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AI Webinar St. Hubert 2020
The document discusses the impact of AI and automation on the job market, highlighting that up to 47% of jobs in the U.S. are at risk of being automated within 20 years. Key technologies and definitions related to automation and AI are presented, alongside potential job losses and new job demands that may arise in various sectors. It also raises social considerations regarding identity, purpose, and economic structures as traditional work diminishes.
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AI Webinar St. Hubert 2020
- 1. JOBSTHATWILL BE REPLACED BYAI AND AUTOMATION The impact of technology and the changing work environment Created by Bob Podgorski
- 2. Is this forreal? Statistics - • $205 Billion Globally in 2020 • $35 Billion going into AI research through venture capital, DOD, NASA • China is investing $15 Billion today and has indicated it will dominate the AI market by 2022. • Russia, the EU and South Korea will invest $110 Billion by the end of 2020
- 3. Let’s get somedefinitions straight • Automation / Robotics: - Machine operated performance • Artificial Intelligence: - Ability of Automation / Robotics to process real-time information (Input) autonomously into new commands and directions • Smart Equipment: -Tools used by humans and A/R with the ability to perform operations that previously took enormous time to process or complete
- 4. Let’s get somedefinitions straight (cont.) • Collaborative Robotics: Worker and machine work together to achieve an outcome • Chatbot: A computer generated conversation based on human reply and/or query (Not Zoom Chat box) • Virtual reality : Imaging environments and situations through surround - visual device projection • 5G : Exponentially fast communication – next generation from 4G
- 5. Advances will continueexponentially • Automation • Innovation • Artificial Intelligence • Sensing • Power • Physical size • Capacity AI brings – Hearing Seeing Olfactory Touch Speaking Sensing Interpreting Learning Writing Answering Understanding Implementing
- 6. Each of theseare moving fast toward • Changes in how we connect with income producing work • Changes in the work we do • More interface with automation, data analytics • It can be done by a robot • Changes in the place we do it • It can be done remotely
- 7. Let’s look athow companies use AI in recruitment • IT’S A CHANGING WORLD…..
- 8. John receives anEMAIL EmailTitled – Job Opportunity J.O. – “Hello John –You don’t know me but my name is Jenny O. fromTaglog Software, Inc., and I noticed your LinkedIn Profile. Are you still involved with Software Security and Block Chain technology? It’s a growth area for us and I have a question.” Jenny O. John – “Yes, last 5 years in Cyber Security Coding and use of block chain tech.” J.O. – “Great, we are located in Madison Wisconsin, just north of you and have major clients in the financial industry. We are seeking a team lead software developer, that could be a fit for you.Would you like to hear more?” John – “go ahead…”
- 9. Email continues • J.O.– “Our products protect a variety of financial transactions in the investment industry. We have clients in the top ten investment firms in the U.S. and top three Globally. Our projects are challenging, impactful – working with a team of highly skilled Professionals.This could be something you’d enjoy.Willing to look at Madison?– It’s a thriving, growing and young community.” “Would include some international travel to client locations – Any restrictions?” • John – “No restrictions and sure, sounds interesting.” • J.O. – By the way, we have a fun thing our employees are playing with – I’d like your opinion on it. Could you take a minute?” • John – “O.K.” • J.O. – Here it is – Enjoy… runs about three minutes to play. (Gamification)
- 10. Entire conversation ofJ.O. = CHATBOT • IS A COMPUTER GENERATED AI CONVERSATION • LEADSTO A GAMIFICATION ASSESSMENT • ONCE PASSED – NEXT STEP IS - J.O. ASKS JOHN IF HEWILLTAKE A CALL FROM A DEPARTMENT HEAD AND BESTTIMETOTALK • J.O. SCHEDULESTHE CALL AUTOMATICALLY • AND,THANKS JOHN FOR HISTIME, INTEREST AND OUTSTANDING TALENTS ONE SIDED - HUMAN INTERFACE
- 11. RECRUITING CHATBOTS already inuse • ARYA • XOR • IDEAL • ALLY • OLIVIA • BRAZEN • Army has – SGT STAR • Georgia State Univ. has – Pounce • Southerland Corp. hasTASHA
- 12. What it meansto today’s worker Staying current requires: • Understanding the trends • Becoming comfortable with smart machines • Collaborating / communicating with machines • Friendly acquisition, manipulation, analysis and use of data • Changing rapidly with changes to SOP (Standard Operating Procedure) and automation
- 13. The old world •Smart equipment can be traced to popularity with the introduction of gaming using computer chip interface - Pong, Pac Man and Atari – 1970’s • It goes back further to 1950’s with novelty simulations followed by the 1960’s Chess matches, 3DTic-Tac-Toe, as computer for other than mathematical and scientific data manipulation were introduced to the world by the scientific community. • Suddenly, science fiction became science reality • Remember Nintendo,Wii, Xbox, PlayStation • Today we have all the games you want on your smart phone • Virtual reality is next
- 14. This was ourintroduction – the training ground •Got us using devices - joy sticks, consoles, other than our dial activated wall telephones. •It led to bulky desk top computers followed by Laptops then tablets and smart phones, virtual reality •The evolution of automation begins – the evolution of automation continues
- 15. The new world Drivenby “Moore’s Law” “Technology (Hardware/Software) will not only continue to rapidly advance - but will double its computational capacity every two years.”
- 16. What your smartphonecan do today • Took up an entire floor of a building, floor to ceiling, in 1952!
- 17. A new worldon the job • Every job now interfaces in some way, at some point, with a computer operating system as well as stored and changing data • Some interfaces are stationary, some are desk based, some are hand held • Some are keyboard or stylus interface, some are voice activated • We’ve adjusted well and embraced the keyboards, mouse and stylus as well as finger to screen and talking to our machines • We are adaptable - introduced to new software (changes) at least every six months • We are buyers of the latest technology communications devices for our home, office, car, and boat • Our communications devices are moving to 5G – strictlyVoIP from towers, no more boxes in the back of your house messed with by field mice
- 18. Two of thejobs at risk 1. Telephone Repair Personnel • Replaced by – in-store handheld device personnel – skilled more in the system capability rather than the hardware • Replaced byTowerTechnicians who will seldom need to climb, maintain and repair – mostly modify with new technology – reach new geography • The airwaves will be flowing massively with data transactions, calls, movies, music and games – all wireless transmissions
- 19. Two of thejobs at risk 2. Drivers – Autonomous vehicles will eliminate the need for – • Truck drivers • Uber | Lyft | Limo | Cab | Bus | Grubhub drivers • UPS and Fed Ex drivers • Delivery – like Pizza Hut and Domino’s
- 20. Let’s get backto AI One other thing to know WHAT IS A NEURAL NETWORK? • This is the way your brain functions – it sees determines, senses – it processes and we come up with a new perspective – we learn. • Machines with AI (Neural Network) capability can learn faster than we can and adjust faster than we can, using weighted mathematical computations and memory • NO CHESS PLAYER OR GO PLAYER CAN BEAT A COMPUTER
- 21. THE OXFORD STUDY Anew study titled: “The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerization?,” by Dr Michael A. Osborne from Oxford University’s Department of Engineering Science and Dr Carl Benedikt Frey of the Oxford Martin School, estimates that 47 percent of jobs in the US are “at risk” of being automated in the next 20 years. • That number is over 700,000 job titles that will disappear
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- 23. These jobs atrisk Oxford University study predicts - List of 20 jobs that are at serious risk •Telemarketers • Order Clerks • LibraryTechnicians • Insurance Appraisers, Auto Damage • Insurance Underwriters • Loan Officers • Brokerage Clerks •Tax Preparers • Cargo and Freight Agents • Photographic ProcessWorkers and Processing Machine Operators • Watch Repairers • MathematicalTechnicians •Tellers •Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers • Hand Sewing Experts • Data Entry Keyers • New Account Clerks • Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials • Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks •Timing Device Assemblers and Adjusters
- 24. Theoretically There is notone job that AI won’t impact or take over in the future So, what is a society of people to do with no work? • Find ways to use the data in unique and beneficial ways • Keep the systems running – maintained • Watch over man / machine interface • Attention to physical and mental health • Advance the systems in some capacity or capability – Moore’s Law
- 25. The jobs thatwill be in demand will be in • Emergency Management – natural disasters • Data Analytic – new ways to use data • SensorTechnology – miniaturizing / expanding • Automation/Robotics – design for production • Power – decreasing size, increasing capacity and battery life • Nutritionist – study, combining, introducing • Social Scientist – study and solutions to societal impact of technology • Physical Researchers – delving further into physical human frailties • PhysicalTherapists – bringing back what is temporarily lost
- 26. Let’s take in-demand jobsfurther • Surgical/Medical staff – using automated instruments • Care giving – compassionate care and assistance • Personal services – barbers, lawyers, judges, funeral arranger, jail monitors, police/security, firefighters – but, all will be using greater automation • Travel advisory – planning, arranging, booking • Consultancy - Home décor / landscaping / HVAC • Auto assistance – repair and maintenance • Sales – demonstrations / equipment / Do-It-Yourself • Power generation – monitors, engineers, technicians, installers • Systems programmers – testing and tweaking the intelligence • Ethics oversight – use ofAI/sensor human privacy, safety
- 27. The areas growingby leaps and bounds • Sensors • Being looked at today are dust sensors – particles as small as a spec of dust – able to monitor and communicate what it senses. • Today – smart watches, key fob health sensors, Echo/Google Home, Siri, autonomous vehicles – with a thousand linked sensors, the size of a seed • Processors / storage • Being looked at today – beyond the cloud storage – DNA data storage • Processors – ever smaller devices – density with shrinking size • Cloud – to ….. ? • Power sources – IoT (Internet ofThings) • New sources – heat/light transfer, movement transfer, friction transfer, chemical/vapor reaction, vibration
- 28. The social question •Low skill jobs will be fully automated and eliminated • Educated skill jobs will be specialized and in-demand for a time…? • What does a society do to provide for its people – those who become non- essential? A few things to consider – • Automation and AI will provide cheaper production, lower prices, and higher quality/reliability –This equals =ABUNDANCE (so it’s projected) • Sounds good -What could go wrong?
- 29. The meaning ofwork FOR MANY OF US - • Work brings identity • Work brings purpose • Work brings socialization • Work brings satisfaction • Work brings evolution • Work brings income to purchase all that abundance • Work brings savings for future retirement
- 30. If work goesaway We may have to rethink • What defines us • What drives us • What is essential and what is frivolous • How we socialize without work • What is most important • What we can afford
- 31. To answer - thelast question first It brings in income – IF Job goes away, Income goes away • Discussion and experimentation with a universal guaranteed base income for all • A negative income tax – 1960’s • Oakland CA,Yincombinator Company study of 100 started in 2016 • Experiments throughout the world – Canada, Asia, Africa, Europe, Latin America, USA. • The experiments are failing - Finland – removes motivation and inclusion • Huge economic, social and societal consequences…
- 32. but • If thefuture holds more reductions in the median wage • More technology and fewer jobs • What does that do to us in freeing us up of burden and drudgery? • More time for family, education, recreation, global absorption, volunteering • Finding meaning, purpose, challenge, reward (albeit intrinsic), socialization, and growth.This could drive us to closeness again – where technology tended to drive us apart. • We can become creators, artists, innovators, discoverers, enlighteners, entertainers, provocateurs
- 33. The androids arecoming • We need to be alert • We need to prepare • We need to be aware • We need to be occupationally ready • We need to grab hold of the remaining jobs – projected to be in- demand • We need to squirrel away income
- 34. The androids arecoming • Or we need to live a life without work perhaps on a subsidy – provided the money is there to support it • MOORE’S LAW will drive Automation and AI – sensors, processors and robots powered by unique sources that will affect most of us • What advice will you give to your children and grandchildren??? The social upheaval is on its way
- 35. Ten jobs thatAI cannot replace Written by Sophia Bernazzani @soph_bern 1. Human Resource Managers 6. Event Planners 2. Sales Managers 7.Writers 3. Marketing Managers 8. Software Developers 4. Public Relations Managers 9. Editors 5. Chief Executives 10. Graphic Designers
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- 37. GAMIFICATION WEBSITES CHECKTHESE OUT- • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-N-jMSymzBM • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IpG7xXaf-nA • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EWeZ10pLbI • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZ04c2MXUtU
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