufficient water. As we conducted our research, we investigated the needs of the population, the most efficient solar system to use, the potential cost-savings of solar power, and the available fresh water output of the system. Understanding these factors is vital in determining the practicality and feasibility of this project versus that of a conventional desalination plant. In the following sections, we further describe our research methods, our gathered results, the conclusions we derived, and our final recommendation.
  • 12. 8 Research Methods Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area It is understood that much of the Southwest United States suffers from water shortages. Finding the current water needs and specific numbers on available water will helped us decide the size of our desalination plant. Water prices will drop with a higher supply, so it is in our best interest to supply water to a point where it is still profitable for us. We found the water needs by finding the population of the area, researching industries and their water usage, and identifying current water resources. Task 2. Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant Water is expensive to transport, so a nearby location is vital for our proposal’s feasibility. Specific area will be were found after the system design and size were determined. This section of the research found primary sites before advancing in our research. Understanding that the salinity concentration corresponds with higher operational costs, we wanted to find a balance between transportation costs and input water quality. This was researched by looking through Google Earth and following up with public records to see if the land could be acquired/leased. We also considered to have our solar system and desalination plant in different locations, so if one site is not suitable for both, then smaller, more remote locations would have been researched. This option also included a need to research energy losses and costs through transmission, but after initial research, it was found that this scenario was not necessary. Another option was to have the plant(s) on a nearby island. This also proved undesirable as transportation costs were high and land use was a troubling matter.
  • 13. 9 Task 3. Identify water source and transportation We identified our water source and mode of transportation by first looking at all available sources of water in the area. This mainly came down to aquifers, the San Francisco Bay, and various rivers. The San Francisco Bay proved to be the most feasible option, as aquifers are currently being used (and running dry) for water supplies. Rivers are often used for agricultural irrigation and seeing as how supplies are unstable as it is, they would not be a suitable option for our use. The Bay is a satisfactory source as it does not have an excessive salinity level and contains an extremely large volume of water. The Bay also allows flexibility when choosing specific sites for our plants as there is a large amount of shoreline, allowing for many different locations. Task 4. Find energy usage of desalination plant Finding the energy usage of a desalination plant helped us to bridge the gap between energy created and fresh-water provided. We needed to find the average energy usage of two different types of desalination techniques: reverse osmosis, and solar desalination. This figure, along with later finding exact outputs from our energy source, allowed us to adjust numbers in order to make the project viable. The size of the desalination plant was then based on the water needs previously found. Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.) Researching solar power systems allowed us to find the advantages to each type. Array and concentrated solar systems were our main focus as they were found to be most realistic for our project. Research was conducted on these technologies via manufacturer’s websites and
  • 14. 10 published research, and based on our size and cost constraints we decided on our type of systems. Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used After realizing there were multiple, viable, commercial-scale desalination techniques, we decided we must research each in order to make an informed decision. Technical specification sheets and review articles were used to weigh the pros and cons about both reverse osmosis and solar desalination. Criteria to differentiate the two included energy usage and efficiency, brine discharge composition, and ease of operation. Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers Criteria must be established to be able to decide which manufacturer would be most efficient to purchase and use. Through research of solar energy systems and desalination techniques, as well as reviews of successful past proposals, certain criteria began to rise as vital to differentiate manufacturers. It was necessary that this criteria be composed of the largest factors of success in solar panels and desalination units for a successful project. After establishing this criteria, we were able to begin to select certain products to propose for our desalination plant and find the cost to benefit analysis. Task 8. Choose type/manufacturer of panels After deciding between an array and concentrated system, we started to focus on specific panels. Research was done on both reflectors and thermal solar panels, the two popular options for concentrated solar systems. This decision was based on the criteria mentioned in the Task 7.
  • 15. 11 Task 9. Determine number of panels Our selection for the manufacturer made determining the number of panels very simple. The panels are connected in a module and, with an attached desalination unit, can be rated in gallons of freshwater produced a day. This simplifies conversions of energy and for our purposes, produces the most efficient system possible. Our biggest constraints were cost and land available. With enough available funds, this project could be scaled up to fulfill the entire city’s water needs. We made a decision on number of panels based on providing a reasonable fraction of the city’s needs and effective use of our land resources. Task 10. Design solar and desalination system After selecting the WaterFX Aqua4 solar desalination system, designing the solar and desalination system was very simple. The Aqua4 is a complete, modular system, so it became very flexible as to how to set the design. The size restraints were found and Task 11. Determine equipment needed Even though we had already chosen a specific, complete system, it was still important to learn each part of this system to ensure we had a full knowledge of the system. This was done by breaking down the system and researching each part. All parts of the system have been used elsewhere for various applications, so literature was available to be found in places other than the manufacturer’s webpage. This also allowed us to build our own similar system if the Aqua4 module was unavailable for some reason.
  • 16. 12 Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations An expansion to our efforts in Task 2, we identified specific locations for desalination plants. After knowing space and other requirements, we were able to hone in on certain areas and select those that we thought would work well. As previously stated, there is no upper or lower limit to the number of plants or modules, so we decided to select any location that would make sense financially and logistically. Task 13. Cost vs profit Finally, we attempted to perform a cost/benefit analysis to determine our long term feasibility. With some of our desired products in the pre-market stage, a cost/benefit analysis proved difficult. We decided to stick by these products because while they may not be readily available, they are without a doubt the most capable pieces of technology for our project.
  • 17. 13 Results Task 1. Identify current water needs in the San Francisco Bay Area. According to a map provided by the San Francisco Bee, in 2008 San Francisco County consumed 108.4 gallons per capita per day (Williams). Currently, the San Francisco Bay Area relies on water imported from the Sierra Nevada and Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. These two sources account for two-thirds of the water supply, however; they will not be able to keep up with the growing population and increasing demand. Within the Bay Area are different water agencies that control the distribution of water in their region as seen in Figure 1. Several of these agencies are getting some of their water locally from sources such as the Mokelumne and Tuolumne Rivers. However, this accounts for only about 10% of their water supply and these sources are unreliable during drought. In accounting for dry periods, these water agencies store water in the ground, but with this extended dry period, these ground basins are being tapped out. Home to 7.44 million people, a number that is steadily growing; the need for water in the San Francisco Bay Area has never been higher. Figure 2. Major Urban Water Agencies in the Bay Area (“Maps of”)
  • 18. 14 Task 2: Identify land in SF bay area that would be viable to build the plant San Francisco is a metropolitan area so finding a large area of land to build the desalination plant on would be expensive and difficult so we chose an area right outside of the city. The area we decided on is on the coast of Half Moon Bay, particularly in the region near Pillar Point Harbor as seen in figure 2. Only 15 miles away from San Francisco, this beach town would be suitable for the plant because of its close proximity and the plants ability to blend into the town. There are many piers and docks in the town so the plant would fit in. The plant we are constructing is not large so it would not take up a huge amount of space and take away from the town. Instead, we believe that the plant would boost the town’s economy and give it a reliable source of income. The majority of income for Half Moon Bay is based off tourism and the plant would provide yearlong jobs to locals rather than the seasonal beach jobs. Task 3. Identify water source and transportation The water that will be used for the desalination plants will be retrieved from the Pacific Ocean. Freshwater produced from our plants must be transported to the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission which would then re-direct the water to the residents. We considered two sources of transportation of the water: trucks and underground piping. Ultimately, we decided to go with the underground piping because we determined that trucking would not be feasible due to cost. Figure 3. Map of Half Moon Bay (““Map of Half Moon Bay”)
  • 19. 15 An underground piping system would be a large initial cost with little maintenance cost over time while a trucking service would be a steady cost which would cost more in the long run. We estimated that it would take about 25 miles of piping from our desired plant destination to the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission. If one inch pipe is used from each of the 500 modules and connected to a water main, the water main would need to be 24 inch schedule 40 steel pipe. To install this water main for 25 miles, it would cost about $20 million for the pipe itself and labor. Task 4: Find energy usage of desalination plant Every desalination plant, no matter how small, has a system of components designed to separate salt from water, hence the name, “desalination plant.” There are a variety of methods we can use to conduct the process of filtering; we are leaning towards a technique known as distillation (See Task 6). This involves separating the water from the salt through evaporation. The main advantage of this method is that it has a much simpler design and guarantees purer water than its competitor, reverse osmosis. This method (reverse osmosis) has the water is pumped out of the ocean and forced through a semipermeable membrane that separates the water from the salt. The fresh water in both methods is then stored and distributed through a main into a water system. According to a report from King Saud University, reverse osmosis plants use around 4-6 kilowatt-hours per cubic meter of fresh water (kWh/m3). The report also showed that distillation plants use around 14-16 kilowatt-hours per cubic meter, which is a considerably higher amount (Al-Mutaz). For the distillation plant data, we are using the electrical equivalent numbers, which account for thermal energy as well. While reverse osmosis does use less energy, it also uses much more complex parts, which have a higher probability of breaking down and require more
  • 20. 16 frequent maintenance. Distillation plants are inherently less complex and allow for better packaging, due to the relatively low number of parts. After plenty of consideration, we have decided that a system known as the Aqua4 would be the most effective building block of our solution. The Aqua4, a product from WaterFX, is a small desalination plant which uses solar panels to distill the seawater (as in the aforementioned method). The obvious advantage of this is that the process of installing the plants would become much simpler; we are purchasing stock of a single product. It also takes up about a seventh of an acre which is a fairly small amount of space. The energy consumption is estimated at nearly 40 kilowatt-hours per cubic meter, but it also stores and recycles the excess thermal energy in steam (Aqua4). It also runs entirely on the solar panels provided by WaterFX. We believe that this is a viable option which would allow us to use a very compact space and minimize setup costs. Task 5. Identify solar system to be used (array vs. concentrated, etc.) While arrays of solar panels and concentrated solar power systems are both grouped into the same category in solar energy, they are quite different. Solar arrays, a solar photovoltaic application, are the common thought of solar energy, with grids of panels facing the sun and converting sunlight into electrical energy. Solar panels can be used in small scale projects, such as residential homes, or large scale, as a solar farm. Concentrated solar power systems, a solar thermal application, work with mirrors to focus solar radiation and drive a steam turbine through heat. This is more similar to our current large scale energy generation with coal (Covington). Concentrated solar stills have been used through history for solar-powered desalination and still prove to be the most efficient option (Solar Desalination - Clean water from solar energy, 1-4). A concentrated solar still consists of an arc of mirrors aimed at a central pipe (Solar Distillation: Technical Brief, 2).
  • 21. 17 Figure 4. Solar parabolic trough often used with solar stills (Parabolic Trough) Water flows through this pipe and is heated until it flows to a storage tank and then to the desalination unit (Solar Distillation: Technical Brief, 2). Alternatively, mineral oil, which can more effectively collect and transfer heat, can be used in these pipes. The mineral oil pipe is a closed system where it can run through a water tank and transfer heat (“Concentrating Solar Power Thermal Storage System Basics.”) We propose to use concentrated solar stills in our project design. Task 6. Identify desalination technique to be used The most popular type of desalination is currently reverse osmosis ("Desalination by Reverse Osmosis"). In reverse osmosis, saltwater is put under pressure and the water and dissolved salts are separated through a water-permeable membrane ("Desalination by Reverse Osmosis"). Though fairly simple, it is a very energy-intensive process. A newer method of desalination, currently termed “solar desalination,” is based on evaporation. Water is heated and goes through evaporation chambers, where it separates from salts and is collected (“FAQ.”). This process also requires energy in the form of heat; this could be easily applied with our concentrated solar stills. Instead of harvesting heat with the solar still to create electricity through a steam turbine, the
  • 22. 18 heat could be directly applied to the saltwater and used to promote evaporation. This makes solar desalination a more attractive option for our project, as it allows conversions of energy to be kept to a minimum, encouraging high system efficiency. Task 7. Establish criteria to evaluate different manufacturers With the selection of a concentrated solar still as our energy system and solar desalination as our desalination technique, we must begin to decide which brand and manufacturer can best fit our needs. A combination of quality and cost must be found to make our solution to the San Francisco water troubles viable and worthwhile. Our criteria will include: cost, location of manufacturer, applicability, energy consumption, discharge, and infrastructure. Financially, this proposal must make sense. Single family residential buildings are currently paying $4.86 per CCF (100 cubic feet or 748 gallons) of water (for the first four CCFs) (“Single Family Rates”). By June, 2017, this price will be $6.42 (“Single Family Rates”). Non-residential buildings in San Francisco currently pay $5.79 per CCF and will be paying $7.64 in 2017 (“Non- Residential Rates). Should we recommend this desalination plant be built, it must be able to have competitive pricing on water. Another pricing consideration we can make is the effect on groundwater. San Francisco is currently using groundwater for their water uses at an unsustainable rate. The state of California currently lacks groundwater regulations, but NASA has found that nearby basins are running dry (Boehrer). This would require a more in-depth study to find financial benefits of preserving the groundwater supplies, but we can acknowledge that there certainly is an incentive to doing so. Location of manufacturer is a criterion in the subset of cost. Applicability is another aspect we must consider when evaluating manufacturers, in the sense that the system must be able to collect solar energy efficiently. San Francisco receives an average
  • 23. 19 of 4.1-4.6 kWh/m2/day ("San Francisco Solar Map"). Though this is lower than most of the California and Southwest U.S. region, it is at or above the average for the continental U.S. ("Solar Maps"). In order for our desalination plant to be successful, we must take advantage of this solar energy with a solar system that can efficiently convert sunlight to heat or electrical energy. Energy consumption is a significant trait: the plant must have a low cost of energy in order to be feasible. The solar system must supply sufficient energy to the desalination plant to keep external costs low, and the desalination unit should use as little energy as possible while providing the necessary quantity of a high quality output. This idea ties into the efficiency aspect, as in order to keep costs low, a high efficiency is required. Discharge, in the sense of the desired and undesired outputs, should be taken into consideration as well. The desired output, freshwater, is obviously our main concern. Essentially all desalination units on the market discharge extremely clean fresh water, so that will not be a point of contention. Solar desalination, based on evaporation, is usually very efficient, with rates of up to 93% (“FAQ”). This creates a smaller volume of salty wastewater, or brine, as compared to reverse osmosis. The small volume of brine is more easily treated and has industrial uses as a refrigerant or curing mechanism for seafood (Hilderbrand). Infrastructure is our final criteria in evaluating manufacturers. In a highly populated city such as San Francisco it is vital to make the most of the available space. Solar panels tend to use the same amount of space per manufacturer, but space can be saved with the desalination unit. A smaller unit, or one using vertical space more efficiently, will be favored.
  • 24. 20 Task 8. Choose type/manufacturer of panels Located in the Central Valley in California (“Blog”), WaterFX is a local manufacturer to our project site. Locality supports a theme in our project, sustainability, and is important to gain support of citizens and officials in San Francisco. They also provide the type of solar system and desalination unit we have chosen: a concentrated solar still and solar desalination (“FAQ”). A single WaterFX Aqua4 solar desalination module can provide up to 65,000 gallons of freshwater per day (“FAQ”), which could provide for over 1400 residents (Alexander, “Amid drought…”), given their current water conservation practices. The Aqua4 has shown freshwater [of under five parts per million (ppm) of total dissolved solids (TDS)] generation efficiencies of over 93%, with the 7% brine being super concentrated with over 200,000 ppm TDS (“FAQ”). To give this concentration perspective, freshwater is defined as containing under 1,000 ppm TDS, while sea water contains 30,000 to 40,000 ppm TDS (“Water Concentrations”). A very concentrated brine opens the possibility for industrial use for the otherwise waste material, and at the very worst, a lower volume of waste to treat/dispose of. The relatively small scale size of the Aqua4 of 6,500 square feet will allow for flexibility on our part (“FAQ”). With modules being fully operational whether there be a single or multiple, they can be placed on any piece of land we find close to a water source. Even more flexibility is provided with the Aqua4 modules, as a single module is made up of ten stages; modules can be scaled up or down depending on space and capacity needs (“FAQ”). Figure 5. Solid salt composition from treated brine ("Blog")
  • 25. 21 Though this product seems perfect for our application, there are a few minor drawbacks. WaterFX seems to be a very young company, with its first found mention online was published in early 2014 (Kelly-Detwiler). The Aqua4 module is currently only available for lease, rather than purchase (“Aqua4”). Depending on developments with the company, modules could be leased to start to project, or the project could be delayed. With such a huge opportunity for WaterFX, they may make the product available for purchase for this project. Task 9. Determine number of modules As found in Task 1, San Francisco Bay is home to 837,000 people (Alexander, “S.F. Residents…”) with a consumption of 108.4 gallons of water per capita per day (in 2008) (Williams). This works out to 90.7 million gallons of water per day. Within the current drought in this past September, consumption per capita per day has dropped to 45.7 gallons (Alexander, “S.F. Residents…”). With these conservation techniques, the city’s daily consumption drops to 38.3 million gallons per day. Hopefully these sustainable practices have been instilled in the residents’ behavior and the per capita consumption stays close to 50 gallons per day. A single WaterFX module can provide 65,000 gallons of water per day, meaning that with current water consumption, 589 modules would be needed to completely satisfy the city’s water needs. This may not be realistic, but seeing that a single module can provide for 1400 residents, even a small number of modules can put a significant dent in the city’s water needs and reduce the need for water imports. With the ample space found earlier in Task 2 and later in Task 11, we have decided to propose a system of 500 Aqua4 modules. Task 10. Design solar and desalination system
  • 26. 22 With the complete modules from WaterFX, designing the system is relatively simple. The 500 modules will easily fit inside our target area in Half Moon Bay. Each module comes with a desalination unit, eliminating the need for a large central desalination unit. Freshwater produced can be collected into a holding container and piped into the city as needed. Figure 6. Aqua4 Concentrated Solar Still Figure 7. Aqua4 Desalination Unit
  • 27. 23 Freshwater produced can be collected into a holding container and piped into the city as needed. The pipe infrastructure will be expensive as our site is about 15 miles from San Francisco, but as a one-time cost, it will be more cost effective in time. Task 11: Determine equipment needed Initially, when we were discussing our solution, we gave serious consideration towards building our own plant. Even if we have decided that the Aqua4 is the best option, it is still necessary to discuss what components it uses. This particular system uses a multi-effect distiller (MED) with up to 10 effects. This uses multiple heating tanks so that any remaining salt water can move on to the next tank until almost all of the fresh water has been harvested. According to the United Nations Environmental Programme, the process starts off with a boiler, which is powered by the solar panels. At least three pumps are needed: one to pump seawater into the heating tank, one to pump steam into the initial heater, and one to pump remaining saltwater into the next effect (stage); each added effect requires an additional pump. An MED can have any number of effects; each one routes the newly separated freshwater down through the cold salt water of the next effect (for cooling) and into storage. The unseparated saltwater from an effect is pumped into the Figure 8. Diagram of multi-effect distillation process (Al-Mutaz)
  • 28. 24 next one, where it is heated and separated again until the last effect, where the final distilled water is released to the public and the brine (excessively concentrated salt) is disposed of carefully. In summation, we would basically need a predetermined number of solar panels, a boiler station, initial heater, any number of effects, and all necessary pumps; a relatively simple system. If we do not end up using the Aqua4, we could design a plant with these components. Task 12. Determine number of plants needed and identify locations With approximately 7,000 linear feet of undeveloped shoreline ranging from 650 to 1750 feet inland of open space at Pillar Point Harbor, there is ample space for more than enough plants to supply for San Francisco (“Half Moon Bay”). Figure 9. Viable land area on Half Moon Bay for the solar desalination plant ("Half Moon Bay") The outlined space above shows 8,150,694.73 square feet of coastal land in Half Moon Bay (“Half Moon Bay”). Without accounting for specific angling and spacing issues, this is large enough for over 1250 modules at 6500 square foot/module. With ample space, we have chosen for the
  • 29. 25 system to consist of 500 modules. This will allow for the supply of most of the water San Francisco uses (with conservation practices in effect). At peak efficiency, 3.25 million gallons of water per day can be desalinated with this system. This additional influx of freshwater into the city will allow for some drought restrictions to be lifted and for water scarcity to end. Task 13. Cost analysis Unfortunately, neither of the founders of the company was available for comment. As a result, we have had to derive an estimation of the setup cost. The capital involved in the design and building of a desalination plant is around $3.5 to $4.5 for the gallons of freshwater the facility dispenses in a day (Banat). Given that the Aqua4 module generates around 65,000 gallons per day and that our system is made up of 500 modules, we can say that the cost of building and installing the system should be about $146.25 million (using $4.5 per gallon per day). This is $4 million less than the $150 million for the current proposed plant. The current prospective plant also does not use solar power; the day to day costs run higher as the plant has to draw electricity from a power grid. By comparison, solar power is not only an independent power supply, but it also requires limited maintenance. The pipe infrastructure and installation would cost an estimated $20 million, as derived in Task 3. This makes our proposal more expensive than the actual current proposal, but with low maintenance and operational costs, ours should prove to make more sense financially in the long run. It also allows us to split the pipe at any time and spread our supply of water to neighboring regions if demand requires.
  • 30. 26 Conclusions In this section, we present our conclusions based on our research of the three main questions we were asked to answer Water Needs The San Francisco Bay area is closing in on one year in drought status, and while conservation techniques have worked well to reduce water consumption, additional sources of water still must be investigated. In 2008, the water consumption per capita was 108.4 gallons per day in San Francisco (Williams). This past September, consumption was recorded at 45.7 gallons per day (Alexander, “S.F. Residents…”). While consumption is a great way to reduce the effects of the drought, the current water usage is still unsustainable, mainly because of the water source. Water is being pumped out a natural aquifer faster than the aquifer can recharge (Perlman). This leads to the drainage of the aquifer and a loss of their water source. The rise in water needs can also be shown by price increases: the price for water in both residential and non-residential buildings in San Francisco is rising 32% by summer of 2017. Available Locations San Francisco, a large city, is likely not to have available land for development. Another restriction is that any desalination plant must be located on the water, whether that be a bay or the ocean. Luckily, nearby coastal locations are relatively rural compared to the city and do have
  • 31. 27 open coastal land. An area in the city of Half Moon Bay, located about 15 miles from San Francisco, has been identified as being suitable for a desalination plant development. Nearly two hundred acres of land on the waterfront in Half Moon Bay are available for development. The only drawback is the distance from San Francisco, but a one-time cost for a piping system will sufficiently transfer the produced freshwater. Technologies Desalination is an aged proven process, yet there are multiple techniques emerging as potential uses for drinking water. Reverse osmosis and solar desalination were researched to find the most efficient process for this type of project. Solar desalination was found to be best suitable due to minimal energy conversion losses. Another technology reviewed was solar panels. Options for our solar energy system included arrays of photovoltaic panels or a concentrated solar thermal system. Again, efficiency was the main factor in this decision, and concentrated solar thermal was found to be more efficient. With solar desalination, heat is the main energy used. Photovoltaics (PV) provide less heat than thermal panels as PV involves a conversion to electrical energy while thermal does not. The piping system and distillation process were also researched to fully understand a solar desalination system. After choosing these categories of technology, a complete system of concentrated solar still and solar desalination unit was found in WaterFX’s Aqua4. This is the most appropriate piece of technology for such a project.
  • 32. 28 Recommendation Based on our research, we recommend that a 500 module Aqua4 system be installed in the land area mentioned in Half Moon Bay. This will provide a large fraction of San Francisco’s water needs and though it will have no direct effects on the drought, it could be able to lift some of the drought restrictions on water usage currently in place. This 500 module system could provide water for 700,000 residents at peak efficiency and with the current water conservation techniques. The project will have a large upfront cost but requires little maintenance and little to no additional energy from the grid. Sustainability is a major theme in this project, and it’s completion will allow the local aquifers to recharge and San Francisco to live more sustainably.
  • 33. 29 Works Cited Al-Mutaz, Ibrahim. Energy Consumption and Performance for Various Desalination Processes. Riyadh: King Saud University, 2008. Document. Alexander, Kurtis. "Amid drought, water-use penalties hit Bay Area." SFGate 22 July 2014. Alexander, Kurtis. "California drought: San Francisco puts caps on watering." SFGate 12 August 2014. Alexander, Kurtis. "S.F. Residents Praised for Using Least Water in State." SFGate. San Francisco Gate, 05 Nov. 2014. "Aqua4." 2014. WaterFX. URL. 27 October 2014. Banat, Fawzi. Economic and technical assessment of desalination technologie. Jordan: Jordan University of Science and Technology, 2007. Slideshow. "Blog." WaterFX. WaterFX. Web. 30 Oct. 2014. Boehrer, Katherine. "NASA Satellites Reveal Shocking Groundwater Loss In Colorado River Basin." The Huffington Post. TheHuffingtonPost.com, 24 July 2014. Web. 28 Oct. 2014. Climate Anomaly Maps and Tables. 1 October 2014. <http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/anom/cal_anom.html>. (Primary) "Concentrating Solar Power Thermal Storage System Basics." Energy.gov. U.S. Department of Energy, 21 August 2013. Covington, Richard. "Shining Example." Smithsonian 41.4 (2010): 116-119. Academic Search Premier. Web. 28 October 2014 "Desalination by Reverse Osmosis." OAS.org. Organization of American States. Web. 27 Oct. 2014. Drought in California. Sacramento: California Department of Water Resources, 2012. Fagan, Kevin. "California drought: As land sinks, farmers' brainstorm on water." SFGate 26 July 2014. Fagan, Kevin. "Desalination plants a pricey option if drought persists." SFGate 15 February 2014. "FAQ." WaterFX. WaterFX, Web. 28 October 2014. “Map of Half Moon Bay” Half Moon Bay Coastside Chamber of Commerce and Visitor’s Bureau. http://www.halfmoonbaychamber.org/ “Half Moon Bay” 37°30’35.10” N and 122°30’19.99” W. Google Earth. 23 February 2014. (Primary) Hilderbrand, K. S., Jr. Preparation of Salt Brines for the Fishing Industry. Publication. Oregon State University, 1998. Web. 05 Nov. 2014. Kelly-Detwiler, Peter. "WaterFX Sees Solar Desalination As One Way To Address The World's Water Problem." Forbes. Forbes Magazine, 7 Jan. 2014. Web. 06 Nov. 2014. Mapsof. 2014. Map. 15 October 2014. "Non-Residential Rates." San Francisco Water. San Francisco Public Utilities Commission. Web. 28 Oct. 2014.
  • 34. 30 Parabolic Trough." Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 17 Nov. 2014. Perlman, David. "Sierra Rises, Quakes Erupt as Central Valley Aquifer Drained." SFGate. San Francisco Gate, 5 June 2014. Rogers, Paul. "Nation's largest ocean desalination plant goes up near San Diego; Future of the California coast?" San Jose Mercury News 29 May 2014. "San Francisco Solar Map." San Francisco Solar Map. SFOG.us. (Primary) "Single Family Rates." San Francisco Water. San Francisco Public Utilities Commission. "Solar Desalination - Clean water from solar energy". Aalborg CSP. Practical Action. 25 August 2013. "Solar Distillation: Technical Brief". engineeringforchange.org. 25 August 2013 "Solar Maps." NREL: Dynamic Maps, GIS Data, and Analysis Tools -. National Renewable Energy Lab. (Primary) Steinmetz, Katy. "Unprecedented California Drought Restrictions Go Into Effect." Time 29 July 2014. U.S. Geological Survey, 2014, National Water Information System data available on the World Wide Web (USGS Water Data for the Nation), accessed December 3, 2014 at URL [http://waterdata.usgs.gov/ca/nwis/inventory/?site_no=11162630]. (Primary) United Nations Environment Programme. "Water Quality Improvement Technologies." Sourcebook of Alternative Technologies for Freshwater Augmentation in West Asia (n.d.): 4.2.1. Website. Vekshin, Alison. "California Water Prices Soar for Farmers as Drought Grows." Bloomberg 24 July 2014. "Water Classifications." Water Classifications. Pacificro, n.d. Web. 06 Nov. 2014. “Who Uses How Much? California Waters by the Numbers.” San Francisco Sierra Club. Web. 06 Nov. 2014. Williams, Linda. "Willits Declares Phase 1 Water Emergency." Willitsnews.com. 16 Aug. 2013.
  • 35. 31 FAQs 1. Where is water in the San Francisco Bay area currently being supplied from and why is it not sufficient enough? In the bay area, water agencies are assigned regions in which they supply fresh water to. These agencies are only recently having trouble with keeping up with the demand because their stored water in ground basins are going dry due to the prolonged drought. 2. How long has the drought in California lasted? California is amidst one of most severe droughts in state history. Rainfall has been steadily dwindling as of December 2011. 3. How does California’s drought affect other regions? California is one of the United States’ largest agricultural suppliers, home to a diverse range of produce. As the farmers there struggle to grow crops, food prices go up, and the nation pays. 4. What is a desalination plant? A desalination plant uses either distillation or a porous membrane to separate freshwater from a saline solution. 5. How old is the process of desalination Desalination is possibly mentioned in the Bible, and the first recorded act of desalination occurred in 1684 in the UK. 6. What is solar desalination? Solar desalination is a type of desalination that uses distillation to separate dissolved solids from water and then catches the fresh water for potable uses. 7. What is distillation? Distillation is involves heating up a mixture containing water to boiling point. This means that the water evaporates and leaves any contaminants (like salt) behind. 8. What is a concentrated solar still?
  • 36. 32 A concentrated solar still is a solar thermal system where a parabolic trough shaped solar panel collects heat by reflecting photons to a central point or pipe, where water or mineral oil runs through and can transfer heat. 9. What are kilowatt-hours? A kilowatt-hour is a unit of energy equal to one kilowatt (kilojoule per second) of power dissipated for one hour. 10. Why is a desalination plant needed? Due to the drought, various regions of the state of California have been running out of freshwater. Freshwater is needed for farming and consumption purposes. 11. Who is WaterFX? WaterFX is a company founded by Aaron Mandell and Dr. Matthew Stuber. It is devoted to designing affordable solar-powered desalination systems. 12. What is Aqua4? The Aqua4 is a small solar-powered desalination plant designed and produced by WaterFX. It uses a multi-stage distiller to generate freshwater. 13. How large is the Aqua4 module? The Aqua4 module is 6,500 square feet (160 x 40ft) 14. How much freshwater can a single Aqua4 module provide? A single Aqua4 module can provide 65,000 gallons per day of freshwater from a brackish or seawater input. 15. How often will the Aqua4 module run at peak efficiency? Well above the U.S. average for sunny days in a year at 259 in San Francisco, we can estimate that the system will run near peak efficiency for much of the year. Even days not categorized as sunny days will still provide energy and a lower output of desalination, as photons are still hitting the panels.
  • 37. 33 16. How can the brine output be used industrially? Once collected and condensed to a solid phase, the brine output can be used as industrial salts would in various applications such as meat curing. 17. Where is Half Moon Bay? Half Moon Bay is a coastal city in San Mateo County, California. It is located about 15 miles south of San Francisco. The Half Moon Bay body of water is located off of the Pacific Ocean. 18. What makes Half Moon Bay a suitable area to have a desalination plant? Half Moon Bay is a town 15 miles away from San Francisco that with a coastline in the Pacific Ocean. This beach town has a harbor and an Air Force base near where we plan to build our plant which is why we feel that it will fit in. 19. Will a desalination plant provide enough fresh water for the region? Desalination plants theoretically could provide fresh water for the region, but for the most part it is an unsustainable practice with regards to energy consumption. Solar desalination changes that, but it is still not efficient enough to be relied on as the only source of water. 20. What defines salt water? Water’s salinity is based on the number (measured in parts per million) of total dissolved solids (TDS). Water Classification ppm TDS Fresh < 1,000 Brackish 1,000 - 15,000 Saline 15,000 - 30,000 Sea 30,000 - 40,000 Brine > 40,000