Trends in Mobile &
The Impact on Advertising


Chi-Hua Chien
Partner, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers
KPCB Overview




540 investments    300,000 jobs       15 Funds
 over 37 years       created         since 1972

                    > $100B of     > $350B of total
  175 IPOs                            market cap
                  annual revenue
Today
Internet vs. Mobile
                           4,000
                                      PC Internet Users        Mobile Phone Users
Millions of Active Users




                           3,000



                           2,000



                           1,000



                              0
                                   2001    2002      2003   2004    2005      2006   2007   2008
Powerful Trends
Powerful Trends
Powerful Trends
Powerful Trends
Powerful Trends
Powerful Trends
iFund
iFund




$100,000,000
So How’s It Going?
iPod Became Ubiquitous
iPod Became Ubiquitous
                           1.00
                                              iPod Sales
Millions of Devices Sold




                           0.75



                           0.50



                           0.25



                             0
                                   0               1               2                  3   4   5   6   7
                                                                    Quarters after Launch
                                  Source: Apple Inc. Public Filings & Announcements
...But iPhone Dwarfs iPod
...But iPhone Dwarfs iPod
                           20
                                             iPod Sales                                 iPhone Sales
Millions of Devices Sold




                           15



                           10



                           5




                                0                1               2                  3        4         5   6   7

                                                                     Quarters after Launch
                                Source: Apple Inc. Public Filings & Announcements
iPhone is Changing Behavior
iPhone is Changing Behavior
                                                                   US Market                          iPhone

                                    85%
% of US Mobile Subscribers




                                                                                                                           74%
                                                                                                                                                  70%


                                                        59%

                                                                                                     50%




                                                                              31%



                              13%
                                                                                                                                           9%
                                                 6%                                                                 7%
                                                                        5%                    4%
                             Browsing News      Web Search           Mobile Video         Social Networks              Music                   Games


                                      Sources: M:Metrics, 1/31/2008 Survey of U.S. mobile subscribers, n = 31,389 and KPCB estimates (games)
iTunes Is a Juggernaut...
iTunes Is a Juggernaut...

                        400
                                            iTunes Purchases
Millions of Downloads




                        300



                        200



                        100



                         0
                              0          100             200            300       400   500   600   700
                                                                 Days after Launch
                              Source: Apple Inc. Public Filings & Announcements
...But AppStore Blows it Away
...But AppStore Blows it Away

                        800
                                             iTunes                               AppStore
Millions of Downloads




                        600



                        400



                        200




                               0            30            60            90        120   150   180   210   240

                                                                      Days after Launch
                              Source: Apple Inc. Public Filings & Announcements
Mobile Browser Market Share
             iPhone ~50% of US Usage




       iPhone         RIM         Windows Mobile   Palm   Android   Other


 Source: AdMob Inc.; March 2009
3
      Ways

Mobile Will Change
  Your Business
1   Context Over Content
1    Context Over Content

    The Phone Now Knows....
2   Utility Not Interruption
2   Utility Not Interruption
2   Utility Not Interruption
Perpetual Personalization
3
  (aka Hyper-Fragmentation)
iFund Progress Report


Proposals Reviewed   > 3300
Companies Met        > 250
Actively Engaged     >5
Funded               5
iFunded Companies
Q&A




Chi-Hua Chien
cchien@kpcb.com

Trends in Mobile & The Impact on Advertising