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Viktor Dörfler
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 2
• Creativity and intuition
• Levels of mastery
• The nature of talent
and how to nurture it
• Grandmasters: Nobel
Laureates and top chefs
• Knowledge engineering
• Decision support
• Spearheading expert
system development
• Intelligent portals and
the knowledge factory
Dual career
SCHOLAR PRACTITIONER
Complex systems
Business
Philosophy
Mathematics
Engineering
Education
Management
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 3
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com
81% of executives believe that “data should be at
the heart of all decision-making” (EY study)
“Big data can eliminate reliance on ‘gut feel’ decision-making” (EY conclusion)
big data - small insight
small data - big thinking
4
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com
Logic Theorist, GPS
38 out of 52 – eventually
1 more elegant
What is the common part of all
problem solving?
Allen Newel & Herbert Simon
5
Expert Systems
Knowledge representations
To outperform human experts
To support human experts
Edward Feigenbaum
Artificial Neural Networks
Pre-AI mathematical approximator
Reproduce the statistical frequency
of learning examples
Marvin Minsky & Seymour Papert
the human brain
100 billion neurons
7,000 connections on average
1,000 trillion synapses in total (1015)
not so simple connection either
a nonlinear statistical data modelling
largest: 16 million neurons (frog’s brain)
weighted sum of “firing”
what is the resemblance?
a lot of simple elements
complex web of connections
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 6
the algorithms that run upon those ANN-s
getting to perform what is not explicitly programmed
unsupervised learning
no label on data, can group similar ones into clusters
possible to find unexpected/unsuspected patterns
supervised learning
your data is labelled, future case classified by labels
ANN vs non-ANN machine learning
in ANN the statistical frequency is reproduced
in symbolic the rules that classify are induced
symbolic is “explainable AI”
CAT
CAT
CAT
CAT
CAT
NOT
CAT
NOT
CAT
NOT
CAT
NOT
CAT
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 7
ontologies and meta-data
structuralism
semiotics
syntax vs semantics
so, perhaps the human stuff can be mathematicised
human and social studies → human and social sciences
dictionary of phrases rather than words
sentiment analysis ≠ understanding
is there a deterministic process underlying it all?
subjective experiences, free will, symbol creation
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 8
big problem of machine learning: huge
number of examples needed for training
let’s do part of the job in advance, on “generic”
data, e.g. Wikipedia, Internet Archives, etc.
then the last bit on the kind data we need, e.g.
assignments on data analytics
what is data of the same kind just “generic”
why AI cannot write top quality stuff?
what would be the “generic” writing for
Shakespeare sonnets?
how do we recognise ChatGPT assignments?
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 9
discriminative vs generative models
clustering and classification of data
generating new instance in a distribution
generate the next suitable token
based on the previous one(s)
today I am going to…
Variational Autoencoder (VAE)
the essence of cat-ness and variations
Generative Adversarial Network (GAN)
generate a new instance (generative) and
compare to the originals (discriminative)
≠
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 10
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 11
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 12
Qualia: the lived experience of values
directly
Intuition: sensing + sensemaking
“We pour ourselves out into them
and assimilate them as parts of our
own existence.” (Polányi)
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 13
14
All knowledge is either tacit or rooted in tacit. (Polányi)
≡? =? ≥? ≤? ≈? ≠?
HUMAN MACHINE
≈
Humans are
not logical
ai@ViktorDorfler.com
CUBE
15
Behaviourist psychology
I call it the dark ages,
we know better today
DeepMind
Learns the same way as humans
do – by reinforcement learning
Demis Hassabis
ai@ViktorDorfler.com
CUBE
16
Deep Blue, AlphaGo, AlphaZero deliver extraordinary performance
But can AI be creative? Can AI produce an original (new) and useful idea?
AI can find unexpected patterns but not judge/understand their significance.
AI can help us think ‘outside the box’.
ai@ViktorDorfler.com
CUBE
Want to do the right thing
Don’t really know what is right
Many other things impact
The road to hell is also paved with
good intentions
The struggle matters
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 17
ai@ViktorDorfler.com 18
Midjourney wins an art prize, 2022
CUBE
19
Chess-robot breaks 7-year old
boy’s finger, as he was “too
fast”, 2022
Rocket
Bumb-bell
Stop
Picture recognition gets confused
with slight changes in position or
alteration of several pixels that
would make no difference for the
human viewer, 2014-2020
Kellin Pelrine, American amateur Go player, ranked one level below the top in amateurs,
beats top Go computer 14 out of 15 games, 2023
(NOTE: no AI support during the game, but AI played a role in the preparation)
Nabla (GPT-3) recommends sui-
cide to a “patient”, 2020. Bing
AI chatbot calls a CNN reporter
“rude and disrespectful” and
declares love to NYT journalist,
2023
CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com
20
ai@ViktorDorfler.com
CUBE

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Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)
 

Artificial Intelligence and Intuition

  • 2. CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 2 • Creativity and intuition • Levels of mastery • The nature of talent and how to nurture it • Grandmasters: Nobel Laureates and top chefs • Knowledge engineering • Decision support • Spearheading expert system development • Intelligent portals and the knowledge factory Dual career SCHOLAR PRACTITIONER Complex systems Business Philosophy Mathematics Engineering Education Management
  • 4. CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 81% of executives believe that “data should be at the heart of all decision-making” (EY study) “Big data can eliminate reliance on ‘gut feel’ decision-making” (EY conclusion) big data - small insight small data - big thinking 4
  • 5. CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com Logic Theorist, GPS 38 out of 52 – eventually 1 more elegant What is the common part of all problem solving? Allen Newel & Herbert Simon 5 Expert Systems Knowledge representations To outperform human experts To support human experts Edward Feigenbaum Artificial Neural Networks Pre-AI mathematical approximator Reproduce the statistical frequency of learning examples Marvin Minsky & Seymour Papert
  • 6. the human brain 100 billion neurons 7,000 connections on average 1,000 trillion synapses in total (1015) not so simple connection either a nonlinear statistical data modelling largest: 16 million neurons (frog’s brain) weighted sum of “firing” what is the resemblance? a lot of simple elements complex web of connections CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 6
  • 7. the algorithms that run upon those ANN-s getting to perform what is not explicitly programmed unsupervised learning no label on data, can group similar ones into clusters possible to find unexpected/unsuspected patterns supervised learning your data is labelled, future case classified by labels ANN vs non-ANN machine learning in ANN the statistical frequency is reproduced in symbolic the rules that classify are induced symbolic is “explainable AI” CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT NOT CAT NOT CAT NOT CAT NOT CAT CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 7
  • 8. ontologies and meta-data structuralism semiotics syntax vs semantics so, perhaps the human stuff can be mathematicised human and social studies → human and social sciences dictionary of phrases rather than words sentiment analysis ≠ understanding is there a deterministic process underlying it all? subjective experiences, free will, symbol creation CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 8
  • 9. big problem of machine learning: huge number of examples needed for training let’s do part of the job in advance, on “generic” data, e.g. Wikipedia, Internet Archives, etc. then the last bit on the kind data we need, e.g. assignments on data analytics what is data of the same kind just “generic” why AI cannot write top quality stuff? what would be the “generic” writing for Shakespeare sonnets? how do we recognise ChatGPT assignments? CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 9
  • 10. discriminative vs generative models clustering and classification of data generating new instance in a distribution generate the next suitable token based on the previous one(s) today I am going to… Variational Autoencoder (VAE) the essence of cat-ness and variations Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) generate a new instance (generative) and compare to the originals (discriminative) ≠ CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 10
  • 13. Qualia: the lived experience of values directly Intuition: sensing + sensemaking “We pour ourselves out into them and assimilate them as parts of our own existence.” (Polányi) CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 13
  • 14. 14 All knowledge is either tacit or rooted in tacit. (Polányi) ≡? =? ≥? ≤? ≈? ≠? HUMAN MACHINE ≈ Humans are not logical ai@ViktorDorfler.com CUBE
  • 15. 15 Behaviourist psychology I call it the dark ages, we know better today DeepMind Learns the same way as humans do – by reinforcement learning Demis Hassabis ai@ViktorDorfler.com CUBE
  • 16. 16 Deep Blue, AlphaGo, AlphaZero deliver extraordinary performance But can AI be creative? Can AI produce an original (new) and useful idea? AI can find unexpected patterns but not judge/understand their significance. AI can help us think ‘outside the box’. ai@ViktorDorfler.com CUBE
  • 17. Want to do the right thing Don’t really know what is right Many other things impact The road to hell is also paved with good intentions The struggle matters CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com 17
  • 18. ai@ViktorDorfler.com 18 Midjourney wins an art prize, 2022 CUBE
  • 19. 19 Chess-robot breaks 7-year old boy’s finger, as he was “too fast”, 2022 Rocket Bumb-bell Stop Picture recognition gets confused with slight changes in position or alteration of several pixels that would make no difference for the human viewer, 2014-2020 Kellin Pelrine, American amateur Go player, ranked one level below the top in amateurs, beats top Go computer 14 out of 15 games, 2023 (NOTE: no AI support during the game, but AI played a role in the preparation) Nabla (GPT-3) recommends sui- cide to a “patient”, 2020. Bing AI chatbot calls a CNN reporter “rude and disrespectful” and declares love to NYT journalist, 2023 CUBE ai@ViktorDorfler.com