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• Probability density
functions
-Semi-major axis
-Eccentricity
-Orbital orientation
-Geometric albedo
-Planetary radius
-Planetary mass
• Minimum and
maximum values of
these quantities
Zodiacal Light Module
• Computes local and exozodiacal light levels for each target system
Background Sources Module
• Provides density of background for target stars
• Used in post processing to determine false alarms
Planet Physical Model Module
• Models light emitted or reflected in wavelengths of interest
• Generates synthetic spectra or band photometry
Target List Module
• Generates list of target stars (based on input modules)
• Or list of pre-determined targets (e.g., stars with planets
determined via radial velocity measurement)
Simulated Universe Module
• Creates synthetic universe of systems in target list
• Propagates planet position and velocity vectors in time
Survey Simulation Module
• Performs specific simulation
• Returns mission timeline – list of observations and outcomes
• Encodes final state of simulated universe and observatory
Survey Ensemble Module
• Runs multiple survey simulations
Planet Population Module
Science Yield Modeling with EXOSIMS
Daniel Garrett1, Dmitry Savransky1, Rhonda Morgan2, and Patrick Lowrance2
1Sibley School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
2NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA
Simulating Direct Imaging Missions
WFIRST-AFTA
Spacecraft-Moon
Look Vector
Spacecraft-Earth
Look Vector
Spacecraft-Target
Look Vector
Spacecraft-Sun
Look Vector
Bright Object Exclusion Zone
EXOSIMS modules. Red boxes indicate input modules and blue boxes indicate
simulation modules
EXOSIMS
• Exoplanet Open-Source Imaging Mission Simulator
• Performs ensembles of mission simulations to determine
distributions of science yield
• Developed as part of WFIRST Preparatory Science investigation
• Initial code released
• Alpha release: February 2016
• Continued updates through 2017
• Community driven project
• Visit: https://github.com/dsavransky/EXOSIMS
• Interface Control Document and other documentation included
EXOSIMS Framework
• Integrates independent modules written in Python performing
well-defined tasks into unified mission simulation
• Allows user to investigate multiple mission or system designs by
only modifying modules with design changes
• Interface control document defines input/output specification for
each module
Contact
Daniel Garrett
dg622@cornell.edu
Acknowledgements
This work is supported by NASA Grant No. NNX14AD99G issued
through the Goddard Space Flight Center and by NASA Grant No.
NNX15AJ67G.
References
[1] Spergel, D., et al., (2015). Wide-Field InfraRed Survey Telescope-Astrophysics Focused Telescope Assets
WFIRST-AFTA 2015 Report. arXiv: 1503.03757.
[2] Brown, R. A., (2005). Single-Visit Photometric and Obscurational Completeness. ApJ, 624:1010-1024.
[3] Savransky, D. and Garrett, D., (2016). WFIRST-AFTA Coronagraph Science Yield Modeling with EXOSIMS.
J. Astron. Telesc. Instrum. Syst, 2(1):011006.
Star Catalog Module
• Lists of stellar properties (e.g., position, proper motion, mass)
• Wrapper for existing star catalogs
Optical System Module
• Models optics and starlight suppression systems (e.g., inner and
outer working angle, contrast, and throughput)
• Describes science instruments (e.g., detector details)
• Computes integration time for target system under observation
Artist rendering of exoplanets [2]
WFIRST coronagraph chain [1]
Observatory Module
• Computes orbital position
vector
• Computes look vectors to
bright objects to determine
observable stars at given
epoch
• Can be adapted to track fuel
consumption or cryogen
depletion
Illustration of look vectors
Time Keeping Module
• Encodes mission start time and duration
• Updates current mission time within simulation
Post-Processing Module
• Effects of post-processing on simulated observation
• Determines detection state
-True positive (real detection)
-False positive (false alarm)
-True negative (no detection when
no planet present)
-False negative (missed detection)
Completeness Module
• Probability of planet detection based on planet’s apparent
separation from star and difference in brightness (magnitude) [2]
• Computed by integrating joint probability density function
generated from probability density functions in Planet Population
• Updates completeness values for systems previously observed
Example of completeness joint probability density function
Flowchart of simulation of exoplanet direct imaging mission ensembles
yielding distributions of science yields
Log-uniform probability density function for semi-
major axis and Rayleigh distribution for eccentricity
Results
Examples of results obtained from mission simulation ensemble with EXOSIMS [3]

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AASWinter2016

  • 1. • Probability density functions -Semi-major axis -Eccentricity -Orbital orientation -Geometric albedo -Planetary radius -Planetary mass • Minimum and maximum values of these quantities Zodiacal Light Module • Computes local and exozodiacal light levels for each target system Background Sources Module • Provides density of background for target stars • Used in post processing to determine false alarms Planet Physical Model Module • Models light emitted or reflected in wavelengths of interest • Generates synthetic spectra or band photometry Target List Module • Generates list of target stars (based on input modules) • Or list of pre-determined targets (e.g., stars with planets determined via radial velocity measurement) Simulated Universe Module • Creates synthetic universe of systems in target list • Propagates planet position and velocity vectors in time Survey Simulation Module • Performs specific simulation • Returns mission timeline – list of observations and outcomes • Encodes final state of simulated universe and observatory Survey Ensemble Module • Runs multiple survey simulations Planet Population Module Science Yield Modeling with EXOSIMS Daniel Garrett1, Dmitry Savransky1, Rhonda Morgan2, and Patrick Lowrance2 1Sibley School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 2NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA Simulating Direct Imaging Missions WFIRST-AFTA Spacecraft-Moon Look Vector Spacecraft-Earth Look Vector Spacecraft-Target Look Vector Spacecraft-Sun Look Vector Bright Object Exclusion Zone EXOSIMS modules. Red boxes indicate input modules and blue boxes indicate simulation modules EXOSIMS • Exoplanet Open-Source Imaging Mission Simulator • Performs ensembles of mission simulations to determine distributions of science yield • Developed as part of WFIRST Preparatory Science investigation • Initial code released • Alpha release: February 2016 • Continued updates through 2017 • Community driven project • Visit: https://github.com/dsavransky/EXOSIMS • Interface Control Document and other documentation included EXOSIMS Framework • Integrates independent modules written in Python performing well-defined tasks into unified mission simulation • Allows user to investigate multiple mission or system designs by only modifying modules with design changes • Interface control document defines input/output specification for each module Contact Daniel Garrett dg622@cornell.edu Acknowledgements This work is supported by NASA Grant No. NNX14AD99G issued through the Goddard Space Flight Center and by NASA Grant No. NNX15AJ67G. References [1] Spergel, D., et al., (2015). Wide-Field InfraRed Survey Telescope-Astrophysics Focused Telescope Assets WFIRST-AFTA 2015 Report. arXiv: 1503.03757. [2] Brown, R. A., (2005). Single-Visit Photometric and Obscurational Completeness. ApJ, 624:1010-1024. [3] Savransky, D. and Garrett, D., (2016). WFIRST-AFTA Coronagraph Science Yield Modeling with EXOSIMS. J. Astron. Telesc. Instrum. Syst, 2(1):011006. Star Catalog Module • Lists of stellar properties (e.g., position, proper motion, mass) • Wrapper for existing star catalogs Optical System Module • Models optics and starlight suppression systems (e.g., inner and outer working angle, contrast, and throughput) • Describes science instruments (e.g., detector details) • Computes integration time for target system under observation Artist rendering of exoplanets [2] WFIRST coronagraph chain [1] Observatory Module • Computes orbital position vector • Computes look vectors to bright objects to determine observable stars at given epoch • Can be adapted to track fuel consumption or cryogen depletion Illustration of look vectors Time Keeping Module • Encodes mission start time and duration • Updates current mission time within simulation Post-Processing Module • Effects of post-processing on simulated observation • Determines detection state -True positive (real detection) -False positive (false alarm) -True negative (no detection when no planet present) -False negative (missed detection) Completeness Module • Probability of planet detection based on planet’s apparent separation from star and difference in brightness (magnitude) [2] • Computed by integrating joint probability density function generated from probability density functions in Planet Population • Updates completeness values for systems previously observed Example of completeness joint probability density function Flowchart of simulation of exoplanet direct imaging mission ensembles yielding distributions of science yields Log-uniform probability density function for semi- major axis and Rayleigh distribution for eccentricity Results Examples of results obtained from mission simulation ensemble with EXOSIMS [3]